0001193125-19-134905.txt : 20190502 0001193125-19-134905.hdr.sgml : 20190502 20190502153458 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001193125-19-134905 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 5 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20190501 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Other Events ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20190502 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20190502 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001042046 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 311544320 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-13653 FILM NUMBER: 19791625 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 BUSINESS PHONE: 5135792121 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP HOLDINGS INC DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19970709 8-K 1 d742879d8k.htm 8-K 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 1, 2019

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company  ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ☐

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class

 

Trading Symbol(s)

 

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock   AFG   New York Stock Exchange
6-1/4% Subordinated Debentures due September 30, 2054   AFGE   New York Stock Exchange
6% Subordinated Debentures due November 15, 2055   AFGH   New York Stock Exchange
5.875% Subordinated Debentures due March 30, 2059   AFGB   New York Stock Exchange

 

 

 


Section 2 - Financial Information

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the first quarter of 2019 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on May 1, 2019. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 8 - Other Events

Item 8.01 Other Events.

On April 30, 2019, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a special, one-time cash dividend of $1.50 per share of Company common stock payable on May 28, 2019 to shareholders of record on May 15, 2019.

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a)

Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b)

Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c)

Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d)

Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated May 1, 2019, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended March 31, 2019.
99.2    Investor Supplement – First Quarter 2019

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: May 2, 2019

     
    By:  

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

      Karl J. Grafe
      Vice President

 

3

EX-99.1 2 d742879dex991.htm EX-99.1 EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces First Quarter Results

 

   

Net earnings per share of $3.63; includes $1.61 per share in realized gains on securities

 

   

Core net operating earnings of $2.02 per share

 

   

First quarter annualized ROE of 25.9%; core operating ROE of 14.5%

 

   

Announced special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable May 28, 2019

 

   

Full year 2019 core net operating earnings guidance maintained at $8.35 - $8.85 per share

CINCINNATI – May 1, 2019 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2019 first quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $329 million ($3.63 per share) compared to $145 million ($1.60 per share) for the 2018 first quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include $145 million ($1.61 per share) in after-tax net realized gains on securities, including $127 million ($1.40 per share) in holding gains to adjust equity securities to fair value. By comparison, the 2018 first quarter included $74 million ($0.82 per share) in after-tax net realized losses on securities. Other details may be found in the table below. Book value per share was $63.20 as of March 31, 2019. Annualized return on equity was 25.9% and 12.3% for the first quarters of 2019 and 2018, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $184 million ($2.02 per share) for the 2019 first quarter, compared to $219 million ($2.42 per share) in the 2018 first quarter. Lower operating profitability was primarily the result of lower year-over-year earnings in our Annuity Segment, due to the impact of fair value accounting on fixed indexed annuities (FIAs). Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, was $58.02 per share at March 31, 2019, up 6% from year end. Core net operating earnings for the first quarters of 2019 and 2018 generated annualized returns on equity of 14.5% and 18.6%, respectively.

The Company also announced today that its Board of Directors has declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share of American Financial Group common stock payable on May 28, 2019 to shareholders of record on May 15, 2019. This special dividend is in addition to the Company’s regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.40 per share most recently paid on April 25, 2019.

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, ratings agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

 

Page 1


In millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2019      2018  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

     

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 229      $ 267  

Pretax non-core item:

     

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     184        (93
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     413        174  

Provision (credit) for income taxes:

     

Core operating earnings

     48        52  

Non-core item:

     

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     39        (19
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total provision for income taxes

     87        33  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     326        141  

Less net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests:

     

Core operating earnings

     (3      (4

Non-core item

     —          —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     (3      (4
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 329      $ 145  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings:

     

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 184      $ 219  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     145        (74
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 329      $ 145  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

     

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $  2.02      $ 2.42  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     1.61        (0.82
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 3.63      $ 1.60  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, commented: “The year is off to a good start, as our core insurance businesses continue to perform very well. We reported strong operating earnings in our Specialty P&C operations and pretax earnings before fair value accounting in our Annuity Segment that established a new all-time quarterly high. Our diversified portfolio of Specialty P&C and annuity businesses generated an annualized core operating return on equity of 14.5% in the quarter.

“AFG had approximately $1.1 billion of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $215 million) at March 31, 2019. Where appropriate, our excess capital will be deployed into AFG’s core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. In addition, returning capital to shareholders in the form of regular and special cash dividends and opportunistic share repurchases are also an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. The $1.50 per share special cash dividend announced today (approximately $135 million) reflects AFG’s strong financial position and our confidence in the Company’s financial future.

“We continue to expect core net operating earnings in 2019 to be between $8.35 and $8.85 per share. Our core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.”

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

Core operating earnings in AFG’s P&C insurance operations were $185 million in the first quarter of 2019, compared to $188 million in the prior year period.

The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $88 million in the 2019 first quarter, compared to $92 million in the first quarter of 2018, a decrease of 4%. Higher underwriting profitability in our Property and Transportation Group was more than offset by lower underwriting profit in our Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups.

 

Page 2


The first quarter 2019 combined ratio of 92.5% increased 0.8% from the prior year period. First quarter 2019 results include 4.0 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 5.1 points of favorable development in the comparable prior year period. Catastrophe losses were 1.1 points of the combined ratio in the first quarter of 2019; by comparison, catastrophe losses added 1.2 points in the prior year period.

Gross and net written premiums were up 5% and 4%, respectively, in the 2019 first quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier primarily the result of growth within our Property and Transportation and Specialty Casualty Groups. Average renewal pricing across our entire P&C Group was up approximately 1% for the quarter. Excluding our workers’ compensation business, renewal pricing was up slightly more than 4%, an improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in 2018. Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $39 million in the first quarter of 2019 compared to $33 million in the first quarter of 2018. Higher underwriting profit in our transportation businesses was partially offset by lower underwriting profit in our agricultural, property & inland marine and ocean marine businesses, as well as our Singapore Branch. Catastrophe losses in this group were $9 million in the first quarter of 2019 and $5 million in the comparable 2018 period.

First quarter 2019 gross and net written premiums in this group were 3% and 6% higher, respectively, than the comparable prior year period. The growth in gross written premiums is primarily attributable to new business opportunities in our transportation businesses. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 4% in the first quarter of 2019, an improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in 2018.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported an underwriting profit of $36 million in the first quarter of 2019 compared to $41 million in the comparable 2018 period. Higher profitability in our targeted markets businesses was more than offset by lower underwriting profit in our excess & surplus lines and workers’ compensation businesses. Despite lower year-over-year profit in our workers’ compensation operations, these businesses achieved excellent underwriting margins. Catastrophe losses for this group were $1 million in the first quarter of 2019 and $5 million in the comparable 2018 period.

Gross and net written premiums for the first quarter of 2019 were up 7% and 5%, respectively, compared to the same period in 2018. Higher year-over-year gross written premiums within Neon, resulting from the growth of its portfolio in targeted classes of business, the addition of premiums from ABA Insurance Services, as well as improved pricing and higher retentions in our excess and surplus lines businesses, were the primary drivers of the higher premiums. Lower premiums in our workers’ compensation businesses partially offset this growth. A change in Neon’s reinsurance program resulted in proportionally higher cessions of Neon’s premiums during the 2019 first quarter compared to the first quarter of 2018. Renewal pricing for this group was down 1% during the first quarter. Excluding rate decreases in our workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates in this group were up 5%, an improvement from renewal rate increases achieved in 2018.

The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $13 million in the first quarter of 2019, compared to $15 million in the comparable 2018 period. The decrease was driven primarily by lower underwriting profitability in our financial institutions business. Catastrophe losses for this group were $2 million in the first quarter of 2019, compared to a $3 million in the prior year quarter.

First quarter 2019 gross written premiums were up 3% and net written premiums were down 2%, when compared to the prior year period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our fidelity and crime business, which were offset by lower premiums in our surety and lending and leasing businesses. Renewal pricing in this group was up approximately 3% for the quarter.

 

Page 3


Carl Lindner III stated, “Our Specialty P&C Group performed very well during the first quarter, with strong underwriting margins, healthy year-over-year growth in net written premiums and renewal pricing that is exceeding our objectives. Based on results during the first quarter, we continue to expect an overall 2019 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94% and net written premiums to be flat to up 3% when compared to the $5 billion reported in 2018.”

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Annuity Segment

As shown in the following table, AFG’s Annuity Segment reported $90 million in pretax earnings in the first quarter of 2019, compared to $125 million in the first quarter of 2018. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting for fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) were $134 million in the first quarter of 2019, a 20% increase over the prior year period and a new all-time quarterly high for the Annuity Segment.

 

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes                   
Dollars In millions    Three months ended
March 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2019     2018        

Components of earnings before fair value (“FV”) accounting for FIAs:

      

Pretax earnings before items below

   $ 89     $ 84       6 (1) 

Investments marked to market through core operating earnings

     26       29       (10 %) 

Impact of stock market on liability for guaranteed benefits (2)

     14       (1     nm  

Impact of stock market on DAC and sales inducements (3)

     5       —         nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity earnings before FV accounting

     134       112       20

Components of Impact of FV accounting:

      

Interest accreted on embedded derivative

     (10     (7     43 (4)  

Increase (decrease) in stock market

     15       (2     nm  

Higher (lower) than expected changes in interest rates

     (45     27       nm  

Other

     (4     (5     nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (44     13       nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total pretax annuity earnings

   $ 90     $ 125       (28 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Yield on investments marked to market through core operating earnings

     10.9     14.9  

Increase (decrease) in S&P 500 (2)

     13     (1 %)   

Change in average of 5 year and 15 year Corporate A2 rates

     (0.49 %)      0.44  

Year over year growth in quarterly average invested assets

     12     10  

 

1

Reflects primarily growth in AFG’s annuity business, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of higher crediting rates and option costs.

2

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on AFG’s liability for fixed-indexed annuities with guaranteed benefits. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact on this liability; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

3

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on the current and projected lifetime profitability of AFG’s annuity business. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

4

Reflects growth in AFG’s fixed-indexed annuity business and higher short term interest rates.

 

Page 4


Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs were a quarterly record of $134 million in the first quarter of 2019, driven by growth in the business and the favorable impact of a very strong stock market, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of higher crediting rates and option costs.

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Under GAAP, a portion of the reserves for FIAs ($3.2 billion and $2.5 billion at March 31, 2019 and 2018, respectively) is considered an embedded derivative and is recorded at fair value based on the estimated present value of certain expected future cash flows. Assumptions used in calculating this fair value amount include projected interest rates, option costs, surrenders, withdrawals and mortality. Variances from these assumptions, as well as changes in the stock market, will generally result in a change in fair value. Items such as changes in interest rates and the performance of the stock market are not economic in nature for the current reporting period, but rather impact the timing of reported results.

The impact of fair value accounting for FIAs includes an ongoing expense for annuity interest accreted on the FIA embedded derivative reserve. The amount of interest accreted in any period is generally based on the size of the embedded derivative and current interest rates. We expect both the size of the embedded derivative and interest rates to rise, resulting in continued increases in interest on the embedded derivative liability.

In the first quarter of 2019, Corporate A2 rates decreased by approximately 49 basis points, compared to the year-end market expectation (as indicated by the forward curve) that they would increase. This difference contributed to a significant unfavorable fair value accounting impact of $45 million ($0.39 per share). By comparison, a 13% increase in the S&P 500 Index contributed to a favorable fair value accounting impact of $15 million ($0.13 per share) for the first quarter of 2019, as shown in the table above. The majority of the impact of these two items is non-economic and is expected to reverse over time. By comparison, in the first quarter of 2018, the benefit of significantly higher than expected interest rates was minimally offset by the impact of a decrease in the stock market.

For additional analysis of fair value accounting, see our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on AFG’s website.

Annuity Premiums – AFG’s Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $1.40 billion in the first quarter of 2019, compared to $1.15 billion in the first quarter of 2018, an increase of 22%; this increase was driven by higher sales of traditional fixed annuities in the financial institutions channel. However, as a result of decreases in market interest rates over the last several months, AFG has implemented several rate decreases to its annuity products, which are expected to slow sales.

Craig Lindner stated, “I am pleased to report record annuity earnings before the impact of fair value accounting for FIAs in the first quarter of 2019, providing a strong start for the Annuity Segment. Although we are pleased that premiums have grown by 22% year-over-year, interest rates have declined recently, which we expect will temper new sales as we remain committed to achieving appropriate returns on new business.”

2019 Annuity Outlook – Due to the strong stock market performance to date in 2019, AFG is raising its guidance for full year Pretax Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting by $10 million, to a range of $445 million to $475 million in 2019. However, due to the impact of decreases in market interest rates to date in 2019, AFG expects that its Pretax Annuity Earnings (including the impact of fair value accounting) will remain as previously forecasted, in the range of $365 million to $425 million in 2019.

This guidance assumes (i) interest rates and the stock market rise moderately for the remainder of 2019, (ii) more normalized income from certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings, and (iii) a lower impact in 2019 from unusual investment income items such as prepayment of fixed income securities. Fluctuations in these items could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results.

 

Page 5


AFG is modifying its previously announced 2019 Annuity premium guidance based on annuity sales through the first four months of the year; however, recently implemented rate decreases on its annuity products and a focus on pricing discipline are expected to temper new sales. As a result, AFG now expects its 2019 annuity sales to be flat to down slightly from its record $5.4 billion of premiums in 2018.

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement.

Investments and Recently Adopted Accounting Standards

AFG recorded first quarter 2019 net realized gains on securities of $145 million ($1.61 per share) after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), which included $127 million ($1.40 per share) in after-tax, after-DAC holding gains to adjust equity securities to fair value. By comparison, AFG recorded net realized losses of $74 million ($0.82 per share) in the comparable 2018 period.

Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $464 million after tax and after DAC at March 31, 2019, an increase of $381 million since year end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 91% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.

For the three months ended March 31, 2019, P&C net investment income was approximately 4% higher than the comparable 2018 period.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets of approximately $65 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of traditional fixed, fixed-indexed and variable-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions, broker-dealer and registered investment advisor markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

 

Page 6


Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets, including the cost of equity index options; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; changes in insurance law or regulation, including changes in statutory accounting rules and changes in regulation of the Lloyd’s market, including modifications to the establishment of capital requirements for and approval of business plans for syndicate participation; changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes, including the impact of recent changes in U.S. corporate tax law; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; disruption caused by cyber-attacks or other technology breaches or failures by AFG or its business partners and service providers, which could negatively impact AFG’s businesses and/or expose AFG to litigation; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy relating to AFG’s international operations; and other factors identified in AFG’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2019 first quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Thursday, May 2, 2019. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 2099628. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available approximately two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on May 9, 2019. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 2099628.

The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the internet. To access the event, click the following link: https://www.AFGinc.com/news-and-events/event-calendar. Alternatively, you can choose Events from the Investor Relations page at www.AFGinc.com.

An archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on our website until May 9, 2019 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner, IRC

Asst. Vice President – Investor Relations

(513) 369-5713

 

Page 7


Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG19-09

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2019            2018  

Revenues

       

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,173        $ 1,107  

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     6          6  

Net investment income

     542          495  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     184          (93

Income (loss) of managed investment entities:

       

Investment income

     69          58  

Loss on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     —            (3

Other income

     50          49  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Total revenues

     2,024          1,619  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

       

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     1,091          1,022  

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     348          275  

Interest charges on borrowed money

     16          15  

Expenses of managed investment entities

     55          48  

Other expenses

     101          85  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,611          1,445  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     413          174  

Provision for income taxes

     87          33  

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     326          141  

Less: Net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     (3        (4
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 329        $ 145  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per Common Share

   $ 3.63        $ 1.60  
  

 

 

      

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     90.7          90.4  

 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:    March 31,
2019
     December 31,
2018
 

Total cash and investments

   $ 51,040      $ 48,498  

Long-term debt

   $ 1,423      $ 1,302  

Shareholders’ equity(b)

   $ 5,665      $ 4,970  

Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(b)

   $ 5,201      $ 4,898  

Book value per share

   $ 63.20      $ 55.66  

Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)

   $ 58.02      $ 54.86  

Common Shares Outstanding

     89.6        89.3  

Footnote (b) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2019     2018        

Gross written premiums

   $  1,535     $  1,458       5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,147     $ 1,102       4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

      

Loss & LAE ratio

     58.9     57.8  

Underwriting expense ratio

     33.6     33.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     92.5     91.7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio – P&C Segment

     92.6     91.8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(c)

      

Gross Written Premiums:

      

Property & Transportation

   $ 439     $ 426       3

Specialty Casualty

     912       853       7

Specialty Financial

     184       179       3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,535     $ 1,458       5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

      

Property & Transportation

   $ 344     $ 324       6

Specialty Casualty

     626       594       5

Specialty Financial

     145       148       (2 %) 

Other

     32       36       (11 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,147     $ 1,102       4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

      

Property & Transportation

     89.0     90.4  

Specialty Casualty

     94.2     92.9  

Specialty Financial

     91.4     90.2  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     92.5     91.7  

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2019     2018  

Reserve Development (Favorable) / Adverse:

    

Property & Transportation

   $ (26   $ (18

Specialty Casualty

     (13     (35

Specialty Financial

     (6     (3

Other Specialty

     (1     (1
  

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (46   $ (57
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

    

Property & Transportation

     (7.2     (5.1

Specialty Casualty

     (2.2     (6.0

Specialty Financial

     (4.3     (1.8

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (4.0     (5.1

Total P&C Segment

     (3.9     (5.0

Footnote (c) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2019      2018         

Annuity Premiums:

        

Financial Institutions

   $ 768      $ 518        48

Retail

     330        315        5

Broker-Dealer

     233        262        (11 %) 

Pension Risk Transfer

     10        —          nm  

Education Market

     49        46        7

Variable Annuities

     5        7        (29 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 1,395      $ 1,148        22
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2019      2018         

Revenues:

        

Net investment income

   $ 435      $ 394        10

Other income

     27        26        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total revenues

     462        420        10

Costs and Expenses:

        

Annuity benefits

     311        182        71

Acquisition expenses

     26        81        (68 %) 

Other expenses

     35        32        9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total costs and expenses

     372        295        26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 90      $ 125        (28 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Supplemental Annuity Information

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2019     2018  

Net interest spread*

     2.59     2.75

Net spread earned before fair value accounting for FIAs*

     1.43     1.38

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (0.47 %)      0.16

Net spread earned after impact of fair value accounting for FIAs*

     0.96     1.54

 

*

Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 11


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a)

Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2019      2018  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

     

P&C insurance segment

   $ 185      $ 188  

Annuity segment, before fair value accounting for FIAs

     134        112  

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (44      13  

Interest & other corporate expense *

     (43      (42
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     232        271  

Related income taxes

     48        52  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 184      $ 219  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

*

Other Corporate Expense includes income and expenses associated with AFG‘s run-off businesses.

 

b)

Shareholders’ Equity at March 31, 2019 includes $464 million ($5.18 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities. Shareholder’s Equity at December 31, 2018 includes $83 million ($0.93 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $11 million ($0.13 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges.

 

c)

Supplemental Notes:

 

   

Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other commercial property coverages.

 

   

Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

   

Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

   

Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 12

EX-99.2 3 d742879dex992.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO   

American Financial Group, Inc.

 

Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2019

  

May 1, 2019

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Corporate Headquarters

Great American Insurance Group Tower

301 E Fourth Street

Cincinnati, OH 45202

513 579 6739


American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2019

   LOGO

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2019

     2  

Financial Highlights

     3  

Summary of Earnings

     4  

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5  

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6  

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7  

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8  

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9  

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10  

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11  

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12  

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes (net of amortization of DAC, sales inducement costs and other related items)

     13  

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     14  

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     15  

Statutory Annuity Premiums

     16  

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     17  

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate Analysis

     18  

Annuity Earnings Guidance

     19  

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     20  

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     21  

Capitalization

     22  

Additional Supplemental Information

     23  

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments

     24  

Net Investment Income

     25  

Investments Marked-to-Market Through Investment Income and Investments Accounted For Using the Equity Method

     26  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     27  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     28  

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

     29  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     30  

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     31  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

     32  

Appendix

  

A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

     33  

 

Page 2


American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Highlights

              

Net earnings (loss)

   $ 329     $ (29   $ 204     $ 210     $ 145     $ 530     $ 475  

Core net operating earnings

     184       159       198       185       219       761       588  

Total assets

     66,132       63,456       64,190       61,834       60,656       63,456       60,658  

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     5,201       4,898       5,103       4,920       4,865       4,898       4,724  

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,147       1,208       1,456       1,257       1,102       5,023       4,751  

Annuity statutory premiums

     1,395       1,482       1,378       1,399       1,148       5,407       4,341  

Per share data

              

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 3.63     $ (0.33   $ 2.26     $ 2.31     $ 1.60     $ 5.85     $ 5.28  

Core net operating earnings per share

     2.02       1.75       2.19       2.04       2.42       8.40       6.55  

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     58.02       54.86       57.22       55.24       54.74       54.86       53.51  

Cash dividends per common share

     0.4000       1.9000       0.3500       1.8500       0.3500       4.4500       4.7875  

Financial ratios

              

Annualized return on equity (b)

     25.9     (2.3 %)      16.3     17.1     12.3     10.9     10.3

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     14.5     12.6     15.8     15.1     18.6     15.6     12.7

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     58.9     62.7     64.3     59.7     57.8     61.3     62.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     33.6     29.3     31.4     34.0     33.9     32.1     30.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     92.5     92.0     95.7     93.7     91.7     93.4     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

              

Net interest spread

     2.59     2.58     2.67     2.81     2.75     2.70     2.62

Net spread earned:

              

Before impact of fair value accounting and unlockings

     1.43     0.81     1.37     1.46     1.38     1.26     1.34

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

     (0.47 %)      (0.52 %)      (0.02 %)      0.04     0.16     (0.10 %)      (0.10 %) 

Unlockings

     0.00     (0.04 %)      0.00     (0.32 %)      0.00     (0.09 %)      (0.01 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting and unlockings

     0.96     0.25     1.35     1.18     1.54     1.07     1.23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 21.

(b)

Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income.

(c)

Change in fair value of derivatives and the estimated net offsets to deferred sales inducements, deferred policy acquisition costs and related reserves.

 

Page 3


American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     09/30/18     06/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 87     $ 101     $ 56     $ 72     $ 91     $ 320     $ 313  

Net investment income

     104       115       108       115       100       438       362  

Other income (expense)

     (6     (2     (6     (7     (3     (18     (15
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     185       214       158       180       188       740       660  

Annuity earnings

     90       20       117       99       125       361       380  

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (16     (16     (15     (16     (15     (62     (85

Other expense

     (27     (13     (22     (32     (27     (94     (92
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

     232       205       238       231       271       945       863  

Income tax expense

     48       46       40       46       52       184       275  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     184       159       198       185       219       761       588  

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     145       (188     27       25       (74     (210     3  

Special A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —          —          (14     —          —          (14     (58

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —          —          (7     —          —          (7     (16

Neon exited lines charge

     —          —          —          —          —          —          18  

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     —          —          —          —          —          —          56  

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

     —          —          —          —          —          —          (83

Loss on retirement of debt

     —          —          —          —          —          —          (33
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $  329     $ (29   $  204     $  210     $  145     $ 530     $  475  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 4


American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19      12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18      3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 184      $ 159     $ 198     $ 185      $ 219     $ 761     $ 588  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 329      $   (29)    $ 204     $ 210      $ 145     $ 530     $ 475  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares - core

     90.695        90.668       90.731       90.663        90.431     90.626       89.812  

Average number of diluted shares - net

     90.695        89.278       90.731       90.663        90.431       90.626       89.812  

Diluted earnings per share:

                

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 2.02      $ 1.75     $ 2.19     $ 2.04      $ 2.42   $ 8.40     $ 6.55  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     1.61        (2.08     0.31       0.27        (0.82     (2.31     0.03  

Special A&E charges:

                

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —           —          (0.16     —           —          (0.16     (0.64

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —           —          (0.08     —           —          (0.08     (0.18

Neon exited lines charge

     —           —          —          —           —          —          0.19  

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     —           —          —          —           —          —          0.62  

Tax expense related to change in U.S. corporate tax rate

     —           —          —          —           —          —          (0.92

Loss on retirement of debt

     —           —          —          —           —          —          (0.37
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 3.63      $ (0.33 )   $ 2.26     $ 2.31      $ 1.60     $ 5.85     $ 5.28  
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 5


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Property and Transportation

   $ 39     $ 64     $ —       $ 23     $ 33     $ 120     $ 154  

Specialty Casualty

     36       22       49       29       41       141       104  

Specialty Financial

     13       20       9       22       15       66       61  

Other Specialty

     —         (4     (3     (1     3       (5     (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

     88       102       55       73       92       322       317  

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

     1       1       (1     1       1       2       4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

     87       101       56       72       91       320       313  

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     —         —         (18     —         —         (18     (89

Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE

     —         —         —         —         —         —         18  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 87     $ 101     $ 38     $ 72     $ 91     $ 302     $ 242  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ (1 )   $ 3     $ —       $ —       $ 2     $ 10  

Catastrophe loss

     12       39       35       16       13       103       140  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 12     $ 38     $ 38     $ 16     $ 13     $ 105     $ 150  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (45   $ (61 )   $ (31 )   $ (44 )   $ (56   $ (192   $ (64 )
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     89.0     86.5     100.0     93.9     90.4     93.1     91.0

Specialty Casualty

     94.2     96.5     92.1     95.1     92.9     94.2     95.2

Specialty Financial

     91.4     85.5     94.4     85.6     90.2     88.9     89.4

Other Specialty

     98.9     112.3     103.0     105.5     90.7     103.7     102.7

Combined ratio - Specialty

     92.5     92.0     95.7     93.7     91.7     93.4     93.1

Other core charges

     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.1     0.0     0.1

Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE

     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     (0.4 %) 

Special A&E charges

     0.0     0.0     1.5     0.0     0.0     0.4     1.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     92.6     92.0     97.2     93.7     91.8     93.8     94.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     95.4     93.7     96.8     96.2     95.6     95.7     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     61.8     64.4     65.4     62.2     61.7     63.6     62.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (3.9 %)      (4.7 %)      (2.2 %)      (3.9 %)      (5.0 %)      (4.0 %)      (1.4 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     1.1     3.0     2.6     1.4     1.2     2.1     3.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.0     62.7     65.8     59.7     57.9     61.7     64.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 6


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Gross written premiums

   $  1,535     $  1,613     $  2,104     $  1,665     $  1,458     $ 6,840     $ 6,502  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (388     (405     (648     (408     (356     (1,817     (1,751
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,147       1,208       1,456       1,257       1,102       5,023       4,751  

Change in unearned premiums

     26       62       (129     (96     5       (158     (172
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,173       1,270       1,327       1,161       1,107       4,865       4,579  

Loss and LAE

     691       796       855       692       640       2,983       2,880  

Underwriting expense

     394       372       417       396       375       1,560       1,382  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 88     $ 102     $ 55     $ 73     $ 92     $ 322     $ 317  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ (1 )   $ 3     $ —       $ —       $ 2     $ 10  

Catastrophe loss

     12       39       35       16       13       103       140  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 12     $ 38     $ 38     $ 16     $ 13     $ 105     $ 150  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (46 )   $ (61 )   $ (49 )   $ (45 )   $ (57 )   $ (212 )   $ (139 )
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     58.9     62.7     64.3     59.7     57.8     61.3     62.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     33.6     29.3     31.4     34.0     33.9     32.1     30.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     92.5     92.0     95.7     93.7     91.7     93.4     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     95.4     93.7     96.8     96.2     95.6     95.7     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     61.8     64.4     65.4     62.2     61.7     63.6     62.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.0 %)      (4.7 %)      (3.7 %)      (3.9 %)      (5.1 %)      (4.4 %)      (3.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     1.1     3.0     2.6     1.4     1.2     2.1     3.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     58.9     62.7     64.3     59.7     57.8     61.3     62.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 7


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Gross written premiums

   $ 439     $ 651     $ 953     $ 615     $ 426     $  2,645     $  2,688  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (95     (203     (393     (193     (102     (891     (923
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     344       448       560       422       324       1,754       1,765  

Change in unearned premiums

     17       31       (34     (48     26       (25     (54
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     361       479       526       374       350       1,729       1,711  

Loss and LAE

     225       327       406       239       220       1,192       1,172  

Underwriting expense

     97       88       120       112       97       417       385  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 39     $ 64     $ —       $ 23     $ 33     $ 120     $ 154  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ (1 )   $ 1     $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 2  

Catastrophe loss

     9       (1     12       10       5       26       36  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 9     $ (2 )   $ 13     $ 10     $ 5     $ 26     $ 38  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (26   $ (7 )   $ (4 )   $ (21 )   $ (18   $ (50 )   $ (40 )
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     62.2     68.2     77.1     63.8     63.0     69.0     68.5

Underwriting expense ratio

     26.8     18.3     22.9     30.1     27.4     24.1     22.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     89.0     86.5     100.0     93.9     90.4     93.1     91.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     93.6     88.2     98.5     96.8     94.1     94.4     91.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     66.8     69.9     75.6     66.7     66.7     70.3     68.7

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (7.2 %)      (1.5 %)      (0.8 %)      (5.6 %)      (5.1 %)      (2.8 %)      (2.3 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     2.6     (0.2 %)      2.3     2.7     1.4     1.5     2.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     62.2     68.2     77.1     63.8     63.0     69.0     68.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 8


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Gross written premiums

   $ 912     $ 778     $ 956     $ 858       853     $  3,445     $  3,087  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (286     (197     (261     (219     (259     (936     (807
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     626       581       695       639       594       2,509       2,280  

Change in unearned premiums

     3       32       (79     (44     (15     (106     (94
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     629       613       616       595       579       2,403       2,186  

Loss and LAE

     388       389       364       378       345       1,476       1,410  

Underwriting expense

     205       202       203       188       193       786       672  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 36     $ 22     $ 49     $ 29     $ 41     $ 141     $ 104  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ 6  

Catastrophe loss

     1       28       11       1       5       45       71  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1     $ 28     $ 12     $ 1     $ 5     $ 46     $ 77  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (13   $ (52 )   $ (37   $ (15   $ (35   $ (139 )   $ (86 )
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     61.6     63.5     59.2     63.4     59.5     61.5     64.5

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.6     33.0     32.9     31.7     33.4     32.7     30.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     94.2     96.5     92.1     95.1     92.9     94.2     95.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     96.3     100.3     96.4     97.5     97.9     98.1     95.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     63.7     67.3     63.5     65.8     64.5     65.4     65.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.2 %)      (8.5 %)      (6.0 %)      (2.5 %)      (6.0 %)      (5.8 %)      (4.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.1     4.7     1.7     0.1     1.0     1.9     3.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     61.6     63.5     59.2     63.4     59.5     61.5     64.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 9


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Gross written premiums

   $ 184     $ 184     $ 195     $ 192       179     $ 750     $ 727  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (39     (42     (42     (33     (31     (148     (131
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     145       142       153       159       148       602       596  

Change in unearned premiums

     1       (1     (4     —         1       (4     (20
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     146       141       149       159       149       598       576  

Loss and LAE

     56       51       60       54       60       225       227  

Underwriting expense

     77       70       80       83       74       307       288  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 13     $ 20     $ 9     $ 22     $ 15     $ 66     $ 61  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ 2  

Catastrophe loss

     2       10       12       3       3       28       30  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 2     $ 10     $ 13     $ 3     $ 3     $ 29     $ 32  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (6 )   $ (7 )   $ (8 )   $ (8 )   $ (3 )   $ (26   $ (21
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     38.2     36.4     40.1     33.9     40.2     37.6     39.4

Underwriting expense ratio

     53.2     49.1     54.3     51.7     50.0     51.3     50.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     91.4     85.5     94.4     85.6     90.2     88.9     89.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.3     83.6     91.5     89.0     90.2     88.6     87.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     41.1     34.5     37.2     37.3     40.2     37.3     37.8

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.3 %)      (5.2 %)      (5.1 %)      (5.4 %)      (1.8 %)      (4.4 %)      (3.6 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     1.4     7.1     8.0     2.0     1.8     4.7     5.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     38.2     36.4     40.1     33.9     40.2     37.6     39.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 10


American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Gross written premiums

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     32       37       48       37       36       158       110  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     32       37       48       37       36       158       110  

Change in unearned premiums

     5       —         (12     (4     (7     (23     (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     37       37       36       33       29       135       106  

Loss and LAE

     22       29       25       21       15       90       71  

Underwriting expense

     15       12       14       13       11       50       37  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

   $ —       $ (4   $ (3   $ (1   $ 3     $ (5   $ (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     —         2       —         2       —         4       3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ —       $ 2     $ —       $ 2     $ —       $ 4     $ 3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (1 )   $ 5     $ —       $ (1 )   $ (1   $ 3     $ 8  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.7     76.5     65.5     68.7     51.3     66.4     66.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     39.2     35.8     37.5     36.8     39.4     37.3     35.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     98.9     112.3     103.0     105.5     90.7     103.7     102.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     100.8     95.6     103.7     99.6     96.6     99.0     93.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 11


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18      12/31/18     12/31/17  

Net investment income

   $ 435     $ 419     $ 413     $ 412     $ 394      $ 1,638     $ 1,458  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     16       17       16       16       16        65       60  

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     11       10       11       11       10        42       43  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     462       446       440       439       420        1,745       1,561  

Annuity benefits

     311       334       222       260       182        998       892  

Acquisition expenses

     26       56       69       49       81        255       168  

Other expenses

     35       36       32       31       32        131       121  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     372       426       323       340       295        1,384       1,181  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 90     $ 20     $ 117     $ 99     $ 125      $ 361     $ 380  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes (see additional detail on page 13)

 

            

Earnings before income taxes, impact of fair value accounting and unlockings

   $ 134     $ 71     $ 119     $ 123     $ 112      $ 425     $ 416  

Impact of fair value accounting

     (44     (47     (2     3       13        (33     (33
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total pretax annuity earnings before unlockings

     90       24       117       126       125        392       383  

Unlockings

     —         (4     —         (27     —          (31     (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 90     $ 20     $ 117     $ 99     $ 125      $ 361     $ 380  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 12


American Financial Group, Inc.

Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes (net of amortization of DAC, sales inducement costs and other related items)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Components of earnings before fair value (“FV”) accounting for FIAs:

              

Pretax earnings before items below

   $ 89     $ 85     $ 83     $ 87     $ 84     $ 339     $ 346  

Investments marked to market through core operating earnings

     26       16       26       33       29       104       49  

Impact of stock market on liability for guaranteed benefits (a)

     14       (22     7       2       (1     (14     14  

Impact of stock market on DAC and sales inducements (b)

     5       (8     3       1       —         (4     7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pretax Annuity earnings before FV accounting (c)

   $ 134     $ 71     $ 119     $ 123     $ 112     $ 425     $ 416  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Components of Impact of FV accounting:

              

Interest accreted on Embedded Derivative liability

   $ (10   $ (11   $
 
 
(10
 
  $ (8   $ (7   $
 
 
(36
 
  $ (16

Increase (decrease) in stock market

     15       (27     12       6       (2     (11     29  

Higher (lower) than expected changes in interest rates

     (45     (4     (2     12       27       33       (50

Other

     (4     (5     (2     (7     (5     (19     4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Impact of FV accounting, as reported (c)

   $ (44   $ (47   $ (2   $ 3     $ 13     $ (33   $ (33
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total pretax annuity earnings before unlockings (c)

   $ 90     $ 24     $ 117     $ 126     $ 125     $ 392     $ 383  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Yield on investments marked to market through core operating earnings

     10.9     7.1     11.7     16.4     14.9     12.4     8.2

Increase (decrease) in S&P 500 (a)

     13     (14 %)      7     3     (1 %)      (6 %)      19

Change in average 5 year and 15 year Corporate A2 rates

     (0.49 %)      (0.07 %)      0.09     0.25     0.44     0.71     (0.13 %) 

Year over year growth in average invested assets

     12     12     10     10     10     10     11

 

(a)

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on AFG’s liability for fixed-indexed annuities with guaranteed benefits. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

(b)

Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on the current and projected lifetime profitability of AFG’s annuity business. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact.

(c)

See page 19 for general rules of thumb related to earnings sensitivity from changes in the S&P 500, changes in market interest rates, and incremental yields on investments marked to market through core operating earnings.

 

Page 13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

              

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 194     $ 186     $ 179     $ 173     $ 166     $ 704     $ 633  

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     1       1       1       2       1       5       5  

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     4       4       5       4       4       17       18  

Amortization of sales inducements

     3       4       5       5       5       19       19  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve:

              

Impact of change in stock market

     (14     22       (7     (2     1       14       (14

Accretion of benefits and other

     21       24       25       21       22       92       81  

Change in other benefit reserves

     7       8       10       11       8       37       45  

Unlockings (a)

     —         5       —         54       —         59       35  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     216       254       218       268       207       947       822  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b)

     462       (490     223       82       (63     (248     564  

Equity option mark-to-market

     (367     570       (219     (90     38       299       (494
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact in fair value accounting

     95       80       4       (8     (25     51       70  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 311     $ 334     $ 222     $ 260     $ 182     $ 998     $ 892  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $28 million in 2018 and $32 million in 2017 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses and other income. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense of $31 million in 2018 and $3 million in 2017.

(b)

Excludes unlocking impact of $44 million in 2018 and $25 million in 2017.

 

Page 14


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) (a)

   $ 36,991     $ 35,993     $ 34,955     $ 33,935     $ 33,002     $ 34,471     $ 31,250  

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     37,078       36,103       35,226       34,165       33,329       34,706       31,526  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments (a)

   $ (87   $ (110   $ (271   $ (230   $ (327   $ (235   $ (276
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.68     4.64     4.70     4.83     4.74     4.73     4.63

Interest credited

     (2.09 %)      (2.06 %)      (2.03 %)      (2.02 %)      (1.99 %)      (2.03 %)      (2.01 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.59     2.58     2.67     2.81     2.75     2.70     2.62

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.08     0.08     0.09     0.10     0.10     0.10     0.11

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.04 %)      (0.51 %)      (0.24 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.29 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.28 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.28 %)      (0.59 %)      (0.76 %)      (0.89 %)      (0.94 %)      (0.79 %)      (0.62 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.36 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.35 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.37 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (1.03 %)      (0.89 %)      (0.05 %)      0.10     0.30     (0.15 %)      (0.22 %) 

Unlockings

     0.00     (0.04 %)      0.00     (0.32 %)      0.00     (0.09 %)      (0.01 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     0.96     0.25     1.35     1.18     1.54     1.07     1.23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 37,078     $ 36,103     $ 35,226     $ 34,165     $ 33,329     $ 34,706     $ 31,526  

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     0.96     0.25     1.35     1.18     1.54     1.07     1.23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 89     $ 22     $ 119     $ 101     $ 128     $ 370     $ 387  

Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (87   $ (110   $ (271   $ (230   $ (327   $ (235   $ (276

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.68     4.64     4.70     4.83     4.74     4.73     4.63
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings/(loss) on annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments

   $ (1   $ (1   $ (3   $ (3   $ (4   $ (11   $ (13

Variable annuity earnings (includes unlockings)

     2       (1     1       1       1       2       6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 90     $ 20     $ 117     $ 99     $ 125     $ 361     $ 380  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities

              

Net spread earned - before impact of fair value accounting and unlockings

     1.43     0.81     1.37     1.46     1.38     1.26     1.34

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (1.03 %)      (0.89 %)      (0.05 %)      0.10     0.30     (0.15 %)      (0.22 %) 

Estimated net offsets to deferred sales inducements, deferred policy acquisition costs and related reserves

     0.56     0.37     0.03     (0.06 %)      (0.14 %)      0.05     0.12

Unlockings

     0.00     (0.04 %)      0.00     (0.32 %)      0.00     (0.09 %)      (0.01 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned - after impact of fair value accounting and unlockings

     0.96     0.25     1.35     1.18     1.54     1.07     1.23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Excludes non-investment assets such as deferred acquisition costs, FIA options, accrued investment income and company owned life insurance.

 

Page 15


American Financial Group, Inc.

Statutory Annuity Premiums

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19      12/31/18      9/30/18      6/30/18      3/31/18      12/31/18      12/31/17  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 301      $ 392      $ 354      $ 378      $ 294      $ 1,418      $ 990  

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     29        27        17        22        21        87        70  

Broker dealer single premium annuities - indexed

     227        335        322        355        259        1,271        733  

Broker dealer single premium annuities - fixed

     6        4        3        4        3        14        7  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     424        455        460        448        413        1,776        1,711  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     344        142        114        131        105        492        622  

Pension risk transfer (PRT)

     10        75        56        1        —          132        6  

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     49        46        46        54        46        192        174  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     1,390        1,476        1,372        1,393        1,141        5,382        4,313  

Variable annuities

     5        6        6        6        7        25        28  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 1,395      $ 1,482      $ 1,378      $ 1,399      $ 1,148      $ 5,407      $ 4,341  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Summary by Distribution Channel:

                    

Retail

   $ 330      $ 419      $ 371      $ 400      $ 315      $ 1,505      $ 1,060  

Broker dealer

     233        339        325        359        262        1,285        740  

Financial institutions

     768        597        574        579        518        2,268        2,333  

Other

     64        127        108        61        53        349        208  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 1,395      $ 1,482      $ 1,378      $ 1,399      $ 1,148      $ 5,407      $ 4,341  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Summary by Product Type:

                    

Total indexed

   $ 980      $ 1,211      $ 1,164      $ 1,213      $ 992      $ 4,580      $ 3,523  

Total fixed

     410        265        208        180        149        802        790  

Variable

     5        6        6        6        7        25        28  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 1,395      $ 1,482      $ 1,378      $ 1,399      $ 1,148      $ 5,407      $ 4,341  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 36,431     $ 35,774     $ 34,678     $ 33,652     $ 33,005     $ 33,005     $ 29,647  

Premiums

     1,390       1,476       1,372       1,393       1,141       5,382       4,313  

Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) advances (paydowns)

     —         225       —         —         —         225       (64

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (761     (796     (707     (706     (627     (2,836     (2,246

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     194       186       179       173       166       704       633  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     462       (490     223       82       (63     (248     564  

Change in other benefit reserves

     8       52       29       29       30       140       117  

Unlockings

     —         4       —         55       —         59       41  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 37,724     $ 36,431     $ 35,774     $ 34,678     $ 33,652     $ 36,431     $ 33,005  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 37,724     $ 36,431     $ 35,774     $ 34,678     $ 33,652     $ 36,431     $ 33,005  

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     108       10       8       32       71       10       133  

Fixed component of variable annuities

     174       175       176       176       178       175       178  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 38,006     $ 36,616     $ 35,958     $ 34,886     $ 33,901     $ 36,616     $ 33,316  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     8.4     8.9     8.2     8.4     7.6     8.6     7.6

Rider reserves included in ending fixed annuity reserves above

   $ 478     $ 472     $ 428     $ 411     $ 381     $ 472     $ 358  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Embedded Derivative liability included in ending fixed annuity reserves above

   $ 3,247     $ 2,720     $ 3,105     $ 2,776     $ 2,549     $ 2,720     $ 2,542  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate (“GMIR”) Analysis

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/17  

GMIR

            

1 - 1.99%

     79     79     78     78     77     76

2 - 2.99%

     4     4     4     4     5     5

3 - 3.99%

     8     8     9     9     9     10

4.00% and above

     9     9     9     9     9     9

Annuity Benefits Accumulated

   $ 38,006     $ 36,616     $ 35,958     $ 34,886     $ 33,901     $ 33,316  

Traditional Fixed and FIA Surrender Value (a) (b)

   $ 29,163     $ 27,842     $ 27,434     $ 26,502     $ 25,582     $ 25,138  

Ability to Lower Average Crediting Rates by (a) (c)

     1.20     1.19     1.16     1.09     1.00     0.92

Pretax earnings impact of crediting guaranteed minimums (a)

   $ 350     $ 331     $ 317     $ 288     $ 255     $ 230  

(assumes net DAC impact over time = $0)

            

 

(a)

Excludes Annuities with Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits, FHLB advances, immediate reserves and certain other reserves.

(b)

FIA Surrender Value include Host + Embedded Derivatives + Fixed Account values.

(c)

Weighted Average Crediting Rate less GMIR

 

Page 18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings Guidance

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

                              Earnings Sensitivities
                             

(Incremental Changes are Versus Amounts Assumed in Guidance)

                                        Incremental
     Guidance as provided                     +/- 1% Yield on
     in conjunction                     Partnerships,
     with AFG’s     Midpoint     Incremental    Incremental    Private Equities,
     1st Quarter     of     +/- 1%    +/-10bps change in    Mark-to-Market
     Earnings Release     Guidance    

S&P 500 (a) (b)

  

Interest Rates (b) (c)

  

Investments (a)

Pretax Annuity Earnings (Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs)

   $ 445       to      $ 475     $ 460     ~ +/- $1mm to $2mm       ~ +/- $8mm

Implied Fair Value Accounting Impact

     (80     to        (50     (65   ~ +/- $1mm to $2mm    ~ +/- $8mm to $10mm   
  

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

Pretax Annuity Earnings, As Reported

   $ 365       to      $ 425     $ 395     ~ +/- $2mm to $4mm    ~ +/- $8mm to $10mm    ~ +/- $8mm
  

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

 

(a)

Current guidance assumptions related to Pretax Annuity Earnings (Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs), as provided in conjunction with AFG’s 1st Quarter Earnings Release:

 

  *

Assumes 20% increase in stock market in 2019 (see additional information on page 13)

 

  *

Assumes 8% to 9% yield on partnerships, private equities and investments marked to market in last 3 quarters of 2019 (see additional information on page 26)

 

(b)

Current guidance assumptions related to Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs, as provided in conjunction with AFG’s 1st Quarter Earnings Release:

 

  *

Assumes 20% increase in stock market in 2019

 

  *

Assumes 10 to 20 bp increase in average of 5 year and 15 year Corporate A2 rate in last 3 quarters of 2019

 

  *

See additional information on page 13

 

(c)

Assumes parallel shift in rates (primarily Corporate A2 rates)

 

Page 19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/17  

Assets:

            

Total cash and investments

   $  51,040     $  48,498     $  47,841     $  46,779     $  45,949     $  46,048  

Recoverables from reinsurers

     3,258       3,349       3,352       3,073       3,173       3,369  

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     636       610       717       645       614       600  

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     1,283       1,234       1,299       1,266       1,113       1,146  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     1,447       1,682       1,669       1,582       1,417       1,216  

Assets of managed investment entities

     4,786       4,700       4,998       5,032       5,090       4,902  

Other receivables

     1,011       1,090       1,633       1,048       918       1,030  

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     610       557       650       636       632       644  

Other assets

     1,854       1,529       1,832       1,574       1,551       1,504  

Goodwill

     207       207       199       199       199       199  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 66,132     $ 63,456     $ 64,190     $ 61,834     $ 60,656     $ 60,658  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

            

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 9,623     $ 9,741     $ 9,670     $ 9,093     $ 9,193     $ 9,678  

Unearned premiums

     2,605       2,595       2,740       2,539       2,413       2,410  

Annuity benefits accumulated

     38,006       36,616       35,958       34,886       33,901       33,316  

Life, accident and health reserves

     632       635       643       647       656       658  

Payable to reinsurers

     730       752       932       721       661       743  

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     4,593       4,512       4,807       4,840       4,869       4,687  

Long-term debt

     1,423       1,302       1,302       1,301       1,301       1,301  

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     610       557       650       636       632       644  

Other liabilities

     2,245       1,774       2,324       2,087       1,847       1,887  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 60,467     $ 58,484     $ 59,026     $ 56,750     $ 55,473     $ 55,324  

Redeemable noncontrolling interests

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 3  

Shareholders’ equity:

            

Common stock

   $ 90     $ 89     $ 89     $ 89     $ 89     $ 88  

Capital surplus

     1,256       1,245       1,231       1,220       1,205       1,181  

Retained earnings

     3,875       3,588       3,800       3,628       3,584       3,248  

Unrealized gains - equities

     —         —         —         —         —         221  

Unrealized gains - fixed maturities

     464       83       93       191       342       619  

Unrealized gains (losses) - fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges

     —         (11     (32     (27     (24     (13

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (20     (24     (17     (17     (13     (14
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     5,665       4,970       5,164       5,084       5,183       5,330  

Noncontrolling interests

     —         2       —         —         —         1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 66,132     $ 63,456     $ 64,190     $ 61,834     $ 60,656     $ 60,658  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

  LOGO

 

     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/17  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 5,665     $ 4,970     $ 5,164     $ 5,084     $ 5,183     $ 5,330  

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities

     (464     (72     (61     (164     (318     (606
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     5,201       4,898       5,103       4,920       4,865       4,724  

Goodwill

     (207     (207     (199     (199     (199     (199

Intangibles

     (51     (54     (31     (34     (36     (26
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,943     $ 4,637     $ 4,873     $ 4,687     $ 4,630     $ 4,499  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     89.638       89.292       89.189       89.072       88.881       88.275  

Book value per share:

            

Book value per share

   $ 63.20     $ 55.66     $ 57.90     $ 57.08     $ 58.32     $ 60.38  

Adjusted (a)

     58.02       54.86       57.22       55.24       54.74       53.51  

Tangible, adjusted (b)

     55.14       51.93       54.64       52.63       52.10       50.95  

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 96.21     $ 90.53     $  110.97     $  107.33     $  112.22     $  108.54  

Market capitalization

   $ 8,624     $ 8,084     $ 9,897     $ 9,560     $ 9,974     $ 9,581  

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     1.66       1.65       1.94       1.94       2.05       2.03  

 

(a)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.

(b)

Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

Page 21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/17  

AFG senior obligations

   $  1,018     $  1,018     $  1,018     $  1,018     $  1,018     $  1,018  

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —         —         —         —         —         —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt

   $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018     $ 1,018  

AFG subordinated debentures

     425       300       300       300       300       300  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total principal amount of long-term debt

   $ 1,443     $ 1,318     $ 1,318     $ 1,318     $ 1,318     $ 1,318  

Shareholders’ equity

     5,665       4,970       5,164       5,084       5,183       5,330  

Noncontrolling interests (including redeemable NCI)

           2                         4  

Less:

            

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturity investments

     (464     (72     (61     (164     (318     (606
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 6,644     $ 6,218     $ 6,421     $ 6,238     $ 6,183     $ 6,046  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt

     21.7     21.2     20.5     21.1     21.3     21.8

Excluding subordinated debt

     15.3     16.4     15.9     16.3     16.5     16.8

 

Page 22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

 

LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19      12/31/18      9/30/18      6/30/18      3/31/18      12/31/18      12/31/17  
Property and Casualty Insurance                     

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $  704      $  719      $  614      $  629      $ 640      $  2,602      $  2,528  

 

     3/31/19      12/31/18      9/30/18      6/30/18      3/31/18      12/31/2017  

Statutory Surplus

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $  3,041      $  2,867      $  2,885      $  2,797      $  2,781      $  2,729  

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

   $ 3,035      $ 3,015      $ 2,703      $ 2,511      $ 2,442      $ 2,442  

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 529      $ 529      $ 563      $ 563      $ 563      $ 563  

Annuity and Run-off

     768        768        263        263        263        263  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,297      $ 1,297      $ 826      $ 826      $ 826      $ 826  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 23


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Carrying Value - March 31, 2019  
     Property and             Parent and                   % of  
     Casualty      Annuity and      Other Non-      Consolidate     Total AFG      Investment  
     Insurance      Run-off      Insurance      CLOs     Consolidated      Portfolio  

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,055      $ 716      $ 229      $ —       $ 2,000        4

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     8,041        35,379        11        —         43,431        85

Fixed maturities - Trading

     54        53        —          —         107        0

Equity securities

     1,110        762        58        —         1,930        4

Investments accounted for using the equity method

     578        862        —          —         1,440        3

Mortgage loans

     292        786        —          —         1,078        2

Policy loans

     —          172        —          —         172        0

Equity index call options

     —          620        —          —         620        1

Real estate and other investments

     133        278        43        (192     262        1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $  11,263      $  39,628      $  341      $  (192   $  51,040        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Carrying Value - December 31, 2018  
     Property and             Parent and                   % of  
     Casualty      Annuity and      Other Non-      Consolidate     Total AFG      Investment  
     Insurance      Run-off      Insurance      CLOs     Consolidated      Portfolio  

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 1,007      $ 339      $ 169      $ —       $ 1,515        3

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     7,853        34,132        12        —         41,997        87

Fixed maturities - Trading

     50        55        —          —         105        0

Equity securities

     1,017        744        53        —         1,814        4

Investments accounted for using the equity method

     557        817        —          —         1,374        3

Mortgage loans

     289        779        —          —         1,068        2

Policy loans

     —          174        —          —         174        0

Equity index call options

     —          184        —          —         184        0

Real estate and other investments

     134        276        44        (187     267        1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 10,907      $ 37,500      $ 278      $ (187   $ 48,498        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 24


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 77     $ 74     $ 72     $ 72     $ 66     $ 284     $ 258  

Fixed maturities - Trading

     1       1       —         2       —         3       3  

Equity securities - dividends

     13       11       13       11       13       48       51  

Equity securities - MTM

     2       9       (1     5       —         13       —    

Equity in investees

     3       14       16       18       17       65       27  

AFG managed CLOs

     3       (1     1       1       1       2       7  

Other investments (a)

     7       10       9       8       5       32       26  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     106       118       110       117       102       447       372  

Investment expenses

     (2     (3     (2     (2     (2     (9     (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 104     $ 115     $ 108     $ 115     $ 100     $ 438     $ 362  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (b)

   $  10,997     $  10,651     $  10,388     $  10,346     $  10,422     $  10,497     $ 9,948  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (c)

     3.78     4.32     4.16     4.45     3.84     4.17     3.64
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 384     $ 376     $ 361     $ 350     $ 338     $ 1,425     $ 1,314  

Equity securities - dividends

     9       9       6       7       8       30       22  

Equity securities - MTM

     3       2       —         11       —         13       —    

Equity in investees

     18       19       25       23       29       96       37  

AFG managed CLOs

     8       (3     3       3       2       5       16  

Other investments (a)

     15       18       19       19       17       73       70  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     437       421       414       413       394       1,642       1,459  

Investment expenses

     (4     (4     (3     (3     (3     (13     (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 433     $ 417     $ 411     $ 410     $ 391     $ 1,629     $ 1,448  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (b)

   $ 36,991     $ 35,993     $ 34,955     $ 33,935     $ 33,002     $ 34,471     $ 31,250  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (c)

     4.68     4.64     4.70     4.83     4.74     4.73     4.63
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG consolidated net investment income:

              

Property & Casualty

   $ 104     $ 115     $ 108     $ 115     $ 100     $ 438     $ 362  

Annuity:

              

Fixed Annuity

     433       417       411       410       391       1,629       1,448  

Variable Annuity

     2       2       2       2       3       9       10  

Parent & other

     14       4       10       7       4       25       34  

Consolidate CLOs

     (11     4       (4     (4     (3     (7     (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 542     $ 542     $ 527     $ 530     $ 495     $ 2,094     $ 1,831  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a)

Includes income from mortgage loans, real estate, policy loans, short-term investments, and cash equivalents.     

(b)

Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances.     

(c)

Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter.        

 

Page 25


American Financial Group, Inc.

Investments Marked-to-Market Through Investment Income and Investments Accounted For Using the Equity Method

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     3/31/19     12/31/18     9/30/18     6/30/18     3/31/18     12/31/18     12/31/17  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 2     $ 9     $ (1   $ 5     $ —       $ 13     $ —    

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     3       14       16       18       17       65       27  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     3       (1     1       1       1       2       7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property & Casualty

   $ 8     $ 22     $ 16     $ 24     $ 18     $ 80     $ 34  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 52     $ 50     $ 40     $ 40     $ 31     $ 50     $ 27  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     578       557       520       475       440       557       402  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     57       56       57       57       66       56       64  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property & Casualty

   $ 687     $ 663     $ 617     $ 572     $ 537     $ 663     $ 493  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Property & Casualty

     4.7     13.8     10.8     17.3     14.0     13.9     7.9

Fixed Annuity:

              

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 3     $ 2     $ —       $ 11     $ —       $ 13     $ —    

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     18       19       25       23       29       96       37  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     8       (3     3       3       2       5       16  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Fixed Annuity

   $ 29     $ 18     $ 28     $ 37     $ 31     $ 114     $ 53  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 88     $ 84     $ 79     $ 79     $ 57     $ 84     $ 49  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     862       817       769       719       657       817       590  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     136       132       134       135       155       132       151  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Fixed Annuity

   $  1,086     $  1,033     $ 982     $ 933     $ 869     $  1,033     $ 790  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Fixed Annuity

     10.9     7.1     11.7     16.4     14.9     12.4     8.2

Combined (includes Parent amounts not shown above):

 

           

Net Investment Income

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 11     $ 6     $ 1     $ 16     $ (1   $ 22     $ 7  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     21       33       41       41       46       161       64  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     11       (4     4       4       3       7       23  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Combined (including Parent)

   $ 43     $ 35     $ 46     $ 61     $ 48     $ 190     $ 94  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments

              

Equity securities MTM through investment income (a)

   $ 198     $ 187     $ 176     $ 173     $ 142     $ 187     $ 132  

Investments accounted for using the equity method (b)

     1,440       1,374       1,289       1,194       1,097       1,374       992  

AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation)

     193       188       191       192       221       188       215  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Combined (including Parent)

   $ 1,831     $ 1,749     $ 1,656     $ 1,559     $ 1,460     $ 1,749     $ 1,339  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized Yield - Combined

     9.6     8.2     11.4     16.2     13.7     12.2     8.3

 

(a)

AFG carries the small portion of its equity securities previously classified as “trading” and investments in limited partnerships and similar investments that aren’t accounted for using the equity method at fair value through net investment income.

(b)

The majority of AFG’s investments accounted for using the equity method mark their underlying assets to market through net income.

 

Page 26


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions )

  LOGO

 

                                 % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of      Investment  

March 31, 2019

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value      Portfolio  

US Government and government agencies

   $ 243      $ 243      $ —          1      0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,768        7,001        233        16      14

Foreign government

     176        178        2        1      0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,479        2,758        279        6      5

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     900        924        24        2      2

Asset-backed securities

     9,909        10,018        109        23      20

Corporate and other bonds

     22,050        22,416        366        51      44
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $  42,525      $  43,538      $  1,013        100      85
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.44            

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.39            

Approximate average life and duration:

              

Approximate average life

     6 years              

Approximate duration

     4.5 years              
                                 % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of      Investment  

December 31, 2018

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value      Portfolio  

US Government and government agencies

   $ 245      $ 243      $ (2      1      1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,850        6,964        114        17      14

Foreign government

     166        168        2        0      0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,478        2,746        268        7      6

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     905        920        15        2      2

Asset-backed securities

     9,781        9,811        30        23      20

Corporate and other bonds

     21,517        21,250        (267      50      44
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 41,942      $ 42,102      $ 160        100      87
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

 

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.47            

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.42            

Approximate average life and duration:

              

Approximate average life

     6 years              

Approximate duration

     4.5 years              

 

(a)

Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

Page 27


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

($ in millions )

  LOGO

 

    March 31, 2019     December 31, 2018  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
Property and Casualty Insurance:   Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

US Government and government agencies

  $ 203     $ 204       1       2   $ 203     $ 202     $ (1     3

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    2,559       2,610       51       32     2,630       2,642       12       33

Foreign government

    165       165       —         2     155       156       1       2

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    720       784       64       10     725       784       59       10

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    88       90       2       1     83       84       1       1

Asset-backed securities

    2,315       2,316       1       29     2,275       2,259       (16     29

Corporate and other bonds

    1,908       1,926       18       24     1,792       1,776       (16     22
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 7,958     $ 8,095     $ 137       100   $ 7,863     $ 7,903     $ 40       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    3.93           3.91      

Net of investment expense (a)

    3.85           3.81      

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

    4.04           3.99      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    4.5 years             4.5 years        

Approximate duration

    3.5 years             3.5 years        
    March 31, 2019     December 31, 2018  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
Annuity and Run-off:   Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

US Government and government agencies

  $ 40     $ 39     $ (1     0   $ 42     $ 41     $ (1     0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    4,209       4,391       182       12     4,220       4,322       102       13

Foreign government

    11       13       2       0     11       12       1       0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    1,757       1,963       206       6     1,750       1,950       200       6

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    812       834       22       2     822       836       14       2

Asset-backed securities

    7,594       7,702       108       22     7,506       7,552       46       22

Corporate and other bonds

    20,142       20,490       348       58     19,725       19,474       (251     57
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

  $ 34,565     $  35,432     $  867       100   $ 34,076     $  34,187     $ 111       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    4.55           4.59      

Net of investment expense (a)

    4.51           4.55      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    6 years             6.5 years        

Approximate duration

    4.5 years             4.5 years        

 

(a)

Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

(b)

Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

Page 28


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

 

LOGO

 

     March 31, 2019  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain
(Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 7,378      $ 7,447      $ 69        17

AA

     8,809        9,055        246        21

A

     10,268        10,504        236        24

BBB

     12,261        12,464        203        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     38,716        39,470        754        91

BB

     709        705        (4      2

B

     249        245        (4      0

Other (b)

     2,851        3,118        267        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,809        4,068        259        9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 42,525      $ 43,538      $ 1,013        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

     December 31, 2018  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 7,367      $ 7,359      $ (8      17

AA

     8,714        8,831        117        21

A

     10,006        9,989        (17      24

BBB

     12,206        12,053        (153      29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     38,293        38,232        (61      91

BB

     703        685        (18      2

B

     261        254        (7      0

Other (b)

     2,685        2,931        246        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,649        3,870        221        9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 41,942      $ 42,102      $ 160        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

See page 33 for more information.

 

Page 29


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

 

LOGO

 

March 31, 2019

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 163      $ 163      $ —          4     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     960        1,089        129        30     2

Alt-A

     1,005        1,118        113        30     2

Subprime

     351        388        37        11     1

Commercial

     900        924        24        25     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 3,379      $ 3,682      $ 303        100     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

   

Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

 

   

The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 81%; Subprime 83%; CMBS 100%.

 

   

The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 734; Alt-A 696; Subprime 630.

 

   

96% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (82% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 34%.

 

   

The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4.5 years; Commercial 4 years.

 

December 31, 2018

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 170      $ 168      $ (2     5     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     967        1,098        131       30     2

Alt-A

     972        1,074        102       29     2

Subprime

     369        406        37       11     1

Commercial

     905        920        15       25     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 3,383      $ 3,666      $ 283       100     8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 30


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

Property and Casualty Insurance:

 

     March 31, 2019  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 131      $ 130      $  (1     15     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     138        154        16       18     1

Alt-A

     296        330        34       38     3

Subprime

     155        170        15       19     2

Commercial

     88        90        2       10     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 808      $ 874      $ 66       100     8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2018  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 137      $ 134      $ (3     15     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     138        155        17       18     1

Alt-A

     289        319        30       37     3

Subprime

     161        176        15       20     2

Commercial

     83        84        1       10     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $  808      $  868      $  60       100     8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off:

 

     March 31, 2019  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain
(Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 32      $ 33      $ 1        1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     820        924        104        33     2

Alt-A

     709        788        79        28     2

Subprime

     196        218        22        8     1

Commercial

     812        834        22        30     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,569      $ 2,797      $ 228        100     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2018  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain
(Loss)
     % of Fair
Value
    % of Inv
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 33      $ 34      $ 1        1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     826        931        105        34     2

Alt-A

     683        755        72        27     2

Subprime

     208        230        22        8     1

Commercial

     822        836        14        30     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 2,572      $ 2,786      $ 214        100     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 31


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     March 31, 2019  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,099      $ 1,122      $ 23        31

AA

     158        161        3        4

A

     324        338        14        9

BBB

     198        206        8        6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     1,779        1,827        48        50

BB

     133        136        3        4

B

     136        136        —          4

Other (b)

     1,331        1,583        252        42
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,379      $ 3,682      $ 303        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

     December 31, 2018  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain
(Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,107      $ 1,119      $ 12        31

AA

     143        147        4        4

A

     263        270        7        7

BBB

     232        243        11        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     1,745        1,779        34        49

BB

     128        131        3        3

B

     155        154        (1      4

Other (b)

     1,355        1,602        247        44
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,383      $ 3,666      $ 283        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

(b)

See page 33 for more information.

 

Page 32


Appendix A

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Fair Value - March 31, 2019  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn Gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                          

AAA

   $ 208      $ 1,930      $ 102      $ 361      $ 761      $ 3,911      $ 174      $ 7,447        17

AA

     22        4,448        53        144        17        2,678        1,693        9,055        21

A

     —          456        1        310        28        2,141        7,568        10,504        24

BBB

     —          109        2        130        76        766        11,381        12,464        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     230        6,943        158        945        882        9,496        20,816        39,470        91

BB

     —          —          —          101        35        34        535        705        2

B

     —          8        —          134        2        4        97        245        0

CCC, CC, C

     —          —          —          648        5        2        12        667        2

D

     5        —          —          220        —          —          —          225        0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     5        8        —          1,103        42        40        644        1,842        4

Not Rated

     8        50        20        710        —          482        956        2,226        5
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 243      $ 7,001      $ 178      $ 2,758      $ 924      $ 10,018      $ 22,416      $ 43,538        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Fair Value - December 31, 2018  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn Gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                          

AAA

   $ 213      $ 1,889      $ 98      $ 367      $ 752      $ 3,870      $ 170      $ 7,359        17

AA

     22        4,456        53        129        18        2,570        1,583        8,831        21

A

     —          448        —          248        22        2,086        7,185        9,989        24

BBB

     —          110        —          169        74        769        10,931        12,053        29
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     235        6,903        151        913        866        9,295        19,869        38,232        91

BB

     —          —          —          97        34        23        531        685        2

B

     —          8        —          151        3        4        88        254        0

CCC, CC, C

     —          —          —          670        5        2        12        689        2

D

     —          3        —          230        —          —          1        234        1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     —          11        —          1,148        42        29        632        1,862        5

Not Rated

     8        50        17        685        12        487        749        2,008        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 243      $ 6,964      $ 168      $ 2,746      $ 920      $ 9,811      $ 21,250      $ 42,102        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a)

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 33

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