EX-99.1 2 a05-21110_1ex99d1.htm EXHIBIT 99












































































































 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

December 1, 2005

 

© 2005 Avaya Inc. All rights reserved.

 

1



 

Forward Looking Statements

 

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Forward-looking statements give our current expectations or forecasts of future events.  Actual future results may vary materially.  They can be affected by inaccurate assumptions we might make or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties.  Consequently, no forward-looking statement can be guaranteed and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.

 

The risks and uncertainties referred to above include, but are not limited to: price and product competition; rapid or disruptive technological development, including the effects of the technology shift from traditional TDM to IP telephony; dependence on new product development; the mix of our products and services; customer demand for our products and services, including risks specifically associated with the services business and, in particular, the maintenance and rental and managed services lines of business, primarily due to renegotiations of customer contracts and changes in scope, pricing pressures and cancellations; general industry and market conditions and growth rates and general domestic and international economic conditions including interest rate and currency exchange rate fluctuations; disruption associated with the re-alignment of our sales and marketing efforts; risks related to inventory, including warranty costs, obsolescence charges, excess capacity, material and labor costs, and our distributors’ decisions regarding their own inventory level; the economic, political and other risks associated with international sales and operations, including increased exposure to currency fluctuations and to European economies as a result of our acquisition of Tenovis; the ability to successfully integrate acquired companies, including Tenovis, which has required significant management time and attention; the ability to attract and retain qualified employees; control of costs and expenses; U.S. and non-U.S. government regulation; and the ability to form and implement alliances.

 

For a further list and description of such risks and uncertainties, see the reports filed by Avaya with the SEC, which are available at www.sec.gov, particularly the information contained in Part II, Item 7, entitled “Forward Looking Statements”, of our fiscal 2004 Form 10-K and the information contained in Part I, Item 2, entitled “Forward Looking Statements”, of our Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2005.  Avaya disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

Presentation:  Unless indicated otherwise, all results are presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP).

 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

The First 5 Years

 

Donald K. Peterson

Chairman and CEO

 

3



 

The First 5 Years

September 30, 2000: A Challenging Beginning

 

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                       Conceived in a bubble…but

                       Global economic meltdown on the horizon

                       Y2K spend cycle over

 

                       Positioned as “slow-growth” “weight” on Lucent Technologies. “Viking funeral”

 

                       $780 million in debt and undercapitalized

 

                       Traditional telephony portfolio

 

                       New company; no brand awareness

 

4



 

The First 5 Years

But With Assets to Build On

 

                       Unmatched customer base

                       90% of Fortune 500®

 

                       World-class technology

                       Avaya Labs (former Bell Labs)

                       Services “feet on the street”

 

                       Opportunity for unique culture

                       A multi-billion dollar start-up

 

                       Industry on the verge of a “Once-in-a-Generation”technology disruption

 

                       Simple plan: Restructure, Reinvest, Revenue Growth

 

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5



 

The First 5 Years

The Road To Intelligent Communications

 

                       Financial stability

 

                       Right people, right investment

 

                       Global reach

 

                       Market leadership

 

                       New name, brand awareness

 

[CHART]

 

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                       Vision of convergence

 

                       Portfolio renewal while maintaining steady investment in R&D

 

                       IP telephony as key to intelligent communications

 

                       Transforming our business with our own solutions

 

Market share, ports shipped – Synergy Research

 

6



 

AVAYA STRATEGY

 

[CHART]

 

MARKETPLACE FORCES

 

[CHART]

 

7



 

The First 5 Years
Reinvested in Our Portfolio

 

                       Early commitment to IP Telephony

 

                       Software focus

 

                       Open, flexible, interoperable, secure

                       Avaya Labs – ongoing investment in R&D

 

                       Portfolio renewal

 

                       DEFINITY à MultiVantage solutions, Communication Manager

                       Partner, Magix, INDeX à IP Office

                       Audix, Serenade, Aria à Modular Messaging

                       CRM Central à Customer Interaction Suite

                       Break fix services focus à planning, design, integration, implementation, installation and maintenance, remote support, managed and hosted services

 

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8



 

The First 5 Years
Expanding Our Portfolio & Footprint Through Acquisitions

 

                       Tenovis quadrupled footprint in Europe

                       Avaya #2 in Germany, #3 in Europe

 

[CHART]

 

9



 

The First 5 Years
Expansion Through Partnerships

 

                       Partner with industry leaders

 

                       ‘DevConnect’ Program: >1,300, 34% outside U.S, grew 5x since 2004

 

[CHART]

 

10



 

The First 5 Years
Restructured Go-To-Market Model

 

Direct

 

 

 

Strategic
Accounts

Aligned by industry

 

Global deployment

 

CXO relationships

 

Solution selling

 

 

 

 

Named
Accounts

High-touch on regional accounts

 

Strong Partner participation

 

Geo alignment, vertical specialization

 

 

 

 

Mid Market

Partner-led

 

Offering focus

 

Strong winback programs

 

 

 

 

Small
Business

Partner-led

 

Coverage focus

 

Portfolio of solutions

 

Strong marketing

Indirect

 

 

 

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The First 5 Years
And We Delivered Competitive Value
To Our Customers

 

…customer path, pace and choice

 

Avaya Customer Value

 

Applications

 

                       Flexible

                       Modular

                       Ubiquitous

 

Services

 

                       Single-point accountability

                       Global

                       Secure

 

Systems

 

                       Open

                       Available

                       Evolutionary

 

12



 

The First 5 Years
Avaya Today

 

Delivering

 

How?

 

Leadership
in the market

 

#1 in IP telephony, contact center, messaging

 

 

and other key business communications applications

 

 

Leadership in vision: Intelligent Communications

 

 

Holistic mobility approach, many deliverables

 

 

 

 

 

Technology as
an enabler of
business value

 

Industry leading communication applications

 

 

High availability, security and control

 

 

RIM (Blackberry), Motorola, Nokia – ubiquitous mobility

 

 

Managed services for optimization, migration, risk reduction

 

 

Integrating communication applications with business applications

 

 

 

 

 

Global size
and scale

 

Interoperability on industry platforms

 

 

Now #3 vendor in EMEA

 

 

AP: aggressive ecosystem growth

 

 

CALA: 22% growth, leadership in contact center

 

 

NA: Acquisition and retention channel strategy

 

 

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A Leader in Business Communications

 

IP Telephony

 

Contact Centers

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Mobility

 

Services

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The First 5 Years
Financial Progress Report

 

                       Generated positive cash flow & operating income

 

                       Built strong balance sheet

 

                       Instilled financial discipline

 

                       Created performance based culture

 

[CHART]

 

15



 

The First 5 Years
With Customers All Over the World

 

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16



 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Financial and Operational Review

 

Garry K. McGuire

CFO and SVP, Corporate Development

 

17



 

Discussion Points – FY 2005

 

                  2005 Year in Review

 

                  Key Performance Drivers

 

                  Asset Management and Liquidity

 

                  Capital Structure

 

18



 

2005 Year in Review

 

                       A year of challenges…

 

                       Go-to-market model adjustments

                       European integration

                       Pressure in services maintenance revenues

 

                       But also a year of progress in key areas:

 

                       Larger, broader, more diversified global presence

                       Strengthened technology & solutions portfolio

                       Maintained IP market leadership

                       Maintained financial discipline

                       Stronger balance sheet

                       Sustained profitability*

 


*                      Based on adjusted operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure.  Reconciliation to reported results can be found in “Certain Items” chart in Appendix

 

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Larger, Broader, More Diverse Global Presence

 

FY2004

 

[CHART]

 

Total Revenue of $4,069M

 

FY2005

 

[CHART]

 

Total Revenue of $4,902M

 

Avaya International Increases from 24% to 41%

 

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European Integration
Progress to Date

 

                       Reduced headcount by 8% or approximately 530 positions

 

                       Consolidated operations, offices, systems and legal entities

 

                       Achieved approximately $38M in annualized cost savings

 

                       Retired assumed debt of $265M

 

                       Foregone annual interest expense of $16M

 

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Strengthened Technology & Solutions Portfolio

 

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Software upgrades

                       Communication Manager 3.0

                       IP Office 3.0

 

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Maintained IP Telephony Market Leadership

 

The Gartner Magic Quadrant

North American Corporate Telephony, August 2005

 

[CHART]

 

The Magic Quadrant is copyrighted 2005 by Gartner, Inc. and is reused with permission. The Magic Quadrant is a graphical representation of a marketplace at and for a specific time period. It depicts Gartner’s analysis of how certain vendors measure against criteria for that marketplace, as defined by Gartner. Gartner does not endorse any vendor, product or service depicted in the Magic Quadrant, and does not advise technology users to select only those vendors placed in the “Leaders” quadrant. The Magic Quadrant is intended solely as a research tool, and is not meant to be a specific guide to action. Gartner disclaims all warranties, express or implied, with respect to this research, including any warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose.

 

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Maintained IP Telephony Market Leadership
Shipped 7M+ Lines

 

[CHART]

 

24



 

Continued Trend of Strong Cash Flow

 

Cash flow from operations

 

[CHART]

 

25



 

Eliminated All But $30M in Debt

 

[CHART]

 

Eliminated approximately $850 million during FY05, including about
$265 million of debt assumed upon the Tenovis acquisition

 

26



 

Sustained Profitability

 

Operating Income (Loss)

As Reported

 

[CHART]

 

27



 

Sustained Profitability

 

Operating Income (Loss),

as adjusted*

 

[CHART]

 


* This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Reconciliation to reported result can be found in “Certain Items” chart in Appendix

 

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Key Performance Drivers

 

29



 

Revenue
FY04 to FY05 Increase of 20.5%

 

[CHART]

 

Organic growth in EMEA, APAC & CALA in FY2005

 


* Restated for the sale of Connectivity

 

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Revenue
International Growth Driven by Acquisitions
& Organic Growth

 

[CHART]

United States

 

[CHART]

America Non-U.S.

 

[CHART]

EMEA

 

[CHART]

APAC

 

                       US performance impacted by Go To Market channel disruption

                       Growth in CALA/Canada 100% organic

                       EMEA reflects Tenovis acquisition plus solid organic growth

                       APAC includes AGC majority interest plus double digit organic growth

 

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Revenue US Indirect Channel
Total Sales IN-Sales OUT - Compared with Inventory

 

[CHART]

 

Q1 FY04 Indexed = 100%

 

32



 

Revenue US Direct GCS
Indexed Performance Since Q1 FY04

 

Q1 FY04 Indexed = 100%

 

[CHART]

 

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Sale of Products
Growth of 12%

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Positive impact from acquisitions

 

                       Organic growth in EMEA, APAC and CALA

 

                       Go-to-market changes caused disruption in U.S

 

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Services Revenue Increased 12%

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Positive impact from acquisitions

 

                       U.S. services revenues

 

                       Scope and price changes pressured maintenance revenue

                       Maintenance revenue stable in the second half

                       Implementation & integration services increased year over year

 

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Rental & Managed Services Revenue Growth

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Positive impact from Tenovis rental base

 

                       Erosion in NA, but flat for second half of 2005

 

                       EMEA represents approximately two-thirds of the FY05 total

 

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Stable Product Gross Margin

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       YoY price declines relatively stable

 

                       Benefit from lower employee incentive plan expenses

 

                       Cost reductions

 

                       Improved inventory management

 

                       Lower volume in U.S. and European product mix impact are negative

 

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Decline in Services Gross Margin

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Size and scope changes contribute to lower utilization rates

 

                       European service business has lower margins

 

                       Cost management contributed to second half improvements

 

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Rental & Managed Services Gross Margin Growth

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Tenovis rental base

 

                       Headcount reductions in U.S.

 

                       Rental base mix improves overall margin rate

 

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Research and Development Spending

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       Lower R&D spending rate at Tenovis and AGC

 

                       Higher R&D investment from technology acquisitions

 

                       Lower employee incentive plan expenses

 


* This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Adjusted for $7M of purchased in-process R&D

 

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SG&A Spending

 

SG&A

 

[CHART]

 

Factors

 

                       SG&A increase from Tenovis and AGC acquisitions

 

                       Increase in intangibles amortization

 

                       Lower employee incentive plan expenses

 

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Operating Income Increased 7% in 2005

 

[CHART]

 

Higher volume and lower services costs in the
second half of FY05 improved operating margin to 7.2%

 


* This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Reconciliation to reported result can be found in “Certain Items” chart in Appendix

 

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Segment Results

 

43



 

Segment Review
Revenue

 

Global Communications Solutions

 

[CHART]

 

Avaya Global Services

 

[CHART]

 

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Segment Review
Operating Income

 

Global Communications
Solutions

 

[CHART]

 

Avaya Global Services

 

[CHART]

 

Corporate

 

[CHART]

 

45



 

Asset Management
and Liquidity

 

46



 

Working Capital Management
DSO and Inventory Turnover

 

[CHART]

 

47



 

Improved Capital Structure and Liquidity

 

($ in millions)

 

9/30/02

 

9/30/03

 

9/30/04

 

9/30/05

 

Total Debt

 

$

933

 

$

953

 

$

593

 

$

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Shareholders Equity

 

 

200

 

794

 

1,961

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Capitalization

 

933

 

1,153

 

1,387

 

1,991

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash And Equivalents

 

597

 

1,192

 

1,617

 

750

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash (Debt)

 

(336

)

239

 

1,024

 

720

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt-to-Capital Ratio

 

100.0

%

82.7

%

42.7

%

1.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Expense

 

$

51

 

$

78

 

$

66

 

$

19

 

 

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Capital Structure and Liquidity

 

Beginning Cash Balance FY05

 

$

1,617M

 

 

Sources

 

Uses

 

Cash from Operations

 

Acquisitions

 

 

 

 

 

Other Financing Activities

 

Capital Expenditures

 

 

 

Tender on Senior Notes

 

 

 

Tenovis Debt Retirement

 

 

 

Stock Repurchases

 

 

Ending Cash Balance FY05

 

$

750M

 

 

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Share Repurchase Program
Building Shareholder Value

 

[CHART]

 

                       Share repurchase program approved in Q3 FY05

 

                       Approval for $500 million over two years

 

                       Through November 30th, 18.1 million shares repurchased

 

50



 

[LOGO]

 

Summary

 

                       Addressed operational challenges faced in FY2005

                       Strengthened sales channels

 

                       Continued to maintain financial discipline company wide

 

                       Performance improved during the second half of the year

 

                       Sustained profitability

 

                       We are a stronger, more competitive company today

                       Extended geographic reach and footprint

                       Better positioned to drive & benefit from IP telephony transition

                       Focused on capturing the opportunities ahead and building value for shareholders

 

© 2005 Avaya Inc. All rights reserved.

 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Corporate Strategy

 

Donald K. Peterson

Chairman and CEO

 

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Avaya Strategy to Build Shareholder Value
Leverage Incumbency and Technology

 

Global Enterprise Telephony Installed Base Total Lines (M)

 

[CHART]

 

Source: Avaya analysis based on independent industry analyst reports

 

Technology Transition Drives Growth Opportunity

 

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Global Opportunity
IP Growth & Market Penetration

 

North America Telephony Base

 

[CHART]

 

Growth CAGR = 40%

 

EMEA Telephony Base

 

[CHART]

 

Growth CAGR = 52%

 

CALA Telephony Base

 

[CHART]

 

Growth CAGR = 48%

 

APAC Telephony Base

 

[CHART]

 

Growth CAGR = 54%

 

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Avaya Road to Intelligent Communications

 

[CHART]

 

55



 

Corporate Strategy

 

[CHART]

 

56



 

Enhanced Systems, Applications & Services

Deliver Customer Value

 

...customer path, pace and choice

 

Avaya Customer Value

 

Applications

 

                       Flexible

                       Modular

                       Ubiquitous

 

Services

 

                       Single-point accountability

                       Global

                       Secure

 

Systems

 

                       Open

                       Available

                       Evolutionary

 

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Competitive Advantages

 

                       Global size and scale

 

                       Technology and applications leadership

 

                       Vision and roadmap for the future of enterprise telephony

 

                       Current customers

 

                       New customers

 

                       Unmatched portfolio of products and services offerings

 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Global Communications Solutions

 

Michael Thurk
SVP and President,
Global Communications Solutions

 

59



 

Market and Technology Trends
Evolution to Intelligent Communications

 

                       IP Telephony

                       New alternative technologies

                       Service Provider Opportunity

                       Infrastructure for more than dial tone

 

                       Applications

                       Standards based software

                       Customer contact drives new IP Voice Apps throughout enterprise

                       Communication – enabled business applications emerging

                       New business models and licensing

 

                       Solutions

                       Systems integrators playing increased role in buying decisions

                       Highest customer value with complete solutions

                       Integrated communications tailored to verticals

 

                       Mobility and Appliances

                       Blending of carrier and enterprise services (SIP)

                       Increased adoption of mobile worker multi-media applications

 

Technology Trends

 

Common
Programming
Models

 

Standard
Architectures

 

Common
Reporting
Platform

 

Common User
Experience

 

Standard
Management
Tools

 

60



 

Avaya Product Directions

 

                       Continue to enhance current offerings in IPtel, Applications, Appliances and Mobility

 

                       Continue to invest in security and management

 

                       Invest in low end offers for SMB, branch and peer to peer

 

                       Services Oriented Architecture (SOA) to allow for easier integration of communications into business processes

 

                       Open APIs and SIP at all levels of the architecture

 

                       Partnerships to provide solutions and for the integration of communications into business processes (eg. SAP)

 

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Intelligent Communications
Embedded into the Fabric of Business

 

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Modular Components Become Building Blocks for Enterprise Applications and Processes

 

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Communication Services
Opportunity & Roadmap

 

Increasing Value

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Specialized
for Verticals;
e.g. Pharma

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Templates for
Quick Start and
Interoperability

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Communications extend
Business Processes
to Increase Their Value

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Integrate Communication Services
Into Business Process Flows

 

Depth & Breadth of Comm-Enabled Process Flows

 

63



 

CY06 Roadmap Highlights

 

                       Nimcat Networks (building peer-to-peer communications systems)

                       Products in CY06

 

                       Assured Networks (real time network performance)

 

                       Applications Enhancements

                       Voice Portal V3.0 shipping on Websphere

                       New Releases in Messaging, Assisted Service and Proactive Contact

 

                       SIP and VPN based services

 

                       Tenovis Product Integration with Avaya Platforms

                       SMB IP Office 3.1 shipping

                       I55 Tenovis interoperability and migration

 

                       New Releases of Communication Manager for branch offers, security, resiliency and scale

 

                       Mobility and New End Point Releases

 

64



 

Partnerships

 

                       DEVconnect Partners to enhance solutions offers

                       Increasing number of strategic alliances

 

[LOGO]

 

65



 

Longer Term Directions

 

                  Creation of Intelligent Enterprise

                  Mobility

                  Standards (SIP)

                  Services Oriented Architecture

                  Solutions Orientation

 

                  Critical Ingredients

                  Security

                  Scalability

                  Highest Reliability

                  Value Added Applications and ISVs

                  Partnerships

 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Avaya Global Services

 

Fran Scricco

 

SVP and President,
Avaya Global Services

 

67



 

Avaya Global Services Strategy Overview

 

To become the premier end-to-end enabler of intelligent communications in an IP world

 

The Past

 

TDM product

                       Installation

                       Maintenance

 

                       Unique value in EXPERT SystemsSM Diagnostic Tools

 

                       North American focus

 

The Present

 

                       Services differentiating our products

                       TDM products

                       IP products

 

                       Expanding services value because of IP

                       Professional services

                       Managed services

 

                       Unique value in Enterprise Services Platform

 

                       Building and integrating global coverage

 

The Future

 

                       Services leads our product

                       Network and Security Assessments

 

                       Services encapsulates our product

                       Managed Services

 

                       Services is our product

                       Business Communications Consulting

                       Hosted Solutions

 

                       Unique value in suite of tools

 

                       Seamless global coverage

 

68



 

An IP World Has Broader Service Needs

 

 

 

TDM World

 

IP World

 

AGS Business

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

Day 1

 

Install

 

Plan Design Integrate Install

 

Professional Services (CS&I)

Day 2

 

Maintain & Monitor (Voice Only)

 

Support (Environment)

 

Maintenance / Product Support (PSS)

 

 

 

 

Manage (Environment)

 

Managed Services (GMS)

 

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We Are Building Professional Services Capabilities Globally

 

FY04/05 Focus

                       IP Migration

                       Program Management

 

FY06/07 Focus

                       Business Communications Consulting

                       Applications Consulting = integrating applications in contact center space

                      Call center

                      Computer / Telephony Interface

                      Predictive Dialer

                      Reporting systems

                      Interactive Voice Response

 

70



 

We Are Transforming Product Support Services To Sustain Revenues And Reduce Cost

 

IP Characteristic

 

Product Support Services Action

 

 

 

Increasing software content

 

        Create offers to explicitly recognize value of software

 

 

        Deliver higher proportion of service remotely

 

 

 

Application on data network

 

        Monitor entire environment, not just PBX

 

 

        Deliver higher proportion of service remotely

 

71



 

Complex Environments Create Opportunity For IP-based Managed Services

 

Deliver Avaya Applications Over the Network

 

Avaya On Demand

 

                       SP Delivered

                       Avaya Hosted

 

Fully Manage Complex and Migrating Infrastructures to Client Specifications

 

IP Converged Solutions

 

                       IP Migration Outsourcing

                       Communications Outsourcing

                       Network Convergence

                       Network Security

 

Managing our Customer’s Contact Center & Conferencing Applications

 

Managed Apps

 

                       Application Services

                       Managed Meeting Exchange

                       Contact Center Technology Outsourcing

                       Managed IVR

 

72



 

Summary: IP Allows Migration To Higher Value Services

 

V
A
L
U
E

Stages of Company IT Services Culture and Positioning

AGS Examples...

 

 

 

Services is the Product

BCC, Cost Mngt, Contact Center
Re-engineering, Hosted Solutions

CS&I /
GMS

 

 

Services Encapsulates the Product

Managed Services

 

 

Services Leads the Product

IPT Migration, Network &
Security Assessments

 

 

 

Services Differentiates the Product

Support Services, Remote
Monitoring Capability, etc.

GTS/ PSS/
CS&I Impl.

 

 

 

  Services Support the Product

Basic Implementations,
Maintenance Agreements

 

Gartner Dataquest (December 2002)

 

Software oriented environment enables migration to higher value stages

 

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Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Global Sales and Marketing

 

Lou D’Ambrosio

SVP and President,
Global Sales and Marketing

 

74



 

Avaya Go-to-Market Model
Key Initiatives

 

Direct

 

 

 

Strategic
Accounts

Aligned by industry

 

Global deployment

 

CXO relationships

 

Solution selling

 

 

 

 

Named
Accounts

High-touch on regional accounts

 

Strong Partner participation

 

Geo alignment, vertical specialization

 

 

 

 

Mid Market

Partner-led

 

Offering focus

 

Strong winback programs

 

 

 

 

Small
Business

Partner-led

 

Coverage focus

 

Portfolio of solutions

 

Strong marketing

Indirect

 

 

 

75



 

Winning with Avaya Communications

 

[LOGO]

 

76



 

Real Customer; Real Differentiation

 

[LOGO]

 

                       Home Depot

                       Create “store of the future”

                       Migrate 2,000+ stores  to IP Telephony

                       Fully integrated IP Telephony solution

 

[LOGO]

 

                       ABN AMRO

                       Global deployment of over 100,000 ports in 14 countries

                       Replace multiple incumbent vendors

                       Fully integrated managed services

 

[LOGO]

 

                       Wynn Resorts

                       Redefine customer service in the hospitality industry

                       Worked with five “DevConnect’ partners

                       Created IP phone as the “portal” to the resort

 

77



 

Real Customer; Real Differentiation

 

[LOGO]

 

                       Boston Red Sox

                       IP Telephony solution to build customer loyalty

                       Differentiate between scalpers and loyal fans

                       Virtual offices during Spring Training and Recruiting

 

[LOGO]

 

                       Palm Beach County Schools

                       District for students with special needs

                       Worked with DevConnect partners to connect bus GPS system to IP Telephony solution

                       Ensure parents / guardians are present when school bus arrives

 

78



 

FIFA World Cup Sponsor

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

79



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Financial Strategy and Goals

 

Garry K. McGuire
CFO and SVP, Corporate Development

 

80



 

Forward Looking Statements

 

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Forward-looking statements give our current expectations or forecasts of future events.  Actual future results may vary materially.  They can be affected by inaccurate assumptions we might make or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties.  Consequently, no forward-looking statement can be guaranteed and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.

 

The risks and uncertainties referred to above include, but are not limited to: price and product competition; rapid or disruptive technological development, including the effects of the technology shift from traditional TDM to IP telephony; dependence on new product development; the mix of our products and services; customer demand for our products and services, including risks specifically associated with the services business and, in particular, the maintenance and rental and managed services lines of business, primarily due to renegotiations of customer contracts and changes in scope, pricing pressures and cancellations; general industry and market conditions and growth rates and general domestic and international economic conditions including interest rate and currency exchange rate fluctuations; disruption associated with the re-alignment of our sales and marketing efforts; risks related to inventory, including warranty costs, obsolescence charges, excess capacity, material and labor costs, and our distributors’ decisions regarding their own inventory level; the economic, political and other risks associated with international sales and operations, including increased exposure to currency fluctuations and to European economies as a result of our acquisition of Tenovis; the ability to successfully integrate acquired companies, including Tenovis, which has required significant management time and attention; the ability to attract and retain qualified employees; control of costs and expenses; U.S. and non-U.S. government regulation; and the ability to form and implement alliances.

 

For a further list and description of such risks and uncertainties, see the reports filed by Avaya with the SEC, which are available at www.sec.gov, particularly the information contained in Part II, Item 7, entitled “Forward Looking Statements”, of our fiscal 2004 Form 10-K and the information contained in Part I, Item 2, entitled “Forward Looking Statements”, of our Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2005.  Avaya disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

Presentation:  Unless indicated otherwise, all results are presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP).

 

81



 

Discussion Points

 

                       Key Financial Themes for FY’06 and Beyond

 

                       Economic and Market Environment

 

                       Major Drivers of Performance in FY’06

 

                       Balance Sheet Goals

 

                       Corporate Development Framework

 

82



 

Key Financial Themes for FY’06 and Beyond

 

                       Drive toward double-digit operating margins

 

                       Generate significant operating cash flow

 

                       Continued investment in software to strengthen applications leadership

 

                       Maintain strong balance sheet

 

                       Continue share repurchases to deliver shareholder value

 

83



 

Economic & Market Environment

 

84



 

Regional GDP Growth Trends

 

[CHART]

 

GDP Growth

 

Source: EIU, Avaya market analysis

 

85



 

Regional IT Spending Growth Trends

 

[CHART]

 

IT Spending Growth

 

Source: EIU, Avaya market analysis

 

86



 

CIO Priorities

 

                       Out of more than 30 IT spending alternatives, VoIP ranked 6th, up from 9th, in a survey of CIOs

 

                       74% of enterprises in North America and 60% in Europe have deployed, are deploying or are evaluating plans to deploy IP Telephony

 

                       Once IP Telephony deployed, companies expect to invest in applications, endpoints and services to maximize the value of IP Telephony infrastructure

 

Sources: Goldman Sachs survey, Forrester Research, internal Avaya research

 

87



 

Major Drivers of Performance in FY’06

 

88



 

FY06 Trends: Revenue

 

                       Targeting increased product sales in all regions

                       Resumption of growth in US

                       Growth in Europe, even with the adjustment for the pre-acquisition stub period

                       Higher growth rates in APAC and CALA

 

                       Services revenue flat, with international maintenance growth partially offsetting decline in U.S.

                       Focused on stabilizing U.S. maintenance revenue

 

                       Rental and managed services

                       Expand managed services offerings in Europe

                       Mitigate erosion in European rental base

                       Focus on reversing decline in U.S.

 

Note: Assumes constant currency

 

89



 

Items Impacting YoY Cost Structure

 

Added Cost and Expense

 

Previously Discussed:

 

 

 

Employee Incentive Plan

 

$

80

M

Increased R&D Investment

 

20

M

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

100

M

 

 

 

 

Additional Items:

 

 

 

Employee Benefit Expense

 

63

M

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

63

M

 

FAS 123R expected to be $15 million in FY2006

 

Offsetting Cost Savings

 

Previously Discussed:

 

 

 

European Cost Reductions

 

$

38

M

AV Global Services FY05 Actions

 

50

M

 

Q2

12

M

 

 

 

 

Q3

13

M

 

 

 

 

Q4

25

M

 

 

 

Total

 

$

88

M

 

 

 

 

Additional Items:

 

 

 

Further European Cost Reductions

 

18

M

Change in Vacation Policy

 

11

M

SG&A Reductions

 

20

M

Total

 

$

49

M

 

Targeting additional cost/expense actions

 

90



 

FY06 Trends: Gross Margin

 

Targeting improvement in overall Gross Margins

 

Product

 

Services

 

Rental & Managed Services

 

 

 

 

 

+ Volume

 

+ Cost Reductions

 

+ Volume

+ Product Mix

 

- Maintenance and Portfolio Mix

 

+ Cost Reductions

+ Manufacturing Cost Improvement

 

- Benefit Expenses

 

+ Geographic Mix

- Geographic Mix

 

 

 

- Pressure on Rental Base in Germany

- Pricing

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Overall Expectation:

 

Overall Expectation:

 

Overall Expectation:

+

 

Neutral

 

+

 

Note: Assumes constant currency

 

91



 

FY’06 Trends: SG&A
Expect SG&A as a % of Revenue to Decline

 

[CHART]

 

FY06

                       Drive international SG&A towards U.S. levels

                       Spending impacted by employee benefits and incentive plan

 

92



 

FY’06 Trends: R&D as % of Revenue

 

                       Targeted increase in R&D spending to support applications leadership and software development

 

[CHART]

 

93



 

FY06 Trends: FX Impact

 

Revenue: Currency mix

 

[CHART]

 

US$ – Euro Exchange Rate

 

[CHART]

 

1% movement in exchange rates for current basket of currencies = $15M revenue impact

 

94



 

Balance Sheet Goals

 

95



 

Balance Sheet Goals

 

                       Maintain a strong net cash position

 

                       Improve credit rating – ultimate goal is investment grade

 

                       Call remaining senior notes

 

                       Improve DSO

 

                       Improve inventory turnover

 

96



 

Maintain Strong Net Cash Position

 

[CHART]

 


* Net Cash is a non-GAAP financial measure.

 

97



 

Major Sources & Uses of Cash

 

Beginning Cash Balance FY06

 

$

750

M

 

Sources

 

Improvements in Profitability and Working Capital

 

Uses

 

Stock Repurchases

Call of Senior Notes

Capital Expenditures

Restructuring Costs

 

98



 

Operating Cash Flow
FY06 OCF Expected to Improve

 

[CHART]

 

FY2006

 

+ Increased profitability

 

+ Improvements to working capital

 

+ Employee incentive compensation

 

- Restructuring costs

 

Overall Expectation:

++

 

99



 

Tax

 

                       Reversed valuation allowance in FY05 on a portion of deferred tax assets related U.S. Federal net operating losses. Tax provision for FY06 will be recorded on financial statements

 

                       Effective tax rate for FY 06 in 36% to 38% range

                       Higher rate in the first half, improving during the year

 

                       As a result of our $1 billion in U.S. Federal net operating losses, Avaya will not pay cash taxes on U.S. taxable income until such tax net operating losses are fully utilized

                       Cash will be paid for required alternative minimum tax and certain state, local and foreign taxes

 

100



 

Depreciation & Amortization

 

[CHART]

 

101



 

Corporate Development

 

                       M&A Strategy to date

 

                       Focus primarily on “tuck-in” acquisitions that can be quickly and seamlessly integrated

 

                       Strengthen / complement applications portfolio

 

                       Support development of professional services capabilities

 

                       Extend / strengthen footprint

 

                       Goal of minimal dilution in first year; neutral or positive to earnings beginning in second year

 

102



 

Key Financial Themes:
FY’06 and Beyond

 

103



 

Drive Toward Double-Digit Operating Margins
Revenue Goals

 

                       Solid growth in sales of products

                       Continue to capitalize on technology transition

                       Migrate Europe telephony base to IP

                       Growth in applications software

                       Accelerate SMB sales (IP Office, Nimcat)

 

                       Growth in rental and managed services

                       Migration of rental base to managed services

                       Growth in managed services through partnerships & alliances

 

                       Stabilize services revenue

 

104



 

Continuing Shift Towards Software

 

HW - SW Mix as a % of GCS Net Revenues

 

[CHART]

 

105



 

Key Areas of Opportunity

 

 

 

Gross
Margin

 

Operating
Margin

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Drive additional operational improvements in EMEA

 

ý

 

ý

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Improve product cost through design and sourcing

 

ý

 

ý

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Maintain focus on services utilization to improve margins

 

ý

 

ý

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Adopt one unified ERP system globally

 

 

 

ý

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

        Achieve further real estate cost reductions

 

 

 

ý

 

 

106



 

Summary

 

                       Technology transition provides global market opportunity

 

                       Clear strategy, strong positioning & competitive advantages

 

                       Applications are a key driver & differentiator

 

                       Drive toward double-digit operating margins

 

                       Generate significant operating cash flow

 

                       Maintain strong balance sheet

 

                       Commitment to building shareholder value

 

107



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Avaya Financial Analyst Conference

 

Appendix

 

108



 

Certain Items Included in Results That May Affect Comparability

 

 

 

Year Ended

 

($ in millions)

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

Operating Income

 

$

(967

)

$

(354

)

$

63

 

$

323

 

$

298

 

Certain Items Included in Operating Income:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reversal of reserves for sales returns and allowances

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

Business restructuring charges

 

(837

)

(209

)

 

 

(22

)

Gain on curtailment of pension & postretirement plans

 

 

 

46

 

 

 

Purchased in-process R&D

 

(32

)

 

 

 

(7

)

Tenovis integration costs

 

 

 

 

 

(6

)

Goodwill and intangibles impairment charge

 

 

(71

)

 

 

 

Certain Items Included in Operating Income

 

(869

)

(280

)

46

 

12

 

(35

)

Operating Income Adjusted for the Impact of Certain Items

 

$

(98

)

$

(74

)

$

17

 

$

311

 

$

333

 

 

109