EX-99.B 3 d60190_ex99-b.htm PRESENTATION

1

July 28, 2004

Fiscal Year 2004 3rd Quarter
Earnings Conference Call

Larry Yost, Chairman and CEO
Carl Soderstrom, Senior Vice President and CFO

 

This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
These forward-looking statements are based on currently
available competitive, financial and economic data and management’s views and
assumptions regarding future events.  Such forward-looking statements are inherently
uncertain, and actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain
risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to global economic and market conditions;
the demand for commercial, specialty and light vehicles for which the company supplies
products; risks inherent in operating abroad, including foreign currency exchange rates;
availablity and cost of raw materials; OEM program delays; demand for and market
acceptance of new and existing products; reliance on major OEM customers; labor relations
of the company, its customers and suppliers; successful integration of acquired or merged
businesses; achievement of the expected annual savings and synergies from past and future
business combinations; success and timing of potential divestitures; potential impairment of
long-lived assets, including goodwill; competitive product and pricing pressures; the amount
of the company’s debt; the ability of the company to access capital markets; the credit ratings
of the company’s debt; the outcome of existing and any future legal proceedings, including
any litigation with respect to environmental or asbestos-related matters; as well as other risks
and uncertainties, including but not limited to those detailed herein and from time to time in
ArvinMeritor’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings.

Forward-Looking Statements

2

 

3rd Quarter Income Statement

(in millions, except per share amounts)

2004

2003

$

%

Sales

2,388

$      

2,109

$        

279

$         

13%

Cost of Sales

(2,159)

        

(1,896)

         

(263)

           

-14%

Gross Margin

229

            

213

            

16

              

8%

SG&A

(123)

           

(111)

            

(12)

            

-11%

Restructuring Costs

(4)

               

(5)

               

1

               

20%

Operating Income

102

            

97

               

5

               

5%

Equity in Earnings of Affiliates

5

               

4

                 

1

               

25%

Interest Expense, Net and Other

(26)

            

(26)

              

-

                 

0%

Income Before Income Taxes

81

              

75

               

6

               

8%

Provision for Income Taxes

(24)

            

(24)

              

-

                 

0%

Minority Interests

(4)

               

(4)

               

-

                 

0%

Net Income

53

$            

47

$            

6

$              

13%

Diluted EPS

0.77

$         

0.69

$         

0.08

$         

12%

Operating Margin

4.3%

4.6%

(0.3)

pts

Better/(Worse)

Quarter Ended June 30,

3

 

3rd Quarter Segment Sales

(in millions)

2004

2003

$

%

Sales

Light Vehicle Systems

North America

524

$         

511

$         

13

$           

3%

Europe

604

           

561

           

43

            

8%

South America

45

            

44

            

1

               

2%

Asia-Pacific and Other

77

            

79

            

(2)

              

-3%

    Total

1,250

        

1,195

        

55

            

5%

Commercial Vehicle Systems

North America

532

           

394

           

138

           

35%

Europe

224

           

177

           

47

            

27%

South America

34

            

23

            

11

            

48%

Asia-Pacific and Other

72

            

51

            

21

            

41%

    Total

862

           

645

           

217

           

34%

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

North America

151

           

165

           

(14)

            

-8%

Europe

56

            

53

            

3

               

6%

South America

9

               

1

               

8

               

 800%

Asia-Pacific and Other

8

               

6

               

2

               

 33%

    Total

224

           

225

           

(1)

              

0%

Other - North America

52

_________

            

44

_________

            

8

_________

               

18%

    Total

2,388

$     

2,109

$     

279

$         

13%

Quarter Ended June 30,

 Better/(Worse)

4

 

3rd Quarter Segment Operating Income

(in millions)

2004

2003

$

%

Operating Income

Light Vehicle Systems

38

$           

46

$            

(8)

$            

-17%

Commercial Vehicle Systems

53

            

38

              

15

            

39%

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

4

               

10

              

(6)

              

-60%

Other

7

               

3

               

4

               

133%

         Total Operating Income

102

$         

97

$            

5

$            

5%

Operating Margin

Light Vehicle Systems

3.0%

3.8%

(0.8)

           

pts

Commercial Vehicle Systems

6.1%

5.9%

0.2

            

pts

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

1.8%

4.4%

(2.6)

           

pts

Other

13.5%

6.8%

6.7

            

pts

         

        Total Operating Margin

4.3%

4.6%

(0.3)

           

pts

Quarter Ended June 30,

Better/(Worse)

5

 

Balance Sheet Highlights

(in millions)

June 30,

Mar. 31,

Dec. 31,

Sept. 30,

June 30,

2004

2004

2003

2003

2003

Cash

122

$         

119

$         

137

$         

103

$         

103

$        

Short-term Debt

5

$            

3

$            

12

$           

20

$           

12

$         

Long-term Debt

1,585

        

1,527

        

1,572

        

1,541

        

1,562

      

Total Debt

1,590

$      

1,530

$      

1,584

$      

1,561

$      

1,574

$     

Minority Interests

64

            

68

            

73

            

64

            

73

            

Equity

1,100

        

1,051

        

1,024

        

899

           

1,040

      

Total Debt to Capital

58%

58%

59%

62%

59%

Net Debt (1)

1,590

        

1,601

        

1,694

        

1,696

        

1,757

      

Factored Receivables

9

              

16

            

70

            

47

            

89

            

Securitized Receivables

142

           

225

           

223

           

237

           

263

         

Working Capital  (2)

616

           

661

           

673

           

562

           

622

         

Working Capital % of Sales (3)

6.7%

7.4%

7.1%

7.5%

6.5%

(1)

  

Net debt is calculated as total debt less fair value of interest rate swaps plus factored and
securitized receivables less cash.

(2)

  

Includes accounts receivable securitization and factored receivables and excludes cash and
short term debt.

(3)

  

Calculated using quarterly average working capital and current quarter annualized sales.

6

 

Cash Flow Highlights

(in millions)

2004

2003

Net income

113

$                  

103

$                  

Adjustments to Income:

   Depreciation and Amortization

164

                    

161

                    

   Gain on Sale of Marketable Securities

(7)

                     

-

                        

   Restructuring Costs, Net of Expenditures

1

                       

2

                       

   Gain on Divestitures

(20)

                    

(2)

                     

   Pension and Retiree Medical Expense

99

                     

73

                     

   Pension and Retiree Medical Contributions

(185)

                  

(141)

                  

   Changes in Assets and Liabilities

(65)

                    

(138)

                  

Cash Provided by Operations (Ex. AR Secur. and Factoring)

100

                    

58

                     

   Accounts Receivable Securitization and Factored Receivables

(115)

                  

148

                    

Cash (Used for) Provided by Operating Activities

(15)

$                  

206

$                  

Capital Expenditures

(108)

$                 

(119)

$                 

Acquistions of Businesses and Investments, Net of Cash Acquired

-

                        

(104)

                  

Proceeds from Dispositions of Property and Businesses

85

                     

42

                     

Proceeds from Sale of Marketable Securities

18

                     

-

                        

Other Investing Activities

(1)

                     

-

                        

Cash Used for Investing Activities

(6)

$                    

(181)

$                 

   Net Change in Revolving Debt

45

$                    

44

$                    

   Net Change in Other Debt

5

                       

(22)

                    

Net Increase in Debt

50

                     

22

                     

Proceeds from the Exercise of Stock Options

5

                       

-

                        

Cash Dividends

(21)

                    

(20)

                    

Cash Provided by Financing Activities

34

$                    

2

$                     

Nine Months Ended June 30,

7

 

FY 2004 Light Vehicle

Production Outlook

(in millions)

Calendar

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Full Year

Year

North America

2004 Outlook

3.9

        

4.2

        

4.2

        

3.6

        

15.9

        

15.9

         

2003 Actual

3.9

        

4.2

        

4.2

        

3.7

        

16.0

        

16.0

         

Change

0%

0%

0%

-3%

-1%

-1%

Western Europe (1)

2004 Outlook

4.3

        

4.3

        

4.4

        

3.6

        

16.6

        

16.5

         

2003 Actual

4.2

        

4.4

        

4.4

        

3.7

        

16.7

        

16.8

         

Change

2%

-2%

0%

-3%

-1%

-2%

(1) - Includes Czech Republic

Source: CSM Worldwide, Inc.

Fiscal Year Ended September 30

8

 

Light Vehicle Systems Net New Business

(in millions)

Implied

Actual

Annual

2003

2004

2005

2006

Cumulative

Growth

4,355

$      

236

$      

226

$      

118

$      

580

$            

4%

Sales

Incremental

9

 

FY 2004 Commercial Vehicle
Production Outlook

(in thousands)

Calendar

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Full Year

Year

North America - Class 8 Trucks (1)

2004 Outlook

47

         

54

         

64

         

69

         

234

        

251

         

2003 Actual

41

         

35

         

43

         

45

         

164

        

170

         

Change

15%

54%

49%

53%

43%

48%

Western Europe - Heavy & Medium Trucks

2004 Outlook

95

         

93

         

98

         

90

         

376

        

374

         

2003 Actual

98

         

93

         

92

         

81

         

364

        

361

         

Change

-3%

0%

7%

11%

3%

4%

(1) - Includes U.S., Canada and Mexico

Fiscal Year Ended September 30

10

 

FY 2004 Sales Outlook

(in millions)

Sales FY 2003

7,788

$   

7,788

$   

Light Vehicle Systems

523

         

-

528

         

Commercial Vehicle Systems

749

         

-

754

         

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

1

              

-

6

              

Other

29

           

-

29

           

Total Change

1,302

      

-

1,317

      

Sales FY 2004

9,090

$   

-

9,105

$   

FY 2004

Full Year Outlook

11

 

Full Year FY 2004 Outlook

(in millions, except EPS)

FY 2003

Full Year

Sales

7,788

$           

9,090

$   

-

9,105

$      

Operating Margin

4.0%

3.4%

-

3.5%

Net Income Before Acctg. Change

(1)

140

$               

151

$      

-

155

$         

Diluted EPS Before Acctg. Change

(1)

2.06

$              

2.20

$      

-

2.25

$        

Note (1):  FY 2003 excludes the cumulative effect of an accounting change due to

the adoption of FIN 46 of $4 million ($0.06 per diluted share).

Note (2):  Outlook does not include the impact of any future acquisitions or divestitures.

Full Year Outlook (2)

FY 2004

12

 

Planned Facility Closures and Workforce
Reduction Costs and Savings

(in millions)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Full Year

Pre-tax Charge

(1)

$            

(8)

$            

(4)

$            

(6)

$               

(19)

$            

Pre-tax Savings

-

                 

1

               

4

               

6

                  

11

              

Net Pre-tax Impact

(1)

$            

(7)

$            

-

$               

-

$                  

(8)

$            

Diluted Earnings Per Share

(0.01)

$         

(0.07)

$         

-

$               

-

$                  

(0.08)

$         

Fiscal Year 2004 Forecast

Actual

13

 

FY 2004 Free Cash Flow Outlook

(in millions)

Net Income

151

$      

-

155

$      

Adjustments to Income

Depreciation and Other Amortization

215

         

-

220

         

Pension and Retiree Medical Expense

130

         

-

130

         

Pension and Retiree Medical Contributions

(205)

        

-

(210)

        

Changes in Assets and Liabilities

34

           

-

60

           

Cash Provided by Operations

325

         

-

355

         

Capital Expenditures

(185)

        

-

(195)

        

Free Cash Flow

140

$      

-

160

$      

Net Proceeds from Acquisitions and Divestitures (1)

102

$      

-

102

$      

Cash Dividends ($0.40 per share)

(28)

$        

-

(28)

$        

(1) Includes sale of businesses, property and marketable securities.

Note: Does not include the effects of any changes in A/R securitization and factoring

or any future acquisitions or divestitures.

Full Year

FY 2004

14

 

4th Quarter FY 2004 Sales Outlook

(in millions)

Sales FY 2003 Fourth Quarter

1,977

$   

1,977

$   

Light Vehicle Systems

42

           

-

47

           

Commercial Vehicle Systems

239

         

-

244

         

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

6

              

-

11

           

Other

1

              

-

1

              

Total Change

288

         

-

303

         

Sales FY 2004 Fourth Quarter

2,265

$   

-

2,280

$   

FY 2004

4th Quarter Outlook

15

 

4th Quarter FY 2004 Outlook

(in millions, except EPS)

FY 2003

4th Quarter

Sales

1,977

$            

2,265

$   

2,280

$   

Operating Margin

3.8%

3.4%

-

3.6%

Net Income (1)

37

$                 

38

$         

-

41

$         

Diluted Earnings Per Share (1)

0.54

$              

0.55

$      

-

0.60

$      

(1)  FY 2003 excludes the cumulative effect of an accounting change due to the

      adoption of FIN 46 of $4 million ($0.06 per diluted share).

(2)  Outlook does not include the impact of any acquistions or divestitures.

FY 2004

4th Quarter Outlook (2)

16

 

Appendix

Non-GAAP Financial Information

17

 

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information

In addition to the results reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”)
included throughout this presentation, the Company has provided information regarding certain non-GAAP financial
measures.  These measures include “net debt”, “sales in constant currency” and “free cash flow”.  Net debt is defined as total
debt less the fair value adjustment of debt due to interest rate swaps, plus securitized and factored receivables, less cash.  
Free cash flow represents net cash provided by operating activities before the net change in accounts receivable securitized or
factored, less capital expenditures.  The Company believes it is appropriate to exclude the net change in securitized and
factored  accounts receivable in the calculation of free cash flow since the sale of receivables may be viewed as a substitute
for borrowing activity.

Management believes that the non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation are useful to both management and
investors in their analysis of the Company’s financial position and results of operations.  In particular, management believes
that net debt is an important indicator of the Company’s overall leverage and free cash flow is useful in analyzing the
Company’s ability to service and repay its debt.  Further, management uses these non-GAAP measures for planning and
forecasting in future periods.

Neither, net debt nor free cash flow should be considered substitutes for debt, cash provided by operating activities or other
balance sheet or cash flow statement data prepared in accordance with GAAP or as a measure of financial position or liquidity.  
In addition, the calculation of free cash flow does not reflect cash used to service debt and thus, does not reflect funds
available for investment or other discretionary uses.  These non-GAAP financial measures, as determined and presented by
the Company, may not be comparable to related or similarily titled measures reported by other companies.

Set forth on the following slides are reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures, if applicable, to the most directly
comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.

18

 

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Net Debt

(in millions)

June 30,

Mar. 31,

Dec. 31,

Sept. 30,

June 30,

2004

2004

2003

2003

2003

Total Debt

1,590

$   

1,530

$   

1,584

$   

1,561

$   

1,574

$   

Less:

Fair value of interest rate swaps

(29)

        

(51)

        

(46)

        

(46)

        

(66)

        

Plus:  

Receivable securitization

142

      

225

      

223

      

237

      

263

      

Plus:  

Receivable factorization

9

           

16

         

70

         

47

         

89

         

   Subtotal

1,712

   

1,720

   

1,831

   

1,799

   

1,860

   

Less:

Cash

(122)

      

(119)

      

(137)

      

(103)

      

(103)

      

    Net Debt

1,590

$   

1,601

$   

1,694

$   

1,696

$   

1,757

$   

19

 

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Sales in Constant Currency

(in millions)

Sales

Reported

Sales

Approximate

Currency

Impact

Sales in

Constant

Currency

Light Vehicle Systems

1,250

$            

(55)

$               

1,195

$            

Commercial Vehicle Systems

862

                 

(10)

                  

852

                 

Light Vehicle Aftermarket

224

                 

(5)

                    

219

                 

Other

52

                  

-

                       

52

                  

Total

2,388

$            

(70)

$               

2,318

$            

Quarter Ended June 30, 2004

20

 

21