EX-99 2 ex9901.htm PG&E CORPORATION MATERIALS USED AT THE 42ND EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE FINANCIAL CONFERENCE IN ORLANDO, FL ON NOVEMBER 5-6, 2007 AND IN MEETINGS WITH INVESTMENT PROFESSIONALS IN CHICAGO, IL ON NOVEMBER 8, 2007. ex9901.htm
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Exhibit 99      
PG&E Corporation:  
     Creating A Sustainable Future
Investor Package
42nd Edison Electric Institute Financial Conference
Orlando, Florida 
November 5-6, 2007
 
 
 
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding management’s guidance for PG&E Corporation’s 2007 and 2008 earnings per share from operations, targeted average annual
growth rate for earnings per share from operations, as well as management’s projections regarding Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s (Utility) capital expenditures, rate base, future electricity
resources, and potential investments in transmission, generation and renewable energy resources. These statements are based on current expectations and various assumptions which
management believes are reasonable, including that substantial capital investments are made in the Utility business over the 2007-2011 period, Utility rate base averages $16.9 billion in 2007
and $18.7 billion in 2008, that the Utility earns at least its authorized rate of return on equity, that the Utility’s ratemaking capital structure is maintained at 52 percent equity, and that the Utility
is successful in implementing its initiatives to become more efficient and reduce costs. These statements and assumptions are necessarily subject to various risks and uncertainties, the
realization or resolution of which are outside of management's control. Actual results may differ materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include:
The Utility’s ability to timely recover costs through rates;
the outcome of regulatory proceedings, including ratemaking proceedings pending at the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) and the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission;
the adequacy and price of electricity and natural gas supplies, and the ability of the Utility to manage and respond to the volatility of the electricity and natural gas markets;
the effect of weather, storms, earthquakes, fires, floods, disease, other natural disasters, explosions, accidents, mechanical breakdowns, acts of terrorism, and other events or hazards
that could affect the Utility’s facilities and operations, its customers, and third parties on which the Utility relies;
the potential impacts of climate change on the Utility’s electricity and natural gas business;
changes in customer demand for electricity and natural gas resulting from unanticipated population growth or decline, general economic and financial market conditions, changes in
technology including the development of alternative energy sources, or other reasons;
operating performance of the Utility’s Diablo Canyon nuclear generating facilities (Diablo Canyon), the occurrence of unplanned outages at Diablo Canyon, or the temporary or
permanent cessation of operations at Diablo Canyon;
the ability of the Utility to recognize benefits from its initiatives to improve its business processes and customer service;
whether the Utility’s planned capital investment projects are completed within authorized cost amounts;
the impact of changes in federal or state laws, or their interpretation, on energy policy and the regulation of utilities and their holding companies;
the impact of changing wholesale electric or gas market rules, including the California Independent System Operator’s new rules to restructure the California wholesale electricity
market;
how the CPUC administers the conditions imposed on PG&E Corporation when it became the Utility’s holding company;
the extent to which PG&E Corporation or the Utility incur costs and liabilities in connection with pending litigation that are not recoverable through rates, from third parties, or through
insurance recoveries;
the ability of PG&E Corporation and/or the Utility to access capital markets and other sources of credit;
the impact of environmental laws and regulations and the costs of compliance and remediation;
the effect of municipalization, direct access, community choice aggregation, or other forms of bypass, and
other risks and factors disclosed in PG&E Corporation’s SEC reports.
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
 
 
 
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Key Takeaways From Today’s Discussion
PG&E is:
A strong utility holding, delivering 1st quartile
earnings growth in a positive regulatory
environment
Innovating in our core business to create
competitive advantage
Creating a sustainable future for California
 
 
 
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We act with integrity and communicate honestly and openly.
We are passionate about meeting our customers’ needs
and delivering for our shareholders.
We are accountable for all of our own actions: these include
safety, protecting the environment, and supporting our communities.
We work together as a team and are committed to excellence and innovation.
We respect each other and celebrate our diversity.
The
leading
utility in the
United States
Delighted Customers
Energized Employees

Rewarded Shareholders
Our values
Operational excellence
Transformation
Our strategies
Our goals
Our vision
PG&E Vision
 
 
 
 
5
Business Unit
2006 Rate
Base ($B)
Electric and gas distribution (CPUC)
$10.3
Electric generation (CPUC)
$1.8
Gas transmission (CPUC)
$1.5
Electric transmission (FERC)
$2.3
PCG Total Business
$15.9
Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E)
$12.5 B in Revenues
$34.8 B in Assets
5.1 MM Electric/4.2 MM Gas Customers
$17 B+ Market Capitalization
 
 
 
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Core Business Investment Opportunities
Electric and gas distribution
Advanced metering technology
Electric transmission
System reliability and generation substitutes
Growth to reach renewable resources
Natural gas transmission and storage
Electric resource requirements
Energy efficiency
Conventional generation
Renewables
 
 
 
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Reg G reconciliation to GAAP for 2006 EPS from Operations and 2007 and 2008 EPS Guidance
available in Appendix and at www.pgecorp.com
EPS from Operations*
EPS Guidance
EPS from Operations*: 2007 guidance of $2.70-$2.80 per share (upper half)
2008 guidance of $2.90-$3.00 per share

Targeted Growth Rate: 8%
Assumes success in cost saving efforts
Energy efficiency incentives and broader operational savings may be needed
Review of 3-year operating plan underway
Update planned for Q1 2008


 

 
 

 8%
 
 

 
8
Investment Driver
Cap Ex
Notable Projects
Common Plant
~$1.3 Billion
Building Investment
Technology Infrastructure
General Use Fleet
Electric and Gas
Transmission
~$3.8 Billion
Central California Clean Energy Transmission
    Line ( formerly Midway-Gregg)
Line Upgrades for Renewables
McDonald Island Gas Storage Pipeline
Generation
~$2.9 Billion
Gateway Generating Station
Humboldt Power Plant
Colusa Power Plant
DCPP Steam Generator Replacement
Distribution
~$6.2 Billion
Distribution maintenance and upgrades
New Customer Connections
AMI
2007-2011 Estimated CapEx totals more than $14 B* (~$2.8 B/yr.)
* CapEx projections for 2007-2011 last affirmed in October 2007.  CapEx projections for 2008-2012 currently in development.
Capital Expenditures Drive Core Growth
 
 

 
9
State Energy Policy Supports Business Strategy
PG&E’s resource investment strategy is aligned with
California’s Energy Action Planpreferred loading order”:
1.
Energy Efficiency
2.
Demand Response
3.
Renewable Resources
4.
Distributed Generation
5.
Conventional Resources
 
 

 
10
Source: California Energy Commission
EE is California’s Least-Cost Resource
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
kWh
US
CA
Western Europe
Per Capita Energy Usage - California, US and Europe
Resource Type
2006 Cost
(kWh)*
Energy Efficiency
$.025
Diablo Canyon
$.039
Utility, Irrigation
Districts, Other
Wholesale
$.048
QFs and
Renewables
$.084
DWR
$.085
* Costs represent 2006 average price per kilowatt hour
 
 
 

 
11
*All amounts are pre-tax and cumulative for the three-year cycle
$180 MM Cap 
($180) MM Cap 
Constructive Policy with Measurement/ Evaluation Issues to be Resolved
Energy Efficiency Decision
Symmetrical “risk/reward” mechanism
with $180 MM cap
Effective for 2006-2008 and 2009-
2011 EE program cycles
Currently discussing measurement
and evaluation issues with CPUC
Joint petition to resolve technical
issues filed October 31, 2007
 
 

 
12
Energy Efficiency Savings: Goals and Achievements*
*Energy Efficiency goals are annual; YTD is through 9/30/07
GWh
MW
Therms
Goal
Goal
Goal
Goal
Goal
Goal

Year

End
YTD
YTD
YTD

Year
 
End

Year

End
PG&E’s Recent Energy Efficiency Performance
 
 

 
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*SmartMeterTM Program Upgrade subject to results of bid evaluation, successful field testing, and obtaining any necessary CPUC approval.
SmartMeter is a trademark of SmartSynch, Inc. and is used by permission.
2008  and beyond                     
2007
July 2007: 
RFP Issued
Q4 2007 - Q2 2008: 
Field Testing
Aug 2007: 
Bids Submitted
Q4 2011: 
Initial deployment complete
Approximate timeline for SmartMeter Program Upgrade*
2011
RFP Responses received
Two vendors selected for initial pilot tests
Next Step: CPUC approval (possible deployment as early as 2009)
SmartMeterTM Project Upgrade Timeline
 
 

 
14
Today
Near-Term
Future
Smart Meters
HAN Energy
Management
PHEV
SmartCharge
Vehicle to Grid
Distributed storage and
generation
2007
20??
Electric Field Vehicles
Innovating for the Future: Smart Energy Web
 
 
 

 
15
2004 CO2 Emissions and Emission Rates* 
*Source:  Innovest, based on most recent data available
PG&E’s Stance on Climate Change
Global climate change is serious and requires immediate action
Energy sector is among the largest contributors to U.S. GHG emissions
PG&E has an obligation to find solutions to global climate change
 
 

 
16
Changing Legislative Environment for GHG
Recent Legislative Action:
California global warming legislation enacted in 2006
Comprehensive federal legislation expected in 2 to 4 years
Pending near-term “energy independence” measures
-
Federal energy efficiency standards
-
Favorable tax treatment for renewable generation and AMI technology
-
Federal renewable portfolio standard
-
Support for clean fuels development (Plug-in Hybrids, Electric and Natural Gas Vehicles)
PG&E Supports:
Mandatory market-based approach
Encouraging early action toward goals before full regulatory implementation
Recognition of prior actions
Pursuit of all cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gases
International cooperation
 
 

 
17
Year
Signed
Project
Max
GWh/yr
Technology
Pre
2002
Various Projects
~7500**
Various
2002
Calpine Geysers 13 & 20
722
Geothermal
2002
Wheelabrator #4
25
Biomass
2003
CBEA Projects (3)
305
Biomass
2004
Big Valley Lumber
41
Biomass
2004
Diablo Winds
65
Wind
2005
FPL Energy-Montezuma Winds
102
Wind
2005
Buena Vista Energy LLC
108
Wind
2005
Pacific Renewable Energy
280
Wind
2005
Shiloh 1 Wind Project LLC
225
Wind
2006
Military Pass Rd.
840
Geothermal
2006
HFI Silvan
142
Biomass
2006
Liberty Biofuels
70
Biofuels
2006
Bottle Rock USRG
385
Geothermal
2006
IAE Truckhaven
366
Geothermal
2006
Global Common - Chowchilla
72
Biomass
Year
Signed
Project
Max
GWh/yr
Technology
2006
Global Common - El Nido
72
Biomass
2006
Newberry
840
Geothermal
2006
Calpine Geysers
922
Geothermal
2006
Tunnel Hydro
2.1
Hydro
2006
Buckeye Hydro
1.4
Hydro
2006
Eden Vale Dairy
1.3
Biogas
2006
Microgy
TBD
Biogas
2006
Bio_Energy LLC
TBD
Biogas
2006
Palco
36
Biomass
2007
Solel
1388
Solar
Thermal
2007
Western GeoPower
212
Geothermal
2007
PPM-Klondike
265
Wind
2007
CalRenew
9
PV
2007
Green Volts
5
PV
18% of Projected 2010 Load Currently Signed*
*Based on contracts signed through August 2007
** Average delivered energy over multiple years: pre-RPS baseline
PG&E’s Renewable Contracts Signed
 
 

 
18
Year
18%
15%
12%
19%
Expected Deliveries From Contracts
20%
20%
Renewable Portfolio Standard Target is 20% by 2010*
* See Appendix for further description of RPS requirements
PG&E’s RPS Compliance Outlook
 
 

 
19
PCG  Value Summary
PG&E is a core utility holding with a record of delivering
strong earnings growth in a constructive regulatory
environment.
Technology innovation and a clean energy portfolio are
key parts of our overall strategy.
We believe our actions will ensure the success of our
shareholders and improve the communities we serve.
 
 

 
20
Conference Notes
 
 

 
21
Appendix 
 
 

 
22
* Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure.  This non-GAAP measure is used
because it allows investors to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to
another, exclusive of items that do not reflect the normal course of operations
2006
2006 EPS - Reg G Reconciliation
EPS on an Earnings from Operations Basis*                                                $2.57
          
Items Impacting Comparability:
Scheduling Coordinator Cost Recovery                                                   0.21
Environmental Remediation Liability                                                        (0.05)
Recovery of Interest on PX Liability                                                         0.08
Severance Costs                                                                                  (0.05)
EPS on a GAAP Basis                                                                                 $2.76
 
 

 
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EPS Guidance - Reg G Reconciliation
 2007                                                                               
Low High
EPS Guidance on an Earnings from Operations Basis*              $2.70              $2.80
Estimated Items Impacting Comparability 0.00 0.00
EPS Guidance on a GAAP Basis $2.70 $2.80
2008      
Low High
EPS Guidance on an Earnings from Operations Basis*               $2.90              $3.00
Estimated Items Impacting Comparability                                     0.00                0.00
EPS Guidance on a GAAP Basis                                               $2.90              $3.00
* Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure.  This non-GAAP measure is used because it allows investors
to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not reflect the
normal course of operations.
 
 

 
24
Consensus of analyst estimates of EPS growth:
Source:  Thomson IBIS long-term EPS Growth Consensus Estimate Median October 30, 2007
EPS Growth - Comparator Group
PG&E targets 1st quartile growth in a constructive regulatory
environment
 
 

 
25
Market
Example Initiatives
High Tech
Data Center Efficiency
Residential New Construction
New Solar Homes Partnership
Agricultural and Food Processing
Bio-Energy Recovery Systems
Schools and Colleges
University Research Center Efficiency
Large Commercial
“More-than-a-Million” Retro-commissioning Program
Other Programs, including mass
market and third-party programs
Compact Fluorescent Bulbs,
Appliances and Air Conditioning Equipment,
Enhancements to New Buildings, etc.
Energy Efficiency Target Markets and Initiatives
 
 

 
26
Mandate
Deliveries of 20% of load from eligible renewables by 2010.
    Large hydro (>30 MW) doesn’t qualify.
Purpose
Fuel Diversity
GHG Reduction
Economic Development
Penalty
$50/MWhr, up to $25 million per year
Exceptions
1)
Contract failure
2)
Insufficient public goods funds
3)
Insufficient offers
4)
Lack of transmission
Flexible Compliance
Allows shortfalls to be made up within following three years.
   
   
California’s RPS Program
 
 

 
27
*Over  20% of total retail sales expected to be eligible renewable resources coming from
utility-owned, QFs, Irrigation Districts, and other sources.
** May include utility-owned resources
 
* Approximately 13% of total retail sales expected to be eligible renewable resources
coming from utility-owned, QFs, Irrigation Districts and other sources.
2007 Projected Sources of Energy
85,500 GWh
2012 Projected Sources of Energy
89,900 GWh
Energy efficiency expected to meet half of future load growth
Growth in renewable resources and resources with operating flexibility
Growth in utility ownership
Long-Term Electricity Resources
 
 

 
28
Transmission Line
Project / Estimated Total Cost
Central California Clean Energy
Transmission Line
Proposed 500 KV line improving
reliability and increasing access to
renewables / $800 MM
Vaca Dixon - Contra Costa Upgrade
230 kV path adding access to wind
energy / $23 MM
California - Oregon Upgrade
Replacing substation / switchyard
equipment to increase MW rating /
$30 MM
Lakeville Sonoma Transmission Line
Adding reliability and capacity to
Napa and Sonoma / $27 MM
B.C. Renewable Line (possible)
Proposed to bring British Columbia
renewable resource energy to CA /
$4-6B
California Oregon Upgrade
B.C.Renewable
Line
Wind
 
Lakeville Sonoma 
 
Central California
Clean Energy Line
 Vaca Dixon Contra
Costa Upgrade
New Transmission: Reliability and Renewables