EX-99 2 ex9901.htm EUROPEAN INVESTOR MEETINGS ex9901.htm
European Investor Meetings
June 25 - July 2, 2009
Exhibit 99
 
 
 
2
PCG Investment Case
 PCG is focused on better service to our customers,
 which is the foundation of our growth:
  Substantial Cap Ex Program
  Manageable financing requirements
  Decoupled revenues
  Pass-through of procurement costs
  11.45% weighted ROE on 52% equity
  Low carbon footprint
 
 
 
PG&E SERVICE AREA
 IN CALIFORNIA
3
Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E)
 
 
 
(1) Authorized revenues = operating costs + (rate of return x rate base)
 Rate base = net plant ± adjustments to approximate invested capital
Business Scope
  Retail electricity and natural gas distribution service (construction,
 operations and maintenance)
  Customer services (call centers, meter reading, billing)
  5.1 million electric and 4.3 million gas customer accounts
Primary Assets
  $11.9 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
Regulation
  California state regulation (CPUC)
  Majority cost of service ratemaking (1)
4
Electric And Gas Distribution
 
 
 
Midway
Los Banos
Moss Landing
Diablo Canyon
Gates
Dixon
Malin
Round Mt
Vaca
Business Scope
  Wholesale electric transmission services (construction, maintenance)
  Operation by CA Independent System Operator
Primary Assets
  $2.8 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
Regulation
  Federal regulation (FERC)
  Cost of service ratemaking
  Revenues vary with system load
5
Electric Transmission
 
 
 
Business Scope
  Natural gas transportation, storage, parking and lending
 services
  Customers: PG&E natural gas distribution and electric
 generation businesses, industrial customers, California electric
 generators
 
Primary Assets
  $1.5 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
Regulation
  California state regulation (CPUC)
  Ratemaking set through Gas Accord
  Revenues vary with throughput
6
Natural Gas Transmission
 
 
 
Business Scope
  Electricity and ancillary services from owned and controlled
 resources
  Energy procurement program
Primary Assets
  $2.0 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
  Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant (2,240 MW)
  Gateway Generating Station (530 MW)
  Largest privately owned hydro system (3,896 MW)
  Funded nuclear plant decommissioning trusts of $1.8 billion
Regulation
  Cost of service ratemaking for utility-owned generation
  Pass through of power procurement costs
7
Electric Generation
 
 
 
Vision and Values
 
 
 
9
2009 Business Priorities
 Drive customer satisfaction
 
  Deliver on budget, on plan, and on purpose
 
  Improve reliability
 
  Improve safety and human performance
 
  Champion effective regulatory and legislative policies
 
 
 
10
PG&E Financial Strategy
 Achieve solid, sustained EPS growth
 
 Actively manage cash flow
 
 Maintain opportunistic financing approach
 
 
 
11
Capital Expenditure Outlook
Low Case $3.6B
Low Case $3.6B
High Case $3.7B
High Case $3.7B
Low Case $3.4B
Low Case $3.4B
High Case $3.8B
High Case $3.8B
Low Case $3.3B
Low Case $3.3B
High Case $4.8B
High Case $4.8B
2.0
2.5
 3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2008
2009
2010
2011
$ B
Low
Low
 High
 High
Low
Low
 High
 High
Low
Low
 High
 High
$3.7B
$3.7B
CapEx Outlook
CapEx Outlook
Actual
 
 
 
12
* Actual 2008 and projected 2009-2011 rate base is not adjusted for the impact of the carrying cost credit that primarily results from the second series of
 the Energy Recovery Bonds. Earnings will be reduced by an amount equal to the deferred tax balance associated with the Energy Recovery Bonds
 regulatory asset, multiplied by the Utility's equity ratio and by its equity return. This rate base offset carrying cost declines to zero when the taxes are
 fully paid in 2012.
Weighted Average Annual Rate Base*
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
28.0
2008
2009
2010
2011
$ B
Rate Base Growth
Low
Low
 High
 High
Low
Low
 High
 High
Low
Low
Low Case $20.1B
Low Case $20.1B
High Case $20.3B
High Case $20.3B
Low Case $22.1B
Low Case $22.1B
High Case $22.4B
High Case $22.4B
Low Case $24.3B
Low Case $24.3B
High Case $25.4B
High Case $25.4B
$18.2B
$18.2B
Actual
 
 
 
Residential Electric Bills
(1) Edison Electric Institute, Statistical Yearbook, Year 2007 (latest data available).
13
 
 
 
14
2011
EPS Guidance
$3.85
$3.85
2008
Actual
$2.95
$2.95
$3.65
$3.65
Low
Low
 High
 High
2010
$3.50
$3.50
$3.35
$3.35
2009
$3.25
$3.25
$3.15
$3.15
Earnings per Share from Operations
Earnings per Share from Operations
* Reg G reconciliation to GAAP for 2008 EPS from Operations, and 2009-2011 EPS Guidance available in Appendix and at www.pge-corp.com/investors
 
 
 
15
 Generation
  Additional renewable generation investment opportunities
  Prior RFO Shortfalls
 Electric Transmission & Gas Pipelines
  Additional transmission to reach renewable generation
  B.C. Transmission Line
  Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline
 
Additional Capital Opportunities
 
 
 
16
Financial Assumptions 2009-2011
GUIDANCE REFLECTS:
 
 Capital expenditures consistent with low and high case ranges
 CPUC authorized ROE of at least 11.35% and Utility earns at least
 12% on FERC projected rate base
 
 Ratemaking capital structure maintained at 52% equity
 
 CEE incentives, operational changes and efficiencies and tax cash
 flow consistent with low and high case ranges
 Current conditions for debt and equity markets
 Resolution of FERC generator claims in 2009-2011 results in
 financing needs
 
 
 
17
 Sustainable, comparable dividend
 
 Payout ratio range of 50% - 70%
 
 Dividend growth in line with EPS growth.
Dividend Policy
Historical Quarterly Dividends per Share
 
 
 
18
Infrastructure spend categories:
  Substations
  Poles and Maintenance
  New Customer Connects
  Capacity and Reliability
Transmission spend categories
  System Expansion / Congestion Relief
  Maintenance and Replacement
  Automation Technology Expansion
  New Generation Interconnection
Investment in Infrastructure
 
 
 
19
SmartMeterTM Installations
Cumulative Meters Installed
Cumulative Meters Installed
1.7 million
1.7 million
1,656
1,656
2006
273,000
273,000
2007
2008
2009 PLAN
4.5 million
4.5 million
 
 
 
New Generation Investment
20
Humboldt Bay Power Plant *
Colusa Generating Station *
* Humboldt Bay is a 163 MW plant currently under construction.
 Projected Cost: $239M, scheduled completion 2010.
* Colusa is a 657 MW plant currently under construction.
 Projected Cost: $673M, scheduled completion 2010.
 
 
 
PG&E Ownership of Renewables
Proposed Solar PV Program
  Up to 250 MW of Utility-owned PV generation
  Up to 250 MW of standard-offer PV PPAs
 
 
 
22
RPS Strategy
Expect 14% deliveries from renewable resources in 2009
Contracted/Current deliveries represent over 20% of projected load for 2013
Utility Owned PV is a contributor to achieving RPS goals
 
 
 
23
PCG: Outlook for the Future
Leading renewable and energy efficiency
programs…
… and limiting risk from new
carbon legislation
… and limiting risk from new
carbon legislation
 
 
 
24
 This presentation contains management’s guidance for PG&E Corporation’s 2009, 2010 and 2011 earnings per share from operations, projections of Pacific
 Gas and Electric Company’s (Utility) capital expenditures, rate base and rate base growth, and projections of PG&E Corporation’s and the Utility’s financing
 needs. These statements and projections, as well as the underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations
 which management believes are reasonable. These statements and assumptions are necessarily subject to various risks and uncertainties, the realization or
 resolution of which may be outside of management's control. Actual results may differ materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
 include:
 the Utility’s ability to manage capital expenditures and its operating and maintenance expenses within authorized levels;
 the outcome of pending and future regulatory proceedings and whether the Utility is able to timely recover its costs through rates;
 the adequacy and price of electricity and natural gas supplies, and the ability of the Utility to manage and respond to the volatility of the electricity and natural gas markets,
 including the ability of the Utility and its counterparties to post or return collateral;
 the effect of weather, storms, earthquakes, fires, floods, disease, other natural disasters, explosions, accidents, mechanical breakdowns, disruptions of information technology
 or computer systems, acts of terrorism, and other events or hazards on the Utility’s facilities and operations, its customers, and third parties on which the Utility relies;
 the potential impacts of climate change on the Utility’s electricity and natural gas businesses;
 changes in customer demand for electricity and natural gas resulting from unanticipated population growth or decline, general economic and financial market conditions,
 changes in technology, including the development of alternative energy sources, or other reasons;
 operating performance of the Diablo Canyon Power Plant (“Diablo Canyon”), the availability of nuclear fuel, the occurrence of unplanned outages at Diablo Canyon or the
 temporary or permanent cessation of operations at Diablo Canyon;
 whether the Utility can maintain the cost savings it has recognized from operating efficiencies it has achieved and identify and successfully implement additional sustainable
 cost-saving measures;
 whether the Utility incurs substantial expense to improve the safety and reliability of its electric and natural gas systems;
 whether the Utility achieves the California Public Utilities Commission’s (CPUC) energy efficiency targets and recognizes any incentives the Utility may earn in a timely manner;
 the impact of changes in federal or state laws, or their interpretation, on energy policy and the regulation of utilities and their holding companies;
 the impact of changing wholesale electric or gas market rules, including new rules of the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) to restructure the California
 wholesale electricity market;
 how the CPUC administers the conditions imposed on PG&E Corporation when it became the Utility’s holding company;
 the extent to which PG&E Corporation or the Utility incurs costs and liabilities in connection with litigation that are not recoverable through rates, from insurance, or from other
 third parties;
 the ability of PG&E Corporation, the Utility, and counterparties, to access capital markets and other sources of credit in a timely manner on acceptable terms, especially given
 the recent deteriorating conditions in the economy and financial markets;
 the impact of environmental laws and regulations and the costs of compliance and remediation;
 the effect of municipalization, direct access, community choice aggregation, or other forms of bypass;
 the outcome of federal or state tax audits and the impact of changes in federal or state tax laws, policies, or regulations; and
 other factors and risks discussed in PG&E Corporation’s and the Utility’s 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
 Commission.
Cautionary Language Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
 
 
 
 
 
 
26
Key Regulatory Filings
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011 General Rate Case
Summer 2009:
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Summer 2009:
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Summer 2010:
Hearings
January 2011:
Rates go into effect
2009
2009
2010
2010
Transmission Owner Rate Cases
Summer 2009:
File TO 12
Summer 2009:
File TO 12
Fall 2009: TO 11
Settlement
Approved
Fall 2009: TO 11
Settlement
Approved
Summer 2010:
File TO 13
Summer 2010:
File TO 13
2010
2010
2011 Cost of Capital Application
Spring 2010:
Initial Filing
January 2011:
Rates go into effect
2011
2011
 
 
 
2008 total sources of electric energy*
Owned Generation
Type
Net
Capacity
(MW)
Diablo Canyon
Nuclear
2,240
Hydroelectric Facilities
Hydro
3,896
Humboldt
Fossil
135
Total
6,271
Existing Resource Mix
* Approximately 12% of total retail sales are supplied by eligible renewable resources coming from utility-owned, QF, Irrigation Districts, and
 other sources.
27
Utility Owned
30%
Irrigation Districts 2%
DWR
15%
QF/ Renewables
18%
Other Power
Purchases
35%
 
 
 
Year
Signed
Project
Max
GWh/yr
Technology
2006
HFI Silvan
142
Biomass
2006
Liberty Biofuels
70
Biofuels
2006
Bottle Rock USRG
385
Geothermal
2006
IAE Truckhaven
366
Geothermal
2006
Global Common - Chowchilla
72
Biomass
2006
Global Common - El Nido
72
Biomass
2006
Newberry
840
Geothermal
2006
Calpine Geysers
1644
Geothermal
2006
Microgy
TBD
Biogas
2006
Bio_Energy LLC
TBD
Biogas
2006
Palco
36
Biomass
2007
Solel
1388
Solar
Thermal
2007
PPM-Klondike
265
Wind
2007
CalRenew
9
PV
2007
Green Volts
5
PV
2007
enXco
509
Wind
2007
Ausra
388
Solar
Thermal
Year
Signed
Project
Max
GWh/yr
Technology
2008
Calpine
1533
Geothermal
2008
Wadham
141
Biomass
2008
San Joaquin Solar
700
Solar Thermal-
Biofuel Hybrid
2008
Arlington Wind (Horizon)
240
Wind
2008
OptiSolar / First Solar
1148
PV
2008
SunPower
594
PV
2008
Iberdrola/ BPA
260
Wind
2008
Hatchet Ridge
303
Wind
2008
El Dorado Energy
(Sempra)
23
PV
2009
Puget
1000
Wind
2009
Solaren
1700
PV
2009
BrightSource
3665
Solar Thermal
2009
NextLight
592
PV
2009
South Feather
100
Hydro
2009
Shell Energy
128
Wind
2009
Woodlands
190
Biomass
*Based on contracts signed through June 2009.
Over 20% of Projected Load Currently Under Contract*
28
Renewable Contracts Signed
 
 
 
* Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure. This non-GAAP measure is used because it allows
 investors to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not
 reflect the normal course of operations.
 
** Items impacting comparability reconcile earnings from operations with consolidated net income as reported in accordance
 with GAAP. For the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2008, PG&E Corporation recognized $257 million of
 net income resulting from a settlement of tax audits for tax years 2001 through 2004. Of this amount, $154 million was
 related to PG&E Corporation’s former subsidiary, National Energy & Gas Transmission, Inc., and was recorded as income
 from discontinued operations
EPS on an Earnings from Operations Basis*
$2.95
Items Impacting Comparability**
 0.68
EPS on a GAAP Basis
$3.63
2008
29
2008 EPS - Reg G Reconciliation
 
 
 
(1) Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure. This non-GAAP measure is used because it allows investors to compare the core
 underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not reflect the normal course of operations.
(2) Items impacting comparability reconcile earnings from operations with consolidated Income Available for Common Shareholders as reported in
 accordance with GAAP.
(3) Tentative agreement to resolve federal tax refund claims related to tax years 1998 and 1999.
(4) Recovery of costs incurred in connection with efforts to determine the market value of hydroelectric generation facilities.
(5) Forecasted cost to accelerate the performance of system-wide gas integrity surveys and associated remedial work.
Guidance Range
Guidance Range
Guidance Range
Reg G reconciliation also provided on the PG&E Corporation website: www.pge-corp.com/investors
30
EPS Guidance - Reg G Reconciliation