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Investments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011
Investments [Abstract]  
Investments
E.   Investments
Available for sale fixed maturities and equity securities at December 31 consisted of the following (in millions):
                                                                 
    2011     2010  
    Amortized     Fair     Gross Unrealized     Amortized     Fair     Gross Unrealized  
    Cost     Value     Gains     Losses     Cost     Value     Gains     Losses  
 
                                                               
Fixed maturities:
                                                               
U.S. Government and government agencies
  $ 363     $ 382     $ 19     $     $ 453     $ 467     $ 15     $ (1 )
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
    3,613       3,877       267       (3 )     2,927       2,939       53       (41 )
Foreign government
    236       254       18             269       278       9        
Residential MBS
    3,858       3,848       170       (180 )     3,781       3,875       222       (128 )
Commercial MBS
    2,628       2,840       218       (6 )     1,972       2,123       153       (2 )
All other corporate
    9,864       10,606       802       (60 )     9,088       9,646       602       (44 )
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Total fixed maturities
  $ 20,562     $ 21,807     $ 1,494     $ (249 )   $ 18,490     $ 19,328     $ 1,054     $ (216 )
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Common stocks
  $ 610     $ 797     $ 207     $ (20 )   $ 312     $ 543     $ 232     $ (1 )
 
                                               
 
                                                               
Perpetual preferred stocks
  $ 134     $ 131     $ 5     $ (8 )   $ 146     $ 147     $ 6     $ (5 )
 
                                               
The non-credit related portion of other-than-temporary impairment charges are included in other comprehensive income (loss). Such charges taken for residential MBS still owned at December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively, were $227 million and $258 million.
The following tables show gross unrealized losses (in millions) on fixed maturities and equity securities by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position at December 31, 2011 and 2010.
                                                 
    Less Than Twelve Months     Twelve Months or More  
    Unrealized     Fair     Fair Value as     Unrealized     Fair     Fair Value as  
    Loss     Value     % of Cost     Loss     Value     % of Cost  
2011
                                               
Fixed maturities:
                                               
U.S. Government and government agencies
  $     $ 2       100 %   $     $       %
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
    (2 )     120       98 %     (1 )     59       98 %
Foreign government
          1       100 %                 %
Residential MBS
    (59 )     1,141       95 %     (121 )     473       80 %
Commercial MBS
    (6 )     183       97 %           18       100 %
All other corporate
    (43 )     940       96 %     (17 )     114       87 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Total fixed maturities
  $ (110 )   $ 2,387       96 %   $ (139 )   $ 664       83 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Common stocks
  $ (19 )   $ 169       90 %   $ (1 )   $ 4       80 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Perpetual preferred stocks
  $ (1 )   $ 23       96 %   $ (7 )   $ 31       82 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
2010
                                               
Fixed maturities:
                                               
U.S. Government and government agencies
  $ (1 )   $ 86       99 %   $     $       %
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
    (38 )     1,180       97 %     (3 )     40       93 %
Foreign government
          37       99 %                 %
Residential MBS
    (11 )     412       97 %     (117 )     551       82 %
Commercial MBS
    (2 )     83       98 %           15       97 %
All other corporate
    (24 )     1,020       98 %     (20 )     275       93 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Total fixed maturities
  $ (76 )   $ 2,818       97 %   $ (140 )   $ 881       86 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Common stocks
  $     $ 21       99 %   $ (1 )   $ 4       88 %
 
                                       
 
                                               
Perpetual preferred stocks
  $     $ 22       98 %   $ (5 )   $ 37       88 %
 
                                       
At December 31, 2011, the gross unrealized losses on fixed maturities of $249 million relate to approximately 850 securities. Investment grade securities (as determined by nationally recognized rating agencies) represented approximately 38% of the gross unrealized loss and 62% of the fair value.
Gross Unrealized Losses on MBS At December 31, 2011, gross unrealized losses on AFG’s residential MBS represented 72% of the total gross unrealized loss on fixed maturity securities and 87% of the “twelve months or more”. Of the residential MBS that have been in an unrealized loss position (“impaired”) for 12 months or more (239 securities), approximately 27% of the unrealized losses and 49% of the fair value relate to investment grade rated securities. AFG analyzes its MBS for other-than-temporary impairment each quarter based upon expected future cash flows. Management estimates expected future cash flows based upon its knowledge of the MBS market, cash flow projections (which reflect loan to collateral values, subordination, vintage and geographic concentration) received from independent sources, implied cash flows inherent in security ratings and analysis of historical payment data. For 2011, AFG recorded in earnings $52 million in other-than-temporary impairment charges related to its residential MBS.
Gross Unrealized Losses on All Other Corporates AFG recorded in earnings approximately $6 million in other-than-temporary impairment charges on “all other corporate” securities during 2011. Management concluded that no additional charges for other-than-temporary impairments were required based on many factors, including AFG’s ability and intent to hold the investments for a period of time sufficient to allow for anticipated recovery of its amortized cost, the length of time and the extent to which fair value has been below cost, analysis of historical and projected company-specific financial data, the outlook for industry sectors, and credit ratings.
The following table is a progression of the credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments on fixed maturity securities for which the non-credit portion of an impairment has been recognized in other comprehensive income (loss)(in millions).
                         
    2011     2010     2009  
Balance at January 1
  $ 143     $ 99     $ 14  
Additional credit impairments on:
                       
Previously impaired securities
    44       44       26  
Securities without prior impairments
    8       9       72  
Reductions — disposals
    (8 )     (9 )     (13 )
 
                 
 
                       
Balance at December 31
  $ 187     $ 143     $ 99  
 
                 
The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of available for sale fixed maturities as of December 31, 2011 (in millions). Asset-backed securities and other securities with sinking funds are reported at average maturity. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid by the issuers. MBS had an average life of approximately 4 years at December 31, 2011.
                         
    Amortized     Fair Value  
    Cost     Amount     %  
Maturity
                       
One year or less
  $ 603     $ 615       3 %
After one year through five years
    5,196       5,478       25  
After five years through ten years
    6,437       6,998       32  
After ten years
    1,840       2,028       9  
 
                 
 
    14,076       15,119       69  
MBS
    6,486       6,688       31  
 
                 
 
                       
Total
  $ 20,562     $ 21,807       100 %
 
                 
Certain risks are inherent in connection with fixed maturity securities, including loss upon default, price volatility in reaction to changes in interest rates, and general market factors and risks associated with reinvestment of proceeds due to prepayments or redemptions in a period of declining interest rates.
There were no investments in individual issuers that exceeded 10% of Shareholders’ Equity at December 31, 2011 or 2010.
Net Unrealized Gain on Marketable Securities In addition to adjusting equity securities and fixed maturity securities classified as “available for sale” to fair value, GAAP requires that deferred policy acquisition costs related to annuities and certain other balance sheet amounts be adjusted to the extent that unrealized gains and losses from securities would result in adjustments to those balances had the unrealized gains or losses actually been realized. The following table shows (in millions) the components of the net unrealized gain on securities that is included in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income in AFG’s Balance Sheet.
                         
            Deferred Tax and        
            Amounts Attributable        
            to Noncontrolling        
    Pre-tax     Interests     Net  
December 31, 2011
                       
Unrealized gain on:
                       
Fixed maturity securities
  $ 1,245     $ (444 )   $ 801  
Equity securities
    184       (65 )     119  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    (572 )     200       (372 )
Annuity benefits and other liabilities
    10       (3 )     7  
 
                 
 
                       
 
  $ 867     $ (312 )   $ 555  
 
                 
 
                       
December 31, 2010
                       
Unrealized gain on:
                       
Fixed maturity securities
  $ 838     $ (295 )   $ 543  
Equity securities
    232       (82 )     150  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    (340 )     118       (222 )
Annuity benefits and other liabilities
    6       (2 )     4  
 
                 
 
                       
 
  $ 736     $ (261 )   $ 475  
 
                 
Realized gains (losses) and changes in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) related to fixed maturity and equity security investments are summarized as follows (in millions):
                                                         
                    Mortgage                              
                    Loans                     Noncon-        
    Fixed     Equity     and Other             Tax     trolling        
    Maturities     Securities     Investments     Other(a)     Effects     Interests     Total  
2011
                                                       
Realized before impairments
  $ 68     $ 88     $ (24 )   $ (4 )   $ (45 )   $ (2 )   $ 81  
Realized — impairments
    (57 )     (6 )     (5 )     16       18       1       (33 )
Change in unrealized
    407       (48 )           (228 )     (46 )     (5 )     80  
 
                                                       
2010
                                                       
Realized before impairments
    146       36       (5 )     (14 )     (57 )     (2 )     104  
Realized — impairments
    (79 )     (1 )     (6 )     24       22             (40 )
Change in unrealized
    751       49             (316 )     (169 )     (2 )     313  
 
                                                       
2009
                                                       
Realized before impairments
    207       61       1       (23 )     (82 )     (5 )     159  
Realized — impairments
    (221 )     (22 )     (28 )     68       72       1       (130 )
Change in unrealized
    2,005       126             (788 )     (471 )     (6 )     866  
     
(a)   Primarily adjustments to deferred policy acquisition costs related to annuities.
Realized gains (losses) on securities include net losses of less than $1 million in 2011 and net gains of $50 million in 2010 and $157 million in 2009 from the mark-to-market of certain MBS, primarily interest-only securities with interest rates that float inversely with short-term rates. Gross realized gains and losses (excluding impairment writedowns and mark-to-market of derivatives) on available for sale fixed maturity and equity security investment transactions included in the Statement of Cash Flows consisted of the following (in millions):
                         
    2011     2010     2009  
Fixed maturities:
                       
Gross gains
  $ 77     $ 108     $ 92  
Gross losses
    (9 )     (11 )     (43 )
 
                       
Equity securities:
                       
Gross gains
    90       35       82  
Gross losses
    (1 )           (21 )