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Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2012
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

(13) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

The liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are based upon estimates of the ultimate claim costs associated with property and casualty claim occurrences as of the balance sheet dates including estimates for incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) claims. Considerable judgment is required to evaluate claims and establish estimated claim liabilities. A reconciliation of the changes in liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of our property/casualty insurance subsidiaries for each of the three years ending December 31, 2012 is as follows (in millions).

 

     2012     2011     2010  

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses:

      

Gross liabilities at beginning of year

   $ 63,819      $ 60,075      $ 59,416   

Ceded losses and deferred charges at beginning of year

     (7,092     (6,545     (6,879
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net balance at beginning of year

     56,727        53,530        52,537   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Incurred losses recorded during the year:

      

Current accident year

     22,239        23,031        20,357   

Prior accident years

     (2,126     (2,202     (2,270
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total incurred losses

     20,113        20,829        18,087   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Payments during the year with respect to:

      

Current accident year

     (9,667     (9,269     (7,666

Prior accident years

     (10,628     (8,854     (9,191
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total payments

     (20,295     (18,123     (16,857
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses:

      

Net balance at end of year

     56,545        56,236        53,767   

Ceded losses and deferred charges at end of year

     6,944        7,092        6,545   

Foreign currency translation adjustment

     186        (100     (312

Business acquisitions

     485        591        75   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross liabilities at end of year

   $ 64,160      $ 63,819      $ 60,075   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Incurred losses recorded during the current year but attributable to a prior accident year (“prior accident years”) reflects the amount of estimation error charged or credited to earnings in each calendar year with respect to the liabilities established as of the beginning of that year. We reduced the beginning of the year net losses and loss adjustment expenses liability by $2,507 million in 2012, $2,780 million in 2011 and $2,793 million in 2010, which excludes the effects of the changes in reserve discount and deferred charge balances referred to below. In each of the past three years, the reductions reflected lower than expected private passenger auto, medical malpractice and casualty reinsurance losses. In 2011, we also recorded a sizable reduction in unpaid losses associated with retroactive reinsurance contracts. Accident year loss estimates are regularly adjusted to consider emerging loss development patterns of prior years’ losses, whether favorable or unfavorable.

Incurred losses for prior accident years also include charges associated with the changes in deferred charge balances related to retroactive reinsurance contracts incepting prior to the beginning of the year and net discounts recorded on liabilities for certain workers’ compensation claims. The aggregate charges included in prior accident years’ incurred losses were $381 million in 2012, $578 million in 2011 and $523 million in 2010. Net discounted workers’ compensation liabilities at December 31, 2012 and 2011 were $2,155 million and $2,250 million, respectively, reflecting net discounts of $1,990 million and $2,130 million, respectively.

We are exposed to environmental, asbestos and other latent injury claims arising from insurance and reinsurance contracts. Liability estimates for environmental and asbestos exposures include case basis reserves and also reflect reserves for legal and other loss adjustment expenses and IBNR reserves. IBNR reserves are determined based upon our historic general liability exposure base and policy language, previous environmental loss experience and the assessment of current trends of environmental law, environmental cleanup costs, asbestos liability law and judgmental settlements of asbestos liabilities.

The liabilities for environmental, asbestos and latent injury claims and claims expenses net of reinsurance recoverables were approximately $14.0 billion at December 31, 2012 and $13.9 billion at December 31, 2011. These liabilities included approximately $12.4 billion at December 31, 2012 and $12.3 billion at December 31, 2011 of liabilities assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts. Liabilities arising from retroactive contracts with exposure to claims of this nature are generally subject to aggregate policy limits. Thus, our exposure to environmental and latent injury claims under these contracts is, likewise, limited. We monitor evolving case law and its effect on environmental and latent injury claims. Changing government regulations, newly identified toxins, newly reported claims, new theories of liability, new contract interpretations and other factors could result in significant increases in these liabilities. Such development could be material to our results of operations. We are unable to reliably estimate the amount of additional net loss or the range of net loss that is reasonably possible.