EX-15.2 12 h05015exv15w2.htm EX-15.2 exv15w2
Exhibit 15.2
 
(GCA LOGO)
 
DSR/jbi/LO108/2011/KK1670/KK1671/1688 15th April, 2011
 
PetroChina Company Limited
9 Dongzhimen North Street, Dongcheng District
Beijing 100007
China
 
Dear Gentlemen,
 
THIRD PARTY REPORT
RESERVES ESTIMATION AND VALUATION OF SELECTED PETROLEUM ASSETS
(ALGERIA, CHAD AND KAZAKHSTAN — PKKR & KOLZHAN)
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2010
 
INTRODUCTION
 
Gaffney, Cline & Associates (“GCA”) was requested by China National Oil and Gas Exploration and Development Corporation International Holding Ltd. (“CNODCI”), to conduct reserves estimation and valuation (as of 31st December, 2010) of selected petroleum assets in Algeria, Chad, and Venezuela, in which CNODCI has current interests. The SEC Executive and SEC Technical Reports were submitted to CNODCI in January and February, 2011, respectively.
 
At about the same time with the above project preparation, GCA was requested by PetroKazakhstan Inc (“PKI”) to conduct reserves estimation and evaluation (as of 31st December, 2010) of selected petroleum assets in Kazakhstan, in which PKI has current interests. The Kazakhstan assets cover five subsidiaries involved in oil and gas exploration and production under PKI — JSC PetroKazakhstan Kumkol Resources (PKKR), JSC Turgai Petroleum (TP), JSC Kazgermunai (KGM), PetroKazakhstan Ventures Inc. (PKVI) and Kolzhan LLP (Kolzhan).
 
Related to the Kazakhstan Project, PKI requested GCA to prepare a third party report for CNODCI. The third party report is required since PKI is an integrated oil and gas company owned by CNODCI and JSC KazMunaiGas Exploration Production (KMG EP). CNODCI holds 67% Wl and KMG EP 33% Wl in PKI; therefore, indirectly CNODCI holds interest in the assets owned by PKI. The Third Party Reports on Kazakhstan assets (SEC Executive and SEC Technical) were submitted to PKI and CNODCI in January and February, 2011, respectively.
 
Recently, CNODCI requested GCA to prepare a Third Party Report intended to be submitted to PetroChina Company Limited (PetroChina). This report is to summarize the results of reserves estimation and valuation as of 31st December, 2010 as mentioned above of only selected petroleum assets. The selected petroleum assets determined by CNODCI are in Algeria, Chad and Kazakhstan (PKKR & Kolzhan).
 
 
UNITED KINGDOM UNITED STATES SINGAPORE AUSTRALIA ARGENTINA BRAZIL KAZAKHSTAN RUSSIA


 

METHODOLOGY
 
In carrying out the review, GCA relied upon information and data provided either through CNODCI or PKI (for PKKR & Kolzhan assets), which comprised: basic engineering data; geoscience information and engineering interpretations associated with such data; other technical reports; costs and commercial data; and development plans. The available data and interpretations were reviewed for reasonableness and the latter adjusted where appropriate.
 
The results presented in this report are based upon information and data made available to GCA on or before 3rd January, 2011. The Reserve Estimates, forward production estimates and Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations as presented herein are based upon these data and represent GCA’s opinion as of 31st December, 2010.
 
It is GCA’s considered opinion that the estimates of oil and gas reserve volumes as of 31st December, 2010, presented in this document are, in aggregate, reasonable and were prepared in accordance with the Final Rule of Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting (17 CFR Parts 210, 211, 229 and 249) published by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 14th January, 2010 on Federal Register/ Vol. 74, No. 9 (see web version: http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/2010/33-8995fr.pdf). The definitions are applicable to the Proved reserve categories and sub-classifications.
 
Economic models were constructed based on terms of the applicable petroleum contracts as provided by CNODCI or PKI, in order to calculate CNODCI’s net revenue interest Proved reserves. As of 31st December, 2010, all Proved SEC reserves were allocated up to the end of the license contract period only.
 
As per SEC guidelines, the oil prices which were used in the evaluation are the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic averages of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2010) prior to the end of reporting period, unless prescribed by contract. Those prices were not escalated throughout the evaluation period except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The report also summarises the sensitivity results in which oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except as prescribed by contract. The historical 12-month oil prices were supplied by CNODCI.
 
Future capital costs were derived from development program forecasts prepared by CNODCI for each production unit and corresponding recent historical unit cost data. The recent historical cost data for each relevant production unit were utilized to determine current operating cost conditions. These costs were not escalated and throughout the evaluation period in the Base Case; however the future capital and Operating Costs were escalated in the sensitivity analysis.
 
CNODCI’s net reserve volumes are derived by converting calculated net revenues accruing to CNODCI under the terms of the relevant petroleum contract into equivalent barrels of oil utilising the average 2010 oil pricing explained above. The CNODCI net revenue interest volumes reported in this document represent those amounts that are determined to be attributable to CNODCI’s net economic interest after the deduction of amounts attributable to third parties (government and other working interest partners).
 
Net Present Value (“NPV”) computations were also undertaken and derived using cost and production profiles input to the various economic models established for the different petroleum contracts. These NPVs represent future net revenue, after taxes, attributable to the interests of CNODCI, discounted over the economic life of the project at a specified discount rate to a present value as of 31st December, 2010. NPV results are also presented for the sensitivity analysis using the escalated oil and gas prices and Capital and Operating Costs. Unless otherwise stated, no opening tax positions were considered.
 
A glossary of abbreviations and key industry standard terms, some or all of which may be used in this report, is attached as Appendix I.


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1.   RESULTS SUMMARY
 
1.1   Net Reserves
 
The following tables present the net entitlement Proved Developed, Proved Undeveloped and Total Proved oil reserves attributable to CNODCI’s working interests (Wl) estimated in accordance with SEC guidelines.
 
As required under SEC guidelines, these estimates were prepared under the prevailing fiscal terms and exclude any government share. The economic cut offs were applied using costs and prices which are not escalated throughout the period of calculation, except where alternate prices are prescribed by contract. The oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2010).
 
NET ENTITLEMENT PROVED OIL RESERVES
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2010
 
                         
    Proved
    Proved
    Total
 
Country
  Developed     Undeveloped     Proved  
    (Mstb)     (Mstb)     (Mstb)  
 
ALGERIA
    4,793       7,245       12,038  
CHAD
          28,675       28,675  
KAZAKHSTAN
                       
PKKR
    90,651       5,115       95,766  
Kolzhan
    4,961       2,922       7,883  
                         
Subtotal Kazakhstan
    95,612       8,038       103,650  
                         
TOTAL CNODCI
    100,405       43,958       144,363  
                         
 
 
Note: Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
 
1.2   Gross Volumes
 
Gross production volumes are presented for reference information only. They represent a 100% working interest in commercially recoverable volumes, i.e. after economic cutoffs have been applied. Gross volumes include volumes attributable to third parties, government and other working interest partners. Some of the gross volumes may include agreed contract baseline production and thus contain volumes which are not attributable to CNODCI.
 
GROSS PROVED OIL RESERVES
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2010
 
                         
    Proved
    Proved
    Total
 
Country
  Developed     Undeveloped     Proved  
    (Mstb)     (Mstb)     (Mstb)  
 
ALGERIA
    9,789       14,795       24,584  
CHAD
          32,772       32,772  
KAZAKHSTAN
                       
PKKR
    135,300       7,635       142,934  
Kolzhan
    7,446       4,362       11,808  
                         
Subtotal Kazakhstan
    142,745       11,997       154,742  
                         
TOTAL CNODCI
    152,534       59,563       212,098  
                         
 
 
Note: Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.


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1.3   Net Present Values
 
The NPVs as of 31st December, 2010 of estimated cash flows discounted at 10%, after taxes, attributable to CNODCI’s working interest in the projects identified above (excluding any balance sheet adjustments or financing costs), are summarised below.
 
NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2010
DISCOUNT RATE 10%
 
                         
    Proved
    Proved
    Total
 
Country
  Developed     Undeveloped     Proved  
    (U.S.$ MM)     (U.S.$ MM)     (U.S.$ MM)  
 
ALGERIA
    54       57       III  
CHAD
          289       289  
Kazakhstan
                       
PKKR
    1,122       55       1,177  
Kolzhan
    70       23       93  
Subtotal Kazakhstan
    1,192       79       1,270  
                         
TOTAL CNODCI
    1,246       425       1,670  
                         
 
 
Notes:
 
1. No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
 
2. Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
 
The NPVs were calculated on the basis of SEC guidelines under which the economic cut-offs were applied using un-escalated costs and prices. The crude oil prices used for these computations were the un-weighted 12-month arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the month price for each month within the 12-month period (January to December, 2010) except in instances where alternate prices are prescribed by contract.
 
The reported NPVs were derived using cost and production profiles input to the various economic models established for the different petroleum contracts and in accordance with the economic assumptions described and discussed in the “Economic Evaluation” sub-sections for each country. The economic models are based on GCA’s understanding of each contract, as advised by CNODCI.
 
1.4   Sensitivity Analysis
 
Sensitivity analysis has been carried out on the oil prices. In the sensitivity analysis, oil prices were escalated throughout the evaluation period except prescribed by contract. In addition to the escalated oil prices, CAPEX and OPEX were escalated. The sensitivity results are summarised on the following.


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NET PRESENT VALUES ATTRIBUTABLE TO CNODCI
SENSITIVITY RESULTS
AS OF 31st DECEMBER, 2010
DISCOUNT RATE 10%
 
                         
    Proved
    Proved
    Total
 
Country
  Developed     Undeveloped     Proved  
    (U.S.$ MM)     (U.S.$ MM)     (U.S.$ MM)  
 
ALGERIA
    55       62       117  
CHAD
          463       463  
KAZAKHSTAN
                       
PKKR
    1,617       83       1,700  
Kolzhan
    97       40       137  
                         
Subtotal Kazakhstan
    1,714       123       1,837  
                         
TOTAL CNODCI
    1,769       648       2,417  
                         
 
 
Notes:
 
1. No opening tax positions or un-recovered balances are available.
 
2. Totals may not add exactly due to rounding errors.
 
2.   BASIS OF OPINION
 
This report has been compiled under the supervision of Mr. David S. Ahye. Mr. Ahye is GCA’s Regional Director for the Asia Pacific region, based in Singapore. He has over 30 years’ experience in the petroleum industry and has managed numerous reserves certification audits. Mr. Ahye holds a Bachelor’s Degree (Honours) in Chemical Engineering.
 
This assessment was conducted within the context of GCA’s understanding of the effects of petroleum legislation, taxation and other regulations that currently pertain to the various properties. However, GCA is not in a position to attest to the property title, financial interest relationships or encumbrances thereon for any part of the properties reviewed.
 
It should be understood that any evaluation, particularly one involving future petroleum developments, may be subject to significant variations over short periods of time, as new information becomes available and perceptions change.
 
GCA acted as independent reserve auditors. The management and employees of GCA have no direct or indirect interest holding in either CNODCI or its affiliated companies. GCA’s remuneration was not in any way contingent upon reported reserve estimates. No representations are made herein in respect of property title or encumbrances thereon. The economic analyses presented have been utilized solely for the calculation of net reserves and do not represent assessments of market value. This report has been prepared for CNODCI and should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is intended.
 
Yours faithfully,
GAFFNEY, CLINE & ASSOCIATES (CONSULTANTS) PTE LTD
 
(-s- David S. Ahye)
 
David S. Ahye
Regional Director, Asia Pacific


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GCA APPENDIX I
 
 
APPENDIX I
GLOSSARY
 


 

List of Standard Oil Industry Terms and Abbreviations
 
             
ABEX
  Abandonment Expenditure   EOR   Enhanced Oil Recovery
ACQ
  Annual Contract Quantity   EUR   Estimated Ultimate Recovery
°API
  Degrees API (American   FDP   Field Development Plan
    Petroleum Institute)   FEED   Front End Engineering and Design
AAPG
  American Association of   FPSO   Floating Production, Storage and
    Petroleum Geologists       Offloading
AVO
  Amplitude versus Offset   FSO   Floating Storage and Offloading
A$
  Australian Dollars   ft   Foot/feet
B
  Billion (I09)   Fx   Foreign Exchange Rate
Bbl
  Barrels   g   gram
/Bbl
  per barrel   g/cc   grams per cubic centimetre
Bbbl
  Billion Barrels   gal   gallon
BHA
  Bottom Hole Assembly   gal/d   gallons per day
BHC
  Bottom Hole Compensated   G&A   General and Administrative costs
Bscf or Bcf
  Billion standard cubic feet   GBP   Pounds Sterling
Bscf/d or Bcf/d
  Billion standard cubic feet per day   GDT   Gas Down to
Bm3
  Billion cubic metres   GIIP   Gas initially in place
bcpd
  Barrels of condensate per day   Gj   Gigajoules (one billion Joules)
BHP
  Bottom Hole Pressure   GOR   Gas Oil Ratio
blpd
  Barrels of liquid per day   GTL   Gas to Liquids
bpd
  Barrels per day   GWC   Gas water contact
boe
  Barrels of oil equivalent @xxx mcf/bbl   HDT   Hydrocarbons Down to
boepd
  Barrels of oil equivalent per day@   HSE   Health, Safety and Environment
    xxx mcf/bbl   HSFO   High Sulphur Fuel Oil
BOP
  Blow Out Preventer   HUT   Hydrocarbons up to
bopd
  Barrels oil per day   H2S   Hydrogen Sulphide
bwpd
  Barrels of water per day   IOR   Improved Oil Recovery
BS&W
  Bottom sediment and water   IPP   Independent Power Producer
BTU
  British Thermal Units   IRR   Internal Rate of Return
bwpd
  Barrels water per day   J   Joule (Metric measurement of
CBM
  Coal Bed Methane       energy. 1 kilojoule = 0.9478 BTU)
CO2
  Carbon Dioxide   k   Permeability
CAPEX
  Capital Expenditure   KB   Kelly Bushing
CCGT
  Combined Cycle Gas Turbine   KJ   Kilojoules (one Thousand Joules)
cm
  centimetres   kl   Kilolitres
CMM
  Coal Mine Methane   km   Kilometres
CNG
  Compressed Natural Gas   km2   Square kilometres
Cp
  Centipoise (a measure of viscosity)   kPa   Thousands of Pascals
CSG
  Coal Seam Gas       measurement of pressure)
CT
  Corporation Tax   KW   Kilowatt
Cum
  Cumulative   KWh   Kilowatt hour
DCQ
  Daily Contract Quantity   LKG   Lowest Known Gas
Deg C
  Degrees Celsius   LKH   Lowest Known Hydrocarbons


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Deg F
  Degrees Fahrenheit   LKO   Lowest Known Oil
DHI
  Direct Hydrocarbon Indicator   LNG   Liquefied Natural Gas
DST
  Drill Stem Test   LoF   Life of Field
DWT
  Dead-weight ton   LPG   Liquefied Petroleum Gas
E&A
  Exploration & Appraisal   LTI   Lost Time Injury
E&P
  Exploration and Production   LWD   Logging while drilling
EBIT
  Earnings before Interest and Tax   m   Metres
EBITDA
  Earnings before interest, tax,   M   Thousand
    depreciation and amortisation   m3   Cubic metres
EI
  Entitlement Interest   Mcf or Mscf   Thousand standard cubic feet
EIA
  Environmental Impact Assessment   MCM   Management Committee Meeting
EMV
  Expected Monetary Value   cf or scf   Standard Cubic Feet
MMc for MMscf
  Million standard cubic feet   cf/d or scf/d   Standard Cubic Feet per day
m3d
  Cubic metres per day   scf/ton   Standard cubic foot per ton
MDT
  Modular Dynamic Tester   SL   Straight line (for depreciation)
mD
  Measure of Permeability in   So   Oil Saturation
    millidarcies   SPE   Society of Petroleum Engineers
MD
  Measured Depth   SPEE   Society of Petroleum Evaluation
Mean
  Arithmetic average of a set of       Engineers
    numbers   ss   Subsea
Median
  Middle value in a set of values   stb   Stock tank barrel
MFT
  Multi Formation Tester   STOIIP   Stock tank oil initially in place
mg/l
  milligrames per litre   Sw   Water Saturation
MJ
  Megajoules (One Million Joules)   T   Tonnes
Mm3
  Thousand Cubic metres   TD   Total Depth
Mm3d
  Thousand Cubic metres per day   Te   Tonnes equivalent
MM
  Million   THP   Tubing Head Pressure
MMbbl
  Millions of barrels   TJ   Terajoules (IOl2Joules)
MMBTU
  Millions of British Thermal Units   Tscf or Tcf   Trillion standard cubic feet
Mode
  Value that exists most frequently in   TCM   Technical Committee Meeting
    a set of values = most likely   TOC   Total Organic Carbon
Mscf/d
  Thousand standard cubic feet per day   TOP   Take or Pay
MMscf/d
  Million standard cubic feet per day   Tpd   Tonnes per day
MW
  Megawatt   TVD   True Vertical Depth
MWD
  Measuring While Drilling   TVDss   True Vertical Depth Subsea
MWh
  Megawatt hour   USGS   United States Geological Survey
mya
  Million years ago   U.S.$   United States Dollar
NGL
  Natural Gas Liquids   VSP   Vertical Seismic Profiling
N2
  Nitrogen   WC   Water Cut
NPV
  Net Present Value   Wl   Working Interest
OBM
  Oil Based Mud   WPC   World Petroleum Council
OCM
  Operating Committee Meeting   WTI   West Texas Intermediate
ODT
  Oil down to   wt%   Weight percent
OPEX
  Operating Expenditure   IH05   First half (6 months) of 2005
(example of date)


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OWC
  Oil Water Contact        
p.a.
  Per annum   2Q06   Second quarter (3 months) of 2006
Pa
  Pascals (metric measurement of       (example of date)
    pressure)   2D   Two dimensional
P&A
  Plugged and Abandoned   3D   Three dimensional
PD
  Proved Developed   4D   Four dimensional
PDP
  Proved Developed Producing   IP   Proved Reserves
PDNP
  Proved Developed Non-producing   2P   Proved plus Probable Reserves
PI
  Productivity Index   3P   Proved plus Probable plus Possible
PJ
  Petajoules(l015 Joules)       Reserves
PSDM
  Post Stack Depth Migration   %   Percentage
psi
  Pounds per square inch        
psia
  Pounds per square inch absolute        
psig
  Pounds per square inch gauge        
PUD
  Proved Undeveloped        
PVT
  Pressure volume temperature        
PIO
  10% Probability        
P50
  50% Probability        
P90
  90% Probability        
RF
  Recovery factor        
RFT
  Repeat Formation Tester        
RT
  Rotary Table        
Rw
  Resistivity of water        
SCAL
  Special core analysis        


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