UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 21, 2012 (May 15, 2012)
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware | 1-12107 | 31-1469076 | ||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
6301 Fitch Path, New Albany, Ohio 43054
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
(614) 283-6500
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On May 16, 2012, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (the Registrant) issued a press release (the Release) reporting the Registrants unaudited financial results for the thirteen weeks (quarterly period) ended April 28, 2012. A copy of the Release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
The Registrant also made available in conjunction with the Release additional unaudited quarterly financial information as of and for the quarterly periods in the fiscal years ended February 2, 2013 and January 28, 2012. Additional financial information was made available for the fiscal years ended January 28, 2012, January 29, 2011, January 30, 2010 and January 31, 2009. The additional financial information is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
The Registrant also made available in conjunction with the Release an investor presentation of results for the quarterly period ended April 28, 2012. The presentation, which is available under the Investor Presentations tab in the Investors section of the Registrants website, located at www.abercrombie.com, is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
The Registrants management conducted a conference call on May 16, 2012, at approximately 8:30 a.m., Eastern Time, to review the Registrants financial results for the thirteen-week period ended April 28, 2012. A copy of the transcript of the conference call is furnished as Exhibit 99.4 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 8.01. Other Events.
In the Release, the Registrant also announced that the Board of Directors of the Registrant had declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.175 per share in respect of the Registrants Class A Common Stock. The dividend was declared on May 15, 2012 and is payable on June 12, 2012 to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 29, 2012. At the meeting of the Board of Directors of the Registrant held on May 15, 2012, the Board authorized the repurchase of an additional ten million shares of the Registrants Class A Common Stock. This authorization is in addition to the 2,918,968 shares of Class A Common Stock which remained available as of May 15, 2012 for repurchase under the November 20, 2007 authorization by the Registrants Board of Directors to repurchase ten million shares of the Registrants Class A Common Stock.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(a) through (c) Not applicable
(d) Exhibits:
The following exhibits are included with this Current Report on Form 8-K:
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Exhibit No. |
Description | |
99.1 | Press Release issued by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. on May 16, 2012 | |
99.2 | Additional Unaudited Quarterly and Year-To-Date Financial Information made available by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. in conjunction with Press Release on May 16, 2012 | |
99.3 | Investor presentation of results for the quarterly period ended April 28, 2012 made available by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. with the Press Release issued on May 16, 2012 | |
99.4 | Transcript of conference call held by management of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. on May 16, 2012 |
[Remainder of page intentionally left blank; signature page follows]
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SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO. | ||||||
Dated: May 21, 2012 | By: | /s/ Ronald A. Robins, Jr. | ||||
Ronald A. Robins, Jr. | ||||||
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary |
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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
Current Report on Form 8-K
Dated May 21, 2012
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Exhibit No. |
Description | |
99.1 | Press Release issued by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. on May 16, 2012 | |
99.2 | Additional Unaudited Quarterly and Year-to-Date Financial Information made available by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. in conjunction with Press Release on May 16, 2012 | |
99.3 | Investor presentation of results for the quarterly period ended April 28, 2012 made available by Abercrombie & Fitch Co. with the Press Release issued on May 16, 2012 | |
99.4 | Transcript of conference call held by management of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. on May 16, 2012 |
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Exhibit 99.1
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2012 RESULTS
BOARD OF DIRECTORS DECLARES QUARTERLY DIVIDEND OF $0.175 AND INCREASES
SHARE REPURCHASE AUTHORIZATION BY TEN MILLION SHARES
New Albany, Ohio, May 16, 2012: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) today reported unaudited results which reflected net income of $3.0 million and net income per diluted share of $0.03 for the thirteen weeks ended April 28, 2012, compared to net income of $25.1 million and net income per diluted share of $0.28 for the thirteen weeks ended April 30, 2011.
Mike Jeffries, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Abercrombie & Fitch Co., said:
While we are disappointed that European sales trends remain challenging in a very difficult macroeconomic environment, we are largely satisfied with our overall performance for the quarter in that context. Our U.S. business, including direct-to-consumer, increased 4% on a comparable basis, on top of a strong performance last year. Our international business comped negatively, but the economics remain strong and we delivered overall international sales growth of 42% including a strong performance in direct-to-consumer. With cotton cost issues now largely behind us, we look forward to strong year over year earnings growth in the back half of the year.
First Quarter Summary
Net sales for the thirteen weeks ended April 28, 2012 increased 10% to $921.2 million from $836.7 million for the thirteen weeks ended April 30, 2011. U.S. sales, including direct-to-consumer sales, increased 1% to $644.3 million. International sales, including direct-to-consumer sales, increased 42% to $277.0 million. Total Company direct-to-consumer sales, including shipping and handling, increased 40% to $148.2 million.
Total comparable store sales for the quarter decreased 5%. By brand, comparable store sales decreased 4% for Abercrombie & Fitch, decreased 11% for abercrombie kids, and decreased 5% for Hollister Co. Total sales by brand were $360.4 million for Abercrombie & Fitch, $77.7 million for abercrombie kids and $463.6 million for Hollister Co.
The gross profit rate for the first quarter was 62.6%, 240 basis points lower than last years first quarter gross profit rate. The decrease in the gross profit rate was driven by a significant increase in average unit cost.
Stores and distribution expense, as a percentage of net sales, increased to 49.5% from 47.7% for the first quarter last year. The increase in the stores and distribution expense rate was primarily driven by higher direct-to-consumer costs, store payroll and store management costs, partially offset by a lower occupancy expense rate.
Marketing, general and administrative expense for the first quarter was $116.9 million, a 9% increase compared to $107.7 million during the same period last year. The increase in marketing, general and administrative expense was due to increases in marketing expense, equity compensation expense and other expense.
The effective tax rate for continuing operations for the thirteen weeks ended April 28, 2012 was 43.0% compared to 35.6% for the Fiscal 2011 comparable period.
Net income was $3.0 million and net income per diluted share was $0.03 for the thirteen weeks ended April 28, 2012, compared to net income of $25.1 million and net income per diluted share of $0.28 for the comparable period last year.
The Company ended the first quarter of Fiscal 2012 with $321.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, and $37.9 million in current marketable securities.
During the first quarter of Fiscal 2012, the Company repurchased 3.3 million shares of its common stock at an aggregate cost of approximately $161.2 million.
The Company opened an Abercrombie & Fitch flagship in Hamburg and seven international Hollister stores during the quarter. Subsequent to quarter-end, the Company has opened four international Gilly Hicks stores.
2012 Outlook
Based on first quarter trends, the Company is now projecting same store sales to be down by a mid-single digit percentage on a full-year basis. Notwithstanding lower sales expectations, the Company continues to expect full year diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.50 to $3.75, with lower sales offset by a higher projected gross margin rate, lower expenses, and a lower share count at the end of the first quarter.
The Company continues to anticipate opening international Abercrombie & Fitch flagship locations in Hong Kong, Munich, Dublin and Amsterdam in Fiscal 2012. The Company continues to anticipate opening close to 40 international Hollister stores throughout the year.
Based on current new store plans and other planned expenditures, the Company continues to expect total capital expenditures for 2012 to be approximately $400 million, predominately related to new stores, store refreshes and remodels.
Other Developments
On May 15, 2012, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.175 per share on the Class A Common Stock of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. payable on June 12, 2012 to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 29, 2012.
Additionally, the Board of Directors increased the existing share repurchase authorization by ten million shares, bringing the shares available for purchase under its publicly announced share repurchase authorization to 12.9 million shares.
An investor presentation of first quarter results will be available in the Investors section of the Companys website at www.abercrombie.com at approximately 8:00 AM, Eastern Time, today.
The Company will report second quarter sales and earnings results on Wednesday, August 15, 2012.
At the end of the first quarter, the Company operated a total of 1,049 stores. The Company operated 279 Abercrombie & Fitch stores, 154 abercrombie kids stores, 491 Hollister Co. stores and 18 Gilly Hicks stores in the United States. The Company operated 15 Abercrombie & Fitch stores, five abercrombie kids stores, 84 Hollister Co. stores and three Gilly Hicks store internationally. The Company operates e-commerce websites at www.abercrombie.com, www.abercrombiekids.com, www.hollisterco.com and www.gillyhicks.
Today at 8:30 AM, Eastern Time, the Company will conduct a conference call. Management will discuss the Companys performance and its plans for the future and will accept questions from participants. To listen to the conference call, dial (888) 572-7033 and ask for the Abercrombie & Fitch Quarterly Call or go to www.abercrombie.com. The international call-in number is (719) 785-1763. This call will be recorded and made available by dialing the replay number (888) 203-1112 or the international number (719) 457-0820 followed by the conference ID number 4779075 or through wwww.abercrombie.com.
For further information, call:
Eric Cerny
Senior Manager, Investor Relations
(614) 283-6385
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995
A&F cautions that any forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) contained in this Press Release or made by management of A&F involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based on various factors, many of which may be beyond the Companys control. Words such as estimate, project, plan, believe, expect, anticipate, intend, and similar expressions may identify forward-looking statements. Except as may be required by applicable law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise our forward-looking statements. The following factors, in addition to those included in the disclosure under the heading FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND RISK FACTORS in ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS of A&Fs Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 28, 2012, in some cases have affected and in the future could affect the Companys financial performance and could cause actual results for the 2012 fiscal year and beyond to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any of the forward-looking statements included in this Press Release or otherwise made by management: changes in economic and financial conditions, and the resulting impact on consumer confidence and consumer spending, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and liquidity; if we are unable to anticipate, identify and respond to changing fashion trends and consumer preferences in a timely manner, and manage our inventory commensurate with customer demand, our sales levels and profitability may decline; fluctuations in the cost, availability and quality of raw materials, labor and transportation, could cause manufacturing delays and increase our costs; equity-based compensation awarded under the employment agreement with our Chief Executive Officer could adversely impact our cash flows, financial position or results of operations and could have a dilutive effect on our outstanding Common Stock; our growth strategy relies significantly on international expansion, which adds complexity to our operations and may strain our resources and adversely impact current store performance; our international expansion plan is dependent on a number of factors, any of which could delay or prevent successful penetration into new markets or could adversely affect the profitability of our international operations; our direct-to-consumer sales are subject to numerous risks that could adversely impact sales; we have incurred, and may continue to incur, significant costs related to store closures; our development of a new brand concept such as Gilly Hicks could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates could adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations; our business could suffer if our information technology systems are disrupted or cease to operate effectively; comparable store sales may continue to fluctuate on a regular basis and impact the volatility of the price of our Common Stock; our market share may be negatively impacted by increasing competition and pricing pressures from companies with brands or merchandise competitive with ours; our stock price may be volatile and investors may not be able to resell shares of our Common Stock at or above the price paid to acquire the shares; our ability to attract customers to our stores depends, in part, on the success of the shopping malls in which most of our stores are located; our net sales fluctuate on a seasonal basis, causing our results of operations to be susceptible to changes in Back-to-School and Holiday shopping patterns; our inability to accurately plan for product demand and allocate merchandise effectively could have a material adverse effect on our results; our failure to protect our reputation could have a material adverse effect on our brands; we rely on the experience and skills of our senior executive officers, the loss of whom could have a material adverse effect on our business; interruption in the flow of merchandise from our key vendors and international manufacturers could disrupt our supply chain, which could result in lost sales and could increase our costs; we do not own or operate any manufacturing facilities and, therefore, depend upon independent third parties for the manufacture of all our merchandise; our reliance on two distribution centers domestically and two third-party distribution centers internationally makes us susceptible to disruptions or adverse conditions affecting our distribution centers; our reliance on third parties to deliver merchandise from our distribution centers to our stores and direct-to-consumer customers could result in disruptions to our business; we may be exposed to risks and costs associated with credit card fraud and identity theft that would cause us to incur unexpected expenses and loss of revenues; modifications and/or upgrades to our information technology systems may disrupt our operations; our facilities, systems and stores, as well as the facilities and systems of our vendors and manufacturers, are vulnerable to natural disasters, pandemic disease and other unexpected events, any of which could result in an interruption to our business and adversely affect our operating results; our litigation exposure could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations; our inability or failure to adequately protect our trademarks could have a negative impact on our brand image and limit our ability to penetrate new markets; fluctuations in our tax obligations and effective tax rate may result in volatility in our operating results; the effects of war or acts of terrorism could have a material adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition; our inability to obtain commercial insurance at acceptable prices or our failure to adequately reserve for self-insured exposures might increase our expenses and adversely impact our financial results; operating results and cash flows at the store level may cause us to incur impairment charges; we are subject to customs, advertising, consumer protection, privacy, zoning and occupancy and labor and employment laws that could require us to modify our current business practices, incur increased costs or harm our reputation if we do not comply; changes in the regulatory or compliance landscape could adversely affect our business and results of operations; our unsecured Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement) and our Term Loan Agreement include financial and other covenants that impose restrictions on our financial and business operations; our operations may be affected by regulatory changes related to climate change and greenhouse gas emissions; and compliance with changing regulations and standards for accounting, corporate governance and public disclosure could adversely affect our business, results of operations and reported financial results.
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Consolidated Statements of Income
Thirteen Weeks Ended April 28, 2012 and April 30, 2011
(in thousands, except per share data)
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||
2012 | % of Net Sales | 2011 | % of Net Sales | |||||||||||||
Net Sales |
$ | 921,218 | 100.0 | % | $ | 836,674 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||
Cost of Goods Sold |
344,859 | 37.4 | % | 293,013 | 35.0 | % | ||||||||||
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Gross Profit |
576,359 | 62.6 | % | 543,661 | 65.0 | % | ||||||||||
Total Stores and Distribution Expense |
455,732 | 49.5 | % | 399,101 | 47.7 | % | ||||||||||
Total Marketing, General and Administrative Expense |
116,889 | 12.7 | % | 107,651 | 12.9 | % | ||||||||||
Other Operating Income, Net |
(2,584 | ) | -0.3 | % | (1,836 | ) | -0.2 | % | ||||||||
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Operating Income |
6,322 | 0.7 | % | 38,745 | 4.6 | % | ||||||||||
Interest Expense, Net |
1,089 | 0.1 | % | 950 | 0.1 | % | ||||||||||
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Income from Continuing Operation Before Taxes |
5,233 | 0.6 | % | 37,795 | 4.5 | % | ||||||||||
Tax Expense from Continuing Operations |
2,248 | 0.2 | % | 13,450 | 1.6 | % | ||||||||||
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Net Income from Continuing Operations |
2,985 | 0.3 | % | 24,345 | 2.9 | % | ||||||||||
Net Income from Discontinued Operations (net of taxes) |
| | 796 | 0.1 | % | |||||||||||
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Net Income |
$ | 2,985 | 0.3 | % | $ | 25,141 | 3.0 | % | ||||||||
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Net Income Per Share from Continuing Operations: |
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Basic |
$ | 0.04 | $ | 0.28 | ||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 0.03 | $ | 0.27 | ||||||||||||
Net Income Per Share from Discontinued Operations: |
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Basic |
$ | | $ | 0.01 | ||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | | $ | 0.01 | ||||||||||||
Net Income Per Share: |
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Basic |
$ | 0.04 | $ | 0.29 | ||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 0.03 | $ | 0.28 | ||||||||||||
Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding: |
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Basic |
84,593 | 87,282 | ||||||||||||||
Diluted |
86,184 | 90,441 |
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in thousands)
(Unaudited) April 28, 2012 |
January 28, 2012 | (Unaudited) April 30, 2011 |
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ASSETS |
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Current Assets |
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Cash and Equivalents |
$ | 321,617 | $ | 583,495 | $ | 741,823 | ||||||
Marketable Securities |
37,902 | 84,650 | | |||||||||
Receivables |
73,429 | 89,350 | 78,209 | |||||||||
Inventories |
517,564 | 569,818 | 358,371 | |||||||||
Deferred Income Taxes |
75,775 | 77,120 | 61,033 | |||||||||
Other Current Assets |
83,386 | 84,342 | 95,089 | |||||||||
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Total Current Assets |
1,109,673 | 1,488,775 | 1,334,525 | |||||||||
Property and Equipment, Net |
1,266,875 | 1,197,271 | 1,161,905 | |||||||||
Non-Current Marketable Securities |
| 14,858 | 101,550 | |||||||||
Other Assets |
357,393 | 347,249 | 290,014 | |||||||||
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TOTAL ASSETS |
$ | 2,733,941 | $ | 3,048,153 | $ | 2,887,994 | ||||||
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LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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Current Liabilities |
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Accounts Payable and Outstanding Checks |
$ | 160,203 | $ | 211,368 | $ | 151,428 | ||||||
Accrued Expenses |
323,573 | 369,073 | 258,288 | |||||||||
Deferred Lease Credits |
41,544 | 41,047 | 41,925 | |||||||||
Income Taxes Payable |
19,850 | 77,918 | 35,138 | |||||||||
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Total Current Liabilities |
545,170 | 699,406 | 486,779 | |||||||||
Long-Term Liabilities |
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Deferred Income Taxes |
| 4,123 | 24,246 | |||||||||
Deferred Lease Credits |
183,066 | 183,022 | 192,321 | |||||||||
Long-term Debt |
65,708 | 57,851 | 69,870 | |||||||||
Other Liabilities |
246,982 | 241,295 | 206,216 | |||||||||
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Total Long-Term Liabilities |
495,756 | 486,291 | 492,653 | |||||||||
Total Shareholders Equity |
1,693,015 | 1,862,456 | 1,908,562 | |||||||||
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TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
$ | 2,733,941 | $ | 3,048,153 | $ | 2,887,994 | ||||||
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Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
U.S. Store Count
(Unaudited)
Thirteen Week Period Ended April 28, 2012
Store Activity |
Abercrombie & Fitch | abercrombie | Hollister | Gilly Hicks | Total | |||||||||||||||
January 28, 2012 |
280 | 154 | 494 | 18 | 946 | |||||||||||||||
New |
1 | | | | 1 | |||||||||||||||
Closed |
(2 | ) | | (3 | ) | | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||
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April 28, 2012 |
279 | 154 | 491 | 18 | 942 | |||||||||||||||
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Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
International Store Count
(Unaudited)
Thirteen Week Period Ended April 28, 2012
Store Activity |
Abercrombie & Fitch | abercrombie | Hollister | Gilly Hicks | Total | |||||||||||||||
January 28, 2012 |
14 | 5 | 77 | 3 | 99 | |||||||||||||||
New |
1 | | 7 | | 8 | |||||||||||||||
Closed |
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April 28, 2012 |
15 | 5 | 84 | 3 | 107 | |||||||||||||||
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Exhibit 99.2
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Quarterly Financial Information
(Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data and store data)
Fiscal 2011 | Fiscal 2012 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | YTD | Q1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Sales |
$ | 3,484,058 | $ | 2,928,626 | $ | 3,468,777 | $ | 836,674 | $ | 916,763 | $ | 1,075,856 | $ | 1,328,766 | $ | 4,158,058 | $ | 921,218 | ||||||||||||||||||
Cost of Goods Sold |
1,152,963 | 1,045,028 | 1,256,596 | 293,013 | 333,721 | 429,334 | 583,120 | 1,639,188 | 344,859 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Gross Profit |
2,331,095 | 1,883,598 | 2,212,181 | 543,661 | 583,042 | 646,522 | 745,646 | 2,518,870 | 576,359 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Stores and Distribution Expense |
1,436,363 | 1,425,950 | 1,589,501 | 399,101 | 425,325 | 461,683 | 602,140 | 1,888,248 | 455,732 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Marketing, General and Administrative Expense |
405,248 | 353,269 | 400,804 | 107,651 | 109,999 | 107,844 | 111,627 | 437,120 | 116,889 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other Operating (Income) Expense, Net |
(8,778 | ) | (13,533 | ) | (10,056 | ) | (1,836 | ) | 544 | (2,855 | ) | 7,619 | 3,472 | (2,584 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Operating Income |
498,262 | 117,912 | 231,932 | 38,745 | 47,174 | 79,850 | 24,260 | 190,030 | 6,322 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest (Income) Expense, Net |
(11,382 | ) | (1,598 | ) | 3,362 | 950 | 985 | 533 | 1,108 | 3,577 | 1,089 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Income from Continuing Operations Before Taxes |
509,644 | 119,510 | 228,570 | 37,795 | 46,189 | 79,317 | 23,152 | 186,453 | 5,233 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax Expense for Continuing Operations |
201,475 | 40,557 | 78,287 | 13,450 | 14,158 | 28,412 | 3,572 | 59,591 | 2,248 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Net Income from Continuing Operations |
308,169 | 78,953 | 150,283 | 24,345 | 32,031 | 50,905 | 19,580 | 126,862 | 2,985 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations (Net of Taxes) |
(35,914 | ) | (78,699 | ) | | 796 | | | | 796 | | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Net Income |
$ | 272,255 | $ | 254 | $ | 150,283 | $ | 25,141 | $ | 32,031 | $ | 50,905 | $ | 19,580 | $ | 127,658 | $ | 2,985 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Net Income Per Share from Continuing Operations: |
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Basic |
$ | 3.55 | $ | 0.90 | $ | 1.71 | $ | 0.28 | $ | 0.37 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.23 | $ | 1.46 | $ | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 3.45 | $ | 0.89 | $ | 1.67 | $ | 0.27 | $ | 0.35 | $ | 0.57 | $ | 0.22 | $ | 1.42 | $ | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net (Loss) Income Per Share from Discontinued Operations: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic |
$ | (0.41 | ) | $ | (0.90 | ) | $ | | $ | 0.01 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 0.01 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | (0.40 | ) | $ | (0.89 | ) | $ | | $ | 0.01 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 0.01 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||
Net Income Per Share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic |
$ | 3.14 | $ | | $ | 1.71 | $ | 0.29 | $ | 0.37 | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.23 | $ | 1.47 | $ | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 3.05 | $ | | $ | 1.67 | $ | 0.28 | $ | 0.35 | $ | 0.57 | $ | 0.22 | $ | 1.43 | $ | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||
Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding: |
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Basic |
86,816 | 87,874 | 88,061 | 87,282 | 87,267 | 86,962 | 85,881 | 86,848 | 84,593 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted |
89,291 | 88,609 | 89,851 | 90,441 | 90,353 | 89,707 | 87,648 | 89,537 | 86,184 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Comparable Store Sales |
-13 | % | -23 | % | 7 | % | 10 | % | 9 | % | 7 | % | 0 | % | 5 | % | -5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Actual Shares Outstanding |
87,636 | 87,986 | 87,246 | 87,377 | 86,966 | 87,158 | 85,638 | 85,638 | 82,542 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Number of StoresEnd of Period |
1,097 | 1,096 | 1,069 | 1,071 | 1,073 | 1,092 | 1,045 | 1,045 | 1,049 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Square FeetEnd of Period |
7,760 | 7,848 | 7,756 | 7,738 | 7,801 | 7,967 | 7,778 | 7,778 | 7,840 |
Exhibit 99.3
EST. 1892 Abercromie & Fitch NEW YORK Investor Presentation 2012 First Quarter
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 A&F cautions that any forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) contained in this presentation or made by management or spokespeople of A&F involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based on various important factors, many of which may be beyond the Companys control. Words such as estimate, project, plan, believe, expect, anticipate, intend, and similar expressions may identify forward-looking statements. Except as may be required by applicable law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise our forward-looking statements. The factors included in the disclosure under the heading FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND RISK FACTORS in ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS of A&Fs Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 28, 2012, in some cases have affected and in the future could affect the Companys financial performance and could cause actual results for the 2012 Fiscal year and beyond to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any of the forward-looking statements included in this presentation or otherwise made by management. OTHER INFORMATION All dollar and share amounts are in 000s unless otherwise stated. Sub-totals and totals may not foot due to rounding. 2
Q1 P&L Summary Unaudited Unaudited % of % of 2012 Net Sales 2011 Net Sales Net Sales $ 921,218 100.0% $ 836,674 100.0% Cost of Goods Sold 344,859 37.4% 293,013 35.0% Gross Profit 576,359 62.6% 543,661 65.0% Operating Expense 572,621 62.2% 506,752 60.6% Other Operating Income, Net (2,584) -0.3% (1,836) -0.2% Operating Income 6,322 0.7% 38,745 4.6% Interest Expense, Net 1,089 0.1% 950 0.1% Income from Continuing Operations Before Taxes 5,233 0.6% 37,795 4.5% Tax Expense from Continuing Operations 2,248 0.2% 13,450 1.6% Net Income from Continuing Operations 2,985 0.3% 24,345 2.9% Net Income from Discontinued Operations- 796 0.1% Net Income $ 2,985 0.3% $ 25,141 3.0% 3
Q1 Sales Analysis Versus Prior Year Q1 Sales Mix Total Sales + 10% Total U.S. Sales + 1% Total International Sales + 42% DTC Sales + 40% Comparable Store Sales: Total Company5% Abercrombie & Fitch4% abercrombie kids11% Hollister5% 4
Q1 Analysis 2012 2011 Sales Operating Income Sales Operating Income U.S. Stores (1) $ 543,881 $ 84,151 $ 566,711 $ 94,125 15.5% 16.6% International Stores (1) 225,027 62,282 158,695 53,153 27.7% 33.5% Direct to Consumer 148,229 64,981 105,772 54,074 43.8% 51.1% Marketing, General and Administrative Expense(116,889)(107,651) Store Pre-Opening Costs (2)(14,404)(8,948) All Other, Net (3) 4,082 (73,799) 5,496 (46,008) TOTAL $ 921,218 $ 6,322 $ 836,674 $ 38,745 Operating Income for U.S. Stores and International Stores is reported on an aggregate four-wall basis, and excludes store pre-opening costs. Period-end markdown reserve is fully allocated between U.S. Stores, International Stores and Direct to Consumer. Store Pre-Opening Costs include pre-opening rent, payroll, travel and other expense. All Other Includes Store Management & Support, DC (including DC markdowns) and Other Expense, net of Other Income. Also includes third party sell-off revenue. 5
Sales Growth Contribution Growth First Quarter Contribution % 2011 Net Sales $ 836,674 Foreign Exchange Impact (1) (5,779) -0.7% Comparable Stores (36,672) -4.4% DTC 42,660 5.1% Non-Comparable Stores, Net (2) 84,336 10.1% 2012 Net Sales $ 921,218 10.1% Represents the impact of converting prior year sales at current year rates New stores, net of closures; plus net effect of third party sell-off revenue 6
Operating Expense % of % of # 2012 Net Sales 2011 Net Sales bps (3) First Quarter 921218 836674 Store Occupancy (1) $ 179,252 19.5% $ 167,340 20.0% (50) All Other (2) 276,480 30.0% 231,761 27.7% 230 Stores and Distribution 455,732 49.5% 399,101 47.7% 180 Marketing, General & Administrative 116,889 12.7% 107,651 12.9% (20) TOTAL $ 572,621 62.2% $ 506,752 60.6% 160 Includes rent, other landlord charges, utilities, depreciation and other occupancy expense Includes selling payroll, store management and support, other store expense, DTC, and distribution center costs Rounded based on reported percentages 7
Inventory Analysis As of As of April 28, 2012 April 30, 2011 % Inventory on Hand $ 454,707 $ 304,108 + 49.5% Inventory in Transit $ 62,857 $ 54,263 + 15.8% Total Inventory $ 517,564 $ 358,371 + 44.4% 8
Share Repurchases FY 2012 FY 2011 Shares Average Shares Average Repurchased Cost Cost Repurchased Cost Cost First Quarter 3,300.0 $ 161,215 $ 48.85 428.8 $ 25,469 $ 59.40 Second Quarter$$950.1 $ 64,399 $ 67.78 Third Quarter$$150.0 $ 8,835 $ 58.90 Fourth Quarter$$2,017.3 $ 97,903 $ 48.53 TOTAL 3,300.0 $ 161,215 $ 48.85 3,546.2 $ 196,606 $ 55.44 Shares authorized for future repurchase * 12,919 * Includes increase of 10 million shares authorized by the Board of Directors on May 15, 2012 9
International Hollister Store CountCumulative ----------------- Year End ------------- Q1 End 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Hollister Canada 3 6 6 9 12 12 UK 3 10 19 26 27 Germany 1 4 11 13 Italy 1 3 5 6 Spain 3 8 9 Ireland 1 1 Hong Kong 1 1 Sweden 2 2 France 4 5 Belgium 2 2 Austria 3 3 China 2 3 TOTAL 3 9 18 38 77 84 10
Q1 International Hollister Store Openings Center City Date Ernst August Galerie Hannover, Germany 3/3/2012 Galleria Beijing, China 3/10/2012 80 George Street Edinburgh, UK 3/24/2012 Lyon Confluence Lyon, France 4/4/2012 Boulevard Berlin Berlin, Germany 4/4/2012 Assago Milanofiori Milan, Italy 4/14/2012 Gran Plaza 2 Madrid, Spain 4/27/2012 11
Flagship Openings City Timing Type Hamburg Opened 4/28/12 A&F Hong Kong Summer 2012 A&F Munich Fall 2012 A&F / kids Dublin Fall 2012 A&F Amsterdam Fall 2012 A&F Seoul Spring 2013 A&F London TBD kids 12
2012 Guidance Updates Full Year: Same percentage store sales down mid-single digit Greater contribution than from $250 2011 million store in revenue openings, and similar openings contribution from 2012 store Substantial erosion, driven recovery by international of 2011 GM mix rate Season benefit and AUC improvement in Fall operating Excluding expenses charges, slight deleverage of $ FY 3. 2012 75 diluted EPS in the range of $3.50 - Second Quarter: GM year rate slightly down compared to last Modest deleverage of operating expenses 13
Appendix: EPS (Unaudited) Q1 Store Count By Brand and Region 2012 2011 Net Income Per Share from Continuing Operations Basic $ 0.04 $ 0.28 Diluted $ 0.03 $ 0.27 Net Income Per Share from Discontinued Operations Basic $$ 0.01 Diluted $$ 0.01 Net Income Per Share Basic $ 0.04 $ 0.29 Diluted $ 0.03 $ 0.28 Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding Basic 84,593 87,282 Diluted 86,184 90,441 14
Appendix: Q1 Store Count Activity Store Count By Brand and RegionALL BRANDS* abercrombie kids Total US Canada Europe Asia Total US Canada Europe Asia Start of Q1 2012 1,045 946 19 74 6 Start of Q1 2012 159 154 3 2Openings 9 17 1 Openings- Closings (5) (5) Closings- End of Q1 2012 1,049 942 19 81 7 End of Q1 2012 159 154 3 2A&F Hollister Co. Total US Canada Europe Asia Total US Canada Europe Asia Start of Q1 2012 294 280 4 7 3 Start of Q1 2012 571 494 12 62 3 Openings 2 11Openings 7- 6 1 Closings (2) (2) Closings (3) (3) End of Q1 2012 294 279 4 8 3 End of Q1 2012 575 491 12 68 4 * End of Q1 2012 includes 21 Gilly Hicks stores, including three in Europe and 18 in the U.S. 15
Store Count By Brand and Region
Store Count By Brand and Region [Graphic Appears Here]
Exhibit 99.4
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EDITED TRANSCRIPT
ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
EVENT DATE/TIME: MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM GMT
OVERVIEW:
Management discussed 1Q12 results, reporting diluted EPS of $0.03 on net sales of $921m and reiterated 2012 EPS guidance of $3.50-3.75.
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Eric Cerny Abercrombie & Fitch Co.Senior Manager, IR
Mike Jeffries Abercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Jonathan Ramsden Abercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS
Jeff Klinefelter Piper JaffrayAnalyst
Dana Telsey Telsey Advisory GroupAnalyst
Lorraine Hutchinson BofA Merrill LynchAnalyst
Amanda Sigmund Jefferies & Co.Analyst
Brian Tunick JPMorganAnalyst
Robin Murchison SunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst
Janet Kloppenburg JJK ResearchAnalyst
Omar Saad ISI GroupAnalyst
Liz Dunn Macquarie ResearchAnalyst
Kimberly Greenberger Morgan StanleyAnalyst
Barbara Wyckoff CLSAAnalyst
Paul Lejuez Nomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Marni Shapiro The Retail TrackerAnalyst
Dave Weiner Duetsche BankAnalyst
John Kernan Cowen and CompanyAnalyst
Roxanne Meyer UBSAnalyst
PRESENTATION
Operator
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Abercrombie & Fitch first-quarter earnings results conference call.Todays conference is being recorded. (Operator Instructions). We will open the call to take your questions at the end of the presentation. We ask that you limit yourself to one question during the question-and-answer session. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Eric Cerny. Mr. Cerny, please go ahead, Sir.
Eric CernyAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Senior Manager, IR
Thank you, good morning, and welcome to our first-quarter earnings call. Earlier today we released our first-quarter sales and earnings, income statement, balance sheet, store opening and closing summary and an updated financial history. Please feel free to reference these materials available on our website.
Also available on our website is an investor presentation which we will be referring to in our comments during this call. This call is being recorded and the replay may be accessed through the Internet at Abercrombie.com under the Investor Relations section.
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2
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Before we begin I remind you that any forward-looking statements we may make today are subject to the Safe Harbor statement found in our SEC filings. Todays earnings call will be limited to one hour. Joining me today on the call are Mike Jeffries and Jonathan Ramsden. We will begin the call with a few brief remarks from Mike followed by a review of the financial performance for the quarter from Jonathan. After our prepared comments we will be available to take your questions for as long as time permits. Now to Mike.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Good morning, everyone; thank you for joining us today. While we are disappointed that European sales trends remain challenging in a very difficult macroeconomic environment, we are largely satisfied with our overall performance for the quarter in that context.
Our US business, including direct-to-consumer increased 4% on a comparable basis on top of a strong performance last year. Our international business comped negatively, but the economics remain strong and we delivered overall international sales growth of 42% including a strong performance in direct-to-consumer.
With cotton cost issues now largely behind us we look forward to strong year-over-year earnings growth in the back half of the year.
In that context I would like to spend a few minutes reviewing some highlights for the quarter.
Starting with international, we opened seven new Hollister stores during the quarter including our third store in China. China remains a major priority for us this year with another two or three Hollister openings anticipated. In addition, we expect our Hong Kong A&F flagship opening in August to play a key role in raising awareness of our brands in Mainland China.
Moving back to Europe, at the very end of the quarter we opened our Hamburg A&F flagship in the iconic Alte Post building. We look forward to opening our third German A&F store in Munich later in the year.
Subsequent to quarter end we made a big splash in London with the opening of a combined Hollister and Gilly Hicks store on Regent Street and three new Gilly Hicks mall stores around London. These stores all opened on Saturday and are a big statement about our intentions for the Gilly Hicks brand. We had a lot of fun with the openings and I encourage all of you to check out the pictures and videos available on our Facebook pages that captured the energy and excitement of the day.
Turning to direct-to-consumer, we are pleased with our continued strong growth of 40% for the quarter, which was on top of 32% growth in the comparable period last year. We are even more pleased that our international business grew faster than the overall rate of growth.
This quarter marks the ninth consecutive quarter of increases in direct-to-consumer of greater than 25%. Our margins in the direct-to-consumer channel remain strong and we expect to continue driving strong growth both through growing awareness of our brands internationally and through multiple investments we are making in the channel.
As I mentioned a moment ago, our overall US retail segment comps were up 4% on top of strong growth last year. We were able to do this while getting our AUR up slightly. Continuing to make progress on AUR is an important goal for us going forward.
With regard to our stores and the assortment, we are very happy with our spring merchandise. As many of you have noted in your store checks, we feel very much like spring with bright colors throughout the assortments.
While it will not fully manifest itself until later in the year, we are also very pleased with the progress we have made on sourcing costs, which will give us a strong tailwind starting in the middle of Q2.This has been a major area of focus over the past six months and our merchant sourcing and planning teams have done a great job. This benefit is giving us a significant insulation against the impact of macro driven top-line trends for the remainder of the year.
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3
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Coming back to our international stores, we spend a lot of time analyzing and understanding the trends in these stores and making sure we have incorporated the appropriate takeaways in our longer-term strategy. We are committed to remaining disciplined in our approach to this strategy and opening stores that meet our margin criteria based on conservative volume assumptions.
We believe that the macro environment in Europe has been a significant factor in the recent trends we have seen. Cannibalization has also been a factor. However, it is important to note that given the extraordinarily strong start we made in Europe and putting aside the current cyclical macroeconomic factors at play, we have long been prepared for a period of negative same-store sales.
When we look at the current trends in Europe the questions we ask ourselves arefirst, are our stores continuing to stand out from the mall in terms of excitement and energy and in terms of traffic and productivity? Second, are the new store volumes consistent with the volumes at which we approved the deals? Third, are we achieving our annualized target 30% four wall margins at the current trend and after cannibalization? Last, is our international direct-to-consumer business continuing to grow at a healthy rate?
Despite the downtrend we have experienced, at this point the answer to all of those questions is yes in aggregate and yes individually for the majority of our European stores. Based on that, while we will continue to review trends closely and be very disciplined in how we approach new store openings, we believe the current economics of our business in Europe strongly affirm our long-term strategy.
We also believe that the other key components of our strategy are on track, these includeone, continuing to provide high-quality trend right merchandise and a compelling and differentiated store experience; two, continuing to close underperforming US chain stores; three, investing in our DTC business, particularly the international business; and four, continuing to seek ways to operate more efficiently and reduce expenses.
There are things that are not under our control, most notably the macro environment. But we believe we are doing the right things where we do have control. And we look forward to moving into a period of sustained year-over-year EPS growth even in a challenged environment. With that I will hand you over to Jonathan, but well be available to answer your questions in a few minutes.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Thanks, Mike, and good morning, everyone. Ill start with a short summary of our results for the quarter and then give an update on our outlook for the full year.
For the quarter the Companys net sales increased 10% to $921 million while comp store sales were down 5% to last year with mens and womens performing comparably. Comp sales were up slightly in US chain stores but significantly down across international and US tourist stores in a tough macroeconomic environment in Europe and as we lapped strong sales a year ago. Cannibalization also had a meaningful impact on international comp store sales.
Total US sales including DTC were up 1% with the effect of store closures offsetting most of the comparable sales growth of 4%comp sales growth 4%. International sales for the quarter including DTC were up 42% and total DTC sales were up 40%. International sales as a share of our overall business reached 30% for the first time. Foreign currency changes for the quarter were insignificant to sales on a year-over-year basis.
Despite lower sales than planned, gross margin erosion of 240 basis points was less than expected at the beginning of the quarter due to modest growth in AUR in a somewhat less promotional environment and a lower quarter end markdown reserve than anticipated.
A summary of our fiscal quarter operating expenses can be found on page 6 of the investor presentation. MG&A for the quarter was $116.9 million and up approximately 9% compared to last year. The increase in MG&A for the quarter was due to increases in marketing expense, equity comp, and other expense.
Stores and distribution expense for the quarter was $455.7 million and up approximately 14% compared to last year. Store occupancy costs were approximately $179 million and all other stores and distribution costs represented 30% of sales, 230 basis points above the percentage of sales they represented last year, including the effect of higher direct-to-consumer expense, store payroll and store management expense.
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4
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Stores and distribution expense for the quarter included approximately $2 million of accelerated depreciation from our DC consolidation, lower than previously anticipated due to an extension in the expected service life of our second DC.
Operating income for the quarter was $6.3 million versus $38.7 million a year ago. Operating margin fell 390 basis points with expense deleverage of 160 basis points adding to the gross margin erosion. The tax rate for the quarter was 43% and diluted EPS for the quarter was $0.03 versus $0.28 for the prior year quarter.
Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with total inventory at cost up 44% versus a year ago. This was higher than planned due to a lower sales trend. However, we continue to expect a significantly moderated rate of growth at the end of the spring season and have adjusted our receipts for the balance of the year to reflect the current sales trend.
During the quarter we repurchased approximately 3.3 million shares at an average cost of around $49 per share bringing our total repurchases to 8.4 million shares in the past two years. We ended the quarter with $321.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and $37.9 million of current marketable securities. In addition, we have available $349 million under our revolving credit facility and $300 million under our term loan facility. During the quarter we liquidated 62.4 million of our auction rate securities.
At our Board meeting yesterday the Board approved the addition of 10 million shares to our share repurchase authorization bringing our total outstanding authorization to 12.9 million shares.
As Mike mentioned, we opened one flagship and seven international Hollister stores during the quarter. Details of Hollister openings for the quarter are included on page 10 of the investor presentation. In the US we closed five stores during the quarter.
With regard to our expectations for the fiscal year, based on the first-quarter trend we are now planning for mid-single-digit negative [likes] for the full year comprising modestly positive same-store sales for US chain stores and mid-teen negative likes for international and US tourist stores.
This projection is based on the trend over the last quarter and does not include any further slowing from that trend. However, it also does not include any benefit from lapping of more favorable compares later in the year.
We have revised our non-comp store sales projections consistent with the lower trend for comp stores and now anticipate the sales growth contribution for the year from new stores to be around $500 million. Our lower sales projection is partially offset by a higher projected gross margin rate and lower expenses.
The higher gross margin rate reflects continued progress on AUC reductions and the fact that a much higher percentage of our commitments is now locked in. A lower operating income projection for the year is offset by a lower share count at the end of the first quarter, as a result of which we are leaving our EPS guidance of full-year diluted EPS in the range of $3.50 to $3.75 unchanged. The greatest sensitivity in this projection remains the sales trend.
With regard to the second quarter, we expect the gross margin rate to be slightly down versus last year, we expect modest expense deleverage based on our current sales projection. Again, this is based on the sales trend for the past quarter. We will report second-quarter sales and earnings on Wednesday, August 15, 2012.
This concludes our prepared comment section of the call and we are now available to take your questions. Thank you.
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS
Operator
(Operator Instructions). Jeff Klinefelter, Piper Jaffray.
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5
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jeff KlinefelterPiper JaffrayAnalyst
A few questions, this morning, one on Europe. Mike and Jonathan, Im wondering if you could just give a little bit more color and what youre experiencing, recognizing the headwindsthe economic headwinds, kind of on a sequential basis between Hollister and your flags, particularly the key London, Milan and any updates on Asia or Tokyo?
And then with respect to Hollister specifically, it seems like thats really where more of the sequential deterioration has come from. Could you talk about that and then how youre viewing traffic trends into the second half of the year for those businesses? And then just a couple housekeeping issues. Jonathan, tax rateare you forecasting the tax rate from Q1 through the balance of the year in your guidance and then also inventory units versus dollars? Thank you.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Maybe Ill start with the last (inaudible). The tax rate guidance for the year is the same as we had given out in February which was slightly below 35% for the full year. The Q1 rate is just distorted because of the low absolute level of operating income and some of the discrete period items, so that isnt reflective of what we would anticipate for the full year.
I think just going back to your question on trends; clearly the overall environment in Europe and the trend of our business was tougher in this quarter than it was in the fourth quarter. Hollister did move from having comped positively to comping negatively. Having said that, we were up against very strong comps in the first couple of quarters of last year, I think 20% plus for Hollister Europe although relatively few stores in the comp base. So we were cycling against that.
As we said in the guidance for the year, were basically assuming the run rate for the trend in Q1 continues on a full-year basis, so were projecting down mid-single-digit comps for the full year. As we said, that doesnt allow for any potential further deterioration in the trend, but it also doesnt allow any benefit for the lapping of the sequentially easier compares as we get into the latter part of the year.
Jeff KlinefelterPiper JaffrayAnalyst
I guess Im curious about any changes that youre observing in terms of overall competitive promotional cadence. You mentioned cannibalization in terms of impacting your comps, although you also said that youve been factoring in a lot of these trends in your modeling for new stores.
I think thats probably the greatest concern that people would have is what is factored in in terms of top-line tolerance in stress testing these new stores. So I was just wondering if you could share a little bit about the environment that youre observing and then also what kind of downside protection you have in your model.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
I think the key point, Jeff, isas Mike said in his comments, when we open new stores we want to be confident that we can hit that 30% four wall margin, even after allowing for the effect of cannibalization of other stores. So we take that into account when we look at those stores and we put a conservative volume on it, or one that we believe is conservative.
And as of today as were opening new stores were looking at volumes based on the current trends of the business. So, a key point remains that we want to be opening stores that incrementally are delivering a 30% margin on a conservative volume figure. And as Mike said, if you look at the great majority of our stores, or certainly if you look at our stores in aggregate and the majority of our stores, today they are operating above that 30% four wall margin.
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6
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jeff KlinefelterPiper JaffrayAnalyst
Thank you.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
We are finding, Jeff, that we are probably our biggest competitor internally in Europe.
Operator
Dana Telsey,Telsey Advisory Group.
Dana TelseyTelsey Advisory GroupAnalyst
By the way, I was in the Paris store on Saturday and it looks terrific. And wanted to just get some more color. As you think about Europe, macro versus cannibalization, how do you think about the slicing and dicing of the environment and just cannibalization?
And then also, as you think about inventory levels, how do you see inventories progressing? And as the inventoriesis it more US or international? And just lastly on prices, I think youre going to adjust prices in Europe have they been adjusted or what you see there? Thank you.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Okay, macro versus cannibalization. I think the biggest factor in the downtrend in Europe is clearly macro. Cannibalization would come second and then I think the third issue is the incredible opening rate and the fact that it wassome of these rates werent sustainable.
We are, as Jonathan said, planning cannibalization into our future model and it is a factor. We are planning the macro environment to stay the way it is, were not planning for it to get worse. But our assumption is that its going to stay the same for the rest of the year. Want to talk about inventory levels?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Sure. In terms of inventory, Dana, we do expect the rate of growth to moderate significantly at the end of Q2. Part of what you see at the end of Q1 is essentially a timing effect.
We have a lot of the spring goods sitting there today and as we look to the balance of the year we are planning based on that negative mid-single digit like assumption in terms of how we are planning inventory to the end of the year. So on that basis we have reduced receipts over the last couple of months on a full-year basis, although that has limited impact on where we were at the end of Q1.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
The last part of the question pricing; in Europe we are slightly above last year for the spring season, will be slightly below for the fall season.
Dana TelseyTelsey Advisory GroupAnalyst
Thank you.
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7
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Operator
Lorraine Hutchinson, Bank of America.
Lorraine HutchinsonBofA Merrill LynchAnalyst
Just wanted to follow up on the gross margin, it was significantly better than your plan. And I was just wondering if you could give us a little bit more information, how much of that was that the competitive environment was better? How much of that was AURs sticking and what we should expect going forward?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Lorraine, I think as we said when we came into the quarter, we were counting on that sort of aggressive environment we saw in the fourth quarter continuing and our AUR assumption was based on that. In reality as it turned out we were able to do better than that on AUR and get our AUR in the US business up a little bit. So that helped.
And then in terms of the impact on the quarter in mark-down reserve, that effect kind of flowed through into that. And I think clearly given everything weve seen in the fourth quarter we had a fairly conservative mindset coming into the season about AUR and gross margin.
Lorraine HutchinsonBofA Merrill LynchAnalyst
Thank you.
Operator
Randy Connick, Jefferies.
Amanda SigmundJefferies & Co.Analyst
Hi, good morning, this is Amanda Sigmund on for Randy. Just a question to follow up on that. Given the less promotional environment you saw in the first quarter, does that change your thinking for the promotional cadence for the balance of this year?
And then just a question on the share repurchases; that was stepped up nicely in the quarter and obviously you increased the authorization. Is there any further buy back baked into the outlook now for the $3.50 to $3.75? Thank you.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Ill take the first part of the question. We were hoping and pushing to raise the AUR for the balance of the year.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
On the second part, Amanda, we dont count in any further buybacks relative to where we ended Q1 in terms of whats baked into the guidance.
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8
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Amanda SigmundJefferies & Co.Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Brian Tunick, JPMorgan.
Brian TunickJPMorganAnalyst
Thanks, good morning, guys. One for John and one for Mike. I guess, John, it felt like at the beginning of the year we thought you guys cut your guidance from $4.75 down to that $3.50, $3.70 level because of taking comp guidance down to flat. And now it sounds like youre taking comps down again, but keeping that $3.50 to $3.75.
So just hoping to get a little more color on what the offset is there and is it mostly gross margins. And then if Mike could just comment sort of on how youre viewing I guess China differently from Japan and what sort of market research you guys have done and what you think will be different from the outcome there? Thanks very much, guys.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
On the first part, gross margin is a significant driver of the offset to the lower sales trend. A big piece of that is that we now have a much higher confidence level in our AUC reductions for the full year. We were feeling very fairly positive about that back in February, but now much of the commitment is locked in and we have continued to make progress in terms of the reductions were seeing there.
So we feel very good about AUC and now that is substantially locked in for the year at this point, there is still some open for Christmas. So that was one piece of it. Expenses also came down obviously in part as an offset to sales and then the share count is lower by several million shares than we had assumed back at the time of the guidance in February.
So there really were three principle drivers. And then the other piece thats having a little bit of an impact is a slightly higher AUR assumption than we had back in February just based on what weve seen in the first quarter.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Let me comment on the second question, Brian. First, let me give you a little more color on Japan. We are doing a lot of business in our Ginza flagship. Our problem in that flagship is that we madein an effort to get into Japan quickly, we made a deal that was not very economic. In our rational economic deal in that site wed be making a lot of money.
We understand more about Japan than we have in the past. There will be Hollister mall stores in Japan. China is a very huge focus of ours and we have been looking at it extensively, we are off to, we think, a very good start. Were, as a company, really engaged. And weve engaged many, many people in China to figure this market out.
As I said this morning, we think opening the Hong Kong flagship will be very meaningful to China and we are negotiating for a flagship in China for next year. Were taking this very seriously; we think theres a lots of business to be done in China.
Operator
Robin Murchison, SunTrust.
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9
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Robin MurchisonSunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst
Two questions. Can you parse out the UK from Continental Europe if there is a difference in performance? And secondly, regarding cannibalization, does that suggest anything for forward unit growth in Europe? Thank you.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
I dont know that we want to comment on country-by-country performance. Jonathan, what do you think?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
I mean I think we havent seen some of the big discrepancies youve heard other people talking about. I mean we havent seen that necessarily same divide between Northern and Southern Europe, we could probably say that. But Im not sure theres much else we can add on that.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Unit growth?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Im not sure I really understood the question, Robin, on the cannibalization (inaudible) on unit growth.
Robin MurchisonSunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst
Sorry, the question gets to if theres cannibalization does that change your thinking at all in terms of unit growth in Europe?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Okay. Well again, it all comes back to that 30% four wall margin and if we could open the store and then net of the effects of cannibalization it can deliver that 30% on a conservative volume assumption we would continue to go ahead. Based onlooking at whats in the plan today, we dont foresee for Hollister that having any significant impact on score store count plans.
Most of the stores even after cannibalization are comfortably beating the hurdle rate even with that negative likes weve seen over the past quarter for Hollister. For A&F we have pulled back on a couple of instances where we werent satisfied that we were going to meet the hurdle rate. So a little bit of an adjustment there, but overall not a major adjustment to the plan.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
But were looking at it (technical difficulty) point were looking at it very hard in a very disciplined way.
Robin MurchisonSunTrust Robinson HumphreyAnalyst
Good, thank you.
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10
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Operator
Janet Kloppenburg, JJA Research.
Janet KloppenburgJJK ResearchAnalyst
Mike, I wondered if you could talk a little bit about any progress youre seeing at the European flagship since youve adjusted the AUCs. I know you just said that you expect some progress as the year goes by, but I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about that mix shift in price points there.
And you also said that you felt good about China, but given that theres some Hollister stores that have been open for a while, I wondered if you could talk a little bit about the performance there vis-a-vis how the initial stores opened in Europe. That would be an interesting analysis if we could learn more about how theyre ramping.
And Jonathan, I dont know if you answered Jeffs question about tax rate, but maybe you could help us with our tax rate number. And at the expense line, can you maybe help me understand on both the store and operating and the MG&A line whether the rate of increase in expenses will continue to be the same or if it should moderate as we go through the year? And I had one more question just about the operating margin rate of the direct business, which seems to be coming down. Thanks.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Okay, lets go through the list.
Janet KloppenburgJJK ResearchAnalyst
Sorry.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Thats okay. Pricing in the flagships. We have adjusted that mix and its very difficult to tell what that result is candidly. We think its the right thing to do in terms of positioning of the stores, but looking at the reductions and the mix its very difficult to have a direct correlation. But we think were doing the right things.
China, were pleased with how weve started China. I think what were learning in China is from a real estate perspective we have to treat China the same way we did Europe, which was to be in the best centers. We opened inthe first China store is in Shanghai, it is a good store, its gaining momentum, it would be ranked as a good Hollister store anywhere in the world.
We opened in Shenzhen which is a secondary city and were meeting our plan, which wasnt as aggressive as Shanghai. And we opened our first store in Beijing in a mall where we shouldnt have opened. And our lesson there is that our first store in Beijing should not have been in kind of a fair grade mall. So were optimistic about China, were optimistic about all of the brands there. I think thats all I can say about China.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Janet, on the other part, the tax rate were saying still slightly belowwe didnt update the guidance we gave in February which was slightly below 35% for the full year. On expense what were saying in the presentation is modest deleveraging Q2 and modest data de-leverage for the full year. So better than what we saw in Q1 but still some deleverage now on a full-year basis.
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11
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
And then in terms of the operating margin on direct, I think we had said on the last earnings call that we anticipated mid-40s would be a reasonable run rate going forward. What you have baked into that margin and for the other channels too, is still that significant year-over-year costing impact in Q1 which will turn around nicely over the next couple of quarters. But we still think that mid-40s run rate for direct-to-consumer is about the right ball park going forward.
Janet KloppenburgJJK ResearchAnalyst
So we should look for it to be maintained here, right, Jonathan, around this level?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Yes, I think we saidwed see it being in the mid-40s on a go-forward basis, and obviously on a full-year basis there are some quarterly swings in all of the channels. And what youre seeing for international stores, clearly they were below 30% for Q1 but adjusting for the costing effect and the seasonalization, that would still put us above 30% on a full-year basis.
Janet KloppenburgJJK ResearchAnalyst
Okay, thanks so much and good luck.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
I think I have one more store for you thats our Hollister store in Hong Kong and Festival Walk is a phenomenal store; it would be rated up at the somewhere at the top of our store list.
Janet KloppenburgJJK ResearchAnalyst
Great. Lots of luck. Thank you.
Operator
Evren Kopelman,Wells Fargo.
Unidentified Participant
Hi, thanks, its Marin in for Evren. Just quickly, when we look at the US stores, in terms of the significant comp decline in the tourist stores do you think thats because theres fewer tourists or do you think its more of a brand issue? Thanks.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
A, fewer tourists.
Unidentified Participant
Okay.
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12
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Operator
Omar Saad, ISI Group.
Omar SaadISI GroupAnalyst
Thanks for all the information. I wanted to ask you guys as youre looking at the European stores and some of the tourist stores in the US, what kind of information are you seeing and patterns are you seeing with the consumers? Are you seeing a lot of repeat customers and theyre buying less? Are you seeing less repeat customers?
We can still see that theres lines in front of a lot of these doors, so theres still clearly a lot of demand. But is on the margin causing that negative like for like in the store? How much of it is traffic and how much of it is losing customers? Have you done that kind of level of analysis with the consumers that are flowing through there? Thank you.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Its verywe do not have that level of detail, hope to develop that capability. And measuring traffic in our flagship stores is really impossible because of the level of traffic. But we see that traffic is down in those stores and thats what is driving the volume. We clearly see that in the US tourist stores.
Omar SaadISI GroupAnalyst
Got you, all right, thanks.
Operator
Liz Dunn, Macquarie.
Liz DunnMacquarie ResearchAnalyst
Just a point of clarification on the comp guidance for international of mid-teens decline going forward. Is that a constant currency comp orbecause just when we do the math it looks like the comp decline in the first quarter in the international stores was a bit sharper than that.
And then my second question relates to real estate decisions. You know, you talked about some missed steps in Japan and in China. How are you changing your real estate decision making process or the team? How are you adjusting so that some of these missteps dont happen in the future? Thanks.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Liz, [this is on the first point]. We report comps on a constant currency basis and that applies both to what we reported for Q1 and what were projecting for the full year. Im looking to Brian to confirm that.
Unidentified Company Representative
Thats correct.
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13
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
So I think that answers the first part.
Liz DunnMacquarie ResearchAnalyst
But, can you break out what that currency hit to the sales or to the comp was?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Yes, I mean the currency effect is shown, if you look at itif you go to page 5 of our investor presentation, the foreign exchange impact was less than 1% year over year in the first quarter. So it was negative. But we separate that out from the impact of comp store sales which are then stated on a constant currency basis.
Liz DunnMacquarie ResearchAnalyst
Okay, great. Got it.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
The answer to the second part of your question is that we have essentially a new real estate group. And to be transparent about this, obtaining real estate globally is a different matter from obtaining real estate in malls in the United States. And we had to change our team in terms of level of experience. And actually the amount of oversight that were giving that part of the business today. I feel comfortable that were making the right decisions.
Liz DunnMacquarie ResearchAnalyst
Great, thanks. Good luck.
Operator
Kimberly Greenberger, MSB.
Kimberly GreenbergerMorgan StanleyAnalyst
Morgan Stanley. This morning I think, Jonathan, you said that US comps are running up 4%. I wasntI think I missed the international comp, if you could just remind me what that was. And my question is on the divisional margins.
We saw about a 730 basis point decline in the direct-to-consumer operating income rate. Im wondering if you can just help us understand the big drivers behind that. And also, I presume that the 580 basis point decline in the international store operating income rate is driven by the negative comp, but if there are other factors in there as well I would be interested to hear that. Thank you so much.
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14
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Okay, Kimberly, thanks. On the US comps, what we said was the total retail segment comps including DTC were up 4%. So same-store sales [in the U.S. chain] (added by company after the call) were up 1% and then DTC took it up 4%, which we think is an appropriate way to look at it from a US standpoint. The overall comp we gave of down 5% is purely same-store sales.
And we dont include DTC in that partly because we think its problematic to do that in terms of looking at our global DTC business and including all of that in a comp number as we expand our new stores significantly internationally. But you can kind of do the math and if you added our global DTC growth back to the negative 5 comp youd be sort of flattish on an overall comp basis if you did include all of that DTC growth.
With regard to the DTC operating income rate, I think we touched on that in the answer to Janets question. A big piece of it is the sourcing cost impact year over year which is affecting all of the channels. But I think weve also said that the rates we had in 2011 were probably not sustainable anyway and that we anticipate a go-forward rate closer to the mid-40s for direct, particularly given some of the investments were making in the channel, which are necessary to drive the continued growth.
Then the third part of the question, the decline in internationala big piece of that, again, was the sourcing cost issue year over year. That would have been the biggest single component and then some deleveraging of expenses as a result of the negative comps.
Kimberly GreenbergerMorgan StanleyAnalyst
Im just wondering why there was so little impact in the US store. We saw only about a 110 basis points decline in the operating income rate. But I would have thought that you would see a similar kind of sourcing cost inflation within each channel, but the profit rate in US stores was much, much, much closer to last year. So Im just trying to understand the disparity of results by channel; if theres an easy explanation, that would be great.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Unfortunately there isnt an easy explanation, Kimberly, its a little bit complicated due to the markdown reserve issue, which is sort of abnormallyhaving an abnormal impact on this quarter. So essentially the mark-down reserve we took at the end of the fourth quarter disproportionately benefited the US stores in Q1 in terms of how that margin is coming through.
I think weve included this analysis and we intend to include it going forward quarter by quarter. I think it is a little bit distorted by that effect in this particular quarter, but that effect should go away or certainly be less significant on a full-year basis.
Kimberly GreenbergerMorgan StanleyAnalyst
Thank you so much.
Operator
Barbara Wyckoff, CLSA.
Barbara WyckoffCLSAAnalyst
A question for Mike. Can you talk about womens bottoms and the womens bottoms business, denim versus colored twill, silhouettes? How do you see this going forward; how are shorts performing; talk about skirts and dresses, please?
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15
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Oh, Barbara, I would love to talk to you about this, but really cant. The womens bottom business is good. I dont want to give you forward projections. The short business is good, womens bottoms business is good.
Barbara WyckoffCLSAAnalyst
Okay.
Operator
Paul Lejuez, Nomura.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Just wondering if you could share with us, and sorry if I missed this, the AUR in the US versus the European business? Also was wondering what kind of AUC reductions you are looking for, just ballpark; just wondering if you will see down double digits at some point this year?
And also trying to understand the view of gross margins getting a little bit better with the inventory levels up where they are. I think you said the markdown reserve was lower at the end of the quarter here. Just wondering what that was, if you can share that with us, versus last year. Thanks.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
I guess in terms of AUR, Paul, we said US AURs were up slightly. And then internationally it was a little bit more, so the overall AUR was up modestly for the quarter in total. AUC, wed said on the last earnings call we expected to be into the double-digit reductions in the back half of the year. And as we said earlier on, weve made continued progress on that and that is now substantially locked in. So we feel very good about that.
With regard to inventory, as we said we have aligned our receipts for the balance of the year to that negative mid-single-digit trend that we have talked about on a full-year basis. That is what we are now buying to. And then in terms of the markdown reserve at the end of Q1, I dont have that number to hand. It was lower than we had anticipated coming into the quarter, primarily reflecting some of the progress we are making in continuing to seek to get AURs up. But we will obviously publish that number as part of the Q.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
But was it actually done versus last year, the mark-down reserve?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
(Multiple speakers).
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Relative to your plan.
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16
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
It was down a little to last year is what Brian is saying.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Got you. And when you say your inventory is lined up to down mid-single-digit, youre talking inventory dollars, correct?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Yes, in effect, in terms of what were buying to. And obviously were not buying to minus 5 in total because clearly there is new store sales growth and direct-to-consumer growth. But in terms of how we build up the buy we start from that negative mid-single-digit comp on a dollar basis.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Which means units would be down mid-teens on a comp store basis?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
No, I dont think were going to get into the AUR assumption baked in to that.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
JustI was talking from a cost perspective. If your costs or AUC is going to be down double-digits wouldnt that imply that units would be down somewhere in the mid-teens?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Im not sure Im following the logic.
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Youre matching dollars down mid-single-digit on a comp store basis and your average costs per unit are going to be down double-digits.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Thats what we said for the back half of the year, yes, from a (multiple speakers).
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
So units would have to be down double-digits, correct?
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17
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Well, I dont think you can say that on units. I mean I guess what affects the units is the comp trend and the AUR assumption. And what were saying is the comp trend were planning for negative mid-single-digits and AUR we just previously said flat for the US chain business. Were hoping to make a bit of progress on that as we did in the first quarter.
For international its a bit of a different story because we were up in the first half of the year, year over year. But as Mike alluded to earlier, we would expect that to turn slightly negative for the back half of the year. So I dont think AUC really has a bearing on(multiple speakers).
Paul LejuezNomura Asset ManagementAnalyst
Thats right, it could actually be up a bit now that I think about it. Sorry, I was just doing the math of the wrong way there. Okay, got you. Thank you.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Thank you.
Operator
Marni Shapiro,The Retail Tracker.
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
I think the stores look very happy. So I have a couple of just quick questions. First, I wantyou had a trend where the fashion has outpaced what I call more of the core business, the T-shirts and sweats, and you were sort of chasing into that business. I wonder how you feel about your comfort level with keeping up with the fashion there; it does seem to still be outpacing the core on the sales.
And if you can talk just a little bitand it feels as wellthe promotions definitely feel very light this spring compared to what weve seen over the last couple of months and seasons, particularly on the fashion side. And I want to make sure what Im seeing is right there, particularly at Hollister, it feels even lighter than the other stores, which has been the more promotional.
And just one last question on marketing. If you can just give us an updatehas anything changed on the marketing side or does it remain focused on the direct business and that part of thethat channel?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
First part of the question, I feel that we continue to make progress in fashion. So if Im understanding the question correctly, I feel that that business will continue at a good rate (multiple speakers).
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
You were in sort of a [taste] mode on the fashion because it was selling faster, trying to get the balance a little better. Are you feeling good about that?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Yes. But I think, Marni, that were always in chase mode for fashion. And I think thats a good thing.
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
Yes, I agree.
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18
MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
The promotionsI think we are less promotional and we anticipate being less. And from a marketing perspective it is directed to the direct business, it continues to be.
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
Is that true in Europe and China as well?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Well, we dont really market our marketing is done in store. So we clearly have websites. Im not sure I understand the question.
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
Females, for example, are a big marketing part for you guys, even Facebook here in the United States, Im constantly seeing updates on Facebook from you guys. Are you doing things like that in Europe and China and Japan?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Well, were getting started, Marni, I mean were doing a lot more interactive marketing over here. We are getting started particularly in China now. But were a long way away from where we are in the US. The only thing we do do in China in particular is focus on those new store openings and Hong Kong were making, as we mentioned earlier, a big push around that opening in terms of creating awareness in Mainland China.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
And really look at Facebook to see what happened in London last weekend, thats where our marketing effort is.
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
And on the mobile side, are you guys pushing into the mobile technology at all, particularly in Japan and China? Or youll get there in time?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Yes is the answer. I mean were working so that all of our online interaction is sort of mobile enabled; that would apply not just in the US but also internationally. I think weve said in the past that around 20% of our traffic online is already coming through mobile so clearly it has to be.
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Marni ShapiroThe Retail TrackerAnalyst
Exactly, great. Congratulations, guys, good luck with summer.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Thank you.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Thank you.
Operator
Dave Weiner, Deutsche Bank.
Dave WeinerDuetsche BankAnalyst
Can you hear me okay? I just wanted to follow up on an earlier question about pricing, I want to make sure I understood the answer. Basically I was curious, I think you said that pricing, and I dont know whether this was referring globally or to Europe specifically, was kind of up modestly in the first half, going to be down modestly in the back half. I guess if you could just confirm thats the case. And within Europe, is there any way you can break that out between Abercrombie and Hollister? Do you kind of need to do that same type of cadence for both brands?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
The answer is that we were describing Europe and I said that wed be downup slightly in spring and down slightly in fall. A little more aggressively down in Abercrombie & Fitch then Hollister for the fall season.
Dave WeinerDuetsche BankAnalyst
Got you. And I guess I mean the pricing obviously is aseems to be a key lever here where youre trying to gauge it an economy in Europe thats kind of deteriorating; its in a state of flux. So I mean how do you figure out ahead of timehow are you trying to analyze what the appropriate pricing level is? I mean it seems that thats a real challenge especially since your brands have a relatively short track record versus others there in the malls and whatnot.
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
We look at sales on a weekly basis and we look at trend. Pricing is an important part of what we do. But itshow do I describe this? I suppose the answer to the question is first, our first driver of business is not price anyplace in the world. We drive the business through differentiated store experience, through trend right product and then price is something that follows. Weve never driven the business through price and we dont in Europe.
So pricing is a factor, but, as I said to Janet earlier in the session, reducing the AURs in the flagships in terms of mix we havent been able to really see a result. Its a very complex issue, but its not the issue that were obsessing with. Were obsessing with right stores, right product thats success.
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Dave WeinerDuetsche BankAnalyst
Right. And so that strategy in Europe wouldkind of that focus not so muchthat first focus not so much on price. That would apply as much to the Hollister stores in the mall as to the flagships?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Absolutely, absolutely.
Dave WeinerDuetsche BankAnalyst
Okay, great.Thanks for your help.
Operator
John Kernan, Cowen.
John KernanCowen and CompanyAnalyst
I was wondering if you could update us on the (technical difficulty) store closures domestically both for Abercrombie and Hollister the remainder of this year.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Weve said on the last earnings call 180 approximately between now and 2015. We havent given a specific figure for this year yet and theres a lot of water to go under the bridge on that. We did close five stores in the first quarter. Well be in a better position to give an update on that as we get later into the year when we start engaging directly with the landlords with regard to plans to renew or close stores, but there really isnt anything new relative to what we had said in February at this point.
John KernanCowen and CompanyAnalyst
And then maybe I missed this, but FX guidance related to the euro for the remainder of the year, whats embedded in your assumptions?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
We had said in February it was about a negative $50 million full-year effect. Its a little less than that at this point based on the current rates, but theyre pretty close. On a full-year basis somewhat below negative $50 million from a dollars sales standpoint.
John KernanCowen and CompanyAnalyst
But the actual euro rate thats embedded in your assumption is lower? A little bit lower?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Its pretty close to the current spot rate.
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
John KernanCowen and CompanyAnalyst
Okay, thank you.
Operator
Roxanne Meyer, UBS.
Roxanne MeyerUBSAnalyst
A couple of questions for you actually. One, just wanted to know what the sequential progression was in terms of comp performance throughout the quarter.
Second, if you could give us a little bit more color about how Hollister performed in the US relative to how it did internationally. And then within the international landscape, any thoughts of separating out performance of Hollister versus A&F in terms out how theyre feeling out the macro weakness and impact?
And then last just on cannibalization, I mean I guess Im curious to know how you see the end game. For a store like London, which continues to feel the pressure from cannibalization, what is it thats going to get the sales to stabilize and turn it around and maybe even get it to comp positive again at some point?
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
I guess in terms of the sequential trend during the first quarter, Roxanne, it was complicated by a number of factors including the Easter shift, there were some weather things going on. So I think its tough for us to really add a lot of color to that.
Clearly weve changed the guidance from flat to down mid-single-digits based on what weve seen during the quarter. Im not sure theres a whole lot more detail we can really add. Im not sure I fully understood the second part of the question. Can you elaborate?
Roxanne MeyerUBSAnalyst
Yes. Just looking for any color you can provide as to how Hollister performed in the US versus outside of the US.
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
I guess in the US A&F versus Hollister, A&F was a little stronger in the first quarter relative to where theyve been in the fourth quarter than Hollister.
Roxanne MeyerUBSAnalyst
But what about comparing just Hollister to Hollister US versus internationally how its doing?
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Jonathan RamsdenAbercrombie & Fitch Co.EVP & CFO
Im not sure thats a terribly meaningful comparison. I think youve got to look at what theyre trending against from prior periods. We dont really look at it that way. We look at whats going on in each of the geographies rather than comparing them across geographies. And I think it would be tough to draw any conclusions from looking across geographies for any of the brands frankly.
Going to the third point, I think the single most important point on London is that volume there is today still far ahead of the volume we signed up for the store on which is linked to hitting a 30% margin. So even after all of the cannibalization weve seen in London and the negative trend its still an extremely healthy and profitable store. And I think thats the single most important point about London, and its true of the other flagships too for the most part.
Roxanne MeyerUBSAnalyst
Okay, great. Thanks a lot and best of luck.
Operator
Erika Maschmeyer, Robert W. Baird.
Unidentified Participant
(technical difficulty) on for Erika. Just if you could speak about the environment a little bit. Given your comments about pushing for AUR increases in the US for the balance of the year, what do you expect other retailers to do with the cost benefits everyone should be seeing in the second half? And how fast could you react should the environment dictate declines in AUR?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
We are anticipating that we can raise our AURs. If we find that the competition is lowering prices progressively and that is affecting our business we can respond very quickly.
Unidentified Participant
Okay thank you. And then a follow-up on Gilly Hicks, is that a sign of acceleration of that strategy and expansion internationally? And then can you talk about those recent store openings?
Mike JeffriesAbercrombie & Fitch Co.Chairman & CEO
Yes, I think everyone should take a look at them because they were a lot of fun last Saturday. Gilly performed very well within the first quarter on comps [big] on a comp basis. We are still learning a lot about the brand and the categories. And within the openings in Europe we have different formats. So I will not say that this is signaling that we are on a roll out mode with Gilly at this point, but were very happy with the progress and continuing to learn a lot about the business.
Unidentified Participant
Great, thank you. Ill hand it over.
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MAY 16, 2012 / 12:30PM, ANFQ1 2012 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Conference Call
Operator
And, ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints this will conclude our question-and-answer session and this does conclude our conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.
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