EX-99.1 2 a05-21783_1ex99d1.htm EXHIBIT 99









 

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[GRAPHIC]

 

[LOGO]

 

December 8, 2005

 

Annual New York Investor Forum

 



 

[LOGO]

 

Introductions & Opening Comments

 

Denny Oklak

Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

 



 

Agenda

 

9:00am - 9:30am

 

Introduction and Opening Comments

 

 

 Denny Oklak

 

 

 

9:30am - 10:30am

 

Property Type and Development Panel

 

 

 Bob Chapman, Chris Seger, Steve Kennedy

 

 

 

10:30am - 10:45am

 

Break

 

 

 

10:45am - 12:00pm

 

Markets Panel

 

 

 Jim Connor, Bob Fessler, Don Hunter

 

 

 

12:00pm - 12:30pm

 

Summary and Questions and Answers

 

 

 

12:30pm - 2:00pm

 

Lunch/Speaker

 

 

 Glenn Hubbard - Dean, Columbia Graduate

 School of Business and Duke Board Member

 



 

2005 Goals and Accomplishments
2006 Objectives

 



 

2005 Goals and Accomplishments

 

                  Complete Flex Portfolio Sale

 

                  Double Development Pipeline

 

                  Geographic Expansion

 

                  Actively Manage Balance Sheet

 



 

Flex Portfolio Sale

 



 

Flex Portfolio Sale

 

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                  More than 14 million square feet of service center and light industrial assets

 

                  Total of 212 buildings

 

                  Average age of 15 years

 

                  Average office build-out of 52 percent

 

                  Average office build-out of 74 percent for flex property

 

                  Average occupancy of 85 percent

 

                  Proceeds of approximately $1 billion

 

                  Special dividend of $1.05 per share payable December 15th

 



 

Pre/Post Sale Portfolio Analysis

 

 

 

Flex

 

Remaining In-Service Portfolio
September 30, 2005

 

 

 

Portfolio

 

Industrial

 

Office

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Square Feet

 

14,100

 

67,500

 

29,300

 

96,800

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number of Buildings

 

212

 

403

 

255

 

658

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Building Age

 

14.6

 

9.7

 

11.5

 

10.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Building Size

 

67,000

 

167,000

 

115,000

 

147,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Tenant Size

 

13,800

 

48,600

 

12,000

 

25,600

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number of Tenants

 

868

 

1,278

 

2,164

 

3,442

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rollover Average Term (years)

 

3.9

 

4.8

 

4.9

 

4.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capex per Foot

 

$

1.46

 

$

0.38

 

$

2.40

 

$

0.99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Occupancy %

 

84.7

%

92.0

%

88.5

%

91.0

%

 



 

Flex Portfolio
Use of Proceeds

 

Total Net Proceeds

 

$

955,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

Use of Proceeds:

 

 

 

Pay-off unsecured line of credit

 

$

(397,595

)

Pay-off term loan

 

(400,000

)

Special dividend

 

(157,905

)

 

 

$

(955,500

)

 

Note:

 

Effect on FFO anticipated to be $.07 dilutive for 4Q 2005

 













 

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Development Starts

 

[CHART]

 


(1)          Projected

 



 

Geographic Expansion

 



 

Duke

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Timeline

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

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Announced

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Duke Realty

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

goes Public

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1972

 

1977

 

1985

 

1989

 

1993

 

1995

 

1997

 

1999

 

2001

 

2004

 

2005

 

 



 

Geographic Expansion

 

                  Dallas Office

                  Development opportunities

 

                  South Florida

                  Employment and Population Growth

 

                  Houston

                  Port of Houston and land available

 

                  Phoenix

                  Available land and large bulk market

 



 

Balance Sheet Management

 



 

Stock Repurchases
Through November 30, 2005

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

Cost of Share Repurchases

 

$

253,410

 

Total Shares Repurchased

 

8,008

 

Cost per Share of Repurchases

 

$

31.64

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Anticipated Repurchase

 

$

500,000

 

 

Reasons to Repurchase

                  Debt capacity in excess of share repurchase of $1.0 to $1.2 billion

 

                  Do not anticipate needing common equity for eighteen to twenty-four months

 

                  Project unlevered cash IRR on repurchases of 12% to 17% based on average growth in FFO per share and dividends of 5% to 10% over the next five years

 



 

Balance Sheet Strategy

 

 

 

Today

 

Target

 

Debt to Market Capitalization

 

27.40

%

35-40

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Charge Coverage

 

2.7

 

2.2x to 2.4x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital Structure

 

 

 

 

 

Common Equity

 

64

%

50

%

Preferred Equity

 

9

%

10

%

Debt

 

27

%

40

%

 

 

100

%

100

%

 



 

2006 Objectives

 



 

2006 Objectives

 

                  Continue to Expand Development Pipeline

                  Goal of $800 million new starts

 

                  Expand Joint Venture and Fund Business

                  General Plan

                  Office Acquisitions

                  Held-for-Sale Development – industrial, office, medical office

 













 

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2006 Objectives

 

                  Expand New Market Opportunities

 

                  Acquire prime bulk land positions

 

                  Commence bulk development

 

                  Complete acquisition of over 5 million square feet in Savannah

 

                  Actively Manage Balance Sheet

 

                  Continue share repurchase program up to $500 million

 

                  Increase leverage

 



 

Property Type and Development Panel

 

Bob Chapman

Senior Executive Vice President, Real Estate Operations

 

 

Chris Seger

Executive Vice President, National Development

 

 

Steve Kennedy

Executive Vice President, Construction

 



 

Property Types

 

                  Advantages/Disadvantages

 

                  Trends in Industrial and Office

 

                  2005 Development Analysis

 

                  Land Analysis

 

                  2005 Highlights

 



 

Advantages/Disadvantages

 

Product
Type

 

Advantages

 

Disadvantages

Bulk Warehouse

 

Stable occupancy

 

High competition

 

 

Low capital expenditure

 

Slowly rising rents

 

 

Lower land costs

 

Ease of re-location

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

Build-to-suit opportunities

 

Lagging occupancy

 

 

Higher development yields

 

High capital expenditures

 

 

Potential future rent growth

 

Obsolescence

 

 

 

 

 

Medical Office

 

Stable tenant base

 

Higher basis per square foot

 

 

High future demand potential

 

Sharing of ownership

 

 

Less competition

 

Land leases

 

 

 

 

 

Retail

 

High demand for tenants

 

Over saturation of markets

 

 

High demand from buyers

 

 

 

 

Solid development yields

 

 

 



 

Trends in Industrial and Office Development

 

Product
Type

 

Trend

Industrial

 

3PL’s controlling more of distribution pipeline and warehouse leasing

 

 

 

Industrial

 

Too much money in pipeline – overbuilding of speculative bulk (inventory for investors)

 

 

 

Industrial

 

Competition in the light distribution (Type II) sector not as intense as in bulk

 

 

 

Industrial

 

Continued consolidation of bulk business by several National / Regional developers – big land positions too expensive for locals. Also, National/Regional developers increasing their land positions in each market

 

 

 

Industrial

 

Unclear overall impact of new intermodal facilities on logistics patterns

 



 

Trends in Industrial and Office Development

 

Product
Type

 

Trend

 

 

 

Office

 

Office Development dominated by local players

 

 

 

Office

 

Major trend toward mixed use (Office, Retail, Residential)

 

 

 

Office & Industrial

 

Commoditization of Business – Tougher to differentiate, every deal highly competitive

 

 

 

Office & Industrial

 

Tougher to design/build today – Brokers drive deals towards auctions

 

 

 

Office & Industrial

 

More Investors / Owners now developing (either directly or through local affiliates) to expand their portfolios

 

 

 

Office & Industrial

 

State and Local incentive packages are becoming more critical in build-to-suit deals

 



 

2005 Projected Development Starts

By Property Type

 

[CHART]

 



 

2005 Projected Development Starts

By Market

 

[CHART]

 



 

Land Summary - Industrial

(In thousands, except acres)

 

 

 

Acres

 

Book
Basis

 

Value in
Excess of
Book Basis

 

Value
per Acre

 

Developable
Square Feet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Southern Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atlanta

 

748

 

$

36,400

 

$

6,700

 

$

60

 

10,300

 

Dallas

 

223

 

17,000

 

1,100

 

80

 

4,300

 

Central Florida

 

100

 

13,400

 

20

 

130

 

1,800

 

Raleigh

 

18

 

1,700

 

700

 

130

 

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Midwest Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago

 

101

 

16,800

 

1,600

 

180

 

1,900

 

Minneapolis

 

16

 

1,900

 

700

 

170

 

300

 

Nashville

 

78

 

11,000

 

1,700

 

160

 

1,000

 

St. Louis

 

62

 

6,200

 

4,400

 

170

 

800

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Central Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cincinnati

 

161

 

9,500

 

300

 

60

 

2,800

 

Cleveland

 

266

 

13,700

 

7,800

 

80

 

3,700

 

Columbus

 

140

 

9,200

 

2,400

 

80

 

2,700

 

Indianapolis

 

291

 

11,400

 

6,300

 

60

 

5,300

 

 

 

2,204

 

$

148,200

 

$

33,700

 

 

 

35,200

 

 



 

Land Summary - Office

(In thousands, except acres)

 

 

 

Acres

 

Book
Basis

 

Value in
Excess of
Book Basis

 

Value
per Acre

 

Developable
Square Feet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Southern Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Atlanta

 

168

 

$

30,600

 

$

5,500

 

$

200

 

2,300

 

Dallas

 

56

 

16,500

 

260

 

300

 

900

 

Central Florida

 

85

 

17,000

 

2,300

 

200

 

1,300

 

South Florida

 

13

 

3,000

 

2,300

 

390

 

200

 

Raleigh

 

144

 

18,300

 

7,700

 

180

 

1,700

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Midwest Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chicago

 

36

 

10,700

 

2,100

 

350

 

800

 

Minneapolis

 

14

 

17,800

 

290

 

1,310

 

800

 

Nashville

 

29

 

6,400

 

1,600

 

280

 

400

 

St. Louis

 

52

 

16,400

 

4,500

 

400

 

900

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Central Region

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cincinnati

 

60

 

12,400

 

10

 

210

 

1,000

 

Cleveland

 

61

 

11,900

 

4,600

 

270

 

900

 

Columbus

 

116

 

19,800

 

3,200

 

200

 

1,800

 

Indianapolis

 

63

 

21,300

 

7,700

 

460

 

1,300

 

 

 

897

 

$

202,000

 

$

42,100

 

 

 

14,300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anson

 

274

 

60,500

 

6,500

 

240

 

2,800

 

Retail

 

77

 

38,200

 

12,200

 

650

 

800

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Office and Industrial

 

3,452

 

$

450,000

 

$

94,500

 

 

 

53,100

 

 













 

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Historical Land Usage Analysis

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

Based on average use of $80 million per year, our land inventory would be approximately 5.4 years as of September 30, 2005

 

1



 

2005 Highlights

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Bank One

 

 

Dallas, TX

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Hartsfield

 

 

Atlanta, GA

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Scholastic

 

 

Cincinnati, OH

 

 

 

2



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

Centre Pointe IV

 

Cincinnati, OH

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

Lenovo

 

Raleigh, NC

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

T-Mobile

 

Dallas, TX

 

 

3



 

National Development

 

                  National Build-to-Suit

 

                  Healthcare Joint Venture

 

                  Retail

 

                  Anson

 

4



 

National Development Group

 

LAST YEAR

 

 

 

TODAY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Staff:

 

5

 

55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projects:

 

$0

 

$225 million

 

 

 

 

 

$300 million pipeline

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Product Focus:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Office

 

 

 

 

 

Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Healthcare

 

 

 

 

 

Retail

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

5



 

Build-to-Suit Overview

 

                  Leveraging our history as a contractor

 

                  Leveraging our development expertise

 

                  Leveraging relationships

 

6



 

Build-to-Suit Performance

 

2005 Starts:

 

$125 million

 

 

 

2006 Plan:

 

$70 million

 

 

 

Pre-tax Gross Margins:

 

15% - 20%

 

7



 

Current Build to Suit Projects

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

Tire Rack

 

Savannah, GA

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

Renaissance

 

Lafayette, IN

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

HealthNow

 

Buffalo, NY

 

 

8



 

Healthcare Overview

 

                  Building obsolescence

 

                  Consumer demand

 

                 83 million baby boomers

 

                  Technology

 

9



 

Trends in Healthcare Property Types

 

                  Outpatient Medical Facilities

 

      MOB

 

      MOB/ASC

 

                  Hospital

 

      “Traditional” hospital

 

      Replacement hospitals

 

      Long-term acute care facilities — LTAC

 

      Rehabilitation facilities - Rehab

 

                  Skilled nursing facilities — Nursing homes

 

                  Senior housing

 

10













 

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Trends in Healthcare Property Types

 

                  Outpatient Medical Facilities

MOB

MOB/ASC

 

                  Hospital

“Traditional” hospital

Replacement hospitals

Long-term acute care facilities – LTAC

Rehabilitation facilities - Rehab

 

                  Skilled nursing facilities – Nursing homes

 

                  Senior housing

 



 

Healthcare Performance

 

2005 Starts:

 

$

100 million

 

 

 

 

 

2006 Plan:

 

$

160 million

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax Gross Margins:

 

20% - 30%

 

 



 

Current Healthcare Projects

 

St. Vincent’s
Indianapolis

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Adena
Columbus, OH

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Overlook
Summit, NJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Edwards
Chicago, IL

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 



 

St. Mary’s
Evansville, IN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Mercy
Cincinnati, OH

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Kindred
Indianapolis, IN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 

 

 

Centerre, St. John
St. Louis, MO

 

 

 

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

 

 



 

Retail Overview

 

                  Retail business remains strong in U.S.

 

                  Fits our model

 

Site selection

 

Development

 

                  Strong returns 30% – 40%

 



 

Joint Venture - Lifestyle Centers

 

                  Lifestyle Centers

      Target affluent areas

      Upscale specialty retail without the major mall anchors

      Construction and operating expenses much less expensive vs. enclosed mall

      50% growth rate expected during next 5 years

 

                  Anderson’s expertise – 8 projects totaling $500 million

 

                  Duke constructed 3 projects totaling $120 million with Anderson

 

                  Joint venture currently includes four lifestyle centers

 



 

Current Retail Projects (Wholly-owned)

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

West Carmel Market Place –

Indianapolis, IN

Estimated Stabilization Date: Fall 2006

 

Crossroads Market Place –

Titusville, FL

Estimated Stabilization Date: Summer 2007

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Current Retail Projects (Joint Ventures)

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Pembroke Pines Lifestyle Center

– Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Estimated Stabilization Date: Fall 2007

 

Shops at Montage Lifestyle

Center – Scranton, PA

Estimated Stabilization Date: Fall 2006

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

National Group Tomorrow

 

                  Continue to leverage on our core strength as developer

 

                  Regional structure

 

                  $650 million annual development pipeline 2010 (25% pre-tax margin)

$300 million Healthcare

$175 million Build to Suit

$175 million Retail

 



 

Anson

 

                  Utilization of our proven performance in multiple segments

 

                  1,700 acres - Indianapolis

 

                  Series of 10-year options

 

                  14 million square feet industrial, office, healthcare and retail development

 

                  2,000 residences

 



 

 

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Anson Developable Acreage

 

 

 

Net

 

Developable

 

 

 

Acres

 

Square Feet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industrial

 

460

 

8.4

 Million

 

 

 

 

 

 

Office

 

170

 

1.9

 Million

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail

 

195

 

1.4

 Million

 

 

 

 

 

 

Multi-Family Residential

 

111

 

1,300

 Units

 

 

 

 

 

 

Single-Family Residential

 

160

 

680

 Lots

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

1,130

 

 

 

 



 

Anson - Overview

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Single Family Land Sale Profit

 

Average net proceeds per lot

 

$

67,000

 

 

 

 

 

Average pre-tax margin per lot

 

25

%

 

 

 

 

Total lots

 

680

 

 

 

 

 

Total pre-tax profit

 

$

11.4

 million

 

 

 

 

Timing of Profit

 

 

 

2006

 

$

1.3

 million

2007

 

2.1

 

2008

 

4.0

 

2009

 

3.0

 

2010

 

1.0

 

 



 

 

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Construction

 

                  Construction Model – Human Resources Perspective

 

                  Recent Constructions Trends

 

[LOGO]

 

DESIGN BUILD

GENERAL CONTRACTING

CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT

 



Construction Model – People / Positions

 

                  Proactive management of development execution

 

                  Designed to impact developed product & outcome

 

                  Combine design, engineering, development & construction expertise

 

                  Collaboration w/ real estate & asset management professionals

 

                  Professional positions align with development timeline

 

                  Duke’s competitive advantage

 



Professional Level Positions

 

                  Development Services

                  Land

                  Site Planning

 

                  Pre-Construction Services

                  Sales

                  Value Add

                  Schematic Design

 

                  Project Management

                  Design/Construction Coordination

                  Contract & Risk Management

 

                  Project Superintendents

                  On-Site Management

                  Delivery

                  Quality

                  Client Satisfaction

 



Development Timeline

 

Construction Position Focus

 

Development

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Services

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-Construction

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Services

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Project

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

On-Site

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Management

 

Development Timeline

 

Land

 

Masterplanning

 

Building

 

Construction

 

 

 

 

 

Acquisition

 

& Entitlement

 

Design

 

Documents

 

Construction

 

Occupancy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Construction Cost Increases

 

                  Building Components – Most Significant Cost Increases

                  Steel

                  Roofing Systems

                  Concrete

 

                  Suburban Office and Bulk Industrial: 15% - 20% over past 2 years

 

                  Active management of proposal/pre-construction process

 



Office Design Trends

 

                  Larger Rectangular Floor Plates:  30,000 – 40,000 square feet

 

                  Lease Depths:  40 – 45 feet

 

                  Multi-Tenant Building Depths: 110 – 120 feet

 

                  9 Foot Minimum Ceiling Heights, Higher level of Core Finishes

 

                  Amenities: On-Site -Food Service & Fitness Facilities

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

[GRAPHIC]

 













 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

 

Office Design Trends

 

T-Mobile

Dallas, TX

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

                  Value Office

 

                  Under-Floor Heating / Air Conditioning

 

                  “Green” Buildings – LEED

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Industrial Design Trends

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

                  Cross Dock Building Depths exceeding 500 feet

 

                  On-site Trailer Storage

 

                  Clear Heights: 30 –36 feet

 

                  Dock Depths: 130 feet minimum

 

                  Lighting

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Questions and Answers

 



 

15 Minute Break

 



 

Markets Panel

 

Jim Connor

Executive Vice President, Midwest Region

 

 

Bob Fessler

Executive Vice President, Southern Region

 

 

Don Hunter

Executive Vice President, Central Region

 



 

PPR 54 Top Markets

 

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Market Analysis

 

                  Industrial Variables

                  Forecast Demand Growth (05-14)

                  Forecast T&W Employment Growth (05-14)

                  Forecast Average Annual Absorption (05-14)

                  Regulation Rank

                  Population Within 1,000 Miles

                  Average Forecast Total Return

                  Vacancy Current vs. Historical Average

                  Historic Demand Growth Volatility

 

                  Office Variables

                  Forecast Office Employment Growth (05-14)

                  Forecast Demand Rate (05-14)

                  Forecast Average Annual Absorption (05-14)

                  Regulation Rank

                  Forecast Minimum Vacancy vs. Current

                  Average Forecast Total Return

                  Vacancy Current vs. Historical Average

                  Historical Office Employment Growth Volatility

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research

 



 

PPR TOP 54 - U.S. Industrial Markets

 

Metro Name

 

Rank

Inland Empire

 

1

Dallas – Fort Worth*

 

2

Atlanta*

 

3

Chicago*

 

4

Indianapolis*

 

5

Los Angeles

 

6

Memphis

 

7

Las Vegas

 

8

Phoenix**

 

9

Nashville*

 

10

Fort Lauderdale*

 

11

Jacksonville

 

12

Houston**

 

13

St. Louis*

 

14

Northern New Jersey

 

15

Salt Lake City

 

16

Orlando*

 

17

Norfolk

 

18

Charlotte

 

19

Denver

 

20

Kansas City

 

21

Miami*

 

22

Columbus*

 

23

Cincinnati*

 

24

San Antonio

 

25

Austin

 

26

Portland

 

27

Philadelphia

 

28

Oklahoma City

 

29

Washington-NoVA-MD

 

30

Palm Beach County

 

31

Tampa*

 

32

Milwaukee

 

33

Baltimore

 

34

Seattle

 

35

Richmond

 

36

East Bay

 

37

Minneapolis*

 

38

San Diego

 

39

Detroit

 

40

Sacramento

 

41

Long Island

 

42

Pittsburgh

 

43

Orange County

 

44

New York

 

45

Cleveland*

 

46

Raleigh*

 

47

New Orleans

 

48

Hartford

 

49

Boston

 

50

Stamford

 

51

San Francisco

 

52

Honolulu

 

53

San Jose

 

54

 


*                      Existing Duke Markets

**               Expansion Markets

 



 

PPR TOP 54 - U.S. Office Markets

 

Metro Name

 

Rank

Atlanta*

 

1

Washington-NoVA-MD

 

2

Raleigh*

 

3

Phoenix**

 

4

Dallas-Fort Worth*

 

5

Seattle

 

6

Fort Lauderdale*

 

7

Las Vegas

 

8

Denver

 

9

San Diego

 

10

Los Angeles

 

11

Inland Empire

 

12

Orlando*

 

13

Orange County

 

14

Sacramento

 

15

San Antonio

 

16

Salt Lake City

 

17

Miami*

 

18

Palm Beach County

 

19

Indianapolis*

 

20

New York

 

21

Tampa*

 

22

Houston**

 

23

Baltimore

 

24

Charlotte

 

25

Richmond

 

26

Norfolk

 

27

Portland

 

28

Norfolk

 

27

Portland

 

28

Austin

 

29

East Bay

 

30

Northern New Jersey

 

31

St. Louis*

 

32

San Francisco

 

33

Honolulu

 

34

Minneapolis*

 

35

Chicago*

 

36

San Jose

 

37

Kansas City

 

38

Jacksonville

 

39

Boston

 

40

Memphis

 

41

Nashville*

 

42

Philadelphia

 

43

Oklahoma City

 

44

New Orleans

 

45

Cincinnati*

 

46

Columbus*

 

47

Long Island

 

48

Milwaukee

 

49

Pittsburgh

 

50

Hartford

 

51

Cleveland*

 

52

Detroit

 

53

Stamford

 

54

 


*                      Existing Duke Markets

**               Expansion Markets

 



 

MIDWEST REGION

 

Creekside Crossing I–Nashville, TN

[GRAPHIC]

 

O’hare International Center–Chicago, IL

[GRAPHIC]

 

Norman Pointe–Minneapolis, MN

[GRAPHIC]

 

Shaughnessy–St. Louis, MO

[GRAPHIC]

 

Northlake I–Chicago, IL

[GRAPHIC]

 


 












 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

Midwest Region

 

 

 

 

 

Square Feet

 

Current

 

 

 

(‘000s)

 

Occupancy %

 

CHICAGO

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

304,200

 

90

%

Duke

 

5,300

 

90

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

319,100

 

81

%

Duke

 

3,400

 

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINNEAPOLIS

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

72,000

 

87

%

Duke

 

3,100

 

95

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

122,900

 

81

%

Duke

 

1,000

 

83

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

NASHVILLE

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

61,500

 

90

%

Duke

 

1,800

 

88

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

49,200

 

85

%

Duke

 

800

 

94

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

ST. LOUIS

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

132,300

 

91

%

Duke

 

2,700

 

92

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

77,400

 

84

%

Duke

 

3,600

 

87

%

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research Fundamentals Q305

 



 

SOUTHERN REGION

 

Walnut Creek, Harris Wholesale–Raleigh, NC

[GRAPHIC]

 

Freeport X, The Container Store–Dallas, TX

[GRAPHIC]

 

Preston Ridge IV–Atlanta, GA

[GRAPHIC]

 

Northpoint III, Florida Power–Oriando, FL

[GRAPHIC]

 

Camp Creek, Clorox–Atlanta, GA

[GRAPHIC]

 

Weston Pointe I–Weston, Fl

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Southern Region

 

 

 

Square Feet

 

Current

 

 

 

(‘000s)

 

Occupancy %

 

ATLANTA

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

309,400

 

85

%

Duke

 

6,500

 

90

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

190,600

 

78

%

Duke

 

3,300

 

88

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

DALLAS

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

281,400

 

90

%

Duke

 

6,700

 

95

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

257,400

 

77

%

Duke

 

150

 

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

RALEIGH

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

28,900

 

81

%

Duke

 

1,500

 

96

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

57,100

 

83

%

Duke

 

2,100

 

96

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

ORLANDO

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

56,600

 

89

%

Duke

 

1,400

 

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

64,200

 

84

%

Duke

 

900

 

88

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

TAMPA

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

85,900

 

93

%

Duke

 

900

 

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

79,000

 

82

%

Duke

 

400

 

99

%

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research Fundamentals Q305

 



 

CENTRAL REGION

 

Groveport 354–Columbus, OH

[GRAPHIC]

 

Park Center Plaza–Cleveland, OH

[GRAPHIC]

 

Pfeiffer Place–Cincinnati, OH

[GRAPHIC]

 

Lebanon 9–Indianapolis, IN

[GRAPHIC]

 

Plainfield 5–Indianapolis, IN

[GRAPHIC]

 

Centre Pointe I–Cincinnati, OH

[GRAPHIC]

 



 

Central Region

 

 

 

Square Feet

 

Current

 

 

 

(‘000s)

 

Occupancy %

 

CINCINNATI

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

81,600

 

92

%

Duke

 

7,800

 

97

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

59,500

 

83

%

Duke

 

4,400

 

89

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

CLEVELAND

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

88,000

 

90

%

Duke

 

1,900

 

90

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

66,600

 

80

%

Duke

 

2,200

 

81

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

COLUMBUS

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

93,100

 

89

%

Duke

 

2,900

 

98

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

80,500

 

79

%

Duke

 

3,400

 

91

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

INDIANAPOLIS

 

 

 

 

 

Bulk Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

108,800

 

91

%

Duke

 

16,600

 

95

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Suburban Office

 

 

 

 

 

Market

 

60,500

 

81

%

Duke

 

3,000

 

92

%

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research Fundamentals Q305

 



 

Cleveland Operations

 

Flex portfolio sale

 

2.0

 million square feet

 

 

 

 

Remaining industrial portfolio

 

 

 

Square feet

 

1.8

 million

Occupancy

 

90

%

 

 

 

 

Remaining office portfolio

 

 

 

Square feet

 

2.2

 million

Occupancy

 

81

%

 

 

 

 

Remaining land

 

 

 

Industrial

 

266

 acres

Office

 

61

 acres

 

Wind down over the next 24 to 36 months

 



 

New Markets

 

                  South Florida

 

                  Savannah

 

                  Houston

 

                  Phoenix

 



 

South Florida

 

Current square footage

 

 

 

Office

 

678,000

 

Industrial

 

 

 

 

 

 

Recent land purchase

 

 

 

Pembroke Pines

 

 

 

Retail

 

40

 acres

Office

 

60

 acres

 

 

 

 

Coral Springs

 

 

 

Industrial

 

35

 acres

 

 

 

 

Recent completions

 

 

 

Beacon Pointe at Weston IV

 

96,000

 square feet

 



 

South Florida

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

                  OFFICE

 

1                  Sawgrass Pointe; Sunrise, FL

 

2                  Weston Pointe; Weston, FL

 

3                  Pembroke Pines; Pembroke, FL

 

4                  Coral Springs; Coral Springs, FL

 



 

Pembroke

 

[GRAPHIC]

 






 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

Coral Springs Site Plan

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

MASTER PLAN

SCALE 1” =60’-0”

 

North

 

CORAL SPRINGS CORP. PARK

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

[GRAPHIC]

BROWARD COUNTY, FLORIDA

[LOGO]

[LOGO]

 

 

18 OCTOBER 2005

 

 

 



 

Savannah

Top Nine US Ports

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

ANNUAL TEUs by Port (Millions)

 

LA/Long Beach

 

11.80

 

New Jersey/New York

 

4.10

 

Tacoma

 

3.20

 

Oakland

 

1.90

 

Charleston

 

1.70

 

Norfolk

 

1.60

 

SAVANNAH

 

1.50

 

Houston

 

1.20

 

Miami

 

1.00

 

 

TEU= 20 ft equivalent unit, a standard measure of a container.

 



 

Port of Savannah Statistics

 

                  Fastest growing U.S. Port since 1994- up 174% in volume.

 

                  Ranked 5th among U.S. container ports in Asian imports.

 

                  200-acre terminal complex with expansion capacity for over 4.35 million TEUs by 2010.

 

                  Intermodal rail connections for both CSX and Norfolk Southern.

 

                  Expansion projects include the addition of an 8th container berth (2006), two new post-panamax cranes (2006) and deepening the channel from 42’ to 48’ (2010).

 

Port of Savannah Container Tonnage History

 

[CHART]

 

Port of Savannah Container Throughput History

 

[CHART]

 








 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

Savannah Portfolio Acquisition

 

                  NorthPoint Portfolio (under contract with Duke)

                  5.14 million square feet - 100% occupied

 

                  Post-acquisition, Duke will control approximately 27% of the industrial market

 

                  $193 million gross purchase price (includes the assumption of $101 million of debt)

 

                  Year 1 return of 8.7%

 

                  Right of First Offer and Right of First Refusal on up to 5 million square feet of additional development at discount pricing

 

                  The properties near the Port of Savannah will complement Duke’s industrial portfolio in Atlanta and Florida

 

                  Duke will offer customers warehousing/distribution solutions immediately after container ships are unloaded

 



 

Houston

 

                  Population = 5.3 million

 

                  Historical Annual Job Growth (2000-2004) = 1.3%

 

                  Projected Annual Job Growth (2005-2010) = 1.8%

 

                  Bulk Industrial Market = 188 million square feet

                  2005 YTD Net Absorption = 7.4 million square feet

 

                  Suburban Office Market = 209 million square feet

                  2005 YTD Net Absorption = 2.8 million square feet

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research Q305

 



 

                  Low Business Costs

                  Near-average living costs

 

                  Large Population

                  Strong growth prospects

 

                  Port of Houston

                  Set a record 200 million tons in 2004 (up 4.8% from 2003)

 

                  Pro-Development Attitude

 



 

Phoenix

 

                  Population = 3.8 million

 

                  Historical Annual Job Growth (2000-2004) = 2.5%

 

                  Projected Annual Job Growth (2005-2010) = 2.6%

 

                  Bulk Industrial Market = 103 million square feet

                  2005 YTD Net Absorption = 2.8 million square feet

 

                  Suburban Office Market = 117 million square feet

                  2005 YTD Net Absorption = 3.0 million square feet

 

Source:  Property Portfolio Research Q305

 



 

                  Diverse employment base

                  Defense, financial services and technology

 

                  Low business costs

 

                  Office and industrial vacancies declining since 2003

 

                  Intermodal opportunities

 










 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 



 

Questions and Answers

 



 

2007 and Beyond

 



 

2007 and Beyond

 

                  Continue to Increase the Development Pipeline

 

                  Goal is to exceed $1 Billion annually in new development starts by 2010

 

                  Continue Geographic Expansion

 

                  Measured pace

 

                  Property Type Focus

 

                  Wholly-own bulk industrial

                  Joint venture office

                  Sell or joint venture medical office and retail

 



 

                  Acquisitions

 

                  We will continue to be a cautious acquirer

                  Greater use of joint ventures for strategic acquisitions

                  We will pursue acquisition targets for business combinations if we believe the quality of the portfolio and pricing is accretive long-term

 

                  Balance Sheet

 

                  Increase leverage moderately

                  Maintain current ratings of Baa1 and BBB+

 

                  Focus on FFO Growth and Return on Shareholders Equity

 

                  New development

                  Fund and joint venture fee business

                  Geographic expansion

                  Redeploying proceeds into higher growth markets

 



 

Summary

 

                  2005 a very strong and successful year

 

                  Back on the growth track in 2006

 

                  2007 and Beyond – A focused strategy for long-term growth

 



 

Questions and Answers

 



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

[LOGO]

 

December 8, 2005

 

Thank you for joining us today

 












 

Searchable text section of graphics shown above

 


`


 

[LOGO]

 

December 8, 2005

 

Annual New York Investor Forum
Appendix

 



 

2005 Range of Estimates
In thousands

 

[LOGO]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

 

 

 

Pessimistic

 

Optimistic

 

Projected

 

Average Occupancy (Total in-service)

 

88.0

%

91.0

%

88.0

%

Same Store Growth

 

-0.5

%

1.5

%

-1.5

%

Lease Buy-outs

 

$

5,000

 

$

10,000

 

$

7,700

 

Projected Starts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental development

 

250,000

 

325,000

 

425,000

 

Held for sale development

 

150,000

 

225,000

 

255,000

 

Third-party construction

 

275,000

 

350,000

 

245,000

 

Construction Volume

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental construction

 

100,000

 

150,000

 

 

 

Held for sale construction

 

25,000

 

50,000

 

 

 

Third-party construction

 

300,000

 

375,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Third-party construction fees

 

32,000

 

38,000

 

22,600

 

Tenant finish construction

 

130,000

 

150,000

 

160,000

 

Gain on properties held for sale (Gross)

 

12,000

 

20,000

 

29,000

 

Gain on land sales

 

5,000

 

10,000

 

15,000

 

General and Administrative expenses

 

29,000

 

23,000

 

25,000

 

Acquisitions

 

200,000

 

350,000

 

350,000

 

Disposition proceeds

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental

 

150,000

 

250,000

 

1,155,000

 

Held for sale

 

75,000

 

110,000

 

114,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FFO per share

 

$

2.43

 

$

2.55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FFO per share, net of flex sale / impairment

 

 

 

 

 

$2.37 - $2.39

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FAD Payout Ratio

 

110

%

120

%

114

%

 



 

2006 Range of Estimates
In thousands

 

 

 

 

 

Pessimistic

 

Optimistic

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Occupancy (12/05 in-service)

 

90.0

%

93.0

%

Average Occupancy (Total in-service)

 

88.0

%

91.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Same Store Growth

 

1.0

%

3.0

%

Lease Buy-outs

 

$

5,000

 

$

10,000

 

Projected Starts

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental development

 

450,000

 

525,000

 

Held for sale development

 

350,000

 

425,000

 

Third-party construction

 

150,000

 

225,000

 

Construction Volume

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental construction

 

 

 

 

 

Held for sale construction

 

 

 

 

 

Third-party construction

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Third-party construction fees

 

23,000

 

30,000

 

Tenant finish construction

 

150,000

 

180,000

 

Gain on properties held for sale (Gross)

 

24,000

 

32,000

 

Gain on land sales

 

7,000

 

12,000

 

General and Administrative expenses

 

32,000

 

26,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Acquisitons

 

 

 

 

 

Wholly owned

 

150,000

 

300,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disposition proceeds

 

 

 

 

 

Held for rental

 

50,000

 

200,000

 

Held for sale

 

110,000

 

150,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FFO per share

 

$

2.32

 

$

2.45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FAD Payout Ratio

 

105

%

95

%

 



 

2006 Guidance Detail

 

FFO and FAD Guidance

 

                  FFO per share for 2006 is expected to be between $2.32 and $2.45.  Included in this guidance is an approximate $0.02 per share non-cash charge related to the write-off of issuance costs in connection with the expected redemption of the Company’s Series I Preferred Stock.  No asset impairment charges in connection with property sales are included.

 

                  Anticipate FAD payout ratio of 95% - 105% as we continue to increase office occupancies while overall capital expenditures and free rent concessions begin to mitigate.

 



 

Property Operations

 

                  In-service occupancy on a lease commencement basis to average 90% - 93% for the year

 

                  Same-store net operating income growth, excluding termination fees of 1% - 3%.

 

                  Lease termination fees of $5 - $10 million

 

                  Tenant renewal rate of 65% - 75%

 



 

Value Creation Development Status

 

Continued increase in development activity as follows:

                  Held-for-rental starts of $450 - $525 million at average stabilized yields of 9.25% - 9.75%

 

                  Held-for-sale starts of $350 - $425 million at stabilized yields of 9.00% - 9.50%

 

                  Third-party construction starts of $150 - $225 million at a 9.75% - 10.25% fee

 

We expect a Company record of over $1.0 billion in total value creation development starts in 2006 primarily coming from each of our existing regions, with $20 - $40 million being added in new cities.  In addition, included in our guidance is over $400 million in National Development Division starts, more than two times 2005 activity.

 



 

Gains on Property Sales

                  Expect before tax gains on held-for-sale development projects to be $24 - $32 million, primarily from identified projects currently in the pipeline.  The majority of these gains are projected in the fourth quarter of 2006.

 

                  Land sale gains are projected to be $7 - $12 million

 

Service Operations

Net profit for 2006 is expected to be similar to 2005.  Third-party construction fees will be less than 2005 as we allocate construction resources more to new development.  This reduction will be offset by an expected $5 - $10 million of new fees from fund management activity.

 



 

Acquisitions and Dispositions

                  Guidance includes $150 - $300 million of wholly-owned property acquisitions at 7.50% - 8.00% stabilized cap rates

 

                  Disposition activity as part of the Company’s capital recycling program will be much less than 2005 at $100 - $200 million

 

General and Administrative Expense

                  Anticipated to be $26 - $32 million as we expand into new markets and increase fund management activity

 

                  Quarterly FFO per share trends are anticipated to be in line with prior years.  The quarter is affected by seasonal operating expenses, construction activity and leasing resulting in the lowest quarterly FFO per share for the year.  The first quarter is also expected to be over 10% less than the first quarter of 2005 as a result of the temporary dilution from the flex sale.

 



 

Organizational Chart

 

 

Matt Cohoat
EVP and CFO
317.808.6065
matt.cohoat@dukerealty.com

 

 

 

Shona Bedwell
AVP, Investor Relations
317.808.6169
shona.bedwell@dukerealty.com

 

Randy Henry
AVP, Investor Relations
317.808.6060
randy.henry@dukerealty.com

 

 

 

Barbara Summers
Senior Executive Assistant
317.808.6032
barb.summers@dukerealty.com

 

Responsibilities:
Financial Reporting

Analyst Model

 

 

 

Responsibilities:
Overall Coordination
Investor Communication
Investor Reporting & Strategy
Stock Analysis
Retail Shareholders