EX-99.2 4 a05-7234_1ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

 

Link to searchable text of slide shown above

 


 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Valero to Acquire Premcor

April 25, 2005

 

[LOGO]

 

[LOGO]

 



Safe Harbor Statement

 

[LOGO]

 

 

Statements contained in this presentation that state either company’s or their management’s expectations or predictions of future events are forward-looking statements intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The words “believe,” “expect,” “should,” “estimates,” and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. It is important to note that either company’s actual results could differ materially from those projected in their forward-looking statements. For more information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or forecast, see both companies’ annual reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-  Q, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available on the companies’ respective web sites at http://www.valero.com and

http://www.premcor.com.

 

2



Prospectus Disclaimer

 

Investors and security holders are urged to read the proxy statement/prospectus that will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and will be sent to Premcor stockholders regarding the proposed merger, when it becomes available, because it will contain important information. Investors and security holders may obtain a free copy of the proxy statement/prospectus, when it is available, and other documents filed by Valero and Premcor with the SEC at the SEC’s web site at www.sec.gov. The proxy statement/prospectus and these other documents may also be obtained, when available,  free of charge from Valero and Premcor.

 

Premcor and its directors, executive officers and certain other employees, may be deemed to be soliciting proxies from stockholders in favor of the approval of the merger and related matters. Information regarding the persons who may, under SEC rules, be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of Premcor stockholders in connection with the merger is set forth in Premcor’s proxy statement for their 2005 annual meetings, filed with the SEC April 1, 2005. Additional information will be set forth in the proxy statement/prospectus referred to above when it is filed with the SEC.

 

3



Table of Contents

 

Summary of Transaction and Strategic Rationale

 

 

 

Refining Market Fundamentals

 

 

 

Overview of Premcor Assets

 

 

 

Key Assumptions and Financial Impact

 

 

 

Transaction Timeline

 

 

 

Appendix

 

 

4



Bill Greehey,

Chairman and CEO

Valero Energy

 

5



Transaction Overview

 

                  Consideration for Premcor of approximately $8 billion

 

                  Fixed exchange ratio of 0.99 Valero shares for each share of Premcor

 

                  20% premium to recent Premcor price

 

                  50% of consideration in cash – $3.43 billion ($72.76 per share)

 

                  50% of consideration in stock – 46.7 million shares

 

                  Assuming $1.8 billion of Premcor long-term debt

 

                  $0.8 billion of cash on Premcor’s balance sheet at 12/31/04

 

                  Cash consideration will be financed with a combination of cash on hand, bank debt, and/or proceeds from a public debt offering

 

                  Combined company expected to have $2.0 billion of available cash at close

 

                  Expect to issue $1.4 billion of new debt

 

6



                  Cash election merger (prorated if either cash or stock is oversubscribed)

 

                  Tax-free with respect to stock portion

 

                  No collar or walkaway rights

 

                  Customary one-way non-solicitation provisions, subject to fiduciary exception for Premcor to change shareholder recommendation in light of a superior proposal

 

                  Termination fee of $150 million

 

                  Valero’s senior management and Board will remain unchanged

 

                  Management of the combined company will be selected by Valero

 

                  Conditions to closing

 

                  Shareholder approval, as required

 

                  HSR clearance (Federal Trade Commission)

 

7



Strategic Rationale

 

                  Premcor assets a great fit with Valero

 

                  Combined company would be largest refiner in North America

 

                  Enhanced geographic diversity, which further increases earnings stability

 

                  Aligned strategies that further increase exposure to light-heavy spread

 

                  Premcor’s assets provide profit improvement opportunities

 

                  Ample optimization opportunities and strategic opportunities to upgrade units

 

                  Valero has proven track record of increasing refining reliability, capacity and yields

 

                  Market value of refining assets approaching replacement costs

 

                  Scarcity of quality U.S. refining assets

 

                  Acquiring 790 mbpd of capacity today at 70% of replacement cost

 

8



Financial Benefits

 

                  Significantly accretive to earnings per share

 

                  14% accretive to estimated 2006 Case earnings per share

 

                  Significantly accretive to cash flow per share

 

                  13% accretive to estimated 2006 Case cash flow per share

 

                  At least $350 million of annually recurring synergies

 

                  Expect to retain investment grade credit ratings

 

9



Geographically Diverse System

 

[GRAPHIC;]

 


NOTE: Complexity based on Nelson Complexity calculation from O&G Journal 2004 Refining Survey

 

10



Premier Refiner in North America

 

North American

Crude Capacity (mbpd)

 

[CHART]

 


Note 1:  Includes U.S., Canada & Caribbean

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, Company Websites

Note 2: VLO/PCO total refining capacity including other feedstocks and blendstocks would be 3,290 mbpd

 

 

North American

Conversion Capacity (mbpd)

 

[CHART]

 


Note:  Includes U.S., Canada & Caribbean

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, Company Websites

 

11



Enhanced Sour Crude Leverage

 

COMBINED HEAVY/SOUR CRUDE PROCESSING (mbpd)*

 

[CHART]

 


* Excludes light sweet crudes

 

                  Transaction immediately increases exposure to sour crude discounts

 

                  By 2007, expect to process over 1,000 mbpd of Maya and Maya-like crudes

 

                  Committed to increasing heavy/sour processing

 

                  Strategic opportunities in both Valero and Premcor systems to increase sour crude processing

 

                  Canadian crude opportunities at Lima and potentially Port Arthur

 

12



Significant Synergy Opportunities

 

                  Expect at least $350 million of annual recurring synergies

 

                  Expect full realization in year 2

 

                  Administrative synergies

 

                  Reduced sales, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses of $130 million

 

                  Corporate overhead ($55 million)

 

                  Bonus and stock options ($60 million)

 

                  Letter of credit, fees and interest expense of ($15 million)

 

                  Reduced refinery insurance expense of $15 million

 


* See appendix for further details

 

13



Operational Synergies

 

                  Annual operational profit improvements of $205 million

 

                  Yield improvements

 

                  Delaware City coker and gasifier optimization projects ($100 million)

 

                  Expand Memphis FCC and crude unit ($50 million)

 

                  Operating expense reductions

 

                  Energy conservation opportunities at all 4 refineries ($10 million)

 

                  Refinery and logistics integration

 

                  Crude supply savings at Delaware City and Port Arthur ($15 million)

 

                  Better utilize idle capacity

 

                  Propylene recovery and butane processing at Delaware City ($10 million)

 

                  Limited capital required to achieve operational synergies

 


* See appendix for further details

 

14



Strong Fundamentals to Continue

 

USGC Gas Crack, $/bbl.

 

[CHART]

 

USGC Heat Crack, $/bbl.

 

[CHART]

 

WTI vs. Mars, $/bbl.

 

[CHART]

 

WTI vs. GC Maya (FOB), $/bbl.

 

[CHART]

 


NOTE: Forward Curve as of April 15, 2005

 

15



Tight Supply/Demand Fundamentals

 

Global Demand Growth Compared To Refinery Capacity Expansion

 

[CHART]

 

                  2000 to 2004, demand growth absorbed global excess capacity

 

                  Future demand expected to continue to outpace capacity growth

 

                  Strong worldwide economic growth spurring crude oil demand

 

                  2004 record crude oil demand growth of 2.6 mmbpd – highest ever

 

                  2005 shaping up to be another outstanding year with growth estimates of 2+ mmbpd

 

16



Regulatory Changes Impacting Supply

 

Maximum Gasoline

Sulfur Content

(Parts Per Million)

 

[CHART]

 

Maximum Diesel

Sulfur Content

(Parts Per Million)

 

[CHART]

 

                  Capital diverted to regulatory compliance rather than capacity increases

 

                  Major changes in sulfur specs still to come

 

                  2005 in Europe and 2006 in U.S.

 

                  Further tightens supply

 

                  Further restricts pool of potential imports

 

17



Favorable Sour Crude Fundamentals

 

Estimated Quality of Reserves (2005)

 

[CHART]

 

Estimated World Crude Demand by Quality Type (2005)

 

[CHART]

 


Source: Oil & Gas Journal, Company Information

 

                  Fundamental issue … disconnect between global crude reserves and crude demand

 

                  Incremental barrel coming to market is more heavy and more sour

 

                  Demand for sweet crudes continuing to grow

 

18



Higher Highs, Higher Lows

 

Rolling 5 - Year Average

Product Margins & Sour Crude Discounts

 

[CHART]

 


* Based on historical and Valero’s projection

 

19



Jefferson F. Allen,

Chief Executive Officer

Premcor Inc.

 

20



Great Deal for Premcor Shareholders

 

                  Combined company to become largest refiner in North America

 

                  Well positioned to benefit from positive trends in future

 

                  Valero has investment grade credit rating

 

                  Valero’s financial position increases growth opportunities

 

                  Valero has a proven ability to improve performance

 

                  Deep resource base presents greater opportunities

 

                  Premcor stock has performed very well

 

                  Up 75% in last 12 months

 

                  20% premium to recent Premcor price

 

                  Valero stock most liquid in the sector

 

                  Stock portion of consideration enables Premcor investors to maintain exposure to refining sector through Valero

 

                  Combined entity becomes the “Must-Own Pure Play Refiner”

 

21



Overview of Premcor Assets

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

22



Premcor Assets

 

                  Port Arthur, Texas – 250 mbpd capacity

 

                  Highly complex, heavy sour refinery on Gulf Coast

 

                  Refinery is supported by extensive logistics system

 

                  Expansion of crude and vacuum units underway

 

                  Increases ability to process lower cost, heavy sour crude oil

 

                  Crude unit from 250 to 325 mbpd

 

                  Expected to be completed in June 2006

 

                  Expansion of coker completed

 

                  Coker unit from 80 to 105 mbpd

 

                  Hydrocracker unit from 35 to 45 mbpd

 

                  $220 to $230 million combined capital expenditure for the vacuum, hydrocracker and coker project

 

                  Tier II gasoline investment complete

 

Valero to capture the benefits of these investments

 

23



                  Delaware City, Delaware – 180 mbpd capacity

 

                  Acquired from Motiva on May 1, 2004

 

                  High conversion, heavy sour crude refinery

 

                  1,800 TPD petroleum-coke gasification unit capacity

 

                  Currently processing 1,200 TPD

 

                  Plans to increase processing rate in the future

 

                  160 MW cogeneration facility

 

                  Tier II gasoline investment complete

 

24



                  Memphis, Tennessee – 190 mbpd capacity

 

                  Current economic throughput rate of approx. 155 mbpd

 

                  High conversion sweet crude refinery

 

                  Logistics assets support refinery

 

                  Access to Capline crude oil pipeline and Mississippi River

 

                  Jet fuel pipeline to Memphis Airport (FedEx and Northwest hubs)

 

                  Large Memphis product loading rack

 

                  Tier II gasoline investment complete

 

25



                  Lima, Ohio - 170 mbpd capacity

 

                  Current economic throughput rate of approx. 140 mbpd

 

                  Sweet crude refinery

 

                  Includes 23 mbpd of coking capacity

 

                  Allows Valero entry into attractive upper Mid-West market

 

                  Tier II gasoline to be completed in 2005

 

                  Plans being developed to process Canadian heavy sour crude

 

                  Continue feasibility study with EnCana

 

26



Mike Ciskowski,

Chief Financial Officer

Valero Energy

 

27



Key Assumptions

 

                  Key Price Drivers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mid-Cycle

 

($per barrel)

 

2004

 

2005

 

2006

 

’01-’05 Avg.

 

WTI

 

41.45

 

53.15

 

52.00

 

35.55

 

GC Gas Crack

 

7.69

 

6.91

 

7.50

 

5.87

 

GC High Sulfur Heat Crack

 

3.95

 

7.46

 

8.00

 

3.73

 

Arab Medium crude vs. WTI

 

(6.36

)

(9.06

)

(8.25

)

(5.60

)

Maya crude vs. WTI

 

(11.47

)

(16.44

)

(15.00

)

(9.78

)

 

                  Key Assumptions:

 

                  Close December 31, 2005

 

                  2005 price forecast based on first quarter actuals and the forward curve as of April 12, 2005

 

                  2006 price forecast based on Valero’s projections

 

                  Projected goodwill of $2 billion

 

                  For 2006, approximately $190 million of synergies in the 2006 Case and $145 million in synergies in the Mid-Cycle case

 

                  Fully diluted shares outstanding of 327 million in 2006 Case & Mid-Cycle Case

 

28



2006 Case Capital Forecast

 

Pro-forma Projected Capital Expenditures

 

[CHART]

 

                  Expect to fund all capex with available cash flow

 

                  Would reduce capital in lower margin environment

 

                  Significant improvements in free cash flow expected post-2006

 

                  Nearing the completion of Tier II investment

 

29



Financial Impact

 

2006 Earnings Per Share

 

[CHART]

 

2006 Free Cash Flow ($MM)

 

[CHART]

 

2006 Free Cash Flow / Debt

 

[CHART]

 

2006 Year-End Net Debt / Capitalization

 

[CHART]

 

30



Commitment to Reducing Leverage

 

Valero Net Debt to Capitalization Ratio

 

[CHART]

 

31



Bill Greehey,

Chairman and CEO

Valero Energy

 

32



Transaction Timeline

 

April 25

 

Announce Transaction

 

 

 

Early May

 

File Hart Scott Rodino

File Form S-4 Prospectus/Registration
Statement/Notice of Meeting & Proxy Statement with SEC

 

 

 

Late-June

 

Mail Proxy Statements

 

 

 

4th Quarter

 

Premcor Stockholder Meeting to approve transaction

 

 

 

4th Quarter

 

Complete financing arrangements for cash portion of merger consideration

 

 

 

December 31

 

Closing (subject to stockholder and FTC approval)

 

33



Q & A

 

34



Appendix

 

35



Synergy Detail

 

Synergies and Other Savings/Improvements

 

$ MM/year

 

Comments

 

> Corporate SG&A Savings

 

$

55

 

Headquarters expense, marketing cost

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Incentive Compensation

 

$

60

 

Premcor vs. Valero bonus, stock option expense

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Crude Financing Cost

 

$

15

 

Letter of credit savings, Morgan Stanley financing facility

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Strategic Sourcing - Refineries

 

$

15

 

Catalyst, chemicals, operating supplies

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Insurance Cost Reduction

 

$

15

 

Premcor cost vs. Valero rate basis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Crude Supply Savings

 

$

15

 

Cargo sharing & flexibility -Delaware City & Port Arthur

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Coker/FCC/Gasifier Reliability - Delaware City

 

$

100

 

Improved rates, feedstock optimization (Gasifier from 1200 to 1800 st/d, coker from 38-48 Mbpd, slurry feed to coker, oxygen enrichment of FCC, heavier crude slate)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Delaware City integration with Valero

 

$

10

 

Isobutane, propylene, benzene production (utilize spare Butamer capacity for Paulsboro isobutane, spare extraction capacity for Quebec benzene concentrate, propylene recovery)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Memphis FCC Revamp

 

$

50

 

Catalyst cooler and oxygen enrichment improves refinery utilization (FCC expansion from 68 to 78 Mbpd, better utilization of crude and downstream capacity - crude from 165 to 180 Mbpd; high-TAN crude slate)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Memphis Integration with Krotz Springs

 

$

5

 

Process Krotz Springs high sulfur distillate at Memphis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

> Energy Conservation - All Refineries

 

$

10

 

Miscellaneous projects utilizing Valero best practices.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total achievable in 2007

 

$

350

 

 

 

 

36