EX-99.1 2 a05-4468_1ex99d1.htm EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

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[GRAPHIC]

 

[LOGO]

 

2005 Simmons & Company Energy Conference

 

 

[LOGO]

 

[LOGO]

 

[LOGO]

 

[LOGO]

 

[LOGO]

Top Company
in America
2004

 

2004
Oil Company
of the Year

 

2004
United Way Spirit
of America Award

 

Seven VPP
Star Site
Refineries

 

Number 23 on
2005 Fortune 100 Best
Companies to Work For

 



 

Safe Harbor Statement

 

Statements contained in this presentation that state the company’s or management’s expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.  The words “believe,” “expect,” “should,” “estimates,” and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements.  It is important to note that the company’s actual results could differ materially from those projected in its forward-looking statements.  For more information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or forecast, see the company’s annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available on the company’s web site at http://www.valero.com.  These factors include potential changes in gasoline, crude oil, distillate and other commodity prices, varying market conditions, actions of government, hostilities in oil producing regions, adverse rulings in litigation and potential delays or other changes in work and repair schedules.  The company undertakes noobligation to update or publicly release the result of any revisions to any forward-looking statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances that occur, or which the company becomes aware of after the date of this presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

 

2



 

2004 – Record Year of Achievements for Valero

 

             Record recognition

 

             #1 on Forbes’ 400 Best Big Companies

 

             Platt’s 2004 Oil Company of the Year

 

             7 OSHA VPP Star Sites

 

             #23 on Fortune’s 100 Best Companies to Work For

 

             United Way’s Spirit of America Award

 

             Record margins, record sour crude discounts and record throughputs

 

             $6.53 EPS ($13.06 pre-split)

 

             98% Total Shareholder Return

 

Realizing the Benefits of the New Era of Refining

 

3



 

Tightening Supply/Demand Fundamentals

 

Global Demand Growth Compared To Refinery Capacity Expansion

 

[CHART]

 

Source: Purvin & Gertz, IEA, PIRA, ESAI, Company Information

 

             2000 to 2004, demand growth absorbed global excess capacity

 

             Global utilization rates pushing limits

 

             Conversion capacity continues to get tighter

 

             Future demand growth expected to continue to outpace capacity growth

 

             Amplifies impact of turnarounds and unscheduled outages

 

4



 

Regulatory Changes Impacting Supply

 

Maximum Gasoline

Maximum Diesel

Sulfur Content (PPM)

Sulfur Content (PPM)

 

 

[CHART]

[CHART]

 

             Major changes in sulfur specs

 

             2005 in Europe and 2006 in US

 

             Capital diverted to regulatory compliance rather than capacity increases

 

Further tightens supply; restricts pool of potential imports

 

5



 

Continuation of Outstanding Sour Crude Discounts

 

Sour Crude Discounts to WTI

 

[CHART]

 

Note: Forward curve as of February 24, 2005

 

             Big move occurred in mid-2004

 

             2005 discounts starting at near record levels, with an outstanding forward curve

 

6



 

Sour Crude Fundamentals Never Looked Better

 

Estimated Quality of Reserves (2005)

 

Estimated World Crude Demand by
Quality Type (2005)

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

[CHART]

 

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, Company Information

 

             Fundamental issue … disconnect between global crude reserves and crude demand

 

              Incremental barrel coming to market is more heavy & more sour

 

              Demand for sweet crudes continuing to grow

 

7



 

Valero … Outstanding Sour Conversion Capacity

 

Conversion Capacity(1)

 

[CHART]

 

Note:  VLO includes Aruba and Quebec

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, Company Websites

 


(1): Conversion Capacity = Sum of Coking, Hydrocracking and Cat Cracking Capacity

 

             Valero is an industry leader in upgrading capacity

 

             Valero’s upgrading capacity provides superior operational flexibility

 

             Significant capital investment and long lead time required to add conversion capacity

 

             No significant growth in conversion capacity expected until at least ‘07 to ‘09 time period

 

8



 

Higher Highs, Higher Lows - Products & Feedstocks

 

Rolling 5 - Year Average
Product Margins & Sour Crude Discounts

 

[CHART]

 

9



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Track Record of Successful Investments

 

             Texas City Coker

 

              $350 million investment

 

              $200 million income contribution in 2004

 

              2 year pay-back on investment

 

             St. Charles

 

              Acquired in July 2003 for $400 million

 

              $335 million income contribution in 2004

 

              Capital investments & operational improvements

 

             Aruba

 

              Acquired in March 2004 for $365 million

 

              $290 million income contribution in 2004 (3 quarters)

 

              Capital investments & improved reliability

 

10



 

Valero Continues to Invest for the Future

 

Projected Capital Expenditure

 

[CHART]

 

             Focused on Tier II capital expenditures in 2005 & 2006

 

             Continued investment in strategic capital

 

              Further increase in sour & heavy crude processing capability

 

11



 

Higher Earnings Despite Lower Product Margins

 

             4Q04 – Great Example

 

[CHART]

 

             Similar expectation for 2005 earnings

 

              Higher distillate margins and wider sour crude discounts expected to more than offset lower gasoline margins

 

              $175 million benefit from 2004 and 2005 strategic projects

 

              $85 million benefit from full first quarter for Aruba

 

                       2005 Earnings Outlook Better Than 2004

 


*NOTE: Other includes: Canada, Wholesale, Retail and OPEX Variances

 

12



 

Valero … Continuing Our Successful Strategy

 

             Proven results in utilizing cash flow

 

              Highly successful acquisition & CAPEX strategy

 

              Experienced management with a sustainable growth plan

 

             Will continue to:

 

              Invest in our assets

 

              Look for selective, accretive acquisitions

 

              Reduce debt

 

              Increase dividend

 

              Buy back stock

 

              Invest in our communities and our employees

 

Great Assets and Proven Strategy …

 

                  Outstanding Value for Shareholders

 

13



 

APPENDIX

 

14



 

Key Strategic Capital Projects – 2004 & 2005

(Dollars in Millions)

 

Strategic CAPEX Projects 2004 & 2005

 

Est.
Start-Up

 

Thruput
(Mbpd)

 

Est. Total
Cost

 

Annualized
Op. Inc Contrib.

 

Incremental 2005
Op. Inc. Contrib.

 

2004 Strategic CAPEX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

• Benicia alky expansion

 

Comp.

 

4

 

$

23

 

$

14

 

$

2

 

• St. Charles crude/coker

 

Comp.

 

30

 

$

14

 

$

42

 

$

14

 

• Paulsboro CCR reformer

 

Comp.

 

8

 

$

51

 

$

23

 

$

8

 

• Quebec CCR reformer, Grane process.

 

Comp.

 

30

 

$

103

 

$

34

 

$

27

 

• Other 2004 Strategic Projects

 

Comp.

 

7

 

$

59

 

$

29

 

$

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005 Strategic CAPEX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

• St. Charles FCC upgrade, alky expan.

 

Comp.

 

15 & 5

 

$

47

 

$

40

 

$

33

 

• Corpus Christi expander turbine, HOC

 

Comp.

 

 

$

16

 

$

27

 

$

22

 

• Ardmore- sour processing, other

 

1Q, 2Q

 

 

$

75

 

$

35

 

$

28

 

• Three Rivers sour crude

 

2Q

 

 

$

44

 

$

21

 

$

15

 

• Aruba Visbreaker

 

3Q

 

30

 

$

40

 

$

32

 

$

12

 

• Aruba coker expansion

 

4Q

 

12

 

$

16

 

$

27

 

$

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

175

 

 

15



 

2005 Turnaround Schedule

 

REFINERY

 

UNITS

 

QUARTER

 

DAYS

 

Corpus Christi

 

Heavy Oil Cracker, Alkylation Unit, MTBE Unit

 

1Q

 

28

 

St. Charles

 

FCC, Alkylation Unit

 

1Q

 

28

 

Houston

 

FCC

 

1Q

 

9

 

Ardmore

 

Plant wide

 

1Q

 

28

 

Three Rivers

 

Plant Wide

 

2Q

 

22

 

Aruba

 

Coker #2/Crude Unit

 

3Q

 

28

 

Quebec

 

Crude/CCR

 

3Q/4Q

 

14

 

Aruba

 

Coker #1

 

4Q

 

26

 

McKee

 

Plant wide

 

4Q

 

21

 

 

16