EX-99.1 2 q12016-pressrelease.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Exhibit


Exhibit 99.1
United Fire Group, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2016 Results

CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa - (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) - United Fire Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: UFCS),
May 4, 2016 - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Consolidated Financial Results - Highlights:
Three Months Ended March 31, 2016
 
Operating income(1) per diluted share(2)
$
0.83

Net income per diluted share(2)
$
0.88

Net realized investment gains per share(2)
$
0.05

GAAP combined ratio
92.3
%
Book value per share
$
36.69

Return on equity(3)
9.9
%

United Fire Group, Inc. (the “Company” or "UFG") (Nasdaq: UFCS) today reported consolidated operating income(1) of $0.83 per diluted share for the three-month period ended March 31, 2016 (the "first quarter"), compared to consolidated operating income of $0.92 per diluted share for the same period in 2015.

The Company reported consolidated net income, including net realized investment gains and losses, of $22.4 million ($0.88 per diluted share) for the first quarter, compared to consolidated net income of $23.7 million ($0.94 per diluted share) for the same period in 2015.

Strong organic growth and solid business performance

"I'm pleased to report another quarter with good performance," stated Randy Ramlo, President and Chief Executive Officer. "During first quarter 2016, consolidated net premiums earned increased 13.2 percent, which is the result of continued organic growth; total revenues increased 11.4 percent; and our book value increased 5.0 percent to $36.69."

The Company recognized consolidated net realized investment gains of $2.1 million during the first quarter, compared to consolidated net realized investment gains of $0.9 million for the same period in 2015.

Consolidated net investment income was $22.2 million for the first quarter, a decrease of 8.8 percent, as compared to net investment income of $24.4 million for the same period in 2015. The decrease in net investment income for the quarter was primarily driven by the change in value of our investments in limited liability partnerships as compared to the same period in 2015 and the low interest rate environment. The valuation of these investments in limited liability partnerships varies from period to period due to current equity market conditions, specifically related to financial institutions.


____________________________
(1) Operating income (loss) is a commonly used non-GAAP financial measure of net income (loss) excluding realized investment gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Management evaluates this measure and ratios derived from this measure and the Company provides this information to investors because we believe it better represents the normal, ongoing performance of our business. See Supplemental Tables - Financial Highlights for a reconciliation of operating income to net income.
(2) Per share amounts are after tax.
(3) Return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized net income by average year-to-date equity.



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Consolidated net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, totaled $155.8 million as of March 31, 2016, an increase of $27.4 million or 21.4 percent from December 31, 2015. The increase in net unrealized investment gains is primarily the result of a decrease in interest rates, which positively impacted the valuation of our fixed maturity security portfolio during 2016.

Total consolidated assets as of March 31, 2016 were $4.0 billion, which included $3.2 billion of invested assets. The Company's book value per share was $36.69, which is an increase of $1.75 per share or 5.0 percent from December 31, 2015 and is primarily attributed to net income of $22.4 million and an increase in net unrealized investment gains of $27.4 million, net of tax, during the first three months of 2016, partially offset by shareholder dividends of $5.6 million.

The annualized return on equity was 9.9 percent as of March 31, 2016.

P&C Segment

Net income for the property and casualty insurance segment, including net realized investment gains and losses, totaled $22.0 million ($0.86 per diluted share) for the first quarter, compared to net income of $23.1 million ($0.92 per diluted share) in the same period in 2015.

Net premiums earned increased 10.0 percent to $220.2 million in the first quarter, compared to $200.1 million in the same period of 2015 due to organic growth from new business writings and geographical expansion.

Rate increases flat on commercial lines; mid-single digits on personal lines

"Commercial lines renewal pricing was nearly flat, up slightly during first quarter," stated Ramlo. "Premiums written from new business increased compared to the same period in 2015. Premium and policy retention remain strong with both at acceptable levels."

"Personal lines renewal pricing increases during the quarter improved to mid-single digits," stated Ramlo. "The rate increases were primarily in homeowners and personal lines of business."

Catastrophe losses slightly better than expected

Catastrophe losses totaled $4.3 million ($0.11 per diluted share) for the first quarter, compared to $0.2 million ($0.01 per diluted share) for the same period in 2015.

"Catastrophe losses for the first quarter 2016 were slightly less than we would normally expect historically for a first quarter, but higher than the same period in 2015, when there was a lack of catastrophe losses," stated Ramlo. "Catastrophe losses added 2.0 percentage points to the combined ratio and impacted earnings by $0.11 per diluted share in the first quarter 2016."

"Our expectation for catastrophe losses in any given year is six percentage points of the combined ratio," continued Ramlo. "Second and third quarters are more storm- and catastrophe-laden in geographic areas where we conduct much of our business due to spring and summer convective storms and hurricanes."

The property and casualty insurance segment experienced $23.9 million of favorable development in our net reserves for prior accident years during the first quarter, compared to $16.7 million of favorable reserve development in the same period in 2015. Development amounts can vary significantly from quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year depending on a number of factors, including the number of claims settled and the settlement terms. At March 31, 2016, our total reserves were within our actuarial estimates.

The GAAP combined ratio increased by 2.6 percentage points to 92.3 percent for the first quarter, compared to 89.7 percent for the same period in 2015. We attribute the majority of this increase to higher catastrophe losses in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015.





2


Expense Levels

The expense ratio for the first quarter was 31.8 percentage points, compared to 30.1 percentage points for the first quarter of 2015.

"Our expense ratio was impacted by several non-recurring employee-related expenses and accruals, along with an increase in deferred acquisition cost amortization from continued organic growth, both partially offset by a decrease in post-retirement benefit expenses," stated Ramlo. "We continue to look for efficiencies to manage our expense ratio."

Life Segment

Net income for the life insurance segment totaled $0.4 million ($0.02 per diluted share) for the first quarter, compared to $0.6 million ($0.02 per diluted share) for the first quarter of 2015.

"Sales of single premium whole life policies remained strong this quarter which is the primary driver again of the increase in premiums," stated Ramlo. "We are continuing to execute on our strategy to write more life insurance products, expand geographically, increase profitability on annuity products and focus on reducing expenses in our life segment."

Net premiums earned increased 61.7 percent to $21.1 million for the first quarter, compared to $13.0 million for the first quarter of 2015. The increase was primarily due to an increase in sales of single premium whole life policies.

Net investment income decreased 5.6 percent to $12.9 million for the first quarter, compared to $13.6 million for the first quarter of 2015. The decrease is primarily due to lower invested assets from declining annuity deposits and from the low interest rate environment.

Losses and loss settlement expenses increased $1.9 million for the first quarter, compared to the same period in 2015, due to corresponding increases in death benefits paid. Fluctuations in the timing of death benefits occur from quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year.

The increase in liability for future policy benefits increased during the first quarter by $4.9 million, compared to the same periods in 2015, due to an increase in sales of single premium whole life policies.

Deferred annuity deposits decreased 37.6 percent for the three-month period ended March 31, 2016, compared to the same period of 2015. We continue to execute our strategy to maintain profitability rather than market share, as spreads increased 32 basis points as compared to the same period of 2015.

Net cash outflow related to our annuity business was $19.7 million for the first quarter compared to a net cash outflow of $35.0 million in the same period in 2015. We attribute this to our strategy to maintain profitability on annuity products as previously described.

Capital Management

During the first quarter, we declared and paid a $0.22 per share cash dividend to shareholders of record on March 1, 2016. We have paid a quarterly dividend every quarter since March 1968.

Under our share repurchase program, we may purchase the Company's common stock from time to time on the open market or through privately negotiated transactions. The amount and timing of any purchases will be at management's discretion and will depend upon a number of factors, including the share price, general economic and market conditions, and corporate and regulatory requirements. As of the date of this release, we are authorized by the Board of Directors to purchase an additional 1,528,886 shares of common stock under our share repurchase program, which expires in August 2016. During the first quarter, we did not repurchase any shares.






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Earnings Call Access Information

An earnings call will be held at 9:00 a.m. Central Time on May 4, 2016 to allow securities analysts, shareholders and other interested parties the opportunity to hear management discuss the Company's first quarter 2016 results.

Teleconference: Dial-in information for the call is toll-free 1-844-492-3723. The event will be archived and available for digital replay through May 18, 2016. The replay access information is toll-free 1-877-344-7529; conference ID no. 10083117.

Webcast: An audio webcast of the teleconference can be accessed at the Company's investor relations page at
http://ir.unitedfiregroup.com/event or http://services.choruscall.com/links/ufcs160504. The archived audio webcast will be available until May 18, 2016.

Transcript: A transcript of the teleconference will be available on the Company's website soon after the completion of the teleconference.

About United Fire Group, Inc.

Founded in 1946 as United Fire & Casualty Company, United Fire Group, Inc., through its insurance company subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of writing property and casualty insurance and life insurance and selling annuities.

Through our subsidiaries, we are licensed as a property and casualty insurer in 46 states, plus the District of Columbia, and we are represented by approximately 1,200 independent agencies. The United Fire pooled group is rated "A" (Excellent) by A.M. Best Company.

Our subsidiary, United Life Insurance Company, is licensed in 37 states, represented by approximately 1,250 independent life agencies and rated "A-" (Excellent) by A.M. Best Company.

For more information about United Fire Group, Inc. visit www.unitedfiregroup.com. or contact:

Randy Patten, Director, SEC Reporting and Investor Relations, 319-286-2537 or IR@unitedfiregroup.com


Disclosure of Forward-Looking Statements

This release may contain forward-looking statements about our operations, anticipated performance and other similar matters. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expected and/or projected. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about our company, the industry in which we operate, and beliefs and assumptions made by management. Words such as "expect(s)," "anticipate(s)," "intends(s)," "plan(s)," "believe(s)" "continue(s)," "seek(s)," "estimate(s)," "goal(s)," "remain optimistic," "target(s)," "forecast(s)," "project(s)," "predict(s)," "should," "could," "may," "will," "might," "hope," "can" and other words and terms of similar meaning or expression in connection with a discussion of future operations, financial performance or financial condition, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed in such forward-looking statements. Information concerning factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements is contained in Part I, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") on February 26, 2016. The risks identified in our Form 10-K are representative of the risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from what is expressed in the forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this release



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or as of the date they are made. Except as required under the federal securities laws and the rules and regulations of the SEC, we do not have any intention or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.




5


Supplemental Tables

Financial Highlights
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data and Ratios)
2016
 
2015
Change %
Revenue Highlights
 
 
 
 
Net premiums earned
$
241,298

 
$
213,171

13.2
 %
Net investment income
22,224

 
24,363

(8.8
)%
Total revenues
265,685

 
238,484

11.4
 %
Income Statement Data
 
 
 
 
Operating income(1)
21,091

 
23,102

(8.7
)%
After-tax net realized investment gains
1,336

 
577

131.5
 %
Net income
$
22,427

 
$
23,679

(5.3
)%
Diluted Earnings Per Share Data
 
 
 
 
Operating income(1)
$
0.83

 
$
0.92

(9.8
)%
After-tax net realized investment gains
0.05

 
0.02

150.0
 %
Net income
$
0.88

 
$
0.94

(6.4
)%
Catastrophe Data
 
 
 
 
Pre-tax catastrophe losses
$
4,342

 
$
211

NM

Effect on after-tax earnings per share
0.11

 
0.01

NM

Effect on combined ratio
2.0
%
 
0.1
%
NM

 
 
 
 
 
Favorable reserve development experienced on prior accident years
$
23,902

 
$
16,742

42.8
 %
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratio
92.3
%
 
89.7
%
2.9
 %
Return on equity
9.9
%
 
11.4
%
(13.2
)%
Cash dividends declared per share
$
0.22

 
$
0.20

10.0
 %
Diluted weighted average shares
 outstanding
25,596,437

 
25,104,783

2.0
 %
NM = Not meaningful
(1) Operating income is an non-GAAP Financial measure of net income.




6


Consolidated Income Statement
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands)
2016
 
2015
Revenues
 
 
 
Net premiums written(1)
$
261,978

 
$
232,411

Net premiums earned
$
241,298

 
$
213,171

Investment income, net of investment expenses
22,224

 
24,363

Net realized investment gains
2,055

 
887

Other income
108

 
63

Total Revenues
$
265,685

 
$
238,484

 
 
 
 
Benefits, Losses and Expenses
 
 
 
Losses and loss settlement expenses
$
142,128

 
$
126,409

Increase in liability for future policy benefits
12,552

 
7,623

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
50,231

 
42,472

Other underwriting expenses
26,753

 
23,534

Interest on policyholders’ accounts
5,247

 
6,615

Total Benefits, Losses and Expenses
$
236,911

 
$
206,653

 
 
 
 
Income before income taxes
28,774

 
31,831

Federal income tax expense
6,347

 
8,152

Net income
$
22,427

 
$
23,679

(1) Data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting principles, which is a comprehensive basis of accounting other than U.S. GAAP.

Consolidated Balance Sheet
 
March 31, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
(In Thousands)
 
Total invested assets:
 
 
 
Property and casualty segment
$
1,675,088

 
$
1,647,666

Life insurance segment
1,497,241

 
1,495,094

Total cash and investments
3,316,310

 
3,249,209

Total assets
3,975,992

 
3,890,376

Future policy benefits and losses, claims and loss settlement expenses
$
2,383,409

 
$
2,376,253

Total liabilities
3,046,823

 
3,011,479

Net unrealized investment gains, after-tax
$
155,818

 
$
128,369

Total stockholders’ equity
929,169

 
878,897

 
 
 
 
Property and casualty insurance statutory capital and surplus(1)(2)
$
731,936

 
$
722,404

Life insurance statutory capital and surplus(2)
138,623

 
138,855

(1) Because United Fire & Casualty Company owns United Life Insurance Company, property and casualty insurance statutory capital and surplus includes life insurance statutory capital and surplus and therefore represents our total consolidated statutory capital and surplus.
(2) Data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting principles, which is a comprehensive basis of accounting other than U.S. GAAP.



7


Property & Casualty Insurance Financial Results
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands, Except Ratios)
2016
 
2015
Revenues
 
 
 
Net premiums written(1)
$
240,909

 
$
219,378

Net premiums earned
$
220,225

 
$
200,137

Investment income, net of investment expenses
9,372

 
10,747

Net realized investment gains (losses)
1,737

 
(239
)
Total Revenues
$
231,334

 
$
210,645

 
 
 
 
Benefits, Losses and Expenses
 
 
 
Losses and loss settlement expenses
$
133,137

 
$
119,338

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
48,413

 
40,809

Other underwriting expenses
21,619

 
19,404

Total Benefits, Losses and Expenses
$
203,169

 
$
179,551

 
 
 
 
Income before income taxes
$
28,165

 
$
31,094

Federal income tax expense
6,145

 
7,991

Net income
$
22,020

 
$
23,103

 
 
 
 
GAAP combined ratio:
 
 
 
Net loss ratio - excluding catastrophes
58.5
%
 
59.5
%
Catastrophes - effect on net loss ratio
2.0

 
0.1

Net loss ratio
60.5
%
 
59.6
%
Expense ratio
31.8

 
30.1

Combined ratio
92.3
%
 
89.7
%
 
 
 
 
Statutory combined ratio:(1)
 
 
 
Net loss ratio - excluding catastrophes
58.6
%
 
59.6
%
Catastrophes - effect on net loss ratio
2.0

 
0.1

Net loss ratio
60.6
%
 
59.7
%
Expense ratio
31.3

 
31.3

Combined ratio
91.9
%
 
91.0
%
(1) Data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting principles, which is a comprehensive basis of accounting other than U.S. GAAP.



8


Life Insurance Financial Results
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands)
2016
 
2015
Revenues
 
 
 
Net premiums written(1)
$
21,069

 
$
13,033

Net premiums earned
$
21,073

 
$
13,034

Investment income, net of investment expenses
12,852

 
13,616

Net realized investment gains
318

 
1,126

Other income
108

 
63

Total Revenues
$
34,351

 
$
27,839

 
 
 
 
Benefits, Losses and Expenses
 
 
 
Losses and loss settlement expenses
$
8,991

 
$
7,071

Increase in liability for future policy benefits
12,552

 
7,623

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
1,818

 
1,663

Other underwriting expenses
5,134

 
4,130

Interest on policyholders’ accounts
5,247

 
6,615

Total Benefits, Losses and Expenses
$
33,742

 
$
27,102

 
 
 
 
Income before income taxes
$
609

 
$
737

Federal income tax expense
202

 
161

Net income
$
407

 
$
576

(1) Net premiums written is a financial measure prepared in accordance with statutory principles, which is a comprehensive basis of accounting other than U.S. GAAP.





9


Net Premiums Written by Line of Business
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
2016
 
2015
(In Thousands)
 
Net Premiums Written
 
 
 
Commercial lines:
 
 
 
Other liability(1)
$
76,200

 
$
68,507

Fire and allied lines(2)
56,806

 
52,767

Automobile
53,882

 
47,065

Workers’ compensation
29,741

 
27,278

Fidelity and surety
5,469

 
4,804

Miscellaneous
457

 
725

Total commercial lines
$
222,555

 
$
201,146

 
 
 
 
Personal lines:
 
 
 
Fire and allied lines(3)
$
9,558

 
$
9,770

Automobile
6,399

 
6,067

Miscellaneous
276

 
255

Total personal lines
$
16,233

 
$
16,092

Reinsurance assumed
2,121

 
2,140

Total
$
240,909

 
$
219,378

(1) Commercial lines “Other liability” is business insurance covering bodily injury and property damage arising from general business operations, accidents on the insured’s premises and products manufactured or sold.
(2) Commercial lines “Fire and allied lines” includes fire, allied lines, commercial multiple peril and inland marine.
(3) Personal lines “Fire and allied lines” includes fire, allied lines, homeowners and inland marine.




























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Net Premiums Earned, Losses and Loss Settlement Expenses and Loss Ratio by Line of Business
Three Months Ended March 31,
2016
 
2015
 
 
 
Net Losses
 
 
 
 
 
Net Losses
 
 
 
 
 
and Loss
 
 
 
 
 
and Loss
 
 
 
Net
 
Settlement
 
Net
 
Net
 
Settlement
 
Net
(In Thousands, Except Ratios)
Premiums
 
Expenses
 
Loss
 
Premiums
 
Expenses
 
Loss
Unaudited
Earned
 
Incurred
 
Ratio
 
Earned
 
Incurred
 
Ratio
Commercial lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other liability
$
69,334

 
$
33,361

 
48.1
 %
 
$
60,507

 
$
32,557

 
53.8
%
Fire and allied lines
52,040

 
33,979

 
65.3

 
48,111

 
28,702

 
59.7

Automobile
49,451

 
42,219

 
85.4

 
43,679

 
33,334

 
76.3

Workers' compensation
24,583

 
11,644

 
47.4

 
23,240

 
11,387

 
49.0

Fidelity and surety
5,194

 
(53
)
 
(1.0
)
 
4,755

 
1,731

 
36.4

Miscellaneous
389

 
205

 
52.7

 
674

 
1

 
0.1

Total commercial lines
$
200,991

 
$
121,355

 
60.4
 %
 
$
180,966

 
$
107,712

 
59.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fire and allied lines
$
10,718

 
$
6,305

 
58.8
 %
 
$
10,910

 
$
6,003

 
55.0
%
Automobile
6,084

 
4,209

 
69.2

 
5,831

 
3,197

 
54.8

Miscellaneous
261

 
183

 
70.1

 
246

 
211

 
85.8

Total personal lines
$
17,063

 
$
10,697

 
62.7
 %
 
$
16,987

 
$
9,411

 
55.4
%
Reinsurance assumed
$
2,171

 
$
1,085

 
50.0
 %
 
$
2,184

 
$
2,215

 
101.4
%
Total
$
220,225

 
$
133,137

 
60.5
 %
 
$
200,137

 
$
119,338

 
59.6
%






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