10-Q 1 pma10q.htm PMA 10Q pma10q.htm
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q
(MARK ONE)
/X/
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
 
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

FOR THE QUARTERLY PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007

OR

/  /
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
 
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

FOR THE TRANSITION PERIOD FROM _____ TO _____


Commission File Number 001-31706

PMA Capital Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Pennsylvania
23-2217932
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
   
380 Sentry Parkway
 
Blue Bell, Pennsylvania
19422
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

(610) 397-5298
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not applicable
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. YES /X/ NO /  /

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).  Large Accelerated Filer /  / Accelerated Filer /X/ Non-accelerated Filer /  /

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
YES /  / NO /X/

There were 31,920,486 shares outstanding of the registrant’s Class A Common Stock, $5 par value per share, as of the close of business on November 2, 2007.



INDEX


     
   
Page
     
Part I.
Financial Information
 
     
Item 1.
Financial Statements
 
     
 
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2007 and
 
 
December 31, 2006 (unaudited)
     
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations for the three and nine months
 
 
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (unaudited)
     
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the nine months ended
 
 
September 30, 2007 and 2006 (unaudited)
     
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) for the three
 
 
and nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 (unaudited)
     
 
Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
     
Item 2.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
 
 
Results of Operations
     
Item 3.
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk
     
Item 4.
Controls and Procedures
     
Part II.
Other Information
 
     
Item 1.
Legal Proceedings
     
Item 1A.
Risk Factors
     
Item 2.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
     
Item 6.
Exhibits
     
Signatures
     
Exhibit Index



Part I.                      Financial Information
Item 1.                      Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Unaudited)

   
As of
   
As of
 
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands, except share data)
 
2007
   
2006
 
               
Assets: 
           
Investments:
           
 Fixed maturities available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007 - $728,952; 2006 - $881,348)
  $
725,637
    $
871,951
 
 Fixed maturities trading, at fair value (amortized cost and
               
  accrued investment income: 2007 - $50,785)
   
50,412
     
-
 
 Short-term investments
   
104,692
     
86,448
 
  Total investments
   
880,741
     
958,399
 
                   
Cash  
   
8,687
     
14,105
 
Accrued investment income
   
5,799
     
9,351
 
Premiums receivable (net of valuation allowance: 2007 - $10,921; 2006 - $9,563)
   
259,920
     
207,771
 
Reinsurance receivables (net of valuation allowance: 2007 - $11,891; 2006 - $12,891)
   
1,107,292
     
1,039,979
 
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
   
42,334
     
26,730
 
Deferred income taxes, net
   
103,284
     
100,019
 
Deferred acquisition costs
   
42,626
     
36,239
 
Funds held by reinsureds
   
104,715
     
130,214
 
Other assets
   
159,032
     
143,600
 
 Total assets
  $
2,714,430
    $
2,666,407
 
                   
Liabilities:
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $
1,586,471
    $
1,634,865
 
Unearned premiums
   
257,598
     
202,973
 
Long-term debt
   
135,072
     
131,211
 
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities
   
225,783
     
191,540
 
Reinsurance funds held and balances payable
   
97,651
     
82,275
 
Dividends to policyholders
   
4,730
     
4,450
 
 Total liabilities
   
2,307,305
     
2,247,314
 
                   
Commitments and contingencies (Note 6)
               
                   
Shareholders' Equity:
               
Class A Common Stock, $5 par value, 60,000,000 shares authorized
(2007 - 34,217,945 shares issued and 31,920,486 outstanding;
2006 - 34,217,945 shares issued and 32,659,194 outstanding)
   
171,090
     
171,090
 
Additional paid-in capital
   
110,687
     
109,922
 
Retained earnings
   
174,190
     
184,216
 
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
    (16,673 )     (20,624 )
Treasury stock, at cost (2007 - 2,297,459 shares; 2006 - 1,558,751 shares)
    (32,169 )     (25,511 )
 Total shareholders' equity
   
407,125
     
419,093
 
 Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
  $
2,714,430
    $
2,666,407
 

See accompanying notes to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.

1


Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations
(Unaudited)

     
Three Months Ended   
   
Nine Months Ended   
 
     
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
(dollar amounts in thousands, except per share data)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                           
Revenues:
                       
Net premiums written
  $
117,332
    $
108,338
    $
328,214
    $
308,119
 
Change in net unearned premiums
    (22,454 )     (13,054 )     (40,773 )     (26,254 )
 Net premiums earned
   
94,878
     
95,284
     
287,441
     
281,865
 
Net investment income
   
10,670
     
10,747
     
32,320
     
33,205
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)
   
937
      (799 )     (1,247 )     (959 )
Other revenues
   
7,649
     
6,624
     
23,050
     
21,014
 
 Total revenues
   
114,134
     
111,856
     
341,564
     
335,125
 
                                   
Losses and expenses:
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
   
85,610
     
66,754
     
220,786
     
198,526
 
Acquisition expenses
   
18,221
     
19,811
     
56,372
     
56,688
 
Operating expenses
   
18,589
     
18,953
     
57,308
     
60,520
 
Dividends to policyholders
   
2,205
     
589
     
5,874
     
3,022
 
Interest expense
   
3,075
     
3,039
     
8,734
     
10,685
 
 Total losses and expenses
   
127,700
     
109,146
     
349,074
     
329,441
 
                                  
Income (loss) before income taxes
    (13,566 )    
2,710
      (7,510 )    
5,684
 
                                  
Income tax expense (benefit):
                               
Current
   
537
     
-
     
737
     
-
 
Deferred
    (5,300 )    
1,209
      (3,281 )    
2,464
 
 Total
    (4,763 )    
1,209
      (2,544 )    
2,464
 
Net income (loss)
  $ (8,803 )   $
1,501
    $ (4,966 )   $
3,220
 
                                   
Net income (loss) per share:
                               
Basic
    $ (0.28 )   $
0.05
    $ (0.15 )   $
0.10
 
Diluted
  $ (0.28 )   $
0.05
    $ (0.15 )   $
0.10
 
 
See accompanying notes to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
2

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)

                   
Nine Months Ended
                   
September 30,
(dollar amounts in thousands)
         
2007
   
2006
                           
Cash flows from operating activities:
                 
Net income (loss)
           
 $
        (4,966)
 
 $
          3,220
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash flows
                 
   used in operating activities:
                 
 
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
         
         (3,281)
   
          2,464
 
Net realized investment losses
         
           1,247
   
             959
 
Stock-based compensation
         
            1,413
   
           1,785
 
Depreciation and amortization
         
          2,829
   
          6,959
 
Change in:
                     
   
Premiums receivable and unearned premiums, net
         
          2,476
   
       23,530
   
Reinsurance receivables
         
      (67,313)
   
        25,521
   
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
         
      (15,604)
   
       (17,801)
   
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
         
     (48,394)
   
    (129,560)
   
Funds held by reinsureds
         
       25,499
   
         13,152
   
Reinsurance funds held and balances payable
         
        15,376
   
          6,994
   
Deferred acquisition costs
         
        (6,387)
   
         (6,148)
   
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities
         
        34,812
   
             674
   
Dividends to policyholders
         
             280
   
             292
   
Accrued investment income
         
          3,552
   
             535
 
Other, net
             
       (16,187)
   
        (7,982)
Net cash flows used in operating activities
         
     (74,648)
   
     (75,406)
                           
Cash flows from investing activities:
                 
 
Fixed maturities available for sale:
                 
   
Purchases
           
    (209,316)
   
   (229,355)
   
Maturities or calls
         
        53,241
   
        87,147
   
Sales
             
      147,900
   
     278,789
 
Fixed maturities trading:
                 
   
Maturities or calls
         
       20,554
   
                   -
   
Sales
             
        83,641
   
                   -
 
Net purchases of short-term investments
         
      (17,652)
   
            (631)
 
Other, net
             
         (3,416)
   
          (1,001)
Net cash flows provided by investing activities
         
       74,952
   
      134,949
                           
Cash flows from financing activities:
                 
 
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
         
        20,619
   
                   -
 
Debt issuance cost
         
           (604)
   
                   -
 
Repayments of long-term debt
         
      (17,297)
   
     (60,622)
 
Purchase of Class A Common Stock
         
          (8,611)
   
                   -
 
Proceeds from exercise of stock options
         
             444
   
            1,316
 
Shares purchased under stock-based compensation plans
         
           (273)
   
              (89)
Net cash flows used in financing activities
         
        (5,722)
   
     (59,395)
                           
Net increase (decrease) in cash
         
         (5,418)
   
              148
Cash - beginning of period
         
         14,105
   
       30,239
Cash - end of period
         
 $
          8,687
 
 $
       30,387
                           
Supplemental cash flow information:
                 
 
Interest paid
         
 $
           8,416
 
 $
         11,226
 
Income taxes paid
       
 $
             737
 
 $
                   -
   Non-cash financing activities:
                 
 
Common stock issued to redeem convertible debt
       
 $
                   -
 
 $
          3,074
                           
See accompanying notes to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.

3


 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss)
(Unaudited)
 
   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Net income (loss)
  $ (8,803 )   $
1,501
    $ (4,966 )   $
3,220
 
                                 
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
                               
Unrealized gains (losses) on securities:
                               
Holding gains (losses) arising during the period
   
6,798
     
12,675
      (32 )     (3,977 )
Less:  reclassification adjustment for (gains)
                               
losses included in net income (loss), net of
                               
tax (expense) benefit:  $131 and ($60) for the
                               
three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006;
                               
$3 and $326 for the nine months ended
                               
September 30, 2007 and 2006
   
243
      (112 )    
5
     
605
 
                                 
Total unrealized gain (loss) on securities
   
7,041
     
12,563
      (27 )     (3,372 )
                                 
Net periodic benefit cost, net of tax expense: $16 and $82
                               
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007
   
30
     
-
     
152
     
-
 
Unrealized gain (loss) from derivative instruments designated
                         
as cash flow hedges, net of tax expense (benefit):  ($87)
                               
and ($509) for the three months ended September 30, 2007
                         
and 2006; ($47) and $19 for the nine months ended
                               
September 30, 2007 and 2006
    (162 )     (946 )     (88 )    
36
 
Foreign currency translation gain (loss), net of tax
                               
expense (benefit):  ($7) and $2 for the three months
                               
ended September 30, 2007 and 2006; ($8) and $5 for the
                               
nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006
    (13 )    
3
      (14 )    
10
 
                                 
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
   
6,896
     
11,620
     
23
      (3,326 )
                                 
Comprehensive income (loss)
  $ (1,907 )   $
13,121
    $ (4,943 )   $ (106 )

 
See accompanying notes to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements.

4


Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

1.      BUSINESS DESCRIPTION

The accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of PMA Capital Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as “PMA Capital” or the “Company”).  PMA Capital Corporation is an insurance holding company that operates the companies comprising The PMA Insurance Group and manages the run-off of its former reinsurance and excess and surplus lines operations.

The PMA Insurance Group — The PMA Insurance Group writes workers’ compensation and, to a lesser extent, other standard lines of commercial insurance, primarily in the eastern part of the United States.  Approximately 90% of The PMA Insurance Group’s business is produced through independent agents and brokers.

Run-off Operations— Run-off Operations consists of the results of the Company’s former reinsurance and excess and surplus lines businesses.  The Company’s former reinsurance operations offered excess of loss and pro rata property and casualty reinsurance protection mainly through reinsurance brokers.  The Company withdrew from the reinsurance business in November 2003 and from the excess and surplus lines business in May 2002.

2.      SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

A.  Basis of Presentation The condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X.  It is management’s opinion that all adjustments, consisting of normal recurring adjustments, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included.  Certain amounts in the prior year have been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation.

The preparation of consolidated financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make certain estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the period.  Due to this and certain other factors, such as the seasonal nature of portions of the insurance business and the decision to withdraw from the reinsurance business, as well as competitive and other market conditions, operating results for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year.

The information included in this Form 10-Q should be read in conjunction with the Company’s audited consolidated financial statements and footnotes included in its 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

B.  Investments – All fixed maturities in the Company’s investment portfolio are carried at fair value.  Changes in fair value of fixed maturities classified as available for sale, net of income tax effects, are reflected in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).  Changes in fair value of fixed maturities classified as trading are reported in realized investment gains (losses).  All short-term, highly liquid investments that have original maturities of one year or less from acquisition date are treated as short-term investments and are carried at amortized cost, which approximates fair value.

C.  Recent Accounting PronouncementsEffective January 1, 2007, the Company early adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS 157”), and Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities” (“SFAS 159”).  See Note 10 for the impact of the Company’s adoption of these Statements.

Effective January 1, 2007, the Company adopted FASB Interpretation No. 48, “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes – an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109 (“SFAS 109”)” (“FIN 48”).  See Note 11 for the impact of this adoption.

3.      UNPAID LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES

At September 30, 2007, the Company estimated that its liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) for all insurance policies and reinsurance contracts issued by its insurance businesses is $1,586.5 million.  This amount includes estimated losses from claims plus estimated expenses to settle claims.  This estimate includes amounts for losses occurring on or prior to September 30, 2007 whether or not these claims have been reported to the Company.

5

Unpaid losses and LAE reflect management’s best estimate of future amounts needed to pay claims and related settlement costs with respect to insured events which have occurred, including events that have not been reported to the Company.  Due to the “long-tail” nature of a significant portion of the Company’s business, in many cases, significant periods of time, ranging up to several years or more, may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to the Company and the Company’s payment of that loss.  The Company defines long-tail business as those lines of business in which a majority of coverage involves average loss payment lags of several years beyond the expiration of the policy.  The Company’s major long-tail lines include its workers’ compensation and casualty reinsurance business.  In addition, because reinsurers rely on their ceding companies to provide them with information regarding incurred losses, it takes longer for reinsurers to find out about reported claims than for primary insurers and such claims may be subject to more unforeseen development and uncertainty.  As part of the process for determining the Company’s unpaid losses and LAE, various actuarial models are used that analyze historical data and consider the impact of current developments and trends, such as trends in claims severity and frequency and claims settlement trends.  Also considered are legal developments, regulatory trends, legislative developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions.

During the third quarter of 2007, the Run-off Operations increased its net loss reserves for prior accident years by $22 million.  During the third quarter, the Company’s actuaries conducted their periodic comprehensive reserve review.  Based on the actuarial work performed, the Company’s actuaries observed increased loss development from a limited number of ceding companies on its claims-made general liability business, primarily related to professional liability claims.  This increase in 2007 loss trends caused management to determine that reserve levels, primarily for accident years 2001 to 2003, needed to be increased by $22 million.  The claims-made book of business represents approximately 20% of the Run-off Operations gross reserves at September 30, 2007.

For the Company’s asbestos and environmental exposures, estimating reserves continues to be difficult because of several factors, including: (i) evolving methodologies for the estimation of the liabilities; (ii) lack of reliable historical claim data; (iii) uncertainties with respect to insurance and reinsurance coverage related to these obligations; (iv) changing judicial interpretations; and (v) changing government standards.  Management believes that its reserves for asbestos and environmental claims have been appropriately established based upon known facts, existing case law and generally accepted actuarial methodologies.  However, the potential exists for changes in federal and state standards for clean-up and liability and changing interpretations by courts resulting from the resolution of coverage issues.  Coverage issues in cases in which the Company is a party include disputes concerning proof of insurance coverage, questions of allocation of liability and damages among the insured and participating insurers, assertions that asbestos claims are not products or completed operations claims subject to an aggregate limit and contentions that more than a single occurrence exists for purposes of determining the available coverage.  Therefore, the Company’s ultimate exposure for these claims may vary significantly from the amounts currently recorded, resulting in potential future adjustments that could be material to the Company’s financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.
 
Management believes that its unpaid losses and LAE are fairly stated at September 30, 2007.  However, estimating the ultimate claims liability is necessarily a complex and judgmental process inasmuch as the amounts are based on management’s informed estimates, assumptions and judgments using data currently available.  As additional experience and data become available regarding claims payment and reporting patterns, legal and legislative developments, judicial theories of liability, the impact of regulatory trends on benefit levels for both medical and indemnity payments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, the estimates are revised accordingly.  If the Company’s ultimate losses, net of reinsurance, prove to differ substantially from the amounts recorded at September 30, 2007, then the related adjustments could have a material adverse impact on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.


6


The following table summarizes the effect on the Company’s underwriting assets and liabilities of the commutation of certain reinsurance contracts by the Run-off Operations segment occurring during the first nine months of 2007.
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
     
Assets:
     
Funds held by reinsureds
  $ (32,813 )
         
Liabilities:
       
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ (28,503 )
Other liabilities
    (7,695 )
         
 
4.        REINSURANCE

The Company follows the customary practice of reinsuring with other insurance companies a portion of the risks under the policies written by its insurance subsidiaries.  The Company’s insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries maintain reinsurance to protect themselves against the severity of losses on individual claims and unusually serious occurrences in which a number of claims in the aggregate produce a significant loss.  Although reinsurance does not discharge the insurance subsidiaries from their primary liabilities to their policyholders for losses insured under the insurance policies, it does make the assuming reinsurer liable to the insurance subsidiaries for the reinsured portion of the risk.

The components of net premiums written and earned, and losses and LAE incurred were as follows:

   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended   
 
   
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Premiums written:
                       
Direct
  $
146,547
    $
127,334
    $
418,280
    $
347,007
 
Assumed
   
4,492
     
6,937
     
16,082
     
21,306
 
Ceded
    (33,707 )     (25,933 )     (106,148 )     (60,194 )
Net
  $
117,332
    $
108,338
    $
328,214
    $
308,119
 
Premiums earned:
                               
Direct
  $
121,065
    $
103,879
    $
355,648
    $
307,431
 
Assumed
   
2,458
     
2,070
     
17,036
     
16,658
 
Ceded
    (28,645 )     (10,665 )     (85,243 )     (42,224 )
Net
  $
94,878
    $
95,284
    $
287,441
    $
281,865
 
Losses and LAE:
                               
Direct
  $
98,657
    $
77,629
    $
271,161
    $
210,189
 
Assumed
   
13,295
     
4,843
     
19,765
     
17,952
 
Ceded
    (26,342 )     (15,718 )     (70,140 )     (29,615 )
Net
  $
85,610
    $
66,754
    $
220,786
    $
198,526
 
                                 
 
In the first quarter of 2006, the Company began to non-renew existing in-force and discontinue writing new integrated disability business.  Effective August 1, 2007, the Company purchased reinsurance covering substantially all unpaid losses and LAE related to its integrated disability business.  Under the agreement, the reinsurer will also handle the servicing and benefit payments related to this business.  Upon entering into this agreement, the Company ceded $25.7 million in carried loss and LAE reserves and paid $22.7 million in cash.  Because the coverage is retroactive, the Company deferred the initial benefit of this cession, which is being amortized over the estimated settlement period of the losses using the interest method.  Accordingly, the Company has a deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance of $3.0 million at September 30, 2007, which is included in accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities on the Balance Sheet.


7


In September 2006, the Company entered into an agreement with Midwest General Insurance Agency (“MGIA”) under which MGIA underwrites and services workers’ compensation policies in California using the Company’s approved forms and rates.  Upon inception, the Company ceded 100% of the direct premiums and related losses on this business to non-affiliated reinsurers selected by the Company, including Midwest Insurance Company (“Midwest”), an affiliate of MGIA.  Effective April 1, 2007, the Company retained 5% of the direct premiums and related losses on this business.  The Company’s retention of this business increased to 10%, effective September 1, 2007.  All of the participating reinsurers, except for Midwest, have current A.M. Best Company, Inc. (“A.M. Best”) financial strength ratings of “A-” (Excellent) or higher.  Midwest does not have an A.M. Best financial strength rating.  The Company has further mitigated its credit risk with Midwest by requiring Midwest to secure amounts owed by holding cash in trust.  The Company earns an administrative fee based upon the actual amount of premiums earned pursuant to the agreement.  Total direct premiums written under this agreement were $13.7 million and $47.0 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to $2.1 million for the same periods in 2006.

In 2004, the Company purchased reinsurance covering potential adverse loss development of the loss and LAE reserves of the Run-off Operations.  Upon entering into the agreement, the Company ceded $100 million in carried loss and LAE reserves and paid $146.5 million in cash.  In 2005, the Run-off Operations ceded $30 million in losses and LAE under this agreement.  In the third quarter of 2007, an additional $22 million in losses and LAE were ceded under this agreement.  See Note 3 for additional information about prior year loss reserve development at the Run-off Operations.  Because the coverage is retroactive, the Run-off Operations deferred the initial benefit of these cessions, which is being amortized over the estimated settlement period of the losses using the interest method.  Accordingly, the Company has a deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance of $46.1 million as of September 30, 2007, which is included in accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities on the Balance Sheet.  Amortization of the deferred gain in the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 reduced loss and loss adjustment expenses by $462,000 and $1.4 million, respectively, compared to $438,000 and $1.3 million for the same periods last year.  As of September 30, 2007, the Company also had $43.7 million included in other assets for other receivables due under the contract, such as interest credited on prepaid amounts.  The Company’s net assets recorded on a statutory basis for this contract exceeded the consolidated GAAP net assets by $8.4 million at September 30, 2007.

At September 30, 2007, the Run-off Operations had $53 million of available coverage under this agreement for future adverse loss development.  Any future cession of losses may require the Company to cede additional premiums of up to $14 million on a pro rata basis, at the following contractually determined levels:

Additional
   
Losses ceded
 
Additional premiums
$0 - $28 million
 
Up to $14 million
$28 - $53 million
 
 No additional premiums
     
 
In addition, the contract requires an additional premium of $2.5 million if it is not commuted by December 31, 2007.  This additional premium as well as the additional premiums due for any future losses ceded have been prepaid as part of the original $146.5 million payment and are included in other assets on the Balance Sheet.

The PMA Insurance Group has recorded reinsurance receivables of $13.9 million at September 30, 2007, related to certain umbrella policies covering years prior to 1977.  The reinsurer had previously disputed the extent of coverage under these policies.  Subsequent to September 30, 2007, the Company settled this dispute with the reinsurer.

8

5.      DEBT

The components of long-term debt were as follows:
 
   
As of
   
As of
       
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
       
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
Maturity
 
6.50% Convertible Debt
  $
4,584
    $
19,326
   
2022
 
Derivative component of 6.50% Convertible Debt
   
762
     
3,115
       
4.25% Convertible Debt
   
455
     
455
   
2022
 
8.50% Senior Notes
   
54,900
     
54,900
   
2018
 
Junior subordinated debt
   
64,435
     
43,816
   
 2033 - 2037
 
Surplus Notes
   
10,000
     
10,000
   
2035
 
Unamortized debt discount
    (64 )     (401 )        
Total long-term debt
  $
135,072
    $
131,211
         
                         

In June 2007, the Company issued $20.6 million of 30-year floating rate junior subordinated securities to a wholly-owned statutory trust subsidiary.  The junior subordinated debt matures in 2037 and is redeemable, in whole or in part, immediately at 107.5% of par, or in 2012 at par, plus accrued and unpaid interest.  The interest rate on the junior subordinated debt equals the three-month London InterBank Offered Rate plus 3.55%, and interest on this debt is payable on a quarterly basis.

The Company has the right to defer interest payments on the junior subordinated securities for up to twenty consecutive quarters but, if so deferred, it may not declare or pay cash dividends or distributions on its Class A Common Stock.  The Company has guaranteed the obligations of the statutory trust subsidiary with respect to distributions and payments on the trust preferred securities issued by this trust.

The Company used a portion of the $20.0 million net proceeds from the recently issued junior subordinated debt to purchase, in the open market, its 6.50% Senior Secured Convertible Debt due 2022 (“6.50% Convertible Debt”).  The Company retired $14.7 million principal amount of its 6.50% Convertible Debt, including $8.1 million in the third quarter, for which it paid $17.3 million, including $9.6 million in the third quarter, exclusive of accrued interest.  As the derivative component of the debt was already reflected in the debt balance, the purchase activity did not result in any significant realized gain or loss.

The Company had previously entered into interest rate swaps with an aggregated notional amount of $52.5 million that it had designated as cash flow hedges to manage interest costs and cash flows associated with the variable interest rates on its junior subordinated debt and its Floating Rate Surplus Notes due 2035 (“Surplus Notes”).  During 2007, the Company settled these interest rate swaps and received net proceeds of $578,000.

In June 2007, the Company entered into new interest rate swaps that it has designated as cash flow hedges to manage interest costs and cash flows associated with the variable interest rates on a portion of its junior subordinated debt and its Surplus Notes.  There was no consideration paid or received for these swaps.  The swaps will effectively convert $10.0 million of the junior subordinated debt and $10.0 million of Surplus Notes to fixed rate debt with interest rates of 9.40% and 9.93%, respectively.

In September 2007, the Company entered into a new interest rate swap that it has designated as a cash flow hedge to manage interest costs and cash flows associated with the variable interest rates on a portion of its junior subordinated debt.  There was no consideration paid or received for this swap.  The swap will effectively convert $20.0 million of the junior subordinated debt to fixed rate debt with an interest rate of 8.29%.

9

6.      COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

The Company’s businesses are subject to a changing social, economic, legal, legislative and regulatory environment that could materially affect them.  Some of the changes include initiatives to restrict insurance pricing and the application of underwriting standards and reinterpretations of insurance contracts long after the policies were written in an effort to provide coverage unanticipated by the Company.  The eventual effect on the Company of the changing environment in which it operates remains uncertain.

In the event a property and casualty insurer operating in a jurisdiction where the Company’s insurance subsidiaries also operate becomes or is declared insolvent, state insurance regulations provide for the assessment of other insurers to fund any capital deficiency of the insolvent insurer.  Generally, this assessment is based upon the ratio of an insurer’s voluntary premiums written to the total premiums written for all insurers in that particular jurisdiction.  As of September 30, 2007, the Company had recorded a liability of $6.4 million for these assessments, which is included in accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities on the Balance Sheet.

Under the terms of the sale of one of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries in 1998, the Company has agreed to indemnify the buyer, up to a maximum of $15 million, if the actual claim payments in the aggregate exceed the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves of the former subsidiary were established.  If the actual claim payments in the aggregate are less than the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves have been established, then the Company will participate in such favorable loss reserve development.

The Company is continuously involved in numerous lawsuits arising, for the most part, in the ordinary course of business, either as a liability insurer defending third-party claims brought against its insureds, or as an insurer defending coverage claims brought against it by its policyholders or other insurers.  While the outcome of all litigation involving the Company, including insurance-related litigation, cannot be determined, such litigation is not expected to result in losses that differ from recorded reserves by amounts that would be material to the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.  For additional information about our liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, see Note 3.  In addition, reinsurance recoveries related to claims in litigation, net of the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, are not expected to result in recoveries that differ from recorded receivables by amounts that would be material to the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.  See Note 4 for information regarding disputed reinsurance receivables.

PMA Capital Corporation has reached agreement to settle the securities class action, In re PMA Capital Corporation Securities Litigation (Civil Action No. 03-6121), pending in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.  The settlement is subject to documentation and Court approval.  The settlement makes no admission of liability or wrongdoing by the Company or its officers and directors.  The amounts necessary to fund this settlement will be paid by insurance carriers for the Company.

7.      SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

Changes in outstanding Class A Common Stock shares were as follows:

   
2007
 
       
Treasury stock - Class A Common Stock:
     
Balance at beginning of year
   
1,558,751
 
Purchase of treasury shares
   
827,142
 
Reissuance of treasury shares under stock-based compensation plans
    (88,434 )
Balance at September 30, 2007
   
2,297,459
 
         

In May 2007, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the Company and its subsidiaries to repurchase up to $10 million of its Class A Common Stock from time to time in the open market at prevailing prices or in privately negotiated transactions.  During the year, the Company repurchased 827,142 shares of its Class A Common Stock at a cost of $8.6 million, including 245,586 shares in the third quarter at a cost of $2.3 million.  Decisions regarding share repurchases are subject to prevailing market conditions and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital.

See Note 8 for information regarding shares reissued under stock-based compensation plans.

10

8.      STOCK-BASED COMPENSATION

The Company currently has stock-based compensation plans in place for directors, officers and other key employees of the Company.  Pursuant to the terms of these plans, the Company grants restricted shares of its Class A Common Stock and has in the past granted options to purchase the Company’s Class A Common Stock.  Stock-based compensation is granted under terms and conditions determined by the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors (the “Compensation Committee”).  Stock options granted have a maximum term of ten years, generally vest over periods ranging between one and four years, and are typically granted with an exercise price at least equal to the market value of the Class A Common Stock on the date of grant.  Restricted stock is valued at the market value of the Class A Common Stock on the date of grant and generally vests (restrictions lapse) over periods ranging between one and three years.  The Company recognized stock-based compensation expense of $399,000 and $564,000 for the third quarters of 2007 and 2006 and $1.4 million and $1.8 million for the nine month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.  The stock-based compensation expense included amounts related to stock options of $88,000 for the third quarter of 2006 and $44,000 and $514,000 for the first nine months of 2007 and 2006, respectively.

Information regarding the Company’s stock option plans as of September 30, 2007 was as follows:

               
Weighted
       
               
Average
       
         
Weighted
   
Remaining
   
Aggregate
 
         
Average
   
Life
   
Intrinsic
 
   
Shares
   
Price
   
(in years)
   
Value
 
                         
Options outstanding, beginning of year
   
1,640,584
    $
10.42
             
Options exercised
    (63,426 )    
6.99
             
Options forfeited or expired
    (54,931 )    
16.69
             
Options outstanding, end of quarter
   
1,522,227
    $
10.34
     
5.62
    $
2,524,693
 
Options exercisable, end of quarter
   
1,522,227
    $
10.34
     
5.62
    $
2,524,693
 
Option price range at end of quarter
 
$5.78 to $21.50
                 
                                 

Information regarding the Company’s restricted stock activity as of September 30, 2007 was as follows:

         
Weighted
 
         
Average
 
         
Grant Date
 
   
Shares
   
Fair Value
 
             
Restricted stock at January 1, 2007
   
174,340
    $
9.55
 
   Granted
   
56,533
     
10.38
 
   Vested
    (151,899 )    
9.63
 
Restricted stock at September 30, 2007
   
78,974
    $
9.99
 
                 

The Company recognizes compensation expense for restricted stock awards over the vesting period of the award.  Compensation expense recognized for restricted stock was $149,000 and $619,000 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $352,000 and $896,000 for the same periods last year.  At September 30, 2007, unrecognized compensation expense for non-vested restricted stock was $444,000.

Upon vesting of a restricted stock award, employees may remit cash or shares of Class A Common Stock to satisfy their tax obligations relating to the award.  During the first nine months of 2007, employees remitted 31,525 shares to the Company to satisfy their payment of taxes for vested awards.

In March 2006 and 2007, the Compensation Committee approved the 2006 and 2007 Officer Long Term Incentive Plans pursuant to which stock may be awarded to all officers in 2009 and 2010 if the return on equity in 2008 and 2009 is within a specified range.  The Company recognized expenses related to these plans of $250,000 and $750,000 for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007, compared to $125,000 and $375,000 for the same periods last year.
 
11

9.      EARNINGS PER SHARE

The table below reconciles the denominators used in the computation of the basic and diluted earnings per share calculations:
 
         
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
         
September 30,
 
September 30,
         
2007
 
2006
 
2007
 
2006
                       
Basic shares
   
   32,001,649
 
   32,444,916
 
   32,304,383
 
   32,159,316
Dilutive effect of:
               
 
Stock options
 
                    -
 
        296,020
 
                    -
 
        335,798
 
Restricted stock
                    -
 
        181,707
 
                    -
 
        174,189
Total diluted shares
   32,001,649
 
   32,922,643
 
   32,304,383
 
   32,669,303
                       
 
The effects of 1.5 million stock options were excluded from the computation of diluted earnings per share for both the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, and the effects of 467,000 stock options were excluded from the computation of diluted earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively, because they were anti-dilutive.  Also excluded from the diluted share computation for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 were the effects of 77,000 and 103,000 shares of restricted stock, respectively, because they were anti-dilutive.

Diluted shares used in the computation of diluted earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 also do not assume the effects of the potential conversion of the Company’s convertible debt into 377,000 and 908,000 shares of Class A Common Stock, respectively, because they were anti-dilutive.  The effects of the potential conversion of the Company’s convertible debt into 1.7 million and 3.3 million shares of Class A Common Stock were also excluded from the computation of diluted earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively, because they were anti-dilutive.

10.     FAIR VALUE OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS 157.  This Statement defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in accordance with GAAP and expands disclosures about fair value measurements.  SFAS 157 is applicable in conjunction with other accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value measurements, but does not expand the use of fair value to any new circumstances.  More specifically, SFAS 157 emphasizes that fair value is a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific measurement, and sets out a fair value hierarchy with the highest priority given to quoted prices in active markets and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs.  Further, SFAS 157 requires tabular disclosures of the fair value measurements by level within the fair value hierarchy.  This Statement is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years.  However, early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of a fiscal year.  The Company early adopted SFAS 157, effective January 1, 2007.  The Company’s adoption of SFAS 157 did not have an impact on its financial condition or results of operations.


12


The following table provides the fair value measurements of applicable Company assets and liabilities by level within the fair value hierarchy as of September 30, 2007.  These assets and liabilities are measured on a recurring basis.

         
Fair Value Measurements at Reporting Date Using
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
       
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets
   
Significant Other Observable Inputs
   
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Description
 
9/30/2007
   
(Level 1)
   
(Level 2)
   
(Level 3)
 
                         
Assets
                       
Fixed maturities available for sale
  $
725,637
    $
725,637
    $
-
    $
-
 
Fixed maturities trading
   
50,412
     
50,412
     
-
     
-
 
   Total Assets
   
776,049
     
776,049
     
-
     
-
 
                                 
Liabilities
                               
Derivative component of 6.50% Convertible Debt
  $
762
    $
-
    $
762
    $
-
 
                                 
 
The Company recognized after-tax net realized losses of $29,000 and $257,000 during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to a loss of $570,000 and a gain of $50,000 for the same periods in 2006, respectively, resulting from changes in the fair value of the derivative component of its 6.50% Convertible Debt.

In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS 159.  The objective of SFAS 159 is to improve financial reporting by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently.  This Statement permits entities to choose, at specified election dates, to measure eligible items at fair value (i.e., the fair value option).  Items eligible for the fair value option include certain recognized financial assets and liabilities, rights and obligations under certain insurance contracts that are not financial instruments, host financial instruments resulting from the separation of an embedded non-financial derivative instrument from a non-financial hybrid instrument, and certain commitments.  Business entities are required to report unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected in net income.  The fair value option may be applied instrument by instrument, with certain exceptions, is irrevocable (unless a new election date occurs), and is applied only to entire instruments and not to portions of instruments.

SFAS 159 is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007.  Early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of the previous fiscal year provided that the entity makes that choice within the first 120 days of that fiscal year and also elects to apply the provisions of SFAS 157.  The Company early adopted SFAS 159, effective January 1, 2007.  Upon adoption of SFAS 159, the Company elected to reclassify all of the fixed income securities in its Run-off Operations’ investment portfolio from available for sale to trading.  Although the Company’s adoption of this Statement had no net impact on shareholders’ equity, it may result in future volatility in net income as changes in fair value will be recorded through realized gains and losses rather than other comprehensive income.  The Company recognized after-tax net realized gains of $2.7 million and $2.3 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 for subsequent changes in fair value on these trading securities.

The Company decided to adopt SFAS 159 because the investment portfolio at the Run-off Operations decreased by 50% in the first quarter of 2007, compared to the first quarter of 2006, and due to the unpredictability of cash flows for commutations combined with the shrinking size of the portfolio, trading activity was expected to increase in 2007.  The Run-off Operations’ investment portfolio was also reduced significantly during the second quarter as a result of the $37.5 million extraordinary dividend payment to the holding company in April 2007.

13


The balance sheet impact of the SFAS 159 adoption was as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)
Description
 
Balance Sheet
1/1/07 prior to
Adoption
   
Net Change
upon Adoption
   
Balance Sheet
1/1/07 after
Adoption of FVO
 
                   
Fixed maturities available for sale
(amortized cost: pre-adoption - $881,348;
post-adoption - $722,219)
  $
871,951
    $ (153,086 )   $
718,865
 
Fixed maturities trading
(amortized cost and accrued investment income:
pre-adoption - $0; post-adoption - $162,871)
   
-
     
156,828
     
156,828
 
Accrued investment income
   
9,351
      (3,742 )    
5,609
 
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
    (20,624 )    
3,928
      (16,696 )
                         
Cumulative effect of adoption of the
                 
fair value option, net of tax expense
                 
of $2,115 (charge to retained earnings)
    $ (3,928 )        
                         
 
11.       INCOME TAXES

The Company adopted the provisions of FIN 48, effective January 1, 2007.  FIN 48 clarifies the accounting for uncertainty in income taxes recognized in a company’s financial statements in accordance with SFAS 109.  FIN 48 requires that an uncertain tax position should be recognized only if it is “more likely than not” that the position is sustainable based on its technical merits.  Recognizable tax positions should then be measured to determine the amount of benefit recognized in the financial statements.  The Company’s adoption of FIN 48 did not have a material impact on its financial condition or results of operations.

The Company files income tax returns in the U.S. federal jurisdiction and in various states and foreign jurisdictions.  With few exceptions, the Company is no longer subject to U.S. federal, state and local, or non-U.S. income tax examinations by tax authorities for years before 2003.  As the Company is currently not under examination by any tax authority, it does not anticipate any additional payment will be made by the end of 2007.  The Company does not anticipate any significant changes to its total unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12 months.  The Company will recognize, as applicable, interest and penalties related to unrecognized tax positions as part of income taxes.

12.
RUN-OFF OPERATIONS

Run-off Operations includes the results of the Company’s former reinsurance and excess and surplus lines businesses.  The Company withdrew from the reinsurance business in 2003 and the excess and surplus lines business in 2002.

As a result of the Company’s exit from the reinsurance business, 105 employees at PMA Re have been terminated in accordance with the Company’s exit plan.  Employee termination benefits and retention bonuses of approximately $6.5 million have been paid in accordance with this plan through September 30, 2007, including $929,000 and $994,000 in the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.  As of September 30, 2007, 31 positions, primarily claims and financial, remain.  The Company has established an employee retention arrangement for the remaining employees.  Under this arrangement, the Run-off Operations have recorded expenses of approximately $7.2 million, which included retention bonuses and severance, as of September 30, 2007, including $197,000 and $643,000 during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, respectively, compared to $278,000 and $743,000 during the same periods last year.  The Run-off Operations expects to record expenses under employee retention agreements of approximately $200,000 in the fourth quarter of 2007.

14

13.
BUSINESS SEGMENTS

The Company’s total revenues, substantially all of which are generated within the U.S., and pre-tax operating income (loss) by principal business segment are presented in the table below.

Operating income (loss), which is GAAP net income (loss) excluding net realized investment gains and losses, is the financial performance measure used by the Company’s management and Board of Directors to evaluate and assess the results of the Company’s insurance businesses because (i) net realized investment gains and losses are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance of the business segments and (ii) in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made at the holding company level, and such decisions result in net realized gains and losses that do not relate to the operations of the individual segments.  Operating income (loss) does not replace net income (loss) as the GAAP measure of the Company’s consolidated results of operations.

   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
   September 30,
   
   September 30,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Revenues:
                       
The PMA Insurance Group
  $
111,113
    $
110,267
    $
336,959
    $
327,842
 
Run-off Operations
   
2,159
     
2,441
     
6,326
     
8,988
 
Corporate and Other
    (75 )     (53 )     (474 )     (746 )
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    937       (799 )     (1,247 )     (959 )
Total revenues
  $
114,134
    $
111,856
    $
341,564
    $
335,125
 
                                 
Components of net income (loss):
                               
Pre-tax operating income (loss):
                               
The PMA Insurance Group
  $
12,363
    $
8,351
    $
32,486
    $
23,163
 
Run-off Operations
    (22,016 )    
174
      (23,461 )    
763
 
Corporate and Other
    (4,850 )     (5,016 )     (15,288 )     (17,283 )
Pre-tax operating income (loss)
    (14,503 )    
3,509
      (6,263 )    
6,643
 
Income tax expense (benefit)
    (5,091 )    
1,489
      (2,108 )    
2,800
 
Operating income (loss)
    (9,412 )    
2,020
      (4,155 )    
3,843
 
Net realized gains (losses) after tax
   
609
      (519 )     (811 )     (623 )
Net income (loss)
  $ (8,803 )   $
1,501
    $ (4,966 )   $
3,220
 
                                 
 
Net premiums earned by principal business segment were as follows:

   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
The PMA Insurance Group:
                       
Workers' compensation
  $
85,531
    $
86,070
    $
261,633
    $
254,900
 
Commercial automobile
   
5,529
     
5,288
     
15,520
     
16,294
 
Commercial multi-peril
   
1,811
     
2,054
     
4,643
     
5,774
 
Other
   
1,057
     
1,284
     
3,301
     
3,752
 
Total net premiums earned
   
93,928
     
94,696
     
285,097
     
280,720
 
Run-off Operations:
                               
Reinsurance
   
1,395
     
758
     
3,105
     
1,456
 
Excess and surplus lines
    (290 )     (12 )     (290 )    
228
 
Total net premiums earned
   
1,105
     
746
     
2,815
     
1,684
 
Corporate and Other
    (155 )     (158 )     (471 )     (539 )
Consolidated net premiums earned
  $
94,878
    $
95,284
    $
287,441
    $
281,865
 
                                 

15


The Company’s total assets by principal business segment were as follows:
 
   
As of
   
As of
 
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
 
             
The PMA Insurance Group
  $
2,078,949
    $
1,914,044
 
Run-off Operations
   
591,365
     
748,142
 
Corporate and Other (1)
   
44,116
     
4,221
 
Total assets
  $
2,714,430
    $
2,666,407
 
                 

(1) Corporate and Other includes the effects of eliminating transactions between the various insurance segments.

Selected balance sheet information for the Company’s Run-off Operations was as follows:

   
As of
   
As of
   
As of
 
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
   
September 30,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2006
 
                   
Assets:
                 
Investments and cash
  $
93,115
    $
199,638
    $
236,381
 
Reinsurance receivables
   
346,490
     
354,821
     
375,131
 
Other assets
   
151,760
     
193,683
     
207,268
 
Total assets
  $
591,365
    $
748,142
    $
818,780
 
                         
Liabilities:
                       
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $
414,237
    $
517,112
    $
567,322
 
Other liabilities
   
105,307
     
90,071
     
108,089
 
Total liabilities
   
519,544
     
607,183
     
675,411
 
                         
Shareholder's Equity:
                       
Shareholder's equity
   
71,821
     
140,959
     
143,369
 
Total liabilities and shareholder's equity
  $
591,365
    $
748,142
    $
818,780
 
                         

14.
SUBSEQUENT EVENT

On October 1, 2007, the Company entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement with Charles C. Caldwell, Thomas G. Hamill, Colin D. O’Connor and J. Mark Davis (collectively, the “Sellers”), pursuant to which the Company acquired all of the stock of Midlands Holding Corporation from the Sellers.  Under the Stock Purchase Agreement, the Company paid cash of $19.8 million for the stock and $3.4 million for the net worth of Midlands Holding Corporation at the closing of the transaction.  The ultimate purchase price for the stock, which could range from $22.8 million to $44.5 million, will be based on the ability of Midlands Management Corporation (“Midlands”), the operating subsidiary of Midlands Holding Corporation, to achieve earnings growth for its business over the next four years.  The payment for net worth is subject to final adjustment in April 2008.  Midlands is an Oklahoma City-based managing general agent, program administrator and provider of third party administrator services.

16



The following is a discussion of our financial condition as of September 30, 2007, compared with our financial condition as of December 31, 2006, and our results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared with the same periods last year.  This discussion should be read in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 (the “2006 Form 10-K”), to which the reader is directed for additional information.  The term “GAAP” refers to accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) contains forward-looking statements, which involve inherent risks and uncertainties.  Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements.  These statements are based upon current estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements, and therefore, you should not place undue reliance on them.  See the Cautionary Statements on page 33 for a list of factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.  Also, see “Item 1A – Risk Factors” in our 2006 Form 10-K for a further discussion of risks that could materially affect our business.

OVERVIEW

We are a holding company whose operating subsidiaries provide insurance and fee-based third party administrator (“TPA”) services.  Our insurance products include workers’ compensation and other commercial property and casualty lines of insurance, primarily in the eastern part of the United States.  These products are written through The PMA Insurance Group business segment.  The PMA Insurance Group segment also generates service revenues through our TPA operations, which operates as PMA Management Corp.  Service revenues for this business were $7.6 million and $22.8 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to $6.6 million and $20.8 million for the same periods in 2006.

We also have a Run-off Operations segment which includes the results of operations for our reinsurance and excess and surplus lines businesses.  The reinsurance business was placed in run-off in 2003 and the excess and surplus lines business was placed in run-off in 2002.

At The PMA Insurance Group, direct premiums written were $146.7 million for the third quarter of 2007, up from $127.5 million for the third quarter of 2006.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, direct premiums written increased to $418.8 million, compared to $347.5 million for the same period last year.  Included in direct premiums written in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 were $13.7 million and $47.0 million of California workers’ compensation business produced under our partnership with Midwest Insurance Companies (“Midwest”), compared to $2.1 million for the same periods last year.  We wrote $39.2 million of new business in the third quarter of 2007, compared to $23.3 million during the same period last year.  Our year-to-date new business increased to $137.2 million, compared to $73.5 million in the first nine months of 2006.  Included in new business in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 were $12.4 million and $45.7 million of the Midwest business, compared to $2.1 million for the same periods last year.  Our partnership with Midwest became effective September 1, 2006.  Our workers’ compensation renewal retention rate was 89% in the third quarter of 2007, compared to 88% during the third quarter of 2006, while our renewal retention rate for the first nine months of 2007 was 87%, up from 85% for the first nine months of 2006.

On April 20, 2007, the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approved our request for an extraordinary dividend in the amount of $37.5 million from PMA Capital Insurance Company (“PMACIC”).  Under the terms of the dividend approval, we were permitted to use the proceeds from the extraordinary dividend to acquire service franchises or insurance operations that complement the business of The PMA Insurance Group or PMA Management Corp.  We were also permitted to use up to $15 million of the dividend to repurchase our common stock; however, we were not permitted to use any portion of the dividend to pay shareholder dividends.

In May 2007, our Board of Directors authorized us to repurchase up to $10 million of our Class A Common Stock from time to time in the open market at prevailing prices or in privately negotiated transactions.  Since then, we repurchased 827,142 shares of our Class A Common Stock at a cost of $8.6 million, including 245,586 shares in the third quarter at a cost of $2.3 million.  We intend to solicit consents from holders of our convertible debt in order to provide us with more flexibility with respect to share repurchases.  Decisions regarding share repurchases are subject to prevailing market conditions and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital.

17

During 2007, we retired $14.7 million principal amount of our 6.50% Senior Secured Convertible Debt due 2022 (“6.50% Convertible Debt”) through open market purchases by PMA Capital Corporation.  With this purchase activity, we currently have $4.6 million aggregate principal amount of this debt outstanding.  Holders, at their option, may require us to repurchase all or a portion of this debt on June 30, 2009 at 114% of the principal amount.  We expect to use holding company cash to repurchase any remaining debt on or prior to the put date of June 30, 2009.

On October 1, 2007, we entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement under which we acquired all of the stock of Midlands Holding Corporation.  Under the Stock Purchase Agreement, we paid cash of $19.8 million for the stock and $3.4 million for the net worth of Midlands Holding Corporation at the closing of the transaction.  The ultimate purchase price for the stock, which could range from $22.8 million to $44.5 million, will be based on the ability of Midlands Management Corporation (“Midlands”), the operating subsidiary of Midlands Holding Corporation, to achieve earnings growth for its business over the next four years.  The payment for net worth is subject to final adjustment in April 2008.  Midlands is an Oklahoma City-based managing general agent, program administrator and provider of TPA services.

The PMA Insurance Group earns revenue and generates cash primarily by writing insurance policies and collecting insurance premiums.  We also earn revenues by providing claims adjusting, managed care and risk control services to customers.  As time normally elapses between the receipt of premiums and the payment of claims and certain related expenses, we are able to invest the available premiums and earn investment income.  The types of payments that we make are:
 
  ·  losses we pay under insurance policies that we write;
  ·  loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”), which are the expenses of settling claims;
 
· 
acquisition and operating expenses, which are direct and indirect costs of acquiring both new and renewal business, including commissions paid to agents and brokers and the internal expenses to operate the business segment; and
  ·    dividends and premium adjustments that are paid to policyholders of certain of our insurance products.
   
Losses and LAE are the most significant payment items affecting our insurance business and represent the most significant accounting estimates in our consolidated financial statements.  We establish reserves representing estimates of future amounts needed to pay claims with respect to insured events that have occurred, including events that have not been reported to us.  We also establish reserves for LAE, which represent the estimated expenses of settling claims, including legal and other fees, and general expenses of administering the claims adjustment process.  Reserves are estimates of amounts to be paid in the future for losses and LAE and do not and cannot represent an exact measure of liability.  If actual losses and LAE are higher than our loss reserve estimates, actual claims reported to us exceed our estimate of the number of claims to be reported to us, or we increase our estimate of the severity of claims previously reported to us, we then have to increase reserve estimates with respect to prior periods.  Changes in reserve estimates may be caused by a wide range of factors, including inflation, changes in claims and litigation trends and legislative or regulatory changes.  We incur a charge to earnings in the period the reserves are increased.  In the third quarter of 2007, we recorded a $22 million pre-tax charge to increase loss reserves for prior years in our Run-off Operations segment, as discussed under “Run-off Operations” beginning on page 23 of this MD&A.


18


RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Consolidated Results

We recorded a net loss of $8.8 million for the third quarter of 2007, compared to net income of $1.5 million for the third quarter of 2006.  Operating income (loss), which we define as net income (loss) excluding realized gains and losses, was an operating loss of $9.4 million for the current quarter, compared to operating income of $2.0 million in the third quarter of 2006.  The net loss for the three months ended September 30, 2007 included after-tax net realized investment gains of $609,000, compared to after-tax net realized investment losses of $519,000 for the same period a year ago.

For the first nine months of 2007, we had a net loss of $5.0 million, compared to net income of $3.2 million for the first nine months of 2006.  The operating loss for the first nine months of 2007 was $4.2 million, compared to operating income of $3.8 million for the same period last year.  The net loss for the first nine months of 2007 included after-tax net realized investment losses of $811,000, compared to losses of $623,000 for the same period last year.

The net loss and operating loss for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 included an after-tax reserve charge of $14.3 million for prior year loss development at the Run-off Operations.  The reserve charge was primarily related to increased loss development from a limited number of ceding companies on our claims-made general liability business, primarily related to professional liability claims from accident years 2001 to 2003.

Consolidated revenues for the third quarter of 2007 were $114.1 million, compared to $111.9 million for the third quarter last year.  Year-to-date 2007 consolidated revenues were $341.6 million, compared to $335.1 million for the same period in 2006.  Direct premiums written for the third quarter of 2007 improved to $146.5 million, up from $127.3 million in the third quarter last year, while year-to-date premiums written increased by $71.3 million to $418.3 million, compared to the same period last year.  Included in the increases in direct premiums written for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $11.6 million and $44.9 million, respectively, related to business produced under our partnership with Midwest.  Net premiums earned for the first nine months of 2007 increased by 2% to $287.4 million, while net premiums earned for the third quarter of 2007 were $94.9 million, compared to $95.3 million for the same period a year ago.

In this MD&A, in addition to providing consolidated net income (loss), we also provide segment operating income (loss) because we believe that it is a meaningful measure of the profit or loss generated by our operating segments.  Operating income (loss), which is GAAP net income (loss) excluding net realized investment gains and losses, is the financial performance measure used by our management and Board of Directors to evaluate and assess the results of our insurance businesses because (i) net realized investment gains and losses are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance of the business segments and (ii) in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made at the holding company level, and such decisions result in net realized gains and losses that do not relate to the operations of the individual segments.  Operating income (loss) does not replace net income (loss) as the GAAP measure of our consolidated results of operations.

The following is a reconciliation of our segment operating results and operating income (loss) to GAAP net income (loss):
 
   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Components of net income (loss):
                       
Pre-tax operating income (loss):
                       
The PMA Insurance Group
  $
12,363
    $
8,351
    $
32,486
    $
23,163
 
Run-off Operations
    (22,016 )    
174
      (23,461 )    
763
 
Corporate and Other
    (4,850 )     (5,016 )     (15,288 )     (17,283 )
Pre-tax operating income (loss)
    (14,503 )    
3,509
      (6,263 )    
6,643
 
Income tax expense (benefit)
    (5,091 )    
1,489
      (2,108 )    
2,800
 
Operating income (loss)
    (9,412 )    
2,020
      (4,155 )    
3,843
 
Net realized gains (losses) after tax
   
609
      (519 )     (811 )     (623 )
Net income (loss)
  $ (8,803 )   $
1,501
    $ (4,966 )   $
3,220
 
                                 
 
19

Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2007, we expect to report the combined operating results of Midlands and PMA Management Corp. in a new reporting segment within our consolidated results of operations.

We provide combined ratios and operating ratios for The PMA Insurance Group below.  The “combined ratio” is a measure of property and casualty underwriting performance.  The combined ratio computed on a GAAP basis is equal to losses and loss adjustment expenses, plus acquisition expenses, insurance-related operating expenses and policyholders’ dividends, all divided by net premiums earned.  A combined ratio of less than 100% reflects an underwriting profit.  Because time normally elapses between the receipt of premiums and the payment of claims and certain related expenses, we invest the available premiums.  Underwriting results do not include investment income from these funds.  Given the long-tail nature of our liabilities, we believe that the operating ratios are also important in evaluating our business.  The operating ratio is equal to the combined ratio less the net investment income ratio, which is computed by dividing net investment income by net premiums earned.

Segment Results

The PMA Insurance Group

Summarized financial results of The PMA Insurance Group were as follows:
 
   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Net premiums written
  $
116,271
    $
107,795
    $
323,980
    $
306,824
 
                                 
Net premiums earned
  $
93,928
    $
94,696
    $
285,097
    $
280,720
 
Net investment income
   
9,569
     
8,998
     
28,984
     
26,310
 
Other revenues
   
7,616
     
6,573
     
22,878
     
20,812
 
Total revenues
   
111,113
     
110,267
     
336,959
     
327,842
 
                                 
Losses and LAE
   
63,163
     
68,255
     
197,047
     
200,456
 
Acquisition and operating expenses
   
33,128
     
32,818
     
100,798
     
100,478
 
Dividends to policyholders
   
2,205
     
589
     
5,874
     
3,022
 
Interest expense
   
254
     
254
     
754
     
723
 
Total losses and expenses
   
98,750
     
101,916
     
304,473
     
304,679
 
                                 
Pre-tax operating income
  $
12,363
    $
8,351
    $
32,486
    $
23,163
 
                                 
Combined ratio (1)
    97.3 %     101.0 %     99.0 %     101.4 %
Less: net investment income ratio
    -10.2 %     -9.5 %     -10.2 %     -9.4 %
Operating ratio
    87.1 %     91.5 %     88.8 %     92.0 %
                                 
 
(1)
The combined ratio equals the sum of losses and LAE, acquisition expenses, insurance-related operating expenses and policyholders’ dividends, all divided by net premiums earned.  Insurance-related operating expenses were $7.8 million and $23.7 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, and $7.7 million and $25.1 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively.  Total operating expenses also include amounts incurred related to our fee-based revenues.  Certain reclassifications between insurance-related and non-insurance related expenses of prior period amounts have been made to conform to the current year presentation.  These reclassifications had no impact on the previously reported full year 2006 combined ratio.

The PMA Insurance Group recorded pre-tax operating income of $12.4 million for the third quarter of 2007, compared to $8.4 million for the same period last year.  Year-to-date pre-tax operating income was $32.5 million, compared to $23.2 million for the first nine months of 2006.  The increases for both the third quarter and 2007 year-to-date periods were due primarily to improved underwriting results, as reflected in our lower combined ratios, and increased investment income.


20


Premiums

The PMA Insurance Group’s premiums written were as follows:

   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Workers' compensation:
                       
Direct premiums written
  $
132,888
    $
112,945
    $
375,365
    $
306,073
 
Premiums assumed
   
2,816
     
6,341
     
10,804
     
19,060
 
Premiums ceded
    (29,334 )     (17,728 )     (90,048 )     (42,523 )
Net premiums written
  $
106,370
    $
101,558
    $
296,121
    $
282,610
 
                                 
Commercial Lines:
                               
Direct premiums written
  $
13,814
    $
14,547
    $
43,386
    $
41,426
 
Premiums assumed
   
73
     
70
     
174
     
409
 
Premiums ceded
    (3,986 )     (8,380 )     (15,701 )     (17,621 )
Net premiums written
  $
9,901
    $
6,237
    $
27,859
    $
24,214
 
                                 
Total:
                               
Direct premiums written
  $
146,702
    $
127,492
    $
418,751
    $
347,499
 
Premiums assumed
   
2,889
     
6,411
     
10,978
     
19,469
 
Premiums ceded
    (33,320 )     (26,108 )     (105,749 )     (60,144 )
Net premiums written
  $
116,271
    $
107,795
    $
323,980
    $
306,824
 
                                 

Direct workers’ compensation premiums written were $132.9 million for the third quarter of 2007, compared to $112.9 million for the same period last year.  These premium writings during the first nine months of 2007 were $375.4 million, compared to $306.1 million during the first nine months of last year.  Our renewal retention rate on existing workers’ compensation accounts was 89% in the third quarter of 2007, compared to 88% for the same period last year, while our renewal retention rate for the first nine months of 2007 was 87%, up from 85% for the same period in 2006.  New workers’ compensation premiums in the current quarter were $36.9 million, compared to $21.3 million in the third quarter of 2006, while new business written during the first nine months was $127.6 million in 2007 and $67.2 million in 2006.  Included in new business for the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 were $12.4 million and $45.7 million of California workers’ compensation business written under our partnership with Midwest, compared to $2.1 million for each of the same periods last year.  Our partnership with Midwest became effective September 1, 2006.  Pricing on rate sensitive workers’ compensation business written during the first nine months of 2007 declined 4%, compared to pricing that decreased by less than 2% during the first nine months of 2006.

Direct premiums written for commercial lines of business other than workers’ compensation, such as commercial auto, general liability, umbrella, multi-peril and commercial property lines (collectively, “Commercial Lines”), were $13.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2007, compared to $14.5 million for the same period in 2006.  For the first nine months of 2007, direct premiums written for Commercial Lines were $43.4 million in 2007, compared to $41.4 million in 2006.  Our renewal retention rate on existing Commercial Lines accounts was 89% in the third quarter of 2007, compared to 87% for the same period last year, while our renewal retention rate for the first nine months of 2007 was 90%, up from 86% for the same period in 2006.  New business was $2.4 million in the third quarter of 2007, up from $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2006, and new business for the first nine months increased to $9.6 million in 2007, compared to $5.6 million for the same period last year.

Total premiums assumed decreased by $3.5 million and $8.5 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to the same periods last year.  The decline in both periods was primarily due to a reduction in the involuntary residual market business assigned to us.  Companies that write premiums in certain states generally must share in the risk of insuring entities that cannot obtain insurance in the voluntary market.  Typically, an insurer’s share of this residual market business is assigned on a lag based upon its market share in terms of direct premiums in the voluntary market.  These assignments are accomplished either directly or by assumption from pools of residual market business.

21

Premiums ceded for workers’ compensation increased by $11.6 million and $47.5 million during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to the same periods a year ago.  The increases in both periods were primarily due to our partnership with Midwest, under which we ceded $12.9 million and $45.6 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to $2.1 million in the same periods last year. The year-to-date increase was also attributable to an increase in the amount of workers’ compensation business sold to captive accounts, where a substantial portion of the direct premiums are ceded.  Premiums ceded for other commercial lines decreased by $4.4 million and $1.9 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to the same periods in 2006, mainly resulting from changes in the contractual terms of our property quota share treaty.

In total, net premiums written increased by 8% and 6% during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to the same periods last year.  Net premiums earned for the first nine months of 2007 increased by 2%, compared to the same period a year ago, while net premiums earned during the third quarter of 2007 decreased by 1%, compared to the third quarter of 2006.  Generally, trends in net premiums earned follow patterns similar to net premiums written, adjusted for the customary lag related to the timing of premium writings within the year.  In periods of increasing premium writings, the dollar increase in premiums written will typically be greater than the increase in premiums earned, as was the case during the first nine months of 2007.  Direct premiums are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the terms of the policies.  However, with respect to policies that provide for premium adjustments, such as experience-rated or exposure-based adjustments, such premium adjustment may be made subsequent to the end of the policy’s coverage period and will be recorded as earned premium in the period in which the adjustment is made.

Losses and Expenses

The components of the GAAP combined ratios were as follows:
 
           
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
           
September 30,
 
September 30,
           
2007
 
2006
 
2007
 
2006
                         
Loss and LAE ratio
 
67.2%
 
72.1%
 
69.1%
 
71.4%
Expense ratio:
                   
 
Acquisition expenses
 
19.4%
 
20.2%
 
19.5%
 
20.0%
 
Operating expenses (1)
 
8.4%
 
8.1%
 
8.3%
 
8.9%
Total expense ratio
   
27.8%
 
28.3%
 
27.8%
 
28.9%
Policyholders' dividend ratio
 
2.3%
 
0.6%
 
2.1%
 
1.1%
Combined ratio
   
97.3%
 
101.0%
 
99.0%
 
101.4%
                         
 
(1)
The operating expense ratio equals insurance-related operating expenses divided by net premiums earned.  Insurance-related operating expenses were $7.8 million and $23.7 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, and $7.7 million and $25.1 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006, respectively.  Total operating expenses also include amounts incurred related to our fee-based revenues.  Certain reclassifications between insurance-related and non-insurance related expenses of prior period amounts have been made to conform to the current year presentation.  These reclassifications had no impact on the previously reported full year 2006 ratios.

The loss and LAE ratios improved by 4.9 points during the third quarter of 2007 and by 2.3 points during the first nine months of 2007, compared to the same periods last year.  These improvements were primarily due to lower current accident year loss and LAE ratios, compared to 2006.  While our underwriting criteria remained consistent in 2007, our current accident year loss and LAE ratios benefited from changes in workers’ compensation products selected by our insureds and a reduced amount of integrated disability and assumed premiums in 2007.  Pricing changes coupled with payroll inflation for rate sensitive workers’ compensation were slightly below overall estimated loss trends.  We estimated our medical cost inflation to be 8% during the first nine months of 2007, compared to our estimate of 8.5% through the first nine months of 2006.  We expect that medical cost inflation will remain a significant component of our overall loss experience.

The policyholders’ dividend ratios increased in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to same periods in 2006.  The prior year periods reflected slightly higher than expected losses which resulted in lower than expected dividends on participating products where the policyholders may receive a dividend based, to a large extent, on their loss experience.

22


The total expense ratios improved by 0.5 points and 1.1 points in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to the same periods last year.  The fees earned under our partnership with Midwest reduced our 2007 acquisition expense ratios by 0.8 points for the quarter and 0.7 points year-to-date.
 
Net Investment Income

Net investment income increased to $9.6 million in the third quarter of 2007, compared to $9.0 million in the prior year quarter.  For the first nine months of 2007, net investment income increased $2.7 million to $29.0 million, compared to the first nine months of 2006.  The improvements in 2007 were due primarily to higher yields on an increased invested asset base.

Other Revenues

Other revenues increased to $7.6 million in the third quarter of 2007 from $6.6 million in the prior year quarter.  Other revenues on a year-to-date basis increased to $22.9 million, compared to $20.8 million for the same period last year.  The increases primarily reflect higher managed care fees and increases in fees for services provided to self-insured and large deductible clients.

Run-off Operations

The Run-off Operations includes the results of our former reinsurance and excess and surplus lines businesses.  We withdrew from the reinsurance business in 2003 and the excess and surplus lines business in 2002.  See Note 12 to our Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding Run-off Operations.

Summarized financial results of the Run-off Operations were as follows:
 
   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
 (dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Net premiums written
  $
1,216
    $
701
    $
4,705
    $
1,834
 
                                 
Net premiums earned
  $
1,105
    $
746
    $
2,815
    $
1,684
 
Net investment income
   
1,054
     
1,695
     
3,511
     
7,304
 
Total revenues
   
2,159
     
2,441
     
6,326
     
8,988
 
                                 
Losses and LAE
   
22,447
      (1,501 )    
23,739
      (1,930 )
Acquisition and operating expenses
   
1,728
     
3,768
     
6,048
     
10,155
 
Total losses and expenses
   
24,175
     
2,267
     
29,787
     
8,225
 
                                 
Pre-tax operating income (loss)
  $ (22,016 )   $
174
    $ (23,461 )   $
763
 
                                 
 
The Run-off Operations recorded pre-tax operating losses of $22.0 million and $23.5 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, compared to pre-tax operating income of $174,000 and $763,000 during the same periods in 2006.  During the third quarter of 2007, the Run-off Operations increased its net loss reserves for prior accident years by $22 million.  During the third quarter, our actuaries conducted their periodic comprehensive reserve review.  Based on the actuarial work performed, our actuaries observed increased loss development from a limited number of ceding companies on our claims-made general liability business, primarily related to professional liability claims.  This increase in 2007 loss trends caused management to determine that reserve levels, primarily for accident years 2001 to 2003, needed to be increased by $22 million.

Net investment income was $1.1 million in the third quarter of 2007, compared to $1.7 million for the third quarter of 2006.  Year-to-date net investment income was $3.5 million through September 2007, compared to $7.3 million through September 2006.  The decreases in both periods were mainly due to reductions in the average invested asset bases of approximately $158 million, or 63%, and $175 million, or 56%, for the three and nine month periods ending September 30, 2007, compared to the same periods last year.  These reductions were largely impacted by continued loss payments as well as the extraordinary dividends paid by PMACIC to PMA Capital Corporation in May 2006 and April 2007.  During the first nine
23

months of 2007, the Run-off Operations’ insurance liabilities have decreased by approximately $103 million, or 20%, since year end, despite the $22 million increase to reserves recorded during the third quarter.  Included in the year-to-date reduction was $28.5 million from commutations with ceding companies.
 
Corporate and Other
 
The Corporate and Other segment primarily includes corporate expenses and debt service.  Corporate and Other recorded net expenses of $4.9 million during the third quarter of 2007, compared to $5.0 million during the same period last year.  Net expenses were $15.3 million during the first nine months of 2007, which decreased from $17.3 million during the first nine months of 2006.  The improvement for the first nine months was primarily due to lower interest expense.  The lower interest expense resulted from a lower level of debt outstanding in 2007, compared to last year.

Loss Reserves

At September 30, 2007, we estimated that under all insurance policies and reinsurance contracts issued by our insurance businesses, our liability for unpaid losses and LAE for all events that occurred as of September 30, 2007 is $1,586.5 million.  This amount includes estimated losses from claims plus estimated expenses to settle claims.  Our estimate also includes amounts for losses occurring on or prior to September 30, 2007 whether or not these claims have been reported to us.

Unpaid losses and LAE reflect management’s best estimate of future amounts needed to pay claims and related settlement costs with respect to insured events which have occurred, including events that have not been reported to us.  Due to the “long-tail” nature of a significant portion of our business, in many cases, significant periods of time, ranging up to several years or more, may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to us and our payment of that loss.  We define long-tail business as those lines of business in which a majority of coverage involves average loss payment lags of several years beyond the expiration of the policy.  Our major long-tail lines include our workers’ compensation business and casualty reinsurance business.  This business is subject to more unforeseen development than shorter tailed lines of business would be.  As part of the process for determining our unpaid losses and LAE, various actuarial models are used that analyze historical data and consider the impact of current developments and trends, such as trends in claims severity and frequency and claims settlement trends.  Also considered are legal developments, regulatory trends, legislative developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions.

Additionally, reinsurers are dependent on their ceding companies to provide them with reporting information regarding incurred losses.  The nature and extent of information provided to reinsurers may vary depending on the ceding company as well as the type of reinsurance purchased by the ceding company.  Ceding companies may also independently adjust their reserves over time as they receive additional data on claims and go through their own actuarial process for evaluating reserves.  For casualty lines of reinsurance, significant periods of time may elapse between when a loss is incurred and reported by the ceding company’s insured, the investigation and recognition of such loss by the ceding insurer, and the reporting of the loss and evaluation of coverage by a reinsurer.  As all of our reinsurance business was produced through independent brokers, an additional lag occurs because the ceding companies report their experience to the placing broker, who then reports such information to us on our reinsurance business.  Because of these time lags, and because of the variability in reserving and reporting by ceding companies, it takes longer for reinsurers to find out about reported claims than for primary insurers and such claims may be subject to more unforeseen development and uncertainty.

We rely on various data in making our estimate of loss reserves for reinsurance.  As described above, we receive certain information from ceding companies through the reinsurance brokers.  We assess the quality and timeliness of claims reporting by our ceding companies.  We also may supplement the reported information by requesting additional information and conducting reviews of certain of our ceding companies’ reserving and reporting practices.  We also review our internal operations to assess our capabilities to timely receive and process reported claims information from ceding companies.  We assess our claims data and loss projections in light of historical trends of claims developments, claims payments, and also as compared to industry data as a means of noticing unusual trends in claims development or payment.  Based on the data reported by ceding companies, the results of the reviews and assessments noted above, as well as actuarial analysis and judgment, we will develop our estimate of reinsurance reserves.

In the ordinary course of the claims review process, we independently verify that reported claims are covered under the terms of the reinsurance policy or treaty purchased by the ceding company.  In the event that we do not believe coverage has been provided, we will deny payment for such claims.  Most reinsurance contracts contain a dispute resolution process that relies on arbitration to resolve any contractual differences.  At September 30, 2007, the Run-off Operations did not have any
24

material claims that were in the process of arbitration that have not been recorded as liabilities on the accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements.

We believe that the potential for adverse reserve development is increased because our former reinsurance business is in run-off and we no longer have ongoing business relationships with most of our ceding companies.  As a result, to the extent that there are disputes with our ceding companies over claims coverage or other issues, we believe that it is more likely that we will be required to arbitrate these disputes.  Although we believe that we have incorporated this potential in our reserve analyses, we also believe that as a result of the nature of the reinsurance business and the fact that the reinsurance business is in run-off, there exists a greater likelihood that reserves may develop adversely in this segment.
 
For our asbestos and environmental exposures, estimating reserves continues to be difficult because of several factors, including: (i) evolving methodologies for the estimation of the liabilities; (ii) lack of reliable historical claim data; (iii) uncertainties with respect to insurance and reinsurance coverage related to these obligations; (iv) changing judicial interpretations; and (v) changing government standards.  We believe that our reserves for asbestos and environmental claims have been appropriately established based upon known facts, existing case law and generally accepted actuarial methodologies.  However, the potential exists for changes in federal and state standards for clean-up and liability and changing interpretations by courts resulting from the resolution of coverage issues.  Coverage issues in cases in which we are a party include disputes concerning proof of insurance coverage, questions of allocation of liability and damages among the insured and participating insurers, assertions that asbestos claims are not products or completed operations claims subject to an aggregate limit and contentions that more than a single occurrence exists for purposes of determining the available coverage.  Therefore, our ultimate exposure for these claims may vary significantly from the amounts currently recorded, resulting in potential future adjustments that could be material to our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.
 
We believe that our unpaid losses and LAE are fairly stated at September 30, 2007.  However, estimating the ultimate claims liability is necessarily a complex and judgmental process inasmuch as the amounts are based on management’s informed estimates, assumptions and judgments using data currently available.  As additional experience and data become available regarding claims payment and reporting patterns, legal and legislative developments, judicial theories of liability, the impact of regulatory trends on benefit levels for both medical and indemnity payments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, the estimates are revised accordingly.  If our ultimate losses, net of reinsurance, prove to differ substantially from the amounts recorded at September 30, 2007, then the related adjustments could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.  See “Run-off Operations” beginning on page 23 for additional information regarding increases in loss reserves for prior years.

For additional discussion of loss reserves and reinsurance, see discussion beginning on pages 8, 38 and 51 of our 2006 Form 10-K.

25


LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure sufficient cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs.  Our insurance operations generate cash by writing insurance policies and collecting premiums.  The cash generated is used to pay losses and LAE and operating expenses.  Any excess cash is invested and earns investment income.  Net cash flows used in operating activities remained consistent during the first nine months of 2007, compared to the same period last year.

As a result of our decision to exit from the reinsurance and excess and surplus lines of business, we expect the operating activities of our Run-off Operations will continue to use cash flows into the foreseeable future, requiring us to continue to liquidate the invested assets committed to this business.  We monitor the expected payout of the liabilities associated with the Run-off Operations and maintain excess liquidity in our investment portfolio relative to timing of expected payouts.  The cash flows from commutations are unpredictable as each commutation is an individually negotiated agreement into which we will enter only when we believe the result is economically beneficial.  During the fourth quarter of 2007, we expect to commute the adverse development cover which will result in the increase of our invested asset base at the Run-off Operations by over $170 million.

We expect that the cash flows generated from the operating activities of The PMA Insurance Group will be positive for the foreseeable future as we anticipate premium and service revenue collections to exceed losses and LAE and operating expense payments.  We intend to be able to invest these positive cash flows and earn investment income. During the third quarter of 2007, The PMA Insurance Group's cash flows were reduced by $22.7 million for retroactive reinsurance purchased to cover substantially all of the unpaid losses and LAE related to its integrated disability business.

At the holding company level, our primary sources of liquidity are dividends, net tax payments received from subsidiaries and capital raising activities.  The PMA Insurance Group’s principal insurance subsidiaries (the “Pooled Companies”) have the ability to pay $26.5 million in dividends to PMA Capital Corporation during 2007 without the prior approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Department.  In considering their future dividend policy, the Pooled Companies will evaluate, among other things, the impact of paying dividends on their financial strength ratings.  The Pooled Companies had statutory surplus of $339.8 million as of September 30, 2007.

Net tax payments received from subsidiaries were $3.4 million during the third quarter of 2007, compared to $2.3 million during the same period last year.  Net tax payments received from subsidiaries during the first nine months of 2007 were $19.6 million, compared to $5.8 million for the same period in 2006.

On April 20, 2007, the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approved our request for an extraordinary dividend in the amount of $37.5 million from PMACIC.  Under the terms of the dividend approval, we were permitted to use the proceeds from the extraordinary dividend to acquire service franchises or insurance operations that complement the business of The PMA Insurance Group or PMA Management Corp.  We were also permitted to use up to $15 million of the dividend to repurchase our common stock; however, we were not permitted to use any portion of the dividend to pay shareholder dividends.

On May 9, 2007, our Board of Directors authorized us to repurchase shares of our Class A Common Stock in an amount not to exceed $10 million.  Since then, we repurchased 827,142 shares of our Class A Common Stock at a cost of $8.6 million, including 245,586 shares in the third quarter at a cost of $2.3 million.  We intend to solicit consents from holders of our convertible debt in order to provide us with more flexibility with respect to share repurchases.  Decisions regarding share repurchases are subject to prevailing market conditions and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital.

In June 2007, we issued $20.6 million of 30-year floating rate junior subordinated securities to a wholly-owned statutory trust subsidiary.  We used a portion of the $20.0 million net proceeds to purchase, in the open market, $14.7 million principal amount of our 6.50% Convertible Debt.  The junior subordinated debt matures in 2037 and is redeemable, in whole or in part, immediately at 107.5% of par, or in 2012 at par, plus accrued and unpaid interest.  The interest rate on the junior subordinated debt equals the three-month London InterBank Offered Rate plus 3.55%, and interest on this debt is payable on a quarterly basis.
 
We have the right to defer interest payments on the junior subordinated securities for up to twenty consecutive quarters but, if so deferred, we may not declare or pay cash dividends or distributions on our Class A Common Stock.  We have guaranteed the obligations of the statutory trust subsidiary with respect to distributions and payments on the trust preferred securities issued by the trust.


26

 
We utilize cash to pay debt obligations, including interest costs, taxes to the federal government, corporate expenses and dividends to shareholders.  At September 30, 2007, we had $50.9 million in cash and short-term investments at the holding company and its non-regulated subsidiaries.  On October 1, 2007, the holding company paid $23.2 million in cash for the acquisition of Midlands, which included $3.4 million for net worth.  We believe that our current funds, combined with our other capital sources, will continue to provide us with sufficient funds to meet our foreseeable ongoing expenses and interest payments.  We do not currently pay dividends on our Class A Common Stock.
 
On October 1, 2007, we entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement with Charles C. Caldwell, Thomas G. Hamill, Colin D. O’Connor and J. Mark Davis (collectively, the “Sellers”), pursuant to which we acquired all of the stock of Midlands Holding Corporation from the Sellers.  Under the Stock Purchase Agreement, we paid cash of $19.8 million for the stock and $3.4 million for the net worth of Midlands Holding Corporation at the closing of the transaction.  The ultimate purchase price for the stock, which could range from $22.8 million to $44.5 million, will be based on Midlands’ ability to achieve earnings growth for its business over the next four years.  The payment for net worth is subject to final adjustment in April 2008.  We expect to be able to pay most of any future earn-out payments through cash generated from Midlands’ operations.
 
During the first nine months of 2007, we retired $14.7 million principal amount of our 6.50% Convertible Debt, including $8.1 million in the third quarter, through open market purchases by PMA Capital Corporation.  We paid $17.3 million for these bond purchases, including $9.6 million for the third quarter purchases, exclusive of accrued interest.  As the derivative component of the bonds was already reflected in the debt balance, the purchase activity did not result in any significant realized gain or loss.

As of September 30, 2007, our total outstanding debt was $135.1 million, which included $4.6 million principal amount of our 6.50% Convertible Debt, compared to $131.2 million at December 31, 2006.  The increase was primarily due to the issuance of the $20.6 million principal amount of junior subordinated debt, offset by the open market purchases of our 6.50% Convertible Debt.  Holders, at their option, may require us to repurchase all or a portion of the remaining 6.50% Convertible Debt on June 30, 2009 at 114% of the principal amount.  We expect to use holding company cash to repurchase this debt on or prior to the put date of June 30, 2009.

We incurred interest expense of $3.1 million during the third quarter of 2007, compared to $3.0 million during the same period last year.  During the first nine months of 2007, we incurred interest expense of $8.7 million, compared to $10.7 million during the first nine months of 2006.  We paid interest of $2.9 million during the third quarter of 2007, compared to $3.5 million during the same period last year.  We have paid $8.4 million in interest through the first nine months of 2007, compared to $11.2 million during the first nine months of 2006.  The year-to-date declines in interest expense and interest paid in 2007, compared to the same period last year, were largely due to the mandatory redemption and open market purchases of our 6.50% Convertible Debt in the prior year.  We expect to pay interest of $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2007.

We had previously entered into interest rate swaps with an aggregated notional amount of $52.5 million that we had designated as cash flow hedges associated with the variable interest rates on our junior subordinated debt and our Floating Rate Surplus Notes due 2035 (“Surplus Notes”).  During 2007, we settled these interest rate swaps and received net proceeds of $578,000.

In June 2007, we entered into new interest rate swaps that we have designated as cash flow hedges to manage interest costs and cash flows associated with the variable interest rates on a portion of our junior subordinated debt and our Surplus Notes.  There was no consideration paid or received for these swaps.  The swaps will effectively convert $10.0 million of the junior subordinated debt and $10.0 million of Surplus Notes to fixed rate debt with interest rates of 9.40% and 9.93%, respectively.

In September 2007, we entered into a new interest rate swap that we have designated as a cash flow hedge to manage interest costs and cash flows associated with the variable interest rates on a portion of our junior subordinated debt.  There was no consideration paid or received for this swap.  The swap will effectively convert $20.0 million of the junior subordinated debt to fixed rate debt with an interest rate of 8.29%.

Our investment strategy includes guidelines for asset quality standards, asset allocations among investment types and issuers, and other relevant criteria for our portfolio.  In addition, invested asset cash flows, which include both current interest income received and investment maturities, are structured to consider projected liability cash flows of loss reserve payouts that are based on actuarial models.  Property and casualty claim payment demands are somewhat unpredictable in nature and require liquidity from the underlying invested assets, which are structured to emphasize current investment income while
27

maintaining appropriate portfolio quality and diversity.  Liquidity requirements are met primarily through operating cash flows and by maintaining a portfolio with maturities that reflect expected cash flow requirements.
 
Investment grade fixed income securities, substantially all of which are publicly traded, constitute substantially all of our invested assets.  The market values of these investments are subject to fluctuations in interest rates.  Although we have structured our investment portfolio at The PMA Insurance Group to provide an appropriate matching of maturities with anticipated claims payments, if we decide or are required in the future to sell securities in a rising interest rate environment, then we would expect to incur losses from such sales.  As of September 30, 2007, the duration of our investments that support the insurance reserves was 3.7 years and the duration of our insurance reserves was 3.5 years.  The difference in the duration of our investments and our insurance reserves reflects our decision to maintain longer asset duration in order to enhance overall yield.
 
INVESTMENTS

At September 30, 2007, our investments were carried at a fair value of $880.7 million, which included accrued investment income of $634,000 related to our trading securities, and had an amortized cost of $883.8 million.  The average credit quality of our portfolio was AAA-.  All but one of our fixed income securities were publicly traded and all were rated by at least one nationally recognized credit rating agency.  At September 30, 2007, all but four securities in our fixed income portfolio were of investment grade credit quality.  These four securities were classified as trading securities and accounted for less than 1% of the total portfolio.

At September 30, 2007, $494 million, or 56% of our investment portfolio, was invested in mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations.  Of this $494 million, $24 million, or 3% of the total investment portfolio, were residential mortgage-backed securities whose underlying collateral was either a Sub-Prime or Alt A mortgage.  The $24 million, which includes $21 million of Alt A collateral and $3 million of Sub-Prime collateral, had an estimated weighted average life of 3.1 years, with $9.4 million of that balance expected to pay off within one year, and an average credit quality of AAA.  Based upon our high quality collateral and short average life, we do not expect to incur material losses of principal from these holdings.

The net unrealized loss on our available for sale investments at September 30, 2007 was $3.3 million, or 0.5% of the amortized cost basis.  The net unrealized loss included gross unrealized gains of $4.5 million and gross unrealized losses of $7.8 million.  Effective January 1, 2007, we reclassified certain securities, which were previously reported as fixed maturities available for sale, to the trading category in conjunction with our adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities” (“SFAS 159”).  The securities selected had gross unrealized gains of $530,000 and gross unrealized losses of $6.6 million at the time of our adoption.

For all but one security, fair values were determined using prices obtained in the public markets.  For this security, which was carried at a fair value of $613,000 at September 30, 2007, we utilize the services of our outside professional investment asset manager to determine its fair value.  The asset manager determines the fair value of the security by using a discounted present value of the estimated future cash flows (interest and principal repayment).

We review the securities in our available for sale fixed income portfolio on a periodic basis to specifically identify individual securities for any meaningful decline in fair value below amortized cost.  Our analysis includes all securities whose fair value is significantly below amortized cost at the time of the analysis, with additional emphasis placed on securities whose fair value has been below amortized cost for an extended period of time.  As part of our periodic review process, we utilize the expertise of our outside professional asset manager who provides us with an updated assessment of each issuer’s current credit situation based on recent issuer activities, such as quarterly earnings announcements or other pertinent financial news for the company, recent developments in a particular industry, economic outlook for a particular industry and rating agency actions.  For structured securities, we analyze the quality of the underlying collateral of the security.  We do not believe that there are credit related risks associated with our U.S. Treasury and agency securities.


28


In addition to company-specific financial information and general economic data, we also consider our ability and intent to hold a particular security to maturity or until the fair value of the security recovers to a level at least equal to the amortized cost.  Our ability and intent to hold securities to such time is evidenced by our strategy and process to match the cash flow characteristics of the invested asset portfolio, both interest income and principal repayment, to the actuarially determined estimated liability payout patterns of each insurance company’s claims liabilities.  Where we determine that a security’s unrealized loss is other than temporary, a realized loss is recognized in the period in which the decline in value is determined to be other than temporary.

Net realized investment gains (losses) were comprised of the following:
 
   
Three Months Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
September 30,   
   
September 30,   
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
 
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Sales of investments:
                       
Realized gains
  $
216
    $
966
    $
1,138
    $
4,377
 
Realized losses
    (3,310 )     (796 )     (5,214 )     (5,310 )
Change in fair value of trading securities
   
4,172
     
-
     
3,472
     
-
 
Change in fair value of debt derivative
    (45 )     (877 )     (396 )    
77
 
Other
    (96 )     (92 )     (247 )     (103 )
Total net realized investment gains (losses)
  $
937
    $ (799 )   $ (1,247 )   $ (959 )
                                 

The gross realized gains and losses on sales of investments primarily related to the repositioning of invested assets out of lower yielding sectors, such as corporate bonds, and into higher yielding sectors, such as structured securities, while maintaining our bias towards shorter duration and higher credit quality securities in the investment portfolio.  The change in fair value of trading securities related to the securities in our Run-off Operations’ investment portfolio that were selected for the fair value option and reclassified from available for sale to trading with our adoption of SFAS 159, effective January 1, 2007.  

As of September 30, 2007, our available for sale investment portfolio had gross unrealized losses of $7.8 million.  For securities that were in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2007, the length of time that such securities were in an unrealized loss position, as measured by their month end market value, was as follows:

                           
Percentage
 
   
Number of
   
Fair
   
Amortized
   
Unrealized
   
Fair Value to
 
(dollar amounts in millions)
 
Securities
   
Value
   
Cost
   
Loss
   
Amortized Cost
 
                               
Less than 6 months
   
26
    $
65.3
    $
65.7
    $ (0.4 )     99 %
6 to 9 months
   
11
     
61.8
     
62.7
      (0.9 )     99 %
9 to 12 months
   
8
     
48.7
     
49.3
      (0.6 )     99 %
More than 12 months
   
92
     
109.6
     
112.8
      (3.2 )     97 %
   Subtotal
   
137
     
285.4
     
290.5
      (5.1 )     98 %
U.S. Treasury and
                                       
   Agency securities
   
63
     
159.4
     
162.1
      (2.7 )     98 %
Total
   
200
    $
444.8
    $
452.6
    $ (7.8 )     98 %
                                         

Of the 92 securities that have been in an unrealized loss position for more than 12 months, 91 securities have an unrealized loss of less than 20% of each security’s amortized cost.  These 91 securities have a total fair value of 98% of the amortized cost basis at September 30, 2007, and the average unrealized loss per security is approximately $28,000.  The one security with an unrealized loss greater than 20% of its amortized cost at September 30, 2007 has a fair value of $613,000 and an amortized cost of $1.4 million.  This security, which matures in 2033, is rated AAA, and its $1.4 million principal is backed and guaranteed at maturity by discounted agency securities.  We have both the ability and intent to hold this security until it matures.


29


The contractual maturities of securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2007 were as follows:

                       
Percentage
 
     
Fair
   
Amortized
   
Unrealized
   
Fair Value to
 
(dollar amounts in millions)
   
Value
   
Cost
   
Loss
   
Amortized Cost
 
                           
2007
    $
-
    $
-
    $
-
      0 %
2008-2011      
37.0
     
37.4
      (0.4 )     99 %
2012-2016      
24.8
     
25.7
      (0.9 )     96 %
2017 and later
     
1.4
     
1.4
     
-
      100 %
Mortgage-backed and other
                                 
asset-backed securities
     
222.2
     
226.0
      (3.8 )     98 %
Subtotal
     
285.4
     
290.5
      (5.1 )     98 %
U.S. Treasury and Agency
                                 
securities
     
159.4
     
162.1
      (2.7 )     98 %
Total
    $
444.8
    $
452.6
    $ (7.8 )     98 %
                                     
 
OTHER MATTERS

Other Factors Affecting Our Business

In general, our businesses are subject to a changing social, economic, legal, legislative and regulatory environment that could materially affect them.  Some of the changes include initiatives to restrict insurance pricing and the application of underwriting standards and reinterpretations of insurance contracts long after the policies were written in an effort to provide coverage unanticipated by us.  The eventual effect on us of the changing environment in which we operate remains uncertain.

Comparison of SAP and GAAP Results

Results presented in accordance with GAAP vary in certain respects from results presented in accordance with statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department (collectively “SAP”).  Prescribed SAP includes state laws, regulations and general administrative rules, as well as a variety of National Association of Insurance Commissioners publications.  Permitted SAP encompasses all accounting practices that are not prescribed.  Our domestic insurance subsidiaries use SAP to prepare various financial reports for use by insurance regulators.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In July 2006, the FASB issued FASB Interpretation No. 48, “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes – an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109” (“FIN 48”), which provides criteria for the recognition and measurement of uncertain tax positions.  FIN 48 requires that an uncertain tax position should be recognized only if it is “more likely than not” that the position is sustainable based on its technical merits.  Recognizable tax positions should then be measured to determine the amount of benefit recognized in the financial statements.  The provisions of FIN 48 are effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006.  Our adoption of FIN 48 did not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.


30


In September 2006, the FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS 157”).  This Statement defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in accordance with GAAP and expands disclosures about fair value measurements.  SFAS 157 is applicable in conjunction with other accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value measurements, but does not expand the use of fair value to any new circumstances.  More specifically, SFAS 157 emphasizes that fair value is a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific measurement, and sets out a fair value hierarchy with the highest priority given to quoted prices in active markets and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs.  Further, SFAS 157 requires tabular disclosures of the fair value measurements by level within the fair value hierarchy.  This Statement is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years.  However, early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of a fiscal year.  We early adopted SFAS 157, effective January 1, 2007.  Our adoption of SFAS 157 did not have an impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

The following table provides the fair value measurements of our applicable assets and liabilities by level within the fair value hierarchy as of September 30, 2007.  These assets and liabilities are measured on a recurring basis.

         
Fair Value Measurements at Reporting Date Using
 
(dollar amounts in thousands)
       
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets
   
Significant Other Observable Inputs
   
Significant Unobservable Inputs
 
Description
 
9/30/2007
   
(Level 1)
   
(Level 2)
   
(Level 3)
 
                         
Assets
                       
Fixed maturities available for sale
  $
725,637
    $
725,637
    $
-
    $
-
 
Fixed maturities trading
   
50,412
     
50,412
     
-
     
-
 
   Total Assets
   
776,049
     
776,049
     
-
     
-
 
                                 
Liabilities
                               
Derivative component of 6.50% Convertible Debt
  $
762
    $
-
    $
762
    $
-
 
                                 
 
In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS 159.  The objective of SFAS 159 is to improve financial reporting by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently.  This Statement permits entities to choose, at specified election dates, to measure eligible items at fair value (i.e., the fair value option).  Items eligible for the fair value option include certain recognized financial assets and liabilities, rights and obligations under certain insurance contracts that are not financial instruments, host financial instruments resulting from the separation of an embedded non-financial derivative instrument from a non-financial hybrid instrument, and certain commitments.  Business entities are required to report unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected in net income.  The fair value option may be applied instrument by instrument, with certain exceptions, is irrevocable (unless a new election date occurs), and is applied only to entire instruments and not to portions of instruments.
 
SFAS 159 is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007.  Early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of the previous fiscal year provided that the entity makes that choice within the first 120 days of that fiscal year and also elects to apply the provisions of SFAS 157.  We early adopted SFAS 159, effective January 1, 2007.  Upon adoption of SFAS 159, we elected to reclassify all of the fixed income securities in our Run-off Operations’ investment portfolio from available for sale to trading.  Although our adoption of this Statement had no net impact on shareholders’ equity, it may result in future volatility in net income as changes in fair value will be recorded through realized gains and losses rather than other comprehensive income.  We recognized after-tax net realized gains of $2.7 million and $2.3 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2007, respectively, for subsequent changes in fair value on these trading securities.

We decided to adopt SFAS 159 because the investment portfolio at the Run-off Operations decreased by 50% in the first quarter of 2007, compared to the first quarter of 2006, and due to the unpredictability of cash flows for commutations combined with the shrinking size of the portfolio, trading activity was expected to increase in 2007.  The Run-off Operations’ investment portfolio was also reduced significantly during the second quarter as a result of the $37.5 million extraordinary dividend payment to the holding company in April 2007.


31


The balance sheet impact of the SFAS 159 adoption was as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)
Description
 
Balance Sheet
1/1/07 prior to
Adoption
   
Net Change
upon Adoption
   
Balance Sheet
1/1/07 after
Adoption of FVO
 
                   
Fixed maturities available for sale
(amortized cost: pre-adoption - $881,348;
post-adoption - $722,219)
  $
871,951
    $ (153,086 )   $
718,865
 
Fixed maturities trading
(amortized cost and accrued investment income:
pre-adoption - $0; post-adoption - $162,871)
   
-
     
156,828
     
156,828
 
Accrued investment income
   
9,351
      (3,742 )    
5,609
 
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
    (20,624 )    
3,928
      (16,696 )
                         
Cumulative effect of adoption of the
                 
fair value option, net of tax expense
                 
of $2,115 (charge to retained earnings)
    $ (3,928 )        
                         
 
Critical Accounting Estimates

Our critical accounting estimates can be found beginning on page 51 of our 2006 Form 10-K.


32


CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS

Except for historical information provided in Management’s Discussion and Analysis and otherwise in this report, statements made throughout this report are forward-looking and contain information about financial results, economic conditions, trends and known uncertainties.  Words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “expect” or similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements.  These forward-looking statements may include estimates, assumptions or projections and are based on currently available financial, competitive and economic data and our current operating plans.  Although management believes that our expectations are reasonable, there can be no assurance that our actual results will not differ materially from those expected.

The factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, include, but are not limited to:

 
·
our ability to effect an efficient withdrawal from the reinsurance business, including the commutation of reinsurance business with certain large ceding companies, without incurring any significant additional liabilities;
 
·
adverse property and casualty loss development for events that we insured in prior years, including unforeseen increases in medical costs and changing judicial interpretations of available coverage for certain insured losses;
 
·
our ability to increase the amount of new and renewal business written by The PMA Insurance Group at adequate prices or revenues of our service operations including Midlands Management Corporation;
 
·
our ability to have sufficient cash at the holding company to meet our debt service and other obligations, including any restrictions such as those imposed by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department on receiving dividends from our insurance subsidiaries in an amount sufficient to meet such obligations;
 
·
any future lowering or loss of one or more of our financial strength and debt ratings, and the adverse impact that any such downgrade may have on our ability to compete and to raise capital, and our liquidity and financial condition;
 
·
adequacy and collectibility of reinsurance that we purchased;
 
·
adequacy of reserves for claim liabilities;
 
·
whether state or federal asbestos liability legislation is enacted and the impact of such legislation on us;
 
·
regulatory changes in risk-based capital or other standards that affect the cost of, or demand for, our products or otherwise affect our ability to conduct business, including any future action with respect to our business taken by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department or any other state insurance department;
 
·
the impact of future results on the recoverability of our deferred tax asset;
 
·
the outcome of any litigation against us;
 
·
competitive conditions that may affect the level of rate adequacy related to the amount of risk undertaken and that may influence the sustainability of adequate rate changes;
 
·
our ability to implement and maintain rate increases;
 
·
the effect of changes in workers’ compensation statutes and their administration, which may affect the rates that we can charge and the manner in which we administer claims;
 
·
our ability to predict and effectively manage claims related to insurance and reinsurance policies;
 
·
uncertainty as to the price and availability of reinsurance on business we intend to write in the future, including reinsurance for terrorist acts;
 
·
severity of natural disasters and other catastrophes, including the impact of future acts of terrorism, in connection with insurance and reinsurance policies;
 
·
changes in general economic conditions, including the performance of financial markets, interest rates and the level of unemployment;
 
·
uncertainties related to possible terrorist activities or international hostilities and whether TRIEA is extended beyond its December 31, 2007 termination date; and
 
·
other factors or uncertainties disclosed from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


You should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements in this Form 10-Q.  Forward-looking statements are not generally required to be publicly revised as circumstances change and we do not intend to update the forward-looking statements in this Form 10-Q to reflect circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.


33



There has been no material change regarding our market risk position from the information provided on page 58 of our 2006 Form 10-K.


As of the end of the period covered by this report, we, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our President and Chief Executive Officer and our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, carried out an evaluation of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.  Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective in timely alerting them to material information relating to us (including our consolidated subsidiaries) required to be disclosed in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  During the period covered by this report, there were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

Part II.    Other Information


In re PMA Capital Corporation Securities Litigation

PMA Capital Corporation has reached agreement to settle the securities class action (Civil Action No. 03-6121) pending in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.  The settlement is subject to documentation and Court approval.  The settlement makes no admission of liability or wrongdoing by the Company or its officers and directors.  The amounts necessary to fund this settlement will be paid by insurance carriers for the Company.


There have been no material changes to the risk factors disclosed in Item 1A. Risk Factors in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006, except for the risk factor entitled, “Purported class action lawsuits may result in financial losses and may divert management resources,” which is modified by our agreement to settle the securities class action, In re PMA Capital Corporation Securities Litigation, as described above.


Issuer Purchase of Equity Securities

Period
 
Total Number of Shares Purchased
   
Average Price Paid per Share
   
Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs
   
Approximate Dollar Value of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased Under Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (3)
 
7/1/07-7/31/07
                       
6.50% Convertible Debt repurchases (1)
   
495,417
    $
19.42
     
-
    $
-
 
8/1/07-8/31/07
                               
Share repurchases (2)
   
106,586
     
9.63
     
106,586
     
2,702,000
 
9/1/07-9/30/07
                               
Share repurchases (2)
   
139,000
     
9.44
     
139,000
     
1,389,000
 
                                 
Total
   
741,003
    $
16.14
     
245,586
         
 
(1)
We repurchased $8.1 million principal amount of our 6.50% Convertible Debt in July 2007.  The average price paid per share for the open market purchases was calculated by dividing the total cash paid, exclusive of accrued interest payments, by the number of shares of Class A Common Stock into which the debt was convertible.
 
(2)
On May 15, 2007, the Company announced that it received authorization from its Board of Directors to purchase up to $10 million of its Class A Common Stock from time to time in the open market at prevailing prices or in privately negotiated transactions.
 
(3)
As of the last day of the applicable month.

34


The Exhibits are listed in the Exhibit Index on page 36.



Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
 

 
PMA CAPITAL CORPORATION
   
   
Date:  November 5, 2007
By: /s/ William E. Hitselberger
 
William E. Hitselberger
 
Executive Vice President and
 
Chief Financial Officer
 
 (Principal Financial Officer)




35




Exhibit No.
Description of Exhibit
 
Method of Filing
       
       
(12)
Computation of Ratio of Earnings to Fixed Charges
 
 
(31)
Rule 13a - 14(a)/15d - 14 (a) Certificates
 
   
   31.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to Rule 13a -14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
       
   31.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to Rule 13a -14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
       
(32)
Section 1350 Certificates
   
       
   32.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
       
   32.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
 
 
 
       
       
 36