0001193125-12-446266.txt : 20121101 0001193125-12-446266.hdr.sgml : 20121101 20121101150302 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001193125-12-446266 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 6-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 8 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20121101 FILED AS OF DATE: 20121101 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20121101 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CAMECO CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0001009001 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: MISCELLANEOUS METAL ORES [1090] IRS NUMBER: 980113090 FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 6-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-14228 FILM NUMBER: 121173193 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 2121 11TH ST W CITY: SASKATOON STATE: A9 ZIP: S7M 1J3 BUSINESS PHONE: 3069566200 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 2121 11TH ST W. CITY: SASKATOON STATE: A9 ZIP: S7M 1J3 6-K 1 d432032d6k.htm FORM 6-K FORM 6-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

 

 

FORM 6-K

 

 

 

Report of Foreign Private Issuer

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 Under

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

For the month of November, 2012

 

 

Cameco Corporation

(Commission file No. 1-14228)

 

 

2121-11th Street West

Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada S7M 1J3

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ¨             Form 40-F x

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes ¨             No x

If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b):            

 

 

 


Exhibit Index

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

   Page No.
99.1    Press Release dated October 31, 2012   
99.2    Management’s Discussion & Analysis for the third quarter ending September 30, 2012   
99.3    Interim Unaudited Financial Statements for the third quarter ending September 30, 2012   
99.4    Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 dated November 1, 2012   
99.5    Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 dated November 1, 2012   

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

Date: November 1, 2012     Cameco Corporation
    By:  
    “Gary M. S. Chad”
    Gary M. S. Chad
    Senior Vice-President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
EX-99.1 2 d432032dex991.htm EX-99.1 EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

TSX: CCO

NYSE: CCJ

   LOGO   

website: cameco.com

currency: Cdn (unless noted)

     

2121 – 11th Street West, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7M 1J3 Canada

Tel: (306) 956-6200 Fax: (306) 956-6201

Cameco reports third quarter financial results

Quarterly items

 

   

reconfirmed sales, revenue and production guidance for the year

 

   

increased mineral reserves by 19% at McArthur River

 

   

signed an MOA with our joint venture partner at Inkai

 

   

received funding commitment from the Saskatchewan government to construct a highway connecting McArthur River and Cigar Lake

Long-term growth plan

 

   

strong long-term industry fundamentals – 64 reactors under construction

 

   

ongoing market uncertainties reduce uranium demand forecast to 2021

 

   

our growth plan adjusted to focus primarily on our brownfield projects resulting in annual supply of 36 million pounds by 2018

 

   

maintain our world class portfolio of projects, providing the ability to respond to positive market signals

Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, October 31, 2012

Cameco (TSX: CCO; NYSE: CCJ) today reported its consolidated financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2012 in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

“Our results this quarter reflect the delivery pattern we reported in our second quarter report and we still expect to deliver on our sales, revenue and production guidance for the year,” said Tim Gitzel, president and CEO.

“Longer term, we continue to see strong fundamentals. However, ongoing market uncertainty in the near term led us to review and adjust our growth plans this quarter. We decided to focus on advancing projects with the greatest certainty in the near term, from which we expect to achieve about 36 million pounds of annual supply by 2018 compared to the 40 million previously targeted. We will also continue with the rest of our projects in a measured manner in order to preserve the option to bring them on as quickly as possible, if profitable.

“By taking these actions, we expect to spread our capital spending over a longer period and decrease project-related expenses. Our focus will be on execution and reducing costs without compromising on our values.

“With this adjustment, we believe we are positioned to continue to succeed in the current market environment, add value for our shareholders, and take advantage of the growth in uranium demand we see long term.”


Highlights      Three months
ended  September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        

($ millions except where indicated)

               2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Revenue

  

     408         527         (23 )%      1,363         1,414         (4 )% 

Gross profit

  

     135         179         (25 )%      416         423         (2 )% 

Net earnings

  

     82         39         110     221         186         19

$ per common share (diluted)

  

     0.21         0.10         110     0.56         0.47         19

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 7)

  

     52         104         (50 )%      210         259         (19 )% 

$ per common share (adjusted and diluted)

  

     0.13         0.26         (50 )%      0.53         0.66         (20 )% 

Cash provided by operations (after working capital changes)

  

     44         192         (77 )%      361         487         (26 )% 

Average realized prices

   Uranium    $ US/lb         44.49         47.33         (6 )%      45.76         47.06         (3 )% 
      $ Cdn/lb         44.99         45.97         (2 )%      46.22         46.36         —     
   Fuel services    $ Cdn/kgU         16.98         17.42         (3 )%      17.55         18.04         (3 )% 
   Electricity    $ Cdn/MWh         54.00         54.00         —          55.00         54.00         2

Third quarter

Net earnings attributable to our shareholders (net earnings) this quarter were $82 million ($0.21 per share diluted) compared to $39 million ($0.10 per share diluted) in the third quarter of 2011. In addition to the items noted below, net earnings were impacted by higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings this quarter were $52 million ($0.13 per share diluted) compared to $104 million ($0.26 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see pages 7) in the third quarter of 2011, mainly due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business due to an increase in sales and lower costs

See Financial results by segment on page 8 for more detailed discussion.

First nine months

Net earnings in the first nine months of the year were $221 million ($0.56 per share diluted) compared to $186 million ($0.47 per share diluted) in the first nine months of 2011. Net earnings were higher than in 2011 due to higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives and the items noted below.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings for the first nine months of this year were $210 million ($0.53 per share diluted) compared to $259 million ($0.66 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see pages 7). The change was due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

a $30 million (US) contract termination charge

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business due to an increase in sales, higher realized prices and lower costs

See Financial results by segment on page 8 for more detailed discussion.

 

2


Our strategy

We remain confident in the long-term fundamentals of the nuclear industry as world demand for safe, clean, reliable and affordable energy continues to grow. Nuclear energy remains an integral part of the energy mix, demonstrated by the 64 reactors under construction today.

However, recent developments in the nuclear industry, primarily centred around Japan, have caused more uncertainty in the rate of growth in nuclear power globally. This led us to review and adjust our outlook, and examine our long-term growth plans.

While market factors continue to evolve, our current view is that over the next decade (to 2021), we expect there will be 80 net new reactors, compared to the 95 previously anticipated. Most of this change is due to the retirement of some reactors and new reactor builds being pushed out beyond the 10-year period. As a result, we have revised our cumulative world uranium demand forecast to 2.1 billion pounds for that period, down 50 million pounds from our previous expectation. As always, we will continue to evaluate the effects on demand as the nuclear market evolves.

Given this expected near-term decrease in demand, we examined our portfolio of projects to determine if we should adjust the timing of development for them. From this review, we have decided to focus primarily on advancing our brownfield projects, while deferring development of our greenfield projects. However, we will undertake some measured activity to preserve the option to bring on these greenfield projects as quickly as possible should market conditions warrant doing so. In addition, we will advance our arrangement with Talvivaara and pace the expansion projects at Inkai. By taking these actions we expect to achieve about 36 million pounds of annual supply rather than 40 million pounds by 2018.

This means we plan to spread our capital spending over a longer period and decrease project-related expenses, which should enhance our nearer term financial picture. Subject to market conditions, we plan to undertake the following projects:

 

   

bring Cigar Lake project to production

 

   

expand production at the McArthur River mine

 

   

refurbish and expand the Key Lake mill

 

   

work to extend the Rabbit Lake mine life

 

   

expand our US ISR production by advancing our various satellite operations

 

   

advance the process for extracting uranium from the Talvivaara mine

Market opportunities will drive the rate of development of the following projects:

 

   

advancing the Millennium project to achieve regulatory approvals as soon as possible to allow development to occur independently

 

   

pacing the increase in uranium production at Inkai blocks 1 and 2 to match progress on the transfer of our refining/conversion technology, both subject to market conditions, and continuing work on the test leach facility at block 3

 

   

completing the value engineering and the environmental permitting at Kintyre, but not proceeding with the detailed feasibility study

Of course, we will adjust the timing of our projects should market conditions evolve, which could change our supply plan. Adjusting a growth plan is not unique in our industry. A number of uranium producers have halted or delayed projects because they are not economic in today’s environment. These economic challenges, driven by continued global economic turmoil and the issues surrounding nuclear power noted above, point to an uncertain future supply of global primary uranium production. And to fuel the 431 currently operating reactors, the 64 reactors under construction today, and the further growth we expect by 2021, new primary sources of production will be needed. We anticipate economics will eventually need to reflect the realities of bringing on new, higher cost production; it’s a matter of timing.

As a result, we continue to prepare our assets now to ensure we can be among the first to respond when the market signals that new production is needed, and project economics improve. We want to be clear that any decision to increase our supply will be driven by profitability.

 

3


In the meantime, today’s market environment calls for us to increase our focus on execution and maximize efficiencies in order to continually improve our margins to ensure we remain competitive. Specifically, we are in the process of reducing costs at all operations and corporate departments without compromising our values. In addition, we plan to decrease expenditures for exploration and research and development to better match market opportunities.

We maintain a strong balance sheet, which will be enhanced by taking these actions. As part of our normal strategic planning process, we will continue to review our capital structure and asset base to ensure it is optimal.

Our extraordinary assets, extensive portfolio of long-term sales contracts, employee expertise and comprehensive industry knowledge provide us with the confidence that we will be able to achieve these goals. And, as always, we will look for opportunities across the nuclear fuel cycle that we expect will complement and enhance our business.

We will continue to monitor the market closely and adjust our plans accordingly.

Uranium market update

Since the previous quarter, the nuclear industry continues to experience near- to medium-term uncertainty, driven primarily by the evolving situation in Japan.

In September 2012, a Japanese government panel announced a draft energy policy that included plans to phase out nuclear power generation by 2040. But the plan drew intense opposition from business groups and communities whose economies depend on the local nuclear power plants. The Japanese government did not adopt the plan, but agreed to take it under consideration while engaging with local governments, the public and the international community in developing an energy policy.

Japan’s new Nuclear Regulatory Authority (NRA) also came into effect in September. It will create new regulatory standards against which reactor restarts will be evaluated. We believe the NRA brings important stability to the regulatory environment in Japan and has already brought some clarity to the issue of reactor restarts. It indicated that no additional reactors will be restarted until the new standards are in place – a process expected to take about 10 months. This requirement suggests there will be no more reactor restarts in Japan this year and possibly not until mid-2013 or later depending on when the standards are put in place.

The slower reactor restarts expected in Japan, combined with slower economic growth worldwide and changes to nuclear programs in some other countries led us to re-examine our reactor forecast. For example, Canada, France and Belgium have announced plans to retire their older reactors, and India has revised its 2020 nuclear target down from 20 to 14.6 gigawatts. So while the market continues to evolve, our initial review results in an estimated 80 net new reactors over the period 2012 to 2021, compared to the 95 we expected earlier this year. Most of the decrease is due to the retirement of reactors, although some is also due to deferrals beyond 2021.

New Build Outlook – Planned Reactors (2012 to 2021)

 

Region / Country

(as of Sept 30, 2012)

   Operable      Previous Forecast     Change to
net new
    New Forecast  
      New      Shut     Net New       Net New     Operable 2021  

Americas

     127         11         (6     5        (1     4        131   

Europe

     137         11         (14     (3     (3     (6     131   

Asia

     77         14         (1     13        (8     5        82   

Other*

     6         7         —          7        —          7        13   

India

     20         15         —          15        (3     12        32   

China

     15         52         —          52        —          52        67   

Russia/E. Europe**

     49         17         (11     6        —          6        55   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

     431         127         (32     95        (15     80        511   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

* Other includes Iran, Pakistan, South Africa, Turkey and United Arab Emirates.
** Eastern Europe includes Armenia, Belarus and Ukraine.

 

4


Of these net new reactors, 64 are under construction today. China is the most aggressive, and we expect it to grow its nuclear power program from the 15 currently operating reactors to 67 in 2021, of which 26 are under construction.

The 80 net new reactors combined with the current base of nuclear power plants translates into a cumulative uranium demand of about 2.1 billion pounds to 2021, which is down by about 50 million pounds from our earlier forecast.

While expected demand has decreased, there has also been an increase in global supply. In China, Uzbekistan and Namibia production increased at a number of mines, which we expect will equate to about 30 million pounds of further supply over the 10-year period.

The result when we put these changes to supply and demand together is a demonstrated need for new supply of 360 million pounds from 2012 to 2021, compared to the 440 million pounds we had forecast earlier in the year.

However, the current market environment also poses challenges to bringing on new supply and could impact supply expectations as conditions continue to evolve. A number of project deferrals and cancellations have been announced as producers have reacted to lower uranium prices and general economic pressures. As well, secondary supplies continue to diminish, particularly with the end of the Russian Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) agreement in 2013. Conclusion of this arrangement will mean the removal of 24 million pounds of relatively low-cost secondary annual uranium supply from the market, and there are no indications of a second Russian HEU deal.

Despite the changes we see to the supply/demand outlook, what remains clear is that new supply will be needed. Though some could come from additions to secondary supplies, the majority will need to come from new mines and expansions to existing mines at a time when pursuing such projects is becoming increasingly difficult. In addition, the long-term fundamentals of the industry remain strong, with 64 reactors currently under construction and some of the growth pushed further out in time. As a result, we are managing our assets through this period of uncertainty with a focus on safety, efficiency and profitable growth.

 

 

Caution about forward-looking information relating to our uranium market update

This discussion of our expectations for the nuclear industry, including its growth profile and future global uranium supply and demand and the number of reactors, is forward-looking information that is based upon the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 17.

 

5


Outlook for 2012

Our outlook for 2012 reflects the growth expenditures necessary to help us achieve our strategy. Our outlook for consolidated capital expenditures and consolidated tax rate has changed. We explain the changes below. All other items in the table are unchanged. We do not provide an outlook for the items in the table that are marked with a dash.

See Financial results by segment on page 8 for details.

2012 Financial outlook

 

   

Consolidated

 

Uranium

 

Fuel services

 

Electricity

Production

  —     21.7 million lbs   13 to 14 million kgU   —  

Sales volume

  —     31 to 33 million lbs   Decrease 10% to 15%   —  

Capacity factor

  —     —     —     93%

Revenue compared to 2011

 

Decrease

0% to 5%

 

Decrease

0% to 5%1

 

Decrease

10% to 15%

 

Increase

5% to 10%

Average unit cost of sales (including D&A)

  —    

Increase

0% to 5%2

 

Increase

10% to 15%

 

Decrease

15% to 20%

Direct administration costs compared to 20113

 

Increase

10% to 15%

  —     —     —  

Exploration costs compared to 2011

  —    

Increase

15% to 20%

  —     —  

Tax rate

  Recovery of 10% to 15%   —     —     —  

Capital expenditures

  $730 million4   —     —     $70 million

 

1 

Based on a uranium spot price of $42.50 (US) per pound (the Ux spot price as of October 29, 2012), a long-term price indicator of $60.00 (US) per pound (the Ux long-term indicator on September 30, 2012) and an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.00 (Cdn).

2 

This increase is based on the unit cost of sale for produced material and committed long-term purchases. If we decide to make discretionary purchases in 2012 then we expect the average unit cost of sales to increase further.

3 

Direct administration costs do not include stock-based compensation expenses.

4 

Does not include our share of capital expenditures at BPLP.

Our customers choose when in the year to receive deliveries of uranium and fuel services products, so our quarterly delivery patterns, and therefore our sales volumes and revenue, can vary significantly. In the fourth quarter, we expect about 40% of our 2012 deliveries to occur with an improvement in our average realized uranium price due to pricing under the mix of contracts.

We now expect a recovery of 10% to 15% for our consolidated tax rate (previously a 5% to 10% recovery). The change is primarily related to the $9 million recovery in our income tax expense that we recognized in the second quarter due to additional certainty we received on particular tax provisions.

We now expect our capital expenditures to be about $730 million compared to our previous estimate of $680 million due to changes in scope and scheduling of some of our projects in northern Saskatchewan.

 

6


Sensitivity analysis

For the rest of 2012:

 

   

a change of $5 (US) per pound in both the Ux spot price ($42.50 (US) per pound on October 29, 2012) and the Ux long-term price indicator ($60.00 (US) per pound on September 30, 2012) would change revenue by $13 million and net earnings by $7 million

 

   

a change of $5/MWh in the electricity spot price would change our 2012 net earnings by $1 million based on the assumption that the spot price will remain below the floor price of $51.62/MWh provided under BPLP’s agreement with the Ontario Power Authority (OPA)

 

   

a one-cent change in the value of the Canadian dollar versus the US dollar would change revenue by $2 million and adjusted net earnings by $1 million. This sensitivity is based on an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.02 (Cdn).

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure)

Adjusted net earnings is a measure that does not have a standardized meaning or a consistent basis of calculation under IFRS (non-IFRS measure). We use this measure as a more meaningful way to compare our financial performance from period to period. We believe that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to evaluate our performance. Adjusted net earnings is our net earnings attributable to equity holders, adjusted to better reflect the underlying financial performance for the reporting period. The adjusted earnings measure reflects the matching of the net benefits of our hedging program with the inflows of foreign currencies in the applicable reporting period.

Adjusted net earnings is non-standard supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial information prepared according to accounting standards. Other companies may calculate this measure differently so you may not be able to make a direct comparison to similar measures presented by other companies.

The table below reconciles adjusted net earnings with our net earnings.

 

($ millions)

   Three months
ended September 30
    Nine months
ended September 30
 
   2012     2011     2012     2011  

Net earnings

     82        39        221        186   

Adjustments

        

Adjustments on derivatives1 (pre-tax)

     (40     88        (15     100   

Income taxes on adjustments to derivatives

     10        (23     4        (27

Adjusted net earnings

     52        104        210        259   

 

1 

In 2008, we opted to discontinue hedge accounting for our portfolio of foreign currency forward sales contracts. Since then, we have adjusted our gains or losses on derivatives to reflect what our earnings would have been had hedge accounting been applied.

 

7


Financial results by segment

Uranium

 

Highlights

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Production volume (million lbs)

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 

Sales volume (million lbs)

     5.1         7.2         (29 )%      18.1         19.1         (5 )% 

Average spot price ($US/lb)

     48.08         51.04         (6 )%      50.38         57.89         (13 )% 

Average long-term price ($US/lb)

     60.67         65.33         (7 )%      60.67         68.22         (11 )% 

Average realized price

                

($US/lb)

     44.49         47.33         (6 )%      45.76         47.06         (3 )% 

($Cdn/lb)

     44.99         45.97         (2 )%      46.22         46.36         —     

Average unit cost of sales ($Cdn/lb U3O8 ) (including D&A)

     28.75         27.59         4     31.47         29.68         6

Revenue ($ millions)

     231         332         (30 )%      837         885         (5 )% 

Gross profit ($ millions)

     83         133         (38 )%      267         318         (16 )% 

Gross profit (%)

     36         40         (10 )%      32         36         (11 )% 

Third quarter

Production volumes this quarter were unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. See Operations and development project updates starting on page 12 for more information.

Uranium revenues this quarter were down 30% compared to 2011, due to a 29% decrease in sales volumes and a 2% decrease in the $Cdn realized selling price.

Our realized prices this quarter were lower than the third quarter of 2011 mainly due to lower $US prices under fixed-price contracts. In the third quarter of 2012, our realized foreign exchange rate was $1.01, compared to $0.97 for the prior year.

Total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 26% ($147 million compared to $199 million in 2011). This was mainly the result of the following:

 

   

a 29% decrease in sales volumes

 

   

lower royalty charges ($7 million in 2012; $26 million in 2011) due to decreased deliveries of Saskatchewan-produced material

 

   

partially offset by average unit costs for produced uranium being 16% higher due to increased non-cash production costs at our ISR locations

The net effect was a $50 million decrease in gross profit for the quarter.

First nine months

Production volumes for the first nine months of the year were lower than in the previous year due to lower output at Smith Ranch-Highland and Inkai. See Operations and development project updates starting on page 12 for more information.

For the first nine months of 2012, uranium revenues were down 5% compared to 2011, due to a 5% decrease in sales volumes.

Our $US realized prices were lower than the first nine months of 2011 mainly due to lower prices under market-related contracts being offset by a more favourable exchange rate. In the first nine months of 2012, our realized foreign exchange rate was $1.01 compared to $0.99 in the prior year.

 

8


Total cost of sales (including D&A) increased by 1% ($570 million compared to $567 million in 2011). This was mainly the result of the following:

 

average unit costs for produced uranium were 13% higher due to increased unit production costs relating mainly to the lower production during the first nine months. We continue to expect our average unit cost of sales (including D&A) to increase by 0% to 5% for the year compared to 2011.

 

royalty charges in 2012 were $2 million higher due to increased deliveries of Saskatchewan-produced material

 

partially offset by a 5% decrease in sales volume

The net effect was a $51 million decrease in gross profit for the first nine months.

The following table shows the costs of produced and purchased uranium incurred in the reporting periods (non-IFRS measures see below). These costs do not include selling costs such as royalties, transportation and commissions, nor do they reflect the impact of opening inventories on our reported cost of sales.

 

($Cdn/lb)

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Produced

                

Cash cost

     21.11         17.89         18     21.18         18.87         12

Non-cash cost

     8.62         7.79         11     8.01         6.92         16
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total production cost

     29.73         25.68         16     29.19         25.79         13
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Quantity produced (million lbs)

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 

Purchased

                

Cash cost

     26.08         17.90         46     27.04         28.32         (5 )% 

Quantity purchased (million lbs)

     4.6         3.1         48     8.4         7.3         15

Totals

                

Produced and purchased costs

     28.03         22.81         23     28.43         25.36         12

Quantities produced and purchased (million lbs)

     9.9         8.4         18     23.8         23.1         3

Cash cost per pound, non-cash cost per pound and total cost per pound for produced and purchased uranium presented in the above table are non-IFRS measures. These measures do not have a standardized meaning or a consistent basis of calculation under IFRS. We use these measures in our assessment of the performance of our uranium business. We believe that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to evaluate our performance and ability to generate cash flow.

These measures are non-standard supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared according to accounting standards. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently so you may not be able to make a direct comparison to similar measures presented by other companies.

To facilitate a better understanding of these measures, the following table presents a reconciliation of these measures to our unit cost of sales for the third quarters and first nine months of 2012 and 2011.

 

9


Cash and total cost per pound reconciliation

 

($ millions)

   Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months
ended September 30
       
   2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

Cost of product sold

     121.8        164.7        (26 )%      480.6        487.5        (1 )% 

Add / (subtract)

            

Royalties

     (6.7     (26.3     (75 )%      (64.3     (62.3     3

Standby charges

     (8.0     (5.2     54     (20.9     (16.0     31

Other selling costs

     (0.6     (0.6     —          (2.9     (6.7     (57 )% 

Change in inventories

     125.4        17.7        608     160.9        102.5        57
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash operating costs (a)

     231.9        150.3        54     553.4        505.0        10

Add / (subtract)

            

Depreciation and amortization

     25.7        34.3        (25 )%      89.5        79.1        13

Change in inventories

     19.9        7.0        184     33.7        1.7        1882
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total operating costs (b)

     277.5        191.6        45     676.6        585.8        16
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Uranium produced & purchased (millions lbs) (c)

     9.9        8.4        18     23.8        23.1        3

Cash costs per pound (a ÷ c)

     23.42        17.89        31     23.25        21.86        6

Total costs per pound (b ÷ c)

     28.03        22.81        23     28.43        25.36        12

Please see our third quarter MD&A for updates to our uranium price sensitivity analysis.

Fuel services

(includes results for UF6, UO2 and fuel fabrication)

 

Highlights

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Production volume (million kgU)

     2.1         2.8         (25 )%      10.9         11.6         (6 )% 

Sales volume (million kgU)

     3.3         4.6         (28 )%      10.1         11.1         (9 )% 

Realized price ($Cdn/kgU)

     16.98         17.42         (3 )%      17.55         18.04         (3 )% 

Average unit cost of sales ($Cdn/kgU) (including D&A)

     16.20         15.34         6     15.32         15.42         (1 )% 

Revenue ($ millions)

     56         81         (31 )%      178         199         (11 )% 

Gross profit ($ millions)

     3         10         (70 )%      23         29         (21 )% 

Gross profit (%)

     5         12         (58 )%      13         15         (13 )% 

Third quarter

Production volumes in the quarter were 25% lower than in 2011 due to the reduction of planned production for 2012.

Total revenue was $25 million lower than in 2011 due to a 28% decline in deliveries of our fuel services products and a 3% decline in the realized selling price.

Our $Cdn realized price for fuel services was affected by the mix of products delivered in the quarter. In 2012, a higher proportion of fuel services sales were for UF6, which typically yields a lower price than the other fuel services products.

 

10


The total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 25% ($53 million compared to $71 million in 2011) due to the decrease in the sales volumes. The average unit cost of sales was 6% higher due to the mix of products delivered in the quarter.

The net effect was a decrease of $7 million in gross profit for the quarter.

First nine months

Production was 10.9 million kgU, 6% lower than the same period last year. As a result of the planned reduction in production, results will remain lower than comparable periods in 2011; production remains on track for the year.

Total revenue decreased by 11% due to a 9% decrease in sales volumes and a 3% decline in the realized selling price.

The total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 9% ($155 million compared to $170 million in 2011) due to the decrease in the sales volume. The average unit cost of sales was similar to the first nine months of 2011.

The net effect was a $6 million decrease in gross profit.

Electricity results

Third quarter

Total electricity revenue increased by 6% this quarter compared to the third quarter of 2011 due to higher output. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP’s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $166 million this quarter under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $119 million in the third quarter of 2011. About 72% of BPLP’s output was sold under financial contracts this quarter compared to 53% in the third quarter of 2011. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. Gains on BPLP’s contracting activity were slightly lower than in 2011.

The capacity factor was 99% this quarter, up from 93% in the third quarter of 2011 as a result of no planned outage days. Operating costs were slightly lower at $223 million compared to $232 million in 2011.

The result was a $11 million increase in our share of earnings before taxes.

BPLP distributed $95 million to the partners in the third quarter; our share was $30 million. Also, BPLP made capital calls of $17 million to the partners in the third quarter; our share was $5 million. The partners have agreed that BPLP will distribute excess cash monthly and will make separate cash calls for major capital projects.

First nine months

Total electricity revenue for the first nine months increased 8% compared to 2011 due to higher output and higher realized prices. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP’s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $575 million in the first nine months of 2012 under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $351 million in the first nine months of 2011. The equivalent of about 67% of BPLP’s output was sold under financial contracts in the first nine months of this year, compared to 49% in 2011. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. Gains on BPLP’s contracting activity were slightly higher than in 2011.

The capacity factor was 92% for the first nine months of this year, up from 87% in the third quarter of 2011 due to a lower volume of outage days during this year’s planned outage compared to last year’s planned outage. Operating costs were lower at $668 million compared to $735 million in 2011 mainly due to lower supplemental lease payments and lower maintenance costs. These decreases were partially offset by higher fuel costs in the first nine months of 2012.

The result was a $50 million increase in our share of earnings before taxes.

BPLP distributed $285 million to the partners in the first nine months of 2012; our share was $90 million. BPLP made capital calls of $50 million to the partners in the first nine months of this year; our share was $16 million.

 

11


Operations and development project updates

Uranium – production overview

 

Cameco’s share

(million lbs U3O8)

   Three months
ended  September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

McArthur River/Key Lake

     3.8         3.8         —          10.1         10.0         1

Rabbit Lake

     0.3         0.5         (40 )%      2.1         2.2         (5 )% 

Smith Ranch-Highland

     0.3         0.3         —          0.8         1.2         (33 )% 

Crow Butte

     0.2         0.2         —          0.6         0.6         —     

Inkai

     0.7         0.5         40     1.8         1.8         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

McArthur River/Key Lake

Production for the quarter and the first nine months was unchanged compared to the same periods last year. We expect our share of production this year to increase to 13.5 million pounds compared to our previous forecast of 13.1 million pounds U3O8.

Production varies from quarter to quarter depending on the sequencing of mining raises and timing of maintenance shutdowns at the mill.

At McArthur River, we have started to upgrade our electrical infrastructure to address the future need for increased ventilation and freeze capacity associated with mining new zones and increasing mine production.

At Key Lake, the new steam, oxygen and acid plants are operational. We have started projects to replace the calciner and the electrical substation.

We continue to make excellent progress in flattening the slope of the Deilmann tailings management facility pitwalls at Key Lake. The project will reduce the risk of loss of tailings capacity due to pitwall sloughing.

We are continuing to advance work on the environmental assessment for the Key Lake extension project. We have received comments from the regulators on our draft environmental impact statement and are working to address the questions and issues they have raised. We plan to submit the final environmental impact statement in 2013.

In cooperation with several uranium industry partners in Saskatchewan, we have been working on a plan with the provincial government to connect our McArthur River and Cigar Lake mine sites by completing Highway 914 in the Athabasca Basin. This crucial connection will expand access to milling infrastructure across the northern part of the province, enhance transportation efficiency and offer an alternate route in and out of northern Saskatchewan. The Government of Saskatchewan has agreed to fund half of the cost of the final road with the industry partners sharing the remaining half.

Technical report

We are updating the February 2009 McArthur River technical report to reflect further advancements and changes to the McArthur River operations since that time. We plan to file the updated technical report during the fourth quarter. The highlights of the technical report are:

 

a 19% increase in our share of the mineral reserves estimate from 226.2 million pounds at December 31, 2011 to 269.1 million pounds as of August 31, 2012 due to a 22% addition in tonnage and a slight decrease in the estimated average grade. See McArthur River mineral reserves and mineral resources estimates table below for more details.

 

a decrease in the estimated average cash operating cost to about $19.23 per pound over the life of the mine from about $19.69 per pound estimated in 2009, despite the escalating costs in the industry. See table titled

 

12


McArthur River/Key Lake life of mine production, average unit operating costs and capital cost forecasts below for more details.

 

a production rate increase to 22 million pounds per year scheduled for 2018, subject to regulatory approval

 

a mine life of at least 22 years, based on the planned production schedule

 

our share of capital costs at McArthur River and Key Lake to 2034 is estimated at $2.5 billion compared to $1.4 billion in the previous report. More than 40% of this increase is related to the addition of more than 85 million pounds of new production since the 2009 technical report, and about 15% relates to expenditures required to allow production at a higher rate such as additional ventilation including the sinking of a fourth shaft. The remainder of the increase is related to expanding the infrastructure to support ongoing and expanded operations, and general cost escalation. We expect these changes will generate significant cash flows for years to come.

McArthur River mineral reserves and mineral resources estimates

(tonnes in thousands, pounds in millions)

 

(as at August 31, 2012)

   Tonnes      Grade
% U3O8
     Content
(lbs U3O8)
     Cameco’s share
of  content
(lbs  U3O8)
 

Reserves

           

Proven

     384.4         23.81         201.8         140.8   

Probable

     677.8         12.30         183.7         128.3   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total proven and probable mineral reserves

     1,062.2         16.46         385.5         269.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Resources

           

Measured

     68.6         5.53         8.4         5.8   

Indicated

     15.5         9.97         3.4         2.4   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total measured and indicated mineral resources

     84.1         6.35         11.8         8.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Inferred mineral resources

     325.0         7.86         56.3         39.3   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Notes:

 

Mineral reserves and mineral resources are reported separately. Mineral resources do not include amounts identified as mineral reserves. Reported mineral reserves have not been adjusted for estimated mill recovery of 98.7%.

 

Our share of total mineral reserves and total mineral resources is 69.805%.

 

Inferred mineral resources have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and whether they can be mined legally or economically. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of the inferred mineral resources will be upgraded to a higher category.

 

Mineral resources are estimated at a minimum mineralized thickness of 1.0 metre and a minimum grade of 0.1% to 0.5% U3O8 assuming extraction by underground mining methods. Mineral reserves have been estimated at a cut-off grade of 0.77% U3O8.

 

The geological model employed for McArthur River involves geological interpretations on section and plan derived from surface and underground drillhole information.

 

Mineral reserves include allowances for dilution (20%) from backfill and mineralized waste mined and mining recovery (97.5%). Mineral resources do not include such allowances.

 

Mineral reserves are estimated using the raisebore, boxhole and blasthole stope mining methods combined with freeze curtains.

 

Mineral resources are estimated using a cross-sectional method and 3-dimensional block models. Mineral reserves are estimated using 3-dimensional block models.

 

An average uranium price assumption of $61US/lb U3O8 and a fixed exchange rate of $1.00 US=$1.00 Cdn was used to estimate mineral reserves. The McArthur River mineral reserves are not significantly sensitive to

 

13


 

variances in the uranium price of plus or minus $20 provided that annual production remains above 10 million pounds U3O8 . The price assumption is based on independent industry and analyst estimates of spot prices and the corresponding long-term prices and reflects our committed and uncommitted sales volumes. For committed sales volumes, the spot and term price assumptions were applied in accordance with the terms of the agreements. For uncommitted sales volumes the same price assumptions were applied using a spot-to-term price ratio of 60-40.

 

   

No known metallurgical, environmental, permitting, legal, title, taxation, socio-economic, political, marketing or other issues are expected to materially affect the above estimates of mineral resources and mineral reserves.

 

   

Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Totals may not add due to rounding.

McArthur River/Key Lake life of mine production, average unit operating costs and capital cost forecasts

(as per technical report)

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2012      2013      2014      2015      2016      2017      2018      2019  

Production (million lbs)

     13.5         13.2         13.1         13.1         13.1         13.1         15.4         15.4   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8 )

     16.74         17.26         17.52         17.37         17.64         17.20         15.01         15.37   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     189.3         235.0         285.8         236.8         214.2         151.8         168.7         134.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2020      2021      2022      2023      2024      2025      2026      2027  

Production (million lbs)

     15.4         15.4         14.9         14.9         14.9         14.9         14.7         13.5   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8 )

     15.28         15.28         15.91         15.99         16.09         17.25         17.47         18.75   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     107.5         109.7         89.6         67.8         65.9         67.5         52.2         58.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2028      2029      2030      2031      2032      2033      2034      Total  

Production (million lbs)

     13.3         7.2         7.2         7.1         7.1         4.4         4.5         279.1   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8 )

     18.74         31.90         31.23         31.68         31.65         48.29         47.97         19.23   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     55.0         40.2         40.8         36.2         28.5         17.6         11.9         2,464.4   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Rabbit Lake

Production remains on track for the year. To ensure the most efficient operation of the mill throughout the year, we continually manage ore supply and, therefore, experience large variations in mill production from quarter to quarter.

We completed the scheduled mill maintenance shutdown this quarter. A short delay in restarting the mill resulted in slightly lower production compared to the third quarter of 2011, although we are maintaining our forecast production of 3.7 million pounds for the year.

We completed our surface exploration drilling program, which returned positive results near the existing mining operations.

Smith Ranch-Highland and Crow Butte

At our US operations, production for the quarter was unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. Production for the first nine months was 33% lower compared to the same period last year due to lower production from Smith Ranch-Highland in the first half of the year.

We have decreased our production forecast for the year by 17% to 2.0 million pounds based on the outlook for the approval of new mine units. Our ability to bring new wellfields into production at Smith Ranch-Highland continues to be affected by the lengthened review process to obtain regulatory approvals.

We received approval to produce from mine unit K-North at Smith Ranch-Highland and continue to seek regulatory approvals to proceed with the rest of our expansion plans.

 

14


Inkai

Production was 40% higher for the quarter and unchanged for the first nine months compared to the same periods last year. We continue to bring on additional wellfields to maintain some new, typically higher grade, wellfields in the production mix. Production at the Inkai operation steadily improved over the quarter and the facility is now operating at design capacity.

We continue to pursue government approval of an amendment to the resource use contract in order to implement the production increase from blocks 1 and 2 to 5.2 million pounds of U3O8 (100% basis).

Delineation drilling at block 3 continues and construction of the test leach facility is underway.

On October 31, 2012, our board of directors approved a binding memorandum of agreement (2012 MOA) with our joint venture partner Kazatomprom setting out a framework to:

 

increase Inkai’s annual production from blocks 1 and 2 to 10.4 million pounds of uranium concentrate (our share 5.2 million pounds) and sustain it at that level

 

extend the term of Inkai’s resource use contract through 2045

Kazatomprom is pursuing a strategic objective to develop uranium processing capacity in Kazakhstan to complement its leading uranium mining operations. The 2012 MOA builds on the non-binding memorandum of understanding signed in 2007 to co-operate on the development of uranium conversion capacity, with Kazatomprom’s primary focus now being on uranium refining rather than uranium conversion.

The 2012 MOA strengthens our partnership with Kazatomprom and includes a number of connected provisions relating to the increase of Inkai’s annual production and extension to the term of Inkai’s resource use contract. Under the terms of the 2012 MOA, we agree to:

 

adjust our ownership interests in Inkai to 50% on an overall basis after achieving the production increase

 

make two milestone payments of $34 million (US) each – the first after Inkai receives all necessary government approvals to increase uranium production to 10.4 million pounds (100%) annually through 2045, and the second after the increased production target is achieved

 

pay to Kazatomprom a royalty of $5 (US) per pound of uranium concentrate on our share of production above 2.6 million pounds annually from Inkai once Inkai obtains all approvals required for the production increase to 10.4 million pounds (100% basis)

 

participate in the construction and operation of a uranium refinery in Kazakhstan with capacity to produce 6,000 tonnes of uranium (tU) as UO3 annually, where we will own one third of the refinery and the remaining two thirds will be owned by Kazatomprom, with construction to begin by 2018

 

provide Kazatomprom with a five-year option to license our proprietary uranium conversion technology for purposes of constructing and operating a UF6 conversion facility in Kazakhstan

 

negotiate with Kazatomprom toward a conversion services agreement for up to 4,000 tU of conversion services annually and/or, for a three-year period, provide an opportunity for Kazatomprom to acquire a one-third interest in our conversion facility in Canada

Under the 2012 MOA, the first steps will be to complete a feasibility study for the production increase, and a prefeasibility study for the uranium refinery. We agree to work with Kazatomprom to pace investments for increasing uranium production to match progress on the transfer of our uranium refining technology and construction of the uranium refinery in Kazakhstan, subject to market conditions.

Implementation of the 2012 MOA is subject to:

 

further agreements on a number of issues including agreements governing the ownership, construction and operation of the uranium refinery in Kazakhstan

 

approval by Kazatomprom’s board of directors

 

the receipt of all necessary Canadian and Kazakhstan governmental approvals including all licences and permits required to allow the transfer and licensing of our uranium refining technology

 

15


Cigar Lake

We continued to make solid progress at Cigar Lake this quarter.

We have assembled the first jet boring system unit underground and moved it to a production tunnel where we:

 

have begun preliminary commissioning

 

will begin systems testing

 

will prepare to test in waste rock.

In shaft 2 we are installing infrastructure, including a concrete ventilation partition, electrical cable, water services, ore slurry pipes and hoist systems.

We will focus on carrying out the remainder of our 2012 plans and implementing the strategies we outlined in our annual MD&A. We continue to expect first commissioning in ore in mid-2013 and the first packaged pounds in the fourth quarter of 2013.

Cigar Lake is a key part of our plan to increase annual uranium supply, and we are committed to bringing this valuable asset safely into production.

Millennium

We have received comments from the regulators on our draft environmental impact statement and are working to address the questions and issues they have raised. We plan to submit the final environmental impact statement in 2013.

We completed the summer exploration drill program and successfully identified additional mineralization at the unconformity.

We will advance this project at a pace aligned with market opportunities and economic circumstances.

Kintyre

On October 11, 2012, we announced the successful signing of a mine development agreement with the Martu – a key activity in our project planning.

Based on our review of the current market environment, we will complete the value engineering and the environmental permitting in order to maintain the ability to proceed with the project should the market factors improve the economics. However, we have decided not to proceed with the detailed feasibility study at this time.

Fuel services

Fuel services produced 2.1 million kgU in the third quarter, 25% lower than the same period last year. Production for the first nine months of the year was 10.9 million kgU, 6% lower than the same period last year. As a result of the planned reduction in production, results will remain lower than comparable periods in 2011; however, production remains on track for the year.

Qualified persons

The technical and scientific information discussed in this document for our material properties (McArthur River/Key Lake, Inkai and Cigar Lake) was approved by the following individuals who are qualified persons for the purposes of

NI 43-101:

McArthur River/Key Lake

 

David Bronkhorst, vice-president, Saskatchewan mining south, Cameco

 

Alain Mainville, director, mineral resources management, Cameco

 

Les Yesnik, general manager, Key Lake, Cameco

 

Gregory Murdock, technical manager, McArthur River, Cameco

Cigar Lake

 

Grant Goddard, vice-president, Saskatchewan mining north, Cameco

Inkai

 

Dave Neuburger, vice-president, international mining, Cameco

 

16


Caution about forward-looking information

This document includes statements and information about our expectations for the future. When we discuss our strategy, plans and future financial and operating performance, or other things that have not yet taken place, we are making statements considered to be forward-looking information or forward-looking statements under Canadian and United States securities laws. We refer to them in this document as forward-looking information.

Key things to understand about the forward-looking information in this document:

 

It typically includes words and phrases about the future, such as: anticipate, estimate, expect, plan, will, intend, goal, target, forecast, strategy and outlook (see examples below).

 

It represents our current views, and can change significantly.

 

It is based on a number of material assumptions, including those we have listed on page 18, which may prove to be incorrect.

 

Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect, due to the risks associated with our business. We list a number of these material risks below. We recommend you also review our annual information form and our annual and first, second and third quarter MD&A, which include a discussion of other material risks that could cause actual results to differ significantly from our current expectations.

 

Forward-looking information is designed to help you understand management’s current views of our near and longer term prospects, and it may not be appropriate for other purposes. We will not necessarily update this information unless we are required to by securities laws.

Examples of forward-looking information in this MD&A

 

the discussion under the heading Our strategy

 

our plan for increasing annual uranium supply to 36 million pounds by 2018, the expected sources for supply increases and expected production through 2016 at our uranium operations

 

our expectations about future global uranium supply, consumption, demand and number of new reactors, including the discussion under the heading Uranium market update

 

our expectation that our average realized uranium price will improve in the fourth quarter of 2012

 

the outlook for each of our operating segments for 2012, and our consolidated outlook for the year

 

our expectations regarding delivery patterns for our uranium and fuel service products
our future plans for each of our uranium operating properties, development projects and projects under evaluation, and fuel services operating sites

 

our expectations regarding timing for first commissioning in ore and first packaged pounds at Cigar Lake

 

our expectation regarding production in our fuel services segment for 2012

 

our McArthur River mineral reserve and resource estimates

 

our forecast of McArthur River production, operating and capital costs and mine life
 

 

Material risks

actual sales volumes or market prices for any of our products or services are lower than we expect for any reason, including changes in market prices or loss of market share to a competitor

 

we are adversely affected by changes in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates or tax rates

 

our production costs are higher than planned, or necessary supplies are not available, or not available on commercially reasonable terms

 

our estimates of production, purchases, costs, decommissioning or reclamation expenses, or our tax expense estimates, prove to be inaccurate
we are unable to enforce our legal rights under our existing agreements, permits or licences, or are subject to litigation or arbitration that has an adverse outcome

 

there are defects in, or challenges to, title to our properties

 

our mineral reserve and resource estimates are not reliable, or we face unexpected or challenging geological, hydrological or mining conditions

 

we are affected by environmental, safety and regulatory risks, including increased regulatory burdens or delays

 

we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits or approvals from government authorities

 

we are affected by political risks in a developing country where we operate

 

we are affected by terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, accident or a deterioration
 

 

17


in political support for, or demand for, nuclear energy

 

we are impacted by changes in the regulation or public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants, which adversely affect the construction of new plants, the relicensing of existing plants and the demand for uranium

 

there are changes to government regulations or policies that adversely affect us, including tax and trade laws and policies

 

our uranium and conversion suppliers fail to fulfill delivery commitments
our Cigar Lake and McArthur River development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed, including infrastructure expansion at McArthur River

 

we are affected by natural phenomena, including inclement weather, fire, flood and earthquakes

 

our operations are disrupted due to problems with our own or our customers’ facilities, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, equipment failure, lack of tailings capacity, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failures, transportation disruptions or accidents, or other development and operating risks
 

 

Material assumptions

our expectations regarding sales and purchase volumes and prices for uranium, fuel services and electricity

 

our expectations regarding the demand for uranium, the construction of new nuclear power plants and the relicensing of existing nuclear power plants not being more adversely affected than expected by changes in regulation or in the public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants

 

our expected production level and production costs

 

our expectations regarding spot prices and realized prices for uranium, and other factors discussed in our third quarter MD&A

 

our expectations regarding uranium sales contract terminations, tax rates, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates

 

our decommissioning and reclamation expenses

 

our mineral reserve and resource estimates, and the assumptions upon which they are based, are reliable

 

the geological, hydrological and other conditions at our mines
the success of our Cigar Lake and McArthur River development, mining and production plans, including infrastructure expansion at McArthur River

 

our ability to continue to supply our products and services in the expected quantities and at the expected times

 

our ability to comply with current and future environmental, safety and other regulatory requirements, and to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals

 

our operations are not significantly disrupted as a result of political instability, nationalization, terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, breakdown, natural disasters, governmental or political actions, litigation or arbitration proceedings, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failure, lack of tailings capacity, transportation disruptions or accidents or other development or operating risks
 

 

Conference call

We invite you to join our third quarter conference call on Thursday, November 1, 2012 at 1:00 p.m. Eastern.

The call will be open to all investors and the media. To join the call, please dial (866) 226-1792 (Canada and US) or (416) 340-2216. An operator will put your call through. A live audio feed of the conference call will be available from a link at cameco.com. See the link on our home page on the day of the call.

A recorded version of the proceedings will be available:

 

on our website, cameco.com, shortly after the call

 

on post view until midnight, Eastern, December 1, 2012 by calling (800) 408-3053 or (905) 694-9451 (Passcode 3926907)

 

18


Additional information

You can find a copy of our third quarter MD&A and interim financial statements on our website at cameco.com, on SEDAR at sedar.com and on EDGAR at sec.gov/edgar.shtml.

Additional information, including our 2011 annual management’s discussion and analysis, annual audited financial statements and annual information form, is available on SEDAR at sedar.com, on EDGAR at sec.gov/edgar.shtml and on our website at cameco.com.

Profile

We are one of the world’s largest uranium producers, a significant supplier of conversion services and one of two Candu fuel manufacturers in Canada. Our competitive position is based on our controlling ownership of the world’s largest high-grade reserves and low-cost operations. Our uranium products are used to generate clean electricity in nuclear power plants around the world, including Ontario where we are a limited partner in North America’s largest nuclear electricity generating facility. We also explore for uranium in the Americas, Australia and Asia. Our shares trade on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges. Our head office is in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan.

As used in this news release, the terms we, us, our and Cameco mean Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries and affiliates unless stated otherwise.

- End -

 

Investor inquiries:

   Rachelle Girard    (306) 956-6403      

Media inquiries:

   Gord Struthers    (306) 956-6593      

 

19

EX-99.2 3 d432032dex992.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO

Management’s discussion and analysis

for the quarter ended September 30, 2012

 

Third quarter update

     5   

Financial results

     10   

Our operations and development projects

     26   

Qualified persons

     33   

Additional information

     33   

Throughout this document, the terms we, us, our and Cameco mean Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries.


Management’s discussion and analysis

This management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) includes information that will help you understand management’s perspective of our unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and notes for the quarter ended September 30, 2012 (interim financial statements). The information is based on what we knew as of October 31, 2012 and updates our first and second quarter and annual MD&A included in our 2011 annual financial review.

As you review this MD&A, we encourage you to read our interim financial statements as well as our audited consolidated financial statements and notes for the year ended December 31, 2011 and annual MD&A. You can find more information about Cameco, including our audited consolidated financial statements and our most recent annual information form, on our website at cameco.com, on SEDAR at sedar.com or on EDGAR at sec.gov. You should also read our annual information form before making an investment decision about our securities.

The financial information in this MD&A and in our financial statements and notes are prepared according to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), unless otherwise indicated.

Unless we have specified otherwise, all dollar amounts are in Canadian dollars.

Caution about forward-looking information

Our MD&A includes statements and information about our expectations for the future. When we discuss our strategy, plans and future financial and operating performance, or other things that have not yet taken place, we are making statements considered to be forward-looking information or forward-looking statements under Canadian and United States securities laws. We refer to them in this MD&A as forward-looking information.

Key things to understand about the forward-looking information in this MD&A:

 

   

It typically includes words and phrases about the future, such as: anticipate, estimate, expect, plan, will, intend, goal, target, forecast, strategy and outlook (see examples on page 2).

 

   

It represents our current views, and can change significantly.

 

   

It is based on a number of material assumptions, including those we have listed on page 3, which may prove to be incorrect.

 

   

Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect, due to the risks associated with our business. We list a number of these material risks on pages 2 and 3. We recommend you also review our annual information form and our annual, first and second quarter MD&A, which include a discussion of other material risks that could cause actual results to differ significantly from our current expectations.

 

   

Forward-looking information is designed to help you understand management’s current views of our near and longer term prospects, and it may not be appropriate for other purposes. We will not necessarily update this information unless we are required to by securities laws.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    1


Examples of forward-looking information in this MD&A

 

   

the discussion under the heading Our strategy

 

   

our plan for increasing annual uranium supply to 36 million pounds by 2018, the expected sources for supply increases and expected production through 2016 at our uranium operations

 

   

our expectation regarding production in our fuel services segment for 2012

 

   

our expectation regarding the closing date for the NUKEM acquisition

 

   

our expectations regarding the timing of the completion of our acquisition of the Yeelirrie uranium project

 

   

our expectations about future global uranium supply, consumption, demand and number of new reactors, including the discussion under the heading Uranium market update

 

   

our expectation that our average realized uranium price will improve in the fourth quarter of 2012

 

   

the outlook for each of our operating segments for 2012, and our consolidated outlook for the year

   

our expectation that we will continue to invest in expanding our production capacity over the next several years

 

   

our expectation that our cash position will be substantially lower after we complete the NUKEM and Yeelirrie acquisitions

 

   

our expectations regarding delivery patterns for our uranium and fuel service products

 

   

our expectation that our operating and investment activities in 2012 will not be constrained by the financial covenants in our unsecured revolving credit facility

 

   

our future plans for each of our uranium operating properties, development projects and projects under evaluation, and fuel services operating sites

 

   

our expectations regarding timing for first commissioning in ore and first packaged pounds at Cigar Lake

 

   

our McArthur River mineral reserve and resource estimates

 

   

our forecasts of McArthur River production, operating and capital costs and mine life

 

 

Material risks

 

   

actual sales volumes or market prices for any of our products or services are lower than we expect for any reason, including changes in market prices or loss of market share to a competitor

 

   

we are adversely affected by changes in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates or tax rates

 

   

our production costs are higher than planned, or necessary supplies are not available, or not available on commercially reasonable terms

 

   

our estimates of production, purchases, costs, decommissioning or reclamation expenses, or our tax expense estimates, prove to be inaccurate

 

   

we are unable to enforce our legal rights under our existing agreements, permits or licences, or are subject to litigation or arbitration that has an adverse outcome

 

   

there are defects in, or challenges to, title to our properties

 

   

our mineral reserve and resource estimates are not reliable, or we face unexpected or challenging geological, hydrological or mining conditions

 

   

we are affected by environmental, safety and regulatory risks, including increased regulatory burdens or delays

 

   

we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits or approvals from government authorities

 

   

we are affected by political risks in a developing country where we operate

 

   

we are affected by terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, accident or a deterioration in political support for, or demand for, nuclear energy

 

   

we are impacted by changes in the regulation or public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants, which adversely affect the construction of new plants, the relicensing of existing plants and the demand for uranium

 

   

there are changes to government regulations or policies that adversely affect us, including tax and trade laws and policies

 

   

our uranium and conversion suppliers fail to fulfil delivery commitments

 

   

our Cigar Lake and McArthur River development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed, including infrastructure expansion at McArthur River

 

   

we are affected by natural phenomena, including inclement weather, fire, flood and earthquakes

 

   

our operations are disrupted due to problems with our own or our customers’ facilities, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, equipment failure, lack of tailings capacity, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failures, transportation disruptions or accidents, or other development and operating risks

 

   

with respect to the NUKEM and Yeelirrie acquisitions, the risk that closing conditions may not be satisfied in a timely manner, or at all

 

 

2    CAMECO CORPORATION


Material assumptions

   

our expectations regarding sales and purchase volumes and prices for uranium, fuel services and electricity

 

   

our expectations regarding the demand for uranium, the construction of new nuclear power plants and the relicensing of existing nuclear power plants not being more adversely affected than expected by changes in regulation or in the public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants

 

   

our expected production level and production costs

 

   

our expectations regarding spot prices and realized prices for uranium, and other factors discussed on page 21, Price sensitivity analysis: uranium

 

   

our expectations regarding uranium sales contract terminations, tax rates, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates

 

   

our decommissioning and reclamation expenses

 

   

our mineral reserve and resource estimates, and the assumptions upon which they are based, are reliable

 

   

the geological, hydrological and other conditions at our mines

 

   

the success of our Cigar Lake and McArthur River development, mining and production plans, including infrastructure expansion at McArthur River

   

our ability to continue to supply our products and services in the expected quantities and at the expected times

 

   

our ability to comply with current and future environmental, safety and other regulatory requirements, and to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals

 

   

our operations are not significantly disrupted as a result of political instability, nationalization, terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, breakdown, natural disasters, governmental or political actions, litigation or arbitration proceedings, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, ground movements, tailings dam failure, lack of tailings capacity, transportation disruptions or accidents or other development or operating risks

 

   

with respect to the NUKEM and Yeelirrie acquisitions, we have assumed that closing conditions will be satisfied within the expected timeframes

 

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    3


Our strategy

We remain confident in the long-term fundamentals of the nuclear industry as world demand for safe, clean, reliable and affordable energy continues to grow. Nuclear energy remains an integral part of the energy mix, demonstrated by the 64 reactors under construction today.

However, recent developments in the nuclear industry, primarily centred around Japan, have caused more uncertainty in the rate of growth in nuclear power globally. This led us to review and adjust our outlook, and examine our long-term growth plans.

While market factors continue to evolve, our current view is that over the next decade (to 2021), we expect there will be 80 net new reactors, compared to the 95 previously anticipated. Most of this change is due to the retirement of some reactors and new reactor builds being pushed out beyond the 10-year period. As a result, we have revised our cumulative world uranium demand forecast to 2.1 billion pounds for that period, down 50 million pounds from our previous expectation. As always, we will continue to evaluate the effects on demand as the nuclear market evolves.

Given this expected near-term decrease in demand, we examined our portfolio of projects to determine if we should adjust the timing of development for them. From this review, we have decided to focus primarily on advancing our brownfield projects, while deferring development of our greenfield projects. However, we will undertake some measured activity to preserve the option to bring on these greenfield projects as quickly as possible should market conditions warrant doing so. In addition, we will advance our arrangement with Talvivaara and pace the expansion projects at Inkai. By taking these actions we expect to achieve about 36 million pounds of annual supply rather than 40 million pounds by 2018.

This means we plan to spread our capital spending over a longer period and decrease project-related expenses, which should enhance our nearer term financial picture. Subject to market conditions, we plan to undertake the following projects:

 

   

bring Cigar Lake project to production

 

   

expand production at the McArthur River mine

 

   

refurbish and expand the Key Lake mill

 

   

work to extend the Rabbit Lake mine life

 

   

expand our US ISR production by advancing our various satellite operations

 

   

advance the process for extracting uranium from the Talvivaara mine

Market opportunities will drive the rate of development of the following projects:

 

   

advancing the Millennium project to achieve regulatory approvals as soon as possible to allow development to occur independently

 

   

pacing the increase in uranium production at Inkai blocks 1 and 2 to match progress on the transfer of our refining/conversion technology, both subject to market conditions, and continuing work on the test leach facility at block 3

 

   

completing the value engineering and the environmental permitting at Kintyre, but not proceeding with the detailed feasibility study

Of course, we will adjust the timing of our projects should market conditions evolve, which could change our supply plan. Adjusting a growth plan is not unique in our industry. A number of uranium producers have halted or delayed projects because they are not economic in today’s environment. These economic challenges, driven by continued global economic turmoil and the issues surrounding nuclear power noted above, point to an uncertain future supply of global primary uranium production. And to fuel the 431 currently operating reactors, the 64 reactors under construction today, and the further growth we expect by 2021, new primary sources of production will be needed. We anticipate economics will eventually need to reflect the realities of bringing on new, higher cost production; it’s a matter of timing.

As a result, we continue to prepare our assets now to ensure we can be among the first to respond when the market signals that new production is needed, and project economics improve. We want to be clear that any decision to increase our supply will be driven by profitability.

 

4    CAMECO CORPORATION


In the meantime, today’s market environment calls for us to increase our focus on execution and maximize efficiencies in order to continually improve our margins to ensure we remain competitive. Specifically, we are in the process of reducing costs at all operations and corporate departments without compromising our values. In addition, we plan to decrease expenditures for exploration and research and development to better match market opportunities.

We maintain a strong balance sheet, which will be enhanced by taking these actions. As part of our normal strategic planning process, we will continue to review our capital structure and asset base to ensure it is optimal.

Our extraordinary assets, extensive portfolio of long-term sales contracts, employee expertise and comprehensive industry knowledge provide us with the confidence that we will be able to achieve these goals. And, as always, we will look for opportunities across the nuclear fuel cycle that we expect will complement and enhance our business.

We will continue to monitor the market closely and adjust our plans accordingly.

See the uranium market update on page 7 for more information on uranium supply and demand.

Third quarter update

Our performance

 

Highlights

($ millions except where indicated)

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Revenue

     408         527         (23 )%      1,363         1,414         (4 )% 

Gross profit

     135         179         (25 )%      416         423         (2 )% 

Net earnings

     82         39         110     221         186         19

$ per common share (diluted)

     0.21         0.10         110     0.56         0.47         19

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 11)

     52         104         (50 )%      210         259         (19 )% 

$ per common share (adjusted and diluted)

     0.13         0.26         (50 )%      0.53         0.66         (20 )% 

Cash provided by operations (after working capital changes)

     44         192         (77 )%      361         487         (26 )% 

Average realized prices

   Uranium    $US/lb      44.49         47.33         (6 )%      45.76         47.06         (3 )% 
      $Cdn/lb      44.99         45.97         (2 )%      46.22         46.36         —     
   Fuel services    $Cdn/kgU      16.98         17.42         (3 )%      17.55         18.04         (3 )% 
   Electricity    $Cdn/MWh      54.00         54.00         —          55.00         54.00         2

Third quarter

Net earnings attributable to our shareholders (net earnings) this quarter were $82 million ($0.21 per share diluted) compared to $39 million ($0.10 per share diluted) in the third quarter of 2011. In addition to the items noted below, net earnings were impacted by higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings this quarter were $52 million ($0.13 per share diluted) compared to $104 million ($0.26 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see page 11) in the third quarter of 2011, mainly due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business due to an increase in sales and lower costs

See Financial results by segment on page 19 for more detailed discussion.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    5


First nine months

Net earnings in the first nine months of the year were $221 million ($0.56 per share diluted) compared to $186 million ($0.47 per share diluted) in the first nine months of 2011. Net earnings were higher than in 2011 due to higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives and the items noted below.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings for the first nine months of this year were $210 million ($0.53 per share diluted) compared to $259 million ($0.66 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see page 11). The change was due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

a $30 million (US) contract termination charge

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business due to an increase in sales, higher realized prices and lower costs

See Financial results by segment on page 19 for more detailed discussion.

Operations update

 

          Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months
ended September 30
       

Highlights

       2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

Uranium

   Production volume (million lbs)     5.3        5.3        —          15.4        15.8        (3 )% 
   Sales volume (million lbs)     5.1        7.2        (29 )%      18.1        19.1        (5 )% 
   Revenue ($ millions)     231        332        (30 )%      837        885        (5 )% 
   Gross profit ($ millions)     83        133        (38 )%      267        318        (16 )% 

Fuel services

   Production volume (million kgU)     2.1        2.8        (25 )%      10.9        11.6        (6 )% 
   Sales volume (million kgU)     3.3        4.6        (28 )%      10.1        11.1        (9 )% 
   Revenue ($ millions)     56        81        (31 )%      178        199        (11 )% 
   Gross profit ($ millions)     3        10        (70 )%      23        29        (21 )% 

Electricity

   Output (100%) (TWh)     7.1        6.7        6     19.6        18.7        5
   Revenue (100%) ($ millions)     384        362        6     1,095        1,016        8
   Our share of earnings before taxes ($ millions)     46        35        31     125        75        67

Production in our uranium segment this quarter was unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. For the first nine months, production was 3% lower than for the same period in 2011 mainly due to lower production at Smith Ranch-Highland. See Uranium 2012 Q3 updates starting on page 28 for more information.

Key highlights:

 

   

at McArthur River, mineral reserves increased by 19%. See pages 28 and 29 for more information

 

   

at Inkai, we signed a memorandum of agreement with our joint venture partner, Kazatomprom, setting out a framework to increase uranium production and extend the duration of the mining licences at the Inkai operation, in conjunction with the joint development of a uranium refinery in Kazakhstan. See pages 31 and 32 for more information.

 

   

in Saskatchewan, we received a funding commitment from the provincial government to construct a highway connecting McArthur River and Cigar Lake. See page 28 for more information.

Production in our fuel services segment was 25% lower this quarter than in the third quarter of 2011, and 6% lower for the first nine months compared to last year due to lower planned production in 2012. We continue to expect production to be between 13 million and 14 million kgU this year.

 

6    CAMECO CORPORATION


In our electricity segment, BPLP’s generation was 6% higher for the quarter and 5% higher for the first nine months of the year compared to the same periods last year. The capacity factor this quarter was 99% and 92% for the first nine months.

Also of note this quarter:

On August 26, we announced an agreement with BHP Billiton to acquire the Yeelirrie uranium project in Western Australia for $430 million (US). Yeelirrie is a near-surface calcrete-style deposit, amenable to open pit mining techniques.

We expect the transaction to close by the end of 2012, subject to the receipt of approvals from the government of Western Australia and the Australian Foreign Investment Review Board. Upon closing, stamp duty of about $22 million (US) will also be payable to the government of Western Australia.

After closing, next steps will be for us to conduct a full document review of the project and develop plans for future necessary work.

Uranium market update

Since the previous quarter, the nuclear industry continues to experience near- to medium-term uncertainty, driven primarily by the evolving situation in Japan.

In September 2012, a Japanese government panel announced a draft energy policy that included plans to phase out nuclear power generation by 2040. But the plan drew intense opposition from business groups and communities whose economies depend on the local nuclear power plants. The Japanese government did not adopt the plan, but agreed to take it under consideration while engaging with local governments, the public and the international community in developing an energy policy.

Japan’s new Nuclear Regulatory Authority (NRA) also came into effect in September. It will create new regulatory standards against which reactor restarts will be evaluated. We believe the NRA brings important stability to the regulatory environment in Japan and has already brought some clarity to the issue of reactor restarts. It indicated that no additional reactors will be restarted until the new standards are in place – a process expected to take about 10 months. This requirement suggests there will be no more reactor restarts in Japan this year and possibly not until mid-2013 or later depending on when the standards are put in place.

The slower reactor restarts expected in Japan, combined with slower economic growth worldwide and changes to nuclear programs in some other countries led us to re-examine our reactor forecast. For example, Canada, France and Belgium have announced plans to retire their older reactors, and India has revised its 2020 nuclear target down from 20 to 14.6 gigawatts. So while the market continues to evolve, our initial review results in an estimated 80 net new reactors over the period 2012 to 2021, compared to the 95 we expected earlier this year. Most of the decrease is due to the retirement of reactors, although some is also due to deferrals beyond 2021.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    7


New Build Outlook – Planned Reactors (2012 to 2021)

 

Region / Country           Previous Forecast     Change to     New Forecast  

(as of Sept 30, 2012)

   Operable      New      Shut     Net New     net new     Net New     Operable 2021  

Americas

     127         11         (6     5        (1     4        131   

Europe

     137         11         (14     (3     (3     (6     131   

Asia

     77         14         (1     13        (8     5        82   

Other*

     6         7         —          7        —          7        13   

India

     20         15         —          15        (3     12        32   

China

     15         52         —          52        —          52        67   

Russia/E. Europe**

     49         17         (11     6        —          6        55   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

     431         127         (32     95        (15     80        511   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

* Other includes Iran, Pakistan, South Africa, Turkey and United Arab Emirates.
** Eastern Europe includes Armenia, Belarus and Ukraine.

Of these net new reactors, 64 are under construction today. China is the most aggressive, and we expect it to grow its nuclear power program from the 15 currently operating reactors to 67 in 2021, of which 26 are under construction.

The 80 net new reactors combined with the current base of nuclear power plants translates into a cumulative uranium demand of about 2.1 billion pounds to 2021, which is down by about 50 million pounds from our earlier forecast.

While expected demand has decreased, there has also been an increase in global supply. In China, Uzbekistan and Namibia production increased at a number of mines, which we expect will equate to about 30 million pounds of further supply over the 10-year period.

The result when we put these changes to supply and demand together is a demonstrated need for new supply of 360 million pounds from 2012 to 2021, compared to the 440 million pounds we had forecast earlier in the year.

However, the current market environment also poses challenges to bringing on new supply and could impact supply expectations as conditions continue to evolve. A number of project deferrals and cancellations have been announced as producers have reacted to lower uranium prices and general economic pressures. As well, secondary supplies continue to diminish, particularly with the end of the Russian Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) agreement in 2013. Conclusion of this arrangement will mean the removal of 24 million pounds of relatively low-cost secondary annual uranium supply from the market, and there are no indications of a second Russian HEU deal.

Despite the changes we see to the supply/demand outlook, what remains clear is that new supply will be needed. Though some could come from additions to secondary supplies, the majority will need to come from new mines and expansions to existing mines at a time when pursuing such projects is becoming increasingly difficult. In addition, the long-term fundamentals of the industry remain strong, with 64 reactors currently under construction and some of the growth pushed further out in time. As a result, we are managing our assets through this period of uncertainty with a focus on safety, efficiency and profitable growth.

 

 

Caution about forward-looking information relating to our uranium market update

This discussion of our expectations for the nuclear industry, including its growth profile and future global uranium supply and demand and the number of reactors, is forward-looking information that is based upon the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 1.

 

8    CAMECO CORPORATION


Industry prices

 

     Sep 30
2012
     Jun 30
2012
     Mar 31
2012
     Sep 30
2011
     Jun 30
2011
     Mar 31
2011
 

Uranium ($US/lb U3O8 ) 1

                 

Average spot market price

     46.50         50.75         51.05         52.25         52.88         60.50   

Average long-term price

     60.50         61.25         60.00         63.50         68.00         70.00   

Fuel services ($US/kgU UF6)1

                 

Average spot market price

                 

North America

     9.25         6.63         6.63         9.50         11.00         12.00   

Europe

     9.75         7.00         7.00         9.50         11.00         12.00   

Average long-term price

                 

North America

     16.75         16.75         16.75         16.50         16.00         15.75   

Europe

     17.25         17.25         17.25         17.00         16.25         16.00   

Note: the industry does not publish UO2 prices.

                 

Electricity ($/MWh)

                 

Average Ontario electricity spot price

     28.00         19.00         20.00         33.00         28.00         32.00   

 

1

Average of prices reported by TradeTech and Ux Consulting (Ux)

On the spot market, where purchases call for delivery within one year, the volume reported for the third quarter of 2012 was just over 9 million pounds. This compares to about 13 million pounds in the third quarter of 2011.

Continued uncertainty in the market contributed to downward pressure on the spot price. At the end of the quarter, the average spot price was $46.50 (US) per pound. On October 29, 2012, Ux reported a spot price of $42.50 (US) per pound. In general, utilities are well covered under existing contracts, so we expect uranium demand in the near term to remain somewhat discretionary.

The long-term uranium price held relatively firm during the quarter. Long-term contracts usually call for deliveries to begin more than two years after the contract is finalized, and use a number of pricing formulas, including fixed prices adjusted by inflation indices, and market referenced prices (spot and long-term indicators quoted near the time of delivery).

Spot UF6 conversion prices increased significantly during the quarter, in part due to a shutdown at one of the primary UF6 conversion facilities. Long-term UF6 conversion price indicators held firm throughout the quarter.

Long-term fundamentals are strong

Electricity is essential to maintaining and improving the standard of living for people throughout the world, and nuclear power continues to be an affordable and sustainable source of safe, clean, reliable energy. New reactors are currently under construction around the world and the demand for uranium is expected to grow, and along with it, the need for new supply to meet future customer requirements.

Our long history of success comes from many years of hard work and discipline, developing and acquiring the expertise and assets we need to deliver on our strategy. We are well positioned to grow and be successful, and to build value for our shareholders.

 

Shares and stock options outstanding

At October 30, 2012, we had:

 

   

395,349,044 common shares and one Class B share outstanding

 

   

9,579,845 stock options outstanding, with exercise prices ranging from $15.79 to $54.38

 

Dividend policy

Our board of directors has established a policy of paying a quarterly dividend of $0.10 ($0.40 per year) per common share. This policy will be reviewed from time to time based on our cash flow, earnings, financial position, strategy and other relevant factors.

 

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    9


Financial results

This section of our MD&A discusses our performance, financial condition and outlook for the future.

 

2012 Q3 results

  

Consolidated financial results

     10   

Outlook for 2012

     16   

Liquidity and capital resources

     17   

Financial results by segment

     19   

Uranium

     19   

Fuel services

     23   

Electricity

     24   

Consolidated financial results

 

Highlights   

Three months

ended September 30

          

Nine months

ended September 30

        

($ millions except per share amounts)

   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Revenue

     408         527         (23 )%      1,363         1,414         (4 )% 

Gross profit

     135         179         (25 )%      416         423         (2 )% 

Net earnings

     82         39         110     221         186         19

$ per common share (basic)

     0.21         0.10         110     0.56         0.47         19

$ per common share (diluted)

     0.21         0.10         110     0.56         0.47         19

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 11)

     52         104         (50 )%      210         259         (19 )% 

$ per common share (adjusted and diluted)

     0.13         0.26         (50 )%      0.53         0.66         (20 )% 

Cash provided by operations (after working capital changes)

     44         192         (77 )%      361         487         (26 )% 

Net earnings

Net earnings this quarter were $82 million ($0.21 per share diluted) compared to $39 million ($0.10 per share diluted) in the third quarter of 2011. In addition to the items noted below, net earnings were impacted by higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings this quarter were $52 million ($0.13 per share diluted) compared to $104 million ($0.26 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see page 11) in the third quarter of 2011, mainly due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business

 

10    CAMECO CORPORATION


Net earnings in the first nine months of the year were $221 million ($0.56 per share diluted) compared to $186 million ($0.47 per share diluted) in the first nine months of 2011. Net earnings were higher than in 2011 due to higher mark-to-market gains on foreign exchange derivatives and the items noted below.

On an adjusted basis, our earnings for the first nine months of this year were $210 million ($0.53 per share diluted) compared to $259 million ($0.66 per share diluted) (non-IFRS measure, see page 11). The change was due to:

 

   

lower earnings from our uranium business based on lower sales volumes, lower realized prices and higher costs

 

   

a $30 million (US) contract termination charge

 

   

higher expenditures for exploration and administration

 

   

partially offset by higher earnings from our electricity business due to an increase in sales, higher realized prices and lower costs

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure)

Adjusted net earnings is a measure that does not have a standardized meaning or a consistent basis of calculation under IFRS (non-IFRS measure). We use this measure as a more meaningful way to compare our financial performance from period to period. We believe that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to evaluate our performance. Adjusted net earnings is our net earnings attributable to equity holders, adjusted to better reflect the underlying financial performance for the reporting period. The adjusted earnings measure reflects the matching of the net benefits of our hedging program with the inflows of foreign currencies in the applicable reporting period.

Adjusted net earnings is non-standard supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial information prepared according to accounting standards. Other companies may calculate this measure differently so you may not be able to make a direct comparison to similar measures presented by other companies.

The table below reconciles adjusted net earnings with our net earnings.

 

      Three months
ended September 30
    Nine months
ended September 30
 

($ millions)

   2012     2011     2012     2011  

Net earnings

     82        39        221        186   

Adjustments

        

Adjustments on derivatives1 (pre-tax)

     (40     88        (15     100   

Income taxes on adjustments to derivatives

     10        (23     4        (27

Adjusted net earnings

     52        104        210        259   

 

1 

In 2008, we opted to discontinue hedge accounting for our portfolio of foreign currency forward sales contracts. Since then, we have adjusted our gains or losses on derivatives to reflect what our earnings would have been had hedge accounting been applied.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    11


The table that follows describes what contributed to the changes in adjusted net earnings this quarter.

 

Change in adjusted net earnings

($ millions)

        Three months
ended September 30
    Nine months
ended September 30
 

Adjusted net earnings – 2011

        104        259   

Change in gross profit by segment

   (we calculate gross profit by deducting from revenue the cost of products and services sold, and depreciation and amortization (D&A), net of hedging benefits)       

Uranium

  Lower sales volumes      (38     (16
 

Lower realized prices ($US)

     (15     (24
 

Foreign exchange impact on realized prices

     10        21   
 

Higher costs

     (6     (32
 

Hedging benefits

     1        (19
       

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

change - uranium

     (48     (70
       

 

 

   

 

 

 

Fuel services

  Lower sales volumes      (3     (2
 

Lower realized prices ($Cdn)

     (1     (5
 

(Higher) lower costs

     (3     1   
 

Hedging benefits

     —          (2
 

change – fuel services

     (7     (8
       

 

 

   

 

 

 

Electricity

  Higher sales volumes      3        4   
       

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

Higher realized prices ($Cdn)

     —          9   
 

Lower costs

     10        37   
       

 

 

   

 

 

 
 

change – electricity

     13        50   
       

 

 

   

 

 

 

Other changes

         

Higher exploration expenditures

        (3     (13

Higher administration expenditures

        (1     (18

Lower income taxes

        9        44   

Contract termination charge

        —          (30

Financing costs

          (3     (3

Other

          (12     (1
       

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted net earnings – 2012

        52        210   
       

 

 

   

 

 

 

See Financial results by segment on page 19 for more detailed discussion.

Average realized prices

 

          Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
          2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Uranium

   $US/lb      44.49         47.33         (6 )%      45.76         47.06         (3 )% 
   $Cdn/lb      44.99         45.97         (2 )%      46.22         46.36         —     

Fuel services

   $Cdn/kgU      16.98         17.42         (3 )%      17.55         18.04         (3 )% 

Electricity

   $Cdn/MWh      54.00         54.00         —          55.00         54.00         2

 

12    CAMECO CORPORATION


Quarterly trends

 

Highlights    2012      2011      2010  

($ millions except per share amounts)

   Q3      Q2     Q1      Q4      Q3      Q2      Q1      Q4  

Revenue

     408         391        564         970         527         426         461         673   

Net earnings

     82         8        131         265         39         55         92         206   

$ per common share (basic)

     0.21         0.02        0.33         0.67         0.10         0.14         0.23         0.52   

$ per common share (diluted)

     0.21         0.02        0.33         0.67         0.10         0.14         0.23         0.52   

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 11)

     52         34        124         249         104         71         84         190   

$ per common share (adjusted and diluted)

     0.13         0.09        0.31         0.63         0.26         0.18         0.22         0.48   

Cash provided by operations (after working capital changes)

     44         (94     411         258         192         23         271         111   

The table that follows presents the differences between net earnings and adjusted net earnings for the previous seven quarters.

 

     2012     2011     2010  

($ millions)

   Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4     Q3     Q2     Q1     Q4  

Net earnings

     82        8        131        265        39        55        92        206   

Adjustments

                

Adjustments on derivatives1 (pre-tax)

     (40     35        (10     (22     88        22        (10     (22

Income taxes on adjustments to derivatives

     10        (9     3        6        (23     (6     2        6   

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 11)

     52        34        124        249        104        71        84        190   

 

1 

In 2008, we opted to discontinue hedge accounting for our portfolio of foreign currency forward sales contracts. Since then, we have adjusted our gains or losses on derivatives to reflect what our earnings would have been had hedge accounting been applied.

Key things to note:

 

   

our financial results are strongly influenced by the performance of our uranium segment, which accounted for 57% of consolidated revenues in the third quarter of 2012

 

   

the timing of customer requirements, which tend to vary from quarter to quarter, drives revenue in the uranium and fuel services segments.

 

   

net earnings do not trend directly with revenue due to unusual items and transactions that occur from time to time. We use adjusted net earnings, a non-IFRS measure, as a more meaningful way to compare our results from period to period.

 

   

cash from operations tends to fluctuate as a result of the timing of deliveries and product purchases in our uranium and fuel services segments

 

   

quarterly results are not necessarily a good indication of annual results due to the variability in customer requirements noted above

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    13


Administration

 

     Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        

($ millions)

   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Direct administration

     37         37         —          110         101         9

Stock-based compensation

     2         1         100     14         5         180

Total administration

     39         38         3     124         106         17

Direct administration costs were unchanged this quarter and $9 million higher for the first nine months compared to the same periods last year. The increase in the first nine months reflects the following:

 

   

studies and analyses of various opportunities

 

   

enhancements to information systems

Stock-based compensation expenses were $14 million for the first nine months of 2012 compared to $5 million for the same period in 2011. Our share price was nearly level in the first nine months of 2012, whereas it declined markedly in the first half of 2011.

Exploration

Uranium exploration expenses were $35 million this quarter compared to $32 million in the same quarter in 2011, as exploration activity in Saskatchewan increased. Exploration expenses in the first nine months of the year increased to $75 million from $62 million in 2011. We expect exploration expenses to be about 15% to 20% higher than they were in 2011 due to an increase in evaluation activities at Kintyre and Inkai block 3. We are also continuing to focus efforts in Canada and the United States.

Income taxes

In the third quarter of 2012, we recorded an income tax expense of $3 million compared to a recovery of $22 million in the third quarter of 2011. The expense this quarter was mainly due to higher pre-tax earnings related largely to the recording of $53 million in gains on derivatives in 2012 compared to losses of $76 million in 2011. The distribution of earnings between jurisdictions was also different compared to 2011. In 2012, we recorded losses of $2 million in Canada compared to $186 million in 2011, whereas earnings in foreign jurisdictions declined to $86 million from $203 million. The tax rate in Canada is higher than the average of the rates in the foreign jurisdictions in which we operate.

On an adjusted basis, we recorded an income tax recovery of $7 million this quarter compared to an expense of $2 million in the third quarter of 2011. Our effective tax rate this quarter on an adjusted net earnings basis reflects a recovery of 17% compared to an expense of 1% for the third quarter of 2011.

In the first nine months of 2012, we recorded an income tax recovery of $33 million compared to a recovery of $19 million in 2011. The increase in recovery for the first nine months of the year was mainly due to a change in the distribution of earnings. Also, we received additional certainty on particular tax provisions that allowed us to recognize a $9 million recovery in our income tax expense.

On an adjusted basis, we recorded an income tax recovery of $37 million in the first nine months of 2012 compared to an expense of $8 million in 2011. Our effective tax rate for the first nine months of 2012, on an adjusted net earnings basis, reflects a recovery of 21% compared to an expense of 3% in 2011.

 

14    CAMECO CORPORATION


     Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months
ended September 30
       

($ millions)

   2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

Pre-tax Adjusted Earnings1

            

Canada2

     (41     (98     58     (182     (160     (14 )% 

Foreign

     86        203        (58 )%      354        427        (17 )% 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total pre-tax adjusted earnings

     45        105        (57 )%      172        267        (36 )% 

Adjusted Income Taxes1

            
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Canada2

     (7     (12     42     (46     (27     (70 )% 

Foreign

     —          14        (100 )%      9        35        (74 )% 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted income tax expense (recovery)

     (7     2        (450 )%      (37     8        (563 )% 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Effective tax rate

     (17 )%      1     (1800 )%      (21 )%      3     (800 )% 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

1

Pre-tax adjusted earnings and adjusted income taxes are non-IFRS measures.

2

Our IFRS-based measures have been adjusted by the amounts reflected in the table in adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure on page 11).

Foreign exchange

At September 30, 2012:

 

   

The value of the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar was $1.00 (US) for $0.98 (Cdn), down from $1.00 (US) for $1.02 (Cdn) at June 30, 2012. The exchange rate averaged $1.00 (US) for $1.00 (Cdn) over the quarter.

 

   

We had foreign currency contracts of $1.2 billion (US) and EUR 105 million at September 30, 2012. The US currency contracts had an average exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.02 (Cdn).

 

   

The mark-to-market gain on all foreign exchange contracts was $44 million compared to an $8 million loss at June 30, 2012. We received cash of $3 million this quarter related to the settlement of foreign exchange contracts.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    15


Outlook for 2012

Our outlook for 2012 reflects the growth expenditures necessary to help us achieve our strategy. Our outlook for consolidated capital expenditures and consolidated tax rate has changed. We explain the changes below. All other items in the table are unchanged. We do not provide an outlook for the items in the table that are marked with a dash.

See Financial results by segment on page 19 for details.

2012 Financial outlook

 

      Consolidated   Uranium   Fuel services   Electricity

Production

   —     21.7 million lbs   13 to 14 million kgU   —  

Sales volume

   —     31 to 33 million lbs   Decrease

10% to 15%

  —  

Capacity factor

   —     —     —     93%

Revenue compared to 2011

   Decrease

0% to 5%

  Decrease

0% to 5%1

  Decrease

10% to 15%

  Increase
5% to 10%

Average unit cost of sales (including D&A)

   —     Increase

0% to 5%2

  Increase

10% to 15%

  Decrease
15% to 20%

Direct administration costs compared to 20113

   Increase

10% to 15%

  —     —     —  

Exploration costs compared to 2011

   —     Increase

15% to 20%

  —     —  

Tax rate

   Recovery of 10% to 15%   —     —     —  

Capital expenditures

   $730 million4   —     —     $70 million

 

1 

Based on a uranium spot price of $42.50 (US) per pound (the Ux spot price as of October 29, 2012), a long-term price indicator of $60.00 (US) per pound (the Ux long-term indicator on September 30, 2012) and an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.00 (Cdn).

2 

This increase is based on the unit cost of sale for produced material and committed long-term purchases. If we decide to make discretionary purchases in 2012 then we expect the average unit cost of sales to increase further.

3 

Direct administration costs do not include stock-based compensation expenses. See page 14 for more information.

4 

Does not include our share of capital expenditures at BPLP.

Our customers choose when in the year to receive deliveries of uranium and fuel services products, so our quarterly delivery patterns, and therefore our sales volumes and revenue, can vary significantly. In the fourth quarter, we expect about 40% of our 2012 deliveries to occur with an improvement in our average realized uranium price due to pricing under the mix of contracts.

We now expect a recovery of 10% to 15% for our consolidated tax rate (previously a 5% to 10% recovery). The change is primarily related to the $9 million recovery in our income tax expense that we recognized in the second quarter due to additional certainty we received on particular tax provisions.

We now expect our capital expenditures to be about $730 million compared to our previous estimate of $680 million due to changes in scope and scheduling of some of our projects in northern Saskatchewan.

Sensitivity analysis

For the rest of 2012:

 

   

a change of $5 (US) per pound in both the Ux spot price ($42.50 (US) per pound on October 29, 2012) and the Ux long-term price indicator ($60.00 (US) per pound on September 30, 2012) would change revenue by $13 million and net earnings by $7 million

 

16    CAMECO CORPORATION


   

a change of $5/MWh in the electricity spot price would change our 2012 net earnings by $1 million based on the assumption that the spot price will remain below the floor price of $51.62/MWh provided under BPLP’s agreement with the Ontario Power Authority (OPA)

 

   

a one-cent change in the value of the Canadian dollar versus the US dollar would change revenue by $2 million and adjusted net earnings by $1 million. This sensitivity is based on an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.02 (Cdn).

Liquidity and capital resources

Our financial objective is to make sure we have the cash and debt capacity to fund our operating activities, investments and growth. Over the past nine months we have announced three acquisitions:

 

   

Millennium, which closed in June for $150 million in cash

 

   

NUKEM, expected to close by the end of the year (subject to regulatory approvals) and to use about $250 million (US) of cash

 

   

Yeelirrie, expected to close by the end of the year (subject to regulatory approvals) and to use about $452 million (US) of cash, including the purchase price of $430 million (US) and a stamp duty of about $22 million (US) paid to the government of Western Australian upon close

Once complete, our current cash position is expected to be substantially lower. In addition, we expect to continue investing in expanding our production capacity over the next several years.

We have a number of alternatives to fund this continued growth including using our current cash balances, drawing on our existing credit facilities, entering new credit facilities, using our operating cash flow, and raising additional capital through debt or equity financings. We are always considering our financing options so that we can take advantage of favourable market conditions when they arise.

Cash from operations

Cash from operations was $148 million lower this quarter than in 2011 due largely to lower uranium deliveries. Working capital required $72 million more in 2012 largely as a result of an increase in uranium inventories during the quarter. Not including working capital requirements, our operating cash flows this quarter were lower by $77 million, based on lower profits in our uranium segment. See Financial results by segment on page 19 for details.

Cash from operations was $126 million lower for the first nine months of 2012 than for the same period in 2011 mainly due to lower uranium profits and lower sales volumes, partially offset by higher profits from the electricity business. Not including working capital requirements, our operating cash flows in the first nine months were down by $120 million.

Debt

We use debt to provide additional liquidity. We have sufficient borrowing capacity with unsecured lines of credit totalling about $1.9 billion at September 30, 2012, the same as at June 30, 2012. At September 30, 2012, we had approximately $669 million outstanding in letters of credit.

Debt covenants

We are bound by certain covenants in our unsecured revolving credit facility. The financially related covenants place restrictions on total debt, including guarantees. As at September 30, 2012, we met these financial covenants and do not expect our operating and investment activities for the remainder of 2012 to be constrained by them.

Long-term contractual obligations and off-balance sheet arrangements

We had two kinds of off-balance sheet arrangements at September 30, 2012:

 

   

purchase commitments

 

   

financial assurances

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    17


Other than the NUKEM and the Yeelirrie agreements noted on page 17, as well as the purchase of an incremental interest in the Millennium project for $150 million which closed in June 2012, there have been no material changes to our long-term contractual obligations, purchase commitments and financial assurances since December 31, 2011, including payments due for the next five years and thereafter. Our long-term contractual obligations do not include our sales commitments. Please see our annual MD&A for more information.

Balance sheet

 

($ millions)

   Sep 30, 2012      Dec 31, 2011      change  

Cash and short-term investments

     664         1,202         (45 )% 

Total debt

     993         1,039         (4 )% 

Inventory

     719         494         46

Total cash and short-term investments at September 30, 2012 were $664 million, or 45% lower than at December 31, 2011 due to a higher rate of capital expenditures and our purchase of an incremental interest in the Millennium project. Net debt at September 30, 2012 was $329 million.

Total debt decreased by $46 million to $993 million at September 30, 2012. Of this total, $79 million was classified as current, down $34 million compared to December 31, 2011. See notes 16 and 17 of our audited annual financial statements for more detail.

Total product inventories increased to $719 million. Uranium inventories increased, as sales were lower than production and purchases in the first nine months of the year. Fuel services inventories increased as sales were also lower than production and purchases.

 

18    CAMECO CORPORATION


Financial results by segment

Uranium

 

Highlights

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Production volume (million lbs)

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 

Sales volume (million lbs)

     5.1         7.2         (29 )%      18.1         19.1         (5 )% 

Average spot price ($US/lb)

     48.08         51.04         (6 )%      50.38         57.89         (13 )% 

Average long-term price ($US/lb)

     60.67         65.33         (7 )%      60.67         68.22         (11 )% 

Average realized price

                

($US/lb)

     44.49         47.33         (6 )%      45.76         47.06         (3 )% 

($Cdn/lb)

     44.99         45.97         (2 )%      46.22         46.36         —     

Average unit cost of sales ($Cdn/lb U3O8 ) (including D&A)

     28.75         27.59         4     31.47         29.68         6

Revenue ($ millions)

     231         332         (30 )%      837         885         (5 )% 

Gross profit ($ millions)

     83         133         (38 )%      267         318         (16 )% 

Gross profit (%)

     36         40         (10 )%      32         36         (11 )% 

Third quarter

Production volumes this quarter were unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. See Uranium 2012 Q3 updates starting on page 28 for more information.

Uranium revenues this quarter were down 30% compared to 2011, due to a 29% decrease in sales volumes and a 2% decrease in the $Cdn realized selling price.

Our realized prices this quarter were lower than the third quarter of 2011 mainly due to lower $US prices under fixed-price contracts. In the third quarter of 2012, our realized foreign exchange rate was $1.01, compared to $0.97 for the prior year.

Total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 26% ($147 million compared to $199 million in 2011). This was mainly the result of the following:

 

   

a 29% decrease in sales volumes

 

   

lower royalty charges ($7 million in 2012; $26 million in 2011) due to decreased deliveries of Saskatchewan-produced material

 

   

partially offset by average unit costs for produced uranium being 16% higher due to increased non-cash production costs at our ISR locations

The net effect was a $50 million decrease in gross profit for the quarter.

First nine months

Production volumes for the first nine months of the year were lower than in the previous year due to lower output at Smith Ranch-Highland and Inkai. See Uranium 2012 Q3 updates on page 28 for more information.

For the first nine months of 2012, uranium revenues were down 5% compared to 2011, due to a 5% decrease in sales volumes.

Our $US realized prices were lower than the first nine months of 2011 mainly due to lower prices under market-related contracts being offset by a more favourable exchange rate. In the first nine months of 2012, our realized foreign exchange rate was $1.01 compared to $0.99 in the prior year.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    19


Total cost of sales (including D&A) increased by 1% ($570 million compared to $567 million in 2011). This was mainly the result of the following:

 

   

average unit costs for produced uranium were 13% higher due to increased unit production costs relating mainly to the lower production during the first nine months. We continue to expect our average unit cost of sales (including D&A) to increase by 0% to 5% for the year compared to 2011.

 

   

royalty charges in 2012 were $2 million higher due to increased deliveries of Saskatchewan-produced material

 

   

partially offset by a 5% decrease in sales volume

The net effect was a $51 million decrease in gross profit for the first nine months.

The following table shows the costs of produced and purchased uranium incurred in the reporting periods (non-IFRS measures see below). These costs do not include selling costs such as royalties, transportation and commissions, nor do they reflect the impact of opening inventories on our reported cost of sales.

 

($Cdn/lb)

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Produced

                

Cash cost

Non-cash cost

    

 

21.11

8.62

  

  

    

 

17.89

7.79

  

  

    

 

18

11


   

 

21.18

8.01

  

  

    

 

18.87

6.92

  

  

    

 

12

16


  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total production cost

     29.73         25.68         16     29.19         25.79         13
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Quantity produced (million lbs)

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 

Purchased

                

Cash cost

     26.08         17.90         46     27.04         28.32         (5 )% 

Quantity purchased (million lbs)

     4.6         3.1         48     8.4         7.3         15

Totals

                

Produced and purchased costs

     28.03         22.81         23     28.43         25.36         12

Quantities produced and purchased (million lbs)

     9.9         8.4         18     23.8         23.1         3

Cash cost per pound, non-cash cost per pound and total cost per pound for produced and purchased uranium presented in the above table are non-IFRS measures. These measures do not have a standardized meaning or a consistent basis of calculation under IFRS. We use these measures in our assessment of the performance of our uranium business. We believe that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to evaluate our performance and ability to generate cash flow.

These measures are non-standard supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared according to accounting standards. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently so you may not be able to make a direct comparison to similar measures presented by other companies.

To facilitate a better understanding of these measures, the following table presents a reconciliation of these measures to our unit cost of sales for the third quarters and first nine months of 2012 and 2011.

 

20    CAMECO CORPORATION


Cash and total cost per pound reconciliation

 

($ millions)

   Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months
ended September 30
       
   2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

Cost of product sold

     121.8        164.7        (26 )%      480.6        487.5        (1 )% 

Add / (subtract)

            

Royalties

     (6.7     (26.3     (75 )%      (64.3     (62.3     3

Standby charges

     (8.0     (5.2     54     (20.9     (16.0     31

Other selling costs

     (0.6     (0.6     —          (2.9     (6.7     (57 )% 

Change in inventories

     125.4        17.7        608     160.9        102.5        57

Cash operating costs (a)

     231.9        150.3        54     553.4        505.0        10

Add / (subtract)

            

Depreciation and amortization

     25.7        34.3        (25 )%      89.5        79.1        13

Change in inventories

     19.9        7.0        184     33.7        1.7        1882
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total operating costs (b)

     277.5        191.6        45     676.6        585.8        16
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Uranium produced & purchased (millions lbs) (c)

     9.9        8.4        18     23.8        23.1        3

Cash costs per pound (a ÷ c)

     23.42        17.89        31     23.25        21.86        6

Total costs per pound (b ÷ c)

     28.03        22.81        23     28.43        25.36        12

Price sensitivity analysis: uranium

The table below is not a forecast of prices we expect to receive. The prices we actually realize will be different from the prices shown in the table.

It is designed to indicate how our portfolio of long-term contracts would respond to different spot prices. In other words, we would realize these prices only if the contract portfolio remained the same and none of the assumptions we list below change.

We intend to update this table each quarter in our MD&A to reflect deliveries made and changes to our contract portfolio each quarter. As a result we expect the table to change from quarter to quarter.

Expected realized uranium price sensitivity under various spot price assumptions

(rounded to the nearest $1.00)

 

($US/lb U3O8)

 

Spot prices

   $ 20       $ 40       $ 60       $ 80       $ 100       $ 120       $ 140   

2012

     46         46         49         50         52         53         55   

2013

     42         46         54         63         72         81         89   

2014

     45         48         56         64         73         82         89   

2015

     41         46         56         66         76         87         96   

2016

     44         49         58         68         78         88         97   

The table illustrates the mix of long-term contracts in our portfolio, and is consistent with our contracting strategy. The changes to the table in the quarter are mainly due to:

 

  deliveries made and contracts entered into

 

  changes to deliveries under some contracts where deliveries are tied to reactor requirements

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    21


Our portfolio includes a mix of fixed-price and market-related contracts, which we target at a 40:60 ratio. We signed many of our current contracts in 2003 to 2005, when market prices were low ($11 to $31 (US)). Those that are fixed at lower prices or have low ceiling prices will yield prices that are lower than current market prices. These older contracts are beginning to expire, and we are starting to deliver into more favourably priced contracts.

 

 

Our portfolio is affected by more than just the spot price. We made the following assumptions (which are not forecasts) to create the table:

 

Sales

 

•    sales volumes on average of 32 million pounds per year

 

Deliveries

 

•    customers take the maximum quantity allowed under each contract (unless they have already provided a delivery notice indicating they will take less)

 

•    we defer a portion of deliveries under existing contracts for 2012

 

 

  

Prices

 

•    the average long-term price indicator is the same as the average spot price for the entire year (a simplified approach for this purpose only). Since 1996, the long-term price indicator has averaged 14% higher than the spot price. This differential has varied significantly. Assuming the long-term price is at a premium to spot, the prices in the table will be higher.

 

•    we deliver all volumes that we don’t have contracts for at the spot price for each scenario

 

Inflation

 

•    is 2% per year

 

22    CAMECO CORPORATION


Fuel services

(includes results for UF6, UO2 and fuel fabrication)

 

Highlights

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

Production volume (million kgU)

     2.1         2.8         (25 )%      10.9         11.6         (6 )% 

Sales volume (million kgU)

     3.3         4.6         (28 )%      10.1         11.1         (9 )% 

Realized price ($Cdn/kgU)

     16.98         17.42         (3 )%      17.55         18.04         (3 )% 

Average unit cost of sales ($Cdn/kgU) (including D&A)

     16.20         15.34         6     15.32         15.42         (1 )% 

Revenue ($ millions)

     56         81         (31 )%      178         199         (11 )% 

Gross profit ($ millions)

     3         10         (70 )%      23         29         (21 )% 

Gross profit (%)

     5         12         (58 )%      13         15         (13 )% 

Third quarter

Production volumes in the quarter were 25% lower than in 2011 due to the reduction of planned production for 2012.

Total revenue was $25 million lower than in 2011 due to a 28% decline in deliveries of our fuel services products and a 3% decline in the realized selling price.

Our $Cdn realized price for fuel services was affected by the mix of products delivered in the quarter. In 2012, a higher proportion of fuel services sales were for UF6, which typically yields a lower price than the other fuel services products.

The total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 25% ($53 million compared to $71 million in 2011) due to the decrease in the sales volumes. The average unit cost of sales was 6% higher due to the mix of products delivered in the quarter.

The net effect was a decrease of $7 million in gross profit for the quarter.

First nine months

Production was 10.9 million kgU, 6% lower than the same period last year. As a result of the planned reduction in production, results will remain lower than comparable periods in 2011; production remains on track for the year.

Total revenue decreased by 11% due to a 9% decrease in sales volumes and a 3% decline in the realized selling price.

The total cost of sales (including D&A) decreased by 9% ($155 million compared to $170 million in 2011) due to the decrease in the sales volume. The average unit cost of sales was similar to the first nine months of 2011.

The net effect was a $6 million decrease in gross profit.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    23


Electricity

BPLP

(100% – not prorated to reflect our 31.6% interest)

 

Highlights

($ millions except where indicated)

   Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months ended
September 30
       
   2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

Output—terawatt hours (TWh)

     7.1        6.7        6     19.6        18.7        5

Capacity factor (the amount of electricity the plants actually produced for sale as a percentage of the amount they were capable of producing)

     99     93     6     92     87     6

Realized price ($/MWh)

     54        54        —          55 1      54 2      2

Average Ontario electricity spot price ($/MWh)

     28        33        (15 )%      22        31        (29 )% 

Revenue

     384        362        6     1,095        1,016        8

Operating costs (net of cost recoveries)

     223        232        (4 )%      668        735        (9 )% 

Cash costs

     167        182        (8 )%      504        592        (15 )% 

Non-cash costs

     56        50        12     164        143        15

Income before interest and finance charges

     161        130        24     427        281        52

Interest and finance charges

     10        14        (29 )%      20        30        (33 )% 

Cash from operations

     91        137        (34 )%      442        376        18

Capital expenditures

     52        61        (15 )%      140        158        (11 )% 

Distributions

     95        80        19     285        205        39

Capital calls

     17        —          —          50        11        355

Operating costs ($/MWh)

     31        35        (11 )%      33 1      39 2      (15 )% 

 

1 

Nine months ended September 30, 2012 are based on actual generation of 19.6 TWh plus deemed generation of 0.4 TWh

2 

Nine months ended September 30, 2011 are based on actual generation of 18.7 TWh plus deemed generation of 0.2 TWh

Our earnings from BPLP

 

Highlights

($ millions except where indicated)

   Three months
ended September 30
          Nine months
ended September 30
       
   2012     2011     change     2012     2011     change  

BPLP’s earnings before taxes (100%)

     151        116        30     407        251        62

Cameco’s share of pretax earnings before adjustments (31.6%)

     48        37        30     129        79        63

Proprietary adjustments

     (2     (2     —          (4     (4     —     

Earnings before taxes from BPLP

     46        35        31     125        75        67

Third quarter

Total electricity revenue increased by 6% this quarter compared to the third quarter of 2011 due to higher output. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP’s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $166 million this quarter under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $119 million in the third quarter of 2011. About 72% of BPLP’s output was sold under financial contracts this quarter

 

24    CAMECO CORPORATION


compared to 53% in the third quarter of 2011. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. Gains on BPLP’s contracting activity were slightly lower than in 2011.

The capacity factor was 99% this quarter, up from 93% in the third quarter of 2011 as a result of no planned outage days. Operating costs were slightly lower at $223 million compared to $232 million in 2011.

The result was a $11 million increase in our share of earnings before taxes.

BPLP distributed $95 million to the partners in the third quarter; our share was $30 million. Also, BPLP made capital calls of $17 million to the partners in the third quarter; our share was $5 million. The partners have agreed that BPLP will distribute excess cash monthly and will make separate cash calls for major capital projects.

First nine months

Total electricity revenue for the first nine months increased 8% compared to 2011 due to higher output and higher realized prices. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP’s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $575 million in the first nine months of 2012 under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $351 million in the first nine months of 2011. The equivalent of about 67% of BPLP’s output was sold under financial contracts in the first nine months of this year, compared to 49% in 2011. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. Gains on BPLP’s contracting activity were slightly higher than in 2011.

The capacity factor was 92% for the first nine months of this year, up from 87% in the third quarter of 2011 due to a lower volume of outage days during this year’s planned outage compared to last year’s planned outage. Operating costs were lower at $668 million compared to $735 million in 2011 mainly due to lower supplemental lease payments and lower maintenance costs. These decreases were partially offset by higher fuel costs in the first nine months of 2012.

The result was a $50 million increase in our share of earnings before taxes.

BPLP distributed $285 million to the partners in the first nine months of 2012; our share was $90 million. BPLP made capital calls of $50 million to the partners in the first nine months of this year; our share was $16 million.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    25


Our operations and development projects

Uranium – production overview

Production in our uranium segment this quarter was unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. For the first nine months, production was down compared to the same period last year mainly due to lower production at Smith Ranch-Highland. See Uranium 2012 Q3 updates starting on page 28 for more information.

Uranium production

 

Cameco’s share

(million lbs U3O8 )

   Three months
ended September 30
           Nine months
ended September 30
        
   2012      2011      change     2012      2011      change  

McArthur River/Key Lake

     3.8         3.8         —          10.1         10.0         1

Rabbit Lake

     0.3         0.5         (40 )%      2.1         2.2         (5 )% 

Smith Ranch-Highland

     0.3         0.3         —          0.8         1.2         (33 )% 

Crow Butte

     0.2         0.2         —          0.6         0.6         —     

Inkai

     0.7         0.5         40     1.8         1.8         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

     5.3         5.3         —          15.4         15.8         (3 )% 
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Outlook

We have geographically diverse sources of production. Subject to market conditions, our plan is to focus primarily on advancing our brownfield projects and the process to extract uranium from the Talvivaara mine to achieve annual supply of 36 million pounds by 2018.

Cameco’s share of production — annual forecast to 2016

 

Current forecast

(million lbs)

   2012      2013      2014      2015      2016  

McArthur River/Key Lake

     13.5         13.2         13.1         13.1         13.1   

Rabbit Lake

     3.7         3.7         3.7         3.7         3.4   

US ISR

     2.0         3.0         3.1         3.7         3.8   

Inkai1

     2.5         2.9         2.9         2.9         2.9   

Cigar Lake

     —           0.3         1.9         5.5         7.9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total share of production

     21.7         23.1         24.7         29.1         31.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Cameco’s share of Inkai’s production on which profits are generated1

              

Inkai1

     2.6         3.0         3.0         3.0         3.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total2

     21.8         23.2         24.8         29.2         31.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

1 

In 2011, we signed a memorandum of agreement (2011 MOA) with Kazatomprom to increase annual production to 5.2 million pounds (100% basis). Once implemented, we will receive the right to purchase 2.9 million pounds of Inkai’s annual production and receive profits on 3.0 million pounds.

2 

We have adjusted the production table to reflect the share of Inkai’s production we will use to calculate our profits under the 2011 MOA, as described in the note above.

 

26    CAMECO CORPORATION


Our 2012 and future annual production targets for Inkai assume, and we expect:

 

   

Inkai will obtain the necessary government permits and approvals to produce at an annual rate of 5.2 million pounds (100% basis), including an amendment to the resource use contract

 

   

we implement the 2011 MOA

 

   

Inkai will ramp up production to an annual rate of 5.2 million pounds (100% basis)

There is no certainty Inkai will receive these permits or approvals or we will implement the 2011 MOA or that Inkai will be able to ramp up production. If Inkai does not, or if the permits and approvals are delayed, Inkai may be unable to achieve its 2012 and future annual production targets and we may have to re-categorize some of Inkai’s mineral reserves as resources.

 

 

This forecast is forward-looking information. It is based on the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed on pages 2 and 3, and specifically on the assumptions and risks listed here. Actual production may be significantly different from this forecast.

 

Assumptions

 

   

we achieve our forecast production for each operation, which requires, among other things, that our mining plans succeed, processing plants and equipment are available and function as designed, we have sufficient tailings capacity and our mineral reserve estimates are reliable

 

   

we obtain or maintain the necessary permits and approvals from government authorities

 

   

our production is not disrupted or reduced as a result of natural phenomena, labour disputes, political risks, blockades or other acts of social or political activism, shortage or lack of supplies critical to production, equipment failures or other development and operation risks

 

Material risks that could cause actual results to differ materially

 

   

we do not achieve forecast production levels for each operation because of a change in our mining plans, processing plants or equipment are not available or do not function as designed, lack of tailings capacity or for other reasons

 

   

we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits or approvals from government authorities

 

   

natural phenomena, labour disputes, political risks, blockades or other acts of social or political activism, shortage or lack of supplies critical to production, equipment failures or other development and operation risks disrupt or reduce our production

 

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    27


Uranium 2012 Q3 updates

Operating properties

McArthur River/Key Lake

Production update

Production for the quarter and the first nine months was unchanged compared to the same periods last year. We expect our share of production this year to increase to 13.5 million pounds compared to our previous forecast of 13.1 million pounds U3O8.

Production varies from quarter to quarter depending on the sequencing of mining raises and timing of maintenance shutdowns at the mill.

Operations update

At McArthur River, we have started to upgrade our electrical infrastructure to address the future need for increased ventilation and freeze capacity associated with mining new zones and increasing mine production.

At Key Lake, the new steam, oxygen and acid plants are operational. We have started projects to replace the calciner and the electrical substation.

We continue to make excellent progress in flattening the slope of the Deilmann tailings management facility pitwalls at Key Lake. The project will reduce the risk of loss of tailings capacity due to pitwall sloughing.

We are continuing to advance work on the environmental assessment for the Key Lake extension project. We have received comments from the regulators on our draft environmental impact statement and are working to address the questions and issues they have raised. We plan to submit the final environmental impact statement in 2013.

In cooperation with several uranium industry partners in Saskatchewan, we have been working on a plan with the provincial government to connect our McArthur River and Cigar Lake mine sites by completing Highway 914 in the Athabasca Basin. This crucial connection will expand access to milling infrastructure across the northern part of the province, enhance transportation efficiency and offer an alternate route in and out of northern Saskatchewan. The Government of Saskatchewan has agreed to fund half of the cost of the final road with the industry partners sharing the remaining half.

Technical report

We are updating the February 2009 McArthur River technical report to reflect further advancements and changes to the McArthur River operations since that time. We plan to file the updated technical report during the fourth quarter. The highlights of the technical report are:

 

   

a 19% increase in our share of the mineral reserves estimate from 226.2 million pounds at December 31, 2011 to 269.1 million pounds as of August 31, 2012 due to a 22% addition in tonnage and a slight decrease in the estimated average grade. See McArthur River mineral reserves and mineral resources estimates table below for more details.

 

   

a decrease in the estimated average cash operating cost to about $19.23 per pound over the life of the mine from about $19.69 per pound estimated in 2009, despite the escalating costs in the industry. See table titled McArthur River/Key Lake life of mine production, average unit operating costs and capital cost forecasts below for more details.

 

   

a production rate increase to 22 million pounds per year scheduled for 2018, subject to regulatory approval

 

   

a mine life of at least 22 years, based on the planned production schedule

 

   

our share of capital costs at McArthur River and Key Lake to 2034 is estimated at $2.5 billion compared to $1.4 billion in the previous report. More than 40% of this increase is related to the addition of more than 85 million pounds of new production since the 2009 technical report, and about 15% relates to expenditures required to allow production at a higher rate such as additional ventilation including the sinking of a fourth shaft. The

 

28    CAMECO CORPORATION


remainder of the increase is related to expanding the infrastructure to support ongoing and expanded operations, and general cost escalation. We expect these changes will generate significant cash flows for years to come.

McArthur River mineral reserves and mineral resources estimates

(tonnes in thousands, pounds in millions)

 

(as at August 31, 2012)

   Tonnes      Grade
% U3O8
     Content
(lbs U3O8)
     Cameco’s share
of content

(lbs U3O8)
 

Reserves

           

Proven

     384.4         23.81         201.8         140.8   

Probable

     677.8         12.30         183.7         128.3   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total proven and probable mineral reserves

     1,062.2         16.46         385.5         269.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Resources

           

Measured

     68.6         5.53         8.4         5.8   

Indicated

     15.5         9.97         3.4         2.4   

Total measured and indicated mineral resources

     84.1         6.35         11.8         8.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Inferred mineral resources

     325.0         7.86         56.3         39.3   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Notes:

 

   

Mineral reserves and mineral resources are reported separately. Mineral resources do not include amounts identified as mineral reserves. Reported mineral reserves have not been adjusted for estimated mill recovery of 98.7%.

 

   

Our share of total mineral reserves and total mineral resources is 69.805%.

 

   

Inferred mineral resources have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and whether they can be mined legally or economically. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of the inferred mineral resources will be upgraded to a higher category.

 

   

Mineral resources are estimated at a minimum mineralized thickness of 1.0 metre and a minimum grade of 0.1% to 0.5% U3O8 assuming extraction by underground mining methods. Mineral reserves have been estimated at a cut-off grade of 0.77% U3O8.

 

   

The geological model employed for McArthur River involves geological interpretations on section and plan derived from surface and underground drillhole information.

 

   

Mineral reserves include allowances for estimated dilution (20%) from backfill and mineralized waste mined and mining recovery (97.5%). Mineral resources do not include such allowances.

 

   

Mineral reserves are estimated using the raisebore, boxhole and blasthole stope mining methods combined with freeze curtains.

 

   

Mineral resources are estimated using a cross-sectional method and 3-dimensional block models. Mineral reserves are estimated using 3-dimensional block models.

 

   

An average uranium price assumption of $61US/lb U3O8 and a fixed exchange rate of $1.00 US=$1.00 Cdn was used to estimate mineral reserves. The McArthur River mineral reserves are not significantly sensitive to variances in the uranium price of plus or minus $20 provided that annual production remains above 10 million pounds U3O8. The price assumption is based on independent industry and analyst estimates of spot prices and the corresponding long-term prices and reflects our committed and uncommitted sales volumes. For committed sales volumes, the spot and term price assumptions were applied in accordance with the terms of the agreements. For uncommitted sales volumes the same price assumptions were applied using a spot-to-term price ratio of 60-40.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    29


   

No known metallurgical, environmental, permitting, legal, title, taxation, socio-economic, political, marketing or other issues are expected to materially affect the above estimates of mineral resources and mineral reserves.

 

   

Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Totals may not add due to rounding.

McArthur River/Key Lake life of mine production, average unit operating costs and capital cost forecasts

(as per technical report)

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2012      2013      2014      2015      2016      2017      2018      2019  

Production (million lbs)

     13.5         13.2         13.1         13.1         13.1         13.1         15.4         15.4   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8)

     16.74         17.26         17.52         17.37         17.64         17.20         15.01         15.37   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     189.3         235.0         285.8         236.8         214.2         151.8         168.7         134.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2020      2021      2022      2023      2024      2025      2026      2027  

Production (million lbs)

     15.4         15.4         14.9         14.9         14.9         14.9         14.7         13.5   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8)

     15.28         15.28         15.91         15.99         16.09         17.25         17.47         18.75   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     107.5         109.7         89.6         67.8         65.9         67.5         52.2         58.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(as at January 1, 2012)

   2028      2029      2030      2031      2032      2033      2034      Total  

Production (million lbs)

     13.3         7.2         7.2         7.1         7.1         4.4         4.5         279.1   

Average operating cost ($Cdn/lb U3O8)

     18.74         31.90         31.23         31.68         31.65         48.29         47.97         19.23   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total capital costs ($ millions)

     55.0         40.2         40.8         36.2         28.5         17.6         11.9         2,464.4   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Rabbit Lake

Production update

Production remains on track for the year. To ensure the most efficient operation of the mill throughout the year, we continually manage ore supply and, therefore, experience large variations in mill production from quarter to quarter.

Operations update

We completed the scheduled mill maintenance shutdown this quarter. A short delay in restarting the mill resulted in slightly lower production compared to the third quarter of 2011, although we are maintaining our forecast production of 3.7 million pounds for the year.

We completed our surface exploration drilling program, which returned positive results near the existing mining operations.

Smith Ranch-Highland and Crow Butte

Production update

At our US operations, production for the quarter was unchanged compared to the third quarter of 2011. Production for the first nine months was 33% lower compared to the same period last year due to lower production from Smith Ranch-Highland in the first half of the year.

We have decreased our production forecast for the year by 17% to 2.0 million pounds based on the outlook for the approval of new mine units. Our ability to bring new wellfields into production at Smith Ranch-Highland continues to be affected by the lengthened review process to obtain regulatory approvals.

 

30    CAMECO CORPORATION


Operations update

We received approval to produce from mine unit K-North at Smith Ranch-Highland and continue to seek regulatory approvals to proceed with the rest of our expansion plans.

Inkai

Production update

Production was 40% higher for the quarter and unchanged for the first nine months compared to the same periods last year. We continue to bring on additional wellfields to maintain some new, typically higher grade, wellfields in the production mix. Production at the Inkai operation steadily improved over the quarter and the facility is now operating at design capacity.

Operations update

We continue to pursue government approval of an amendment to the resource use contract in order to implement the production increase from blocks 1 and 2 to 5.2 million pounds of U3O8 (100% basis).

Delineation drilling at block 3 continues and construction of the test leach facility is underway.

On October 31, 2012, our board of directors approved a binding memorandum of agreement (2012 MOA) with our joint venture partner Kazatomprom setting out a framework to:

 

   

increase Inkai’s annual production from blocks 1 and 2 to 10.4 million pounds of uranium concentrate (our share 5.2 million pounds) and sustain it at that level

 

   

extend the term of Inkai’s resource use contract through 2045

Kazatomprom is pursuing a strategic objective to develop uranium processing capacity in Kazakhstan to complement its leading uranium mining operations. The 2012 MOA builds on the non-binding memorandum of understanding signed in 2007 to co-operate on the development of uranium conversion capacity, with Kazatomprom’s primary focus now being on uranium refining rather than uranium conversion.

The 2012 MOA strengthens our partnership with Kazatomprom and includes a number of connected provisions relating to the increase of Inkai’s annual production and extension to the term of Inkai’s resource use contract. Under the terms of the 2012 MOA, we agree to:

 

   

adjust our ownership interests in Inkai to 50% on an overall basis after achieving the production increase

 

   

make two milestone payments of $34 million (US) each – the first after Inkai receives all necessary government approvals to increase uranium production to 10.4 million pounds (100%) annually through 2045, and the second after the increased production target is achieved

 

   

pay to Kazatomprom a royalty of $5 (US) per pound of uranium concentrate on our share of production above 2.6 million pounds annually from Inkai once Inkai obtains all approvals required for the production increase to 10.4 million pounds (100% basis)

 

   

participate in the construction and operation of a uranium refinery in Kazakhstan with capacity to produce 6,000 tonnes of uranium (tU) as UO3 annually, where we will own one third of the refinery and the remaining two thirds will be owned by Kazatomprom, with construction to begin by 2018

 

   

provide Kazatomprom with a five-year option to license our proprietary uranium conversion technology for purposes of constructing and operating a UF6 conversion facility in Kazakhstan

 

   

negotiate with Kazatomprom toward a conversion services agreement for up to 4,000 tU of conversion services annually and/or, for a three-year period, provide an opportunity for Kazatomprom to acquire a one-third interest in our conversion facility in Canada

Under the 2012 MOA, the first steps will be to complete a feasibility study for the production increase, and a prefeasibility study for the uranium refinery. We agree to work with Kazatomprom to pace investments for increasing uranium production to match progress on the transfer of our uranium refining technology and construction of the uranium refinery in Kazakhstan, subject to market conditions.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    31


Implementation of the 2012 MOA is subject to:

 

   

further agreements on a number of issues including agreements governing the ownership, construction and operation of the uranium refinery in Kazakhstan

 

   

approval by Kazatomprom’s board of directors

 

   

the receipt of all necessary Canadian and Kazakhstan governmental approvals including all licences and permits required to allow the transfer and licensing of our uranium refining technology

Development project

Cigar Lake

We continued to make solid progress at Cigar Lake this quarter.

We have assembled the first jet boring system unit underground and moved it to a production tunnel where we:

 

   

have begun preliminary commissioning

 

   

will begin systems testing

 

   

will prepare to test in waste rock.

In shaft 2 we are installing infrastructure, including a concrete ventilation partition, electrical cable, water services, ore slurry pipes and hoist systems.

We will focus on carrying out the remainder of our 2012 plans and implementing the strategies we outlined in our annual MD&A. We continue to expect first commissioning in ore in mid-2013 and the first packaged pounds in the fourth quarter of 2013.

Cigar Lake is a key part of our plan to increase annual uranium supply, and we are committed to bringing this valuable asset safely into production.

Projects under evaluation

Millennium

We have received comments from the regulators on our draft environmental impact statement and are working to address the questions and issues they have raised. We plan to submit the final environmental impact statement in 2013.

We completed the summer exploration drill program and successfully identified additional mineralization at the unconformity.

We will advance this project at a pace aligned with market opportunities and economic circumstances.

Kintyre

On October 11, 2012, we announced the successful signing of a mine development agreement with the Martu – a key activity in our project planning.

Based on our review of the current market environment, we will complete the value engineering and the environmental permitting in order to maintain the ability to proceed with the project should the market factors improve the economics. However, we have decided not to proceed with the detailed feasibility study at this time.

 

32    CAMECO CORPORATION


Fuel services 2012 Q3 updates

Port Hope conversion services

Cameco Fuel Manufacturing Inc.

Springfields Fuels Ltd. (SFL)

Production update

Fuel services produced 2.1 million kgU in the third quarter, 25% lower than the same period last year. Production for the first nine months of the year was 10.9 million kgU, 6% lower than the same period last year. As a result of the planned reduction in production, results will remain lower than comparable periods in 2011; however, production remains on track for the year.

Qualified persons

The technical and scientific information discussed in this MD&A for our material properties (McArthur River/Key Lake, Inkai and Cigar Lake) was approved by the following individuals who are qualified persons for the purposes of

NI 43-101:

 

McArthur River/Key Lake

 

   

David Bronkhorst, vice-president, Saskatchewan mining south, Cameco

 

   

Alain Mainville, director, mineral resources management, Cameco

 

   

Les Yesnik, general manager, Key Lake, Cameco

 

   

Gregory Murdock, technical manager, McArthur River, Cameco

Cigar Lake

 

   

Grant Goddard, vice-president, Saskatchewan mining north, Cameco

Inkai

 

   

Dave Neuburger, vice-president, international mining, Cameco

 

 

Additional information

Related party transactions

We buy significant amounts of goods and services for our Saskatchewan mining operations from northern Saskatchewan suppliers to support economic development in the region. One of these suppliers is Points Athabasca Contracting Ltd. (PACL). In the first nine months of 2012, we paid PACL $32 million for construction and contracting services (2011—$47 million). These transactions were carried out in the normal course of business. A member of Cameco’s board of directors is the president of PACL.

Critical accounting estimates

In our 2011 annual MD&A, we have identified the critical accounting estimates that reflect the more significant judgments used in the preparation of our financial statements. Please refer to note 2 of our interim financial statements for a detailed description of our application of estimates and judgment in the preparation of our financial information.

Controls and procedures

As of September 30, 2012, we carried out an evaluation under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our chief executive officer (CEO) and chief financial officer (CFO), of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures. There are inherent limitations to the effectiveness of any system of disclosure controls and procedures, including the possibility of human error and the circumvention or overriding of the controls and procedures. Accordingly, even effective disclosure controls and procedures can only provide reasonable assurance of achieving their control objectives.

 

2012 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    33


Based upon that evaluation and as of September 30, 2012, the CEO and CFO concluded that:

 

   

the disclosure controls and procedures were effective to provide reasonable assurance that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file and submit under applicable securities laws is recorded, processed, summarized and reported as and when required

 

   

such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our CEO and CFO, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure

There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter ended September 30, 2012 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

New accounting pronouncements

New standards and interpretations not yet adopted

We have not yet adopted the standards and amendments to existing standards that have been issued. The standards and amendments, unless otherwise stated, are effective for periods beginning on or after January 1, 2013. Please refer to our 2011 annual MD&A for a brief description of each accounting pronouncement. We are assessing the impact of the following standards and amendments on our financial statements:

 

   

IFRS 7, Financial Instruments: Disclosures

 

   

IFRS 9, Financial Instruments

 

   

IFRS 10, Consolidated Financial Statements

 

   

IFRS 11, Joint Arrangements

 

   

IFRS 12, Disclosure of Interests in Other Entities

 

   

IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurement

 

   

IAS 1, Presentation of Financial Statements

 

   

IAS 19, Employee Benefits

 

   

IAS 32, Financial Instruments: Presentation (January 1, 2014)

 

34    CAMECO CORPORATION

EX-99.3 4 d432032dex993.htm EX-99.3 EX-99.3

Exhibit 99.3

Cameco Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Earnings

(Unaudited)

($Cdn Thousands, except per share amounts)

 

                  (Recast -           (Recast -  
                  note 3(b))           note 3(b))  
            Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Note      Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Revenue from products and services

      $ 408,397      $ 526,952      $ 1,363,079      $ 1,413,758   

Cost of products and services sold

        218,131        284,519        770,670        828,142   

Depreciation and amortization

        55,576        63,376        176,406        162,163   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cost of sales

        273,707        347,895        947,076        990,305   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit

        134,690        179,057        416,003        423,453   

Administration

        38,735        38,091        124,164        106,073   

Exploration

        34,547        31,720        75,404        62,206   

Research and development

        2,181        2,071        6,159        3,797   

Loss (gain) on sale of assets

        512        418        (1,637     1,113   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings from operations

        58,715        106,757        211,913        250,264   

Finance costs

     8         (29,716     (16,385     (64,735     (55,946

Gains (losses) on derivatives

     13         53,038        (75,804     54,612        (40,216

Finance income

        4,746        5,922        16,535        19,037   

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

        (1,962     (1,443     (4,733     (5,573

Other expense

        —          (1,614     (25,745     (1,061
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

        84,821        17,433        187,847        166,505   

Income tax expense (recovery)

     9         3,250        (21,711     (32,559     (18,777
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

      $ 81,571      $ 39,144      $ 220,406      $ 185,282   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings (loss) attributable to:

           

Equity holders

      $ 81,775      $ 39,452      $ 221,390      $ 185,590   

Non-controlling interest

        (204     (308     (984     (308
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

      $ 81,571      $ 39,144      $ 220,406      $ 185,282   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings per common share attributable to equity holders

           

Basic

     14       $ 0.21      $ 0.10      $ 0.56      $ 0.47   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted

     14       $ 0.21      $ 0.10      $ 0.56      $ 0.47   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

1


Cameco Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

(Unaudited)

($Cdn Thousands)

 

                  (Recast -           (Recast -  
                  note 3(b))           note 3(b))  
            Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Note      Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Net earnings

      $ 81,571      $ 39,144      $ 220,406      $ 185,282   

Other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes

     9            

Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations

        (33,089     55,268        (36,194     40,885   

Gains (losses) on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

        (1,778     544        3,911        3,666   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges transferred to net earnings

        (4,108     (4,062     (15,941     (15,294

Unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale assets

        70        60        (20     744   

Gains on available-for-sale assets transferred to net earnings

        (92     (8     (130     (1,848

Defined benefit plan actuarial losses

        (105,133     (109,897     (105,133     (109,897
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Other comprehensive loss, net of taxes

        (144,130     (58,095     (153,507     (81,744
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total comprehensive income (loss)

      $ (62,559   $ (18,951   $ 66,899      $ 103,538   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Other comprehensive income (loss) attributable to:

           

Equity holders

      $ (144,089   $ (58,416   $ (153,377   $ (82,065

Non-controlling interest

        (41     321        (130     321   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Other comprehensive loss for the period

      $ (144,130   $ (58,095   $ (153,507   $ (81,744
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total comprehensive income (loss) attributable to:

           

Equity holders

      $ (62,314   $ (18,964   $ 68,013      $ 103,525   

Non-controlling interest

        (245     13        (1,114     13   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total comprehensive income (loss) for the period

      $ (62,559   $ (18,951   $ 66,899      $ 103,538   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

2


Cameco Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Financial Position

(Unaudited)

($Cdn Thousands)

 

                  (Recast -  
                  note 3(b))  
            As At  
     Note      Sep 30/12     Dec 31/11  

Assets

       

Current assets

       

Cash and cash equivalents

      $ 465,536      $ 398,084   

Short-term investments

        198,432        804,141   

Accounts receivable

        319,801        611,815   

Current tax assets

        28,049        31,388   

Inventories

     4         718,820        493,875   

Supplies and prepaid expenses

        215,233        182,037   

Current portion of long-term receivables, investments and other

     5         91,042        62,433   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current assets

        2,036,913        2,583,773   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property, plant and equipment

        4,780,329        4,349,492   

Intangible assets

        95,484        98,954   

Long-term receivables, investments and other

     5         304,263        283,818   

Investments in equity-accounted investees

        211,639        220,226   

Deferred tax assets

        170,582        81,392   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total non-current assets

        5,562,297        5,033,882   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

      $ 7,599,210      $ 7,617,655   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity

       

Current liabilities

       

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

      $ 446,047      $ 455,499   

Current tax liabilities

        17,733        39,330   

Short-term debt

        62,972        97,830   

Dividends payable

        39,535        39,475   

Current portion of finance lease obligation

        15,958        14,852   

Current portion of other liabilities

     6         18,032        50,495   

Current portion of provisions

        14,416        14,857   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current liabilities

        614,693        712,338   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Long-term debt

        795,655        795,144   

Finance lease obligation

        118,879        130,982   

Other liabilities

     6         665,985        528,264   

Provisions

        507,396        519,625   

Deferred tax liabilities

        7,864        8,165   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total non-current liabilities

        2,095,779        1,982,180   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

       

Share capital

        1,851,474        1,842,289   

Contributed surplus

        165,156        155,757   

Retained earnings

        2,872,638        2,874,973   

Other components of equity

        (1,669     46,575   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity attributable to equity holders

        4,887,599        4,919,594   

Non-controlling interest

        1,139        3,543   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

        4,888,738        4,923,137   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

      $ 7,599,210      $ 7,617,655   
     

 

 

   

 

 

 

Commitments and contingencies [notes 9,12]

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

3


Cameco Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity

(Unaudited)

($Cdn Thousands)

 

                                                (Recast -        
                                                note 3(b))        
     Attributable to equity holders              
                        Foreign                       Non-        
     Share      Contributed     Retained     Currency     Cash Flow     Available-For-           Controlling     Total  
     Capital      Surplus     Earnings     Translation     Hedges     Sale Assets     Total     Interest     Equity  

Balance at January 1, 2012

   $ 1,842,289       $ 155,757      $ 2,874,973      $ 26,867      $ 19,560      $ 148      $ 4,919,594      $ 3,543      $ 4,923,137   

Net earnings

     —           —          221,390        —          —          —          221,390        (984     220,406   

Total other comprehensive loss

     —           —          (105,133     (36,064     (12,030     (150     (153,377     (130     (153,507
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total comprehensive income for the period

     —           —          116,257        (36,064     (12,030     (150     68,013        (1,114     66,899   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Share-based compensation

     —           13,747        —          —          —          —          13,747        —          13,747   

Share options exercised

     9,185         (4,348     —          —          —          —          4,837        —          4,837   

Dividends

     —           —          (118,592     —          —          —          (118,592     —          (118,592

Change in ownership interests in subsidiary

     —           —          —          —          —          —          —          (1,290     (1,290
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at September 30, 2012

   $ 1,851,474       $ 165,156      $ 2,872,638      $ (9,197   $ 7,530      $ (2   $ 4,887,599      $ 1,139      $ 4,888,738   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at January 1, 2011

     1,833,257         142,376        2,690,184        (7,276     30,306        1,793        4,690,640        —          4,690,640   

Net earnings

     —           —          185,590        —          —          —          185,590        (308     185,282   

Total other comprehensive income (loss)

     —           —          (109,897     40,564        (11,628     (1,104     (82,065     321        (81,744
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total comprehensive income for the period

     —           —          75,693        40,564        (11,628     (1,104     103,525        13        103,538   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Share-based compensation

     —           14,520        —          —          —          —          14,520        —          14,520   

Share options exercised

     8,582         (6,004     —          —          —          —          2,578        —          2,578   

Dividends

     —           —          (118,413     —          —          —          (118,413     —          (118,413

Change in ownership interests in subsidiary

     —           —          (3,691     —          —          —          (3,691     3,884        193   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Balance at September 30, 2011

   $ 1,841,839       $ 150,892      $ 2,643,773      $ 33,288      $ 18,678      $ 689      $ 4,689,159      $ 3,897      $ 4,693,056   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

4


Cameco Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited)

($Cdn Thousands)

 

                  (Recast -           (Recast -  
                  note 3(b))           note 3(b))  
            Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Note      Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Operating activities

           

Net earnings

      $ 81,571      $ 39,144      $ 220,406      $ 185,282   

Adjustments for:

           

Depreciation and amortization

        55,576        63,376        176,406        162,163   

Deferred charges

        4,788        (927     (10,852     (9,113

Unrealized losses (gains) on derivatives

        (48,991     91,363        (52,267     101,219   

Share-based compensation

     11         3,821        3,200        13,747        14,520   

Loss (gain) on sale of assets

        512        418        (1,637     1,113   

Finance costs

     8         29,716        16,385        64,735        55,946   

Finance income

        (4,746     (5,922     (16,535     (19,037

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

        1,962        1,443        4,733        5,573   

Other income (expense)

        —          1,037        (3,796     (3,053

Income tax expense (recovery)

     9         3,250        (21,711     (32,559     (18,777

Interest received

        6,011        6,658        18,241        16,347   

Income taxes paid

        (2,000     (6,246     (55,329     (54,129

Income taxes refunded

        4,383        24,706        17,546        24,706   

Other operating items

     10         (92,140     (20,555     18,547        23,831   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash provided by operations

        43,713        192,369        361,386        486,591   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investing activities

           

Additions to property, plant and equipment

        (212,692     (179,454     (664,193     (443,293

Decrease in short-term investments

        382,764        222,075        605,534        232,821   

Decrease (increase) in long-term receivables, investments and other

        (467     11,882        (30,419     39,376   

Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment

        25        29        3,124        61   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash provided by (used in) investing

        169,630        54,532        (85,954     (171,035
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Financing activities

           

Increase in debt

        2,690        4,533        —          3,459   

Decrease in debt

        —          —          (43,946     (9,796

Interest paid

        (24,470     (24,064     (51,452     (51,152

Proceeds from issuance of shares, stock option plan

        693        58        6,997        6,996   

Dividends paid

        (39,531     (39,472     (118,531     (106,547
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash used in financing

        (60,618     (58,945     (206,932     (157,040
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Increase in cash during the period

        152,725        187,956        68,500        158,516   

Exchange rate changes on foreign currency cash balances

        (817     8,249        (1,048     7,800   

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

        313,628        345,491        398,084        375,380   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

      $ 465,536      $ 541,696      $ 465,536      $ 541,696   
     

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents is comprised of:

           

Cash

          $ 60,550      $ 58,446   

Cash equivalents

            404,986        483,250   
         

 

 

   

 

 

 
          $ 465,536      $ 541,696   
         

 

 

   

 

 

 

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

5


Cameco Corporation

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements

(Unaudited)

($Cdn thousands except per share amounts and as noted)

 

1. Cameco Corporation

Cameco Corporation is incorporated under the Canada Business Corporations Act. The address of its registered office is 2121 11th Street West, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7M 1J3. The condensed consolidated interim financial statements as at and for the period ended September 30, 2012 comprise Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively, the “Company” or “Cameco”) and the Company’s interest in associates and joint ventures. The Company is primarily engaged in the exploration for and the development, mining, refining, conversion and fabrication of uranium for sale as fuel for generating electricity in nuclear power reactors in Canada and other countries. Cameco has a 31.6% interest in Bruce Power L.P. (“BPLP”), which operates the four Bruce B nuclear reactors in Ontario.

 

2. Significant Accounting Policies

 

  (a) Statement of Compliance

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34, Interim Financial Reporting. The condensed consolidated interim financial statements do not include all of the information required for full annual financial statements and should be read in conjunction with Cameco’s annual consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended December 31, 2011.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements were authorized for issuance by the Company’s board of directors on October 31, 2012.

 

  (b) Basis of Presentation

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements are presented in Canadian dollars, which is the Company’s functional currency. All financial information presented in Canadian dollars has been rounded to the nearest thousand except where otherwise noted.

The condensed consolidated interim financial statements have been prepared on the historical cost basis except for the following material items in the statement of financial position: derivative financial instruments, available-for-sale financial assets and liabilities for cash-settled share-based payment arrangements are measured at fair value and the defined benefit asset is recognized as plan assets, plus unrecognized past service cost, less the present value of the defined benefit obligation.

The preparation of the condensed consolidated interim financial statements in conformity with IFRS requires management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the application of accounting policies and the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses. Actual results may vary from these estimates.

In preparing these condensed consolidated interim financial statements, the significant judgments made by management in applying the Company’s accounting policies and key sources of estimation uncertainty were the same as those that applied to the consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended December 31, 2011.

Estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on an ongoing basis. Revisions to accounting estimates are recognized in the period in which the estimates are revised and in any future periods affected. The areas involving a higher degree of judgment or complexity, or areas where assumptions and estimates are significant to the consolidated financial statements are disclosed in note 6 of the December 31, 2011 consolidated financial statements.

 

3. Accounting Changes

 

  (a) New Standards and Interpretations not yet Adopted

The Company has not yet adopted the standards and amendments to existing standards that have been issued. The standards and amendments, unless otherwise stated, are effective for periods beginning on or after January 1, 2013. Cameco is assessing the impact of the following standards and amendments on its financial statements:

 

  (i) Financial Instruments

In October 2010, the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) issued IFRS 9, Financial Instruments (“IFRS 9”). This standard is part of a wider project to replace IAS 39, Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement (“IAS 39”). IFRS 9 replaces the current multiple classification and measurement models for financial assets and liabilities with a single model that has only two classification categories: amortized cost and fair value. The basis of classification depends on the entity’s business model and the contractual cash flow

 

6


characteristics of the financial asset or liability. The guidance in IAS 39 on impairment of financial assets and hedge accounting continues to apply.

 

  (ii) Consolidated Financial Statements

In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 10, Consolidated Financial Statements (“IFRS 10”). This standard establishes principles for the presentation and preparation of consolidated financial statements when an entity controls one or more other entities. IFRS 10 defines the principle of control and establishes control as the basis for determining which entities are consolidated in the consolidated financial statements.

 

  (iii) Joint Arrangements

In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 11, Joint Arrangements (“IFRS 11”). This standard establishes principles for financial reporting by parties to a joint arrangement. IFRS 11 requires a party to assess the rights and obligations arising from an arrangement in determining whether an arrangement is either a joint venture or a joint operation. Joint ventures are to be accounted for using the equity method while joint operations will continue to be accounted for using proportionate consolidation.

 

  (iv) Disclosure of Interests in Other Entities

In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 12, Disclosure of Interests in Other Entities (“IFRS 12”). This standard applies to entities that have an interest in a subsidiary, a joint arrangement, an associate or an unconsolidated structured entity. IFRS 12 integrates and makes consistent the disclosure requirements for a reporting entity’s interest in other entities and presents those requirements in a single standard.

 

  (v) Fair Value Measurement

In May 2011, the IASB issued IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurement (“IFRS 13”). This standard provides additional guidance where IFRS requires fair value to be used. IFRS 13 defines fair value, sets out in a single standard a framework for measuring fair value and establishes the required disclosures about fair value measurements.

 

  (vi) Employee Benefits

In June 2011, the IASB issued an amended version of IAS 19, Employee Benefits (“IAS 19”). This amendment eliminates the ‘corridor method’ of accounting for defined benefit plans. Revised IAS 19 also streamlines the presentation of changes in assets and liabilities arising from defined benefit plans, and enhances the disclosure requirements for defined benefit plans.

 

  (vii) Presentation of Other Comprehensive Income (“OCI”)

In June 2011, the IASB issued an amended version of IAS 1, Presentation of Financial Statements (“IAS 1”). This amendment is effective for annual periods beginning on or after July 1, 2012 and requires companies preparing financial statements in accordance with IFRS to group together items within OCI that may be reclassified to the profit or loss section of the statement of earnings. Revised IAS 1 also reaffirms existing requirements that items in OCI and profit or loss should be presented as either a single statement or two consecutive statements.

 

  (viii) Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities

In December 2011, the IASB issued amendments to IAS 32, Financial Instruments: Presentation (“IAS 32”) and IFRS 7, Financial Instruments: Disclosures (“IFRS 7”). The amendments are effective for periods beginning on or after January 1, 2013 for IFRS 7 and January 1, 2014 for IAS 32 and are to be applied retrospectively. These amendments clarify matters regarding offsetting financial assets and financial liabilities as well as related disclosure requirements.

 

7


  (b) Accounting for Kintyre

In August 2008, Cameco acquired a 70% interest in the Kintyre exploration project in Australia. The Company previously consolidated its investment in Kintyre on the basis that it was able to exercise control over the asset. In the second quarter of 2012, the Company reconsidered the accounting treatment applied to Kintyre and concluded that consolidation of the investment was not appropriate and only Cameco’s interest in the assets and liabilities of Kintyre should be recognized. Accordingly, the non-controlling interest in the assets, liabilities and expenses has been removed from the financial statements. The change in accounting has been applied retrospectively and the comparative statements for 2011 have been recast. There was no impact on retained earnings or net earnings attributable to equity holders for any of the recast periods. The most significant changes relate to a reduction of property, plant and equipment of $182,615,000 and a reduction of the non-controlling interest on the statement of changes in financial position of $182,395,000.

 

4. Inventories

 

     Sep 30/12      Dec 31/11  

Uranium

     

Concentrate

   $ 524,304       $ 361,481   

Broken ore

     39,553         14,310   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 
     563,857         375,791   

Fuel Services

     154,963         118,084   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 718,820       $ 493,875   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

5. Long-Term Receivables, Investments and Other

 

     Sep 30/12     Dec 31/11  

BPLP

    

Capital lease receivable from Bruce A Limited Partnership (“BALP”) (a)

   $ 83,140      $ 87,785   

Derivatives [note 13]

     28,287        54,010   

Available-for-sale securities

    

GoviEx Uranium (privately held)

     20,367        21,057   

Derivatives [note 13]

     48,144        17,392   

Advances receivable from Inkai JV LLP [note 16]

     96,332        78,058   

Investment tax credits

     66,699        54,038   

Other

     52,336        33,911   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 
     395,305        346,251   

Less current portion

     (91,042     (62,433
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ 304,263      $ 283,818   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) 

BPLP leases the Bruce A nuclear generating plants and other property, plant and equipment to BALP under a sublease agreement. Future minimum base rent sublease payments under the capital lease receivable are imputed using a 7.5% discount rate.

 

8


6. Other Liabilities

 

     Sep 30/12     Dec 31/11  

BPLP

    

Accrued pension and post-retirement benefit liability

   $ 617,472      $ 468,363   

Derivatives [note 13]

     11,270        19,439   

Ontario Power Generation (“OPG”) loan

     2,907        4,045   

Deferred sales

     10,175        13,739   

Derivatives [note 13]

     5,400        28,499   

Accrued pension and post-retirement benefit liability

     30,345        38,050   

Other

     6,448        6,624   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 
     684,017        578,759   

Less current portion

     (18,032     (50,495
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ 665,985      $ 528,264   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

7. Share Capital

 

  (a) At September 30, 2012, there were 395,349,044 common shares outstanding.

 

  (b) Options in respect of 9,639,467 shares are outstanding under the stock option plan and are exercisable up to 2019. For the quarter ended September 30, 2012, 35,766 options were exercised resulting in the issuance of shares (2011 – 3,800). For the nine months ended September 30, 2012, 603,621 options were exercised resulting in the issuance of shares (2011 – 363,840).

 

8. Finance Costs

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11  

Interest on long-term debt

   $ 14,439       $ 14,305      $ 40,272       $ 42,447   

Unwinding of discount on provisions

     3,396         3,240        10,172         9,978   

Other charges

     1,546         83        5,590         2,223   

Foreign exchange losses (gains)

     10,017         (1,844     7,271         (527

Interest on short-term debt

     318         601        1,430         1,825   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 29,716       $ 16,385      $ 64,735       $ 55,946   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

9


9. Income Taxes

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

        

Canada

   $ (1,557   $ (185,682   $ (165,901   $ (260,300

Foreign

     86,378        203,115        353,748        426,805   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ 84,821      $ 17,433      $ 187,847      $ 166,505   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Current income taxes (recovery)

        

Canada

   $ (1,841   $ (10,422   $ (1,307   $ (10,847

Foreign

     5,713        9,866        19,936        27,002   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ 3,872      $ (556   $ 18,629      $ 16,155   

Deferred income taxes (recovery)

        

Canada

   $ 4,829      $ (25,676   $ (40,578   $ (42,433

Foreign

     (5,451     4,521        (10,610     7,501   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (622   $ (21,155   $ (51,188   $ (34,932
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Income tax expense (recovery)

   $ 3,250      $ (21,711   $ (32,559   $ (18,777
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

In 2008, as part of the ongoing annual audits of Cameco’s Canadian tax returns, Canada Revenue Agency (“CRA”) disputed the transfer pricing methodology used by Cameco and its wholly owned Swiss subsidiary, Cameco Europe Ltd. (“CEL”), in respect of sale and purchase agreements for uranium products. From December 2008 to date, CRA issued notices of reassessment for the taxation years 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2006, which have increased Cameco’s income for Canadian income tax purposes by approximately $43,000,000, $108,000,000, $197,000,000 and $243,000,000 respectively. No reassessment received to date has resulted in more than a nominal amount of cash taxes becoming payable due to the availability of elective deductions and tax loss carrybacks. Cameco believes it is likely that CRA will reassess Cameco’s tax returns for subsequent years on a similar basis.

CRA’s Transfer Pricing Review Committee has not imposed a transfer pricing penalty for any year reassessed to date.

Having regard to advice from its external advisors, Cameco’s opinion is that CRA’s position is incorrect, and Cameco is contesting CRA’s position. However, to reflect the uncertainties of CRA’s appeals process and litigation, Cameco has recorded a cumulative tax provision related to this matter for the years 2003 through the current period in the amount of $60,000,000. No provisions for penalties or interest have been recorded. Cameco does not expect more than a nominal amount of cash taxes to be payable due to the availability of elective deductions and tax loss carryovers. While the resolution of this matter may result in liabilities that are higher or lower than the reserve, management believes that the ultimate resolution will not be material to Cameco’s financial position, results of operations or liquidity over the period. However, an unfavourable outcome for the years 2003 to 2012 could be material to Cameco’s financial position, results of operations or cash flows in the year(s) of resolution.

Further to Cameco’s decision to contest CRA’s reassessments, Cameco is pursuing its appeal rights under the Income Tax Act.

 

10


Other comprehensive income included on the consolidated statements of comprehensive income and the consolidated statements of changes in equity is presented net of income taxes. The following income tax amounts are included in each component of other comprehensive income:

For the three months ended September 30, 2012

 

     Before tax     Income tax
recovery
(expense)
    Net of tax  

Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations

   $ (33,089   $ —        $ (33,089

Losses on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     (2,370     592        (1,778

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges transferred to net earnings

     (5,477     1,369        (4,108

Unrealized gains on available-for-sale assets

     81        (11     70   

Gains on available-for-sale assets transferred to net earnings

     (106     14        (92

Defined benefit plan actuarial losses

     (140,178     35,045        (105,133
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (181,139   $ 37,009      $ (144,130
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

For the three months ended September 30, 2011

 

     Before tax     Income tax
recovery
(expense)
    Net of tax  

Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations

   $ 55,268      $ —        $ 55,268   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     725        (181     544   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges transferred to net earnings

     (5,531     1,469        (4,062

Unrealized gains on available-for-sale assets

     69        (9     60   

Gains on available-for-sale assets transferred to net earnings

     (9     1        (8

Defined benefit plan actuarial losses

     (146,529     36,632        (109,897
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (96,007   $ 37,912      $ (58,095
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2012

 

     Before tax     Income tax
recovery
(expense)
    Net of tax  

Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations

   $ (36,194   $ —        $ (36,194

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     5,214        (1,303     3,911   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges transferred to net earnings

     (21,254     5,313        (15,941

Unrealized losses on available-for-sale assets

     (25     5        (20

Gains on available-for-sale assets transferred to net earnings

     (150     20        (130

Defined benefit plan actuarial losses

     (140,178     35,045        (105,133
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (192,587   $ 39,080      $ (153,507
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

11


For the nine months ended September 30, 2011

 

     Before tax     Income tax
recovery
(expense)
    Net of tax  

Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations

   $ 40,885      $ —        $ 40,885   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges

     4,998        (1,332     3,666   

Gains on derivatives designated as cash flow hedges transferred to net earnings

     (20,872     5,578        (15,294

Unrealized gains on available-for-sale assets

     860        (116     744   

Gains on available-for-sale assets transferred to net earnings

     (2,129     281        (1,848

Defined benefit plan actuarial losses

     (146,529     36,632        (109,897
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (122,787   $ 41,043      $ (81,744
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

10. Statements of Cash Flows

Other Operating Items

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Changes in non-cash working capital:

        

Accounts receivable

   $ (3,059   $ (60,949   $ 292,043      $ 168,701   

Inventories

     (130,183     (548     (193,221     (117,127

Supplies and prepaid expenses

     (17,438     (8,509     (33,633     (12,549

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

     60,339        40,465        (10,131     600   

Other

     (1,799     8,986        (36,511     (15,794
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

   $ (92,140   $ (20,555   $ 18,547      $ 23,831   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

11. Share-Based Compensation Plans

The Company has the following equity-settled plans:

 

  (a) Stock Option Plan

The Company has established a stock option plan under which options to purchase common shares may be granted to employees of Cameco. Options granted under the stock option plan have an exercise price of not less than the closing price quoted on the TSX for the common shares of Cameco on the trading day prior to the date on which the option is granted. The options vest over three years and expire eight years from the date granted.

The aggregate number of common shares that may be issued pursuant to the Cameco stock option plan shall not exceed 43,017,198, of which 27,090,440 shares have been issued.

 

  (b) Executive Performance Share Unit (“PSU”)

The Company has established a PSU plan whereby it provides each plan participant an annual grant of PSUs in an amount determined by the board. Each PSU represents one phantom common share that entitles the participant to a payment of one Cameco common share purchased on the open market, or cash at the board’s discretion, at the end of each three-year period if certain performance and vesting criteria have been met. The final value of the PSUs will be based on the value of Cameco common shares at the end of the three-year period and the number of PSUs that ultimately vest. Vesting of PSUs at the end of the three-year period will be based on total shareholder return over the three years, Cameco’s ability to meet its annual cash flow from operations targets and whether the participating executive remains employed by Cameco at the end of the three-year vesting period.

 

12


  (c) Executive Restricted Share Unit (“RSU”)

In 2011, the Company established an RSU plan whereby it provides each plan participant a grant of RSUs in an amount determined by the board. Each RSU represents one phantom common share that entitles the participant to a payment of one Cameco common share purchased on the open market, or cash at the board’s discretion. The final value of the RSUs will be based on the value of Cameco common shares at the end of the three-year vesting period.

Cameco records compensation expense with an offsetting credit to contributed surplus to reflect the estimated fair value of the equity-settled share-based compensation plans granted to employees.

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11      Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11  

Stock option plan

   $ 2,605       $ 2,350       $ 11,661       $ 11,970   

Performance share unit

     1,068         850         1,641         2,550   

Restricted share unit

     148         —           445         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 3,821       $ 3,200       $ 13,747       $ 14,520   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

The fair value of the units granted through the PSU plan was determined based on Monte Carlo simulation. The fair value of all other share-based payment plans was measured based on the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. Expected volatility is estimated by considering historic average share price volatility. The inputs used in the measurement of the fair values at grant date were as follows:

 

     Stock Option        
     Plan     PSUs  

Number of options granted

     2,097,573        178,640   

Average strike price

   $ 21.14        —     

Expected dividend

   $ 0.40      $ 0.40   

Expected volatility

     47     36

Risk-free interest rate

     1.4     1.4

Expected life of option

     4.3 years        3 years   

Expected forfeitures

     10     0

Weighted average grant date fair values

   $ 7.21      $ 20.05   

In addition to these inputs, other features of the PSU grant were incorporated into the measurement of fair value. The market condition based on total shareholder return was incorporated by utilizing a Monte Carlo simulation. The non-market criteria relating to realized selling prices, production targets and cost control have been incorporated into the valuation at grant date by reviewing prior history and corporate budgets.

 

13


12. Commitments and Contingencies

 

  (a) On May 16, 2012, Cameco, Cameco Bruce Holdings II Inc., BPC Generation Infrastructure Trust (“BPC”) and TransCanada Pipelines Limited (“TransCanada”) (collectively, the “Consortium”) received an arbitration award against British Energy Limited and British Energy International Holdings Limited (collectively, “BE”) ruling in favour of the Consortium on the issues of repair costs and lost revenue for breach of a representation and warranty contained in the February 14, 2003 Amended and Restated Master Purchase Agreement under which the Consortium acquired BE’s interest in BPLP. The Consortium and BE are in discussions over the quantification of the damages under the arbitrators award. If these issues are not resolved, they will be referred back to the arbitrator for a final decision. The Company recorded an estimate of the expected net proceeds.

In connection with this arbitration, BE issued on February 10, 2006, and then served on OPG and BPLP a Statement of Claim. This Statement of Claim seeks damages for any amounts that BE is found liable to pay to the Consortium in connection with the Unit 8 steam generator arbitration described above, additional damages in the amount of $500,000,000, costs and pre and post judgment interest amongst other things. Further proceedings in this action are on hold pending final disposition of the arbitration award.

 

  (b) Annual supplemental rents of $30,000,000 (subject to CPI) per operating reactor are payable by BPLP to OPG. Should the hourly annual average price of electricity in Ontario fall below $30 per megawatt hour for any calendar year, the supplemental rent reduces to $12,000,000 per operating reactor. During 2012, BPLP recognized an amount receivable of $58,000,000 and a related reduction to lease expense, with Cameco’s share being $18,300,000.

 

  (c) Cameco, TransCanada and BPC have assumed the obligations to provide financial guarantees on behalf of BPLP. Cameco has provided the following financial assurances, with varying terms that range from 2012 to 2018:

 

  i) Guarantees to customers under power sales agreements of up to $4,300,000. At September 30, 2012, Cameco’s actual exposure under these agreements was $300,000.

 

  ii) Termination payments to OPG pursuant to the lease agreement of $58,300,000. The fair value of these guarantees is nominal.

 

  (d) Under a supply contract with the Ontario Power Authority (“OPA”), BPLP is entitled to receive payments from the OPA during periods when the market price for electricity in Ontario is lower than the floor price defined under the agreement during a calendar year. On July 6, 2009, BPLP and the OPA amended the supply contract such that beginning in 2009, the annual payments received will not be subject to repayment in future years. Previously, the payments received under the agreement were subject to repayment during the entire term of the contract, dependent on the spot price in future periods. BPLP’s entitlement to receive these payments remains in effect until December 31, 2019 but the generation that is subject to these payments starts to decrease in 2016, reflecting the original estimated lives for the Bruce B units. During 2012, BPLP recorded $575,000,000 under this agreement which was recognized as revenue with Cameco’s share being $181,700,000.

 

14


13. Derivatives

The following tables summarize the fair value of derivatives and classification on the statements of financial position:

As at September 30, 2012

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ 64      $ 5,523      $ 5,587   

Foreign currency contracts

     38,544        —          38,544   

Interest rate contracts

     4,136        —          4,136   

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          11,494        11,494   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ 42,744      $ 17,017      $ 59,761   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Classification:

      

Current portion of long-term receivables, investments and other [note 5]

   $ 42,462      $ 22,410      $ 64,872   

Long-term receivables, investments and other [note 5]

     5,682        5,877        11,559   

Current portion of other liabilities [note 6]

     (3,918     (9,365     (13,283

Other liabilities [note 6]

     (1,482     (1,905     (3,387
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ 42,744      $ 17,017      $ 59,761   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As at December 31, 2011

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ (639   $ 8,033      $ 7,394   

Foreign currency contracts

     (17,633     —          (17,633

Interest rate contracts

     7,165        —          7,165   

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          26,538        26,538   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ (11,107   $ 34,571      $ 23,464   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Classification:

      

Current portion of long-term receivables, investments and other [note 5]

   $ 8,922      $ 42,088      $ 51,010   

Long-term receivables, investments and other [note 5]

     8,470        11,922        20,392   

Current portion of other liabilities [note 6]

     (26,555     (16,913     (43,468

Other liabilities [note 6]

     (1,944     (2,526     (4,470
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ (11,107   $ 34,571      $ 23,464   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

15


The following tables summarize different components of the gains (losses) on derivatives:

For the three months ended September 30, 2012

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ (63   $ (1,573   $ (1,636

Foreign currency contracts

     55,248        —          55,248   

Interest rate contracts

     (215     —          (215

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          (359     (359
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ 54,970      $ (1,932   $ 53,038   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

For the three months ended September 30, 2011

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ 697      $ (1,884   $ (1,187

Foreign currency contracts

     (79,999     —          (79,999

Interest rate contracts

     6,009        —          6,009   

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          (627     (627
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ (73,293   $ (2,511   $ (75,804
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2012

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ 62      $ 20      $ 82   

Foreign currency contracts

     56,682        —        $ 56,682   

Interest rate contracts

     (619     —        $ (619

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          (1,533   $ (1,533
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ 56,125      $ (1,513   $ 54,612   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2011

 

     Cameco     BPLP     Total  

Non-hedge derivatives:

      

Embedded derivatives—sales contracts

   $ 2,069      $ (1,746   $ 323   

Foreign currency contracts

     (46,339     —          (46,339

Interest rate contracts

     7,882        —          7,882   

Cash flow hedges:

      

Energy and sales contracts

     —          (2,082     (2,082
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net

   $ (36,388   $ (3,828   $ (40,216
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

16


Over the next 12 months, based on current exchange rates, Cameco expects an estimated $9,100,000 of pre-tax gains from BPLP’s various energy and sales related cash flow hedges to be reclassified through other comprehensive income to net earnings. The maximum length of time BPLP is hedging its exposure to the variability in future cash flows related to electricity prices on future transactions is six years.

 

14. Earnings Per Share

Per share amounts have been calculated based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. The weighted average number of paid shares outstanding in 2012 was 395,195,455 (2011 – 394,642,475).

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11      Sep 30/12      Sep 30/11  

Basic earnings per share computation

           

Net earnings attributable to equity holders

   $ 81,775       $ 39,452       $ 221,390       $ 185,590   
     395,341         394,712         395,195         394,642   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Basic earnings per common share

   $ 0.21       $ 0.10       $ 0.56       $ 0.47   

Diluted earnings per share computation

           

Net earnings attributable to equity holders

   $ 81,775       $ 39,452       $ 221,390       $ 185,590   

Weighted average common shares outstanding

     395,341         394,712         395,195         394,642   

Dilutive effect of stock options

     162         474         604         994   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Weighted average common shares outstanding, assuming dilution

     395,503         395,186         395,799         395,636   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per common share

   $ 0.21       $ 0.10       $ 0.56       $ 0.47   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

17


15. Segmented Information

Cameco has three reportable segments: uranium, fuel services and electricity. The uranium segment involves the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase and sale of uranium concentrate. The fuel services segment involves the refining, conversion and fabrication of uranium concentrate and the purchase and sale of conversion services. The electricity segment involves the generation and sale of electricity.

Cameco’s reportable segments are strategic business units with different products, processes and marketing strategies.

Accounting policies used in each segment are consistent with the policies outlined in the most recent annual consolidated financial statements. Segment revenues, expenses and results include transactions between segments incurred in the ordinary course of business. These transactions are priced on an arm’s length basis and are eliminated on consolidation.

 

  (a) Business Segments

For the three months ended September 30, 2012

 

     Uranium      Fuel
Services
     Electricity      Other     Total  

Revenue

   $ 230,754       $ 55,659       $ 121,439       $ 545      $ 408,397   

Expenses

             

Cost of products and services sold

     121,764         48,574         47,720         73        218,131   

Depreciation and amortization

     25,701         4,538         20,106         5,231        55,576   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cost of sales

     147,465         53,112         67,826         5,304        273,707   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit (loss)

     83,289         2,547         53,613         (4,759     134,690   

Exploration

     34,547         —           —           —          34,547   

Loss on sale of assets

     512         —           —           —          512   

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

     1,173         789         —           —          1,962   

Non-segmented expenses

                12,848   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     47,057         1,758         53,613         (4,759     84,821   

Income tax expense

                3,250   
             

 

 

 

Net earnings

                $81,571   

 

18


For the three months ended September 30, 2011

 

            Fuel                      
     Uranium      Services      Electricity      Other     Total  

Revenue

   $ 331,500       $ 80,563       $ 114,266       $ 623      $ 526,952   

Expenses

             

Cost of products and services sold

     164,704         64,816         54,926         73        284,519   

Depreciation and amortization

     34,278         6,089         18,455         4,554        63,376   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cost of sales

     198,982         70,905         73,381         4,627        347,895   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit (loss)

     132,518         9,658         40,885         (4,004     179,057   

Exploration

     31,720         —           —           —          31,720   

Loss on sale of assets

     418         —           —           —          418   

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

     686         757         —           —          1,443   

Other expense

     1,614         —           —           —          1,614   

Non-segmented expenses

                126,429   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     98,080         8,901         40,885         (4,004     17,433   

Income tax recovery

                (21,711
             

 

 

 

Net earnings

              $ 39,144   
             

 

 

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2012

 

           Fuel                      
     Uranium     Services      Electricity      Other     Total  

Revenue

   $ 837,335      $ 178,111       $ 345,957       $ 1,676      $ 1,363,079   

Expenses

            

Cost of products and services sold

     480,582        140,811         149,058         219        770,670   

Depreciation and amortization

     89,520        14,645         59,053         13,188        176,406   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cost of sales

     570,102        155,456         208,111         13,407        947,076   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit (loss)

     267,233        22,655         137,846         (11,731     416,003   

Exploration

     75,404        —           —           —          75,404   

Gain on sale of assets

     (1,637     —           —           —          (1,637

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

     2,449        2,284         —           —          4,733   

Other expense

     35,745        —           —           —          35,745   

Non-segmented expenses

               113,911   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     155,272        20,371         137,846         (11,731     187,847   

Income tax recovery

               (32,559
            

 

 

 

Net earnings

             $ 220,406   
            

 

 

 

 

19


For the nine months ended September 30, 2011

 

            Fuel                      
     Uranium      Services      Electricity      Other     Total  

Revenue

   $ 885,069       $ 199,418       $ 320,898       $ 8,373      $ 1,413,758   

Expenses

             

Cost of products and services sold

     487,495         153,904         179,755         6,988        828,142   

Depreciation and amortization

     79,077         16,528         53,013         13,545        162,163   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cost of sales

     566,572         170,432         232,768         20,533        990,305   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross profit (loss)

     318,497         28,986         88,130         (12,160     423,453   

Exploration

     62,206         —           —           —          62,206   

Loss on sale of assets

     1,113         —           —           —          1,113   

Share of loss from equity-accounted investees

     3,665         1,908         —           —          5,573   

Other expense

     1,061         —           —           —          1,061   

Non-segmented expenses

                186,995   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes

     250,452         27,078         88,130         (12,160     166,505   

Income tax recovery

                (18,777
             

 

 

 

Net earnings

              $ 185,282   
             

 

 

 

 

16. Related Parties

The shares of Cameco are widely held and no shareholder, resident in Canada, is allowed to own more than 25% of the Company’s outstanding common shares, either individually or together with associates. A non-resident of Canada is not allowed to own more than 15%.

Transactions with Key Management Personnel

Key management personnel are those persons that have the authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Company, directly or indirectly. Key management personnel of the Company include executive officers, vice-presidents, other senior managers and members of the board of directors.

Certain key management personnel, or their related parties, hold positions in other entities that result in them having control or significant influence over the financial or operating policies of those entities. As noted below, one of these entities transacted with the Company in the reporting period. The terms and conditions of the transactions were on an arm’s length basis.

Cameco purchases a significant amount of goods and services for its Saskatchewan mining operations from northern Saskatchewan suppliers to support economic development in the region. One such supplier is Points Athabasca Contracting Ltd. and the president of the company became a member of the board of directors of Cameco during 2009. In 2012, Cameco paid Points Athabasca Contracting Ltd. $32,200,000 (2011—$46,900,000) for construction and contracting services. The transactions were conducted in the normal course of business and were accounted for at the exchange amount. Accounts payable include a balance of $400,000 (2011—$3,700,000).

 

20


Other Related Party Transactions

 

     Transaction Value     Transaction Value     Balance Outstanding  
     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended     As at  
     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11     Sep 30/12     Sep 30/11  

Sale of goods and services

            

Jointly Controlled Entities

            

BPLP (a)

   $ 20,271      $ 10,527      $ 58,838      $ 32,744      $ 13,580      $ 10,816   

Other

            

Jointly Controlled Entities

            

Interest income (Inkai) (a)

     600        522        1,671        1,725        96,332        90,103   

Associates

            

Interest expense

     (135     (444     (806     (1,479     (49,187     (83,205

 

(a) 

Disclosures in respect of transactions with jointly controlled entities represent the amount of such transactions which do not eliminate on proportionate consolidation.

Cameco has entered into fuel supply agreements with BPLP for the procurement of fabricated fuel. Under these agreements, Cameco will supply uranium, conversion services and fabrication services. Contract terms are at market rates and on normal trade terms.

Through an unsecured shareholder loan, Cameco has agreed to fund the development of the Inkai project. The limit on the advances of the loan facility is currently $258,150,000 (US) and it bears interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 2%. At September 30, 2012, $244,800,000 (US) of principal and interest was outstanding (December 31, 2011—$191,900,000 (US)). At September 30, 2012 the remaining funds available for advance under the facility was $14,200,000 (US) (December 31, 2011—$14,200,000 (US)).

In 2008, a promissory note in the amount of $73,344,000 (US) was issued to finance the acquisition of GE-Hitachi Global Laser Enrichment LLC (“GLE”). The promissory note is payable on demand and bears interest at market rates. At September 30, 2012, $50,000,000 (US) of principal and interest was outstanding (December 31, 2011—$72,200,000 (US)).

 

17. NUKEM Energy GmbH (“NUKEM”)

On May 14, 2012, Cameco entered into an agreement with Advent International (“Advent”) to purchase NUKEM, one of the world’s leading traders and brokers of nuclear fuel products and services, for cash proceeds of $136,000,000 (US) and the assumption of their debt. The agreement includes provisions that would provide Advent with a share of NUKEM’s future earnings under certain conditions until the end of 2014. The agreement is subject to regulatory approvals and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2012.

 

18. Millennium Project Agreement

On June 11, 2012, Cameco acquired a 27.94% interest in the Millennium project from AREVA Resources Canada Inc. (“AREVA”) for $150,000,000, increasing its ownership to 69.9%. The remaining 30.1% is owned by JCU (Canada) Exploration Co. The Millennium project is a proposed uranium mine located in the Athabasca Basin of northern Saskatchewan. The terms of the purchase agreement provides AREVA with a 4% royalty on revenue from 27.94% of any production that exceeds 63,000,000 pounds U3O8 from this project.

 

21


19. Yeelirrie Uranium Project

On August 26, 2012, Cameco entered into an agreement with BHP Billiton to purchase the Yeelirrie uranium project in Western Australia for $430,000,000 (US). The Yeelirrie uranium project is a near-surface calcrete-style deposit, amenable to open pit mining techniques. The agreement is subject to regulatory approvals and is expected to close by the end of 2012. Upon closing, stamp duty of approximately $22,000,000 (US) will be payable by Cameco to the government of Western Australia.

 

20. Comparative Figures

Certain prior period balances have been reclassified to conform to the current financial statement presentation.

 

22

EX-99.4 5 d432032dex994.htm EX-99.4 EX-99.4

Exhibit 99.4

Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

I, Tim Gitzel, president and chief executive officer of Cameco Corporation, certify that:

 

1. I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 6-K of Cameco Corporation;

 

2. Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;

 

3. Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;

 

4. The registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and have:

 

  (a) designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;

 

  (b) designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;

 

  (c) evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and

 

  (d) disclosed in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent fiscal quarter (the registrant’s fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting; and


5. The registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of the registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions):

 

  (a) all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and

 

  (b) any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting.

Date: November 1, 2012

 

    “Tim Gitzel”

     

Tim Gitzel

     

President and Chief Executive Officer

     
EX-99.5 6 d432032dex995.htm EX-99.5 EX-99.5

Exhibit 99.5

Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

I, Grant Isaac, senior vice-president and chief financial officer, of Cameco Corporation, certify that:

 

1. I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 6-K of Cameco Corporation;

 

2. Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;

 

3. Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;

 

4. The registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and have:

 

  (a) designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;

 

  (b) designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;

 

  (c) evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and

 

  (d) disclosed in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent fiscal quarter (the registrant’s fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting; and


5. The registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of the registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions):

 

  (a) all significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and

 

  (b) any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting.

Date: November 1, 2012

 

“Grant Isaac”

     
Grant Isaac          

Senior Vice-President

and Chief Financial Officer

     
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