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Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Insurance [Abstract]  
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued)

Note 14. Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

Our liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (also referred to as “claim liabilities”) under property and casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts are based upon estimates of the ultimate claim costs associated with claim occurrences as of the balance sheet date and include estimates for incurred-but-not-reported (“IBNR”) claims. A reconciliation of the changes in claim liabilities, excluding liabilities under retroactive reinsurance contracts (see Note 15), for each of the nine months ending September 30, 2020 and 2019 follows (in millions).

 

 

 

2020

 

 

2019

 

Balances at beginning of year:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross liabilities

 

$

73,019

 

 

$

68,458

 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

 

 

(2,855

)

 

 

(3,060

)

Net liabilities

 

 

70,164

 

 

 

65,398

 

Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year events

 

 

31,777

 

 

 

31,179

 

Prior accident years’ events

 

 

69

 

 

 

(396

)

Total

 

 

31,846

 

 

 

30,783

 

Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year events

 

 

(11,691

)

 

 

(13,144

)

Prior accident years’ events

 

 

(15,259

)

 

 

(13,967

)

Total

 

 

(26,950

)

 

 

(27,111

)

Foreign currency translation adjustment

 

 

124

 

 

 

(178

)

Balances at September 30:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net liabilities

 

 

75,184

 

 

 

68,892

 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

 

 

2,857

 

 

 

3,105

 

Gross liabilities

 

$

78,041

 

 

$

71,997

 

 

Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses shown in the preceding table were recorded in earnings and related to insured events occurring in the current year (“current accident year”) and events occurring in all prior years (“prior accident years”). We recorded a net increase in estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years of $69 million in the first nine months of 2020 and a net decrease of $396 million in the first nine months of 2019, which produced a corresponding increase and decrease in incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses. These changes in the ultimate liability estimates as percentages of the net liabilities at the beginning of each year were relatively insignificant.

In the first nine months of 2020, we reduced estimated ultimate liabilities for prior years’ loss events for primary insurance by $273 million and increased estimates for reinsurance liabilities by $342 million. The net decrease for primary insurance was primarily attributable to lower than anticipated private passenger automobile, medical professional liability and workers’ compensation claims. The net increase related to reinsurance included increased claims estimates for legacy casualty exposures. In the first nine months of 2019, the net decrease in estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years was primarily attributable to private passenger automobile, medical professional liability and workers’ compensation claims, partly offset by increased liabilities for legacy casualty exposures and other commercial insurance business.