EX-99 3 ex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2

NovaStar Financial
(NYSE-NFI)

JMP Securities Research Conference

March 7, 2006

Scott Hartman, CEO

 

Safe Harbor Statement

            Certain matters discussed in this release constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are those that predict or describe future events and that do
not relate solely to historical matters. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and
certain factors can cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Some important factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated include: our ability to generate sufficient
liquidity on favorable terms; the size and frequency of our securitizations; interest rate fluctuations on our
assets that differ from our liabilities; increases in prepayment or default rates on our mortgage assets; changes
in assumptions regarding estimated loan losses and fair value amounts; changes in origination and resale
pricing of mortgage loans; our compliance with applicable local, state and federal laws and regulations or
opinions of counsel relating thereto and the impact of new local, state or federal legislation or regulations or
opinions of counsel relating thereto or court decisions on our operations;  the initiation of margin calls under
our credit facilities; the ability of our servicing operations to maintain high performance standards and
maintain appropriate ratings from rating agencies; our ability to expand origination volume while maintaining
an acceptable level of overhead; our ability to adapt to and implement technological changes; the stability of
residual property values; the outcome of litigation or regulatory actions pending against us or other legal
contingencies; the impact of losses resulting from natural disasters; the impact of general economic conditions;
and the risks that are from time to time included in our filings with the SEC, including our Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q, for the period ending September 30, 2005. Other factors not presently identified may also cause
actual results to differ. This document speaks only as of its date and we expressly disclaim any duty to update
the information herein.

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Cash/GAAP Income Flows
Origination through Securitization

3

 

Gain Calculation
(Sale Accounting Treatment)

4

 

Initial Residual Valuation
(Sale Accounting Treatment)

5

 

GAAP Interest Income
(Sale Accounting Treatment)

Interest income is accrued off of the residual asset’s accounting basis, given
forecasted cash flows, at a rate equal to the IRR

Considered the “level yield” method

6

 

Capital Guidelines

NovaStar uses capital guidelines to determine the right
amount of leverage for the portfolio.

Capital is held based upon the riskiness of an asset and the
method of financing.

Example – the cash flow structure of NIM financing is different
than repo financing.

For mortgage securities financed with NIMs, our guidelines call
for us to hold a cash reserve to cover dividends while the mortgage
security cash goes to pay the NIM bonds.

For mortgage securities financed with repos or lines of credit, our
capital requirements include a cushion for potential margin calls.  
However, since cash is received currently, no reserve is required
for future dividend payments.

7

 

Differences in Portfolio
Accounting and Sale Accounting

Portfolio Accounting

No non-cash gain – earnings follow cash better

Reserving for expected future losses

Securitizations aren’t quite as capital efficient – maybe
2% more capital (on loan balance)

May reduce ROE by a few percentages

Harder to finance securities

Less clarity on assumptions used

Not MTM

Excess inclusion income (probably not a big deal)

Balance sheet / income statement may be easier for
investors to understand???

8

 

2006 Dividend Guidance

2006 Common Dividend of at Least $5.60 per Share

9

 

Historical
Book Value & ROE

10

 

Mortgage Banking
Environment

Intensely competitive

Pricing at or below cost to originate

Smaller players won’t survive

Volumes flat to down for many

Many are originating and “hoping” to make money

Race to lower costs (continues from 2005)

Whole loan prices seem like they are recovering a
little, but rates are up

11

 

Portfolio trends

Housing price appreciation – In 2005, effect on
credit performance outweighed higher interest
rates

Over time, ROA’s should come down to a
normalized range of 1.00% to 1.25%

Made a conscious decision to include more MI
in 2005 deals due to expected slowdown in
housing price appreciation

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