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Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Tables)
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2019
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Schedule of fair value measurement inputs and valuation techniques
The following tables present a summary of quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s residential whole loans held at fair value for which it has utilized Level 3 inputs to determine fair value as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018:

 
 
September 30, 2019
(Dollars in Thousands)
 
Fair Value (1)
 
Valuation Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Weighted Average (2)
 
Range
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential whole loans, at fair value
 
$
797,467

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Discount rate
 
4.6
%
 
4.0-8.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate
 
4.8
%
 
0.2-17.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Default rate
 
4.2
%
 
0.0-24.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
 
12.9
%
 
0.0-100.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
655,069

 
Liquidation model
 
Discount rate
 
8.0
%
 
6.0-50.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Annual change in home prices
 
3.7
%
 
2.5-7.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liquidation timeline
(in years)
 
1.8

 
0.1-4.5
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current value of underlying properties (3)
 
$
688

 
$4-$4,500
Total
 
$
1,452,536

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
December 31, 2018
(Dollars in Thousands)
 
Fair Value (1)
 
Valuation Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Weighted Average (2)
 
Range
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential whole loans, at fair value
 
$
700,250

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Discount rate
 
5.2
%
 
4.5-8.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate
 
4.8
%
 
0.9-15.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Default rate
 
4.1
%
 
0.0-24.1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
 
12.9
%
 
0.0-100.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
683,252

 
Liquidation model
 
Discount rate
 
8.0
%
 
6.1-50.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Annual change in home prices
 
3.5
%
 
(0.5)-12.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liquidation timeline
(in years)
 
1.8

 
0.1-4.5
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current value of underlying properties (3)
 
$
802

 
$2-$7,950
Total
 
$
1,383,502

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1) Excludes approximately $633,000 and $282.5 million of loans for which management considers the purchase price continues to reflect the fair value of such loans at September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively.
(2) Amounts are weighted based on the fair value of the underlying loan.
(3) The simple average value of the properties underlying residential whole loans held at fair value valued via a liquidation model was approximately $357,000 and $400,000 as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively.

Changes in market conditions, as well as changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value, could result in a significant increase or decrease in the fair value of residential whole loans.

The following tables present the Company’s financial instruments carried at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, on the consolidated balance sheets by the valuation hierarchy, as previously described:

Fair Value at September 30, 2019
 
(In Thousands)
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency MBS
 
$

 
$
1,813,873

 
$

 
$
1,813,873

Non-Agency MBS
 

 
2,397,789

 

 
2,397,789

CRT securities
 

 
377,892

 

 
377,892

Residential whole loans, at fair value
 

 

 
1,453,169

 
1,453,169

Term notes backed by MSR-related collateral
 

 
1,104,130

 

 
1,104,130

Total assets carried at fair value
 
$

 
$
5,693,684

 
$
1,453,169

 
$
7,146,853



Fair Value at December 31, 2018
 
(In Thousands)
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

Agency MBS
 
$

 
$
2,698,213

 
$

 
$
2,698,213

Non-Agency MBS
 

 
3,318,299

 

 
3,318,299

CRT securities
 

 
492,821

 

 
492,821

Residential whole loans, at fair value
 

 

 
1,665,978

 
1,665,978

Term notes backed by MSR-related collateral
 

 

 
538,499

 
538,499

Total assets carried at fair value
 
$

 
$
6,509,333

 
$
2,204,477

 
$
8,713,810


Schedule of significant unobservable inputs used in fair value measurement of residential whole loans
The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018 about the Company’s Residential whole loans, at fair value, which are classified as Level 3 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:

 
 
Residential Whole Loans, at Fair Value
 
 
Three Months Ended September 30, (1)
 
Nine Months Ended September 30, (1)(2)
(In Thousands)
 
2019
 
2018
 
2019
 
2018
Balance at beginning of period
 
$
1,438,827

 
$
1,468,540

 
$
1,471,263

 
$
1,325,115

Purchases and capitalized advances (3)
 
92,208

 
76,566

 
227,595

 
393,867

Changes in fair value recorded in Net gain on residential whole loans measured at fair value through earnings
 
13,185

 
8,442

 
33,312

 
26,788

Collection of principal, net of liquidation gains/(losses)
 
(37,565
)
 
(54,331
)
 
(112,386
)
 
(155,199
)
  Repurchases
 

 
(561
)
 
(1,216
)
 
(1,623
)
  Transfer to REO
 
(53,486
)
 
(51,089
)
 
(165,399
)
 
(141,381
)
Balance at end of period
 
$
1,453,169

 
$
1,447,567

 
$
1,453,169

 
$
1,447,567



(1)
Included in the activity presented for the three months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018 are approximately $87.0 million and $34.4 million of loans the Company committed to purchase during the three months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018, but for which the closing of the purchase transaction occurred during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018, respectively.
(2)
Excludes approximately $1.8 million of residential whole loans held at fair value for which the closing of the purchase transaction had not occurred as of September 30, 2018.
(3)
Included in the activity presented for the nine months ended September 30, 2019 is an adjustment of $70.6 million for loans the Company committed to purchase during the three months ended December 31, 2018, but for which the closing of the purchase transaction occurred during the three months ended March 31, 2019. The adjustment was required following the finalization of due diligence performed prior to the closing of the purchase transaction and resulted in a downward revision to the prior estimate of the loan purchase amount.

The following table presents additional information for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019 and 2018 about the Company’s investments in term notes backed by MSR-related collateral, which were classified as Level 3 prior to September 30, 2019 and measured at fair value on a recurring basis:

 
 
Term Notes Backed by MSR Related Collateral
 
 
Three Months Ended September 30,
 
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(In Thousands)
 
2019
 
2018
 
2019
 
2018
Balance at beginning of period
 
$
1,106,026

 
$
381,390

 
$
538,499

 
$
381,804

Purchases
 

 
290,042

 
573,137

 
439,392

  Collection of principal
 
(3,920
)
 
(166,120
)
 
(12,897
)
 
(316,120
)
Changes in unrealized gain/(losses)
 
2,024

 
(117
)
 
5,391

 
119

Transfer to Level 2
 
(1,104,130
)
 

 
(1,104,130
)
 

Balance at end of period
 
$

 
$
505,195

 
$

 
$
505,195


Schedule of carrying value and fair value of financial instruments


The following table presents the carrying values and estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments at September 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018:
 
 
 
Level in Fair Value Hierarchy
 
September 30, 2019
 
December 31, 2018
Carrying
Value
 
Estimated Fair Value
Carrying
Value
 
Estimated Fair Value
(In Thousands)
Financial Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency MBS
 
2
 
$
1,813,873

 
$
1,813,873

 
$
2,698,213

 
$
2,698,213

Non-Agency MBS
 
2
 
2,397,789

 
2,397,789

 
3,318,299

 
3,318,299

CRT securities
 
2
 
377,892

 
377,892

 
492,821

 
492,821

Residential whole loans, at carrying value
 
3
 
4,969,414

 
5,115,221

 
3,016,715

 
3,104,401

Residential whole loans, at fair value
 
3
 
1,453,169

 
1,453,169

 
1,665,978

 
1,665,978

MSR-related assets
 
2
 
1,164,284

 
1,164,284

 
611,807

 
611,807

Cash and cash equivalents
 
1
 
154,193

 
154,193

 
51,965

 
51,965

Restricted cash
 
1
 
38,998

 
38,998

 
36,744

 
36,744

Financial Liabilities (1):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Repurchase agreements
 
2
 
8,571,422

 
8,590,674

 
7,879,087

 
7,896,672

Securitized debt
 
2
 
605,712

 
609,899

 
684,420

 
680,209

Convertible Senior Notes
 
2
 
223,684

 
238,050

 

 

Senior Notes
 
1
 
96,850

 
104,311

 
96,816

 
99,951


 
(1)
Carrying value of securitized debt, Convertible Senior Notes, Senior Notes and certain repurchase agreements is net of associated debt issuance costs.