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Fair value measurements
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair value measurements

Note 16. Fair value measurements

Our financial assets and liabilities are summarized below as of March 31, 2016 and December 31, 2015 with fair values shown according to the fair value hierarchy (in millions). The carrying values of cash and cash equivalents, receivable and accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities are considered to be reasonable estimates of their fair values.

 

     Carrying
Value
   Fair Value    Quoted
Prices
(Level 1)
   Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
   Significant
Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)

March 31, 2016

                        

Investments in fixed maturity securities:

                        

U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies

     $ 3,333        $ 3,333        $ 2,361        $ 972        $ —    

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

       1,565          1,565          —            1,565          —    

Foreign governments

       10,458          10,458          8,083          2,375          —    

Corporate bonds

       7,828          7,828          —            7,723          105  

Mortgage-backed securities

       1,373          1,373          —            1,373          —    

Investments in equity securities

       106,420          106,420          106,384          35          1  

Investment in Kraft Heinz common stock

       15,810          25,567          25,567          —            —    

Investment in Kraft Heinz Preferred Stock

       7,710          8,446          —            —            8,446  

Other investments

       19,810          19,810          328          —            19,482  

Loans and finance receivables

       12,925          13,202          —            15          13,187  

Derivative contract assets (1)

       114          114          —            2          112  

Derivative contract liabilities:

                        

Railroad, utilities and energy (1)

       267          267          10          214          43  

Finance and financial products:

                        

Equity index put options

       4,348          4,348          —            —            4,348  

Credit default

       298          298          —            —            298  

Notes payable and other borrowings:

                        

Insurance and other

       28,073          28,941          —            28,941          —    

Railroad, utilities and energy

       58,110          66,246          —            66,246          —    

Finance and financial products

       15,356          16,042          —            15,616          426  

December 31, 2015

                        

Investments in fixed maturity securities:

                        

U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies

     $ 3,427        $ 3,427        $ 2,485        $ 942        $ —    

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

       1,764          1,764          —            1,764          —    

Foreign governments

       11,468          11,468          9,188          2,280          —    

Corporate bonds

       7,926          7,926          —            7,826          100  

Mortgage-backed securities

       1,442          1,442          —            1,442          —    

Investments in equity securities

       111,822          111,822          111,786          35          1  

Investment in Kraft Heinz common stock

       15,714          23,679          23,679          —            —    

Investment in Kraft Heinz Preferred Stock

       7,710          8,363          —            —            8,363  

Other investments

       21,717          21,717          315          —            21,402  

Loans and finance receivables

       12,772          13,112          —            16          13,096  

Derivative contract assets (1)

       103          103          —            5          98  

Derivative contract liabilities:

                        

Railroad, utilities and energy (1)

       237          237          13          177          47  

Finance and financial products:

                        

Equity index put options

       3,552          3,552          —            —            3,552  

Credit default

       284          284          —            —            284  

Notes payable and other borrowings:

                        

Insurance and other

       14,599          14,773          —            14,773          —    

Railroad, utilities and energy

       57,739          62,471          —            62,471          —    

Finance and financial products

       11,951          12,363          —            11,887          476  

 

(1) 

Assets are included in other assets and liabilities are included in accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities.

 

The fair values of substantially all of our financial instruments were measured using market or income approaches. Considerable judgment may be required in interpreting market data used to develop the estimates of fair value. Accordingly, the fair values presented are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that could be realized in an actual current market exchange. The use of alternative market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair value. The hierarchy for measuring fair value consists of Levels 1 through 3, which are described below.

Level 1—Inputs represent unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in active markets.

Level 2—Inputs include directly or indirectly observable inputs (other than Level 1 inputs) such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities exchanged in active or inactive markets; quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in inactive markets; other inputs that may be considered in fair value determinations of the assets or liabilities, such as interest rates and yield curves, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates; and inputs that are derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data by correlation or other means. Pricing evaluations generally reflect discounted expected future cash flows, which incorporate yield curves for instruments with similar characteristics, such as credit ratings, estimated durations and yields for other instruments of the issuer or entities in the same industry sector.

Level 3—Inputs include unobservable inputs used in the measurement of assets and liabilities. Management is required to use its own assumptions regarding unobservable inputs because there is little, if any, market activity in the assets or liabilities and it may be unable to corroborate the related observable inputs. Unobservable inputs require management to make certain projections and assumptions about the information that would be used by market participants in valuing assets or liabilities.

Reconciliations of assets and liabilities measured and carried at fair value on a recurring basis with the use of significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three months ending March 31, 2016 and 2015 follow (in millions).

 

     Investments
in fixed
maturity
securities
  Investments
in equity
securities
and other
investments
  Net
derivative
contract
liabilities

Three months ending March 31, 2016

            

Balance at December 31, 2015

     $ 100       $ 21,403       $ (3,785 )

Gains (losses) included in:

            

Earnings

       —           —           (766 )

Other comprehensive income

       2         (1,920 )       (6 )

Regulatory assets and liabilities

       —           —           (6 )

Acquisitions, dispositions and settlements

       4         —           (14 )

Transfers into/out of Level 3

       (1 )       —           —    
    

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

 

Balance at March 31, 2016

     $ 105       $ 19,483       $ (4,577 )
    

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

 

Three months ending March 31, 2015

            

Balance at December 31, 2014

     $ 8       $ 21,996       $ (4,759 )

Gains (losses) included in:

            

Earnings

       —           —           1,347  

Other comprehensive income

       —           (1,445 )       1  

Regulatory assets and liabilities

       —           —           (3 )

Dispositions and settlements

       (1 )       —           (24 )

Transfers into/out of Level 3

       —           —           3  
    

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

 

Balance at March 31, 2015

     $ 7       $ 20,551       $ (3,435 )
    

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

 

Gains and losses included in earnings are included as components of investment gains/losses, derivative gains/losses and other revenues, as appropriate and are primarily related to changes in the fair values of derivative contracts and settlement transactions. Gains and losses included in other comprehensive income primarily represent the net change in unrealized appreciation of investments.

 

Quantitative information as of March 31, 2016, with respect to assets and liabilities measured and carried at fair value on a recurring basis with the use of significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) follows (in millions).

 

     Fair
Value
     Principal Valuation
Techniques
   Unobservable Inputs    Weighted
Average

Other investments:

           

Preferred stocks

   $ 14,995       Discounted cash flow    Expected duration    6 years
         Discount for transferability
restrictions and subordination
   134 basis points

Common stock warrants

     4,487       Warrant pricing model    Discount for transferability
and hedging restrictions
   8%

Net derivative liabilities:

           

Equity index put options

     4,348       Option pricing model    Volatility    21%

Credit default municipalities

     298       Discounted cash flow    Credit spreads    31 basis points

Other investments consist of perpetual preferred stocks and common stock warrants that we acquired in a few relatively large private placement transactions. These investments are subject to contractual restrictions on transferability and may contain provisions that prevent us from economically hedging our investments. In applying discounted estimated cash flow techniques in valuing the perpetual preferred stocks, we made assumptions regarding the expected durations of the investments, as the issuers may have the right to redeem or convert these investments. We also made estimates regarding the impact of subordination, as the preferred stocks have a lower priority in liquidation than debt instruments of the issuers. In valuing the common stock warrants, we used a warrant valuation model. While most of the inputs to the model are observable, we are subject to the aforementioned contractual restrictions and we have applied discounts with respect to such restrictions. Increases or decreases to these inputs would result in decreases or increases to the fair values of the investments.

Our equity index put option and credit default contracts are illiquid and contain contract terms that are not standard in derivatives markets. For example, we are not required to post collateral under most of our contracts and many contracts have relatively long durations. For these and other reasons, we classified these contracts as Level 3. The methods we use to value these contracts are those that we believe market participants would use in determining exchange prices with respect to our contracts.

We value equity index put option contracts based on the Black-Scholes option valuation model. Inputs to this model include index price, contract duration and dividend and interest rate inputs (including a Berkshire non-performance input) which are observable. However, we believe that the valuation of long-duration options using any model is inherently subjective and, given the lack of observable transactions and prices, acceptable values may be subject to wide ranges. Expected volatility inputs represent our expectations, which consider the remaining duration of each contract and assume that the contracts will remain outstanding until the expiration dates without offsetting transactions occurring in the interim. Increases or decreases in the volatility inputs will produce increases or decreases in the fair values of the liabilities.