0001193125-17-158316.txt : 20170504 0001193125-17-158316.hdr.sgml : 20170504 20170504143606 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001193125-17-158316 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 6 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20170503 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20170504 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20170504 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001042046 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 311544320 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-13653 FILM NUMBER: 17813417 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 BUSINESS PHONE: 5135792121 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP HOLDINGS INC DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19970709 8-K 1 d367876d8k.htm CURRENT REPORT Current Report

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 3, 2017

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (513) 579-2121

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company    ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    ☐

 

 

 


Section 2—Financial Information

 

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the first quarter of 2017 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on May 3, 2017. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 9—Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(a) Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

(b) Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

(c) Shell company transactions. Not applicable

(d) Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated May 3, 2017, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2017.
99.2    Investor Supplement – First Quarter 2017

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

   AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: May 4, 2017

     
   By:   

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

     

Karl J. Grafe

     

Vice President

EX-99.1 2 d367876dex991.htm EARNINGS RELEASE Earnings Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces First Quarter Results

 

    Net earnings per share of $1.72, a first quarter record for AFG and an increase of 51% from the prior year period

 

    Core net operating earnings $1.69 per share, a first quarter record for AFG and an increase of 35% from the prior year period

 

    First quarter annualized ROE of 13.3%; core operating ROE of 13.1%

 

    Announced special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable May 25, 2017

 

    Full year 2017 core net operating earnings guidance maintained at $6.20 - $6.70 per share

CINCINNATI – May 3, 2017 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2017 first quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $153 million ($1.72 per share) compared to $101 million ($1.14 per share) for the 2016 first quarter. The $1.72 per share is a record for AFG’s first quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include $2 million ($0.03 per share) in after-tax net realized gains on securities, compared to $10 million ($0.11 per share) in after-tax net realized losses on securities in the prior year period. Book value per share increased by $2.71 to $59.26 per share during the first quarter of 2017. Annualized return on equity was 13.3% and 9.4% for the first quarters of 2017 and 2016, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $151 million ($1.69 per share) for the 2017 first quarter, compared to $111 million ($1.25 per share) in the 2016 first quarter. The $1.69 represents a record first quarter for AFG core earnings per share. The improved results were attributable to higher operating earnings in our Specialty Property and Casualty (“P&C”) Insurance Segment and significantly higher operating earnings in our Annuity Segment. Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, increased by $1.87 to $54.98 per share during the first quarter of 2017. Core net operating earnings for the first quarters of 2017 and 2016 generated annualized returns on equity of 13.1% and 10.3%, respectively.

The Company also announced today that its Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share of American Financial Group Common Stock. The dividend is payable on May 25, 2017 to shareholders of record on May 15, 2017. The aggregate amount of this special dividend will be approximately $132 million. This special dividend is in addition to the Company’s regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.3125 per share.

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, rating agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized investment gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

 

 

Page 1


     Three months ended
March 31,
 
In millions, except per share amounts    2017      2016  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

     

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 220      $ 174  

Pretax non-core items:

     

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     3        (18
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     223        156  

Provision (credit) for income taxes:

     

Core operating earnings

     67        59  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     1        (7
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total provision (credit) for income taxes

     68        52  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     155        104  

Less net earnings (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests:

     

Core operating earnings

     2        4  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     —          (1
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     2        3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 153      $ 101  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings:

     

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 151      $ 111  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     2        (10
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 153      $ 101  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

     

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 1.69      $ 1.25  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     0.03        (0.11
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.72      $ 1.14  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: “The year is off to a good start, with first quarter earnings per share records for AFG. The diversity within our portfolio of specialty property and casualty insurance and annuity businesses has helped us to deliver consistent, strong core operating earnings and created opportunities for profitable growth despite competitive market conditions. Strong operating profitability, superior investment performance and effective capital management resulted in growth in adjusted book value plus dividends of $2.18 per share during the quarter, an increase of 4%.

“AFG had approximately $1.1 billion of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $200 million) at March 31, 2017. Returning capital to shareholders in the form of a $1.50 special cash dividend reflects AFG’s strong financial position and our confidence in the Company’s financial future. In addition to returning capital to shareholders through dividends, our excess capital will be deployed into AFG’s core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. Share repurchases, particularly when executed at attractive valuations, are also an important and effective component of our capital management strategy; we will make opportunistic share repurchases when it makes sense to do so. We will evaluate our excess capital position again in the second half of 2017.

“Based on results for the first three months of the year, we continue to expect core net operating earnings in 2017 to be between $6.20 and $6.70 per share. Our core earnings per share guidance assumes no change in the corporate tax rate of 35%, and excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.”

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

Operating earnings in AFG’s P&C Insurance Segment were $169 million in the first quarter of 2017, compared to $158 million in the prior year period, an increase of $11 million. Higher P&C investment income and lower other expenses (primarily due to the noncontrolling interests in National Interstate in the first quarter of 2016) and a first quarter 2017 gain on the sale of real estate, more than offset lower Specialty P&C underwriting profit.

 

Page 2


The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $79 million in the 2017 first quarter, compared to $86 million in the first quarter of 2016, a decrease of 8%. Higher underwriting profit in our Property and Transportation Group was more than offset by lower underwriting profit in our Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups.

The first quarter 2017 combined ratio of 92.2% increased 0.9% from the prior year period. First quarter 2017 results include 2.8 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 2.7 points of favorable development in the comparable prior year period. Catastrophe losses were 0.7 points of the combined ratio in the first quarter of 2017, primarily due to storms and tornadoes in several regions of the United States. By comparison, catastrophe losses added 0.8 points in the prior year period. Overall renewal pricing was flat during the quarter.

Gross and net written premiums were up 7% and 5%, respectively, in the 2017 first quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier, with growth reported in each of our Specialty P&C groups. Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $43 million in the first quarter of 2017 compared to $32 million in the first quarter of 2016. Higher underwriting profits in our agricultural, property & inland marine and transportation businesses contributed to these results. Catastrophe losses in this group were $5 million in the first quarter of 2017 compared to $6 million in the 2016 first quarter.

First quarter 2017 gross and net written premiums in this group were 5% and 4% higher, respectively, than the comparable prior year period. The growth in gross written premiums is primarily attributable to our transportation, property & inland marine and Singapore branch operations. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 3% in the first quarter of 2017.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported an underwriting profit of $15 million in the first quarter of 2017 compared to $29 million in the comparable 2016 period. Higher profitability in our workers’ compensation businesses and slightly improved year-over-year results in Neon were more than offset by lower year-over-year profitability in our targeted markets, executive liability, and excess and surplus lines businesses. Catastrophe losses for this group were $1 million in both the first quarters of 2017 and 2016.

Gross and net written premiums for the first quarter of 2017 were up 7% and 4%, respectively, compared to the same period in 2016. Higher premiums in our workers’ compensation businesses, primarily the result of rate increases in the state of Florida, and higher premiums in our targeted markets businesses were partially offset by lower premiums in our excess and surplus lines operations. The decline in excess and surplus premiums was primarily the result of tougher underwriting standards related to our New York contractors business. Neon net written premiums were lower year-over-year as a result of Neon’s 2017 reinsurance placements, which were significantly higher in the 2017 first quarter compared to the year ago quarter, when placements were delayed pending the completion of last year’s business restructuring. Renewal pricing for this group was flat during the first quarter.

The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $22 million in the first quarter of 2017, compared to $23 million in the comparable 2016 period. The decrease was driven primarily by lower underwriting profitability in our financial institutions business, which was partially offset by higher underwriting profits in our fidelity and surety businesses.

First quarter 2017 gross and net written premiums were up 12% and 13%, respectively, when compared to the prior year period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our financial institutions and surety businesses. Pricing in this group was down approximately 4% for the quarter.

 

Page 3


Carl Lindner III noted, “I’m pleased with the strong overall underwriting margins and growth our Specialty P&C Group reported in the first quarter. Based on results during the first three months of the year, we continue to expect an overall 2017 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94%. We now estimate net written premium growth to be between 3% and 7%, an increase from our original estimate of 2% to 6%.”

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Annuity Segment

As shown in the following table, AFG’s Annuity Segment reported $96 million in pretax operating earnings in the first quarter of 2017 compared to $53 million in the first quarter of 2016. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) were $98 million in the first quarter of 2017, a 17% increase from the first quarter of 2016.

 

Components of Annuity Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 
     Three months ended
March 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
In millions    2017      2016         

Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs

   $ 98      $ 84        17

Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs

     (2      (31      nm  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Pretax annuity operating earnings

   $ 96      $ 53        81
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – AFG’s first quarter 2017 earnings and spreads benefited from the positive impact of certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings. In addition, AFG’s quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew approximately 11% and 12%, respectively, year-over-year; the benefit of this growth was partially offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments.

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Variances from expectations of certain items (such as projected interest rates, option costs and surrenders), as well as changes in the stock market, have an impact on the accounting for FIAs; these accounting adjustments are recognized through AFG’s reported core earnings. Many of these adjustments are not economic in nature, but rather impact the timing of reported results. During the first quarter of 2017, the benefit of a higher stock market was offset by slightly lower interest rates, resulting in a $2 million unfavorable impact to annuity operating earnings. In comparison, during the first quarter of 2016, a significant decrease (40-45 basis points) in interest rates resulted in an unfavorable impact on earnings of $31 million. These impacts are included within the “Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs” amounts shown in the table above.

Annuity Premiums – AFG’s Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $1.3 billion in the first quarter of 2017, virtually unchanged from the prior year period. Higher premiums in the financial institutions channel more than offset lower premiums in the retail channel. By comparison, premiums reported in the first quarter of 2016 reflected an uptick in sales, which occurred in advance of the effective date of rate decreases announced in early 2016. Management believes AFG’s continued strong premium production in 2017 reflects new products, additional staffing, and increased market share within existing financial institutions, offset in part by uncertainty about the effective date of the Department of Labor (DOL) rule.

Craig Lindner stated, “I am pleased that 2017 is off to a strong start for the Annuity Segment. Our investment skills, coupled with disciplined product pricing and a continued commitment to consumer-friendly products position us especially well in the current market environment. Our original estimate for 2017 pretax annuity operating earnings remains unchanged and is in the range of $375 to $395 million. AFG’s original annuity premium guidance of flat to down 10% contemplated an April 2017 implementation of the DOL rule. As a result of the 60 day delay of the Rule’s implementation, and based on the level of premiums sold to date in 2017, we now expect that 2017 full year annuity premiums will be flat to up 10% compared to the $4.4 billion sold in 2016.

 

Page 4


“Fluctuations in the returns on investments that are required to be marked to market, or large changes in interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results.”

Department of Labor (DOL) Rule – As noted earlier, on April 4, 2017 the DOL released a rule delaying the April 10, 2017 applicability date of the Fiduciary Rule to June 9, 2017, and further delayed certain requirements until January 1, 2018. As a result, insurance-only agents will be able to continue selling fixed-indexed annuities through the end of 2017, provided the agent acts in the customer’s best interest and receives only reasonable compensation. While AFG’s management continues to believe the adjustments required of the Company and its distribution partners to comply with the rule will impact annuity premiums, management does not believe the new rule will have a material impact on AFG’s results of operations.

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Investments

AFG recorded first quarter 2017 net realized gains on securities of $2 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to net realized losses of $10 million in the comparable 2016 period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $384 million after tax and after DAC at March 31, 2017, an increase of $78 million since year end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 89% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1or 2, its highest two categories.

For the three months ended March 31, 2017, P&C net investment income was approximately 4% higher than the comparable 2016 period.

In March 2017, AFG sold a hotel property in Cincinnati that was owned and managed by a subsidiary of Great American Insurance Company. AFG recognized an after-tax gain of $7 million on the sale, which is recorded as “Other Income” and is included in Specialty P&C core operating earnings.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets over $55 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

 

Page 5


Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy (including those associated with the United Kingdom’s expected withdrawal from the European Union, or “Brexit”) relating to AFG’s international operations; and other factors identified in AFG’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2017 first quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Thursday, May 4, 2017. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 4979991. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on May 11, 2017. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 4979991.

The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFG’s website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.

The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until May 11, 2017 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

 

Page 6


Contact:

Diane P. Weidner

Asst. Vice President – Investor Relations

(513) 369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG17-07

 

Page 7


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2017      2016  

Revenues

     

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,022      $ 998  

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     6        6  

Net investment income

     435        411  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     3        (18

Income (loss) of managed investment entities:

     

Investment income

     51        45  

Loss on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     —          (13

Other income

     59        46  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total revenues

     1,576        1,475  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

     

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     948        915  

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     258        272  

Interest charges on borrowed money

     21        18  

Expenses of managed investment entities

     41        35  

Other expenses

     85        79  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,353        1,319  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     223        156  

Provision for income taxes(b)

     68        52  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     155        104  

Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     2        3  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 153      $ 101  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per Common Share

   $ 1.72      $ 1.14  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     89.3        88.5  
     March 31,      December 31,  
Selected Balance Sheet Data:    2017      2016  

Total cash and investments

   $ 43,350      $ 41,433  

Long-term debt

   $ 1,283      $ 1,283  

Shareholders’ equity(c)

   $ 5,191      $ 4,916  

Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(c)

   $ 4,815      $ 4,617  

Book value per share

   $ 59.26      $ 56.55  

Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)

   $ 54.98      $ 53.11  

Common Shares Outstanding

     87.6        86.9  

Footnotes (b) and (c) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2017     2016        

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,324     $ 1,243       7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,027     $ 979       5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

      

Loss & LAE ratio

     59.5     58.3  

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     33.0  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     92.2     91.3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio – P&C Segment

     92.3     91.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(d)

      

Gross Written Premiums:

      

Property & Transportation

   $ 416     $ 398       5

Specialty Casualty

     744       698       7

Specialty Financial

     164       147       12
  

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,324     $ 1,243       7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

      

Property & Transportation

   $ 324     $ 311       4

Specialty Casualty

     540       519       4

Specialty Financial

     141       125       13

Other

     22       24       (8 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,027     $ 979       5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

      

Property & Transportation

     87.3     90.6  

Specialty Casualty

     97.0     94.3  

Specialty Financial

     85.0     82.6  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     92.2     91.3  

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2017      2016  

Reserve Development (Favorable) / Adverse:

     

Property & Transportation

   $ (17    $ (17

Specialty Casualty

     (6      (4

Specialty Financial

     (9      (4

Other

     3        (2
  

 

 

    

 

 

 
   $ (29    $ (27
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

     

Property & Transportation

     (4.8      (5.2

Specialty Casualty

     (1.1      (0.7

Specialty Financial

     (6.4      (3.3

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (2.8      (2.7

Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2017      2016         

Annuity Premiums:

        

Financial Institutions

   $ 749      $ 653        15

Retail

     489        566        (14 %) 

Education Market

     45        57        (21 %) 

Variable Annuities

     7        9        (22 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 1,290      $ 1,285        —  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Components of Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2017      2016         

Revenues:

        

Net investment income

   $ 347      $ 315        10

Other income

     27        26        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total revenues

     374        341        10

Costs and Expenses:

        

Annuity benefits

     196        228        (14 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     52        34        53

Other expenses

     30        26        15
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total costs and expenses

     278        288        (3 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 96      $ 53        81
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2017     2016        

Operating earnings before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs

   $ 98     $ 84       17

Impact of fair value accounting

     (2     (31     nm  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 96     $ 53       81
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

Average fixed annuity reserves*

   $ 30,183     $ 26,935       12

Net interest spread*

     2.58     2.54  

Net spread earned before impact of fair value accounting*

     1.31     1.20  

Net spread earned after impact of fair value accounting*

     1.28     0.74  

 

* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
March 31,
 
     2017      2016  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

     

P&C insurance segment

   $ 169      $ 158  

Annuity segment, before impact of fair value accounting

     98        84  

Impact of fair value accounting

     (2      (31

Run-off long-term care and life segment

     —          (1

Interest & other corporate expense

     (47      (40
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     218        170  

Related income taxes

     67        59  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 151      $ 111  
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

b) Excluding the significant tax benefit related to stock-based compensation in the first quarter of 2017, AFG’s effective tax rate was 33%.

 

c) Shareholders’ Equity at March 31, 2017 includes $384 million ($4.38 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $8 million ($0.10 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholder’s Equity at December 31, 2016 includes $306 million ($3.52 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $7 million ($0.08 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges.

 

d) Supplemental Notes:

 

    Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages.

 

    Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

    Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for leasing and financing institutions (including collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

    Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 11

EX-99.2 3 d367876dex992.htm INVESTOR SUPPLEMENT Investor Supplement

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO               

American Financial Group, Inc.

 

 

Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2017

 

 

May 3, 2017

 

  American Financial Group, Inc.
  Corporate Headquarters
  Great American Insurance Group Tower
  301 E Fourth Street
  Cincinnati, OH 45202
  513 579 6739


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2017

   LOGO

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2017

     2  

Financial Highlights

     3  

Summary of Earnings

     4  

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5  

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6  

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7  

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8  

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9  

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10  

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11  

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12  

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     13  

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     14  

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

     15  

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     16  

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     17  

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     18  

Capitalization

     19  

Additional Supplemental Information

     20  

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments

     21  

Net Investment Income

     22  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     23  

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     24  

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

     25  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     26  

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     27  

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

     28  

Appendix

  

A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

     29  

 

Page 2


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Financial Highlights  
(in millions, except per share information)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Highlights

              

Net earnings

   $ 153     $ 385     $ 109     $ 54     $ 101     $ 649     $ 352  

Core net operating earnings

     151       176       134       113       111       534       486  

Total assets

     57,464       55,072       54,845       52,733       51,038       55,072       49,837  

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     4,815       4,617       4,487       4,356       4,325       4,617       4,313  

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,027       1,083       1,268       1,056       979       4,386       4,327  

Annuity statutory premiums

     1,290       1,111       941       1,098       1,285       4,435       4,140  

Per share data

              

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 1.72     $ 4.33     $ 1.23     $ 0.62     $ 1.14     $ 7.33     $ 3.94  

Core net operating earnings per share

     1.69       1.98       1.51       1.28       1.25       6.03       5.44  

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     54.98       53.11       51.68       50.16       49.72       53.11       49.32  

Cash dividends per common share

     0.3125       1.3125       0.2800       0.2800       0.2800       2.1525       2.0300  

Financial ratios

              

Annualized return on equity (b)

     13.3     34.4     9.9     5.1     9.4     14.8     8.3

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     13.1     15.7     12.2     10.5     10.3     12.2     11.5

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.2     58.3     61.7     62.2

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     26.7     30.3     32.7     33.0     30.6     30.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     92.2     90.4     93.2     93.9     91.3     92.3     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

              

Net interest spread

     2.58     2.70     2.85     2.84     2.54     2.73     2.69

Net spread earned:

              

Before impact of fair value accounting

     1.31     1.42     1.46     1.45     1.20     1.39     1.35

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

     (0.03 %)      0.40     0.01     (0.37 %)      (0.46 %)      (0.10 %)      (0.09 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting

     1.28     1.82     1.47     1.08     0.74     1.29     1.26
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 18.
(b) Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income.
(c) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 3


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Summary of Earnings  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months
Ended
 
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 78     $ 110     $ 78     $ 62     $ 87     $ 337     $ 292  

Net investment income

     86       85       93       89       83       350       319  

Other income (expense)

     5       (15     (18     (12     (12     (57     (45
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     169       180       153       139       158       630       566  

Annuity earnings

     96       132       107       76       53       368       331  

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life earnings

     —         2       1       —         (1     2       14  

Interest expense of parent holding companies (a)

     (21     (21     (19     (19     (18     (77     (73

Other expense (a)

     (26     (29     (29     (19     (22     (99     (89
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

     218       264       213       177       170       824       749  

Income tax expense

     67       88       79       64       59       290       263  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     151       176       134       113       111       534       486  

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     2       32       1       (10     (10     13       (12

Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     —         —         —         1       —         1       (104

Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties

     —         —         —         15       —         15       36  

Special A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —         —         (23     —         —         (23     (44

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —         —         (3     —         —         (3     (8

Neon exited lines charge

     —         —         —         (65     —         (65     —    

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

     —         66       —         —         —         66       —    

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     —         111       —         —         —         111       —    

Other

     —         —         —         —         —         —         (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 153     $ 385     $ 109     $ 54     $ 101     $ 649     $ 352  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) December 2015 has been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 4


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Earnings Per Share Summary  
(in millions, except per share information)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17      12/31/16      09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 151      $ 176      $ 134     $ 113     $ 111     $ 534     $ 486  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 153      $ 385      $ 109     $ 54     $ 101     $ 649     $ 352  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     89.342        88.774        88.461       88.390       88.495       88.530       89.362  

Diluted earnings per share:

                

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 1.69      $ 1.98      $ 1.51     $ 1.28     $ 1.25     $ 6.03     $ 5.44  

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     0.03        0.36        0.02       (0.11     (0.11     0.16       (0.12

Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     —          —          —         0.01       —         0.01       (1.17

Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties

     —          —          —         0.17       —         0.17       0.40  

Special A&E charges:

                

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —          —          (0.26     —         —         (0.26     (0.49

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —          —          (0.04     —         —         (0.04     (0.09

Neon exited lines charge

     —          —          —         (0.73     —         (0.73     —    

Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger

     —          0.74        —         —         —         0.74       —    

Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring

     —          1.25        —         —         —         1.25       —    

Other

     —          —          —         —         —         —         (0.03
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 1.72      $ 4.33      $ 1.23     $ 0.62     $ 1.14     $ 7.33     $ 3.94  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 5


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Property and Transportation

   $ 43     $ 75     $ 44     $ 15     $ 32     $ 166     $ 48  

Specialty Casualty

     15       13       13       23       29       78       146  

Specialty Financial

     22       20       19       22       23       84       87  

Other Specialty

     (1     2       2       3       2       9       14  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

     79       110       78       63       86       337       295  

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

     1       —         —         1       (1     —         3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

     78       110       78       62       87       337       292  

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     —         —         (36     —         —         (36     (67

Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE

     —         —         —         (57     —         (57     —    

Neon exited lines charge, included in underwriting expenses

     —         —         —         (8     —         (8     —    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 78     $ 110     $ 42     $ (3   $ 87     $ 236     $ 225  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     7       12       14       21       8       55       35  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 7     $ 12     $ 14     $ 21     $ 8     $ 55     $ 35  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (28   $ 10     $ 22     $ 28     $ (28   $ 32     $ 33  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     87.3     83.9     91.1     95.9     90.6     90.0     96.9

Specialty Casualty

     97.0     97.4     97.4     95.3     94.3     96.1     92.7

Specialty Financial

     85.0     86.0     86.4     84.4     82.6     84.9     83.1

Other Specialty

     105.8     94.9     91.5     89.2     89.7     91.4     85.5

Combined ratio - Specialty

     92.2     90.4     93.2     93.9     91.3     92.3     93.1

Other core charges

     0.1     0.0     0.1     0.1     (0.1 %)      (0.1 %)      0.0

Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE

     0.0     0.0     0.0     5.5     0.0     1.3     0.0

Neon exited lines charge, underwriting expenses

     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.8     0.0     0.2     0.0

Special A&E charges

     0.0     0.0     3.0     0.0     0.0     0.8     1.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     92.3     90.4     96.3     100.3     91.2     94.5     94.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.3     88.4     93.1     94.8     93.2     92.4     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     61.6     61.7     62.8     62.1     60.2     61.8     62.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.7 %)      0.9     2.0     2.7     (2.8 %)      0.7     0.8

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.7     1.1     1.2     2.0     0.8     1.3     0.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.6     63.7     66.0     66.8     58.2     63.8     63.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 6


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,324     $ 1,441     $ 1,899     $ 1,398     $ 1,243     $ 5,981     $ 5,832  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (297     (358     (631     (342     (264     (1,595     (1,505
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,027       1,083       1,268       1,056       979       4,386       4,327  

Change in unearned premiums

     (5     61       (109     (29     19       (58     (103
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,022       1,144       1,159       1,027       998       4,328       4,224  

Loss and LAE

     608       729       729       629       582       2,669       2,625  

Underwriting expense

     335       305       352       335       330       1,322       1,304  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 79     $ 110     $ 78     $ 63     $ 86     $ 337     $ 295  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     7       12       14       21       8       55       35  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 7     $ 12     $ 14     $ 21     $ 8     $ 55     $ 35  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (29   $ 10     $ (14   $ (30   $ (27   $ (61   $ (37
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.2     58.3     61.7     62.2

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     26.7     30.3     32.7     33.0     30.6     30.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     92.2     90.4     93.2     93.9     91.3     92.3     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.3     88.4     93.1     94.8     93.2     92.4     93.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     61.6     61.7     62.8     62.1     60.2     61.8     62.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.8 %)      0.9     (1.1 %)      (2.9 %)      (2.7 %)      (1.4 %)      (0.8 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.7     1.1     1.2     2.0     0.8     1.3     0.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     59.5     63.7     62.9     61.2     58.3     61.7     62.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 7


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 416     $ 577     $ 991     $ 538     $ 398     $ 2,504     $ 2,455  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (92     (183     (406     (156     (87     (832     (819
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     324       394       585       382       311       1,672       1,636  

Change in unearned premiums

     18       71       (92     (17     28       (10     (37
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     342       465       493       365       339       1,662       1,599  

Loss and LAE

     208       319       339       245       211       1,114       1,159  

Underwriting expense

     91       71       110       105       96       382       392  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 43     $ 75     $ 44     $ 15     $ 32     $ 166     $ 48  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     5       6       7       12       6       31       21  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 5     $ 6     $ 7     $ 12     $ 6     $ 31     $ 21  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (17   $ 13     $ (5   $ (12   $ (17   $ (21   $ 15  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     60.8     68.6     68.8     67.0     62.2     67.0     72.4

Underwriting expense ratio

     26.5     15.3     22.3     28.9     28.4     23.0     24.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     87.3     83.9     91.1     95.9     90.6     90.0     96.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     90.7     79.7     90.7     95.8     94.1     89.3     94.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     64.2     64.4     68.4     66.9     65.7     66.3     70.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.8 %)      3.0     (1.2 %)      (3.2 %)      (5.2 %)      (1.2 %)      0.9

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     1.4     1.2     1.6     3.3     1.7     1.9     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     60.8     68.6     68.8     67.0     62.2     67.0     72.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 8


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 744     $ 684     $ 722     $ 688     $ 698     $ 2,792     $ 2,739  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (204     (174     (218     (185     (179     (756     (687
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     540       510       504       503       519       2,036       2,052  

Change in unearned premiums

     (32     —         (7     (6     (17     (30     (41
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     508       510       497       497       502       2,006       2,011  

Loss and LAE

     331       348       330       329       313       1,320       1,265  

Underwriting expense

     162       149       154       145       160       608       600  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 15     $ 13     $ 13     $ 23     $ 29     $ 78     $ 146  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     1       4       2       3       1       10       4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1     $ 4     $ 2     $ 3     $ 1     $ 10     $ 4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (6   $ 3     $ (2   $ (10   $ (4   $ (13   $ (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     65.2     68.2     66.5     66.1     62.4     65.8     62.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     31.8     29.2     30.9     29.2     31.9     30.3     29.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     97.0     97.4     97.4     95.3     94.3     96.1     92.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     97.9     96.1     97.4     96.6     94.9     96.3     93.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     66.1     66.9     66.5     67.4     63.0     66.0     63.2

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (1.1 %)      0.5     (0.3 %)      (2.0 %)      (0.7 %)      (0.7 %)      (0.5 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.2     0.8     0.3     0.7     0.1     0.5     0.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     65.2     68.2     66.5     66.1     62.4     65.8     62.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 9


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 164     $ 180     $ 186     $ 172     $ 147     $ 685     $ 637  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (23     (26     (37     (28     (22     (113     (97
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     141       154       149       144       125       572       540  

Change in unearned premiums

     6       (13     (4     (5     7       (15     (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     147       141       145       139       132       557       517  

Loss and LAE

     52       46       45       42       45       178       154  

Underwriting expense

     73       75       81       75       64       295       276  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 22     $ 20     $ 19     $ 22     $ 23     $ 84     $ 87  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     1       2       5       3       1       11       9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1     $ 2     $ 5     $ 3     $ 1     $ 11     $ 9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (9   $ (6   $ (6   $ (7   $ (4   $ (23   $ (30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     35.6     32.4     31.6     30.1     34.0     32.0     29.7

Underwriting expense ratio

     49.4     53.6     54.8     54.3     48.6     52.9     53.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     85.0     86.0     86.4     84.4     82.6     84.9     83.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     90.6     88.8     87.0     87.0     84.8     86.9     87.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     41.2     35.2     32.2     32.7     36.2     34.0     33.7

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (6.4 %)      (4.5 %)      (3.9 %)      (4.6 %)      (3.3 %)      (4.0 %)      (5.7 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.8     1.7     3.3     2.0     1.1     2.0     1.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     35.6     32.4     31.6     30.1     34.0     32.0     29.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 10


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 1  

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     22       25       30       27       24       106       98  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     22       25       30       27       24       106       99  

Change in unearned premiums

     3       3       (6     (1     1       (3     (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     25       28       24       26       25       103       97  

Loss and LAE

     17       16       15       13       13       57       47  

Underwriting expense

     9       10       7       10       10       37       36  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ (1   $ 2     $ 2     $ 3     $ 2     $ 9     $ 14  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    

Catastrophe loss

     —         —         —         3       —         3       1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ 3     $ —       $ 3     $ 1  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 3     $ —       $ (1   $ (1   $ (2   $ (4   $ (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     68.0     59.5     55.2     52.5     52.1     54.9     49.4

Underwriting expense ratio

     37.8     35.4     36.3     36.7     37.6     36.5     36.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     105.8     94.9     91.5     89.2     89.7     91.4     85.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     93.4     93.7     95.1     86.4     96.0     92.8     96.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 11


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Annuity Earnings (GAAP)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16      09/30/16      06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Net investment income

   $ 347     $ 346      $ 351      $ 344     $ 315     $ 1,356     $ 1,224  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     14       14        14        13       12       53       43  

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     13       13        12        11       14       50       55  
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     374       373        377        368       341       1,459       1,322  

Annuity benefits expense

     196       160        189        223       228       800       732  

Acquisition expenses

     52       54        53        40       34       181       163  

Other expenses

     30       27        28        29       26       110       96  
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     278       241        270        292       288       1,091       991  
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 96     $ 132      $ 107      $ 76     $ 53     $ 368     $ 331  
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes

                

Earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting

   $ 98     $ 103      $ 106      $ 102     $ 84     $ 395     $ 354  

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     (2     29        1        (26     (31     (27     (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 96     $ 132      $ 107      $ 76     $ 53     $ 368     $ 331  
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 12


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16      12/31/16     12/31/15  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

               

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 152     $ 148     $ 145     $ 142     $ 139      $ 574     $ 532  

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     1       1       1       2       1        5       6  

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     4       4       5       4       5        18       19  

Amortization of sales inducements

     6       7       6       6       5        24       26  

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve

     16       20       18       15       16        69       63  

Change in other benefit reserves

     11       11       10       8       5        34       22  

Unlockings (a)

     —         23       —         —         —          23       19  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     190       214       185       177       171        747       687  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b)

     147       6       109       62       17        194       (11

Equity option mark-to-market

     (141     (60     (105     (16     40        (141     56  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of fair value accounting

     6       (54     4       46       57        53       45  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 196     $ 160     $ 189     $ 223     $ 228      $ 800     $ 732  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $24 million in 2016 and $29 million in 2015 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses and other income. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $1 million in 2016 and $10 million in 2015.
(b) Excludes unlocking impact of $17 million in 2016 and $28 million in 2015.

 

Page 13


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost)

   $ 30,055     $ 29,192     $ 28,548     $ 27,964     $ 27,186     $ 28,223     $ 25,174  

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     30,183       29,250       28,538       27,861       26,935       28,146       24,898  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ (128   $ (58   $ 10     $ 103     $ 251     $ 77     $ 276  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.59     4.72     4.88     4.88     4.60     4.77     4.83

Interest credited

     (2.01 %)      (2.02 %)      (2.03 %)      (2.04 %)      (2.06 %)      (2.04 %)      (2.14 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.58     2.70     2.85     2.84     2.54     2.73     2.69

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.14     0.15     0.14     0.13     0.16     0.15     0.18

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.31 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.30 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.35 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.67 %)      (1.06 %)      (0.72 %)      (0.55 %)      (0.47 %)      (0.70 %)      (0.74 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.38 %)      (0.35 %)      (0.39 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.36 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.08 %)      0.73     (0.05 %)      (0.66 %)      (0.84 %)      (0.19 %)      (0.18 %) 

Unlockings

     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.28     1.82     1.47     1.08     0.74     1.29     1.26
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 30,183     $ 29,250     $ 28,538     $ 27,861     $ 26,935     $ 28,146     $ 24,898  

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.28     1.82     1.47     1.08     0.74     1.29     1.26
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 96     $ 133     $ 105     $ 75     $ 50     $ 363     $ 313  

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ (128   $ (58   $ 10     $ 103     $ 251     $ 77     $ 276  

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.59     4.72     4.88     4.88     4.60     4.77     4.83
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ (1   $ —       $ —       $ 1     $ 3     $ 4     $ 13  

Variable annuity earnings

     1       (1     2       —         —         1       5  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 96     $ 132     $ 107     $ 76     $ 53     $ 368     $ 331  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities - core

              

Net spread earned core - before impact of fair value accounting

     1.31     1.42     1.46     1.45     1.20     1.39     1.35

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.08 %)      0.73     (0.05 %)      (0.66 %)      (0.84 %)      (0.19 %)      (0.18 %) 

Estimated net offsets to deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs

     0.05     (0.33 %)      0.06     0.29     0.38     0.09     0.09
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned core - after impact of fair value accounting

     1.28     1.82     1.47     1.08     0.74     1.29     1.26
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 14


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Annuity Premiums (Statutory)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17      12/31/16      09/30/16      06/30/16      03/31/16      12/31/16      12/31/15  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 469      $ 415      $ 340      $ 413      $ 546      $ 1,714      $ 1,864  

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     20        22        18        22        20        82        70  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     487        474        435        507        534        1,950        1,741  

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     262        152        97        100        119        468        229  

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     45        40        42        45        57        184        194  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     1,283        1,103        932        1,087        1,276        4,398        4,098  

Variable annuities

     7        8        9        11        9        37        42  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 1,290      $ 1,111      $ 941      $ 1,098      $ 1,285      $ 4,435      $ 4,140  
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 15


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)  
($ in millions)  

 

     Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
     03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 29,647     $ 28,853     $ 28,222     $ 27,499     $ 26,371     $ 26,371     $ 23,462  

Premiums

     1,283       1,103       932       1,087       1,276       4,398       4,098  

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     —         —         —         —         150       150       345  

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (539     (524     (586     (596     (483     (2,189     (1,932

Sale of subsidiaries

     —         —         —         —         —         —         (261

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     152       148       145       142       139       574       532  

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     147       6       109       62       17       194       (11

Change in other benefit reserves

     29       34       31       28       29       122       115  

Unlockings

     —         27       —         —         —         27       23  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 30,719     $ 29,647     $ 28,853     $ 28,222     $ 27,499     $ 29,647     $ 26,371  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 30,719     $ 29,647     $ 28,853     $ 28,222     $ 27,499     $ 29,647     $ 26,371  

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     100       76       180       188       127       76       64  

Fixed component of variable annuities

     183       184       189       186       186       184       187  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 31,002     $ 29,907     $ 29,222     $ 28,596     $ 27,812     $ 29,907     $ 26,622  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     7.3     7.3     8.3     8.7     7.3     8.3     8.2

 

Page 16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15  

Assets:

           

Total cash and investments

  $ 43,350     $ 41,433     $ 41,805     $ 40,639     $ 39,437     $ 37,736  

Recoverables from reinsurers

    2,735       2,737       2,814       2,576       2,561       2,636  

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

    533       539       634       521       475       480  

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

    989       997       1,029       992       936       937  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

    1,205       1,239       867       881       1,055       1,184  

Assets of managed investment entities

    5,331       4,765       4,312       4,410       3,906       4,047  

Other receivables

    875       908       1,391       788       693       820  

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

    614       600       606       595       595       608  

Other assets (a)

    1,633       1,655       1,188       1,132       1,181       1,190  

Goodwill

    199       199       199       199       199       199  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

  $ 57,464     $ 55,072     $ 54,845     $ 52,733     $ 51,038     $ 49,837  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

           

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

  $ 8,621     $ 8,563     $ 8,661     $ 8,203     $ 8,108     $ 8,127  

Unearned premiums

    2,174       2,171       2,328       2,109       2,051       2,060  

Annuity benefits accumulated

    31,002       29,907       29,222       28,596       27,812       26,622  

Life, accident and health reserves

    687       691       700       702       708       705  

Payable to reinsurers

    621       634       835       588       501       591  

Liabilities of managed investment entities

    5,101       4,549       4,067       4,192       3,656       3,781  

Long-term debt (a)

    1,283       1,283       1,300       998       998       998  

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

    614       600       606       595       595       608  

Other liabilities

    2,166       1,755       1,768       1,557       1,672       1,575  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

  $ 52,269     $ 50,153     $ 49,487     $ 47,540     $ 46,101     $ 45,067  

Shareholders’ equity:

           

Common stock

  $ 88     $ 87     $ 87     $ 87     $ 87     $ 87  

Capital surplus

    1,138       1,111       1,242       1,228       1,218       1,214  

Unappropriated retained earnings

    3,466       3,343       3,079       3,016       3,002       2,987  

Unrealized gains—equities

    145       98       103       46       40       54  

Unrealized gains—fixed maturities

    384       306       669       639       426       278  

Unrealized gains (losses)—fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges

    (8     (7     5       5       4       1  

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

    (22     (22     (24     (21     (22     (29
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

    5,191       4,916       5,161       5,000       4,755       4,592  

Noncontrolling interests

    4       3       197       193       182       178  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

  $ 57,464     $ 55,072     $ 54,845     $ 52,733     $ 51,038     $ 49,837  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) December 2015 has been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15  

Shareholders’ equity

  $ 5,191     $ 4,916     $ 5,161     $ 5,000     $ 4,755     $ 4,592  

Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities

    (376     (299     (674     (644     (430     (279
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

    4,815       4,617       4,487       4,356       4,325       4,313  

Goodwill

    (199     (199     (199     (199     (199     (199

Intangibles

    (32     (34     (44     (46     (47     (49
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

  $ 4,584     $ 4,384     $ 4,244     $ 4,111     $ 4,079     $ 4,065  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

    87.592       86.924       86.813       86.850       86.966       87.474  

Book value per share:

           

Book value per share

  $ 59.26     $ 56.55     $ 59.45     $ 57.57     $ 54.67     $ 52.50  

Adjusted (a)

    54.98       53.11       51.68       50.16       49.72       49.32  

Tangible, adjusted (b)

    52.34       50.43       48.89       47.34       46.90       46.49  

Market capitalization

           

AFG’s closing common share price

  $ 95.42     $ 88.12     $ 75.00     $ 73.93     $ 70.37     $ 72.08  

Market capitalization

  $ 8,358     $ 7,660     $ 6,511     $ 6,421     $ 6,120     $ 6,305  

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

    1.74       1.66       1.45       1.47       1.42       1.46  

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(b) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

Page 18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15  

AFG senior obligations (a)

  $ 1,008     $ 1,008     $ 1,008     $ 708     $ 708     $ 708  

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

    —         —         —         —         —         —    

Obligations of subsidiaries—other

    —         —         18       12       12       12  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

  $ 1,008     $ 1,008     $ 1,026     $ 720     $ 720     $ 720  

AFG subordinated debentures

    300       300       300       300       300       300  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total principal amount of long-term debt

  $ 1,308     $ 1,308     $ 1,326     $ 1,020     $ 1,020     $ 1,020  

Shareholders’ equity

    5,191       4,916       5,161       5,000       4,755       4,592  

Noncontrolling interests

    4       3       197       193       182       178  

Less:

           

Unrealized (gains)—fixed maturity investments

    (384     (306     (669     (639     (426     (278
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

  $ 6,119     $ 5,921     $ 6,015     $ 5,574     $ 5,531     $ 5,512  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

           

Including subordinated debt

    21.4     22.1     22.0     18.3     18.4     18.5

Excluding subordinated debt

    16.5     17.0     17.1     12.9     13.0     13.1

 

(a) December 2015 has been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

    Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance

             

Paid Losses (GAAP)

  $ 554     $ 683     $ 537     $ 586     $ 547     $ 2,353     $ 2,403  

 

    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15  

Statutory Surplus

           

Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 3,013     $ 2,939     $ 3,038     $ 2,601     $ 2,574     $ 2,488  

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

  $ 2,341     $ 2,234     $ 2,216     $ 2,089     $ 2,032     $ 1,918  

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

           

Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 496     $ 496     $ 434     $ 434     $ 434     $ 434  

Annuity and Run-off

    197       197       375       375       375       375  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 693     $ 693     $ 809     $ 809     $ 809     $ 809  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

    Carrying Value - March 31, 2017  
    Property and
Casualty
Insurance
    Annuity and
Run-off
    Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
    Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

           

Cash and cash equivalents

  $ 1,106     $ 562     $ 222     $ —       $ 1,890       4

Fixed maturities—Available for sale

    7,069       29,373       14       —         36,456       84

Fixed maturities—Trading

    242       117       —         —         359       1

Equity securities

    1,061       524       52       —         1,637       4

Policy loans

    —         190       —         —         190       0

Mortgage loans

    260       899       —         —         1,159       3

Equity index call options

    —         573       —         —         573       1

Real estate and other investments

    507       761       47       (229     1,086       3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

  $ 10,245     $ 32,999     $ 335     $ (229   $ 43,350       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

  $ 147     $ 76     $ —       $ —       $ 223    
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   
    Carrying Value - December 31, 2016  
    Property and
Casualty
Insurance
    Annuity and
Run-off
    Parent and
Other Non-
Insurance
    Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

           

Cash and cash equivalents

  $ 1,383     $ 511     $ 213     $ —       $ 2,107       5

Fixed maturities—Available for sale

    6,510       28,021       13       —         34,544       83

Fixed maturities—Trading

    242       117       —         —         359       1

Equity securities

    1,013       496       49       —         1,558       4

Policy loans

    —         192       —         —         192       0

Mortgage loans

    261       886       —         —         1,147       3

Equity index call options

    —         492       —         —         492       1

Real estate and other investments

    497       705       48       (216     1,034       3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

  $ 9,906     $ 31,420     $ 323     $ (216   $ 41,433       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

  $ 102     $ 49     $ —       $ —       $ 151    
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

Page 21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

    Three Months Ended     Twelve Months Ended  
    03/31/17     12/31/16     09/30/16     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/16     12/31/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

             

Gross Investment Income

             

Fixed maturities—Available for sale

  $ 63     $ 64     $ 63     $ 66     $ 64     $ 257     $ 248  

Fixed maturities—Trading

    1       (1     2       1       1       3       4  

Equity securities

    14       13       13       12       13       51       48  

Equity in investees

    4       7       7       2       6       22       11  

Other investments

    6       6       10       10       1       27       16  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

    88       89       95       91       85       360       327  

Investment expenses

    (2     (4     (2     (2     (2     (10     (8
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

  $ 86     $ 85     $ 93     $ 89     $ 83     $ 350     $ 319  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

  $ 9,855     $ 9,779     $ 9,647     $ 9,465     $ 9,366     $ 9,550     $ 8,956  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

    3.49     3.48     3.86     3.76     3.54     3.66     3.56
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity:

             

Gross Investment Income

             

Fixed maturities—Available for sale

  $ 318     $ 315     $ 307     $ 307     $ 294     $ 1,223     $ 1,126  

Fixed maturities—Trading

    —         —         —         —         —         —         —    

Equity securities

    5       7       6       6       5       24       21  

Equity in investees

    6       6       9       2       5       22       16  

Other investments

    19       20       27       29       11       87       62  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

    348       348       349       344       315       1,356       1,225  

Investment expenses

    (3     (4     (1     (2     (3     (10     (10
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

  $ 345     $ 344     $ 348     $ 342     $ 312     $ 1,346     $ 1,215  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

  $ 30,055     $ 29,192     $ 28,548     $ 27,964     $ 27,186     $ 28,223     $ 25,174  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

    4.59     4.72     4.88     4.88     4.60     4.77     4.83
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG consolidated net investment income:

             

Property & Casualty

  $ 86     $ 85     $ 93     $ 89     $ 83     $ 350     $ 319  

Annuity and Run-off:

             

Fixed Annuity

    345       344       348       342       312       1,346       1,215  

Variable Annuity

    2       2       3       2       3       10       9  

Run-off

    5       6       5       5       5       21       80  

Other

    3       —         1       4       1       6       4  

Consolidate CLOs

    (6     (8     (17     (19     7       (37     6  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

  $ 435     $ 429     $ 433     $ 423     $ 411     $ 1,696     $ 1,633  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances.
(b) Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter.

 

Page 22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions )

  LOGO

 

March 31, 2017

  Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

  $ 320     $ 319     $ (1     1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    6,762       6,927       165       19     16

Foreign government

    265       270       5       1     0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    3,435       3,719       284       10     9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    1,211       1,253       42       3     3

Asset-backed securities

    6,549       6,593       44       18     15

Corporate and other bonds

    17,262       17,734       472       48     41
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

  $ 35,804     $ 36,815     $ 1,011       100     85
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

         

Excluding investment expense (a)

    4.47        

Net of investment expense (a)

    4.42        

Approximate average life and duration:

         

Approximate average life

    6.5 years          

Approximate duration

    5 years          

December 31, 2016

  Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

  $ 348     $ 348     $ —         1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    6,677       6,808       131       19     16

Foreign government

    256       261       5       1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    3,371       3,639       268       11     9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    1,446       1,493       47       4     3

Asset-backed securities

    5,962       5,959       (3     17     14

Corporate and other bonds

    16,034       16,395       361       47     40
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

  $ 34,094     $ 34,903     $ 809       100     84
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

         

Excluding investment expense (a)

    4.56        

Net of investment expense (a)

    4.48        

Approximate average life and duration:

         

Approximate average life

    6.5 years          

Approximate duration

    5 years          

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

Page 23


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio  

($ in millions)

 

 

    March 31, 2017     December 31, 2016  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
Property and Casualty Insurance:   Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

US Government and government agencies

  $ 269     $ 269     $ —         4   $ 295     $ 295     $ —         4

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    2,650       2,681       31       37     2,588       2,605       17       39

Foreign government

    253       257       4       3     245       249       4       4

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    990       1,041       51       14     980       1,026       46       15

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    125       128       3       2     142       144       2       2

Asset-backed securities

    1,593       1,594       1       22     1,445       1,440       (5     21

Corporate and other bonds

    1,320       1,341       21       18     976       993       17       15
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 7,200     $ 7,311     $ 111       100   $ 6,671     $ 6,752     $ 81       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    3.78           3.88      

Net of investment expense (a)

    3.66           3.67      

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

    4.17           4.20      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    4.5 years             4.5 years        

Approximate duration

    3.5 years             3.5 years        
    March 31, 2017     December 31, 2016  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
Annuity and Run-off:   Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

US Government and government agencies

  $ 50     $ 49     $ (1     0   $ 52     $ 52     $ —         0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    4,112       4,246       134       14     4,089       4,203       114       15

Foreign government

    12       13       1       0     11       12       1       0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    2,444       2,665       221       9     2,390       2,601       211       9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    1,086       1,125       39       4     1,304       1,349       45       5

Asset-backed securities

    4,956       4,999       43       17     4,517       4,519       2       16

Corporate and other bonds

    15,942       16,393       451       56     15,058       15,402       344       55
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

  $ 28,602     $ 29,490     $ 888       100   $ 27,421     $ 28,138     $ 717       100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    4.64           4.72      

Net of investment expense (a)

    4.60           4.67      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    6.5 years             6.5 years        

Approximate duration

    5 years             5 years        

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

Page 24


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating  

($ in millions)

 

 

     March 31, 2017  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,047      $ 6,125      $ 78        17

AA

     7,735        7,918        183        21

A

     8,594        8,799        205        24

BBB

     9,750        10,021        271        27
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Investment grade

     32,126        32,863        737        89

BB

     695        706        11        2

B

     424        426        2        1

Other (b)

     2,559        2,820        261        8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Non-Investment grade

     3,678        3,952        274        11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 35,804      $ 36,815      $ 1,011        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

           
     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,117      $ 6,189      $ 72        18

AA

     7,123        7,257        134        21

A

     8,323        8,487        164        24

BBB

     8,999        9,193        194        26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Investment grade

     30,562        31,126        564        89

BB

     687        695        8        2

B

     446        445        (1      1

Other (b)

     2,399        2,637        238        8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Non-Investment grade

     3,532        3,777        245        11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 34,094      $ 34,903      $ 809        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.
(b) See page 28 and 29 for more information.

 

Page 25


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated  

($ in millions)

 

 

                                % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     Investment  

March 31, 2017

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 237      $ 237      $ —          5     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,447        1,601        154        32     4

Alt-A

     1,108        1,196        88        24     3

Subprime

     643        685        42        14     2

Commercial

     1,211        1,253        42        25     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 4,646      $ 4,972      $ 326        100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

 

  The average amortized cost as a percent of par is—Prime 82%; Alt-A 79%; Subprime 86%; CMBS 99%.

 

  The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is—Prime 740; Alt-A 710; Subprime 641.

 

  97% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (81% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 37%.

 

  The approximate average life by collateral type is—Residential 4.5 years; Commercial 4.5 years.

 

                                % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     Investment  

December 31, 2016

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 243      $ 243      $ —          5     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,406        1,557        151        30     4

Alt-A

     1,093        1,170        77        23     3

Subprime

     629        669        40        13     2

Commercial

     1,446        1,493        47        29     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 4,817      $ 5,132      $ 315        100     11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 26


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio  

($ in millions)

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

   March 31, 2017  
     Amortized             Unrealized     % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 187      $ 186      $ (1     16     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     208        223        15       19     2

Alt-A

     336        359        23       31     4

Subprime

     259        273        14       23     3

Commercial

     125        128        3       11     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,115      $ 1,169      $ 54       100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized     % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 192      $ 191      $ (1     17     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     187        202        15       17     2

Alt-A

     342        361        19       31     4

Subprime

     259        272        13       23     3

Commercial

     142        144        2       12     1
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,122      $ 1,170      $ 48       100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off:

   March 31, 2017  
     Amortized             Unrealized     % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 50      $ 51      $ 1       1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,238        1,365        127       36     4

Alt-A

     772        837        65       22     3

Subprime

     384        412        28       11     1

Commercial

     1,086        1,125        39       30     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,530      $ 3,790      $ 260       100     11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized     % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

            

Agency

   $ 51      $ 52      $ 1       1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,218        1,343        125       34     4

Alt-A

     751        809        58       21     3

Subprime

     370        397        27       10     1

Commercial

     1,304        1,349        45       34     5
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,694      $ 3,950      $ 256       100     13
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 27


 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating  

($ in millions)

 

 

     March 31, 2017  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain
(Loss)
     Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,457      $ 1,502      $ 45        30

AA

     139        144        5        3

A

     242        253        11        5

BBB

     318        333        15        7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—investment grade

     2,156        2,232        76        45

BB

     219        220        1        5

B

     312        316        4        6

Other

     1,959        2,204        245        44
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 4,646      $ 4,972      $ 326        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

     December 31, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair
Value
     Gain (Loss)      Fair
Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 1,668      $ 1,720      $ 52        34

AA

     164        169        5        3

A

     256        268        12        5

BBB

     274        288        14        6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—investment grade

     2,362        2,445        83        48

BB

     211        212        1        4

B

     330        333        3        6

Other

     1,914        2,142        228        42
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 4,817      $ 5,132      $ 315        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 28


 

Appendix A

American Financial Group, Inc.

  LOGO
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type  

($ in millions)

 

 

     Fair Value - March 31, 2017  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                          

AAA

   $ 279      $ 1,797      $ 190      $ 492      $ 1,010      $ 2,140      $ 217      $ 6,125        17

AA

     40        4,484        30        116        28        1,895        1,325        7,918        21

A

     —          462        45        159        94        1,637        6,402        8,799        24

BBB

     —          67        5        253        80        826        8,790        10,021        27
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Investment grade

     319        6,810        270        1,020        1,212        6,498        16,734        32,863        89

BB

     —          4        —          204        16        13        469        706        2

B

     —          8        —          291        25        —          102        426        1

CCC, CC, C

     —          10        —          971        —          3        32        1,016        3

D

     —          —          —          714        —          —          —          714        2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Non-Investment grade

     —          22        —          2,180        41        16        603        2,862        8

Not Rated

     —          95        —          519        —          79        397        1,090        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 319      $ 6,927      $ 270      $ 3,719      $ 1,253      $ 6,593      $ 17,734      $ 36,815        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     Fair Value - December 31, 2016  

By Credit Rating (a)

   US Gov      Munis      Frgn gov      RMBS      CMBS      ABS      Corp/Oth      Total      % Total  

Investment grade

                          

AAA

   $ 299      $ 1,727      $ 171      $ 508      $ 1,213      $ 2,053      $ 218      $ 6,189        18

AA

     41        4,388        30        127        42        1,480        1,149        7,257        21

A

     —          501        55        170        98        1,593        6,070        8,487        24

BBB

     —          69        5        202        86        813        8,018        9,193        26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Investment grade

     340        6,685        261        1,007        1,439        5,939        15,455        31,126        88

BB

     —          4        —          184        29        16        462        695        2

B

     —          8        —          307        25        1        104        445        1

CCC, CC, C

     —          11        —          963        —          3        32        1,009        3

D

     —          —          —          679        —          —          —          679        2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal—Non-Investment grade

     —          23        —          2,133        54        20        598        2,828        8

Not Rated

     8        100        —          499        —          —          342        949        3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 348      $ 6,808      $ 261      $ 3,639      $ 1,493      $ 5,959      $ 16,395      $ 34,903        100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 29

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