EX-15.2 13 d337648dex152.htm RESERVE REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED ON DECEMBER 31, 2011 Reserve Report for the year ended on December 31, 2011
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Exhibit 15.2

 

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THIRD PARTY REPORT

RESERVES ESTIMATION AND VALUATION OF

(CHAD AND KAZAKHSTAN — PKKR & KOLZHAN)

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

Prepared for

PETROCHINA COMPANY LIMITED

APRIL, 2012

 

 

CONFIDENTIAL

This document contains proprietary and confidential information which may not, without the express written

permission of Gaffney, Cline & Associates, be released to any third party in any form, copied in any way or

reproduced, nor utilized for any purpose except that for which it is intended, and must be returned upon request.

www.gaffney-cline.com

 

 

 

PetroChina    Copy No. 1    KK1815 & K1816


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     Page No.  

INTRODUCTION

     2   

METHODOLOGY

     4   

1 .    RESULTS SUMMARY

     5   

1.1    Net Reserves

     5   

1.2    Gross Volumes

     5   

1.3    Net Present Values

     6   

1.4    Sensitivity Analysis

     7   

2.    BASIS OF OPINION

     7   

APPENDIX

  

I.    Glossary

  


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Gaffney, Cline & Associates

(Consultants) Pte. Ltd.

80 Anson Road

#31-01C Fuji Xerox Towers

Singapore 079907

Telephone: +65 6225 6951

   www.gaffney-cline.com

 

DSR/dh/L0168/2012/KK1815 & KK1816    3rd April, 2012

PetroChina Company Limited

9 Dongzhimen North Street, Dongcheng District

Beijing 100007

China

Dear Gentlemen,

THIRD PARTY REPORT

RESERVES ESTIMATION AND VALUATION OF

(CHAD AND KAZAKHSTAN — PKKR & KOLZHAN)

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

INTRODUCTION

Gaffney, Cline & Associates (“GCA”) was requested by China National Oil and Gas Exploration and Development Corporation International Holding Ltd. (“CNODCI”), to conduct reserves estimation and valuation (as of 31st December, 2011) of selected petroleum assets in Chad and Venezuela, in which CNODCI has current interests. The SEC Executive and SEC Technical Reports were submitted to CNODCI in January and February, 2012, respectively.

At about the same time with the above project preparation, GCA was requested by PetroKazakhstan Inc (“PKI”) to conduct reserves estimation and evaluation (as of 31st December, 2011) of selected petroleum assets in Kazakhstan, in which PKI has current interests. The Kazakhstan assets cover five subsidiaries involved in oil and gas exploration and production under PKI — JSC PetroKazakhstan Kumkol Resources (PKKR), JSC Turgai Petroleum (TP), JSC Kazgermunai (KGM), PetroKazakhstan Ventures Inc. (PKVI) and Kolzhan LLP (Kolzhan).

Related to the Kazakhstan Project, PKI requested GCA to prepare a third party report for CNODCI. The third party report is required since PKI is an integrated oil and gas company owned by CNODCI and JSC KazMunaiGas Exploration Production (KMG EP). CNODCI holds 67% Wl and KMG EP 33% Wl in PKI; therefore, indirectly CNODCI holds interest in the assets owned by PKI. The Third Party Reports on Kazakhstan assets (SEC Executive and SEC Technical) were submitted to PKI and CNODCI in February, 2012, respectively.

Recently, CNODCI requested GCA to prepare a Third Party Report intended to be submitted to PetroChina Company Limited (PetroChina). This report is to summarize the results of reserves estimation and valuation as of 31st December, 2011 as mentioned above of only selected petroleum assets. The selected petroleum assets determined by CNODCI are in Chad and Kazakhstan (PKKR & Kolzhan).

 

UEN: 198701453N


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METHODOLOGY

In carrying out the review, GCA relied upon information and data provided either through CNODCI or PKI (for PKKR & Kolzhan assets), which comprised: basic engineering data; geoscience information and engineering interpretations associated with such data; other technical reports; costs and commercial data; and development plans. The available data and interpretations were reviewed for reasonableness and the latter adjusted where appropriate.

The results presented in this report are based upon information and data made available to GCA on or before 16th December, 2011. The Reserve Estimates, forward production estimates and Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations as presented herein are based upon these data and represent GCA’s opinion as of 31st December, 2011.

It is GCA’s considered opinion that the estimates of oil and gas reserve volumes as of 31st December, 2011, presented in this document are, in aggregate, reasonable and were prepared in accordance with the Final Rule of Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting (17 CFR Parts 210, 211, 229 and 249) published by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 14th January, 2010 on Federal Register/ Vol. 74, No. 9 (see web version: http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2010/33-8995fr.pdf). The definitions are applicable to the Proved reserve categories and sub-classifications.

Economic models were constructed based on terms of the applicable petroleum contracts as provided by CNODCI or PKI, in order to calculate CNODCI’s net revenue interest Proved reserves. As of 31st December, 2011, all Proved SEC reserves were allocated up to the end of the license contract period only.

As per SEC guidelines, the oil prices which were used in the evaluation are the unweighted 12-month arithmetic averages of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2011) prior to the end of reporting period, unless prescribed by contract. Those prices were not escalated throughout the evaluation period except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The report also summarises the sensitivity results in which oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except as prescribed by contract. The historical 12-month oil prices were supplied by CNODCI or PKI.

Future capital costs were derived from development program forecasts prepared by CNODCI or PKI for each production unit and corresponding recent historical unit cost data. The recent historical cost data for each relevant production unit were utilized to determine current operating cost conditions. These costs were not escalated throughout the evaluation period in the Base Case; however the future capital and Operating Costs were escalated in the sensitivity analysis.

CNODCI’s net reserve volumes are derived by converting calculated net revenues accruing to CNODCI under the terms of the relevant petroleum contract into equivalent barrels of oil utilising the average 2011 oil pricing explained above. The CNODCI net revenue interest volumes reported in this document represent those amounts that are determined to be attributable to CNODCI’s net economic interest after the deduction of amounts attributable to third parties (government and other working interest partners).

Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations were also undertaken and derived using cost and production profiles input to the various economic models established for the different petroleum contracts. These NPVs represent future net revenue, after taxes, attributable to the interests of CNODCI, discounted over the economic life of the project at a specified discount rate to a present value as of 31st December, 2011. NPV results are also presented for the sensitivity analysis using the escalated oil and gas prices and Capital and Operating Costs. Unless otherwise stated, no opening tax positions were considered.

A glossary of abbreviations and key industry standard terms, some or all of which may be used in this report, is attached as Appendix I.

 

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1. RESULTS SUMMARY

 

1.1 Net Reserves

The following tables present the net entitlement Proved Developed, Proved Undeveloped and Total Proved oil reserves attributable to CNODCI’s working interests (Wl) estimated in accordance with SEC guidelines.

As required under SEC guidelines, these estimates were prepared under the prevailing fiscal terms and exclude any government share. The economic cut offs were applied using costs and prices which are unescalated throughout the period of calculation, except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2011).

NET ENTITLEMENT PROVED OIL RESERVES

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

 

Country

   Proved
Developed
     Proved
Undeveloped
     Total
Proved
 
     (Mstb)      (Mstb)      (Mstb)  

CHAD

     29,306         —           29,306   

KAZAKHSTAN

        

PKKR

     49,433         6,550         55,982   

Kolzhan

     4.721         10,471         15,193   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal Kazakhstan

     54,754         17,021         71,175   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL CNODCI

     83,460         17,021         100,481   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Notes:

1. Royalty is paid in kind in Chad
2. Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.

 

1.2 Gross Volumes

Gross production volumes are presented for reference information only. They represent a 100% working interest in commercially recoverable volumes, i.e. after economic cutoffs have been applied. Gross volumes include volumes attributable to third parties, government and other working interest partners.

GROSS PROVED OIL RESERVES

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

 

Country

   Proved
Developed
     Proved
Undeveloped
     Total
Proved
 
     (Mstb)      (Mstb)      (Mstb)  

CHAD

     33,492         —           33,492   

KAZAKHSTAN

        

PKKR

     73,780         9,775         83,556   

Kolzhan

     7,057         15,629         22,686   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal Kazakhstan

     80,837         25,404         106,242   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL CNODCI

     114,329         25,404         139,734   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Note:    Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.

 

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1.3 Net Present Values

The NPVs as of 31st December, 2011 of estimated cash flows discounted at 10%, after taxes, attributable to CNODCI’s working interest in the projects identified above (excluding any balance sheet adjustments or financing costs), are summarised below.

NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

DISCOUNT RATE 10%

 

Country

   Proved Developed      Proved
Undeveloped
     Total Proved  
     (U.S.$ MM)      (U.S.$ MM)      (U.S.$ MM)  

CHAD

     469         —           469   

Kazakhstan

        

PKKR

     872         83         956   

Kolzhan

     77         150         227   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal Kazakhstan

     949         234         1,183   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL CNODCI

     1,418         234         1,652   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Notes:

1. No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
2. Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.

The NPVs were calculated on the basis of SEC guidelines under which the economic cut-offs were applied using unescalated costs and constant prices. The crude oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2011) except in instances where alternate prices are prescribed by contract.

 

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1.4 Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis has been carried out on the oil prices. In the sensitivity analysis, oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except prescribed by contract. In addition to the escalated oil prices, CAPEX and OPEX were escalated. The sensitivity results are summarised on the following.

NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI

SENSITIVITY RESULTS

AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2011

DISCOUNT RATE 10%

 

Country

   Proved Developed      Proved
Undeveloped
     Total Proved  
     (U.S.$ MM)      (U.S.$ MM)      (U.S.$ MM)  

CHAD

     469         —           469   

KAZAKHSTAN

        

PKKR

     770         70         840   

Kolzhan

     68         131         199   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal Kazakhstan

     838         200         1,039   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

TOTAL CNODCI

     1,307         200         1,508   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Notes:

1. No sensitivity analysis has been carried out in Chad since currently CNODCI receives the constant price of U.S.$68/bbl as prescribed by the contract with Chad Government.
2. No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
3. Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.

 

2. BASIS OF OPINION

This report has been compiled under the supervision of Mr. David S. Ahye. Mr. Ahye is a Principal Advisor for the Asia Pacific region, based in Singapore. He has over 30 years’ experience in the petroleum industry and has managed numerous reserves certification audits. Mr. Ahye holds a Bachelor’s Degree (Honours) in Chemical Engineering.

This assessment was conducted within the context of GCA’s understanding of the effects of petroleum legislation, taxation and other regulations that currently pertain to the various properties. However, GCA is not in a position to attest to the property title, financial interest relationships or encumbrances thereon for any part of the properties reviewed.

It should be understood that any evaluation, particularly one involving future petroleum developments, may be subject to significant variations over short periods of time, as new information becomes available and perceptions change.

 

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GCA acted as independent reserve auditors. The management and employees of GCA have no direct or indirect interest holding in either CNODCI/PKI/PetroChina or its affiliated companies. GCA’s remuneration was not in any way contingent upon reported reserve estimates. No representations are made herein in respect of property title or encumbrances thereon. The economic analyses presented have been utilized solely for the calculation of net reserves and do not represent assessments of market value. This report has been prepared for PetroChina and should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is intended.

Yours faithfully,

GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES (CONSULTANTS) PTE LTD

 

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David S. Ahye

Principal

 

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APPENDIX I

GLOSSARY

 

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List of Standard Oil Industry Terms and Abbreviations

 

ABEX    Abandonment Expenditure    DWT    Dead-weight ton
ACQ    Annual Contract Quantity    E&A    Exploration & Appraisal
°API    Degrees API (American    E&P    Exploration and Production
   Petroleum Institute)    EBIT    Earnings before Interest and Tax
AAPG    American Association of Petroleum    EBITDA    Earnings before interest, tax,
   Geologists       depreciation and amortisation
AVO    Amplitude versus Offset    El    Entitlement Interest
A$    Australian Dollars    EIA    Environmental Impact Assessment
B    Billion (109)    EOR    Enhanced Oil Recovery
Bbl    Barrels    EUR    Estimated Ultimate Recovery
/Bbl    per barrel    EMV    Expected Monetary Value
Bbbl    Billion Barrels    FDP    Field Development Plan
BHA    Bottom Hole Assembly    FEED    Front End Engineering and Design
BHC    Bottom Hole Compensated    FPSO    Floating Production, Storage and
Bscf or Bcf    Billion standard cubic feet       Offloading
Bscf/d or Bcf/d    Billion standard cubic feet per day    FSO    Floating Storage and Offloading
Bm3    Billion cubic metres    ft    Foot/feet
bcpd    Barrels of condensate per day    Fx    Foreign Exchange Rate
BHP    Bottom Hole Pressure    g    gram
blpd    Barrels of liquid per day    g/cc    grams per cubic centimetre
bpd    Barrels per day    gal    gallon
boe    Barrels of oil equivalent @xxx mcf/bbl    gal/d    gallons per day
boepd    Barrels of oil equivalent per day@    G&A    General and Administrative costs
   xxx mcf/bbl    GBP    Pounds Sterling
BOP    Blow Out Preventer    GDT    Gas Down to
bopd    Barrels oil per day    GIIP    Gas initially in place
bwpd    Barrels of water per day    Gj    Gigajoules (one billion Joules)
BS&W    Bottom sediment and water    GOR    Gas Oil Ratio
BTU    British Thermal Units    GTL    Gas to Liquids
bwpd    Barrels water per day    GWC    Gas water contact
CBM    Coal Bed Methane    HDT    Hydrocarbons Down to
CO2    Carbon Dioxide    HSE    Health, Safety and Environment
CAPEX    Capital Expenditure    HSFO    High Sulphur Fuel Oil
CCGT    Combined Cycle Gas Turbine    HUT    Hydrocarbons up to
cm    centimetres    H2S    Hydrogen Sulphide
CMM    Coal Mine Methane    IOR    Improved Oil Recovery
CNG    Compressed Natural Gas    IPP    Independent Power Producer
Cp    Centipoise (a measure of viscosity)    IRR    Internal Rate of Return
CSG    Coal Seam Gas    J    Joule (Metric measurement of
CT    Corporation Tax       energy. 1 kilojoule = 0.9478 BTU)
Cum    Cumulative    k    Permeability
DCQ    Daily Contract Quantity    KB    Kelly Bushing
Deg C    Degrees Celsius    KJ    Kilojoules (one Thousand Joules)
Deg F    Degrees Fahrenheit    kl    Kilolitres
DHI    Direct Hydrocarbon Indicator    km    Kilometres
DST    Drill Stem Test    km2    Square kilometres

 

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kPa    Thousands of Pascals measurement   

p.a.

   Per annum
   of pressure)   

Pa

  

Pascals (metric measurement of

pressure)

KW    Kilowatt   

P&A

   Plugged and Abandoned

KWh

LKG

  

Kilowatt hour

Lowest Known Gas

  

PD

   Proved Developed
LKH    Lowest Known Hydrocarbons   

PDP

   Proved Developed Producing
LKO    Lowest Known Oil   

PDNP

   Proved Developed Non-producing
LNG    Liquefied Natural Gas   

PI

   Productivity Index
LoF    Life of Field   

PJ

   Petajoules(1015 Joules)
LPG    Liquefied Petroleum Gas   

PSDM

   Post Stack Depth Migration
LTI    Lost Time Injury   

psi

   Pounds per square inch
LWD    Logging while drilling   

psia

   Pounds per square inch absolute
m    Metres   

psig

   Pounds per square inch gauge
M    Thousand   

PUD

   Proved Undeveloped
m3    Cubic metres   

PVT

   Pressure volume temperature
Mcf or Mscf    Thousand standard cubic feet   

P10

   10% Probability

MCM

   Management Committee Meeting   

P50

   50% Probability

mD

   Measure of Permeability in   

P90

   90% Probability
   millidarcies    RF    Recovery factor

MD

   Measured Depth    RFT    Repeat Formation Tester

MDT

   Modular Dynamic Tester    RT    Rotary Table

Mean

   Arithmetic average of a set of    Rw    Resistivity of water
   numbers    SCAL    Special core analysis

Median

   Middle value in a set of values    cf or scf    Standard Cubic Feet

MFT

   Multi Formation Tester    cf/d or scf/d    Standard Cubic Feet per day

mg/l

   milligrames per litre    scf/ton    Standard cubic foot per ton

MJ

   Megajoules (One Million Joules)    SL    Straight line (for depreciation)

Mm3

   Thousand Cubic metres    So    Oil Saturation

Mm3d

   Thousand Cubic metres per day    SPE    Society of Petroleum Engineers

MM

   Million    SPEE    Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers

MMbbl

   Millions of barrels    ss    Subsea

MMBTU

MMcf or MMscf

  

Millions of British Thermal Units

Million standard cubic feet

   stb    Stock tank barrel

MMstb

   Millions of Stock tank barrel    STOIIP    Stock tank oil initially in place

Mode

   Value that exists most frequently in    Sw    Water Saturation
   a set of values = most likely    T    Tonnes

Mscf/d

   Thousand standard cubic feet per    TD    Total Depth
   day    Te    Tonnes equivalent

MMscf/d

   Million standard cubic feet per day    THP    Tubing Head Pressure

MW

   Megawatt    TJ    Terajoules (1012 Joules)

MWD

   Measuring While Drilling    Tscf or Tcf    Trillion standard cubic feet

MWh

   Megawatt hour    TCM    Technical Committee Meeting

mya

   Million years ago    TOC    Total Organic Carbon

NGL

   Natural Gas Liquids    TOP    Take or Pay

N2

   Nitrogen    Tpd    Tonnes per day

NPV

   Net Present Value    TVD    True Vertical Depth

OBM

   Oil Based Mud    TVDss    True Vertical Depth Subsea

 

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OCM

   Operating Committee Meeting    USGS    United States Geological Survey

ODT

   Oil down to      

OPEX

   Operating Expenditure      

OWC

   Oil Water Contact      
U.S.$    United States Dollar    2Q06   

Second quarter (3 months) of

2006 (example of date)

VSP    Vertical Seismic Profiling      
WC    Water Cut    2D    Two dimensional
Wl    Working Interest    3D    Three dimensional
WPC    World Petroleum Council    4D    Four dimensional
WTI    West Texas Intermediate    1P    Proved Reserves
wt%    Weight percent    2P    Proved plus Probable Reserves
1H05    First half (6 months) of 2005    3P    Proved plus Probable plus
   (example of date)       Possible Reserves
      %    Percentage

 

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