EX-99.2 3 c81775exv99w2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Filed by Bowne Pure Compliance
Exhibit 99.2
UniSource Energy Corporation
Supplemental Earnings & Outlook Information
February 26, 2009
SAFE HARBOR AND NON-GAAP MEASURES
This document contains forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties, that include, but are not limited to: state and federal regulatory and legislative decisions and actions; regional economic and market conditions which could affect customer growth and energy usage; weather variations affecting energy usage; the cost of debt and equity capital and access to capital markets; the performance of the stock market and changing interest rate environment, which affect the value of the company’s pension and other postretirement benefit plan assets and the related contribution requirements and expense; unexpected increases in O&M expense; resolution of pending litigation matters; changes in accounting standards; changes in critical accounting estimates; the ongoing restructuring of the electric industry; changes to long-term contracts; the cost of fuel and power supplies; performance of TEP’s generating plants; and other factors listed in UniSource Energy’s Form 10-K and 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The preceding factors may cause future results to differ materially from historical results or from outcomes currently expected by UniSource Energy.
The Company’s press releases and other communications may include certain non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) financial measures. A “non-GAAP financial measure” is defined as a numerical measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that excludes (or includes) amounts that are included in (or excluded from) the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in the Company’s financial statements.
Non-GAAP financial measures utilized by the Company include presentations of revenues, operating expenses, operating income and earnings (loss) per share. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate the operations of the Company. Certain non-GAAP financial measures utilized by the Company exclude: the impact of non-recurring items: the effect of accounting changes or adjustments; expenses that are reimbursed by third parties; and other items. The Company’s management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information to investors by removing the effect of variances in GAAP reported results of operations that are not indicative of fundamental changes in the earnings or cash flow capacity of the Company’s operations. Management also believes that the presentation of the non-GAAP financial measures is largely consistent with its past practice, as well as industry practice in general, and will enable investors and analysts to compare current non-GAAP measures with non-GAAP measures with respect to prior periods.

 

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2009 EARNINGS OUTLOOK
UniSource Energy diluted earnings per share range: $2.55 — $2.90 per share
The following list of assumptions is not intended to be a full list of factors which could cause UniSource Energy’s future results to differ from current expectations. Please refer to UniSource Energy’s SEC filings for more information regarding risks and other uncertainties that could cause current expectations to differ from future results.
2009 TEP Assumptions
  TEP Utility Gross Margin1 of approximately $620 million
    Normal weather patterns
 
    No change in aggregate retail kWh sales from 2008 actual; customer growth of 0.5%
    2008 retail kWh sales were approximately 9,500 GWh
 
    A 1% change in overall retail kWh sales represents a change in gross margin of approximately $5.7 million pre-tax, or $0.09 / diluted share, based on a weighted average non-fuel rate of $0.06 per kWh
2009 UES Assumptions
  Normal weather patterns
  No change in aggregate residential and small commercial kWh sales from 2008
  Increase of approximately 170,000 MWh in mining and industrial sales relative to 2008
  No change in aggregate retail gas therm sales from 2008
2009 UED Assumptions
  Approximately $5 million additional gross margin ($3 million after tax) compared with 2008 due to full year of operations at the Black Mountain Generating Station; PPA with UNS Electric began June 1, 2008
2009 UniSource Consolidated Assumptions
  2009 base O&M expense of $285 million
    2009 O&M includes estimated pension and postretirement benefits expense of $20 million, compared with $11 million in 2008
 
    Excludes transmission wheeling expense as it will be subject to recovery through the PPFAC and reported as a separate line item in the calculation of gross margin instead of being reported in O&M expense
 
     
1   Utility Gross Margin is a non-GAAP measure. See Non-GAAP measures below for a reconciliation of Utility Gross Margin (Non-GAAP) to Operating Income (GAAP) for 2006-2008.

 

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2009 UniSource Consolidated Assumptions (con’t)
  In 2008, base O&M expense was $263 million. For comparison purposes, this amount excludes $19 million of transmission and wheeling expense that was reported as O&M.
 
  Estimated and historical pension and postretirement benefits expense:
                                 
    2009 est.     2008     2007     2006  
    -Millions of Dollars-  
Recorded in O&M Expense
                               
Pension Expense
  $ 16     $ 6     $ 8     $ 8  
Other Postretirement Benefits
    4       5       5       6  
 
                       
Total
  $ 20     $ 11     $ 13     $ 14  
 
                       
  Increase in depreciation and amortization expense of approximately $22 million compared with 2008 (excluding TRA amortization of $24 million that was recorded in 2008 and terminated in May 2008)
 
  2009 includes
    depreciation expense of $147 million compared with $126 million in 2008
 
    capital lease amortization of $18 million compared with $21 million in 2008
 
    other amortization of $4 million related to regulatory assets at TEP created by the 2008 rate order
  Interest expense on capital leases (net of interest income on investment in lease debt) of $45 million in 2009 compared with $48 million in 2008
  40% effective income tax rate
  Avg. shares outstanding: 36 million basic; 40 million fully diluted
    Fully diluted EPS calculation incorporates $4.4 million of after-tax interest savings as if the $150 million of convertible notes were converted to common stock
2010 AND 2011 OUTLOOK
TEP Assumptions
  An increase in aggregate TEP retail sales from 2009 ranging from 1% to 1.5% on average in each year
  Customer growth from 2009 ranging from 0.5% to 2% on average in each year
  Re-pricing in 2010 of energy component under long-term wholesale sales contract with Navajo Tribal Utility Authority
    50% of summer energy (June-Sept) will be based on market price of power
  Re-pricing in 2011 of energy component under long-term wholesale sales contract with Salt River Project
    Beginning in June 2011, price of energy based on market price of power
  Capital lease amortization of $19 million in 2010 and $11 million in 2011
 
  Interest expense on capital leases (net of interest income on investment in lease debt) of $44 million in 2010 and $41 million in 2011
 
  Springerville Unit 4 operational in 2010, resulting in full-year pre-tax benefits of approximately $8 million

 

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UES Assumptions
  An increase from 2009 in non-mining retail kWh sales at UNS Electric ranging from 1.5% to 3% on average in each year
    Estimated mining sales of 200,000 – 300,000 MWh in 2010 and 2011
  An increase in retail therm sales UNS Gas ranging from 2009 ranging from 0.5% to 1.5% on average in each year
 
  UNS Gas rate order in late 2009 or early 2010

 

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PIMA COUNTY (TUCSON) ECONOMIC INDICATORS2
2001 — 2008 Unemployment Rate
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
2008 Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment Rate
(PERFORMANCE GRAPH)
 
     
2   Source: Arizona Department of Commerce

 

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NON-GAAP MEASURES
Utility Gross Margin — TEP
TEP’s Utility Gross Margin represents retail and wholesale electric revenues less fuel and purchased power expense. Utility Gross Margin is presented here as a measure of operating performance because it can be used as an indication of a company’s electric revenues in excess of the fuel and purchased power costs and is commonly used as an analytical indicator in our industry. Utility Gross Margin measures presented may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. Utility Gross Margin is not a measurement presented in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), and we do not intend Utility Gross Margin to represent operating income as defined by GAAP. Utility Gross Margin should not be considered to be an alternative to operating income or any other items calculated in accordance with GAAP or an indicator of our operating performance.
TEP believes Utility Gross Margin, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, provides useful information to investors as a measure of operating performance. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to Utility Gross Margin is operating income.
                         
TEP   2008     2007     2006  
    -Millions of Dollars-  
Utility Gross Margin (non-GAAP)
  $ 520     $ 582     $ 604  
Operating Income (GAAP)
  $ 107     $ 189     $ 216  

 

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Reconciliation of TEP Utility Gross Margin (non-GAAP) to Operating Income (GAAP)
                         
    2008     2007     2006  
    -Millions of Dollars-  
Retail Electric Sales
  $ 802     $ 812     $ 774  
Electric Wholesale Sales
    260       196       179  
 
                 
Total
    1,062       1,008       953  
 
                 
 
                       
Less Fuel and Purchased Power
                       
Fuel
    285       291       258  
Reimbursed Fuel Expense
    (5 )     (5 )     (9 )
FAS 71 Reinstatement Included in Fuel Expense
    24              
Purchased Energy
    238       140       100  
 
                 
Total
    542       426       349  
 
                 
 
Utility Gross Margin (non-GAAP)
  $ 520     $ 582     $ 604  
 
                 
 
                       
Reconciling Line Items to Operating Income
                       
Other Revenues:
                       
 
                       
CTC Revenue to be Refunded
    (58 )            
Other Revenues
    75       62       36  
 
                       
Other Operating Expenses (Income):
                       
Reimbursed Fuel Expense
    5       5       9  
 
FAS 71 Reinstatement Included in Fuel Expense
    (24 )            
Other Operations and Maintenance
    267       212       198  
Depreciation and Amortization
    126       120       112  
Amortization of 1999 Transition Recovery Asset
    24       78       66  
Taxes Other Than Income Taxes
    32       40       39  
 
                 
 
                       
Operating Income (GAAP)
  $ 107     $ 189     $ 216  
 
                 

 

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Base O&M — TEP
Base O&M excludes: expenses incurred by TEP that are reimbursed by a third party; and the sale of SO2 allowances, which is recorded as a contra expense on TEP’s GAAP financial statements. Base O&M is not a measurement presented in accordance with GAAP and we do not intend Base O&M to represent reported O&M as defined by GAAP. You should not consider Base O&M to be an alternative to O&M or any other items calculated in accordance with GAAP. We believe Base O&M, which is a non-GAAP measure, provides useful information to investors as a measure of TEP’s operating and maintenance expenses.
                         
As of December 31,   2008     2007     2006  
    -Millions of Dollars-  
TEP Base O&M (non-GAAP)
  $ 229     $ 201     $ 196  
TEP O&M (GAAP)
  $ 267     $ 212     $ 199  
Reconciliation of Base O&M (non-GAAP) to O&M (GAAP)
                         
    2008     2007     2006  
    -Millions of Dollars-  
TEP O&M Components
                       
A&G, T&D, Customer Service, Etc.
    150       139       137  
Transmission and Wheeling Expense
    11       9       5  
Generating Plant Maintenance Expense
    58       41       43  
Pension and Postretirement Benefits Expense
    10       12       11  
 
                 
TEP Base O&M (Non-GAAP)
  $ 229     $ 201     $ 196  
 
                 
Reimbursed O&M Related to Springerville Units 3 and 4
    35       24       9  
Expenses Related to Customer-funded Renewable Energy Programs*
    3       2       1  
Reinstatement of FAS 71
    1              
Gain on the Sale of SO2 Emissions Allowances
    (1 )     (15 )     (7 )
 
                 
TEP O&M (GAAP)
  $ 267     $ 212     $ 199  
 
                 
UNS Gas O&M
    25       27       25  
UNS Electric O&M
    30       30       26  
Consolidating Adjustments & Other**
    (10 )     (11 )     (3 )
 
                 
UniSource Energy O&M (GAAP)
  $ 312     $ 258     $ 247  
 
                 
 
     
*   Represents expenses related TEP’s customer-funded renewable energy programs; the offsetting funds collected from customers are recorded in other revenue.
 
**   Consolidating adjustments shown net of O&M related to Millennium and UED

 

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OTHER INFORMATION
Basic and Diluted Shares Outstanding
                 
(amounts in 000s)   2008     2007  
Numerator
               
Net Income
  $ 14,021     $ 58,373  
Income from Assumed Conversion of Convertible Senior Notes
          4,390  
 
           
Adjusted Numerator
  $ 14,021     $ 62,763  
 
           
 
Denominator:
               
Weighted-average Shares of Common Stock Outstanding
    35,632       35,486  
Effect of Diluted Securities Convertible Senior Notes
          4,000  
Options and Restricted Stock
    532       583  
 
           
Total Shares
    36,164       40,069  
 
           
For the year ended December 31, 2008, 4 million potentially dilutive shares from the conversion of convertible senior notes, and after-tax interest expense of $4.4 million was not included in the computation of diluted EPS because to do so would be anti-dilutive.
Stock options with an exercise price greater than the average market price of the common stock at year end are excluded from the dilution calculation.

 

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