0001193125-16-669868.txt : 20160803 0001193125-16-669868.hdr.sgml : 20160803 20160803142959 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001193125-16-669868 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 6 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20160802 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20160803 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20160803 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001042046 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 311544320 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-13653 FILM NUMBER: 161803415 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 BUSINESS PHONE: 5135792121 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: GREAT AMERICAN INSURANCE GROUP TOWER STREET 2: 301 E. 4TH STREET CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45202 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP HOLDINGS INC DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19970709 8-K 1 d222919d8k.htm CURRENT REPORT Current Report

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 2, 2016

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320
(State or other jurisdiction   (Commission   (IRS Employer
of incorporation)   File Number)   Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Section 2 - Financial Information

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the second quarter of 2016 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on August 2, 2016. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a) Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b) Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c) Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d) Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated August 2, 2016, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended June 30, 2016.
99.2    Investor Supplement – Second Quarter 2016

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: August 3, 2016

    By:  

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

      Karl J. Grafe
      Vice President

 

3

EX-99.1 2 d222919dex991.htm EARNINGS RELEASE Earnings Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Results

 

    Net earnings per share of $0.62; includes $0.73 per share charge related to Neon exited lines

 

    Core net operating earnings $1.28 per share

 

    Full year 2016 core net operating earnings guidance maintained at $5.35—$5.75 per share

CINCINNATI – August 2, 2016 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2016 second quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $54 million ($0.62 per share) compared to $141 million ($1.57 per share) for the 2015 second quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include a charge of $65 million ($0.73 per share) related to the exit of certain lines of business within our Lloyd’s-based insurer, Neon, as well as $10 million ($0.11 per share) in after-tax realized losses on securities, a $1 million ($0.01 per share) after-tax gain on sale of subsidiaries, and as previously announced, an after-tax gain of $15 million ($0.17 per share) related to the sale of an apartment property. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2015 second quarter included an after-tax net realized gain on the sale of a hotel property of $26 million ($0.29 per share). Details may be found in the table below. Book value per share increased by $2.90 to $57.57 per share during the second quarter of 2016. Annualized return on equity was 5.1% and 13.4% for the second quarters of 2016 and 2015, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $113 million ($1.28 per share) for the 2016 second quarter, compared to $115 million ($1.28 per share) in the 2015 second quarter. Higher underwriting profit and net investment income in our Specialty Property and Casualty (“P&C”) insurance operations were offset by lower operating earnings in our Annuity and Run-off Long-Term Care and Life Segments. Book value per share excluding unrealized gains on fixed maturities increased by $0.45 to $50.22 per share during the second quarter of 2016. Core net operating earnings for the second quarters of 2016 and 2015 generated annualized core returns on equity of 10.5% and 10.9%, respectively.

During the second quarter of 2016, AFG repurchased approximately 310,000 shares of common stock at an average price per share of $68.31.

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, rating agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized investment gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

 

Page 1


In millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2016      2015      2016      2015  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

           

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 183       $ 176       $ 357       $ 349   

Pretax non-core items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     (16      (1      (34      18   

Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     2         —           2         (162

Gain on sale of apartment property and hotel

     32         51         32         51   

Neon exited lines charge

     (65      —           (65      —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     136         226         292         256   

Provision (credit) for income taxes:

           

Core operating earnings

     64         59         123         114   

Non-core items

     9         18         2         (32
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total provision (credit) for income taxes

     73         77         125         82   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests

     63         149         167         174   

Less net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests:

           

Core operating earnings

     6         2         10         8   

Non-core items

     3         6         2         6   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     9         8         12         14   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 54       $ 141       $ 155       $ 160   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

     113         115         224         227   

Non-core items

     (59      26         (69      (67
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 54       $ 141       $ 155       $ 160   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 1.28       $ 1.28       $ 2.53       $ 2.54   

Non-core Items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     (0.11      —           (0.22      0.14   

Gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     0.01         —           0.01         (1.18

Gain on sale of apartment property and hotel

     0.17         0.29         0.17         0.29   

Neon exited lines charge

     (0.73      —           (0.73      —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 0.62       $ 1.57       $ 1.76       $ 1.79   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: “We are pleased to report strong operating profitability in both our Specialty P&C and Annuity businesses during the 2016 second quarter. These results are in line with core results reported in the 2015 second quarter and illustrate the value in our mix of specialty insurance businesses. Our opportunistic approach to managing our real estate portfolio partially offset charges stemming from Neon’s exited lines of business, which dampened reported earnings.

“At June 30, 2016, AFG had approximately $950 million of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $200 million). Our excess capital will be deployed into AFG’s core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds, such as our recently announced agreement to purchase the outstanding minority shares of National Interstate. This transaction will use approximately $320 million of AFG’s excess capital. In addition, share repurchases, particularly when executed at attractive valuations, are an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. We will continue to make opportunistic share repurchases when it makes sense to do so and return capital to shareholders through dividends.”

Based on results for the first six months of 2016, AFG continues to expect core net operating earnings in 2016 to be between $5.35 and $5.75 per share. Core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.

 

Page 2


Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $63 million in the 2016 second quarter, compared to $51 million in the second quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profitability in our Property and Transportation Group was partially offset by lower underwriting profitability in our Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups. The second quarter 2016 combined ratio of 93.9% improved by 1.0 point over the prior year period. Results in the second quarter of 2016 include 2.9 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 1.1 point in the comparable prior year period. Second quarter 2016 results include 2.0 points in catastrophe losses, compared to 1.0 point in the 2015 second quarter.

Gross and net written premiums were up 6% and 3%, respectively, for the second quarter of 2016, when compared to the second quarter of 2015. Pricing across our entire P&C Group was flat for the quarter.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $15 million in the second quarter of 2016, compared to an underwriting loss of $13 million in the second quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profits in our property and inland marine and transportation businesses, primarily due to favorable prior year reserve development, were the drivers of the improved results. Catastrophe losses were $12 million for this group during the second quarter of 2016, primarily the result of April storms in Texas. Catastrophe losses were $7 million in the comparable prior year period.

Gross and net written premiums for the second quarter of 2016 were 8% and 6% higher, respectively, than the comparable 2015 period. New premium from our Singapore branch, which opened for business in June 2015 and higher year-over-year premiums in our agricultural businesses, primarily the result of timing differences in the recording of crop premiums, were the primary drivers of the increase. Excluding crop, gross and net written premiums both increased 3% over the comparable prior year period. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 3% on average for the second quarter of 2016, including a 4% increase in National Interstate’s renewal rates.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported an underwriting profit of $23 million in the second quarter of 2016, compared to $37 million in the second quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profitability in our workers’ compensation and executive liability businesses, primarily the result of higher favorable prior year reserve development, was more than offset by higher adverse prior year reserve development in our excess and surplus businesses and current accident year losses in Neon’s political risk and trade credit business.

Gross written premiums for the second quarter of 2016 increased 4% and net written premiums were flat, respectively, when compared to the second quarter of 2015. Higher premiums in our workers’ compensation and targeted markets businesses were partially offset by lower premiums in our excess and surplus and general liability businesses. Net written premiums were impacted by the cession of Neon’s UK medical malpractice business to Beazley. Renewal pricing for this group decreased by 2% in the second quarter, including a decrease of approximately 4% in our workers’ compensation businesses. Excluding workers’ compensation, renewal pricing in this group was flat on average for the quarter.

The Specialty Financial Group reported underwriting profit of $22 million in the second quarter of 2016, compared to $24 million in the second quarter of 2015. Nearly all of the businesses in this group continued to achieve excellent underwriting margins.

Gross and net written premiums for the second quarter of 2016 were up 10% and 6%, respectively, when compared to the same 2015 period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our financial institutions business. Pricing in this group was flat for the quarter.

Carl Lindner III stated: “I’m pleased with the strong overall underwriting profitability within our Specialty P&C Group during the quarter, especially the year-over-year improvement within our Property and Transportation Group. Results this quarter indicate how the depth and breadth across our specialty P&C portfolio has enabled us to deliver consistent operating earnings. Based on results during the first six months of the year, we continue to expect an overall 2016 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94% and estimate net written premium growth to be between 1% and 5%.”

 

Page 3


Neon Exited Lines Charge

During the second quarter of 2016, AFG’s specialist Lloyd’s market insurer completed a strategic review of its business under a new leadership team and re-launched as Neon Underwriting Ltd. on June 13, 2016. As part of its strategic review, Neon sold and/or exited certain historical lines of business including its UK and International Medical Malpractice and General Liability classes. As a result of Neon’s claims review of its exited lines of business, AFG recorded a non-core charge of $65 million to increase loss reserves primarily related to its medical malpractice and general liability lines, as well as to record charges in connection with the restructuring of the business. Consistent with the treatment of other items that are not indicative of AFG’s ongoing operations (both favorable and unfavorable), this charge is being treated as non-core because it resulted from a special strategic review of lines of business that AFG no longer writes.

Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Annuity Segment

As shown in the following table, AFG’s Annuity Segment contributed $76 million in pretax operating earnings in the second quarter of 2016 compared to $88 million in the second quarter of 2015; earnings before the impact of fair value accounting on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) were $102 million in the second quarter of 2016 compared to $77 million in the second quarter of 2015.

Components of Annuity Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

In millions    Three months ended
June 30,
     Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2016     2015            2016     2015        

Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs

   $ 102      $ 77         32   $ 186      $ 169        10

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs

     (26     11         nm        (57     (6     nm   
  

 

 

   

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Pretax Annuity Operating Earnings

   $ 76      $ 88         (14 %)    $ 129      $ 163        (21 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

      

 

 

   

 

 

   

Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – AFG’s second quarter 2016 earnings benefited from favorable investment results, including the positive impact of certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings, as well as growth in annuity assets. AFG’s quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew approximately 13% and 14% year-over-year, respectively; the benefit of this growth was partially offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments. Due to the strong results in the first six months of 2016, AFG is increasing its expectations for earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs to a range of $370 to $385 million; up from AFG’s original expectation of $350 to $370 million.

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Variances from expectations of certain items (such as projected interest rates, option costs and surrenders), as well as changes in the stock market, have an impact on the accounting for FIAs; these accounting adjustments are recognized through AFG’s reported core earnings. Many of these adjustments are not economic in nature, but rather impact the timing of reported results.

 

Page 4


In the second quarter of 2016, medium to long-term interest rates decreased approximately 30 to 40 basis points, compared to our expectation that they would increase slightly. Since a portion of FIA reserves is discounted at current market yields, this decrease in rates contributed to a $26 million unfavorable impact on pretax earnings. Conversely, in the second quarter of 2015, interest rates rose significantly, resulting in a favorable impact on pretax earnings; this favorable result was partially offset by the impact of a stock market decrease during the quarter. These impacts are included within the “Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs” amounts shown in the table above.

Annuity Premiums – AFG’s Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $1.1 billion in the second quarter of 2016, compared to $899 million in the second quarter of 2015, an increase of 22%, due primarily to growth in FIA and traditional fixed annuity sales in the Financial Institutions channel. Management believes AFG’s growth in FIA and traditional fixed annuity sales is consistent with overall growth in the annuity industry, as sales of these annuities have increased while sales of variable annuities have decreased. In addition, AFG’s increase reflects new products, additional staffing, and increased market share within existing financial institutions. Furthermore, AFG has reduced the crediting rates on its new annuity sales several times in 2016 due to the decline in interest rates; these reductions, once announced, often lead to a short-term spike in sales in advance of the effective date of the rate decreases. Annuity receipts are treated as deposits under GAAP accounting rules.

In connection with AFG’s Annuity Segment results for the quarter, Craig Lindner stated, “Although reported annuity earnings are lower year-over-year, it is important to note that we believe the majority of the decrease from last year’s reported earnings is accounting-driven and non-economic in nature. Our business fundamentals remain very strong – we continue to achieve appropriate returns on new business and the interest spread on our inforce business continues to exceed our plan by several basis points. Furthermore, if interest rates continue to remain low for an extended period of time, AFG has the ability to reduce the average crediting rate on approximately $21 billion of traditional fixed and FIA annuities without riders by approximately 75 basis points (on a weighted average basis).

“We continue to be committed to disciplined pricing of our products, consumer-friendly product design, careful expense management and growing our business when we can achieve desired long-term returns. Due to the higher than expected negative impact of fair value accounting, offset in large part by our strong “pre fair value” results through the first six months of 2016, we now believe that full year 2016 pretax annuity operating earnings will be in the range of $305 to $340 million, a slight decrease from previous guidance. Significant changes in market interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results.

“Finally, based on premiums recorded through the first half of the year and our recent levels of sales, we now expect that premiums for the full year of 2016 will be in the range of $4.0 billion to $4.2 billion, in line with the $4.1 billion sold in 2015.”

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

Department of Labor Rule – On April 6, 2016 the Department of Labor (DOL) issued the final version of its fiduciary rule that will impose additional requirements on the sale of certain annuities (including indexed annuities) to retirement accounts, including IRAs. It is expected that all carriers will experience some impact when the rule takes effect in 2017, including temporary sales disruption during a transition period. Based on our analysis of the rule and discussions with our distribution partners, we are planning for certain changes to our business model, including new products and compensation arrangements. We believe these changes should allow most of our current distribution partners to continue to sell our traditional fixed and FIA annuities. Based on our analysis, we do not believe the implementation of the final DOL rule will have a material impact on the Company’s results of operations.

 

Page 5


Investments

AFG recorded second quarter 2016 net realized losses on securities of $10 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to net realized losses on securities of less than $1 million reported in the comparable 2015 period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $639 million after tax and after DAC at June 30, 2016, an increase of $361 million since year-end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 89% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 97% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1or 2, its highest two categories.

For the six months ended June 30, 2016, P&C net investment income was approximately 6% higher than the comparable 2015 period.

Second quarter 2016 results include a non-core pretax gain of $32 million ($15 million after taxes and noncontrolling interests) on the sale of an apartment property owned and managed by a subsidiary of Great American Insurance Company. Results in the comparable year period also include a non-core pretax gain of $51 million ($26 million after taxes and noncontrolling interests) on the sale of Le Pavillon Hotel.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets over $50 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; AFG’s ability to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of any losses in connection with investments in the non-agency residential mortgage market; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; the possibility that the proposal to acquire all shares of National Interstate Corporation that are not currently owned by AFG’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Great American Insurance Company is not consummated; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules);

 

Page 6


changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency, mortality and morbidity; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy (including those associated with the United Kingdom’s expected withdrawal from the European Union, or “Brexit”) relating to our international operations; and other factors identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2016 second quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, August 3, 2016. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 47224666. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on August 10, 2016. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 47224666.

The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFG’s website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.

The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until August 10, 2016 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner

Asst. Vice President – Investor Relations

(513) 369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG16-15

 

Page 7


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2016      2015      2016      2015  

Revenues

           

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,027       $ 985       $ 2,025       $ 1,931   

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     6         27         12         52   

Net investment income

     423         404         834         792   

Realized gains (losses) on:

           

Securities

     (16      (1      (34      18   

Subsidiaries

     2         —           2         (162

Income (loss) of managed investment entities:

           

Investment income

     48         38         93         72   

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     11         (2      (2      (5

Other income

     80         92         126         142   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total revenues

     1,581         1,543         3,056         2,840   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

           

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     1,035         939         1,950         1,828   

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     274         250         546         507   

Interest charges on borrowed money

     19         20         37         40   

Expenses of managed investment entities

     36         28         71         52   

Other expenses

     81         80         160         157   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,445         1,317         2,764         2,584   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     136         226         292         256   

Provision for income taxes(b)

     73         77         125         82   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     63         149         167         174   

Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

     9         8         12         14   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 54       $ 141       $ 155       $ 160   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings per Common Share

   $ 0.62       $ 1.57       $ 1.76       $ 1.79   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     88.4         89.5         88.4         89.4   

 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:

   June 30,
2016
     December 31,
2015
 

Total cash and investments

   $ 40,639       $ 37,736   

Long-term debt(c)

   $ 998       $ 998   

Shareholders’ equity(d)

   $ 5,000       $ 4,592   

Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities)(d)

   $ 4,361       $ 4,314   

Book Value Per Share

   $ 57.57       $ 52.50   

Book Value Per Share (excluding unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities

   $ 50.22       $ 49.33   

Common Shares Outstanding

     86.9         87.5   

Footnotes (b), (c) and (d) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2016     2015           2016     2015        

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,398      $ 1,318        6   $ 2,641      $ 2,514        5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,056      $ 1,026        3   $ 2,035      $ 1,952        4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

            

Loss & LAE ratio

     61.2     61.0       59.8     60.9  

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     33.9       32.9     33.3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     93.9     94.9       92.7     94.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio – P&C Segment

     100.3     94.9       95.9     94.2  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(e)

            

Gross Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 538      $ 500        8   $ 936      $ 876        7

Specialty Casualty

     688        661        4     1,386        1,344        3

Specialty Financial

     172        157        10     319        294        9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,398      $ 1,318        6   $ 2,641      $ 2,514        5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 382      $ 362        6   $ 693      $ 650        7

Specialty Casualty

     503        503        —          1,022        1,004        2

Specialty Financial

     144        136        6     269        251        7

Other

     27        25        8     51        47        9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,056      $ 1,026        3   $ 2,035      $ 1,952        4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

            

Property & Transportation

     95.9     104.0       93.4     101.0  

Specialty Casualty

     95.3     92.7       94.8     93.4  

Specialty Financial

     84.4     81.0       83.5     81.4  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     93.9     94.9       92.7     94.2  

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2016      2015      2016      2015  

Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse:

           

Property & Transportation

   $ (12    $ 6       $ (29    $ 9   

Specialty Casualty

     (10      (7      (14      (7

Specialty Financial

     (7      (8      (11      (17

Other Specialty

     (1      (2      (3      (3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Specialty Group Excluding Neon Charge

     (30      (11      (57      (18

Neon Exited Lines Charge and Other

     58         1         57         1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Reserve Development

   $ 28       $ (10    $ —         $ (17
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

           

Property & Transportation

     (3.2      1.7         (4.1      1.4   

Specialty Casualty

     (2.0      (1.4      (1.4      (0.8

Specialty Financial

     (4.6      (6.2      (4.0      (6.7

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (2.9      (1.1      (2.8      (1.0

Total P&C Segment

     2.7         (1.1      0.1         (1.0

Footnote (e) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2016     2015           2016     2015        

Annuity Premiums:

            

Financial Institutions Single Premium

   $ 607      $ 417        46   $ 1,260      $ 811        55

Retail Single Premium

     435        422        3     1,001        783        28

Education Market

     45        49        (8 %)      102        96        6

Variable Annuities

     11        11        —          20        22        (9 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 1,098      $ 899        22   $ 2,383      $ 1,712        39
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Components of Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

  

   
     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2016     2015           2016     2015        

Revenues:

            

Net investment income

   $ 344      $ 306        12   $ 659      $ 598        10

Other income

     24        24        —          50        51        (2 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total revenues

     368        330        12     709        649        9

Costs and Expenses:

            

Annuity benefits

     223        151        48     451        335        35

Acquisition expenses

     40        62        (35 %)      74        99        (25 %) 

Other expenses

     29        29        —          55        52        6
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total costs and expenses

     292        242        21     580        486        19
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 76      $ 88        (14 %)    $ 129      $ 163        (21 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information

 

  

   
     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2016     2015           2016     2015        

Operating earnings before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs

   $ 102      $ 77        32   $ 186      $ 169        10

Impact of fair value accounting

     (26     11        nm        (57     (6     nm   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 76      $ 88        (14 %)    $ 129      $ 163        (21 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Average Fixed Annuity Reserves*

   $ 27,861      $ 24,474        14   $ 27,398      $ 24,113        14

Net Interest Spread*

     2.84     2.77       2.69     2.72  

Net Spread Earned Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.45     1.21       1.33     1.35  

Net Spread Earned After Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.08     1.39       0.91     1.30  

 

* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2016      2015      2016      2015  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

           

P&C insurance segment

   $ 139       $ 121       $ 297       $ 250   

Annuity segment, before impact of fair value accounting

     102         77         186         169   

Impact of fair value accounting

     (26      11         (57      (6

Run-off long-term care and life segment

     —           4         (1      8   

Interest and other corporate expenses

     (38      (39      (78      (80
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     177         174         347         341   

Related income taxes

     64         59         123         114   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 113       $ 115       $ 224       $ 227   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

b) Excluding the impact of the Neon Exited Lines Charge that was reported in the second quarter of 2016, AFG’s effective tax rate for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016 was 36% and 35%, respectively. AFG maintains a full valuation allowance against the deferred tax benefits associated with losses related to AFG’s specialist Lloyd’s insurance business, Neon (formerly known as Marketform).
c) December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. The impact of this adjustment was to reduce the carrying value of long-term debt on AFG’s balance sheet by $22 million at December 31, 2015, from amounts originally reported. Adjustments to the income statement increased interest charges on borrowed money by $1 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2015.
d) Shareholders’ Equity at June 30, 2016 includes $639 million ($7.35 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities. Shareholder’s Equity at December 31, 2015 includes $278 million ($3.17 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities.
e) Supplemental Notes:

 

    Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages.

 

    Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

    Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

    Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 11

EX-99.2 3 d222919dex992.htm INVESTOR SUPPLEMENT Investor Supplement

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO

  

American Financial Group, Inc.

Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2016

 

August 2, 2016

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

Corporate Headquarters

Great American Insurance Group Tower

301 E Fourth Street

Cincinnati, OH 45202

  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  

513 579 6739


American Financial Group, Inc.   LOGO

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2016

 

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2016

     2   

Financial Highlights

     3   

Summary of Earnings

     4   

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5   

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6   

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7   

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8   

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9   

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10   

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11   

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12   

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     13   

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     14   

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

     15   

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     16   

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     17   

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     18   

Capitalization

     19   

Additional Supplemental Information

     20   

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments

     21   

Net Investment Income

     22   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     23   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     24   

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

     25   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     26   

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     27   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

     28   

Appendix

  

A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

     29   

 

Page 2


American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

  LOGO
 
 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Highlights

              

Net earnings

   $ 54      $ 101      $ 129      $ 63      $ 141      $ 155      $ 160   

Core net operating earnings

     113        111        136        123        115        224        227   

Total assets

     52,733        51,038        49,837        50,540        49,403        52,733        49,403   

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     4,361        4,329        4,314        4,279        4,345        4,361        4,345   

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,056        979        1,056        1,319        1,026        2,035        1,952   

Annuity statutory premiums

     1,098        1,285        1,107        1,321        899        2,383        1,712   

Per share data

              

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 0.62      $ 1.14      $ 1.45      $ 0.71      $ 1.57      $ 1.76      $ 1.79   

Core net operating earnings per share

     1.28        1.25        1.52        1.38        1.28        2.53        2.54   

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     50.22        49.77        49.33        49.01        49.63        50.22        49.63   

Cash dividends per common share

     0.280        0.280        1.280        0.250        0.250        0.560        0.500   

Financial ratios

              

Annualized return on equity (b)

     5.1     9.4     12.1     5.9     13.4     7.2     7.6

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     10.5     10.3     12.7     11.6     10.9     10.4     10.9

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     61.2     58.3     61.8     64.5     61.0     59.8     60.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     33.0     29.2     28.4     33.9     32.9     33.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     93.9     91.3     91.0     92.9     94.9     92.7     94.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

              

Net interest spread

     2.84     2.54     2.53     2.80     2.77     2.69     2.72

Net spread earned:

              

Before impact of fair value accounting

     1.45     1.20     1.31     1.37     1.21     1.33     1.35

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

     (0.37 %)      (0.46 %)      0.08     (0.35 %)      0.18     (0.42 %)      (0.05 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting

     1.08     0.74     1.39     1.02     1.39     0.91     1.30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 18.
(b) Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income.
(c) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 3


American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 62      $ 87      $ 100      $ 82      $ 50      $ 149      $ 110   

Net investment income

     89        83        74        83        83        172        162   

Other expense

     (12     (12     (11     (12     (12     (24     (22
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     139        158        163        153        121        297        250   

Annuity earnings

     76        53        101        67        88        129        163   

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life (losses)/earnings

     —          (1     —          6        4        (1     8   

Interest expense of parent holding companies (a)

     (19     (18     (16     (18     (20     (37     (39

Other expense (a)

     (19     (22     (29     (19     (19     (41     (41
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

     177        170        219        189        174        347        341   

Income tax expense

     64        59        83        66        59        123        114   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     113        111        136        123        115        224        227   

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     1        —          (3     —          —          1        (105

Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties

     15        —          10        —          26        15        26   

Other realized gains (losses)

     (10     (10     (14     (6     —          (20     12   

Neon exited lines charge

     (65     —          —          —          —          (65     —     

Significant A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —          —          —          (44     —          —          —     

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —          —          —          (8     —          —          —     

Other

     —          —          —          (2     —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 54      $ 101      $ 129      $ 63      $ 141      $ 155      $ 160   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 4


American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15      06/30/16     06/30/15  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 113      $ 111      $ 136      $ 123      $ 115       $ 224      $ 227   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 54      $ 101      $ 129      $ 63      $ 141       $ 155      $ 160   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     88.390        88.495        89.228        89.343        89.503         88.443        89.440   

Diluted earnings per share:

               

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 1.28      $ 1.25      $ 1.52      $ 1.38      $  1.28       $ 2.53      $ 2.54   

Gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries

     0.01        —          (0.03     —          —           0.01        (1.18

Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties

     0.17        —          0.11        —          0.29         0.17        0.29   

Other realized gains (losses)

     (0.11     (0.11     (0.15     (0.06     —           (0.22     0.14   

Neon exited lines charge

     (0.73     —          —          —          —           (0.73     —     

Significant A&E charges:

               

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     —          —          —          (0.49     —           —          —     

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     —          —          —          (0.09     —           —          —     

Other

     —          —          —          (0.03     —           —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 0.62      $ 1.14      $ 1.45      $ 0.71      $ 1.57       $ 1.76      $ 1.79   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 5


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Property and Transportation

   $ 15      $ 32      $ 34      $ 20      $ (13   $ 47      $ (6

Specialty Casualty

     23        29        50        31        37        52        65   

Specialty Financial

     22        23        15        26        24        45        46   

Other Specialty

     3        2        1        7        3        5        6   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

     63        86        100        84        51        149        111   

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

     1        (1     —          2        1        —          1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

     62        87        100        82        50        149        110   

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     —          —          —          (67     —          —          —     

Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE

     (57     —          —          —          —          (57     —     

Neon exited lines charge, included in underwriting expenses

     (8     —          —          —          —          (8     —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ (3   $ 87      $ 100      $ 15      $ 50      $ 84      $ 110   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     21        8        9        10        10        29        16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 21      $ 8      $ 9      $ 10      $ 10      $ 29      $ 16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 28      $ (28   $ (5   $ 55      $ (10   $ —        $ (17
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     95.9     90.6     92.4     96.2     104.0     93.4     101.0

Specialty Casualty

     95.3     94.3     90.2     93.8     92.7     94.8     93.4

Specialty Financial

     84.4     82.6     88.7     80.6     81.0     83.5     81.4

Other Specialty

     89.2     89.7     97.1     67.3     88.0     89.4     88.6

Combined ratio - Specialty

     93.9     91.3     91.0     92.9     94.9     92.7     94.2

Other core charges

     0.1     (0.1 %)      0.0     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0

Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE

     5.5     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     2.8     0.0

Neon exited lines charge, underwriting expenses

     0.8     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.4     0.0

Special A&E charges

     0.0     0.0     0.0     5.7     0.0     0.0     0.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     100.3     91.2     91.0     98.7     94.9     95.9     94.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.8     93.2     90.6     93.2     95.0     94.1     94.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     62.1     60.2     61.4     64.8     61.1     61.2     61.1

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     2.7     (2.8 %)      (0.4 %)      4.6     (1.1 %)      0.1     (1.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     2.0     0.8     0.8     0.9     1.0     1.4     0.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     66.8     58.2     61.8     70.3     61.0     62.7     60.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 6


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,398      $ 1,243      $ 1,356      $ 1,962      $ 1,318      $ 2,641      $ 2,514   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (342     (264     (300     (643     (292     (606     (562
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,056        979        1,056        1,319        1,026        2,035        1,952   

Change in unearned premiums

     (29     19        64        (146     (41     (10     (21
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,027        998        1,120        1,173        985        2,025        1,931   

Loss and LAE

     629        582        693        756        600        1,211        1,176   

Underwriting expense

     335        330        327        333        334        665        644   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 63      $ 86      $ 100      $ 84      $ 51      $ 149      $ 111   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     21        8        9        10        10        29        16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 21      $ 8      $ 9      $ 10      $ 10      $ 29      $ 16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (30   $ (27   $ (5   $ (14   $ (11   $ (57   $ (18
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     61.2     58.3     61.8     64.5     61.0     59.8     60.9

Underwriting expense ratio

     32.7     33.0     29.2     28.4     33.9     32.9     33.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     93.9     91.3     91.0     92.9     94.9     92.7     94.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.8     93.2     90.6     93.2     95.0     94.1     94.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     62.1     60.2     61.4     64.8     61.1     61.2     61.1

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.9 %)      (2.7 %)      (0.4 %)      (1.2 %)      (1.1 %)      (2.8 %)      (1.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     2.0     0.8     0.8     0.9     1.0     1.4     0.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     61.2     58.3     61.8     64.5     61.0     59.8     60.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 7


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

  LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 538      $ 398      $ 515      $ 1,064      $ 500      $ 936      $ 876   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (156     (87     (137     (456     (138     (243     (226
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     382        311        378        608        362        693        650   

Change in unearned premiums

     (17     28        64        (91     (35     11        (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     365        339        442        517        327        704        640   

Loss and LAE

     245        211        317        391        240        456        451   

Underwriting expense

     105        96        91        106        100        201        195   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
Underwriting profit (loss)    $ 15      $ 32      $ 34      $ 20      $ (13   $ 47      $ (6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     12        6        3        7        7        18        11   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 12      $ 6      $ 3      $ 7      $ 7      $ 18      $ 11   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (12   $ (17   $ 8      $ (2   $ 6      $ (29   $ 9   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.0     62.2     71.7     75.7     73.2     64.7     70.5

Underwriting expense ratio

     28.9     28.4     20.7     20.5     30.8     28.7     30.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     95.9     90.6     92.4     96.2     104.0     93.4     101.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     95.8     94.1     89.9     95.1     100.2     95.0     97.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     66.9     65.7     69.2     74.6     69.4     66.3     67.4

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (3.2 %)      (5.2 %)      1.8     (0.4 %)      1.7     (4.1 %)      1.4

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     3.3     1.7     0.7     1.5     2.1     2.5     1.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.0     62.2     71.7     75.7     73.2     64.7     70.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 8


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 688      $ 698      $ 661      $ 734      $ 661      $ 1,386      $ 1,344   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (185     (179     (158     (189     (158     (364     (340
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     503        519        503        545        503        1,022        1,004   

Change in unearned premiums

     (6     (17     12        (42     —          (23     (11
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     497        502        515        503        503        999        993   

Loss and LAE

     329        313        315        323        311        642        627   

Underwriting expense

     145        160        150        149        155        305        301   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 23      $ 29      $ 50      $ 31      $ 37      $ 52      $ 65   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     3        1        1        1        1        4        2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 3      $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ 4      $ 2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (10   $ (4   $ (7   $ 3      $ (7   $ (14   $ (7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     66.1     62.4     61.1     64.2     61.9     64.2     63.1

Underwriting expense ratio

     29.2     31.9     29.1     29.6     30.8     30.6     30.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     95.3     94.3     90.2     93.8     92.7     94.8     93.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     96.6     94.9     91.4     92.9     94.0     95.8     94.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     67.4     63.0     62.3     63.3     63.2     65.2     63.7

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (2.0 %)      (0.7 %)      (1.4 %)      0.6     (1.4 %)      (1.4 %)      (0.8 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.7     0.1     0.2     0.3     0.1     0.4     0.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     66.1     62.4     61.1     64.2     61.9     64.2     63.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 9


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ 172      $ 147      $ 179      $ 164      $ 157      $ 319      $ 294   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (28     (22     (27     (27     (21     (50     (43
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     144        125        152        137        136        269        251   

Change in unearned premiums

     (5     7        (15     (6     (7     2        (2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     139        132        137        131        129        271        249   

Loss and LAE

     42        45        46        36        36        87        72   

Underwriting expense

     75        64        76        69        69        139        131   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 22      $ 23      $ 15      $ 26      $ 24      $ 45      $ 46   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     3        1        5        1        2        4        3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 3      $ 1      $ 5      $ 1      $ 2      $ 4      $ 3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (7   $ (4   $ (5   $ (8   $ (8   $ (11   $ (17
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     30.1     34.0     32.8     27.7     27.7     32.0     29.0

Underwriting expense ratio

     54.3     48.6     55.9     52.9     53.3     51.5     52.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     84.4     82.6     88.7     80.6     81.0     83.5     81.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     87.0     84.8     88.8     85.8     85.2     85.9     86.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     32.7     36.2     32.9     32.9     31.9     34.4     34.4

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (4.6 %)      (3.3 %)      (3.6 %)      (5.8 %)      (6.2 %)      (4.0 %)      (6.7 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     2.0     1.1     3.5     0.6     2.0     1.6     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     30.1     34.0     32.8     27.7     27.7     32.0     29.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 10


American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Gross written premiums

   $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     27        24        22        29        25        51        47   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     27        24        23        29        25        51        47   

Change in unearned premiums

     (1     1        3        (7     1        —          2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     26        25        26        22        26        51        49   

Loss and LAE

     13        13        15        6        13        26        26   

Underwriting expense

     10        10        10        9        10        20        17   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 3      $ 2      $ 1      $ 7      $ 3      $ 5      $ 6   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     3        —          —          1        —          3        —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 3      $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —        $ 3      $ —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (1   $ (2   $ (1   $ (7   $ (2   $ (3   $ (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     52.5     52.1     61.0     29.4     52.4     52.3     53.4

Underwriting expense ratio

     36.7     37.6     36.1     37.9     35.6     37.1     35.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     89.2     89.7     97.1     67.3     88.0     89.4     88.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     86.4     96.0     98.1     97.6     93.2     91.1     94.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 11


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended      Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15      09/30/15     06/30/15      06/30/16     06/30/15  

Net investment income

   $ 344      $ 315      $ 309       $ 317      $ 306       $ 659      $ 598   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     13        12        12         11        10         25        20   

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     11        14        11         13        14         25        31   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     368        341        332         341        330         709        649   

Annuity benefits expense

     223        228        189         208        151         451        335   

Acquisition expenses

     40        34        20         44        62         74        99   

Other expenses

     29        26        22         22        29         55        52   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     292        288        231         274        242         580        486   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 76      $ 53      $ 101       $ 67      $ 88       $ 129      $ 163   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes

                

Earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting

   $ 102      $ 84      $ 96       $ 89      $ 77       $ 186      $ 169   

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     (26     (31     5         (22     11         (57     (6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 76      $ 53      $ 101       $ 67      $ 88       $ 129      $ 163   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 12


American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16      12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16      06/30/15  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

                

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 142      $ 139       $ 138      $ 135      $ 131      $ 281       $ 259   

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     2        1         1        2        2        3         3   

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     4        5         5        5        5        9         9   

Amortization of sales inducements

     6        5         6        6        7        11         14   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve (a)

     15        16         15        20        16        31         28   

Change in other benefit reserves

     8        5         5        3        12        13         14   

Unlockings (b)

     —          —           19        —          —          —           —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     177        171         189        171        173        348         327   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market (c)

     62        17         88        (130     (19     79         31   

Equity option mark-to-market

     (16     40         (88     167        (3     24         (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of fair value accounting

     46        57         —          37        (22     103         8   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 223      $ 228       $ 189      $ 208      $ 151      $ 451       $ 335   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(a) Relates to a significant change in the stock market.
(b) Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $29 million in 2015 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $10 million in 2015.
(c) Excludes unlocking impact of $28 million in 2015.

 

Page 13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost)

   $ 27,964      $ 27,186      $ 26,401      $ 25,642      $ 24,711      $ 27,575      $ 24,327   

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     27,861        26,935        26,048        25,316        24,474        27,398        24,113   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 103      $ 251      $ 353      $ 326      $ 237      $ 177      $ 214   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.88     4.60     4.65     4.92     4.91     4.74     4.87

Interest credited

     (2.04 %)      (2.06 %)      (2.12 %)      (2.12 %)      (2.14 %)      (2.05 %)      (2.15 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.84     2.54     2.53     2.80     2.77     2.69     2.72

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.13     0.16     0.15     0.16     0.17     0.15     0.20

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.30 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.31 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.49 %)      (0.28 %)      (0.37 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.55 %)      (0.47 %)      (0.75 %)      (0.65 %)      (0.98 %)      (0.51 %)      (0.79 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.38 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.32 %)      (0.34 %)      (0.43 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.39 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.66 %)      (0.84 %)      0.02     (0.59 %)      0.35     (0.76 %)      (0.07 %) 

Unlockings

     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.08     0.74     1.39     1.02     1.39     0.91     1.30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 27,861      $ 26,935      $ 26,048      $ 25,316      $ 24,474      $ 27,398      $ 24,113   

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.08     0.74     1.39     1.02     1.39     0.91     1.30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 75      $ 50      $ 91      $ 65      $ 85      $ 125      $ 157   

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 103      $ 251      $ 353      $ 326      $ 237      $ 177      $ 214   

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.88     4.60     4.65     4.92     4.91     4.74     4.87
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 1      $ 3      $ 4      $ 4      $ 3      $ 4      $ 5   

Variable annuity earnings

     —          —          6        (2     —          —          1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

   $ 76      $ 53      $ 101      $ 67      $ 88      $ 129      $ 163   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities

              

Net spread earned - before impact of fair value accounting

     1.45     1.20     1.31     1.37     1.21     1.33     1.35

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     (0.37 %)      (0.46 %)      0.08     (0.35 %)      0.18     (0.42 %)      (0.05 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned - after impact of fair value accounting

     1.08     0.74     1.39     1.02     1.39     0.91     1.30
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

Page 14


American Financial Group

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended      Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16      03/31/16      12/31/15      09/30/15      06/30/15      06/30/16      06/30/15  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 413       $ 546       $ 494       $ 617       $ 404       $ 959       $ 753   

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     22         20         18         22         18         42         30   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     507         534         462         554         369         1,041         725   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     100         119         72         71         48         219         86   

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     45         57         51         47         49         102         96   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     1,087         1,276         1,097         1,311         888         2,363         1,690   

Variable annuities

     11         9         10         10         11         20         22   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 1,098       $ 1,285       $ 1,107       $ 1,321       $ 899       $ 2,383       $ 1,712   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

Page 15


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 27,499      $ 26,371      $ 25,725      $ 24,906      $ 24,042      $ 26,371      $ 23,462   

Premiums

     1,087        1,276        1,097        1,311        888        2,363        1,690   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     —          150        45        —          300        150        300   

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (596     (483     (515     (526     (471     (1,079     (891

Sale of subsidiaries

     —          —          (261     —          —          —          —     

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     142        139        138        135        131        281        259   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     62        17        88        (130     (19     79        31   

Change in other benefit reserves

     28        29        31        29        35        57        55   

Unlockings

     —          —          23        —          —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 28,222      $ 27,499      $ 26,371      $ 25,725      $ 24,906      $ 28,222      $ 24,906   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 28,222      $ 27,499      $ 26,371      $ 25,725      $ 24,906      $ 28,222      $ 24,906   

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     188        127        64        113        107        188        107   

Fixed component of variable annuities

     186        186        187        188        190        186        190   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 28,596      $ 27,812      $ 26,622      $ 26,026      $ 25,203      $ 28,596      $ 25,203   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     8.7     7.3     8.0     8.4     7.8     8.2     7.6

 

Page 16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     03/31/15  

Assets:

            

Total cash and investments

   $ 40,639      $ 39,437      $ 37,736      $ 38,132      $ 37,644      $ 37,384   

Recoverables from reinsurers

     2,576        2,561        2,636        3,151        3,075        3,046   

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     521        475        480        604        499        475   

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     992        936        937        976        959        864   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     881        1,055        1,184        993        965        756   

Assets of managed investment entities

     4,410        3,906        4,047        3,613        3,629        3,279   

Other receivables

     788        693        820        1,241        660        641   

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     595        595        608        595        655        667   

Other assets (a)

     1,132        1,181        1,190        1,034        1,116        972   

Goodwill

     199        199        199        201        201        201   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 52,733      $ 51,038      $ 49,837      $ 50,540      $ 49,403      $ 48,285   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

            

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 8,203      $ 8,108      $ 8,127      $ 8,061      $ 7,744      $ 7,636   

Unearned premiums

     2,109        2,051        2,060        2,238        2,004        1,936   

Annuity benefits accumulated

     28,596        27,812        26,622        26,026        25,203        24,411   

Life, accident and health reserves

     702        708        705        2,159        2,156        2,195   

Payable to reinsurers

     588        501        591        724        511        494   

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     4,192        3,656        3,781        3,287        3,309        2,952   

Long-term debt (a)

     998        998        998        863        1,003        1,039   

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     595        595        608        595        655        667   

Other liabilities

     1,557        1,672        1,575        1,681        1,834        1,855   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 47,540      $ 46,101      $ 45,067      $ 45,634      $ 44,419      $ 43,185   

Shareholders’ equity:

            

Common stock

   $ 87      $ 87      $ 87      $ 87      $ 88      $ 88   

Capital surplus

     1,228        1,218        1,214        1,195        1,183        1,173   

Unappropriated retained earnings

     3,016        3,002        2,987        2,981        2,968        2,886   

Unrealized gains - fixed maturities

     639        426        278        445        457        656   

Unrealized gains - equities

     45        40        54        44        130        143   

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (15     (18     (28     (28     (24     (23
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     5,000        4,755        4,592        4,724        4,802        4,923   

Noncontrolling interests

     193        182        178        182        182        177   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 52,733      $ 51,038      $ 49,837      $ 50,540      $ 49,403      $ 48,285   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO  

 

     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     03/31/15  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 5,000      $ 4,755      $ 4,592      $ 4,724      $ 4,802      $ 4,923   

Unrealized (gains) on fixed maturities

     (639     (426     (278     (445     (457     (656
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     4,361        4,329        4,314        4,279        4,345        4,267   

Goodwill

     (199     (199     (199     (201     (201     (201

Intangibles

     (46     (47     (49     (51     (53     (55
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,116      $ 4,083      $ 4,066      $ 4,027      $ 4,091      $ 4,011   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     86.850        86.966        87.474        87.327        87.540        87.886   

Book value per share:

            

Book value per share

   $ 57.57      $ 54.67      $ 52.50      $ 54.10      $ 54.86      $ 56.01   

Adjusted (a)

     50.22        49.77        49.33        49.01        49.63        48.55   

Tangible, adjusted (b)

     47.41        46.94        46.49        46.12        46.73        45.63   

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 73.93      $ 70.37      $ 72.08      $ 68.91      $ 65.04      $ 64.15   

Market capitalization

   $ 6,421      $ 6,120      $ 6,305      $ 6,018      $ 5,694      $ 5,638   

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     1.47        1.41        1.46        1.41        1.31        1.32   

 

(a) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(b) Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

Page 18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

   LOGO  

 

     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     03/31/15  

AFG senior obligations (a)

   $ 708      $ 708      $ 708      $ 708      $ 840      $ 840   

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —          —          —          —          —          —     

Obligations of subsidiaries - other

     12        12        12        12        12        12   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

   $ 720      $ 720      $ 720      $ 720      $ 852      $ 852   

AFG subordinated debentures

     300        300        300        150        150        150   

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     —          —          —          10        22        59   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total principal amount of long-term debt

   $ 1,020      $ 1,020      $ 1,020      $ 880      $ 1,024      $ 1,061   

Shareholders’ equity

     5,000        4,755        4,592        4,724        4,802        4,923   

Noncontrolling interests

     193        182        178        182        182        177   

Less:

            

Unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments

     (639     (426     (278     (445     (457     (656
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 5,574      $ 5,531      $ 5,512      $ 5,341      $ 5,551      $ 5,505   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Less:

            

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     —          —          —          (10     (22     (59
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital excluding obligations secured by real estate

   $ 5,574      $ 5,531      $ 5,512      $ 5,331      $ 5,529      $ 5,446   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     18.3     18.4     18.5     16.5     18.4     19.3

Excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     12.9     13.0     13.1     13.5     15.4     15.6

 

(a) December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt.

 

Page 19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16      03/31/16      12/31/15      09/30/15      06/30/15      06/30/16      06/30/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance

                    

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $ 586       $ 547       $ 675       $ 585       $ 526       $ 1,133       $ 1,143   
     06/30/16      03/31/16      12/31/15      09/30/15      06/30/15      03/31/15         

Statutory Surplus

                    

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 2,601       $ 2,574       $ 2,488       $ 2,356       $ 2,399       $ 2,340      

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

   $ 2,089       $ 2,032       $ 1,918       $ 1,816       $ 1,911       $ 1,861      

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

                    

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 434       $ 434       $ 434       $ 315       $ 315       $ 315      

Annuity and Run-off

     375         375         375         358         358         358      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total

   $ 809       $ 809       $ 809       $ 673       $ 673       $ 673      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

Page 20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Carrying Value - June 30, 2016  
     Property and            Parent and                   % of  
     Casualty      Annuity and     Other Non-      Consolidate     Total AFG      Investment  
     Insurance      Run-off     Insurance      CLOs     Consolidated      Portfolio  

Total cash and investments:

               

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 866       $ 440      $ 242       $ —        $ 1,548         4

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     6,891         27,733        14         —          34,638         85

Fixed maturities - Trading

     154         117        —           —          271         1

Equity securities

     1,058         452        48         —          1,558         4

Policy loans

     —           195        —           —          195         0

Mortgage loans

     258         901        —           —          1,159         3

Real estate and other investments

     503         969        15         (217     1,270         3
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 9,730       $ 30,807      $ 319       $ (217   $ 40,639         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

   $ 68       $ 4      $ —         $ —        $ 72      
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    
     Carrying Value - December 31, 2015  
     Property and            Parent and                   % of  
     Casualty      Annuity and     Other Non-      Consolidate     Total AFG      Investment  
     Insurance      Run-off     Insurance      CLOs     Consolidated      Portfolio  

Total cash and investments:

               

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 708       $ 282      $ 230       $ —        $ 1,220         3

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     6,784         25,486        14         —          32,284         85

Fixed maturities - Trading

     140         114        —           —          254         1

Equity securities

     1,182         488        49         —          1,719         5

Policy loans

     —           201        —           —          201         0

Mortgage loans

     191         876        —           —          1,067         3

Real estate and other investments

     457         781        18         (265     991         3
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 9,462       $ 28,228      $ 311       $ (265   $ 37,736         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities

   $ 87       $ (3   $ —         $ —        $ 84      
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

Page 21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/16     03/31/16     12/31/15     09/30/15     06/30/15     06/30/16     06/30/15  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 66      $ 64      $ 63      $ 62      $ 62      $ 130      $ 123   

Fixed maturities - Trading

     1        1        —          —          —          2        4   

Equity securities

     12        13        14        12        12        25        22   

Equity in investees

     2        6        (1     7        3        8        4   

Other investments

     10        1        —          4        8        11        13   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     91        85        76        85        85        176        166   

Investment expenses

     (2     (2     (2     (2     (2     (4     (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 89      $ 83      $ 74      $ 83      $ 83      $ 172      $ 162   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

   $ 9,465      $ 9,366      $ 9,113      $ 8,984      $ 8,956      $ 9,397      $ 8,851   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

     3.76     3.54     3.25     3.70     3.71     3.66     3.66
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity:

              

Gross Investment Income

              

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 307      $ 294      $ 294      $ 288      $ 277      $ 601      $ 544   

Fixed maturities - Trading

     —          —          —          —          —          —          —     

Equity securities

     6        5        6        5        5        11        10   

Equity in investees

     2        5        2        11        1        7        3   

Other investments

     29        11        7        14        23        40        41   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     344        315        309        318        306        659        598   

Investment expenses

     (2     (3     (2     (3     (2     (5     (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 342      $ 312      $ 307      $ 315      $ 304      $ 654      $ 593   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average cash and investments (a)

   $ 27,964      $ 27,186      $ 26,401      $ 25,642      $ 24,711      $ 27,575      $ 24,327   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average yield (b)

     4.88     4.60     4.65     4.92     4.91     4.74     4.87
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

AFG consolidated net investment income:

              

Property & Casualty

   $ 89      $ 83      $ 74      $ 83      $ 83      $ 172      $ 162   

Annuity and Run-off:

              

Fixed Annuity

     342        312        307        315        304        654        593   

Variable Annuity

     2        3        2        2        2        5        5   

Run-off

     5        5        19        20        21        10        41   

Other

     4        1        3        2        (1     5        (1

Consolidate CLOs

     (19     7        11        3        (5     (12     (8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 423      $ 411      $ 416      $ 425      $ 404      $ 834      $ 792   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances.
(b) Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter.

 

Page 22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

                              % of  
     Amortized            Unrealized     % of     Investment  

June 30, 2016

   Cost     Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

US Government and government agencies

   $ 345      $ 351       $ 6        1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,657        7,169         512        20     18

Foreign government

     224        232         8        1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     3,482        3,751         269        11     9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     1,949        2,042         93        6     5

Asset-backed securities

     5,491        5,501         10        16     13

Corporate and other bonds

     15,005        15,863         858        45     39
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 33,153      $ 34,909       $ 1,756        100     86
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.62         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.57         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     6.5 years            

Approximate duration

     5 years            
                              % of  
     Amortized            Unrealized     % of     Investment  

December 31, 2015

   Cost     Fair Value      Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Portfolio  

US Government and government agencies

   $ 319      $ 321       $ 2        1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,671        6,885         214        21     18

Foreign government

     225        232         7        1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     3,241        3,534         293        11     9

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     2,112        2,188         76        7     6

Asset-backed securities

     4,961        4,934         (27     15     13

Corporate and other bonds

     14,290        14,444         154        44     38
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 31,819      $ 32,538       $ 719        100     86
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

           

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.74         

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.69         

Approximate average life and duration:

           

Approximate average life

     6.5 years            

Approximate duration

     5 years            

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

Page 23


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    June 30, 2016     December 31, 2015  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
    Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

Property and Casualty Insurance:

               

US Government and government agencies

  $ 291      $ 295      $ 4        4   $ 255      $ 257      $ 2        4

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    2,693        2,819        126        40     2,807        2,891        84        42

Foreign government

    213        219        6        3     213        219        6        3

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    987        1,025        38        15     893        932        39        13

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    197        202        5        3     209        213        4        3

Asset-backed securities

    1,503        1,502        (1     21     1,453        1,442        (11     21

Corporate and other bonds

    958        983        25        14     979        970        (9     14
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 6,842      $ 7,045      $ 203        100   $ 6,809      $ 6,924      $ 115        100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    3.91           3.82      

Net of investment expense (a)

    3.80           3.71      

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

    4.33           4.31      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    5 years              5 years         

Approximate duration

    3.5 years              4 years         
    June 30, 2016     December 31, 2015  
    Amortized           Unrealized     % of     Amortized           Unrealized     % of  
    Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value     Cost     Fair Value     Gain (Loss)     Fair Value  

Annuity and Run-off:

               

US Government and government agencies

  $ 53      $ 55      $ 2        0   $ 62      $ 62      $ —          0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

    3,964        4,350        386        16     3,864        3,994        130        15

Foreign government

    11        13        2        0     12        13        1        0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

    2,494        2,713        219        10     2,347        2,590        243        10

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    1,752        1,840        88        7     1,903        1,975        72        8

Asset-backed securities

    3,988        3,999        11        14     3,508        3,492        (16     14

Corporate and other bonds

    14,047        14,880        833        53     13,311        13,474        163        53
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

  $ 26,309      $ 27,850      $ 1,541        100   $ 25,007      $ 25,600      $ 593        100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

               

Excluding investment expense (a)

    4.80           4.98      

Net of investment expense (a)

    4.77           4.94      

Approximate average life and duration:

               

Approximate average life

    7 years              6.5 years         

Approximate duration

    5.5 years              5.5 years         

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

Page 24


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     June 30, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,482       $ 6,751       $ 269         19

AA

     6,912         7,352         440         21

A

     8,136         8,572         436         25

BBB

     7,893         8,277         384         24
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     29,423         30,952         1,529         89

BB

     801         801         —           2

B

     497         481         (16      1

Other (b)

     2,432         2,675         243         8
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,730         3,957         227         11
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 33,153       $ 34,909       $ 1,756         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

     December 31, 2015  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,519       $ 6,655       $ 136         20

AA

     6,785         6,954         169         22

A

     7,780         7,969         189         25

BBB

     7,478         7,507         29         23
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     28,562         29,085         523         90

BB

     790         765         (25      2

B

     438         417         (21      1

Other (b)

     2,029         2,271         242         7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

     3,257         3,453         196         10
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 31,819       $ 32,538       $ 719         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.
(b) See page 28 and 29 for more information.

 

Page 25


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

                                % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     Investment  

June 30, 2016

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 194       $ 200       $ 6         3     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,490         1,649         159         29     4

Alt-A

     1,080         1,149         69         20     3

Subprime

     718         753         35         13     2

Commercial

     1,949         2,042         93         35     5
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
Total AFG consolidated    $ 5,431       $ 5,793       $ 362         100     14
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

    Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

 

    The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 78%; Subprime 85%; CMBS 99%.

 

    The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 740; Alt-A 712; Subprime 640.

 

    97% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (83% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 40%.

 

    The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 5 years; Commercial 3 years.

 

                                % of  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     Investment  

December 31, 2015

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 260       $ 269       $ 9         5     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,489         1,651         162         29     4

Alt-A

     794         872         78         15     2

Subprime

     698         742         44         13     2

Commercial

     2,112         2,188         76         38     6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 5,353       $ 5,722       $ 369         100     15
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 26


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

   June 30, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 136       $ 140       $ 4         11     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     205         218         13         18     2

Alt-A

     356         369         13         30     4

Subprime

     290         298         8         24     3

Commercial

     197         202         5         18     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,184       $ 1,227       $ 43         100     13
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2015  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 151       $ 153       $ 2         13     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     218         231         13         20     2

Alt-A

     241         257         16         23     3

Subprime

     283         291         8         25     3

Commercial

     209         213         4         19     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,102       $ 1,145       $ 43         100     12
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off:

   June 30, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 58       $ 60       $ 2         1     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,284         1,418         134         31     5

Alt-A

     724         780         56         17     3

Subprime

     428         455         27         10     1

Commercial

     1,752         1,840         88         41     6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 4,246       $ 4,553       $ 307         100     15
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
     December 31, 2015  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of     % of Inv  

By Asset Type

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value     Portfolio  

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 109       $ 116       $ 7         3     0

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,270         1,408         138         31     5

Alt-A

     553         615         62         13     2

Subprime

     415         451         36         10     2

Commercial

     1,903         1,975         72         43     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 4,250       $ 4,565       $ 315         100     16
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Page 27


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     June 30, 2016  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 2,120       $ 2,230       $ 110         38

AA

     231         238         7         4

A

     311         326         15         6

BBB

     216         230         14         4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal – investment grade

     2,878         3,024         146         52

BB

     286         289         3         5

B

     343         343         —           6

Other

     1,924         2,137         213         37
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 5,431       $ 5,793       $ 362         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

     December 31, 2015  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating (a)

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 2,409       $ 2,494       $ 85         43

AA

     255         263         8         5

A

     329         345         16         6

BBB

     272         292         20         5
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal – investment grade

     3,265         3,394         129         59

BB

     253         258         5         5

B

     305         311         6         5

Other

     1,530         1,759         229         31
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 5,353       $ 5,722       $ 369         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 28


Appendix A

American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

    Fair Value - June 30, 2016  

By Credit Rating (a)

  US Gov     Munis     Frgn gov     RMBS     CMBS     ABS     Corp/Oth     Total     % Total  

Investment grade

                 

AAA

  $ 297      $ 1,781      $ 152      $ 537      $ 1,693      $ 2,104      $ 187      $ 6,751        19

AA

    46        4,648        23        159        80        1,379        1,017        7,352        21

A

    —          508        57        177        148        1,469        6,213        8,572        25

BBB

    —          92        —          168        62        530        7,425        8,277        24
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

    343        7,029        232        1,041        1,983        5,482        14,842        30,952        89

BB

    —          4        —          245        44        13        495        801        2

B

    —          8        —          328        15        2        128        481        1

CCC, CC, C

    —          9        —          909        —          4        24        946        3

D

    —          —          —          780        —          —          7        787        2
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

    —          21        —          2,262        59        19        654        3,015        8

Not Rated

    8        119        —          448        —          —          367        942        3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 351      $ 7,169      $ 232      $ 3,751      $ 2,042      $ 5,501      $ 15,863      $ 34,909        100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
    Fair Value - December 31, 2015  

By Credit Rating (a)

  US Gov     Munis     Frgn gov     RMBS     CMBS     ABS     Corp/Oth     Total     % Total  

Investment grade

                 

AAA

  $ 262      $ 1,607      $ 138      $ 640      $ 1,854      $ 1,986      $ 168      $ 6,655        20

AA

    44        4,488        32        151        112        1,239        888        6,954        21

A

    —          569        62        173        172        1,252        5,741        7,969        25

BBB

    —          92        —          248        44        429        6,694        7,507        23
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

    306        6,756        232        1,212        2,182        4,906        13,491        29,085        89

BB

    —          20        —          258        —          14        473        765        3

B

    —          —          —          306        6        2        103        417        1

CCC, CC, C

    —          9        —          894        —          4        11        918        3

D

    —          —          —          445        —          —          3        448        1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Non-Investment grade

    —          29        —          1,903        6        20        590        2,548        8

Not Rated

    15        100        —          419        —          8        363        905        3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $ 321      $ 6,885      $ 232      $ 3,534      $ 2,188      $ 4,934      $ 14,444      $ 32,538        100
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

Page 29

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