EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC. INVESTOR UPDATE DATED OCTOBER 21, 2010 United Continental Holdings, Inc. Investor Update dated October 21, 2010

Exhibit 99.2

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Issue Date: October 21, 2010

Investor Update

This investor update provides forward-looking information about United Continental Holdings, Inc. (“the Company” or “UAL”) for the fourth quarter and full year 2010. Also included are certain historical quarterly pro forma operating statements and statistics for the combined company based on preliminary estimates filed with the SEC in the proxy statement filed on August 18, 2010, which assume that the merger closed January 1, 2009. In mid-November, the Company expects to complete its review of purchase accounting adjustments related to the merger and to complete its review of the classification of certain items on its income statement. After the Company completes these reviews, it will release pro forma combined quarterly income statements for year-to-date 2010 and 2009 based upon the updated purchase accounting adjustments and the determination of classification of certain items on its income statement.

Combined Company (United and Continental) Outlook Highlights

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

Capacity

Fourth quarter 2010 consolidated available seat miles (ASMs) are expected to be up 3.0% to 4.0% year-over year. Full year 2010 consolidated ASMs are estimated to be up 0.8% to 1.1%.

Non-Fuel Expenses

Fourth quarter consolidated cost per ASM (CASM), excluding fuel, profit sharing, certain accounting charges and merger-related expenses for the combined Company are expected to be up 2.5% to 3.5%. For the full year, the Company estimates consolidated CASM excluding fuel, profit sharing, certain accounting charges and merger-related expenses will be up 2.6% to 2.9%.

The Company expects to implement a revenue share structure for its trans-Atlantic joint venture during the fourth quarter 2010, which will be retroactive to January 1, 2010. The Company will account for the revenue sharing obligations for the first nine months of 2010 related to this revenue sharing agreement as other operating expense in the fourth quarter. The Company estimates the impact of this obligation to be approximately $100 million, which accounts for 2 points of year over year growth in Consolidated CASM excluding fuel in the fourth quarter and is included in its guidance. This estimated revenue sharing payment is substantially less than the additional passenger revenue United and Continental receive from the joint marketing, scheduling and pricing efforts of the joint venture. Going forward, related revenue share payments will be booked as an adjustment to passenger revenue.

Fuel Expense

The Company estimates its consolidated fuel price, including the impact of settled hedges, to be $2.40 per gallon for the fourth quarter and $2.31 per gallon for the full year.

Profit Sharing

United and Continental have separate employee profit sharing plans for the employees of each respective subsidiary. The Company’s profit sharing plan for United pays 15% of total GAAP pre-tax profits, excluding special items and stock compensation expense, to the employees of United when pre-tax profit excluding special items and stock compensation expense exceeds $10 million. The Company currently expects the stock expense for United to be $28 million in the fourth quarter, and $58 million for the full year.

The Company’s profit sharing plan for Continental creates an award pool of 15% of annual pre-tax income excluding special, unusual or non-recurring items.

For both United and Continental, profit sharing expense is accrued on a year-to-date basis.

Non-Operating Income/Expense

Non-operating expense for the Company is estimated to be between $250 million and $260 million for the fourth quarter, and between $975 million and $985 million for the full year. Non-operating income/(expense) includes interest expense, capitalized interest, interest income and other non-operating income/(expense).

Net Capital Expenditures and Scheduled Debt and Capital Lease Payments

The Company expects a total of $260 million of net capital expenditures in the fourth quarter and $760 million for the full year. The Company expects scheduled debt and capital lease payments of $540 million in the fourth quarter for a total of $2,030 million debt payments for the year, including the prepayment of $350 million Continental secured term loan and $140 million in prepayments of United debt in the third quarter.

Liquidity

The Company expects to end the year with an unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments balance of approximately $8.4 billion.


LOGO

 

 

Combined Company Outlook

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

Advanced Booked Seat Factor (Percentage of Available Seats that are Sold)

Compared to the same period last year, for the next six weeks, mainline domestic advanced booked seat factor is up 1.2 points, mainline international advanced booked seat factor is down 1.2 points, mainline Latin advanced booked seat factor is down 4.3 points, Atlantic advanced booked seat factor is down 3.1 points, Pacific advanced booked seat factor is up 4.8 points, and Regional advanced booked seat factor is up 0.9 points.

 

                                            PRO-FORMA  
     Estimated
Fourth Quarter
2010
     Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
    Estimated
Full Year
2010
     Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
 

Capacity (Million ASMs)

                              

Mainline Capacity

                              

Domestic Capacity

     28,086        -        28,369         (1.1 )%      -        (0.1 )%      114,369        -         114,652         (2.4 )%      -         (2.2 )% 

Latin America Capacity

     4,505        -         4,547         7.5     -         8.5     19,233        -         19,275         4.8     -         5.0

Atlantic Capacity

     11,670        -         11,778         9.0     -         10.0     48,117        -         48,225         2.0     -         2.2

Pacific Capacity

     9,429        -         9,519         5.0     -         6.0     37,752        -         37,842         0.9     -         1.2

Total Mainline Capacity

     53,690        -         54,213         2.7     -         3.7     219,471        -         219,994         (0.3 )%      -         (0.1 )% 

Regional Affiliates Capacity*

     8,028        -         8,104         5.1     -         6.1     32,913        -         32,989         9.3     -         9.5

Consolidated Capacity

                              

Domestic Capacity

     35,728        -         36,087         (0.2 )%      -         0.8     145,749        -         146,108         (0.3 )%      -         (0.1 )% 

International Capacity

     25,990        -         26,230         7.7     -         8.7     106,635        -         106,875         2.5     -         2.7

Total Consolidated Capacity

     61,718        -         62,317         3.0     -         4.0     252,384        -         252,983         0.8     -         1.1

Traffic (Million RPMs)

                              

Mainline System Traffic

                              

Domestic System Traffic

                              

Latin America System Traffic

                              

Atlantic Load System Traffic

     Fourth Quarter Traffic Outlook To Be      

Pacific Load System Traffic

     Provided Later In The Quarter      

Total Mainline System Traffic

                              

Regional Affiliates System Traffic*

                              

Consolidated System Traffic

                              

Domestic System Traffic

                              

International System Traffic

                              

Total Consolidated System Traffic

                              

Load Factor

                              

Mainline Load Factor

                              

Domestic Load Factor

                              

Latin America Load Factor

                              

Atlantic Load Factor

     Fourth Quarter Load Factor Outlook To Be      

Pacific Load Factor

     Provided Later In The Quarter      

Total Mainline Load Factor

                              

Regional Affiliates Load Factor*

                              

Consolidated Load Factor

                              

Domestic Load Factor

                              

International Load Factor

                              

Total Consolidated Load Factor

                              

 

* Regional Affiliates results only reflect flights operated under capacity purchase agreements and flights operated as part of our joint venture with Aer Lingus

 

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Combined Company Outlook

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

 

                                           PRO-FORMA  
     Estimated
Fourth Quarter
2010
    Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
    Estimated
Full Year
2010
    Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
 

Revenue

                            

Mainline Passenger Unit Revenue (¢/ASM)

                            

Regional Affilliate Passenger Unit Revenue (¢/ASM)

            Fourth Quarter Revenue Outlook To Be          

Consolidated Passenger Unit Revenue (¢/ASM)

            Provided Later In The Quarter          

Mainline Passenger Unit Revenue (¢/ASM)

                            

Cargo, Mail and Other Revenue

                            

Operating Expenses*

                            

Mainline Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing and Non-Cash Net Mark-to-Market Impacts (¢/ASM)

     12.10        -         12.18        7.2%        -         8.0%        11.48        -         11.50        7.4%        -         7.6%   

Regional Affiliates Unit Cost (¢/ASM)

     18.01        -         18.13        3.0%        -         3.7%        17.55        -         17.57        4.3%        -         4.4%   

Consolidated Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing and Non-Cash Net Mark-to-Market Impacts (¢/ASM)

     12.86        -         12.95        6.7%        -         7.4%        12.30        -         12.32        7.6%        -         7.8%   

Non-Fuel Expense*

                            

Mainline Unit Cost Excluding Fuel and Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

     8.45        -         8.53        3.0%        -         4.0%        8.02        -         8.04        3.1%        -         3.3%   

Regional Affiliates Unit Cost Excluding Fuel (¢/ASM)

     12.43        -         12.55        0.2%        -         1.2%        12.23        -         12.25        (2.2)%        -         (2.1)%   

Consolidated Unit Cost Excluding Fuel and Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

     8.96        -         9.05        2.5%        -         3.5%        8.57        -         8.59        2.6%        -         2.9%   

Select Expense Measures

                       

Aircraft Rent ($MM)

     $220               $870          

Depreciation and Amortization ($MM)

     $360               $1,405          

Fuel Expense

                  

Mainline Fuel Consumption (Million Gallons)

     830               3,350          

Mainline Fuel Price Excluding Hedges

     $2.39 / Gallon               $2.26 / Gallon          

Mainline Fuel Price Including Cash Settled Hedges

     $2.37 / Gallon               $2.29 / Gallon          

Mainline Fuel Price Including Cash Settled Hedges and Non-Cash Net Mark-to-Market Gains/(Losses) (GAAP fuel expense per gallon)

     $2.39 / Gallon               $2.30 / Gallon          

Regional Affiliates Fuel Consumption (Million Gallons)

     180               730          

Regional Affiliates Fuel Price

     $2.50 / Gallon               $2.40 / Gallon          

Consolidated Fuel Price Including Cash Settled Hedges

     $2.40 / Gallon               $2.31 / Gallon          

Consolidated Fuel Price Including Cash Settled Hedges and Non-Cash Net Mark-to-Market Gains/(Losses) (GAAP fuel expense per gallon)

     $2.41 / Gallon               $2.32 / Gallon          

Non-Operating Income/(Expense)($MM)*

                  

Non-Operating Income/(Expense)

    
($250)
  
    -         ($260)               ($975)        -         ($985)          

Income Taxes

                  

Effective Tax Rate

     0%               0%          

Net Capital Expenditures ($MM)

                  

Fleet Related

     $80               $285          

Non-Fleet Related

     $175               $435          

Purchase Deposits Paid/(Refunded)

     $5               $40          

Total Net Capital Expenditures

     $260               $760          

Scheduled Debt and Capital Lease Obligations ($MM)

                  

Scheduled Debt and Capital Lease Obligations

     $540               $2,030          

Cash and Cash Equivalents

                  

Unrestricted Cash Balance

  

 

$8.4B

  

           $8.4B          

 

* Excludes special items and certain accounting charges and merger-related expenses

 

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Combined Company Outlook

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

Pension Expense and Contributions

United does not have any tax-qualified defined benefit pension plans. As of October 21, 2010, for Continental, the Company had contributed $193 million to its tax-qualified defined benefit pension plans satisfying its minimum funding requirements for calendar year 2010. The Company estimates that its non-cash pension expense for Continental will be approximately $185 million for 2010 including the preliminary estimate of the impact of purchase accounting. This amount excludes non-cash settlement charges related to lump-sum distributions. Settlement charges are possible during 2010, but the Company is not able at this time to estimate the amount of these charges.

Fuel Hedges - As of Oct. 14, 2010

As of Oct. 14, 2010, the Company's projected consolidated fuel requirements were hedged as follows:

 

          4Q 2010      1Q 2011      2Q 2011  
          % of
Expected
Consumption
    Weighted
Average Price
     % of
Expected
Consumption
    Weighted
Average Price
     % of
Expected
Consumption
    Weighted
Average Price
 

WTI Crude Oil Swaps

   ($/bbl)      9     76.13            8     77.46            4     81.01   

Heating Oil Swaps

   ($/gal)      22     2.17            17     2.25            11     2.12   

Jet Fuel Swaps

   ($/gal)      9     2.16            1     2.44            —          —     

WTI Crude Oil Call Options

   ($/bbl)      9     95.65            7     92.97            4     92.77   

Heating Oil Call Options

   ($/gal)      22     2.18            18     2.24            11     2.20   

Jet Fuel Call Options

   ($/gal)      1     2.40            1     2.44            —          —     

WTI Crude Oil Collars

   ($/bbl)      3     99.78         74.78         4     97.67         66.67         4     92.77         65.00   

Total

        74           55           34     

 

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Combined Company Outlook

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

Share Count

 

     4Q 2010
(Estimated)
 

Net Income

   Basic Share Count
(in millions)
     Diluted Share Count
(in millions)
     Interest Add-back
(in millions)
 

Less than or equal to $0

     319.7         319.7         —     

$1 million - $35 million

     319.7         323.5         —     

$36 million - $52 million

     319.7         363.2       $ 4.3   

$53 million - $60 million

     319.7         371.7       $ 5.7   

$61 million - $267 million

     319.7         383.9       $ 7.8   

$268 million - $301 million

     319.7         388.2       $ 11.0   

$302 million - $413 million

     319.7         410.5       $ 28.9   

$414 million or greater

     319.7         413.9       $ 32.5   
     Full Year 2010 - PRO-FORMA
(Estimated)
 

Net Income

   Basic Share Count
(in millions)
     Diluted Share Count
(in millions)
     Interest Add-back
(in millions)
 

Less than or equal to $0

     315.9         315.9         —     

$1 million - $139 million

     315.9         320.1         —     

$140 million - $239 million

     315.9         359.8       $ 17.4   

$240 million - $270 million

     315.9         372.0       $ 26.0   

$271 million - $1,059 million

     315.9         380.5       $ 32.9   

$1,060 million - $1,999 million

     315.9         384.9       $ 45.3   

$2,000 million or greater

     315.9         410.5       $ 130.8   

These share count charts are based upon several assumptions including market stock price and number of shares outstanding. The number of shares used in the actual EPS calculation will likely be different from those set forth above.

 

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United Continental Holdings, Inc.

Fleet Plan Includes Aircraft Operated by United Airlines and Continental Airlines or

Operated on Behalf of United or Continental Under a Capacity Purchase Agreement

As of October 21, 2010

 

      United & Continental
Airlines Combined
            United Airlines      Continental Airlines  
     3Q10      Change     FY10E             3Q10      Change     FY10E      3Q10      Change      FY10E  

Mainline Aircraft

                             

B747-400

     25         (1     24              25         (1     24         0         —           0   

B777-200

     74         —          74              52         —          52         22         —           22   

B767-200/300/400

     61         —          61              35         —          35         26         —           26   

B757-200/300

     158         —          158              96         —          96         62         —           62   

B737-500/700/800/900*

     238         2        240              0         —          0         238         2         240   

A319/A320

     152         —          152              152         —          152         0         —           0   
                                                                                   

Total Mainline Aircraft

     708         1        709              360         (1     359         348         2         350   
 
     United & Continental
Airlines Combined
            United Airlines      Continental Airlines  
     3Q10      Change     FY10E             3Q10      Change     FY10E      3Q10      Change      FY10E  

Regional Aircraft

                             

Q400

     15         5        20              0         —          0         15         5         20   

Q200

     16         —          16              0         —          0         16         —           16   

ERJ-145

     274         (1     273              53         (1     52         221         —           221   

CRJ200

     80         1        81              80         1        81         0         —           0   

CRJ700

     115         —          115              115         —          115         0         —           0   

EMB 120

     9         —          9              9         —          9         0         —           0   

EMB 170

     38         —          38              38         —          38         0         —           0   
                                                                                   

Total Regional Aircraft

     547         5        552              295         —          295         252         5         257   
 

Total Aircraft

     1,255         6        1,261              655         (1     654         600         7         607   

 

* Excludes one 737-800 scheduled for delivery in December 2010 that is expected to enter service in 1Q11

 

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2009 and Year-to-date 2010 Quarterly Pro-Forma Operating Statistics

 

     1Q
2009
    2Q
2009
    3Q
2009
    4Q
2009
    1Q
2010
    2Q
2010
    3Q
2010
 

Capacity (Million ASMs)

              

Mainline Capacity

              

Domestic Capacity

     28,169        29,799        30,833        28,400        27,043        29,066        30,174   

Latin America Capacity

     5,191        4,468        4,501        4,191        5,233        4,879        4,615   

Atlantic Capacity

     10,976        12,634        12,864        10,707        10,596        12,182        13,668   

Pacific Capacity

     9,008        9,625        9,798        8,980        8,681        9,707        9,935   

Total Mainline Capacity

     53,343        56,526        57,996        52,278        51,553        55,835        58,393   

Regional Affiliates Capacity*

     7,053        7,461        7,970        7,642        7,711        8,471        8,703   

Consolidated Capacity

              

Domestic Capacity

     34,928        36,990        38,522        35,788        34,488        37,093        38,439   

International Capacity

     25,468        26,997        27,444        24,132        24,776        27,212        28,657   

Total Consolidated Capacity

     60,397        63,987        65,966        59,920        59,264        64,305        67,096   

Traffic (Million RPMs)

              

Mainline Traffic

              

Domestic Traffic

     22,361        25,704        26,868        23,707        22,072        25,173        26,304   

Latin America Traffic

     4,045        3,559        3,757        3,364        4,231        3,869        3,833   

Atlantic Load Traffic

     7,557        10,359        11,138        8,912        8,111        10,340        11,891   

Pacific Load Traffic

     6,599        7,176        7,976        7,216        7,205        8,085        8,597   

Total Mainline Traffic

     40,562        46,798        49,739        43,199        41,620        47,467        50,625   

Regional Affiliates Traffic*

     5,036        5,868        6,304        5,873        5,779        6,810        7,034   

Consolidated Traffic

              

Domestic Traffic

     27,184        31,366        32,931        29,380        27,643        31,642        32,973   

International Traffic

     18,414        21,301        23,112        19,692        19,756        22,635        24,685   

Total Consolidated Traffic

     45,598        52,667        56,043        49,073        47,399        54,277        57,658   

Load Factor

              

Mainline Load Factor

              

Domestic Load Factor

     79.4     86.3     87.1     83.5     81.6     86.6     87.2

Latin America Load Factor

     77.9     79.7     83.5     80.3     80.9     79.3     83.0

Atlantic Load Factor

     68.8     82.0     86.6     83.2     76.5     84.9     87.0

Pacific Load Factor

     73.3     74.6     81.4     80.4     83.0     83.3     86.5

Total Mainline Load Factor

     76.0     82.8     85.8     82.6     80.7     85.0     86.7

Regional Affiliates Load Factor*

     71.4     78.7     79.1     76.9     75.0     80.4     80.8

Consolidated Load Factor

              

Domestic Load Factor

     77.8     84.8     85.5     82.1     80.2     85.3     85.8

International Load Factor

     72.3     78.9     84.2     81.6     79.7     83.2     86.1

Total Consolidated Load Factor

     75.5     82.3     85.0     81.9     80.0     84.4     85.9

 

* Regional Affiliates results only reflect flights operated under capacity purchase agreements and flights operated as part of our joint venture with Aer Lingus

 

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Year-to-date 2010 Quarterly Pro Forma

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

 

(in $ millions, except per share data)    1Q
2010
    2Q
2010
    3Q
2010
 

Operating Revenue

      

Passenger:

      

Mainline

     5,536        6,615        7,059   

Regional Affiliates

     1,321        1,619        1,664   

Total Passenger

     6,857        8,234        8,723   

Cargo

     259        301        290   

Other operating revenue

     321        344        334   
                        

Total operating revenue

     7,437        8,879        9,347   
                        

Operating Expenses

      

Aircraft fuel

     1,665        1,998        2,061   

Salaries and related costs

     1,675        1,800        1,931   

Regional Affiliates

     1,365        1,484        1,488   

Depreciation and amortization

     358        344        356   

Aircraft maintenance materials and outside repairs

     364        377        389   

Landing fees and other rents

     417        433        445   

Aircraft rent

     216        217        218   

Distribution expenses

     284        317        328   

Other impairments, merger-related costs and special items

     28        84        21   

Other operating expenses

     946        952        995   
                        

Total operating expenses

     7,318        8,006        8,232   
                        

Earnings/(Loss) from operations

     119        873        1,115   

Other Income/(Expense)

      

Interest expense, net

     (254     (245     (254

Miscellaneous, net

     14        (8     23   
                        

Total other income (expense), net

     (240     (253     (231
                        

Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates

     (121     620        884   

Income tax benefit/(expense)

     (1     2        1   
                        

Income before equity in earnings of affiliates

     (122     622        885   

Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of tax

     1        —          —     
                        

Net Income/(Loss)

     (121     622        885   
                        

Earnings/(Loss) per share, basic

     (0.39     1.98        2.80   

Earnings/(Loss) per share, diluted

     (0.39     1.61        2.23   

Weighted average shares outstanding, basic

     313        315        316   

Weighted average shares outstanding, diluted

     313        410        411   

 

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Year-to-date 2010 Quarterly Selected Statistics

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

 

     1Q
2010
    2Q
2010
    3Q
2010
 

Passenger Revenue per Available Seat Mile (RASM)1

      

Mainline RASM (¢/ASM)

     10.74        11.85        12.09   

Consolidated RASM (¢/ASM)

     11.57        12.80        13.00   

Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM)

      

Mainline CASM (¢/ASM)

     11.55        11.68        11.55   

Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

     —          (0.20     (0.27

Special Items (¢/ASM)2

     (0.06     (0.18     (0.05

Net non-cash mark-to-market impact (“MTM”) (¢/ASM)

     0.06        (0.07     (0.02

Mainline CASM excluding profit sharing, MTM impact and special items

     11.55        11.24        11.21   

Aircraft fuel (¢/ASM)3

     (3.29     (3.51     (3.51

Mainline CASM excluding fuel, profit sharing, special items and MTM impact (¢/ASM)

     8.26        7.73        7.70   

Consolidated CASM

     12.35        12.45        12.27   

Special Items (¢/ASM)2

     —          (0.17     (0.23

Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

     (0.05     (0.16     (0.05

Net non-cash mark-to-market impact (¢/ASM)

     0.05        (0.06     (0.02

Consolidated CASM excluding profit sharing, MTM impact and special items

     12.35        12.07        11.97   

Aircraft fuel (¢/ASM)3

     (3.53     (3.76     (3.73

Consolidated CASM excluding fuel, profit sharing, MTM impact and special items (¢/ASM)

     8.82        8.31        8.23   

Fuel cost per Gallon (Cents)

      

Mainline average price per gallon of jet fuel

     215.1        234.8        231.6   

Mainline average price per gallon of jet fuel excluding MTM impact

     219.1        230.4        230.2   
     —          —          —     

Consolidated average price per gallon of jet fuel

     217.9        236.4        231.6   

Consolidated average price per gallon of jet fuel excluding MTM impact

     221.1        232.9        230.5   

Non-Operating Income/(Expense) ($Millions)

      

Total Non-Operating Income/(Expense)

     (240     (253     (231

Non-Cash Net Market To Market Gains/(Losses)

     —          —          —     

Total Non-Operating Income/(Expense) Excluding MTM Gains/(Losses)

     (240     (253     (231

Net Income/(Loss) ($Millions)

      

Net Income/(Loss) (GAAP)

     (121     622        885   

Special items

     —          135        44   

Net Income/(Loss) excluding special items(Non-GAAP)

     (121     757        929   

Weighted Averages Shares Outstanding

      

Basic

     313        315        316   

Diluted

     313        410        411   

Earnings (Loss) per Share (“EPS”) ($) 

      

Diluted EPS

     (0.39     1.61        2.23   

Special Items per share2

     —          0.33        0.11   

Diluted EPS excluding special items

     (0.39     1.94        2.34   

 

1

Includes passenger revenue, bag fees, etc.

2

Special items include merger-related costs, impairments, and other one-time accounting charges

3

Includes aircraft fuel and related taxes (excluding net non-cash mark-to-market impact)

 

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2009 Quarterly Pro Forma

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

 

(in $ millions, except per share data)    1Q
2009
    2Q
2009
    3Q
2009
    4Q
2009
    FY
20091
 

Operating Revenue

          

Passenger:

          

Mainline

     4,966        5,317        5,880        5,440        21,602   

Regional Affiliates

     1,078        1,216        1,349        1,314        4,958   

Total Passenger

     6,044        6,533        7,229        6,754        26,560   

Cargo

     209        203        217        273        902   

Other operating revenue

     289        295        289        295        1,167   
                                        

Total operating revenue

     6,542        7,031        7,735        7,322        28,029   
                                        

Operating Expenses

          

Aircraft fuel

     1,301        1,221        1,754        1,543        5,820   

Salaries and related costs

     1,612        1,687        1,673        1,636        6,608   

Regional Affiliates

     1,189        1,233        1,317        1,325        5,065   

Depreciation and amortization

     359        352        359        381        1,451   

Aircraft maintenance materials and outside repairs

     374        397        408        386        1,565   

Landing fees and other rents

     408        422        426        404        1,660   

Aircraft rent

     229        230        224        216        899   

Distribution expenses

     253        267        282        265        1,068   

Other impairments, merger-related costs and special items

     123        132        63        169        487   

Other operating expenses

     956        965        981        1,018        3,915   
                                        

Total operating expenses

     6,804        6,906        7,487        7,343        28,538   
                                        

Earnings/(Loss) from operations

     (262     125        248        (21     91   

Other Income/(Expense)

          

Interest expense, net

     (201     (201     (217     (234     (852

Miscellaneous, net

     (6     54        (8     28        66   
                                        

Total other income (expense), net

     (207     (147     (225     (206     (786
                                        

Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliates

     (469     (22     23        (227     (695

Income tax benefit/(expense)

     29        13        4        3        49   
                                        

Income before equity in earnings of affiliates

     (440     (9     27        (224     (646

Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of tax

     1        1        1        1        4   
                                        

Net Income/(Loss)

     (439     (8     28        (223     (642
                                        

Earnings/(Loss) per share, basic

     (1.60     (0.03     0.10        (0.71     (2.24

Earnings/(Loss) per share, diluted

     (1.60     (0.03     0.10        (0.71     (2.24

Weighted average shares outstanding, basic

     274        275        284        312        286   

Weighted average shares outstanding, diluted

     274        275        284        312        286   

 

1

Quarterly amounts may not sum to the annual amounts due to rounding

 

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2009 Quarterly Selected Statistics

based on preliminary pro forma purchase accounting adjustments

 

     1Q
2009
    2Q
2009
    3Q
2009
    4Q
2009
    Full Year
2009
 

Passenger Revenue per Available Seat Mile (RASM)1

          

Mainline RASM (¢/ASM)

     9.31        9.41        10.14        10.41        9.81   

Consolidated RASM (¢/ASM)

     10.01        10.21        10.96        11.27        10.61   

Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM)

          

Mainline CASM (¢/ASM)

     10.53        10.04        10.64        11.49        10.66   

Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

     —          —          —          —          —     

Special Items (¢/ASM)2

     (0.20     (0.26     (0.14     (0.33     (0.23

Net non-cash mark-to-market impact (“MTM”) (¢/ASM)

     0.36        0.54        0.04        0.12        0.27   

Mainline CASM excluding profit sharing, MTM impact and special items

     10.68        10.32        10.54        11.28        10.69   

Aircraft fuel (¢/ASM)3

     (2.80     (2.70     (3.07     (3.08     (2.91

Mainline CASM excluding fuel, profit sharing, special items and MTM impact (¢/ASM)

     7.88        7.62        7.48        8.20        7.78   

Consolidated CASM

     11.27        10.79        11.35        12.25        11.40   

Special Items (¢/ASM)2

     —          —          —          —          —     

Profit Sharing (¢/ASM)

    
(0.18

    (0.23     (0.12     (0.31     (0.21

Net non-cash mark-to-market impact (¢/ASM)

     0.32        0.48        0.04        0.11        0.23   

Consolidated CASM excluding profit sharing, MTM impact and special items

     11.40        11.04        11.27        12.05        11.43   

Aircraft (¢/ASM)3

     (2.91     (2.84     (3.24     (3.31     (3.08

Consolidated CASM excluding fuel, profit sharing, MTM impact and special items (¢/ASM)

     8.49        8.20        8.02        8.74        8.35   

Fuel cost per Gallon (Cents)

          

Mainline average price per gallon of jet fuel

     162.0        142.5        199.3        193.8        174.4   

Mainline average price per gallon of jet fuel excluding MTM impact

     185.8        178.1        202.2        202.0        192.0   

Consolidated average price per gallon of jet fuel

     162.6        147.4        199.6        198.2        177.1   

Consolidated average price per gallon of jet fuel excluding MTM impact

     182.4        177.1        202.0        205.0        191.6   

Non-Operating Income/(Expense) ($Millions)

          

Total Non-Operating Income/(Expense)

     (207     (147     (225     (206     (785

Non-Cash Net Market To Market Gains/(Losses)

     72        135        34        38        39   

Total Non-Operating Income/(Expense) Excluding MTM Gains/(Losses)

     (279     (282     (259     (244     (824

Net Income/(Loss) ($Millions)

          

Net Income/(Loss) (GAAP)

     (439     (8     28        (223     (642

Special items

     (185     (305     17        76        (397

Net Income/(Loss) excluding special items (Non-GAAP)

     (624     (313     45        (147     (1,039

Weighted Averages Shares Outstanding

          

Basic

     274        275        284        312        286   

Diluted

     274        275        284        312        286   

Earnings (Loss) per Share (“EPS”) ($) 

          

Diluted EPS

     (1.60     (0.03     0.10        (0.71     (2.24

Special Items per share2

     (0.68     (1.11     0.06        0.24        (1.39

Diluted EPS excluding special items

     (2.28     (1.14     0.16        (0.47     (3.63

 

1

Includes passenger revenue, bag fees, etc.

2

Special items include merger-related costs, impairments, and other one-time accounting charges

3

Includes aircraft fuel and related taxes (excluding net non-cash mark-to-market impact)

 

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Note 1

The financial results presented are based on the information that was produced in accordance with SEC regulations for the purposes of the proxy statement filed on August 18, 2010. In these results, it is assumed both that the merger closed on January 1, 2009, and that pre-merger United’s income statement presentation shall be used. Consequently, Continental results have been adjusted for the purposes of this update. Once a final determination has been made regarding the income statement presentation that United Continental Holdings, Inc. will use to report its combined results, the company will publish historical pro-forma financial statements that conform to the new presentation.

Details regarding the preliminary income statement adjustments included in both the pro-forma financial statements and the guidance provided for the Fourth Quarter in this document are provided below.

 

     1Q
2009
    2Q
2009
    3Q
2009
    4Q
2009
    1Q
2010
    2Q
2010
    3Q
2010
    4Q
2010
 

Passenger Revenue

                

Advance Ticket Sales (a)

     (29     (42     (15     (14     17        25        25        25   

Frequent Flyer Deferred Revenue (b)

     (40     (28     42        5        20        (5     (15     24   

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     136        146        144        143        151        170        169        149   

Other Revenue

                

Frequent Flyer Deferred Revenue (b)

     (33     (33     (33     (34     —          —          —          (33

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (136     (146     (144     (143     (151     (170     (169     (149

Deferred Gains (d)

     (9     (10     (9     (10     (10     (10     (10     (10
                                                                

Total Revenue

     (111     (113     (15     (53     27        10        —          6   

Aircraft Fuel

                

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (104     (113     (138     (143     (147     (168     (165     (154

Fuel Hedge Adjustment (e)

     (129     (222     (53     —          —          —          —          —     

Salaries & Related Costs

                

Pension Liability Adjustment (f)

     (34     (34     (34     (38     (28     (29     (29     (29

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (40     (41     (41     (40     (41     (41     (43     (44

Profit Sharing (g)

     —          —          —          —          —          28        9        12   

Regional Affiliates (c)

     305        308        331        334        349        362        362        356   

Depreciation & Amortization

                

Revaluation of Assets (h)

     22        19        21        20        16        13        13        20   

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (7     (7     (6     (7     (5     (6     (5     (8

Aircraft Rent

                

Revaluation of Operating Leases (i)

     (33     (33     (34     (34     (33     (34     (34     (34

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (65     (63     (65     (62     (63     (62     (62     (62

Deferred Gains (d)

     2        2        2        2        2        2        2        2   

Special Operating Items (j)

     —          —          —          (32     —          (46     (55     —     

All Other Operating Expense

                

Frequent Flyer Deferred Revenue (b)

     (13     (17     (15     (22     (29     (35     (45     (39

Conforming Reclassifications (c)

     (89     (84     (81     (82     (93     (85     (87     (88

Other Purchase Accounting (k)

     (1     —          (1     (1     (2     —          —          —     
                                                                

Total Operating Expense

     (186     (285     (114     (105     (74     (101     (139     (68

Operating Earnings Impact

     75        172        99        52        101        111        139        74   

Non-Operating Expense (l)

     4        5        4        5        6        5        5        5   

Pre-Tax Earnings Impact

     79        177        103        57        107        116        144        79   

Income Tax Expense (m)

     —          —          —          (125     —          —          —          —     

Net Income Impact

     79        177        103        (68     107        116        144        79   

 

(a) Advance Ticket Sales

A reduction of Continental’s advance ticket sales to conform to UAL’s accounting policy for ticket breakage.

 

(b) Frequent Flyer Deferred Revenue

Adjustments to (i) eliminate the existing liability for Continental’s OnePass frequent flyer program, a portion of which was accounted under the incremental cost method and recorded within the air traffic liability, (ii) record the fair value of Continental’s OnePass liability and (iii) reflect the adoption of deferred revenue accounting to conform to UAL’s frequent flyer accounting policy and financial statement presentation.

 

(c) Conforming Reclassifications

Certain reclassifications have been made (i) between Continental’s passenger revenue and other revenue to conform to the UAL presentation of baggage and change fees as passenger revenue rather than other revenue and (ii) between various categories of Continental’s operating expenses and regional affiliates expense to conform to the UAL presentation of all expenses related to regional affiliates being reported as Regional Affiliates expense. Continental’s historical presentation includes only capacity purchase expenses in regional affiliates expense. This reclassification includes amounts recorded to other expense line items in other pro forma adjustments.

 

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(d) Deferred Gains

An adjustment to reduce Continental’s liabilities related to the elimination of deferred gains associated with certain long-term contracts.

 

(e) Fuel Hedge Adjustment

As a result of the elimination of all of Continental’s stockholders’ equity, the Unaudited Pro Forma Condensed Combined Statements of Operations reflect lower aircraft fuel expenses related to Continental’s fuel hedge losses that had previously been deferred in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) but were eliminated upon the application of the acquisition method of accounting.

 

(f) Pension Liability

As a result of adjustments to record Continental’s pension assets at fair value, remeasure its pension and postretirement benefit obligations at current discount rates and eliminate unrecognized prior service cost and unrecognized actuarial losses recorded in other comprehensive income (loss). The Unaudited Pro Forma Condensed Combined Statements of Operations reflect lower salaries and related costs related to the elimination of amortization or settlement charge recognition of pension and postretirement prior service costs and actuarial gains and losses.

 

(g) Profit Sharing

An adjustment to record the profit sharing expense associated with other pro forma adjustments.

 

(h) Revaluation of Assets

All assets are revalued as of the date of purchase accounting implementation. The Unaudited Pro Forma Condensed Statements of Operations reflect the impact of the revaluation of aircraft fuel, spare parts and supplies, property and equipment, capital leases, intangible assets such as Continental’s slots and frequent flyer customer database and other agreements.

 

(i) Revaluation of Aircraft Operating Leases

Adjustments to (i) eliminate Continental’s aircraft rent leveling accounts and (ii) record the fair value of Continental’s aircraft operating leases.

 

(j) Merger-Related Costs

A reduction of other impairments and special items to remove the effect of one-time costs directly related to the merger.

 

(k) Other Purchase Accounting

Other purchase accounting impacts include (i) a decrease in aircraft maintenance, material and outside repair expense to reflect the fair value of a Continental maintenance contract with a third party; (ii) an increase in facility operating lease expense due to the elimination of Continental’s facility rent leveling accounts and revaluation of fair value of facility operating leases.

 

(l) Interest Expense

A reduction of long-term debt and capital leases to reflect the fair value of Continental’s long-term debt and the elimination of other noncurrent assets primarily associated with deferred debt issuance costs incurred by Continental. The difference between the fair value and the face amount of each borrowing is amortized as interest expense over the remaining term of the borrowings based on the maturity dates.

 

(m) Income Taxes

To record the income tax effects of the purchase accounting adjustments.

Note 2 – Special Items

The table below details the impact of special items on net income for the pro-forma combined company:

 

$ millions    Q1
2009
    Q2
2009
    Q3
2009
    Q4
2009
    Q1
2010
    Q2
2010
    Q3
2010
 

Pro Forma Net Income

     (439     (8     28        (223     (121     622        885   

Special items:

              

UAL Impairments

     110        40        19        74        17        73        22   

Special charges (net of tax of $0)

     (6     63        41        68        3        21        8   

Merger-related costs (net of tax of $0)

     —          —          —          —          —          28        44   

Non-cash, net mark-to-market impact

     (263     (440     (59     (103     (31     37        12   

Less: income tax adjustments

     (30     (12     (4     25        1        (2     —     
                                                        
     (189     (349     (3     64        (10     157        86   

CAL Impairments

     —          31        —          —          —          —          —     

Special charges (net of tax of $0)

     4        13        20        77        10        6        2   

Merger-related costs (net of tax of $0)

     —          —          —          —          —          18        11   

Less: income tax adjustments

     —          —          —          (158     —          —          —     
                                                        
     4        44        20        (81     10        24        13   

Pro Forma Adj

              

Merger-related costs (net of tax of $0)

     —          —          —          —          —          (46     (55

Special charges (net of tax of $0)

     —          —          —          (32     —          —          —     

Less: income tax adjustments

     —          —          —          125        —          —          —     
                                                        
     —          —          —          93        —          (46     (55
                                                        

Adjusted Pro Forma Net Income

     (624     (313     45        (147     (121     757        929   
                                                        

 

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Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

Certain statements included in this presentation are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements which do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties, or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon information available to us on the date of this presentation. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aviation fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of aviation fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; the costs associated with security measures and practices; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including open skies agreements); labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of the collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; the possibility that expected merger synergies will not be realized or will not be realized within the expected time period; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Item 1A., Risk Factors of Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the SEC. Consequently, forward-looking statements should not be regarded as representations or warranties by us that such matters will be realized.

For further questions, contact Investor Relations at (312) 997-8610 or investorrelations@united.com

 

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Non-GAAP To GAAP Reconciliations

Pursuant to SEC Regulation G, the company has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. The company believes that excluding fuel costs and certain other items from some measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence, and the effects of certain other items that would otherwise make analysis of the company’s operating performance more difficult.

 

     Q4 2010 Estimate     Full Year 2010 Estimate  
Operating expense per ASM – CASM (cents)    Low     High     Low     High  

Mainline operating expense excluding profit sharing

     12.13        12.21        11.53        11.55   

Special items and other exclusions (a)

     —          —          —          —     
                                

Mainline operating expense excluding profit sharing and special items(a)

     12.13        12.21        11.53        11.55   

PLUS: net non-cash mark-to-market impact

     (0.03     (0.03     (0.02     (0.02
                                

Mainline operating expense excluding profit sharing, net non-cash mark-to-market impact and special items (b)

     12.10        12.18        11.51        11.53   

Less: fuel expense (excluding net non-cash mark-to-market impact) (c)

     (3.65     (3.65     (3.49     (3.49
                                

Mainline operating expense excluding fuel, profit sharing and special items (b)

     8.45        8.53        8.02        8.04   
     Q4 2010 Estimate     Full Year 2010 Estimate  
Regional Affiliate expense per ASM – CASM (cents)    Low     High     Low     High  

Regional Affiliate operating expense

     18.01        18.13        17.55        17.57   

Less: Regional Affiliate fuel expense

     (5.57     (5.57     (5.32     (5.32
                                

Regional CASM excluding fuel

     12.43        12.55        12.23        12.25   
     Q4 2010 Estimate     Full Year 2010 Estimate  
Operating expense per ASM – CASM (cents)    Low     High     Low     High  

Consolidated operating expense excluding profit sharing

     12.89        12.98        12.31        12.33   

Special items and other exclusions (a)

     —          —          —          —     
                                

Consolidated operating expense excluding profit sharing and special items (b)

     12.89        12.98        12.31        12.33   

Plus: net non-cash mark-to-market impact (c)

     (0.03     (0.03     (0.01     (0.01
                                

Consolidated operating expense excluding profit sharing, net non-cash mark-to-market impact and special items (b)

     12.86        12.95        12.30        12.32   

Less: fuel expense (excluding net non-cash mark-to-market impact) (c)

     (3.90     (3.90     (3.73     (3.73
                                

Consolidated expense excluding fuel, profit sharing and special items (b)

     8.96        9.05        8.57        8.59   

 

(a) Operating expense per ASM – CASM excludes special items, the impact of certain primarily non-cash impairment, severance and other similar accounting charges. While the Company anticipates that it will record such special items and charges throughout the year and may record profit sharing, at this time the Company is unable to provide an estimate of these items with reasonable certainty.
(b) Both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors and are therefore beyond the Company’s control.
(c) These financial measures provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor the Company’s performance on a consistent basis.

 

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