EX-99.2 3 h34020exv99w2.htm FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS exv99w2
 

EXHIBIT 99.2
EXHIBIT C
PROJECTED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
     The Debtors have prepared projected operating and financial results on a consolidated basis for the period from May 1, 2006 to September 30, 2010 (the “Projections”). The Debtors have also prepared a pro-forma balance sheet of Integrated Electrical Services, Inc. (“IES”) based upon an assumed effective date of May 1, 2006.
     The financial projection information discussed herein includes certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. See “Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” on pp. iii-v and Section X — “Certain Factors to be Considered” of the Disclosure Statement.
     The Projections were not prepared to comply with the guidelines for prospective financial statements published by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants and the Rules and Regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Debtors’ independent accountants have neither examined nor compiled the Projections and accordingly do not express an opinion or any other form of assurance with respect to the Projections, assume no responsibility for the Projections and disclaim any association with the Projections. Except for purposes of this Disclosure Statement, the Debtors do not publish projections of their anticipated financial position or results of operations.
     The Debtors believe that the Projections are based upon estimates and assumptions that are reasonable. The estimates and assumptions may not be realized, however, and are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond the Debtors’ control. No representations can be or are made as to whether the actual results will be within the range set forth in the Projections. Therefore, although the Projections are necessarily presented with numerical specificity, the actual results of operations achieved during the projection period will vary from projected results. These variations may be material. Accordingly, no representation can be or is being made with respect to the accuracy of the Projections or the ability of the Reorganized Debtors to achieve the Projections. Some assumptions inevitably will not materialize, and events and circumstances occurring subsequent to the date on which the Projections were prepared may be different from those assumed, or may be unanticipated, and therefore may affect financial results in a material and possibly adverse manner. The Projections, therefore, may not be relied upon as a guarantee or other assurance of the actual results that will occur. In deciding whether to vote to accept or reject the Plan, Holders of Claims and Equity Interests must make their own determinations as to the reasonableness of such assumptions and the reliability of the Projections. See Section X — “Certain Factors to be Considered.”
     The Projections should be read in conjunction with the assumptions, qualifications, and explanations set forth in the historical consolidated financial statements, including the notes and schedules thereto, incorporated herein by reference to IES’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended September 30, 2005, a copy of which is attached to the Disclosure Statement as Exhibit D.
     The Projections have been prepared on the assumption that the Effective Date of the Plan will be May 1, 2006. Although the Debtors presently intend to seek to cause the Effective Date to occur as soon as practicable, there can be no assurance as to when the Effective Date will actually occur. The balance sheet adjustments in the column captioned “Non-Cash Reorganization

 


 

Adjustments” reflect the assumed affect of Confirmation and the consummation of the transactions contemplated by the Plan, including the settlement of various liabilities and the incurrence of new indebtedness.
Principal Assumptions for the Projections
  I.   General
  A.   Methodology. The Projections are based upon the Debtors’ detailed operating budget for the period ending September 30, 2006, which was developed on a consolidating basis, beginning at the subsidiary level. The projections for the fiscal years 2007 through 2010 were prepared on the same basis, but developed through trending analysis using key top-down assumptions and current construction industry outlook.
 
  B.   Plan Consummation. The operating assumptions assume the Plan will be confirmed and consummated by May 1, 2006.
 
  C.   Macroeconomic and Industry Environment. The Projections reflect the current outlook on commercial, industrial, and residential construction and take into account the estimated future raw material and commodity prices across the projection period.
  II.   Projected Statements of Operations
  A.   Net Sales. Consolidated revenues, estimated to be $961 million in fiscal 2006, are projected to increase by approximately 6.0% in fiscal 2007, and then to continue to grow, peaking in fiscal 2010 at $1,129 million.
 
  B.   Gross Margin. Gross margin is projected to be 14.3% in fiscal 2006, increasing to 16.2% in fiscal 2010.
 
  C.   Sales, General and Administrative Expenses (“SG&A”). SG&A includes employee salaries and benefits. SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenues is projected to decline from 13.2% for fiscal 2006 to 12.6% for fiscal years 2007 through 2010.
 
  D.   Interest Expense. Interest expense assumptions are based upon the terms found in the DIP Facility, Revolving Exit Facility Commitment and Term Exit Facility Commitment. With respect to the Term Exit Facility, it is assumed that the Debtors opt to capitalize interest as additional principal (in lieu of cash interest) for the first 36 months the facility is outstanding.
 
  E.   Income Tax Provision. The Reorganized Debtors expect to offset a portion of future taxable income with operating loss carryforwards that the Company will hold as they emerge from Chapter 11. However, for purposes of the Projections, the effective annual tax rate is assumed to be 40% from May 1, 2006 through the duration of the projection period.
 
  F.   Income from Gain on Compromise of Indebtedness. For purposes of this projection, no income from gain on the exchange of the 9 3/8% Senior

 


 

      Subordinated Notes into equity is included. It is anticipated that any such gain on the exchange of debt will be offset by NOLs and capitalized reorganization expenses.
  III.   Projected Statements of Cash Flow
  A.   Capital Expenditures. Capital expenditures are expected to be $3.3 million for the five months ended September 30, 2006 and $12 million annually for fiscal years 2007 through 2010.
  IV.   Projected Balance Sheet Statement
     The estimated post-consummation balance sheet (“Reorganized Balance Sheet”) is based on an estimated pre-consummation balance sheet (“Pre-Consummation Balance Sheet”), as modified by “Reorganization” adjustments. The Pre-Consummation Balance Sheet provides estimates of assets and liabilities just prior to consummation; the Senior Subordinated Notes have been reclassified as “Liabilities Subject to Compromise” in the Pre-Consummation Balance Sheet. The Reorganization Adjustments adjust the Pre-Consummation Balance Sheet of the emerging entity to:
  1.   Reflect the reorganization value of the assets; and
 
  2.   Reflect the fair value of each liability at Confirmation.
     Estimated Post-Consummation Stockholders’ Equity value is based on the midpoint of the valuation range contained herein. See Section VIII.D. — “VALUATION OF THE REORGANIZED DEBTORS.”
     For purposes of the Projections, it is assumed that the Senior Convertible Notes will be refinanced with proceeds from the Term Exit Facility.
     The foregoing assumptions and resulting computations were made solely for purposes of preparing the Projections. The Reorganized Debtors’ will be required to determine their reorganization value as of the Effective Date. Reorganization value may change depending upon the amount of cash retained and debt carried upon emergence. The actual reorganization and any adjustments will depend upon the balance sheet as of the actual confirmation date. In all events, the determination of reorganization value and the fair value of the Reorganized Debtors’ assets and the determination of their actual liabilities, will be made as of the Effective Date, and the changes between the amounts of any or all of the foregoing items as assumed in the Projections and the actual amounts thereof as of the Effective Date may be material.

 


 

EXHIBIT C
Balance Sheet (1)          (Unaudited)
                                                                 
    Estimated Pre-             Estimated Post-        
    Consummation     Reorganization     Consummation     As of September 30,  
($ in thousands)   April 30, 2006     Adjustments     April 30, 2006     2006E     2007E     2008E     2009E     2010E  
 
ASSETS
                                                               
Current Assets:
                                                               
Unrestricted Cash & Equivalents
    12,500       0  (2)     12,500       19,699       12,500       32,036       42,178       51,732  
Restricted Cash
    20,000       0       20,000       20,000       20,000       20,000       20,000       20,000  
Accounts Receivable Net
    215,632       0       215,632       202,735       236,223       226,990       235,520       242,956  
Inventory, Net
    19,598       0       19,598       17,173       16,833       17,328       17,900       18,382  
 
                                                               
Underbillings on Contracts
    25,798       0       25,798       24,034       25,469       26,360       27,351       28,214  
Prepaid and other Current Assets
    26,403       0       26,403       26,403       26,403       26,403       26,403       26,403  
Total Current Assets
    319,931       0       319,931       310,045       337,428       349,117       369,352       387,686  
 
                                                               
Property and Equipment, Net
    22,565       0       22,565       23,010       28,080       33,149       38,219       43,288  
Goodwill and Other Intangibles
    0       7,372  (3)     7,372       7,372       7,372       7,372       7,372       7,372  
 
                                                               
Notes Receivable
    0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0  
Other Assets
    15,863       0  (4)     15,863       15,863       15,863       15,863       15,863       15,863  
 
Total Assets
    358,359       7,372       365,731       356,290       388,742       405,501       430,805       454,209  
 
                                                               
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDER’S EQUITY
                                                               
Current Liabilities:
                                                               
DIP Credit Facility
    6,891       (6,891 )     0       0       0       0       0       0  
Accounts Payable — Trade
    45,542       0       45,542       42,962       52,258       48,271       49,864       51,206  
Accrued Liabilities
    60,494       0       60,494       56,358       59,722       61,812       64,135       66,160  
Overbillings on Contracts
    30,957       0       30,957       28,841       30,563       31,632       32,821       33,857  
Accrual for Contract Losses
    0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0  
Deferred Income Taxes
    0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0  
Total Current Liabilities
    143,885       (6,891 )     136,994       128,161       142,542       141,716       146,820       151,223  
 
                                                               
Non-Current Liabilities:
                                                               
Senior Convertible Notes
    50,981       (50,981 ) (5)     0       0       0       0       0       0  
Term Exit Facility
    0       53,000       53,000       55,399       61,599       68,493       72,860       72,860  
Deferred Income Taxes
    0       0       0       0       0       0       0       0  
Revolving Exit Facility
    0       4,872       4,872       0       2,080       0       0       0  
Other Long-Term Liabilities, Including Deferred Tax Liabilities
    15,737       0       15,737       15,737       15,737       15,737       15,737       15,737  
Total Non-Current Liabilities
    66,718       6,891       73,609       71,136       79,416       84,230       88,597       88,597  
 
                                                               
Liabilities Subject to Compromise:
                                                               
Senior Subordinated Notes Due 2009
    181,574       (181,574 ) (6)     0       0       0       0       0       0  
 
                                                               
Total Liabilities
    392,177       (181,574 )     210,602       199,297       221,959       225,946       235,416       239,819  
 
                                                               
Total Stockholders Equity
    (33,818 )     188,946  (7)     155,128       156,993       166,784       179,555       195,389       214,390  
 
                                                               
Total Liabilities & Stockholders Equity
    358,359       7,372       365,731       356,290       388,742       405,501       430,805       454,209  
 
(1)   The pro forma balance sheet adjustments contained herein for the periods April 30, 2006 and after account for (i) the reorganization and related transactions pursuant to the Plan. Adjustments are based on a total equity value of approximately $155 million consistent with the mid-point of Gordian’s valuation.
 
(2)   Cash and equivalents as of April 30, 2006 is net of all fees and expenses payable upon emergence, including Exit Financing fees.
 
(3)   Reflects an estimated fair value adjustment as a result of the decrease in stockholders’ equity.
 
(4)   Includes capitalization of DIP and Exit Financing fees.
 
(5)   Reflects satisfaction of Senior Convertible Noteholder claims through paydown with proceeds from Term Exit Facility.
 
(6)   Liabilities subject to compromise, specifically the Senior Subordinated Notes, are settled and eliminated at emergence in accordance with the Plan.
 
(7)   Reflects adjustment to stockholders’ equity based on the estimated equity value of Reorganized IES ($155 million).

 


 

EXHIBIT C
Income Statement           (Unaudited)
                                                                 
    Estimated Pre-             Estimated Post-              
    Consummation 7             Consummation 7     5 Months Ended        
    Months Ended April     Reorganization     Months Ended April     September     Fiscal Year Ending September 30,  
($ in thousands)   30, 2006     Adjustments     30, 2006     30, 2006     2007E     2008E     2009E     2010E  
 
Revenue
                                                               
Total Commercial Revenue
  $ 377,461     $ 0.0     $ 377,461     $ 223,502     $ 669,161     $ 697,823     $ 716,052     $ 727,914  
Residential Revenue
    200,079       0.0       200,079       160,322       349,589       356,581       377,976       400,654  
   
Total Revenue
  $ 577,540       0.0       577,540     $ 383,825     $ 1,018,751     $ 1,054,404     $ 1,094,028     $ 1,128,568  
 
                                                               
Cost of Goods Sold
                                                               
Commercial
  $ 335,232       0.0     $ 335,232     $ 195,670     $ 584,297     $ 605,899     $ 618,185     $ 624,811  
Residential
    163,131       0.0       163,131       130,268       281,419       285,265       302,381       320,524  
   
Total COGS
    498,363       0.0       498,363       325,938       865,716       891,164       920,566       945,335  
 
                                                               
Gross Profit
                                                               
Commercial
    42,229       0.0       42,229       27,832       84,865       91,924       97,867       103,103  
% Margin
    11.2 %             11.2 %     12.5 %     12.7 %     13.2 %     13.7 %     14.2 %
 
                                                               
Residential
    36,948       0.0       36,948       30,055       68,170       71,316       75,595       80,131  
% Margin
    18.5 %             18.5 %     18.7 %     19.5 %     20.0 %     20.0 %     20.0 %
 
                                                               
Total Gross Profit
    79,177       0.0       79,177       57,886       153,034       163,241       173,462       183,234  
% Margin
    13.7 %             13.7 %     15.1 %     15.0 %     15.5 %     15.9 %     16.2 %
 
                                                               
SG&A
                                                               
Total SG&A
    75,354       0.0       75,354       51,728       128,433       132,710       137,640       142,133  
   
 
                                                               
Total EBIT
    3,823       0.0       3,823       6,158       24,602       30,531       35,822       41,101  
% Margin
    0.7 %             0.7 %     1.6 %     2.4 %     2.9 %     3.3 %     3.6 %
 
                                                               
EBITDA — Discontinued Operations
    533       0.0       533       0       0       0       0       0  
 
                                                               
Total EBITDAR
    8,362       0.0       8,362       9,046       31,532       37,462       42,752       48,032  
% Margin
    1.4 %             1.4 %     2.4 %     3.1 %     3.6 %     3.9 %     4.3 %
 
                                                               
Reorganization Expenses (1)
    14,436       0.0       14,436       0       0       0       0       0  
Interest Expense Net (2)
    13,052       0.0       13,052       3,343       8,283       9,245       9,433       9,433  
 
                                                               
PreTax Income
    (23,665 )     0.0       (23,665 )     2,814       16,318       21,286       26,389       31,668  
 
                                                               
Taxes
    211       0.0       211       950       6,527       8,514       10,555       12,667  
   
Net Income
    (23,876 )     0.0       (23,876 )     1,865       9,791       12,772       15,833       19,001  
 
(1)   $800 thousand of reorganization expenses were capitalized in December 2005
 
(2)   Excludes any non-cash, accelerated write-offs of deferred financing costs

 


 

EXHIBIT C
Cash Flow Statement      (Unaudited)
                                         
    5 Months Ended    
    September   Fiscal Year Ending September 30,
($ in thousands)   30, 2006   2007E   2008E   2009E   2010E
 
Cash Flow From Operations
                                       
Net Income
    1,865       9,791       12,772       15,833       19,001  
Depreciation
    2,888       6,931       6,931       6,931       6,931  
Amortization
    0       0       0       0       0  
Non-Cash Interest Associated with Term Exit Facility
    2,399       6,200       6,894       4,367       0  
Non-Cash Amortization of Deferred Financing Fees
    0       0       0       0       0  
Non-Cash Charges related to Goodwill
    0       0       0       0       0  
Accounts Receivable Net
    12,897       (33,487 )     9,233       (8,530 )     (7,436 )
Inventory, Net
    2,425       340       (495 )     (572 )     (482 )
Underbillings on Contracts
    1,764       (1,435 )     (891 )     (991 )     (864 )
Prepaid and other Current Assets
    0       0       0       0       0  
Accounts Payable — Trade
    (2,580 )     9,296       (3,986 )     1,593       1,342  
Accrued Liabilities
    (4,136 )     3,364       2,090       2,323       2,025  
Overbillings on Contracts
    (2,116 )     1,722       1,070       1,189       1,036  
     
Cash Flow From Operation
    15,404       2,721       33,616       22,142       21,553  
 
                                       
Cash Flow From Investing
                                       
Capital Expenditures
    (3,333 )     (12,000 )     (12,000 )     (12,000 )     (12,000 )
Cash From Asset Sale
    0       0       0       0       0  
 
                                       
Beginning Unrestricted Cash Balance
    12,500       19,699       12,500       32,036       42,178  
Additions to Cash
    12,071       (9,279 )     21,616       10,142       9,553  
Revolver Draws
    0       2,080       0       0       0  
Revolver Repayment
    (4,872 )     0       (2,080 )     0       0  
     
Ending Unrestricted Cash Balance
    19,699       12,500       32,036       42,178       51,732