EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm FY08 Q4 KEY FINANCIAL METRIC TREND SHEETS FY08 Q4 Key Financial Metric Trend Sheets

Exhibit 99.2

Trend Sheet for GAAP Statement of Operations

(unaudited, in thousands, except per share data)

 

     Three Months Ended  
     Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    Apr 30,
2006
 

Income Statement

                

Net revenues

   $ 74,118     $ 75,519     $ 62,659     $ 60,380     $ 76,850     $ 66,003     $ 59,315     $ 56,753  

Hardware revenues

     16,066       17,240       6,199       2,293       19,890       13,476       6,503       1,719  

Cost of hardware revenues

     23,885       29,114       28,271       10,648       43,534       31,925       21,607       15,146  

Service and Technology revenues

   $ 58,052     $ 58,279     $ 56,460     $ 58,087     $ 56,960     $ 52,527     $ 52,812     $ 55,034  

Service revenues

     51,025       52,940       53,376       54,155       53,543       49,000       49,430       46,951  

Technology revenues

     7,027       5,339       3,084       3,932       3,417       3,527       3,382       8,083  

Cost of service & technology revenues

   $ 17,271     $ 15,650     $ 13,760     $ 13,662     $ 15,921     $ 13,826     $ 12,629     $ 17,801  

Cost of service revenues (1)

     12,019       10,738       10,064       10,155       12,445       10,820       9,628       10,435  

Cost of technology revenues (1)

     5,252       4,912       3,696       3,507       3,476       3,006       3,001       7,366  

Gross margin of service & technology revenues

   $ 40,781     $ 42,629     $ 42,700     $ 44,425     $ 41,039     $ 38,701     $ 40,183     $ 37,233  

Operating expenses

                

Research and development (1)

   $ 15,416     $ 14,049     $ 15,070     $ 14,245     $ 12,755     $ 12,221     $ 12,891     $ 12,861  

Sales and marketing (1)

     7,336       5,967       5,381       5,303       6,784       5,450       5,439       4,847  

Sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs

     7,195       9,050       9,015       5,790       9,915       5,016       3,053       2,783  

General and administrative (1)

     10,234       11,106       10,392       11,222       8,852       9,811       11,091       15,059  

Interest and other income (expense)

   $ 883     $ 1,173     $ 1,540     $ 1,333     $ 1,418     $ 1,158     $ 959     $ 1,059  

Provision for income tax

     (22 )     —         —         (8 )     (17 )     (4 )     (12 )     (19 )

Net income (loss)

     (6,358 )     (8,244 )     (17,690 )     835       (19,510 )     (11,092 )     (6,448 )     (10,704 )

Net income (loss) per basic and diluted common share

   $ (0.06 )   $ (0.08 )   $ (0.18 )   $ 0.01     $ (0.20 )   $ (0.12 )   $ (0.07 )   $ (0.13 )

Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic

     98,518       97,611       97,084       96,829       96,415       91,930       85,978       85,134  

Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted

     98,518       97,611       97,084       98,047       96,415       91,930       85,978       85,134  

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

                

Cash & cash equivalents, and short-term investments

   $ 99,106     $ 82,458     $ 97,629     $ 101,784     $ 128,765     $ 106,965     $ 75,118     $ 92,351  

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (YTD)

     32,090       (44,523 )     (29,906 )     (26,213 )     (33,507 )     (55,212 )     (32,796 )     (14,150 )

 

                

(1)      Includes Stock-based compensation expenses as follows:

   $ 5,697     $ 7,260     $ 5,242     $ 4,640     $ 3,979     $ 4,083     $ 3,563     $ 3,087  

Cost of services revenues

     216       178       178       157       117       129       130       94  

Cost of technology revenues

     729       726       504       463       338       236       243       203  

Research and development

     1,934       1,797       1,967       1,628       1,419       1,608       1,451       1,118  

Sales and marketing

     737       660       332       476       385       474       450       340  

General and administrative

     2,081       3,899       2,261       1,916       1,720       1,636       1,289       1,332  

 

1


Trend Sheet for Non-GAAP Key Financial Metrics(1)

(unaudited, in thousands except per share data)

 

 

     Three Months Ended  
     Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    Apr 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    Apr 30,
2006
 

Reconciliation to EBITDA and Adjusted EBIDTA

                

Net income (loss)

   $ (6,358 )   $ (8,244 )   $ (17,690 )   $ 835     $ (19,510 )   $ (11,092 )   $ (6,448 )   $ (10,704 )

Add back:

                

Depreciation & amortization

     2,675       2,445       2,586       2,620       1,944       2,217       1,868       1,730  

Interest income & expense

     (1,050 )     (1,201 )     (1,324 )     (1,400 )     (1,423 )     (1,246 )     (988 )     (1,060 )

Provision for income tax

     22       —         —         8       17       4       12       19  

EBITDA

   $ (4,711 )   $ (7,000 )   $ (16,428 )   $ 2,063     $ (18,972 )   $ (10,117 )   $ (5,556 )   $ (10,015 )

Stock-based compensation

     5,697       7,260       5,242       4,640       3,979       4,083       3,563       3,087  

Adjusted EBITDA

   $ 986     $ 260     $ (11,186 )   $ 6,703     $ (14,993 )   $ (6,034 )   $ (1,993 )   $ (6,928 )

Subscription Metrics

                

TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions

     109       69       41       57       163       101       74       91  

TiVo-Owned subscription cancellations

     (76 )     (65 )     (60 )     (56 )     (62 )     (48 )     (44 )     (40 )

TiVo-Owned churn rate per month

     -1.5 %     -1.3 %     -1.2 %     -1.1 %     -1.2 %     -1.0 %     -0.9 %     -0.9 %

TiVo-Owned net additions (losses)

     33       4       (19 )     1       101       53       30       51  

TiVo-Owned cumulative subscriptions

     1,745       1,712       1,708       1,727       1,726       1,625       1,572       1,542  

% of TiVo-Owned cumulative subscriptions paying recurring fees

     61 %     60 %     59 %     59 %     58 %     55 %     53 %     52 %

Fully Amortized Active Lifetime Subscriptions

     175       190       180       179       165       138       129       122  

MSOs/Broadcasters’ Net additions (losses)

     (155 )     (134 )     (126 )     (103 )     (91 )     (37 )     (29 )     2  

Total subscription net additions (losses)

     (122 )     (130 )     (145 )     (102 )     10       16       1       53  

Total cumulative subscriptions

     3,946       4,067       4,197       4,342       4,444       4,434       4,418       4,417  

TiVo-Owned ARPU & Subscription Acquisition Costs

                

TiVo-Owned-related service revenues

     43,892       46,341       46,823       46,995       45,091       41,427       41,234       38,942  

TiVo-Owned average subscriptions

     1,727       1,708       1,719       1,729       1,673       1,596       1,559       1,520  

TiVo-Owned ARPU per month

   $ 8.47     $ 9.04     $ 9.08     $ 9.06     $ 8.98     $ 8.65     $ 8.82     $ 8.54  

TiVo-Owned total acquisition costs (Quarterly)

     15,014       20,924       31,087       14,145       33,559       23,465       18,157       16,210  

TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions (Quarterly)

     109       69       41       57       163       101       74       91  

TiVo-Owned subscription acquisition costs (Quarterly)

     138       303       758       248       206       232       245       178  

TiVo-Owned total acquisition costs ( 12 months ended)

     81,170       99,715       102,256       89,326       91,391       88,459       88,517       82,451  

TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions (12 months ended)

     276       330       362       395       429       487       478       481  

TiVo-Owned subscription acquisition costs (12 months ended)

     294       302       282       226       213       182       185       171  

MSOs/Broadcasters’ ARPU

                

MSOs/Broadcasters’-related service revenues

     7,133       6,599       6,553       7,160       8,452       7,573       8,196       8,009  

MSOs/Broadcasters’ average subscriptions

     2,279       2,422       2,554       2,668       2,767       2,837       2,858       2,881  

MSOs/Broadcasters’ ARPU per month

   $ 1.04     $ 0.91     $ 0.86     $ 0.89     $ 1.02     $ 0.89     $ 0.96     $ 0.93  

 

(1)

This presentation is not prepared under a comprehensive set of accounting rules or principles such as GAAP. See attached reconciliation of Non-GAAP Statement of Operations excluding stock based compensation and related note for further explanation of this non-GAAP financial measure presented herein.

 

2


EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Results. TiVo’s “EBITDA” means income before interest income and expense, provision for income taxes and depreciation and amortization. TiVo’s “Adjusted EBITDA” is EBITDA less expense for stock-based compensation. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are not measures of financial performance under generally accepted accounting principles, which we refer to as GAAP. A table reconciling TiVo’s EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP net income is included with the condensed consolidated financial statements attached to this release. We have presented EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA solely as supplemental disclosure because we believe they allow for a more complete analysis of our results of operations and we believe that EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are useful to investors because EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are commonly used to analyze companies on the basis of operating performance. In addition, because of the variety of equity awards used by companies, the varying methodologies for determining stock-based compensation expense, and the subjective assumptions involved in those determinations, we believe excluding stock-based compensation enhances the ability of management and investors to evaluate our operating performance over multiple periods. Management does not use EBITDA or AEBITDA as a measure of liquidity because, among other things, they do not exclude the impact of deferred revenues associated with the amortization of product lifetime subscriptions. We do not use stock-based compensation expense in our internal measures. A limitation associated with these non-GAAP measures is that they do not include any stock-based compensation expense related to hiring, retaining, and incentivizing the Company’s workforce. EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are not intended to represent, and should not be considered more meaningful than, or as an alternative to, measures of operating performance as determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

     Three Months Ended  

(Subscriptions in thousands)

   Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    April 30,
2006
 

TiVo-Owned Subscription Gross Additions:

   109     69     41     57     163     101     74     91  

Subscription Net Additions/(Losses):

                

TiVo-Owned

   33     4     (19 )   1     101     53     30     51  

MSOs/Broadcasters

   (155 )   (134 )   (126 )   (103 )   (91 )   (37 )   (29 )   2  
                                                

Total Subscription Net Additions/(Losses)

   (122 )   (130 )   (145 )   (102 )   10     16     1     53  

Cumulative Subscriptions:

                

TiVo-Owned

   1,745     1,712     1,708     1,727     1,726     1,625     1,572     1,542  

MSOs/Broadcasters

   2,201     2,355     2,489     2,615     2,718     2,809     2,846     2,875  
                                                

Total Cumulative Subscriptions

   3,946     4,067     4,197     4,342     4,444     4,434     4,418     4,417  

Fully Amortized Active Lifetime Subscriptions

   175     190     180     179     165     138     129     122  

% of TiVo-Owned Cumulative Subscriptions paying recurring fees

   61 %   60 %   59 %   59 %   58 %   55 %   53 %   52 %

Subscriptions. Management reviews this metric, and believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate our relative position in the marketplace and to forecast future potential service revenues. The TiVo-Owned lines refer to subscriptions sold directly or indirectly by TiVo to consumers who have TiVo-enabled DVRs and for which TiVo incurs acquisition costs. The MSO’s/Broadcasters lines refer to subscriptions sold to consumers by MSOs/Broadcasters such as DIRECTV, Cablevision Mexico, and Comcast and in the future Cox and Seven and for which TiVo expects to incur little or no acquisition costs. Additionally, we provide a breakdown of the percent of TiVo-Owned subscriptions for which consumers pay recurring fees, including on a monthly and a prepaid one, two, or three year basis, as opposed to a one-time prepaid product lifetime fee.

We define a “subscription” as a contract referencing a TiVo-enabled DVR for which (i) a consumer has committed to pay for the TiVo service and (ii) service is not canceled. We have from time-to-time offered a product lifetime subscription for general sale, under which consumers could purchase a subscription that is valid for the lifetime of a particular DVR. We count these as subscriptions until both of the following conditions are met: (i) the period we use to recognize lifetime subscription revenues ends; and (ii) the related DVR has not made contact to the TiVo service within the prior six-month period. Lifetime subscriptions past this period which have not called into the TiVo service for six months are not counted in this total. During the quarter ended April 30, 2006, we discontinued general sale of the product lifetime service option. During the quarter ended January 31, 2008, we began offering product lifetime service subscriptions only to existing customers. Additionally, we have extended the period we use to recognize product lifetime subscription revenues from 48 months to 54 months for lifetime subscriptions acquired on or before October 31, 2007. Additionally, we also increased the amortization period to 60 months for new product lifetime subscriptions acquired on or after November 1, 2007 which are offered on a limited basis and primarily related to the TiVo HD DVR. We are not aware of any uniform standards for defining subscriptions and caution that our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies. Additionally, the subscription fees that some of our MSO/Broadcasters pay us may be based upon a specific contractual definition of a subscriber or subscription which may not be consistent with how we define subscription for our reporting purposes.

 

3


 

     Three Months Ended  
(Subscriptions in thousands)    Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    April 30,
2006
 

Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions

   1,727     1,708     1,719     1,729     1,672     1,596     1,559     1,520  

TiVo-Owned subscription cancellations

   (76 )   (65 )   (60 )   (56 )   (62 )   (48 )   (44 )   (40 )
                                                

TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month

   -1.5 %   -1.3 %   -1.2 %   -1.1 %   -1.2 %   -1.0 %   -0.9 %   -0.9 %
                                                

TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per Month. Management reviews this metric, and believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate our ability to retain existing TiVo-Owned subscriptions (including both monthly and product lifetime subscriptions) by providing services that are competitive in the market. Management believes factors such as service enhancements, service commitments, higher customer satisfaction, and improved customer support may improve this metric. Conversely, management believes factors such as increased competition, lack of competitive service features such as high definition television recording capabilities for our low cost product offerings, and increased price sensitivity may cause our TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month to increase.

We define the TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month as the total TiVo-Owned subscription cancellations in the period divided by the Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period (including both monthly and product lifetime subscriptions), which then is divided by the number of months in the period. We calculate Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period by adding the average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for each month and dividing by the number of months in the period. We calculate the average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for each month by adding the beginning and ending subscriptions for the month and dividing by two. We are not aware of any uniform standards for calculating churn and caution that our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies.

 

4


     Three Months Ended  
     Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    Jul 31,
2007
    Apr 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    Jul 31,
2006
    Apr 30,
2006
 
     (In thousands, except SAC)  

Subscription Acquisition Costs

  

Sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs

   $ 7,195     $ 9,050     $ 9,015     $ 5,790     $ 9,915     $ 5,016     $ 3,053     $ 2,783  

Hardware revenues

     (16,066 )     (17,240 )     (6,199 )     (2,293 )     (19,890 )     (13,476 )     (6,503 )     (1,719 )

Cost of hardware revenues

     23,885       29,114       28,271       10,648       43,534       31,925       21,607       15,146  
                                                                

Total Acquisition Costs

     15,014       20,924       31,087       14,145       33,559       23,465       18,157       16,210  
                                                                

TiVo-Owned Subscription Gross Additions

     109       69       41       57       163       101       74       91  

Subscription Acquisition Costs (SAC)

   $ 138     $ 303     $ 758     $ 248     $ 206     $ 232     $ 245     $ 178  
                                                                

 

     Twelve Months Ended  
     Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    Jul 31,
2006
    April 30,
2006
 
     (In thousands, except SAC)  

Subscription Acquisition Costs

      

Sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs

   $ 31,050     $ 33,770     $ 29,736     $ 23,774     $ 20,767     $ 16,803     $ 17,259     $ 18,081  

Hardware revenues

     (41,798 )     (45,622 )   $ (41,858 )     (42,162 )     (41,588 )     (35,833 )     (28,973 )     (21,951 )

Cost of hardware revenues

     91,918       111,567     $ 114,378       107,714       112,212       107,489       100,231       86,321  
                                                                

Total Acquisition Costs

     81,170       99,715       102,256       89,326       91,391       88,459       88,517       82,451  
                                                                

TiVo-Owned Subscription Gross Additions

     276       330       362       395       429       487       478       481  

Subscription Acquisition Costs (SAC)

   $ 294     $ 302     $ 282     $ 226     $ 213     $ 182     $ 185     $ 171  
                                                                

Subscription Acquisition Cost or SAC. Management reviews this metric, and believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate trends in the efficiency of our marketing programs and subscription acquisition strategies. We define SAC as our total acquisition costs for a given period divided by TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions for the same period. In the first fiscal quarter of 2008, we revised our definition of total acquisition costs. We now define total acquisition costs as sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs less net hardware revenues (defined as gross hardware revenues less rebates, revenue share and market development funds paid to retailers) plus cost of hardware

 

5


revenues. The sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs line item includes advertising expenses and promotion-related expenses directly related to subscription acquisition activities, but does not include expenses related to advertising sales. We do not include third parties subscription gross additions, such as MSOs/Broadcasters’ gross additions with TiVo subscriptions, in our calculation of SAC because we incur limited or no acquisition costs for these new subscriptions. We are not aware of any uniform standards for calculating total acquisition costs or SAC and caution that our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies.

 

     Three Months Ended  

TiVo-Owned Average Revenue per Subscription

   Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    April 30,
2006
 
     (In thousands, except ARPU)  

Total Service revenues

     51,025       52,940       53,376       54,155       53,543       49,000       49,430       46,951  

Less: MSOs/Broadcasters-related service revenues

     (7,133 )     (6,599 )     (6,553 )     (7,160 )     (8,452 )     (7,573 )     (8,196 )     (8,009 )
                                                                

TiVo-Owned-related service revenues

     43,892       46,341       46,823       46,995       45,091       41,427       41,234       38,942  

Average TiVo-Owned revenues per month

     14,631       15,447       15,608       15,665       15,030       13,809       13,745       12,981  

Average TiVo-Owned per month subscriptions

     1,727       1,708       1,719       1,729       1,673       1,596       1,559       1,520  
                                                                

TiVo-Owned ARPU per month

   $ 8.47     $ 9.04     $ 9.08     $ 9.06     $ 8.98     $ 8.65     $ 8.82     $ 8.54  
                                                                
     Three Months Ended  

MSOs/Broadcasters Average Revenue per Subscription

   Jan 31,
2008
    Oct 31,
2007
    July 31,
2007
    April 30,
2007
    Jan 31,
2007
    Oct 31,
2006
    July 31,
2006
    April 30,
2006
 
     (In thousands, except ARPU)  

Total Service revenues

     51,025       52,940       53,376       54,155       53,543       49,000       49,430       46,951  

Less: TiVo-Owned-related service revenues

     (43,892 )     (46,341 )     (46,823 )     (46,995 )     (45,091 )     (41,427 )     (41,234 )     (38,942 )
                                                                

MSOs/Broadcasters-related service revenues

     7,133       6,599       6,553       7,160       8,452       7,573       8,196       8,009  

Average MSOs/Broadcasters revenues per month

     2,378       2,200       2,184       2,387       2,817       2,524       2,732       2,670  

Average MSOs/Broadcasters per month subscriptions

     2,279       2,422       2,554       2,668       2,767       2,837       2,858       2,881  
                                                                

MSOs/Broadcasters ARPU per month

   $ 1.04     $ 0.91     $ 0.86     $ 0.89     $ 1.02     $ 0.89     $ 0.96     $ 0.93  
                                                                

 

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Average Revenue Per Subscription or ARPU. Management reviews this metric, and believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate the potential of our subscription base to generate revenues from a variety of sources, including subscription fees, advertising, and audience research measurement. ARPU does not include rebates, revenue share and other payments to channel that reduce our GAAP revenues. As a result, you should not use ARPU as a substitute for measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Management believes it is useful to consider this metric excluding the costs associated with rebates, revenue share and other payments to channel because of the discretionary and varying nature of these expenses and because management believes these expenses, which are included in hardware revenues, net, are more appropriately monitored as part of SAC. We are not aware of any uniform standards for calculating ARPU and caution that our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies.

We calculate ARPU per month for TiVo-Owned subscriptions by subtracting MSOs/Broadcaster-related service revenues (which includes MSOs/Broadcasters’ subscription service revenues and MSOs/Broadcasters’-related advertising revenues) from our total reported net service revenues and dividing the result by the number of months in the period. We then divide by Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period, calculated as described above for churn rate. The above table shows this calculation. The decrease in ARPU per month for TiVo-Owned subscriptions during the fourth quarter ended January 31, 2008 as compared to the prior year period was the result of the recent change in amortization period for product lifetime subscriptions.

We calculate ARPU per month for MSOs/Broadcasters’ subscriptions by first subtracting TiVo-Owned-related service revenues (which includes TiVo-Owned subscription service revenues and TiVo-Owned related advertising revenues) from our total reported service revenues. Then we divide average revenues per month for MSOs/Broadcasters’-related service revenues by average subscriptions for the period. The above table shows this calculation.

Beginning in February 2006, pursuant to the most recent amendment of our agreement with DIRECTV, TiVo defers a portion of the DIRECTV subscription fees equal to the fair value of the undelivered development services. Additionally, beginning in February 2007, DIRECTV began paying us a monthly fee for all DIRECTV households with DIRECTV receivers with TiVo service similar to the lower amount paid by DIRECTV for households with DIRECTV receivers with TiVo service deployed since March 15, 2002, subject to a monthly minimum payment by DIRECTV.

 

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