EX-99.(C)(II) 11 dex99cii.htm PRESENTATION OF SANDLER O'NEILL & PARTNERS, L.P. Presentation of Sandler O'Neill & Partners, L.P.

Exhibit (c)(ii)

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Fairness Opinion Regarding:

Project PETUNIA

Private and Confidential

June 21, 2010


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GENERAL INFORMATION AND LIMITATIONS

This presentation, and the oral or video presentation that supplements it, have been developed by and are proprietary to Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. and were prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the recipient. Neither the printed presentation nor the oral or video presentation that supplements it, nor any of their contents, may be reproduced, distributed or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. The information contained herein is for informational purposes only and the recipient will not rely on the information regarding the legal, tax or accounting aspects of any proposed transaction.

The analyses contained herein rely upon information obtained from the recipient or from public sources, the accuracy of which has not been verified, and cannot be assured, by Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. Moreover, many of the projections and financial analyses herein are based on estimated financial performance prepared by or in consultation with the recipient and are intended only to suggest reasonable ranges of results. Finally, the printed presentation is incomplete without the oral or video presentation that supplements it.

Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. prohibits employees from offering, directly or indirectly, favorable research, a specific rating or a specific price target, or offering or threatening to change research, a rating or a price target to a company as consideration or inducement for the receipt of business or compensation. The Firm also prohibits research analysts from being compensated for their involvement in, or based upon, specific investment banking transactions.

Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. is a limited partnership, the sole general partner of which is Sandler O’Neill & Partners Corp., a New York corporation. Sandler O’Neill & Partners, L.P. is a registered broker-dealer and a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Sandler O’Neill Mortgage Finance L.P. is an indirect subsidiary of Sandler O’Neill & Partners Corp.

This material is protected under applicable copyright laws and does not carry any rights of publication or disclosure.


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Table of Contents

I. Transaction Overview II. Recent Stock Performance III. Net Present Value Analysis IV. Precedent Buy-In Transactions


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I. Transaction Overview


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Transaction Overview

Summary

Tender Offer Price: $12.69 per share

Purchase of all outstanding minority shares by

Transaction:

Parent

PARENT currently owns 90.7% of PETUNIA shares;

Transaction Structure:

9.3% of shares are held by unaffiliated shareholders

Because of the tax laws in Puerto Rico affecting non-Puerto Rican shareholders, PARENT will execute a two-step process to acquire the minority interest:

a) PARENT will make a tender offer to all PETUNIA minority shareholders at the tender price.

b) After the expiration of the tender offer period and closing of the tender offer PARENT will execute a short-form merger to cause any remaining PETUNIA shares to be retired for cash consideration at the tender offer price

 

5


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Transaction Overview

Valuation Observations

It should be noted that the valuation undertaken has been with respect to a proposed purchase of a minority interest. The transaction premium in a “change of control” transaction might be significantly different

 

6


Transaction Overview

 

 

Transaction Multiples

 

     PETUNIA Basis    Transaction  

Price Per Share

      $ 12.69   

Aggregate Deal Value ($mm)

      $ 55.2   

6/18/10 Closing Stock Price

   $ 11.59      9.5

5/21/10 Closing Stock Price (4 Weeks Prior)

   $ 11.39      11.4

52 Week High Stock Price

   $ 13.12      (3.3 )% 

52 Week Low Stock Price

   $ 5.18      145.0

Price / LTM EPS

   $ 1.35      9.4

Price / Budgeted Est. 2010 EPS

   $ 1.19      10.7

Price / BV (3/31/10)

   $ 13.27      96

Price / TBV (3/31/10)

   $ 10.27      124

 

Precedent 4-Week Market Premiums for Buy-in Transactions

  

 
     Precedent Buy-in Transactions  
     10% and Less Acquired     10-25%
Acquired
 
     U.S.     European    

Max

   112.5   33.2   80.8

Min

   1.1   (37.1 )%    (57.0 )% 

Mean

   44.2   4.2   18.0

Median

   35.1   0.1   14.3

Source: SNL Financial, SDC

 

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II. Recent Stock Performance


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Recent Stock Performance

PETUNIA Stock Price and Volume Analysis

One Year Stock Price and Volume

As of June 18, 2010 Source: SNL Financial

9


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Recent Stock Performance

Comparable Stock Price Performance

One Year Comparative Stock Price Performance

As of June 18, 2010 Source: SNL Financial

10


Recent Stock Performance

 

 

Selected Puerto Rican Based Banks with Assets Greater than $2 Billion

 

                Book Value & Earnings Multiple    Dividend & Liquidity
          LTM
Price
Change
(%)
    Price/         LTM
Dividend
Yield
(%)
   LTM
Dividend
Payout
(%)
   Market
Cap
($mm)
          Shares
Outs.
(mm)
   Stock
Price
($)
     Book
(%)
   Tangible
Book
(%)
   LTM
EPS
(x)
   2010 Estimate         

Name

  

City, St.

                    Est.
($)
    P/E
(x)
        

Popular, Inc.

  

Hato Rey, PR

   639.5    3.00    26.6      79    107    15.0    (0.15   NM    0.00    0.0    1,919   

Oriental Financial Group Inc.

  

San Juan, PR

   33.1    13.44    33.9      112    113    NM    1.33      10.1    1.19    84.2    444   

First BanCorp.

  

San Juan, PR

   92.5    1.09    (75.1   18    20    NM    (1.66   NM    0.00    0.0    101   

Doral Financial Corporation

  

San Juan, PR

   67.3    2.88    41.2      38    38    NM    (0.78   NM    0.00    0.0    194   
                                 
         MEDIAN    30.2      58    73    15.0    (0.47   10.1    0.00    0.0    319
                                 

PETUNIA

  

Guaynabo, PR

   46.6    11.59    59.4      87    113    8.6    0.65      17.8    0.00    0.0    541

Financial data as of March 31, 2010 or most recent period available and market data as of June 18, 2010

Source: SNL Financial

 

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Recent Stock Performance

 

 

Selected Puerto Rican Based Banks with Assets Greater than $2 Billion, continued

(Dollar values in millions)

 

                    Balance Sheet    Capital Ratios    Profitability (LQA)    Asset Quality     

Company

  

City, St.

   Ticker    Number of
Branches
   Total
Assets
($mm)
   TE/
TA
(%)
   TCE/
TA
(%)
   TCE/
RWA
(%)
   Leverage
Ratio
(%)
   Tier 1
RBC
(%)
   Total
RBC
Ratio
(%)
   ROAA
(%)
   ROAE
(%)
   NIM
(%)
   Eff.
Ratio
(%)
   Reserves/
Gross
Loans
(%)
   NPAS/
Total
Assets
(%)
   NCOs/
Avg
Loans
(%)

Popular, Inc.

  

Hato Rey, PR

   BPOP    345    33,832    5.55    5.40    8.00    7.34    9.51    10.97    NM    NM    3.66    62.6    5.51    7.98    4.35   

Oriental Financial Group Inc.

  

San Juan, PR

   OFG    47    6,509    7.10    6.06    17.89    7.82    23.53    24.71    0.73    12.0    3.37    41.5    2.24    1.09    0.48   

First BanCorp.

  

San Juan, PR

   FBP    74    18,851    7.68    2.74    3.84    8.37    11.98    13.26    NM    NM    2.69    60.8    4.33    10.28    3.09   

Doral Financial Corporation

  

San Juan, PR

   DRL    42    9,713    8.84    5.21    9.03    4.48    8.91    12.91    NM    NM    1.84    93.5    2.52    14.54    0.70   
                                                  
  

MEDIAN

        61    14,282    7.39    5.31    8.51    7.58    10.75    13.09    0.73    12.0    3.03    61.7    3.43    9.13    1.90
                                                  

PETUNIA

  

Guaynabo, PR

   SBP    55    6,858    7.13    7.13    9.80    8.26    11.10    16.15    1.27    14.1    6.17    49.1    3.68    4.98    2.19

Financial data as of March 31, 2010 or most recent period available

Source: SNL Financial

 

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Recent Stock Performance

 

 

Analyst Estimates

 

Individual Analysts’ Recommendation, Target Prices, LTGR and Diluted EPS Estimates
     Recommendation Scale    Target
Price($)
   LTGR(%)    EPS Estimates ($)    Current Estimate
Last Reviewed

Firm

   5Pt   

Firm

         12/10FY    12/11FY   

Keefe Bruyette & Woods Inc.

   3   

Market Perform

   12.75    10.00    0.65    0.60    3/17/2010

Sandler O’Neill & Partners LP

   3   

Hold

   12.00    —      1.00    —      11/17/2009

Source: SNL Financial

 

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III. Net Present Value Analysis

 

 


Net Present Value Analysis

 

 

Standalone Earnings Projections

 

Dollars in Thousands    Actual Quarter
3/31/2010
    Forecast  
     12/31/2010     12/31/2011     12/31/2012  
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS         

Total Assets

   $ 6,857,677      $ 7,079,137      $ 7,134,879      $ 7,207,010   

Growth

     —          3.2     0.8     1.0

Net Loans

   $ 5,185,389      $ 5,242,217      $ 5,306,468      $ 5,300,943   

Growth

     —          1.1     1.2     (0.1 )% 

Total Deposits

   $ 4,481,259      $ 4,633,966      $ 4,635,361      $ 4,669,148   

Growth

     —          3.4     0.0     0.7

Total Shareholders’ Equity

   $ 619,019      $ 645,948      $ 701,283      $ 757,118   

Growth

     —          4.4     8.6     8.0
INCOME STATEMENT HIGH LIGHTS         

Net Interest Income

   $ 94,761      $ 370,471      $ 378,378      $ 379,797   

Provision for Loan Losses

     30,093        155,300        155,300        155,300   

Total Noninterest Income

     29,371        115,459        110,410        110,832   

Total Noninterest Expense

     62,807        260,145        266,006        267,238   

Net Income

     21,430        55,580        55,335        55,835   

Growth

     —          —          (0.44 )%      0.90

Earnings Per Share

   $ 0.46      $ 1.19      $ 1.19      $ 1.20   
KEY RATIOS         

Net Interest Margin

     6.17     6.11     6.10     6.08

Return on Average Assets

     1.26     0.80     0.78     0.78

Return on Average Equity

     14.11     8.84     8.21     7.66

Efficiency Ratio

     48.8     52.6     52.9     53.3

Tangible Equity / Tangible Assets

     6.99     7.25     8.08     7.68

NPAs / Total Assets

     4.98     4.82     4.79     4.74

Loan Loss Reserves / Gross Loans

     3.68     3.97     3.95     3.96

PETUNIA projections for 2009, and 2010. PARENT estimates for 2011 and 2012.

 

15


Net Present Value Analysis

 

 

 

Assumptions:

  

Stock price as of 06/18/10

   $ 11.59   

Projected Payout Ratio

     0.00

Discount Rate

     15.41

Shares Outstanding in 2014 (000s)

     46,639   

Calculation of Discount Rate:

  

10 Year Treasury Bond

     3.22

2 Year Beta of Stock

     100.00

Equity Risk Premium

     6.40

Size Premium

     3.74

Industry Premium

     2.05
        

Discount Rate

     15.41

 

     12/31/2010    12/31/2011    12/31/2012

Earnings

   $ 55,580    $ 55,335    $ 55,835

Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.19    $ 1.19    $ 1.20

PRESENT VALUE PER SHARE - Based on Price/Earnings; Net Present Value for Period Ending 12/2012

 

     8.0x      9.8x      11.6x      13.4x      15.2x      17.0x   
   12.0   6.82      8.35      9.88      11.42      12.95      14.44   
   13.0   6.64      8.13      9.62      11.12      12.61      14.06   
Discount    14.0   6.46      7.92      9.37      10.83      12.28      13.70   
Rate    15.0   6.30      7.71      9.13      10.55      11.96      13.34   
   16.0   6.14      7.52      8.90      10.28      11.66      13.00   
   17.0   5.98      7.33      8.67      10.02      11.36      12.67   
   18.0   5.83      7.14      8.45      9.76      11.08      12.35   
PRESENT VALUE PER SHARE - Based on Price/Earnings; Net Present Value for Period Ending 12/2012   
     8.0x      9.8x      11.6x      13.4x      15.2x      17.0x   
   (25.0 )%    4.67      5.72      6.78      7.83      8.88      9.90   
Under Budget    (20.0 )%    4.98      6.11      7.23      8.35      9.47      10.56   
   (15.0 )%    5.30      6.49      7.68      8.87      10.06      11.22   
   (10.0 )%    5.61      6.87      8.13      9.39      10.65      11.88   
   (5.0 )%    5.92      7.25      8.58      9.91      11.25      12.54   
Match Budget    0.0   6.23      7.63      9.03      10.44      11.84      13.20   
   5.0   6.54      8.01      9.49      10.96      12.43      13.86   
   10.0   6.85      8.39      9.94      11.48      13.02      14.52   
   15.0   7.16      8.78      10.39      12.00      13.61      15.18   
Exceed Budget    20.0   7.48      9.16      10.84      12.52      14.20      15.84   
   25.0   7.79      9.54      11.29      13.04      14.80      16.50   
PRESENT VALUE PER SHARE - Based on Tangible Book Value; Net Present Value for Period Ending 12/2012   
     60   80   100   120   140   160
   12.0   5.74      7.65      9.56      11.48      13.39      15.30   
   13.0   5.59      7.45      9.31      11.18      13.04      14.90   
Discount    14.0   5.44      7.26      9.07      10.88      12.70      14.51   
Rate    15.0   5.30      7.07      8.84      10.60      12.37      14.14   
   16.0   5.17      6.89      8.61      10.33      12.05      13.77   
   17.0   5.03      6.71      8.39      10.07      11.75      13.42   
   18.0   4.91      6.54      8.18      9.81      11.45      13.09   

 

¹ Ibbotson Size Premium of 3.74% generally applied for market caps between $1.6M and $453.3M and applied in this analysis due to PETUNIA’s small float relative to market cap

 

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IV. Precedent Buy-In Transactions

 

 


Precedent Buy-In Transactions

 

 

10% and Less Acquired¹

U.S. Transactions

 

Date Announced

  

Acquiror Name

  

Target Name

        Value of
Transaction
($mm)
   % of
Shares
Acquired
   % of
Shares
Owned Post
Transaction
   Premium
4 Weeks
Prior to
Ann. Date

11/16/07

  

ACE Hi Merger Corp

  

Atlantic Coast Ent Hldg Inc

      12.3    5.9    100.0    21.1   

10/07/07

  

SAP AG

  

Business Objects SA

      277.7    4.7    100.0    35.1   

04/20/06

  

PX Holding Corp

  

Panavision Inc

      12.4    3.7    100.0    112.5   

04/07/03

  

Computer Network Technology

  

INRANGE Technologies Corp

      17.1    9.0    100.0    22.9   

08/14/02

  

First Banks Inc

  

First Banks America Inc,TX

      26.2    6.2    100.0    1.1   

02/04/02

  

Kinross Gold Corp

  

Kinam Gold Corp

      14.3    1.3    100.0    75.8   

01/31/00

  

Thermo Instrument Systems Inc

  

Thermo Optek Corp

      51.8    10.0    100.0    41.2   
         High    277.7    10.0    100.0    112.5
         Low    12.3    1.3    100.0    1.1
         Mean    58.8    5.8    100.0    44.2
         Median    17.1    5.9    100.0    35.1
        

PETUNIA 4-Week Premium at $12.69

   11.4

European Transactions

 

Date

Announced

  

Acquiror Name

  

Target Name

        Value of
Transaction
($mm)
   % of
Shares
Acquired
   % of
Shares
Owned Post
Transaction
   Premium
4 Weeks
Prior to
Ann. Date
 

02/09/09

  

Ergo Italia SpA

  

Ergo Previdenza SpA

      37.6    6.8    100.0    (1.1

12/02/08

  

Allia Holding GmbH

  

Keramag Keramische Werke AG

      18.1    4.5    100.0    0.6   

09/25/08

  

Banco Popular Espanol SA

  

Banco de Galicia SA

      49.8    6.5    100.0    33.2   

09/25/08

  

Banco Popular Espanol SA

  

Banco de Castilla SA

      44.4    4.8    100.0    28.8   

09/25/08

  

Banco Popular Espanol SA

  

Banco de Vasconia SA

      18.1    3.2    100.0    22.2   

07/30/08

  

Gas Natural SDG SA

  

Union Fenosa SA

      420.4    4.8    100.0    (37.1

11/21/07

  

Gecina SA

  

Societe des Immeubles

      21.1    0.7    100.0    (0.4

10/22/07

  

SCOR

  

Scor Holding (Switzerland) Ltd

      54.0    2.0    100.0    (12.4

08/01/07

  

TNK-British Petroleum

  

Orenburgneft

      123.1    3.0    100.0    90   

03/21/07

  

Commerzbank Inlandsbanken

  

Eurohypo AG

      230.1    2.0    100.0    (4.44

03/01/07

  

Mastercroft Ltd

  

NTMK

      160.9    5.0    100.0    16.26   
         High    420.4    6.8    100.0    33.2   
         Low    18.1    0.7    100.0    (37.1
         Mean    107.0    3.9    100.0    3.3   
         Median    49.8    4.5    100.0    (0.4
        

PETUNIA 4-Week Premium at $12.69

   11.4   

 

1

U.S. Transactions are all buy-in transactions in the U.S. since 2000 with a deal value between $5 million and $500 million with 10% or less of shares acquired in transaction and resultant ownership of 100%; European Transaction are those since 2007

Source: SDC

 

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Precedent Buy-In Transactions

 

 

10-25% Acquired¹

 

Date

Announced

  

Acquiror Name

  

Target Name

        Value of
Transaction
($mm)
   % of
Shares
Acquired
   % of
Shares
Owned Post
Transaction
   Premium
4 Weeks
Prior to
Ann. Date
 

03/23/09

  

Cox Enterprises Inc

  

Cox Radio Inc

      82.4    21.6    100.0    (5.1

03/18/09

  

American Software Inc

  

Logility Inc

      10.8    12.0    100.0    51.8   

12/20/07

  

Yamana Gold Inc

  

Meridian Gold Inc

      357.6    10.7    100.0    (7.6

05/25/07

  

Samson Investment Co

  

PYR Energy Corp

      10.9    25.0    100.0    2.4   

05/18/07

  

KLA-Tencor Corp

  

Therma-Wave Inc

      7.3    11.8    100.0    6.5   

02/26/07

  

ROG Acquisition Inc

  

Refac Optical Group

      11.0    10.3    100.0    53.5   

02/22/07

  

American Financial Group Inc

  

Great American Finl Res Inc

      244.6    24.4    100.0    12.5   

08/23/06

  

CP Newco Inc

  

Case Pomeroy & Co Inc

      73.5    14.0    100.0    8.8   

04/13/06

  

TAS Holdings Inc

  

TIMCO Aviation Services

      10.0    10.8    100.0    (1.2

03/21/06

  

Erie Indemnity Co

  

Erie Family Life Insurance Co

      75.3    24.9    100.0    20.8   

03/03/05

  

Vishay Intertechnology Inc

  

Siliconix Inc

      196.6    19.6    100.0    9.7   

01/27/05

  

Danisco A/S

  

Genencor International Inc

      183.8    16.0    100.0    15.8   

05/24/04

  

Westcorp,Irvine,CA

  

WFS Financial Inc

      310.5    16.0    100.0    5.1   

06/10/03

  

Martin Sosnoff

  

Atalanta/Sosnoff Capital Corp

      23.5    20.9    100.0    9.4   

06/02/03

  

ICN Pharmaceuticals Inc

  

Ribapharm Inc

      187.3    20.4    100.0    50.2   

04/01/03

  

Liberty Media Corp

  

Liberty Satellite & Tech Inc

      20.4    13.0    100.0    25.7   

07/26/02

  

Samuel J Heyman

  

International Specialty Prods

      138.0    22.1    100.0    33.8   

05/16/02

  

Citizens Communications Co

  

Electric Lightwave Inc

      5.5    15.3    100.0    (10.3

03/18/02

  

ProAssurance Corp

  

Meemic Holdings Inc

      35.4    18.8    100.0    36.1   

03/04/02

  

IOS Brands Corp

  

FTD.COM INC

      24.6    15.4    100.0    (57.0

11/07/01

  

UtiliCorp United Inc

  

Aquila Inc(Utilicorp United)

      414.2    20.0    100.0    (16.1

10/12/01

  

Liberty Media Corp

  

Liberty Digital Inc

      69.1    10.4    100.0    (28.2

10/10/01

  

Toronto-Dominion Bank

  

TD Waterhouse Group Inc

      402.6    11.2    100.0    32.9   

09/18/01

  

Seneca Investments LLC

  

Organic Inc

      5.8    20.0    100.0    (17.5

05/23/01

  

Electronic Data Systems Corp

  

Unigraphics Solutions Inc

      208.5    21.5    100.0    80.8   

03/26/01

  

CSFB

  

CSFBdirect

      110.4    18.0    100.0    73.9   

10/17/00

  

Thermo Electron Corp

  

Trex Medical Corp(ThermoTrex)

      16.1    23.0    100.0    (25.2

08/28/00

  

Investor Group

  

800-JR Cigar Inc

      33.3    21.6    100.0    18.2   

07/20/00

  

Kennametal Inc

  

JLK Direct Distribution Inc

      36.5    17.0    100.0    68.7   

03/14/00

  

Alcoa Inc

  

Howmet International Inc

      349.3    18.9    100.0    14.3   

01/31/00

  

Thermo Instrument Systems Inc

  

Metrika Systems Corp

      14.2    21.7    100.0    46.9   

01/31/00

  

Thermedics(Thermo Electron)

  

Thermo Sentron Inc(Thermedics)

      30.7    19.5    100.0    6.9   

01/31/00

  

Thermo Instrument Systems Inc

  

ONIX Systems Inc

      23.1    18.8    100.0    38.5   

01/31/00

  

Thermo Instrument Systems Inc

  

ThermoQuest Corp

      96.9    14.6    100.0    61.9   

01/31/00

  

Thermedics(Thermo Electron)

  

Thermedics Detection Inc

      17.0    11.8    100.0    14.3   
         High    414.2    25.0    100.0    80.8   
         Low    5.5    10.3    100.0    (57.0
         Mean    109.6    17.5    100.0    18.0   
         Median    36.5    18.8    100.0    14.3   
        

PETUNIA 4-Week Premium at $12.69

   11.4   

 

1

All buy-in transactions in the U.S. since 2000 with a deal value between $5 million and $500 million with 10-25% of shares acquired in transaction and resultant ownership of 100%

Source: SDC

 

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