EX-99.1 3 p68382exv99w1.htm EX-99.1 exv99w1
 

Exhibit 99.1

(P.F. CHANG'S CHINA BISTRO LOGO)


P.F. CHANG’S EARNS $0.25 PER SHARE


SCOTTSDALE, Arizona, October 22, 2003 – P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc. (NASDAQ:PFCB) today reported earnings of $6.5 million for the third quarter ended September 28, 2003 compared to $4.4 million in the third quarter of the prior year. Earnings per share for the third quarter increased to $0.25 from $0.17 in the third quarter of the prior year.

                         
(000 except per share data)   3Q03   2Q03   3Q02

 
 
 
Revenues
  $ 139,729     $ 136,605     $ 107,052  
Net Income
  $ 6,477     $ 7,077     $ 4,417  
Diluted Earnings Per Share
  $ 0.25     $ 0.27     $ 0.17  
Shares Used in EPS calculation
    26,331       26,228       25,841  

2003 Expectations

The company anticipates opening 18 new Bistro units (twelve of which are already open) and 17 new Pei Wei units (fourteen of which are already open) in 2003. Based on this development schedule, and assuming comparable store sales growth at the Bistro units of 2% to 3% for the fourth quarter of this year, the company expects consolidated revenues of $558 million in fiscal 2003, a 32% increase over fiscal 2002. The company has increased its estimate of preopening costs at the Bistro in the fourth quarter of 2003 by approximately $400,000 to reflect higher preopening costs for the new units opening in the fourth quarter given current cost trends as well as additional costs associated with earlier than anticipated opening dates for certain 2004 units. Accordingly, net income is anticipated to be $27.7 million, which equates to earnings per share of $1.06. Included in these estimates is the expectation that Pei Wei Asian Diner will be slightly profitable for the year. The company will release its fourth quarter 2003 revenue results on December 31, 2003 and its fourth quarter 2003 earnings results on February 11, 2004.

Page 1 of 11


 

2004 Expectations

The company anticipates opening 16 to 18 new Bistro units and 19 to 21 new Pei Wei units in 2004. Based on this development schedule, and given the slight increase in new store weeks at the Bistro for the first quarter openings noted above, the company expects consolidated revenues of $697 million, net income of $36 million and earnings per share of $1.32. Included in these estimates is the assumption that Pei Wei Asian Diner will be slightly profitable in 2004. The company will have one additional week in fiscal 2004 (a 53 week year versus the typical 52 week year) which is not reflected in the full-year estimates noted above.

The company is hosting a conference call today at 1:00 pm ET in which management will provide further details on the third quarter results as well as an outlook for future periods. A webcast of the call can be accessed through the company’s website at http://www.pfchangs.com.

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc. owns and operates two restaurant concepts in the Asian niche. P.F. Chang’s China Bistro features a blend of high-quality, traditional Chinese cuisine and American hospitality in a sophisticated, contemporary bistro setting. Pei Wei Asian Diner offers a modest menu of freshly prepared Asian cuisine in a relaxed, warm environment offering attentive counter service and take-out flexibility.

The statements contained in this press release that are not purely historical, including the company’s estimates of its revenues, earnings and comparable sales, as well as statements concerning the company’s development schedule, are forward looking statements. The accuracy of these forward-looking statements may be affected by certain risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, the company’s ability to operate its restaurants profitably; the company’s ability to hire, train and retain skilled management and other personnel; changes in consumer tastes and trends, and national, regional and local economic and weather conditions; changes in costs related to food, utilities and labor; and other risks described in the company’s recent SEC filings. In addition, the supplemental sales information is provided to investors to help gauge the company’s performance and is not indicative of future results.

             
Contact:   P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.   (602) 957-8986    
    Media:   Laura Cherry   laurac@pfchangs.com
    Investor:   Kristina Cashman   kristinac@pfchangs.com

Page 2 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

                         
    13 Weeks Ended   13 Weeks Ended   13 Weeks Ended
   
 
 
    Sep 28   Jun 29   Sep 29
    2003   2003   2002
   
 
 
Revenues
  $ 139,729     $ 136,605     $ 107,052  
Cost of sales
    38,460       37,207       28,631  
Labor
    43,726       42,776       34,187  
Operating
    23,316       22,772       18,191  
Occupancy
    7,711       7,617       6,426  
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    26,516       26,233       19,617  
General & administrative
    6,897       7,345       5,304  
Depreciation & amortization
    4,827       4,646       3,673  
Preopening expenses
    2,627       1,176       2,340  
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    12,165       13,066       8,300  
Interest (expense) income and other income
    (69 )     (3 )     33  
Minority interests
    (2,305 )     (2,340 )     (1,547 )
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    9,791       10,723       6,786  
Provision for income taxes
    (3,314 )     (3,646 )     (2,369 )
 
   
     
     
 
Net income
  $ 6,477     $ 7,077     $ 4,417  
 
   
     
     
 
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.25     $ 0.28     $ 0.18  
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.25     $ 0.27     $ 0.17  
Shares used in calculation of basic EPS
    25,414       25,338       24,944  
Shares used in calculation of diluted EPS
    26,331       26,228       25,841  
                         
    Percentage of Revenues
   
    Sep 28   Jun 29   Sep 29
    2003   2003   2002
   
 
 
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
Cost of sales
    27.5 %     27.2 %     26.7 %
Labor
    31.3 %     31.3 %     31.9 %
Operating
    16.7 %     16.7 %     17.0 %
Occupancy
    5.5 %     5.6 %     6.0 %
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    19.0 %     19.2 %     18.3 %
General & administrative
    4.9 %     5.4 %     5.0 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.5 %     3.4 %     3.4 %
Preopening expenses
    1.9 %     0.9 %     2.2 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    8.7 %     9.6 %     7.8 %
Interest (expense) income and other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Minority interests
    -1.6 %     -1.7 %     -1.4 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    7.0 %     7.8 %     6.3 %
Provision for income taxes
    -2.4 %     -2.7 %     -2.2 %
 
   
     
     
 
Net income
    4.6 %     5.2 %     4.1 %
 
   
     
     
 

Certain percentage amounts do not sum to total due to rounding.

Page 3 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

                 
    39 Weeks Ended   39 Weeks Ended
   
 
    Sep 28   Sep 29
    2003   2002
   
 
Revenues
  $ 407,929     $ 306,202  
Cost of sales
    110,916       81,784  
Labor
    128,170       96,992  
Operating
    67,696       51,249  
Occupancy
    22,747       18,769  
 
   
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    78,400       57,408  
General & administrative
    21,024       15,720  
Depreciation & amortization
    13,761       10,495  
Preopening expenses
    5,787       4,438  
 
   
     
 
Income from operations
    37,828       26,755  
Interest (expense) income and other income
    (31 )     6  
Minority interests
    (6,985 )     (4,602 )
 
   
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    30,812       22,159  
Provision for income taxes
    (10,461 )     (7,749 )
 
   
     
 
Net income
  $ 20,351     $ 14,410  
 
   
     
 
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.80     $ 0.59  
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.78     $ 0.56  
Shares used in calculation of basic EPS
    25,296       24,583  
Shares used in calculation of diluted EPS
    26,199       25,914  
                 
    Sep 28   Sep 29
    2003   2002
   
 
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %
Cost of sales
    27.2 %     26.7 %
Labor
    31.4 %     31.7 %
Operating
    16.6 %     16.7 %
Occupancy
    5.6 %     6.1 %
 
   
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    19.2 %     18.7 %
General & administrative
    5.2 %     5.1 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.4 %     3.4 %
Preopening expenses
    1.4 %     1.4 %
 
   
     
 
Income from operations
    9.3 %     8.7 %
Interest income and other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %
Minority interests
    -1.7 %     -1.5 %
 
   
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    7.6 %     7.2 %
Provision for income taxes
    -2.6 %     -2.5 %
 
   
     
 
Net income
    5.0 %     4.7 %
 
   
     
 

Certain percentage amounts do not sum to total due to rounding.

Page 4 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

Supplemental Financial Information
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

                         
    13 Weeks Ended Sep 28, 2003
   
    Total   Bistro   Pei Wei
   
 
 
Revenues
  $ 139,729     $ 125,745     $ 13,984  
Cost of sales
    38,460       34,347       4,113  
Labor
    43,726       39,143       4,583  
Operating
    23,316       21,118       2,198  
Occupancy
    7,711       6,785       926  
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    26,516       24,352       2,164  
General & administrative
    6,897       5,868       1,029  
Depreciation & amortization
    4,827       4,284       543  
Preopening expenses
    2,627       2,033       594  
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    12,165       12,167       (2 )
Interest (expense) income and other income
    (69 )     (69 )     (0 )
Minority interests
    (2,305 )     (2,145 )     (160 )
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    9,791       9,953       (162 )
 
           
     
 
Provision for income taxes
    (3,314 )                
 
   
                 
Net income
  $ 6,477                  
 
   
                 
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.25                  
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.25                  
Shares used in calculation of basic EPS
    25,414                  
Shares used in calculation of diluted EPS
    26,331                  
                         
    Percentage of Revenues
   
    Total   Bistro   Pei Wei
   
 
 
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
Cost of sales
    27.5 %     27.3 %     29.4 %
Labor
    31.3 %     31.1 %     32.8 %
Operating
    16.7 %     16.8 %     15.7 %
Occupancy
    5.5 %     5.4 %     6.6 %
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    19.0 %     19.4 %     15.5 %
General & administrative
    4.9 %     4.7 %     7.4 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.5 %     3.4 %     3.9 %
Preopening expenses
    1.9 %     1.6 %     4.2 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    8.7 %     9.7 %     0.0 %
Interest (expense) income and other income
    0.0 %     -0.1 %     0.0 %
Minority interests
    -1.6 %     -1.7 %     -1.1 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    7.0 %     7.9 %     -1.2 %
 
           
     
 
Provision for income taxes
    -2.4 %                
 
   
                 
Net income
    4.6 %                
 
   
                 

Certain percentage amounts do not sum to total due to rounding.

Page 5 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

Supplemental Financial Information
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

                         
    39 Weeks Ended September 28, 2003
   
    Total   Bistro   Pei Wei
   
 
 
Revenues
  $ 407,929     $ 370,404     $ 37,525  
Cost of sales
    110,916       99,948       10,968  
Labor
    128,170       115,871       12,299  
Operating
    67,696       61,892       5,804  
Occupancy
    22,747       20,281       2,466  
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    78,400       72,412       5,988  
General & administrative
    21,024       18,229       2,795  
Depreciation & amortization
    13,761       12,347       1,414  
Preopening expenses
    5,787       4,568       1,219  
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    37,828       37,268       560  
Interest income and other income
    (31 )     (36 )     5  
Minority interests
    (6,985 )     (6,521 )     (464 )
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    30,812       30,711       101  
 
           
     
 
Provision for income taxes
    (10,461 )                
 
   
                 
Net income
  $ 20,351                  
 
   
                 
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.80                  
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.78                  
Shares used in calculation of basic EPS
    25,296                  
Shares used in calculation of diluted EPS
    26,199                  
                         
    Percentage of Revenues
   
    Total   Bistro   Pei Wei
   
 
 
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
Cost of sales
    27.2 %     27.0 %     29.2 %
Labor
    31.4 %     31.3 %     32.8 %
Operating
    16.6 %     16.7 %     15.5 %
Occupancy
    5.6 %     5.5 %     6.6 %
 
   
     
     
 
Restaurant operating profit
    19.2 %     19.5 %     16.0 %
General & administrative
    5.2 %     4.9 %     7.4 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.4 %     3.3 %     3.8 %
Preopening expenses
    1.4 %     1.2 %     3.2 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income from operations
    9.3 %     10.1 %     1.5 %
Interest income and other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Minority interests
    -1.7 %     -1.8 %     -1.2 %
 
   
     
     
 
Income before provision for income taxes
    7.6 %     8.3 %     0.3 %
 
           
     
 
Provision for income taxes
    -2.6 %                
 
   
                 
Net income
    5.0 %                
 
   
                 

Certain percentage amounts do not sum to total due to rounding.

Page 6 of 11


 

P.F.Chang’s China Bistro

Supplemental Sales Information

Year of Unit Opening (1)

                                                                                 
    Pre-1996   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   Total
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Units
    4       3       6       10       13       16       13       14       11       90  
Sales (000)
1Q03
    6,434       5,908       9,060       15,753       18,800       23,236       18,815       17,983       4,751       120,740  
2Q03
    6,238       5,955       9,180       15,545       19,037       23,754       18,576       17,214       8,420       123,919  
3Q03
    6,190       5,970       8,914       15,428       18,804       23,842       18,108       16,850       11,639       125,745  
2003
    18,862       17,833       27,154       46,726       56,641       70,832       55,499       52,047       24,810       370,404  
Average Weekly Sales (AWS)
1Q03
    123,738       151,474       116,157       121,175       111,239       111,713       111,331       98,808       143,980       113,906  
2Q03
    119,958       152,695       117,695       119,575       112,647       114,202       109,915       94,582       125,666       113,271  
3Q03
    119,044       153,083       114,272       118,677       111,269       114,625       107,148       92,579       115,241       111,476  
2003
    120,913       152,417       116,042       119,809       111,719       113,513       109,465       95,323       123,434       112,859  
Year-Over-Year Change in AWS
1Q03
    0.2 %     3.7 %     6.0 %     5.1 %     5.0 %     11.0 %     5.4 %     -1.7 %           4.4 %
2Q03
    -0.4 %     1.9 %     7.3 %     1.4 %     5.3 %     10.4 %     5.1 %     -6.1 %           3.1 %
3Q03
    0.4 %     1.1 %     6.7 %     -0.6 %     4.4 %     10.4 %     4.9 %     -3.7 %           2.7 %
2003
    0.1 %     2.2 %     6.7 %     1.9 %     4.9 %     10.6 %     5.1 %     -2.7 %           3.4 %
Year-Over-Year Change Comp Store Sales (2)
Units
    4       3       6       10       13       16       13       3             68  
1Q03
    0.2 %     3.7 %     6.0 %     5.1 %     5.0 %     11.0 %     6.6 %                 6.4 %
2Q03
    -0.4 %     1.9 %     7.3 %     1.4 %     5.3 %     10.4 %     5.2 %     5.4 %           5.4 %
3Q03
    0.4 %     1.1 %     6.7 %     -0.6 %     4.4 %     10.4 %     4.9 %     7.4 %           4.8 %
2003
    0.1 %     2.2 %     6.7 %     1.9 %     4.9 %     10.6 %     5.4 %     7.1 %           5.5 %


(1)   Includes all restaurants opened in the period indicated.
 
(2)   A unit becomes comparable in the eighteenth month of operation

Page 7 of 11


 

Pei Wei Asian Diner

Supplemental Sales Information

Year of Unit Opening (1)

                                         
    2000   2001   2002   2003   Total
   
 
 
 
 
Units
    1       4       11       11       27  
Sales (000)
1Q03
    868       2,390       5,762       1,835       10,855  
2Q03
    841       2,241       5,722       3,882       12,686  
3Q03
    814       2,141       5,603       5,426       13,984  
2003
    2,523       6,772       17,087       11,143       37,525  
Average Weekly Sales (AWS)
1Q03
    66,787       45,956       40,295       52,437       44,673  
2Q03
    64,652       43,092       40,017       53,176       45,144  
3Q03
    62,593       41,176       39,180       47,599       43,428  
2003
    64,677       43,408       39,831       50,195       44,356  
Year-Over-Year Change in AWS
1Q03
    3.0 %     6.4 %     -15.1 %           -6.0 %
2Q03
    4.2 %     -0.3 %     11.3 %           3.4 %
3Q03
    6.2 %     -0.4 %     7.8 %           8.2 %
2003
    4.4 %     1.9 %     6.6 %           3.2 %
Year-Over-Year Change Comp Store Sales (2)
Units
    1       4       2             7  
1Q03
    3.0 %     -1.2 %                 1.1 %
2Q03
    4.2 %     -2.5 %     2.1 %           -0.1 %
3Q03
    6.2 %     -0.4 %     0.8 %           1.2 %
2003
    4.4 %     -1.3 %     1.1 %           0.7 %


(1)   Includes all restaurants opened in the period indicated.
 
(2)   A unit becomes comparable in the eighteenth month of operation

Page 8 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

Development Schedule

                                 
    P. F. Chang's China Bistro
   
    3Q03   4Q03   1Q04   2Q04
   
 
 
 
Units opened
    5       1                  
Units under construction
            6       6          
Units in development
                            3  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total new unit development
    5       7       6       3  
Existing units
    85       90       97       103  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total units
    90       97       103       106  
 
   
     
     
     
 
                                 
    Pei Wei Asian Diner
   
    3Q03   4Q03   1Q04   2Q04
   
 
 
 
Units opened
    4       3                  
Units under construction
            3       1          
Units in development
                    3       5  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total new unit development
    4       6       4       5  
Existing units
    23       27       33       37  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total units
    27       33       37       42  
 
   
     
     
     
 

Page 9 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

2003 Forecast

                                                                         
    1Q03   2Q03   3Q03
   
 
 
    Bistro   Pei Wei   Total   Bistro   Pei Wei   Total   Bistro   Pei Wei   Total
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Store weeks
    1,060       243       1,303       1,094       281       1,375       1,128       322       1,450  
Average weekly sales (000)
    113.9       44.7       101.0       113.3       45.1       99.3       111.5       43.4       96.4  
Revenues (millions)
    120.7       10.9       131.6       123.9       12.7       136.6       125.7       14.0       139.7  
Restaurant operating profit
    23.9       1.7       25.7       24.2       2.1       26.2       24.3       2.2       26.5  
General & administrative
    5.9       0.8       6.8       6.4       0.9       7.3       5.9       1.0       6.9  
Depreciation & amortization
    3.9       0.4       4.3       4.2       0.5       4.6       4.3       0.5       4.8  
Preopening expenses
    1.7       0.3       2.0       0.9       0.3       1.2       2.0       0.6       2.6  
Other income
    (0.0 )           (0.0 )                       0.1             0.1  
Minority interest
    2.2       0.1       2.3       2.2       0.2       2.3       2.1       0.2       2.3  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    10.2       0.1       10.3       10.5       0.2       10.7       10.0       (0.2 )     9.8  
Tax provision
    3.5       0.0       3.5       3.6       0.1       3.6       3.4       (0.1 )     3.3  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    6.8       0.0       6.8       6.9       0.1       7.1       6.6       (0.1 )     6.5  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
FD shares
    26.0       26.0       26.0       26.2       26.2       26.2       26.3       26.3       26.3  
EPS
  $ 0.26     $ 0.00     $ 0.26     $ 0.26     $ 0.01     $ 0.27     $ 0.25     $ (0.00 )   $ 0.25  
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
Restaurant operating profit
    19.8 %     16.1 %     19.5 %     19.5 %     16.4 %     19.2 %     19.4 %     15.5 %     19.0 %
General & administrative
    4.9 %     7.8 %     5.2 %     5.2 %     7.2 %     5.4 %     4.7 %     7.4 %     5.0 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.2 %     3.7 %     3.3 %     3.4 %     3.7 %     3.4 %     3.4 %     3.9 %     3.4 %
Preopening expenses
    1.4 %     2.9 %     1.5 %     0.7 %     2.5 %     0.9 %     1.6 %     4.2 %     1.9 %
Other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.1 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Minority interest
    1.8 %     1.3 %     1.8 %     1.8 %     1.3 %     1.7 %     1.7 %     1.1 %     1.6 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    8.5 %     0.5 %     7.8 %     8.5 %     1.6 %     7.9 %     7.9 %     -1.1 %     7.0 %
Tax provision
    34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    5.6 %     0.3 %     5.2 %     5.6 %     1.1 %     5.2 %     5.2 %     -0.7 %     4.6 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 

[Additional columns below]

[Continued from above table, first column(s) repeated]
                                                 
    4Q03E   2003E
   
 
    Bistro   Pei Wei   Total   Bistro   Pei Wei   Total
   
 
 
 
 
 
Store weeks
    1,215       404       1,619       4,497       1,250       5,747  
Average weekly sales (000)
    109.5       42.8       92.9       112.0       43.9       97.1  
Revenues (millions)
    133.0       17.3       150.3       503.5       54.8       558.3  
Restaurant operating profit
    26.0       2.6       28.6       98.4       8.6       106.9  
General & administrative
    6.2       1.2       7.4       24.5       3.9       28.4  
Depreciation & amortization
    4.4       0.6       5.0       16.7       2.0       18.7  
Preopening expenses
    2.1       0.5       2.6       6.7       1.7       8.4  
Other income
                      0.0             0.0  
Minority interest
    2.2       0.2       2.4       8.7       0.6       9.4  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    11.1       0.1       11.2       41.8       0.2       42.0  
Tax provision
    3.8       0.0       3.8       14.2       0.1       14.3  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    7.3       0.1       7.4       27.6       0.2       27.7  
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
FD shares
    26.3       26.3       26.3       26.2       26.2       26.2  
EPS
  $ 0.28     $ 0.00     $ 0.28     $ 1.05     $ 0.01     $ 1.06  
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
Restaurant operating profit
    19.5 %     14.8 %     19.0 %     19.5 %     15.6 %     19.2 %
General & administrative
    4.7 %     6.6 %     4.9 %     4.9 %     7.2 %     5.1 %
Depreciation & amortization
    3.3 %     3.5 %     3.3 %     3.3 %     3.7 %     3.4 %
Preopening expenses
    1.6 %     2.9 %     1.7 %     1.3 %     3.1 %     1.5 %
Other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
Minority interest
    1.7 %     1.0 %     1.6 %     1.7 %     1.2 %     1.7 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    8.3 %     0.8 %     7.5 %     8.3 %     0.4 %     7.5 %
Tax provision
    34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %     34.0 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    5.5 %     0.5 %     4.9 %     5.5 %     0.3 %     5.0 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 

Page 10 of 11


 

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc.

2003 Forecast vs 2002 Actual

                                                                         
    1Q02   1Q03   Change   2Q02   2Q03   Change   3Q02   3Q03   Change
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Store weeks
    937       1,303       39.1 %     981       1,375       40.2 %     1,078       1,450       34.5 %
Average weekly sales (000)
    104.1       101.0       -2.9 %     103.7       99.3       -4.2 %     99.4       96.4       -3.0 %
Revenues (millions)
    97.5       131.6       35.0 %     101.7       136.6       34.3 %     107.1       139.7       30.5 %
Restaurant operating profit
    18.2       25.7               19.6       26.2               19.6       26.5          
General & administrative
    5.0       6.8               5.5       7.3               5.3       6.9          
Depreciation & amortization
    3.3       4.3               3.5       4.6               3.7       4.8          
Preopening expenses
    0.6       2.0               1.5       1.2               2.3       2.6          
Other income
          (0.0 )                                       0.1          
Elimination of minority interest
    1.4       2.3               1.6       2.3               1.5       2.3          
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    7.9       10.3               7.5       10.7               6.8       9.8          
Tax provision
    2.8       3.5               2.6       3.6               2.4       3.3          
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    5.1       6.8       34.3 %     4.9       7.1       44.5 %     4.4       6.5       47.6 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
FD shares
    25.9       26.0               26.0       26.2               25.8       26.3          
EPS
  $ 0.20     $ 0.26       33.6 %   $ 0.19     $ 0.27       43.2 %   $ 0.17     $ 0.25       44.7 %
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %             100.0 %     100.0 %             100.0 %     100.0 %        
Restaurant operating profit
    18.7 %     19.5 %             19.3 %     19.2 %             18.3 %     19.0 %        
General & administrative
    5.1 %     5.2 %             5.4 %     5.4 %             4.9 %     5.0 %        
Depreciation & amortization
    3.4 %     3.3 %             3.4 %     3.4 %             3.5 %     3.4 %        
Preopening expenses
    0.6 %     1.5 %             1.5 %     0.9 %             2.1 %     1.9 %        
Other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %             0.0 %     0.0 %             0.0 %     0.0 %        
Elimination of minority interest
    1.5 %     1.8 %             1.6 %     1.7 %             1.4 %     1.6 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    8.1 %     7.8 %             7.4 %     7.9 %             6.3 %     7.0 %        
Tax provision
    35.0 %     34.0 %             35.0 %     34.0 %             35.0 %     34.0 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    5.2 %     5.2 %             4.8 %     5.2 %             4.1 %     4.6 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
 

[Additional columns below]

[Continued from above table, first column(s) repeated]
                                                 
    4Q02   4Q03E   Change   2002   2003E   Change
   
 
 
 
 
 
Store weeks
    1,201       1,619       34.8 %     4,197       5,747       36.9 %
Average weekly sales (000)
    96.5       92.9       -3.7 %     100.6       97.1       -3.4 %
Revenues (millions)
    115.9       150.3       29.8 %     422.1       558.3       32.2 %
Restaurant operating profit
    22.3       28.6               79.7       106.9          
General & administrative
    4.9       7.4               20.6       28.4          
Depreciation & amortization
    3.9       5.0               14.4       18.7          
Preopening expenses
    1.9       2.6               6.3       8.4          
Other income
    0.0                     0.0       0.0          
Elimination of minority interest
    1.8       2.4               6.4       9.4          
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    9.9       11.2               32.1       42.0          
Tax provision
    3.4       3.8               11.2       14.3          
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    6.5       7.4       14.7 %     20.9       27.7       32.9 %
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
FD shares
    26.0       26.3               25.9       26.2          
EPS
  $ 0.25     $ 0.28       13.0 %   $ 0.81     $ 1.06       30.5 %
Revenues
    100.0 %     100.0 %             100.0 %     100.0 %        
Restaurant operating profit
    19.3 %     19.0 %             18.9 %     19.2 %        
General & administrative
    4.2 %     4.9 %             4.9 %     5.1 %        
Depreciation & amortization
    3.3 %     3.3 %             3.4 %     3.4 %        
Preopening expenses
    1.6 %     1.7 %             1.5 %     1.5 %        
Other income
    0.0 %     0.0 %             0.0 %     0.0 %        
Elimination of minority interest
    1.6 %     1.6 %             1.5 %     1.7 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Income (loss) before tax provision
    8.5 %     7.5 %             7.6 %     7.5 %        
Tax provision
    34.5 %     34.0 %             34.9 %     34.0 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
    5.6 %     4.9 %             4.9 %     5.0 %        
 
   
     
     
     
     
     
 

Page 11 of 11