EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm COMPANY THIRD QUARTER 2008 EARNINGS PRESENTATION Company Third Quarter 2008 Earnings Presentation
Earnings Review
Third Quarter 2008
October 30, 2008
Exhibit 99.3


2
Important Disclosures
This
presentation
may
contain
forward-looking
statements
within
the
meaning
of
the
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995
which,
by
their
nature,
are
subject
to
risks
and
uncertainties.
We
intend
for
these
forward-looking
statements
to
be
covered
by
the
safe
harbor
provisions
of
the
federal
securities
laws
relating
to
forward-looking
statements.
These
include
statements
relating
to
trends
in,
or
representing
management’s
beliefs
about,
our
future
transactions,
strategies,
operations
and
financial
results,
as
well
as
other
statements
including
words
such
as
“anticipate,”
“believe,”
“plan,”
“estimate,”
“expect,”
“intend,”
“may,”
“should”
and
other
similar
expressions.
Forward-looking
statements
are
made
based
upon
our
current
expectations
and
beliefs
concerning
trends
and
future
developments
and
their
potential
effects
on
the
company.
They
are
not
guarantees
of
future
performance.
Actual
results
may
differ
materially
from
those
suggested
by
forward-looking
statements
as
a
result
of
risks
and
uncertainties,
which
include,
among
others:
(i)
the
effects
of
recent
adverse
market
and
economic
developments
on
all
aspects
of
our
business;
(ii)
changes
in
general
market
and
business
conditions,
interest
rates
and
the
debt
and
equity
markets;
(iii)
the
possibility
that
mortality
rates,
persistency
rates
or
funding
levels
may
differ
significantly
from
our
pricing
expectations;
(iv)
the
availability,
pricing
and
terms
of
reinsurance
coverage
generally
and
the
inability
or
unwillingness
of
our
reinsurers
to
meet
their
obligations
to
us
specifically;
(v)
our
dependence
on
non-affiliated
distributors
for
our
product
sales,
(vi)
downgrades
in
our
debt
or
financial
strength
ratings;
(vii)
our
dependence
on
third
parties
to
maintain
critical
business
and
administrative
functions;
(viii)
the
ability
of
independent
trustees
of
our
mutual
funds
and
closed-end
funds,
intermediary
program
sponsors,
managed
account
clients
and
institutional
asset
management
clients
to
terminate
their
relationships
with
us;
(ix)
our
ability
to
attract
and
retain
key
personnel
in
a
competitive
environment;
(x)
the
poor
relative
investment
performance
of
some
of
our
asset
management
strategies
and
the
resulting
outflows
in
our
assets
under
management;
(xi)
the
possibility
that
the
goodwill
or
intangible
assets
associated
with
our
asset
management
business
could
become
impaired,
requiring
a
charge
to
earnings;
(xii)
the
strong
competition
we
face
in
our
business
from
mutual
fund
companies,
banks,
asset
management
firms
and
other
insurance
companies;
(xiii)
our
reliance,
as
a
holding
company,
on
dividends
and
other
payments
from
our
subsidiaries
to
meet
our
financial
obligations
and
pay
future
dividends,
particularly
since
our
insurance
subsidiaries’
ability
to
pay
dividends
is
subject
to
regulatory
restrictions;
(xiv)
the
potential
need
to
fund
deficiencies
in
our
Closed
Block;
(xv)
tax
developments
that
may
affect
us
directly,
or
indirectly
through
the
cost
of,
the
demand
for
or
profitability
of
our
products
or
services;
(xvi)
other
legislative
or
regulatory
developments;
(xvii)
legal
or
regulatory
actions;
(xviii)
changes
in
accounting
standards;
(xix)
the
potential
effects
of
the
spin-off
of
our
asset
management
subsidiary
on
our
expense
levels,
liquidity
and
third-party
relationships;
and
(xx)
other
risks
and
uncertainties
described
herein
or
in
any
of
our
filings
with
the
SEC.
We
undertake
no
obligation
to
update
or
revise
publicly
any
forward-looking
statement,
whether
as
a
result
of
new
information,
future
events
or
otherwise.
In
managing
our
business,
we
analyze
our
performance
on
the
basis
of
“operating
income”
which
does
not
equate
to
net
income
as
determined
in
accordance
with
GAAP.
Rather,
it
is
the
measure
of
profit
or
loss
used
by
our
management
to
evaluate
performance,
allocate
resources
and
manage
our
operations.
We
believe
that
operating
income,
and
measures
that
are
derived
from
or
incorporate
operating
income,
are
appropriate
measures
that
are
useful
to
investors
as
well,
because
they
identify
the
earnings
of,
and
underlying
profitability
factors
affecting,
the
ongoing
operations
of
our
business.
Operating
income
is
calculated
by
excluding
realized
investment
gains
(losses)
and
certain
other
items
because
we
do
not
consider
them
to
be
related
to
our
operating
performance.
The
size
and
timing
of
realized
investment
gains
(losses)
are
often
subject
to
our
discretion.
Certain
other
items
are
also
excluded
from
operating
income
if,
in
our
opinion,
they
are
not
indicative
of
overall
operating
trends.
The
criteria
used
to
identify
an
item
that
will
be
excluded
from
operating
income
include:
whether
the
item
is
infrequent
and
is
material
to
our
income;
or
whether
it
results
from
a
change
in
regulatory
requirements,
or
relates
to
other
unusual
circumstances.
Items
excluded
from
operating
income
may
vary
from
period
to
period.
Because
these
items
are
excluded
based
on
our
discretion,
inconsistencies
in
the
application
of
our
selection
criteria
may
exist.
Some
of
these
items
may
be
significant
components
of
net
income
in
accordance
with
GAAP.
Accordingly,
operating
income,
and
other
measures
that
are
derived
from
or
incorporate
operating
income,
are
not
substitutes
for
net
income,
or
measures
that
are
derived
from
or
incorporate
net
income,
determined
in
accordance
with
GAAP
and
may
be
different
from
similarly
titled
measures
of
other
companies.
Within
our
Asset
Management
segment,
we
also
consider
earnings
before
interest,
taxes,
depreciation
and
amortization
(“EBITDA”).
Our
management
believes
EBITDA
provides
additional
perspective
on
the
operating
efficiency
and
profitability
of
the
Asset
Management
segment.
EBITDA
represents
pre-tax
operating
income
before
depreciation
and
amortization
of
goodwill
and
intangibles.
Total
operating
return
on
equity
(“ROE”)
is
an
internal
performance
measure
used
in
the
management
of
our
operations,
including
our
compensation
plans
and
planning
processes.
Our
management
believes
that
this
measure
provides
investors
with
a
useful
metric
to
assess
our
performance
and
the
effectiveness
of
our
use
of
historic
capital.
ROE
is
calculated
by
dividing
(i)
total
operating
income,
by
(ii)
average
equity,
excluding
accumulated
OCI,
FIN
46-R
and
discontinued
operations.
Total
operating
return
on
tangible
equity
("return
on
tangible
equity")
is
also
an
internal
performance
measure
used
in
the
evaluation
of
our
operations.
Our
management
believes
that
this
measure
provides
investors
with
a
useful
metric
to
assess
our
performance
and
the
effectiveness
of
our
use
of
current
capital.
Return
on
tangible
equity
is
calculated
by
dividing
(i)
total
operating
income,
by
(ii)
average
equity,
excluding
accumulated
OCI,
FIN
46-R,
discontinued
operations
and
the
carrying
value
of
goodwill
and
intangible
assets. 
More
detailed
financial
information,
including
reconciling
information
regarding
our
non-GAAP
financial
measures,
can
be
found
in
our
financial
supplement
for
the
third
quarter
of
2008,
which
is
available
on
our
Web
site,
www.phoenixwm.com
in
the
Investor
Relations
section.


3
Overview of Investment in Virtus
>
Harris Bankcorp
will make a $45 million investment in Virtus
8% convertible
preferred stock
>
Preferred stock is convertible into 23% of Virtus
common stock at an
aggregate equity value for Virtus
of $195.6 million ($45 million / 23%)
>
Redeemable at the end of 6 years; putable
at the end of year 7 at liquidation
preference
>
8% preferred dividend payable in cash or additional securities
Benefits to Phoenix
>
Supports successful separation of Asset
Management
>
Provides valuation benchmark for
Phoenix
and
Virtus
shareholders
>
Provides additional financial flexibility
Benefits to Virtus
>
Provides sponsorship and valuation
benchmark
>
Provides capital to successfully launch
new company
>
Extends existing strategic relationship


4
Financial Highlights
>
Net loss of $339.5 million or, $2.97 per share driven by goodwill and
intangible impairment in Asset Management
>
Operating earnings of $15 million or $0.13 per share excluding impairment
Stable life insurance earnings
Annuities affected by market decline
Asset Management affected by market impact on AUM
Unusual transaction costs of $5.1 million; severance and restructuring costs of $3.0
million
>
Book value post-impairment of $1.53 billion or $13.35 per share ($2.11
billion or $18.46 per share ex AOCI)
>
Realized investment losses after offsets of $21.0 million


5
1
Includes net earnings of debt securities pledged as collateral and non-recourse collateralized obligations
(421.7)
-
(10.5)
-
-
Asset Management impairment
(5.1)
(8.7)
(7.5)
-
-
Transaction & Proxy Expenses
$0.13
$0.13
-
$0.24
$0.29
Operating Income (Loss) Per Share excl. impairment
$(2.97)
$0.05
$(0.13)
$0.03
$0.30
Net Income (Loss) Per Share
-
-
-
(4.7)
-
Discontinued Operations Income (Loss)
(6.0)
(4.0)
(2.8)
1.9
2.6
Asset Management excl. impairment
$6.2
(8.6)
$14.8
5.6
$20.4
$33.1
(12.4)
1.1
$44.4
2Q08
$(339.5)
(21.9)
$(317.6)
(93.1)
$(410.7)
$22.1
(11.2)
(9.5)
$42.8
3Q08
$(14.4)
(14.3)
$(0.1)
(0.5)
$(0.6)
$20.2
(13.1)
(4.1)
$37.4
1Q08
$34.8
1.3
$33.5
6.3
$39.8
$37.2
(11.4)
5.3
$43.3
3Q07
$3.2
(20.5)
$28.4
13.1
$41.5
$39.6
(10.8)
3.1
$47.3
4Q07
Net Income (Loss)
Net
Realized
Gains
(Losses)
Operating Income (Loss)
Sub Total
Life Insurance
Income Tax expense (Benefit)
Pretax Operating Income
Corporate & Other (ex. transaction & proxy expenses)
Annuity
Earnings Summary
$ in millions except per share amounts
1


6
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Closed Block
Other Traditional
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
UL
VUL
Other
$ in millions
Traditional Life
Pre-tax Operating Income
Core Life
Pre-tax Operating Income
Earnings Review: Life Insurance
$21.0
$20.5
$14.6
$20.5
$22.3
$26.8
$22.8
$23.9
$19.5
$23.3


7
Earnings Review: Life Insurance
71%
68%
49%
50%
70%
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
39%
44%
45%
54%
61%
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
VUL Mortality Margin
UL Mortality Margin
1
Excludes private placements
1


8
$96
$141
$113
$69
$56
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
$ in millions
Life Insurance Sales
Annualized Life Sales
Policies Sold and Inforce
3,551
5,659
4,541
4,311
4,523
$160.6
$147.5
$152.6
$156.0
$158.4
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Policy Count Sold
Total Life Insurance Inforce
1
Excludes private placements
$ in billions
1


9
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
$5.3
$3.1
$1.1
Pre-tax Operating Income
Funds
Under
Management
Excludes private placements & discontinued products
$ in millions except for FUM chart which is in billions
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Inflows
Outflows
Earnings Review: Annuities
$(4.1)
$141
$196
$176
$169
$4.3
$4.3
$4.1
$(152)
$(149)
$(134)
$(136)
Net flows
$(11)      $47
$33        $42        $35
$4.1
$(9.5)
$154
$(120)
$3.7
1
1
1
1


10
Terminated account
$1.30
$1.20
$1.30
$0.99
$0.94
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Outflows
$46.5
$42.5
$34.5
$33.4
$28.7
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Assets Under Management
Inflows
$ in billions
($2.1)
($2.0)
($3.2)
($1.6)
(5.7)
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Earnings Review: Asset Management
Net flows
$(0.8)    $(0.9)      $(4.4)     $(2.2)     $(0.7)


11
(3.7)
(3.7)
(4.5)
-
-
Indirect Expenses
0.2
0.8
0.3
0.6
0.4
Other Income –
Net
$41.9
$44.9
$47.4
$53.1
$53.9
Revenues
(36.8)
(38.3)
(38.4)
(43.8)
(44.0)
Direct Expenses (ex depreciation)
$(427.7)
$(4.0)
$(13.3)
$1.9
$2.6
Operating Income Before Taxes
429.3
7.7
18.1
8.0
7.7
Amortization & Depreciation
$1.6
$3.7
$4.8
$9.9
$10.3
EBITDA
2Q08
1Q08
4Q07
3Q07
3Q08
$ in millions
Earnings Review: Asset Management


12
(4.6)
0.2
(3.6)
-
-
Fair Value Option Securities
(0.6)
-
-
-
-
Debt Securities Pledged as Collateral
$(8.5)
17.7
$(26.2)
0.1
$(26.5)
2Q08
$(16.6)
30.9
$(47.5)
(3.5)
$(40.4)
1Q08
$(21.9)
11.4
$(33.3)
(2.3)
$(31.0)
4Q07
$1.7
(2.2)
$3.9
9.2
$(5.3)
3Q07
$(21.0)
Realized Gains/Losses After Offsets
(39.6)
Offsets (PDO, DAC, Taxes)
$(60.6)
Total Realized Gains/Losses
(17.2)
Transaction Gains/Losses
$(38.2)
3Q08
Gross Impairments
$ in millions
Realized Loss Trend
1
Excluding debt securities pledged as collateral
1
1


13
19.4%
$(399.7)
Total Gross Unrealized Losses After Offsets
11.4
(235.6)
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
After
Offsets
Closed
Block
8.0%
$(164.1)
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
After
Offsets
Open
Block
51.8%
$(1,096.1)
Total Gross Unrealized Losses
27.4
(580.1)
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Closed
Block
24.4%
% of GAAP
equity
$(516.0)
$ millions
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Open
Block
Unrealized Losses
As of September 30, 2008
1
Based
on
total
stockholders’
equity
excluding
accumulated
other
comprehensive
income
(loss)
2
Gross unrealized losses after offsets for deferred policy acquisition cost adjustments and taxes
3
Gross unrealized losses after offsets for policyholder dividend obligation and taxes
$ in millions
1
2
3


14
Strong Liquidity Position
>
Phoenix has modest redemption/liquidity risk
No GICs
No institutional funding agreements
No bank-owned life insurance
No securities lending
No material rating triggers
>
We have added high quality, liquid positions to the investment portfolio
>
Holding company requirements are modest and predictable


15
Phoenix Life Statutory Results
>
Statutory surplus of $835 million
>
Estimated RBC >325%
>
Year-to-date statutory gain from operations of $20.7 million
Leverage
>
Debt/capital: 18.1%
Additional Metrics


16
Appendix
Investment Portfolio Update


17
Investment Portfolio
Public
72%
Private
28%
Bonds $10,699
75%
Policy Loans $2,490
18%
Cash & Short-Term
$312
2%
Venture Capital
$202
1%
Stock
$166
1%
Mortgages & Real Estate
$12
0%
Other Invested Assets
$475
3%
Invested Assets:  $14.4 Billion
Market value as of  September 30, 2008
$ in millions


18
Residential MBS by Rating
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value
$ in millions
0.5%
0.8%
3.0%
0.2%
-
BB &
Below
53.1%
5.0%
34.7%
39.6%
76.6%
% in Closed
Block
1.5%
0.5%
3.7%
93.8%
12.8%
$1,839.9
$2,043.7
Total
4.7%
1.3%
6.4%
86.8%
1.4%
201.9
247.9
Subprime
1.3%
2.6%
12.9%
80.2%
1.6%
231.5
302.0
Alt-A
3.0%
-
4.9%
91.9%
3.6%
513.4
594.7
Prime
-
-
-
100.0%
6.2%
$893.1
$899.1
Agency
BBB
A
AA
AAA
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Rating


19
Residential MBS Subprime
Collateral
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value
$ in millions
-
-
29.2%
70.8%
-
-
1.6
2.4
BB & Below
Year of Issue
8.5%
22.6%
29.8%
17.0%
22.1%
1.4%
$201.9
$247.9
Total
7.0%
43.4%
9.3%
40.3%
-
0.1%
9.6
21.2
BBB
-
-
-
100.0%
-
-
2.7
6.3
A
46.4%
-
1.0%
-
52.6%
0.1%
12.8
19.8
AA
6.1%
23.7%
33.5%
15.1%
21.6%
1.2%
$175.2
$198.2
AAA
2003 &
Prior
2004
2005
2006
2007
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Rating


20
Residential MBS ALT-A Collateral
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value
$ in millions
-
-
-
100%
-
-
7.0
7.0
BB & Below
Year of Issue
8.5%
27.1%
25.9%
34.4%
4.1%
1.6%
$231.5
$302.0
Total
-
-
100%
-
-
-
3.0
3.0
BBB
53.2%
12.0%
34.8%
-
-
0.1%
5.9
8.3
A
47.5%
52.5%
-
-
-
0.2%
29.9
43.6
AA
1.3%
25.0%
29.6%
39.0%
5.1%
1.3%
$185.7
$240.1
AAA
2003 &
Prior
2004
2005
2006
2007
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Rating


21
CMBS by Year of Origination
Year of Issue
5.2%
-
3.9%
8.1%
4.9%
2007
8.1%
-
10.0%
10.8%
7.5%
2006
5.9%
32.5%
-
6.5%
6.1%
2005
80.8%
67.5%
86.1%
74.6%
81.5%
2004 &
Prior
70.2%
9.0%
$1,285.3
$1,372.2
Total
-
0.1%
7.9
10.3
BBB
52.0%
0.5%
74.5
87.4
A
61.3%
1.1%
151.7
172.8
AA
73.3%
7.3%
$1,051.2
$1,101.7
AAA
% in Closed
Block
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Rating
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value
$ in millions


22
CDO Holdings
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value
$ in millions
11.3%
100%
-
-
-
13.7%
BB &
Below
41.3%
-
55.3%
100.0%
51.1%
36.9%
% in Closed
Block
15.7%
22.8%
34.9%
26.6%
0.3%
50.2
72.9
CMBS
36.6%
28.7%
19.5%
3.9%
2.3%
$340.7
$389.6
Total
-
-
-
-
-
4.6
4.6
RMBS
-
-
100%
-
-
3.7
3.9
High-Yield Debt
10.2%
3.9%
85.9%
-
0.3%
36.4
36.5
Inv Grade Debt
46.1%
34.5%
5.7%
-
1.7%
$245.8
$271.7
Bank Loans
BBB
A
AA
AAA
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Collateral
-
-
BB &
Below
-
-
% in Closed
Block
100%
-
-
-
0.1%
$8.1
$16.9
Total
100%
-
-
-
0.1%
$8.1
$16.9
Bank Loans
BBB
A
AA
AAA
% General
Account
Market
Value
Book
Value
Collateral


23
Financial Sector Holdings
$ in millions
40.2%
0.4%
51.6
64.2
Consumer Finance
53.5%
11.1%
$1,590.9
$1,845.5
Total
-
-
4.3
4.2
Project Finance
54.5%
1.5%
216.9
240.1
REITS
52.9%
0.6%
88.4
93.0
Leasing/Rental
60.9%
2.4%
344.7
385.6
Insurance
33.2%
1.9%
272.4
322.6
Diversified Financial
45.5%
0.6%
83.6
98.2
Commercial Finance
58.9%
1.0%
146.8
158.5
Broker-Dealer
63.1%
2.7%
$382.2
$479.1
Bank
Book
Value
Market
Value
% General
Account
% in Closed
Block
Sector
As of September 30, 2008
Percentages based on market value