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Fair value measurements
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2012
Fair value measurements

(17) Fair value measurements

Our financial assets and liabilities are summarized below according to the fair value hierarchy. The carrying values of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities are considered to be reasonable estimates of their fair values. As of December 31, 2012 and 2011, the carrying values and fair values of financial assets and liabilities were as follows (in millions).

 

     Carrying
Value
     Fair Value      Quoted
Prices
(Level 1)
     Significant Other
Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
     Significant
Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 

December 31, 2012—Assets and liabilities carried at fair value:

              

Investments in fixed maturity securities:

              

U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies

   $ 2,775       $ 2,775       $ 1,225       $ 1,549       $ 1   

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     2,913         2,913                 2,912         1   

Foreign governments

     11,355         11,355         4,571         6,784           

Corporate bonds

     12,661         12,661                 12,011         650   

Mortgage-backed securities

     2,587         2,587                 2,587           

Investments in equity securities

     87,662         87,662         87,563         64         35   

Other investments

     15,750         15,750                         15,750   

Derivative contract assets (1)

     220         220         1         128         91   

Derivative contract liabilities:

              

Railroad, utilities and energy (2)

     234         234         10         217         7   

Finance and financial products:

              

Equity index put options

     7,502         7,502                         7,502   

Credit default

     429         429                         429   

Other

     2         2                 2           

December 31, 2012—Assets and liabilities not carried at fair value:

              

Other investments

   $ 5,259       $ 6,134       $       $       $ 6,134   

Loans and finance receivables

     12,809         11,991                 304         11,687   

Notes payable and other borrowings:

              

Insurance and other

     13,535         14,284                 14,284           

Railroad, utilities and energy

     36,156         42,074                 42,074           

Finance and financial products

     13,045         14,005                 13,194         811   

December 31, 2011—Assets and liabilities carried at fair value:

              

Investments in fixed maturity securities:

              

U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies

   $ 2,935       $ 2,935       $ 843       $ 2,090       $ 2   

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     3,070         3,070                 3,069         1   

Foreign governments

     10,843         10,843         4,444         6,265         134   

Corporate bonds

     12,448         12,448                 11,801         647   

Mortgage-backed securities

     2,892         2,892                 2,892           

Investments in equity securities

     76,991         76,991         76,906         63         22   

Other investments

     11,669         11,669                         11,669   

Derivative contract assets (1)

     327         327                 205         122   

Derivative contract liabilities:

              

Railroad, utilities and energy (2)

     336         336         12         320         4   

Finance and financial products:

              

Equity index put options

     8,499         8,499                         8,499   

Credit default

     1,527         1,527                         1,527   

Other

     113         113                 113           

 

(1)

Included in other assets.

 

(2) 

Included in accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities.

 

As of December 31, 2011, the carrying values and fair values of financial assets and liabilities that are not carried at fair value were as follows (in millions).

 

     Carrying Value      Fair Value  

Other investments

   $ 5,252       $ 6,258   

Loans and finance receivables

     13,934         13,126   

Notes payable and other borrowings:

     

Insurance and other

     13,768         14,334   

Railroad, utilities and energy

     32,580         38,257   

Finance and financial products

     14,036         14,959   

The fair values of substantially all of our financial instruments were measured using market or income approaches. Considerable judgment may be required in interpreting market data used to develop the estimates of fair value. Accordingly, the estimates presented are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that could be realized in an actual current market exchange. The use of alternative market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair value.

The hierarchy for measuring fair value consists of Levels 1 through 3, which are described below.

Level 1 – Inputs represent unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in active markets. Substantially all of our investments in equity securities are traded on an exchange in active markets and fair values are based on the closing prices as of the balance sheet date.

Level 2 – Inputs include directly or indirectly observable inputs (other than Level 1 inputs) such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities exchanged in active or inactive markets; quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in inactive markets; other inputs that may be considered in fair value determinations of the assets or liabilities, such as interest rates and yield curves, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates; and inputs that are derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data by correlation or other means. Fair values of investments in fixed maturity securities and notes payable and other borrowings are primarily based on price evaluations which incorporate market prices for identical instruments in inactive markets and market data available for instruments with similar characteristics. Pricing evaluations generally reflect discounted expected future cash flows, which incorporate yield curves for instruments with similar characteristics, such as credit rating, estimated duration and yields for other instruments of the issuer or entities in the same industry sector.

Level 3 – Inputs include unobservable inputs used in the measurement of assets and liabilities. Management is required to use its own assumptions regarding unobservable inputs because there is little, if any, market activity in the assets or liabilities and we may be unable to corroborate the related observable inputs. Unobservable inputs require management to make certain projections and assumptions about the information that would be used by market participants in pricing assets or liabilities. Fair value measurements of non-exchange traded derivative contracts and certain other investments are based primarily on valuation models, discounted cash flow models or other valuation techniques that are believed to be used by market participants.

 

Reconciliations of assets and liabilities measured and carried at fair value on a recurring basis with the use of significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for each of the three years ending December 31, 2012 follow (in millions).

 

     Investments
in fixed
maturity
securities
    Investments
in equity
securities
    Other
investments
    Net
derivative
contract
liabilities
 

Balance at December 31, 2009

   $ 918      $ 304      $ 20,614      $ (9,196

Gains (losses) included in:

        

Earnings

                   1,305        471   

Other comprehensive income

     16        (8     (358       

Regulatory assets and liabilities

                          (33

Acquisitions, dispositions and settlements

     9        (1     (3,972     533   

Transfers into (out of) Level 3

     (142     (260            3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2010

     801        35        17,589        (8,222

Gains (losses) included in:

        

Earnings

                          (2,035

Other comprehensive income

     5        (13     (2,120     (3

Regulatory assets and liabilities

                          144   

Acquisitions

     17               5,000        (68

Dispositions

     (39                     

Settlements, net

                          275   

Transfers into (out of) Level 3

                   (8,800     1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2011

     784        22        11,669        (9,908

Gains (losses) included in:

        

Earnings

                        1,873   

Other comprehensive income

     5        13        4,081          

Regulatory assets and liabilities

                        (2

Dispositions

     (8                    

Settlements, net

                        190   

Transfers out of Level 3

     (129                    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2012

   $ 652      $ 35      $ 15,750      $ (7,847
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

During 2011, we transferred our investments in GS Preferred Stock and GE Preferred Stock from Level 3 to Level 2 given the then pending redemptions of the investments which occurred on April 18, 2011 and October 17, 2011, respectively. On September 1, 2011, we acquired preferred stock and common stock warrants of the Bank of America Corporation at an aggregate cost of $5 billion.

Gains and losses included in earnings are included as components of investment gains/losses, derivative gains/losses and other revenues, as appropriate and are related to changes in valuations of derivative contracts and settlement transactions. Gains and losses included in other comprehensive income are included as components of the net change in unrealized appreciation of investments and the reclassification of investment appreciation in earnings, as appropriate in the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income.

 

Quantitative information as of December 31, 2012, with respect to assets and liabilities measured and carried at fair value on a recurring basis with the use of significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) follows (in millions).

 

     Fair value     

Principal valuation
techniques

  

Unobservable Input

   Weighted
Average

Other investments:

           

Preferred stocks

   $ 11,860       Discounted cash flow    Expected duration    10 years
         Discount for transferability restrictions and subordination    97 basis points

Common stock warrants

     3,890       Warrant pricing model    Discount for transferability and hedging restrictions    19%

Net derivative liabilities:

           

Equity index put options

     7,502       Option pricing model    Volatility    21%

Credit default-states/municipalities

     421       Discounted cash flow    Credit spreads    85 basis points

For certain credit default and other derivative contracts where we could not corroborate that the fair values or the inputs were observable in the market, fair values were based on non-binding price indications obtained from third party sources. Management reviewed these values relative to the terms of the contracts, the current facts, circumstances and market conditions, and concluded they were reasonable. We did not adjust these prices and therefore, they have been excluded from the preceding table.

Our other investments that are carried at fair value consist of a few relatively large private placement transactions and include perpetual preferred stocks and common stock warrants. These investments are subject to contractual restrictions on transferability and/or provisions that prevent us from economically hedging our investments. In applying discounted estimated cash flow techniques in valuing the perpetual preferred stocks, we made assumptions regarding the expected durations of the investments, as the issuers may have the right to redeem or convert these investments. We also made estimates regarding the impact of subordination, as the preferred stocks have a lower priority in liquidation than the investment grade debt instruments of the issuers, which affected the discount rates. In valuing the common stock warrants, we used a warrant valuation model. While most of the inputs to the model are observable, we are subject to the aforementioned contractual restrictions. We have applied discounts with respect to the contractual restrictions. Increases or decreases to these inputs would result in decreases or increases to the fair values.

Our equity index put option and credit default contracts are not exchange traded and certain contract terms are not standard in derivatives markets. For example, we are not required to post collateral under most of our contracts and many contracts have long durations, and therefore are illiquid. For these and other reasons, we classified these contracts as Level 3. The methods we use to value these contracts are those that we believe market participants would use in determining exchange prices with respect to our contracts.

We value equity index put option contracts based on the Black-Scholes option valuation model. Inputs to this model include current index price, contract duration, dividend and interest rate inputs (which include a Berkshire non-performance input) which are observable. However, the valuation of long-duration options is inherently subjective, given the lack of observable transactions and prices, and acceptable values may be subject to wide ranges. Expected volatility inputs represent our expectations after considering the remaining duration of each contract and that the contracts will remain outstanding until the expiration dates without offsetting transactions occurring in the interim. Increases or decreases in the volatility inputs will produce increases or decreases in the fair values.

Our state and municipality credit default contract values reflect credit spreads, contract durations, interest rates, bond prices and other inputs believed to be used by market participants in estimating fair value. We utilize discounted cash flow valuation models, which incorporate the aforementioned inputs as well as our own estimates of credit spreads for states and municipalities where there is no observable input. Increases or decreases to the credit spreads will produce increases or decreases in the fair values.