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Fair Value of Financial Instruments
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value of Financial Instruments Fair Value of Financial Instruments
 
GAAP requires the categorization of fair value measurements into three broad levels that form a hierarchy. A financial instrument’s categorization within the valuation hierarchy is based upon the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.  The three levels of valuation hierarchy are defined as follows:
 
Level 1 — Inputs to the valuation methodology are quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical assets or liabilities in active markets.
 
Level 2 — Inputs to the valuation methodology include quoted prices for similar assets and liabilities in active markets, and inputs that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the financial instrument.
 
Level 3 — Inputs to the valuation methodology are unobservable and significant to the fair value measurement.
 
The following describes the valuation methodologies used for the Company’s financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis, as well as the general classification of such instruments pursuant to the valuation hierarchy.
 
Residential Whole Loans, at Fair Value
 
The Company determines the fair value of its residential whole loans held at fair value after considering valuations obtained from a third-party that specializes in providing valuations of residential mortgage loans. The valuation approach applied generally depends on whether the loan is considered performing or non-performing at the date the valuation is performed. For performing loans, estimates of fair value are derived using a discounted cash flow approach, where estimates of cash flows are determined from the scheduled payments, adjusted using forecasted prepayment, default and loss given default rates. For non-performing loans, asset liquidation cash flows are derived based on the estimated time to liquidate the loan, the estimated value of the collateral, expected costs and estimated home price appreciation. Estimated cash flows for both performing and non-performing loans are discounted at yields considered appropriate to arrive at a reasonable exit price for the asset. Indications of loan value such as actual trades, bids, offers and generic market color may be used in determining the appropriate discount yield. The Company’s residential whole loans held at fair value are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

Residential Mortgage Securities
 
The Company determines the fair value of its Agency MBS based upon prices obtained from third-party pricing services, which are indicative of market activity, and repurchase agreement counterparties.
 
For Agency MBS, the valuation methodology of the Company’s third-party pricing services incorporate commonly used market pricing methods, trading activity observed in the marketplace and other data inputs.  The methodology also considers the underlying characteristics of each security, which are also observable inputs, including: collateral vintage, coupon, maturity date, loan age, reset date, collateral type, periodic and life cap, geography, and prepayment speeds.  Management analyzes pricing data received from third-party pricing services and compares it to other indications of fair value including data received from repurchase agreement counterparties and its own observations of trading activity observed in the marketplace. The Company’s Agency MBS are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. During the quarter ended June 30, 2020, the Company sold its remaining holdings of Agency MBS.
 
In determining the fair value of the Company’s Non-Agency MBS and CRT securities, management considers a number of observable market data points, including prices obtained from pricing services and brokers as well as dialogue with market participants.  In valuing Non-Agency MBS, the Company understands that pricing services use observable inputs that include, in addition to trading activity observed in the marketplace, loan delinquency data, credit enhancement levels and vintage, which are taken into account to assign pricing factors such as spread and prepayment assumptions.  For tranches of Legacy Non-Agency MBS that are cross-collateralized, performance of all collateral groups involved in the tranche are considered.  The Company collects and considers current market intelligence on all major markets, including benchmark security evaluations and bid-lists from various sources, when available.
 
The Company’s Legacy Non-Agency MBS, RPL/NPL MBS and CRT securities are valued using various market data points as described above, which management considers directly or indirectly observable parameters.  Accordingly, these securities are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. As of September 30, 2020, the Company has sold substantially all of its holdings of Legacy Non-Agency MBS and substantially reduced its holdings of other Non-Agency MBS and CRT securities.

Term Notes Backed by MSR-Related Collateral

The Company’s valuation process for term notes backed by MSR-related collateral is similar to that used for residential mortgage securities and considers a number of observable market data points, including prices obtained from pricing services, brokers and repurchase agreement counterparties, dialogue with market participants, as well as management’s observations of market activity. Other factors taken into consideration include estimated changes in fair value of the related underlying MSR collateral and, as applicable, the financial performance of the ultimate parent or sponsoring entity of the issuer, which has provided a guarantee that is intended to provide for payment of interest and principal to the holders of the term notes should cash flows generated by the related underlying MSR collateral be insufficient. Based on its evaluation of the observability of the data used in its fair value estimation process, these assets are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy.

Swaps
 
As previously disclosed, in response to the turmoil in the financial markets resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic experienced during the three months ended March 31, 2020, the Company unwound all of its Swap hedging transactions late in the first quarter in order to recover previously posted margin. Prior to their termination, valuations provided by the central clearing house were used for purposes of determining the fair value of the Company’s Swaps. Such valuations obtained were tested with internally developed models that applied readily observable market parameters.  Swaps were classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy.

Financing Agreements, at Fair Value

Agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions

These agreements are secured and subject to margin calls and their base interest rates reset frequently to market based rates. As a result, no credit valuation adjustment is required, and the primary factor in determining their fair value is the credit spread paid over the base rate, which is a non observable input as it is determined based on negotiations with the counterparty. The Company’s financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions held at fair value are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy if the credit spreads used to price the instrument reset frequently, which is typically the case with shorter term repurchase agreement contracts collateralized by securities. Financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions that are typically longer term and are collateralized by residential whole loans where the credit spread paid over the base rate on the instrument is not reset frequently are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

Agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions

These agreements are secured, but not subject to margin calls, and their base interest rates reset frequently to market based rates. As a result, a credit valuation adjustment would only be required if there were a significant decrease in collateral value, and the primary factor in determining their fair value is the credit spread paid over the base rate, which is a non observable input as it is determined based on negotiations with the counterparty. The Company’s financing agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions held at fair value are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

Senior Secured Credit Agreement (Term Loan Facility)

The estimated fair value of the Term Loan Facility was determined by management based on a valuation received from a third party that specializes in providing valuations on financial instruments. The most significant inputs to such valuation, market interest rates and the yield on the Company’s publicly traded financial instruments, are observable. The Company’s Term Loan Facility held at fair value is classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy.
Changes to the valuation methodologies used with respect to the Company’s financial instruments are reviewed by management to ensure any such changes result in appropriate exit price valuations.  The Company will refine its valuation methodologies as markets and products develop and pricing methodologies evolve.  The methods described above may produce fair value estimates that may not be indicative of net realizable value or reflective of future fair values.  Furthermore, while the Company believes its valuation methods are appropriate and consistent with those used by market participants, the use of different methodologies, or assumptions, to determine the fair value of certain financial instruments could result in a different estimate of fair value at the reporting date.  The Company uses inputs that are current as of the measurement date, which may include periods of market dislocation, during which price transparency may be reduced.  The Company reviews the classification of its financial instruments within the fair value hierarchy on a quarterly basis, and management may conclude that its financial instruments should be reclassified to a different level in the future.

The following tables present the Company’s financial instruments carried at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, on the consolidated balance sheets by the valuation hierarchy, as previously described:

Fair Value at September 30, 2020
 
(In Thousands)Level 1Level 2Level 3Total
Assets:
Residential whole loans, at fair value$— $— $1,229,664 $1,229,664 
Non-Agency MBS— 56,430 — 56,430 
CRT securities— 96,335 — 96,335 
Term notes backed by MSR-related collateral— 234,091 — 234,091 
Total assets carried at fair value$— $386,856 $1,229,664 $1,616,520 
Liabilities:
Agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions$— $— $1,727,407 $1,727,407 
Agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions— 258,537 1,231,734 1,490,271 
Senior secured credit agreement— 473,993 — 473,993 
Securitized debt— 388,790 — 388,790 
Total liabilities carried at fair value$— $1,121,320 $2,959,141 $4,080,461 

Fair Value at December 31, 2019
 
(In Thousands)Level 1Level 2Level 3Total
Assets:    
Residential whole loans, at fair value$— $— $1,381,583 $1,381,583 
Non-Agency MBS
— 2,063,529 — 2,063,529 
Agency MBS— 1,664,582 — 1,664,582 
CRT securities— 255,408 — 255,408 
Term notes backed by MSR-related collateral— 1,157,463 — 1,157,463 
Total assets carried at fair value$— $5,140,982 $1,381,583 $6,522,565 
 
Changes in Level 3 Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019 about the Company’s Residential whole loans, at fair value, which are classified as Level 3 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:

Residential Whole Loans, at Fair Value
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In Thousands)2020
2019 (1)
2020
2019 (1)(2)
Balance at beginning of period$1,200,981 $1,438,827 $1,381,583 $1,471,263 
Purchases (2)
— 85,855 — 210,030 
Changes in fair value recorded in Net gain on residential whole loans measured at fair value through earnings
58,863 13,185 (13,683)33,312 
Cash collections, net of liquidation gains/(losses)(21,721)(31,212)(65,934)(94,821)
  Sales and repurchases(929)— (19,460)(1,216)
  Transfer to REO(7,530)(53,486)(52,842)(165,399)
Balance at end of period$1,229,664 $1,453,169 $1,229,664 $1,453,169 

(1)Included in the activity presented for the three months ended September 30, 2019 are approximately $87.0 million of residential whole loans held at fair value the Company committed to purchase during the three months ended June 30, 2019, but for which the closing of the purchase transaction occurred during the three months ended September 30, 2019.
(2)Included in the activity presented for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 is an adjustment of $70.6 million for loans the Company committed to purchase during the three months ended December 31, 2018, but for which the closing of the purchase transaction occurred during the three months ended March 31, 2019. The adjustment was required following the finalization of due diligence performed prior to the closing of the purchase transaction and resulted in a downward revision to the prior estimate of the loan purchase amount.

The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019 about the Company’s investments in term notes backed by MSR-related collateral, which were classified as Level 3 prior to September 30, 2019 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:

Term Notes Backed by MSR-Related Collateral
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In Thousands)20192019
Balance at beginning of period$1,106,026 $538,499 
Purchases
— 573,137 
  Collection of principal(3,920)(12,897)
Changes in unrealized gains
2,024 5,391 
Transfer to Level 2
(1,104,130)(1,104,130)
Balance at end of period$— $— 
The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 about the Company’s financing agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions, which are classified as Level 3 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:
Agreements with Non-mark-to-market Collateral Provisions
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In Thousands)20202020
Balance at beginning of period$— $— 
Transfer from Level 22,036,597 2,036,597 
Payment of principal(312,638)(312,638)
Changes in unrealized losses3,448 3,448 
Balance at end of period$1,727,407 $1,727,407 

The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020 about the Company’s financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions, which are classified as Level 3 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:
Agreements with Mark-to-market Collateral Provisions
Three Months Ended September 30,Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In Thousands)20202020
Balance at beginning of period$— $— 
Transfer from Level 21,386,592 1,386,592 
Payment of principal(156,032)(156,032)
Changes in unrealized losses1,174 1,174 
Balance at end of period$1,231,734 $1,231,734 

At June 30, 2020, the Company’s financing agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions and the Company’s financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions had just been issued and were therefore classified as Level 2 since their values were based on market transactions. However, market information for similar financings was not available at September 30, 2020 and the Company valued these financing instruments based on unobservable inputs.
Fair Value Methodology for Level 3 Financial Instruments

Residential Whole Loans, at Fair Value

The following tables present a summary of quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s residential whole loans held at fair value for which it has utilized Level 3 inputs to determine fair value as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019:

September 30, 2020
(Dollars in Thousands)
Fair Value (1)
Valuation TechniqueUnobservable Input
Weighted Average (2)
Range
Residential whole loans, at fair value$774,427 Discounted cash flowDiscount rate3.9 %3.2-8.0%
Prepayment rate3.9 %0.0-9.3%
Default rate6.2 %0.0-30.3%
Loss severity12.7 %0.0-100.0%
$454,760 Liquidation modelDiscount rate8.1 %6.7-50.0%
Annual change in home prices1.9 %(0.3)-5.5%
Liquidation timeline
(in years)
1.80.1-4.8
Current value of underlying properties (3)
$734 $12-$4,500
Total$1,229,187 

December 31, 2019
(Dollars in Thousands)
Fair Value (1)
Valuation TechniqueUnobservable Input
Weighted Average (2)
Range
Residential whole loans, at fair value
$829,842 
Discounted cash flow
Discount rate4.2 %3.8-8.0%
Prepayment rate4.5 %0.7-18.0%
Default rate4.0 %0.0-23.0%
Loss severity12.9 %0.0-100.0%
$551,271 Liquidation modelDiscount rate8.0 %6.2-50.0%
Annual change in home prices
3.7 %2.4-8.0%
Liquidation timeline
(in years)
1.80.1-4.5
Current value of underlying properties (3)
$684 $10-$4,500
Total$1,381,113 

(1) Excludes approximately $477,000 and $470,000 of loans for which management considers the purchase price continues to reflect the fair value of such loans at September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively.
(2) Amounts are weighted based on the fair value of the underlying loan.
(3) The simple average value of the properties underlying residential whole loans held at fair value valued via a liquidation model was approximately $383,000 and $365,000 as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively.
Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant increase or decrease in the fair value of residential whole loans. Loans valued using a discounted cash flow model are most sensitive to changes in the discount rate assumption, while loans valued using the liquidation model technique are most sensitive to changes in the current value of the underlying properties and the liquidation timeline. Increases in discount rates, default rates, loss severities, or liquidation timelines, either in isolation or collectively, would generally result in a lower fair value measurement, whereas increases in the current or expected value of the underlying properties, in isolation, would result in a higher fair value measurement. In practice, changes in valuation assumptions may not occur in isolation and the changes in any particular assumption may result in changes in other assumptions, which could offset or amplify the impact on the overall valuation.

The following table presents the carrying values and estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments at September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019:
 
September 30, 2020September 30, 2020December 31, 2019
Level in Fair Value HierarchyCarrying
Value
Estimated Fair ValueCarrying
Value
Estimated Fair Value
(In Thousands)
Financial Assets:
Residential whole loans, at carrying value3$4,387,559 $4,528,630 $6,069,370 $6,248,745 
Residential whole loans, at fair value31,229,664 1,229,664 1,381,583 1,381,583 
Non-Agency MBS
256,430 56,430 2,063,529 2,063,529 
Agency MBS2— — 1,664,582 1,664,582 
CRT securities296,335 96,335 255,408 255,408 
MSR-related assets (1)
2 and 3252,183 252,183 1,217,002 1,217,002 
Cash and cash equivalents1884,171 884,171 70,629 70,629 
Restricted cash15,303 5,303 64,035 64,035 
Financial Liabilities (2):
Financing agreements with non-mark-to-market collateral provisions31,727,407 1,727,407 — — 
Financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions31,231,734 1,231,734 4,741,971 4,753,070 
Financing agreements with mark-to-market collateral provisions2258,537 258,537 4,397,850 4,403,139 
Senior secured credit agreement2473,993 473,993 — — 
Securitized debt (3)
2837,683 839,914 570,952 575,353 
Convertible senior notes2224,867 216,919 223,971 244,088 
Senior notes196,900 94,311 96,862 103,231 
 
(1)Includes $18.1 million and $59.5 million of MSR-related assets that are measured at fair value on a non-recurring basis that are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy at September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively.
(2)Carrying value of securitized debt, Convertible Senior Notes, Senior Notes and certain repurchase agreements is net of associated debt issuance costs.
(3)Includes Securitized debt that is carried at amortized cost basis and fair value.

Other Assets Measured at Fair Value on a Nonrecurring Basis

The Company holds REO at the lower of the current carrying amount or fair value less estimated selling costs. During the nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019, the Company recorded REO with an aggregate estimated fair value, less estimated cost to sell, of $74.9 million and $193.5 million, respectively, at the time of foreclosure. The Company classifies fair value measurements of REO as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.